Simple ways of dealing with complexity?
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Simple ways of dealing Simple ways of dealing with complexity?with complexity?
"Things should be as simple as "Things should be as simple as possible, but no simpler" A.E.possible, but no simpler" A.E.
ODI Seminar 9th July 2008ODI Seminar 9th July 2008 22
1. ...interconnected and interdependent elements ..
2. Feedback processes
3. Emergence
4. ...relationships between dimensions are frequently nonlinear
5. Sensitivity to initial conditions
6. Phase space
7. Chaos and edge of chaos
8. Adaptive agents
9. Self-organisation
10. Co-evolution
ODI Seminar 9th July 2008ODI Seminar 9th July 2008 33
1. A wider view of strategy1. A wider view of strategy
Intended Actual
IndividualMost strategy
documentsRealised and
emergent
CollectiveParis
Decalaration efforts
Realised and emergent
If “M&E is the back end of strategy”, then pay attention to strategy
ODI Seminar 9th July 2008ODI Seminar 9th July 2008 55
NGOs & Issue coalitionsNGOs & Issue coalitions
Key: Blue squares = coalitions; Red circles = NGO respondents; Purple triangles = NGO respondents who are also listed as coalitions; Grey lines = NGO membership in a coalition.
ODI Seminar 9th July 2008ODI Seminar 9th July 2008 77
2. A wider view of partnership2. A wider view of partnership
1.1. Analysis of Analysis of individual individual relationships relationships • Most commonMost common
2.2. Analysis of Analysis of portfoliosportfolios of relationships of relationships• Not so commonNot so common
3.3. Analysis of Analysis of networks networks of relationshipsof relationships• Less commonLess common
ODI Seminar 9th July 2008ODI Seminar 9th July 2008 1010
But these can get complex…But these can get complex…
ODI Seminar 9th July 2008ODI Seminar 9th July 2008 1111
Pathways within networksPathways within networksA useful simplification?A useful simplification?
ODI Seminar 9th July 2008ODI Seminar 9th July 2008 1212
The Social FrameworkThe Social Frameworka Logical Framework re-designed as if people and their relationships mattered
Documenting the agreed objectives of actors along a pathway
ODI Seminar 9th July 2008ODI Seminar 9th July 2008 1313
The test of a new metaphorThe test of a new metaphor
• Does it lead us to doing things differently?
• Can we specify self-organisation Can we specify self-organisation rules/requirements that will lead to rules/requirements that will lead to good/better systemic outcomes?good/better systemic outcomes?• For example, how adjacent parties in a pathway For example, how adjacent parties in a pathway
should agree on what they should be doingshould agree on what they should be doing