Since 1987 JEGI Sector Insights: Transforming the Marketplace49% . 80% . 87% . 51% 20% 13% . 2010....

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January 15, 2015 www.jegi.com Since 1987 2015 JEGI Media & Technology Conference Time Warner Center New York, NY JEGI Sector Insights: Transforming the Marketplace

Transcript of Since 1987 JEGI Sector Insights: Transforming the Marketplace49% . 80% . 87% . 51% 20% 13% . 2010....

Page 1: Since 1987 JEGI Sector Insights: Transforming the Marketplace49% . 80% . 87% . 51% 20% 13% . 2010. 2013. 2014F. Apps. Mobile Web. Global Internet Device Sales (mm) 2000. 2004. 2008.

January 15, 2015 www.jegi.com

Since 1987

2015 JEGI Media & Technology

Conference

Time Warner Center New York, NY

JEGI Sector Insights: Transforming the Marketplace

Page 2: Since 1987 JEGI Sector Insights: Transforming the Marketplace49% . 80% . 87% . 51% 20% 13% . 2010. 2013. 2014F. Apps. Mobile Web. Global Internet Device Sales (mm) 2000. 2004. 2008.

JEGI HQ

Bronx

Tolman Geffs

Everything Has Changed

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Web Giving Way to Mobile Apps

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Time and attention shifting to mobile devices

Web Giving Way to Mobile Apps

49% 80% 87%

51% 20% 13%

2010 2013 2014F

Apps Mobile Web

Global Internet Device Sales (mm)

2000 2004 2008 2012 2016F

PCs Smartphones Tablets

Time Spent on Smartphones/Tablets

Apps ascendant for most key tasks

Source: IDC, Flurry and eMarketer

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Web Giving Way to Mobile Apps

49% 80% 87%

51% 20% 13%

2010 2013 2014F

Apps Mobile Web

Global Internet Device Sales (mm)

2000 2004 2008 2012 2016F

PCs Smartphones Tablets

Time Spent on Smartphones/Tablets

Apps are walled castles

No links Do not share data Secure (and spam-free)

Source: IDC, Flurry and eMarketer

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Web Cat Memes

Monty Python Fan Clubs

Web Giving Way to Mobile Apps

Apps Commerce

Everything else that matters

Is the open web – where data is shared – going the way of ham radio?

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1.3 1.2

0.3 0.2 0.1

Google Play Apple App StoreWindows Phone StoreAmazon AppstoreBlackberry World

Google and Apple own mobile app distribution

Mobile World Dominated By Gatekeepers

Number of Apps Available in Leading App Stores (mm’s)

Source: eMarketer

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And Google and Facebook – in turn – own mobile ads

Mobile World Dominated By Gatekeepers

2014 US Mobile Ad Revenue Share

37.2%

17.6% 3.6% 3.2% 3.0% 2.7% 2.6% 55%!

Google and Apple own mobile app distribution

We Love A Duopoly!

Source: eMarketer

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Marketers and publishers can now measure content + ads by individual person across screens

And then link to identity and purchases

Holy Grail: Reaching People Across Screens

Driving wave of M&A and investment

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Marketers and publishers can now measure content + ads by individual person across screens

And then link to identity and purchases

Holy Grail: Reaching People Across Screens

Driving wave of M&A and speculation

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Marketers and publishers can now measure content + ads by individual person across screens

And then link to identity and purchases Aided by cross-device user registration, which

Facebook and Google have at massive scale

Holy Grail: Reaching People Across Screens

Another Duopoly!

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Everyone now works for Google, Apple and Facebook… …your revenue is taxed, your flexibility limited, and they

know a lot about your business… …which they use to improve theirs (at your expense)

Glass Half Empty?

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Marketers can do much more vs. five years ago Much richer investment opportunity set Especially by bringing cross-screen attribution to TV!

…Or Very Full?

Publishers – Media easier to consume Ad space more valuable

Marketers – Reach target audience, spend more efficient

Marketing Services – Add value with richer analytics (everything looks like search)

Technology Providers – Automate vast chunks of marketing – especially TV

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Marketers can do much more vs. five years ago Much richer investment opportunity set Especially by bringing cross-screen attribution to TV!

…Or Very Full?

Publishers – Media easier to consume Ad space more valuable

Marketers – Reach target audience, spend more efficient

Marketing Services – Add value with richer analytics (everything looks like search)

Technology Providers – Automate vast chunks of marketing – especially TV

And the $500 billion question: If media finally becomes more efficient, then…

…do marketers spend more because advertising is cheaper with better / measurable ROI …or less because they can reach their audience more efficiently …or about the same?

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Bronx

Queens

Amir Akhavan

Machine Intelligence

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Enterprise Software Over Time

Enterprise Software

Inventory Mgt & Control

Material Requirements

Planning

Enterprise Resource

Planning & CRM

Enterprise App Suite & Cloud

Solutions

Enterprise Apps + Big Data + Machine Intelligence

Big Data Database

Management

Data Mining & Science

Predictive Analytics

Algorithmic Intelligence

Industry Leaders:

1960’s 2015 and Beyond!

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Evolution of Machine Intelligence

NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING

Machine Intelligence

KEYWORD-BASED SENTIMENT

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Machine Intelligence Landscape

Source: Shivon Zilis, BloombergBETA

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So What’s Happening?

