SINGLE PILOT SAFETY WORKING GROUP DATA ANALYSIS PROCESS

DAN RAMIREZDIRECTOR OF SAFETY

DATAANALYSISPROCESS

1.Reviewtheaccidentrisk– AcademicPartnership

2.Reviewofapplicablesafetyenhancements(GA-JSC)

3.DetailImplementationPlan

4.Monitorprogress

1.REVIEWTHEACCIDENTRISKACADEMICPARTNERSHIP

REVIEWANDANALYSISOFACCIDENTRISK

Thefirststepoftheprocessistoreviewthecurrentaccidentdata,providedbyvarioussourcesincludingFSF,NBAA,NTSB,FAAthefoundationandoutsidesourcesandunderstandwheretheaccidentriskare

WehavealsopartnerwithNovaSouthEasternUniversity(NSU)tohaveathirdpartyobjectiveorganizationhelptheworkinggroupanalyzethedata

REVIEWANDANALYSISOFACCIDENTRISK

SPGWWorkingGroup

Single Pilot Working Group Data AnalysisReview data from Breiling Report, ICAO data, NTSB DataJan-16

ARC Abnormal Runway ContactCFIT Controlled Flight Into or Toward TerrainF-NI Fire/Smoke (Non-Impact)LOC-I Loss of Control—In FlightMAC Midair/Near Midair CollisionOTHR OtherRAMP Ground HandlingRE Runway Excursion (Takeoff or Landing)RI-VAP Runway Incursion—Vehicle, Aircraft, or PersonSCF-PP System/Component Failure or Malfunction (Powerplant)UNK Unknown or UndeterminedUSOS Undershoot/OvershootWSTRW Wind Shear or Thunderstorm

[42]

The first 7 Probable Causes cover 82.19% of the Total Types of Accidents

SC

F-P

P

CF

IT

US

OS

RE

LOC

-I

RA

MP

BIR

D

UN

K

RI-V

AP

AR

C

WS

TRW

MA

C

F-N

I

Tota

l

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Cum

ulat

ive

%

Typ

es o

f Acc

iden

ts

Probable Causes

Accident Data Set

Vital Few Useful Many Cumulative% Cut Off %

REVIEWANDANALYSISOFACCIDENTRISK

SPGWWorkingGroup

Single Pilot Working Group Data AnalysisReview data from Breiling Report, ICAO data, NTSB DataJan-16

[42]

The first 3 Phase of Flight cover 79.45% of the Total Accident/Incidents

Land

ing

Taxi

Take

-off

Cruis

e

Appro

ach

Clim

b

Manu

verin

g

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Cumu

lative

%

Accid

ent/In

ciden

ts

Phase of Flight

Accident Data Set

Vital Few Useful Many Cumulative% Cut Off %

REVIEWANDANALYSISOFACCIDENTRISK

Single Pilot Working Group Data AnalysisReview data from Breiling Report, ICAO data, NTSB DataJan-16

[42]

The first 2 Accident by Type of Operation cover 97.26% of the Total Number

Com

mer

cial/A

C

Priva

te/P

erso

nal B

usine

ss

Traini

ng

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Cum

ulativ

e %Nu

mber

Accident by Type of Operation

Accident Data Set

Vital Few Useful Many Cumulative% Cut Off %

REVIEWANDANALYSISOFACCIDENTRISK

SPGWWorkingGroup

Single Pilot Working Group Data AnalysisReview data from Breiling Report, ICAO data, NTSB DataJan-16

[42]

The first 3 Damage Category cover 100. % of the Total Accidents/Incidents

Mino

r

Subs

tancia

l

Destr

oyed

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Cumu

lative

%

Accid

ents/

Incide

nts

Damage Category

Accident Data Set

Vital Few Useful Many Cumulative% Cut Off %

REVIEWANDANALYSISOFACCIDENTRISK

REVIEWANDANALYSISOFACCIDENTRISK

2.REVIEWOFAPPLICABLESAFETYENHANCEMENTS(GA-JSC)

INDUSTRYRECOMMENDATIONSANDSE

ReviewedallIndustrySafetyEnhancements,andidentifiedsubsetthatmaycontributetoanear-termreductionoffatalityrisk.

PossibleSourcesofSE’sincludeGA-JSCandICAO’sRASG-PAgroupandNBAA.

TheteamevaluatesthesafetyenhancementsagainsttheaccidentsettoassigninganeffectiveSafetyEnhancementestimationscore

3.DETAILIMPLEMENTATIONPLAN

UsingtheSafetyEnhancementsasreference,ourworkinggroupwilldevelopDetailedImplementationPlans(DIPs)withtheobjectiveto:

• UpdatecontenttobeSinglePilotFocused

• IncorporateFeedbackfromtheNBAASafetyCommittee,ouracademicpartnership,andindustrypartners

DetailImplementationPlan

DetailImplementationPlanSinglePilotWorkingGroupDIP

4.MONITORPROGRESS

MONITORPROGRESS

Afterourplanshavebeenimplemented,wewillmonitortheirprogressviaourannualriskassessmentmeeting,aswellupdatethecommunityduringtheannualsafetystand-downs

RISKREDUCTION

SUMMARY

Review and analysis of accident risk

Are there any safety

Enhancements to reduced risk

End

Review of applicable safety enhancements

YESBring Issue to GA-JSC for SE Development

NO

Start preparing DIPs

Select a team with a leader to prepare Detail Implementation Plan

Monitor progress

Review DIPs with NBAA Safety Comittee

Coordinate DIP Implementation at BACE

SUMMARY

• Thisprocessisanecessityneededforandeffectivemeansofsettingrealisticsafetytargetsforourcommunity

• TargetsNOTbasedon“reactive”measures

• Developmentofaclearimplementationmechanismforourworkinggroup

• EffectivemeasurementofimprovedSafetyfortheSinglePilotCommunity

Summary

THANK YOU

DAN RAMIREZDIRECTOR OF SAFETY XOJET