Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state...

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• Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region • Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through Dec- 2005, using NARR met data • Oct-2004 through Dec-2004 used as model “spin-up” • Results for Jan-2005 through Dec-2005 are presented, i.e., the entire year 2005 • Unit emissions runs were carried out; then results multiplied by actual emissions • Individual runs done for each plant; results added together in post-processing • RGM emissions estimates from EPA’s 2005 National Emissions Inventory • Emissions from plants have not been constant; this is a “snapshot” for one year • Results were tabulated on a 0.5 o x 0.5 o grid (~50km) • Pattern of deposition makes “sense” relative to plants modeled • With just the 30 power plants, the maximum deposition grid cell is ~15 ug/m 2 -yr • Adding in the other RGM sources, the maximum deposition grid cell is ~37 ug/m 2 -yr • More than 100 cells have grid-cell fluxes of between 1-16 ug/m 2 -year • All values are average deposition flux over a given grid cell, i.e., a 50km x 50km area • Localized deposition can be significantly higher Methodology Results and Discussion

Transcript of Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state...

Page 1: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.

• Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region

• Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through Dec-2005, using NARR met data• Oct-2004 through Dec-2004 used as model “spin-up”• Results for Jan-2005 through Dec-2005 are presented, i.e., the entire year 2005• Unit emissions runs were carried out; then results multiplied by actual emissions• Individual runs done for each plant; results added together in post-processing• RGM emissions estimates from EPA’s 2005 National Emissions Inventory• Emissions from plants have not been constant; this is a “snapshot” for one year• Results were tabulated on a 0.5o x 0.5o grid (~50km)

• Pattern of deposition makes “sense” relative to plants modeled• With just the 30 power plants, the maximum deposition grid cell is ~15 ug/m2-yr• Adding in the other RGM sources, the maximum deposition grid cell is ~37 ug/m2-yr• More than 100 cells have grid-cell fluxes of between 1-16 ug/m2-year• All values are average deposition flux over a given grid cell, i.e., a 50km x 50km area• Localized deposition can be significantly higher• We have include the power plants + 16 other large RGM sources, but there are other

mercury sources in the region• Sources outside the region will also contribute to deposition• So, this is only a “partial” picture of the mercury deposition pattern

Methodology

Results and Discussion

Page 2: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.

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Page 3: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.

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We explicitly modeled sources representing about 90% of the RGM emissions in the four-state area, according to the 2005 NEI

Page 4: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.

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• Location of modeled power plant

Here’s what we had before, when we just included the power plants

Page 5: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.

Here’s what we get when we add in other large RGM sources in the region

• Location of modeled power plant• Location of other large RGM source

Page 6: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.

• Location of other large RGM source

Page 7: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.

• Location of modeled power plant

Page 8: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.
Page 9: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.
Page 10: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.

Just in case its helpful, here’s something I did a few weeks earlier…

These are illustrative overall and time-series results just for one plant (Big Cajun)

First map is for the overall simulation, over 15 months

The second set of slides shows the time-series of deposition, on a finer-grid close-in to the source, that demonstrates how things evolve… for a unit emissions of RGM from the plant, for 3-hr time steps… This “movie” might be interesting to show?

Page 11: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.
Page 12: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.

Movie showing illustrative simulation of deposition arising from 1 g/hr emissions of RGM from Big Cajun II power plant

• each frame represents 3 hours; four weeks shown• actual plant emits ~9 g/hr RGM (according to 2005 National Emissions Inventory)

Page 13: Simulations of RGM air emissions from 30 power plants + 16 other large RGM sources in the 4-state region Simulations with HYSPLIT-Hg for Oct-2004 through.