Marketing: Smarter CRM

Media: Personalization

HR: Talent Analytics

Legal: Research

Health Care: Watson Analytics

Retail: Conversion

Financial Services: High Frequency Trading

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Recent Transactions

Software

Media & Marketing

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Queens

Brooklyn

Sam Barthelme

Industry Cloud

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JEGI Industry Cloud Transactions

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Move to Industry Cloud

Mainframe

Client Server Applications

Cloud

Industry Cloud

Customizing Horizontal Apps is Difficult and Costly Rise of Meaningful Big Data Applications Industry Cloud: Domain Expertise; Efficient Sales and

Marketing

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49%

Spend

24%

Spend

Industry Focus = Efficient Sales & Mktg Spend

The issue is TAM: Holds back growth and trading multiples

Horizontal SaaS Vertical SaaS

45% Revenue Growth 9.3x Forward Revenue Multiple 5.6x Forward Revenue Multiple

18% Revenue Growth

Sales & Marketing Spend (% Revenue)

Source: CapIQ

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Industry Cloud Model – Veeva Case Study

Regulatory Clinical Trials Quality and Manufacturing Medical Marketing Sales

Research and Development Commercial

Veeva CRM (force.com)

Veeva Vault

Veeva Network

Source: Veeva Systems Investor Presentation

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Big Industries, Big Industry Cloud Opportunities

$280

$620 $776 $781

$1,300 $1,330

Events Grocery Agriculture Auto Logistics Education

U.S. Industry Size ($ bn) Source: BEA, FMI, PwC

7 2 27 9 8 Representative Challengers:

Leaders:

4 Acquisitions by Leaders over last 24 months:

Page 27: Since 1987 JEGI Sector Insights: Transforming the Marketplace49% . 80% . 87% . 51% 20% 13% . 2010. 2013. 2014F. Apps. Mobile Web. Global Internet Device Sales (mm) 2000. 2004. 2008.

Brooklyn

Manhattan

Live Events

Scott Peters

Corporate Events

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Why are Tradeshows Highly Valued?

Digital can’t replace face to face engagement

High EBITDA margins

Excellent cash flow characteristics

Strong growth and more resilient in down markets

2014 8-13x

2009 5-7x

EBITDA Multiples

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acquires acquires acquires acquires

Recent Trade Show Transactions

acquires acquires acquires

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61% 39%

Corp Events & MtgsTradeshows & Conferences

U.S. Meeting & Events Participants

$150 $130

Event ExecutionTravel & Hospitality

U.S. Meeting & Events Spend ($bn)

Market Spend

Corporate event industry is large and highly fragmented Much of the spend has been below the line and managed in-house A shift to external providers is underway

U.S. Meetings & Events Market = $280bn

Source: PWC

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61% 39%

Corp Events & MtgsTradeshows & Conferences

U.S. Meeting & Events Participants

Market Spend

U.S. Meetings & Events Market = $280bn

Source: PWC

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Data and Analytics for channel

attribution and ROI

Corporate Events

Mobile Apps

Mobile Advertising

Search Marketing

Email

Online

Content Marketing

Public Relations

Direct Mail

Out of Home

Radio

Corporate Events Optimized

Print

TV

Advertising Budget Other

Tech Enabled

Page 33: Since 1987 JEGI Sector Insights: Transforming the Marketplace49% . 80% . 87% . 51% 20% 13% . 2010. 2013. 2014F. Apps. Mobile Web. Global Internet Device Sales (mm) 2000. 2004. 2008.

33 Corporate Events

Mobile Apps

Mobile Advertising

Search Marketing

Email

Online

Content Marketing

Direct Mail

Out of Home

Radio

Corporate Events Optimized

Print

TV

Advertising Budget

CMO

CRM

ROI understood and optimized

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Representative Service Providers Creative and

Strategy

Event Apps

Event Logistics & Audio/Visual

Marketing and Promotions

Full Service Agency

Registration

Enterprise Event Mgmt

Travel and Housing

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Corporate Events market is a growing and dynamic sector

Market highly fragmented, no clear leader

New technologies enhancing ROI measurement

Scale enhances growth and profitability margins

What’s the Opportunity?

Intelligent consolidation led by PE firms and ultimately sold to strategic buyers

What’s Next?

Page 36: Since 1987 JEGI Sector Insights: Transforming the Marketplace49% . 80% . 87% . 51% 20% 13% . 2010. 2013. 2014F. Apps. Mobile Web. Global Internet Device Sales (mm) 2000. 2004. 2008.

Manhattan

Time Warner Center

Jeff Becker

Convergence of Capital

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Later Stage Tech Options are Changing

Long-term investors Competing agendas

Lack of growth capital Shrinking strategic buyer set

USS Growth Equity Recap

Later Stage Tech Co

Constraints

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Investor Landscape Morphs

Fund Size

Mat

urity

of T

arge

t Com

pany

Traditional Venture Capital

Traditional Private Equity

Growth Equity Recap

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What Created This?

Broader Understanding of Tech Sectors

Adoption of SaaS/Recurring

Revenue Models

Focus on Generating Cash

Flow Earlier

Lenders Willingness to Adapt

Acquisition / Consolidation Acceptance

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Impact on Later Stage Tech Companies

CHOICES

LIQUIDITY

MARKET

GROWTH

Strategic Buyers + Growth Equity Recap Investors

For Founders and Long-time Investors

Very Active New Market Creates Leverage

Growth Will Help Drive Valuation

HAPPY COMPANIES AND INVESTORS

Page 41: Since 1987 JEGI Sector Insights: Transforming the Marketplace49% . 80% . 87% . 51% 20% 13% . 2010. 2013. 2014F. Apps. Mobile Web. Global Internet Device Sales (mm) 2000. 2004. 2008.

January 15, 2015 www.jegi.com

Since 1987

2015 JEGI Media & Technology

Conference

Time Warner Center New York, NY

JEGI Sector Insights: Transforming the Marketplace