SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

61
WELCOME SIMI Q2 Motor Industry Review In association with DoneDeal 4th August 2015

Transcript of SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Page 1: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

WELCOME

SIMIQ2 Motor Industry ReviewIn association with DoneDeal

4th August 2015

Page 2: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Q2 2015Review

Explained

Damien English, T.D., Minister of State at the Departments of Education and Skills & the Department of Jobs, Enterprise and Innovation with Special Responsibility for Skills, Research and Innovation

Page 3: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Q2 2015Review

Explained

Mark Boggan President of SIMI

Page 4: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Motor Industry Registrations YTD 2015

• New Car Sales up 30%(109,960)

• LCVs up 54%,(18,426)

• HGVs up 9% (1,556)

• Car Hire up 22% (17,633)

Page 5: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

152 Registrations for July 2015

• New Car Sales =48%2014 (18,711)V 2015 (27,633)

• LCV Sales= 49%2014 (2,535) V 2015 (3,768)

• HGV = 41%2014 (207) v 2015 (291)

Page 6: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Q2 2015Review

Explained

Cathal Cremen Commercial Manager of DoneDeal’s Motor Section

Page 7: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Motor Industry Review - Q2 2015

Page 8: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Ireland Online

Irish people are buying and selling online in their hundreds of thousands, every day, every hour, from every corner of the country.DoneDeal Secondhand Ireland Report

Page 9: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

DoneDeal.ie/motors - Traffic

63M63M 89M89M

Visits - H1 2014 Visits - H1 2015

Page Views - H1 2014Page Views - H1 2015

Page 10: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Mobile

H1 2015 - 195,000 + App (IOS & Android) downloads

43% of all visits to the Motor section are via the Apps.

33% of all Private ads placed via mobile

Page 11: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

DoneDeal.ie/motors - Ads Published

H1 2014

H1 2015

Accounts - 1.89MDealers - 1,059

Page 12: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

DoneDeal.ie/Motors - Value of Goods Advertised

H1 2014 - €1.995 Billion

H1 2015 - €2.38 Billion

Page 13: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Cars Advertised on DoneDeal & Sold

Page 14: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Ireland’s Largest Motor Website

ComScore, a global media measurement and analytics company’, shows that over a 3 month average in April 2015 DoneDeal reached 25.1% of the total internet audience in Ireland and DoneDealCars had a reach of 12.1%, representing the largest reach for any classified car site in Ireland.

Page 15: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

DoneDeal.ie/motors

Thank You!

Page 16: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Q2 2015Review

Explained

Jim PowerReview Author & Economist

Page 17: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 18: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

The Irish Economy so far in 2015• Recovery gathering momentum• Q1 GDP + 6.5 (YoY)• H1 Retail Sales Volume +8.9% Value +5.5%• H1 Retail sales ex-cars Volume +5.8% Value +2.3%• Merchandise Exports +18.2% (Jan-May)• Live Register -18,800 (H1) Unemployment Rate 9.7%• Consumer confidence at 9-year high• Tax Revenues +11.7%• House price inflation easing: construction activity

improving• GDP growth +5% possible: 4% in 2016

Page 19: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Economic Activity Q1 2015

% QoQ (S/A) % YoY

GDP +1.4% +6.5%

GNP -0.8% +7.3%

Consumption +1.2% +3.8%

Gov. Expenditure -0.4% +5.9%

Investment -3.1% +4.0%

Exports Goods & Services

+2.3% +14.3%

Imports Goods & Services

+0.6% +14.7%

Page 20: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Consumer Confidence

Page 21: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Unemployment Rate

Page 22: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Employment (S/A)

Page 23: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Brent Crude Oil Price

Page 24: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

STERLING V EURO

Page 25: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Economic Forecasts

2013 2014 2015f 2016f

GDP 0.2% 4.8% 5.0% 4.0%

GNP 3.2% 5.2% 4.2% 3.5%

Consumption -0.8% 1.1% 2.7% 2.8%

Investment -2.4% 11.3% 16.0% 10.5%

Exports 1.1% 12.6% 11.0% 7.5%

Unemployment 13.1% 11.3% 9.7% 8.5%

Page 26: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Key Economic Risks/Challenges• Greece still very vulnerable• Chinese economy fragile• UK & the EU• Political situation potentially problematical• Irish Water key area of vulnerability for Govt.• Populist politics/instability big risks• Wage pressures• Economy is moving in right direction, but careful

management needed

Page 27: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

The Motor Industry H1 2015• New private cars registered +25.4%• New Light Commercial Vehicles +55.7%• New Heavy Goods Vehicles -2.1%• Every county reported good growth in car registrations• Imported private cars -10.8%; sterling strength influential• Costs of motoring : Year to June: Petrol -6.1%, Diesel -

8.9%, Insurance +15.7%, New Car price -2.9%• Petrol -14.5% from peak: Diesel -17% from peak• Making stronger contribution to Exchequer receipts from

new cars €685 m +26.4%• Employment Q1 2015 44,700; +5,600 past year

Page 28: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Monthly Registrations

Page 29: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Cars Licensed

Page 30: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

EXCHEQUER REVENUES FROM MOTOR INDUSTRY H1 2015

NEW CAR REGISTRATIONS

(€mln) % GROWTH

VRT 363 +25.4%

VAT 322 +27.6%

Total 685 +26.4%

USED CAR REGISTRATIONS

(€ mln) % GROWTH

VRT 67 -12.7%

VAT 9 -12.5%

Total 76 -12.7%

GRAND TOTAL 761 +21.0%

Page 31: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Employment in Motor Industry

Page 32: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Key Drivers of New Car Market• Personal disposable incomes• Personal Consumption• Interest Rates• Unemployment• Population >15 Years• Credit availability• Car Sales in Previous Years• Tourism• One-off events e.g.: Car Scrappage Scheme, Y2000 etc

Page 33: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Auto Market in 2015 & 2016• 123,000 in 2015; +27%• Consumer confidence strong• Credit availability good• Interest rates to remain very low• Labour market improving• Personal Disposable Incomes rising• Stronger consumer spending• Overseas visitors +12.1% (Jan-May)• Limited fiscal easing in Budget 2015, more in Budget

2016 €1.5 billion?• 145,000 in 2016? +18% # +€183 m VAT/VRT; +2,860 jobs

Page 34: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

New Car Registrations

Page 35: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Volume of DoneDeal Motor Ads

Page 36: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

DoneDeal Ads Petrol v Diesel

Page 37: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

ANY QUESTIONS?

Page 38: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Society of the Irish Motor Industry

MemberSurvey

June 2015

Page 39: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 40: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 41: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 42: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 43: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 44: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 45: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 46: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 47: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 48: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 49: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 50: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 51: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 52: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 53: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 54: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 55: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 56: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 57: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 58: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 59: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 60: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
Page 61: SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015

Thank You

• Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review available now at www.simi.ie/quarterlyreport

• July Registration available now at www.beepbeep.ie/stats