Sinergia strategy meeting of Swiss neutrino groups Mark A. Rayner – Université de Genève 10 th...
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![Page 1: Sinergia strategy meeting of Swiss neutrino groups Mark A. Rayner – Université de Genève 10 th July 2014, Bern Hyper-Kamiokande 1 – 2 km detector Hyper-Kamiokande.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062516/56649d345503460f94a0b62d/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Sinergia strategy meeting of Swiss neutrino groupsMark A. Rayner – Université de Genève
10th July 2014, Bern
Hyper-Kamiokande
1 – 2 km detector
Hyper-Kamiokande
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Sinergia strategy meeting of Swiss neutrino groupsMark A. Rayner – Université de Genève
10th July 2014, Bern
Hyper-Kamiokande
1 – 2 km detector
Hyper-Kamiokande
SN 1987ain Super-K
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
3Hyper-Kamiokande
Can be ×10 the mass of LAr for the same cost
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
4Hyper-Kamiokande
Normal hierarchy
δCP = ½ π
• CPV is sub-leading• Matter effects are relatively unimportant
Maximal θ23
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
5Hyper-Kamiokande
Given large θ13
Compare P( υμ → υe ) and P( υμ → υe )
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
6Hyper-Kamiokande
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
7Hyper-Kamiokande
The 4th open meeting took place in Tokyo in January
The 5th open meeting will take place in Vancouver in July
The 2nd EU meeting took place at CERN in June
http://indico.ipmu.jp/indico/conferenceDisplay.py?confId=29 http://indico.ipmu.jp/indico/conferenceDisplay.py?confId=34
https://indico.cern.ch/event/319681/
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
8Hyper-Kamiokande
The Science Council of Japan selected Hyper-Kamiokande as one of 27 important large-scale projects in the “Master plan 2014”
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
9Hyper-Kamiokande
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dCP Sensitivity MH Sensitivity
Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
10
Normalhierarchy
Invertedhierarchy
(Assuming T2K and NOvA use 1:1 nu:nubar)
MH also fromDB + 60km JUNO detector,
INO and PINGU
90%
90%Wark, EU meeting
Hyper-Kamiokande
Where will be by 2020?
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
11Hyper-Kamiokande
A binned likelihood analysis reconstructed neutrino energy distribution appearance and disappearance samples are fitted simultaneously
As before: sin2 2θ13 and δCP are fitted
Now also: sin2 θ23 and Δm2
32
Systematic uncertainties are estimated based on the experience and prospects of the T2K experiment
7.5 MW × 107 seconds is assumed 1.56×1022 POT with 30 GeV J-PARC beam
neutrino : anti-neutrino running time = 1:3 expected number of events are approximately the same for nu and nubar mode
Sensitivity analyses
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
12Hyper-Kamiokande
Reconstructed neutrino energy distribution of the υe candidate events
N.B. the π0 background is reduced to about 30% compared to the previous study
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
13Hyper-Kamiokande
Reconstructed neutrino energy distribution of the υμ candidate events
significant wrong-sign component
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
14Hyper-Kamiokande
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
15Hyper-Kamiokande
statistical errors
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
16Hyper-Kamiokande
total uncertaintyflux
– and – cross section constrained by ND
cross section not constrained by NDfar detector
conservatively, same as T2K
estimated from atm. υ control sampledecrease by > factor ten except E-scale and FSI
Uncertainties for the χ2 definition
appearance disappearance
target nucleus uncertainties → negligible
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2011 LoI
Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
17Hyper-Kamiokande
90% confidence regions
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
18Hyper-Kamiokande
significance to exclude δCP = 0
2011 LoI
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
19Hyper-Kamiokande
Atmospheric mixing parameters with accelerator neutrinos
90% confidence regions
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
20Hyper-Kamiokande
Atmospheric neutrinos
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
21Hyper-Kamiokande
Joint atmospheric + accelerator analysis
degeneracy with mass hierarchy
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TITUS: The Tokai Intermediate Tank with Unoscillated Spectrum
Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
22Hyper-Kamiokande
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TITUS: The Tokai Intermediate Tank with Unoscillated Spectrum
Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
23Hyper-Kamiokande
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
24Hyper-Kamiokande
υ n → ℓ p
υ p → ℓ n
detect with GdεQ ≈ 88%
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
25Hyper-Kamiokande
mean εQ = 81%in the oscillation region Eυ<2GeV
Considering a magnetized muon range detector
Currently, 18% of μ escape the TITUS Cherenkov tank
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
26Hyper-Kamiokande
Morgan Wascko
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
27Hyper-Kamiokande
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
28Hyper-Kamiokande
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nuPRISM
Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
29Hyper-Kamiokande
Instead of calculating neutrino energy using the interaction models, use the flux model
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
30Hyper-Kamiokande
nuPRISM
Mike Wilking
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
31Hyper-Kamiokande
First steps with an imaginative analysis method
Mark Scott
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Hyper-Kamiokande Summary2018 start excavation, 2020 begin photo-sensor production, 2025 start taking data
Accelerator neutrinosExposure of 7.5 MW × 107 seconds (1.56×1022 POT with a 30 GeV proton beam)
• CP violation to more than 3σ (5σ) for 76% (58%) of δCP space
• δCP to better than 19°
Accelerator neutrinos>3σ on the mass hierarchy and the octant
Nucleon decay90% CL of 1035 years for p → e+π0 and 1034 years for p → υ K+
Astrophysical neutrinos200 8B υ / day, 200,000 υ / SN burst, xsec limit for solar WIMP annihilation
Near detector upgrade possibilitiesTITUS – identical near detector, optimized for charge ID
HP-TPC – good for studying multi-nucleon effects
nuPRISM – attempt to bypass nuclear model systematics
Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
32Hyper-Kamiokande
Plenty of exciting physics!
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
33Hyper-Kamiokande
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
34Hyper-Kamiokande
Backup slides
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35Hyper-Kamiokande
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
36Hyper-Kamiokande
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
37Hyper-Kamiokande
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Sinergia strategy meeting Bern, 10th July 2014
38Hyper-Kamiokande
Experiments proposed in the 2020s
HK can measure the MH using atmospheric neutrinos
But we can assume that another experiment will already have measured it