SIMI/DoneDeal Q2 Motor Industry Review Presentation July 2016
SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
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Transcript of SIMI DoneDeal Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review Presentation 2015
WELCOME
SIMIQ2 Motor Industry ReviewIn association with DoneDeal
4th August 2015
Q2 2015Review
Explained
Damien English, T.D., Minister of State at the Departments of Education and Skills & the Department of Jobs, Enterprise and Innovation with Special Responsibility for Skills, Research and Innovation
Q2 2015Review
Explained
Mark Boggan President of SIMI
Motor Industry Registrations YTD 2015
• New Car Sales up 30%(109,960)
• LCVs up 54%,(18,426)
• HGVs up 9% (1,556)
• Car Hire up 22% (17,633)
152 Registrations for July 2015
• New Car Sales =48%2014 (18,711)V 2015 (27,633)
• LCV Sales= 49%2014 (2,535) V 2015 (3,768)
• HGV = 41%2014 (207) v 2015 (291)
Q2 2015Review
Explained
Cathal Cremen Commercial Manager of DoneDeal’s Motor Section
Motor Industry Review - Q2 2015
Ireland Online
Irish people are buying and selling online in their hundreds of thousands, every day, every hour, from every corner of the country.DoneDeal Secondhand Ireland Report
DoneDeal.ie/motors - Traffic
63M63M 89M89M
Visits - H1 2014 Visits - H1 2015
Page Views - H1 2014Page Views - H1 2015
Mobile
H1 2015 - 195,000 + App (IOS & Android) downloads
43% of all visits to the Motor section are via the Apps.
33% of all Private ads placed via mobile
DoneDeal.ie/motors - Ads Published
H1 2014
H1 2015
Accounts - 1.89MDealers - 1,059
DoneDeal.ie/Motors - Value of Goods Advertised
H1 2014 - €1.995 Billion
H1 2015 - €2.38 Billion
Cars Advertised on DoneDeal & Sold
Ireland’s Largest Motor Website
ComScore, a global media measurement and analytics company’, shows that over a 3 month average in April 2015 DoneDeal reached 25.1% of the total internet audience in Ireland and DoneDealCars had a reach of 12.1%, representing the largest reach for any classified car site in Ireland.
DoneDeal.ie/motors
Thank You!
Q2 2015Review
Explained
Jim PowerReview Author & Economist
The Irish Economy so far in 2015• Recovery gathering momentum• Q1 GDP + 6.5 (YoY)• H1 Retail Sales Volume +8.9% Value +5.5%• H1 Retail sales ex-cars Volume +5.8% Value +2.3%• Merchandise Exports +18.2% (Jan-May)• Live Register -18,800 (H1) Unemployment Rate 9.7%• Consumer confidence at 9-year high• Tax Revenues +11.7%• House price inflation easing: construction activity
improving• GDP growth +5% possible: 4% in 2016
Economic Activity Q1 2015
% QoQ (S/A) % YoY
GDP +1.4% +6.5%
GNP -0.8% +7.3%
Consumption +1.2% +3.8%
Gov. Expenditure -0.4% +5.9%
Investment -3.1% +4.0%
Exports Goods & Services
+2.3% +14.3%
Imports Goods & Services
+0.6% +14.7%
Consumer Confidence
Unemployment Rate
Employment (S/A)
Brent Crude Oil Price
STERLING V EURO
Economic Forecasts
2013 2014 2015f 2016f
GDP 0.2% 4.8% 5.0% 4.0%
GNP 3.2% 5.2% 4.2% 3.5%
Consumption -0.8% 1.1% 2.7% 2.8%
Investment -2.4% 11.3% 16.0% 10.5%
Exports 1.1% 12.6% 11.0% 7.5%
Unemployment 13.1% 11.3% 9.7% 8.5%
Key Economic Risks/Challenges• Greece still very vulnerable• Chinese economy fragile• UK & the EU• Political situation potentially problematical• Irish Water key area of vulnerability for Govt.• Populist politics/instability big risks• Wage pressures• Economy is moving in right direction, but careful
management needed
The Motor Industry H1 2015• New private cars registered +25.4%• New Light Commercial Vehicles +55.7%• New Heavy Goods Vehicles -2.1%• Every county reported good growth in car registrations• Imported private cars -10.8%; sterling strength influential• Costs of motoring : Year to June: Petrol -6.1%, Diesel -
8.9%, Insurance +15.7%, New Car price -2.9%• Petrol -14.5% from peak: Diesel -17% from peak• Making stronger contribution to Exchequer receipts from
new cars €685 m +26.4%• Employment Q1 2015 44,700; +5,600 past year
Monthly Registrations
Cars Licensed
EXCHEQUER REVENUES FROM MOTOR INDUSTRY H1 2015
NEW CAR REGISTRATIONS
(€mln) % GROWTH
VRT 363 +25.4%
VAT 322 +27.6%
Total 685 +26.4%
USED CAR REGISTRATIONS
(€ mln) % GROWTH
VRT 67 -12.7%
VAT 9 -12.5%
Total 76 -12.7%
GRAND TOTAL 761 +21.0%
Employment in Motor Industry
Key Drivers of New Car Market• Personal disposable incomes• Personal Consumption• Interest Rates• Unemployment• Population >15 Years• Credit availability• Car Sales in Previous Years• Tourism• One-off events e.g.: Car Scrappage Scheme, Y2000 etc
Auto Market in 2015 & 2016• 123,000 in 2015; +27%• Consumer confidence strong• Credit availability good• Interest rates to remain very low• Labour market improving• Personal Disposable Incomes rising• Stronger consumer spending• Overseas visitors +12.1% (Jan-May)• Limited fiscal easing in Budget 2015, more in Budget
2016 €1.5 billion?• 145,000 in 2016? +18% # +€183 m VAT/VRT; +2,860 jobs
New Car Registrations
Volume of DoneDeal Motor Ads
DoneDeal Ads Petrol v Diesel
ANY QUESTIONS?
Society of the Irish Motor Industry
MemberSurvey
June 2015
Thank You
• Quarter 2 Motor Industry Review available now at www.simi.ie/quarterlyreport
• July Registration available now at www.beepbeep.ie/stats