Signature Global Advisors - BRIDGEFORCE Financial · Signature overview Facts • Global investment...
Transcript of Signature Global Advisors - BRIDGEFORCE Financial · Signature overview Facts • Global investment...
Signature Global Advisors
Global Investing from a
Canadian Perspective
Signature overview
Facts• Global investment team based in Canada• 33 person investment team – one of the largest in Canada• Core investment style, with diversified portfolios of large cap securities • Specialize in broad flexible mandates • $35 billion in AUM– ample scale to compete for talent, research and trading
1 As at June 30, 2010
*Cash & cash equivalents: commercial paper, floating rates, bonds
(in money market) and government (in money market)
Deep, specialized investment team
Shawna McIntee (7) Aldo Sunseri (26) Connie Lee (10)
Ryan Fitzgerald, CFA (7)
Stephane Champagne (16)
TRADING PROFESSIONALS
ERIC BUSHELL, CFA (18)
Sara Shahram, CFA (9)
Income Trusts/REITS
Health Care
Goshen Benzaquen (10)
Energy & MaterialsScott Vali, CFA (15)
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER
Drummond Brodeur, CFA (22) Matthew Strauss, CFA (17)
GLOBAL INVESTMENT STRATEGISTS
Eric Bushell, CFA (18)
Rui Cardoso, CFA (14)
Joshua Varghese (1)
Aero, Auto, Defence, UtilitiesMassimo Bonansinga, M.B.A. (21)
Gorlen Zhou (2)
Consumer
Henry Kwok (11)
Hoa Hong, CFA (10)
Tech, Media, TelecomMalcolm White, CFA (16)Jeremy Yeung, CFA (10)
John Hadwen, CFA (18)
Financials
Industrials, TransportJoe D'Angelo, CFA (14)Yvonne Lau, CFA (9)
High YieldGeof Marshall, CFA (15)Kevin McSweeney, CFA (11)Brad Benson, M.A. (13)Carlton Ling, CFA (8)
Investment GradeJohn Shaw, CFA (21)Paul Simon, CFA (10)Leanne Ongaro, CFA (4)Jonathan Chew (1)
GLOBAL SECTOR/ ASSET CLASS SPECIALISTS
Derek Tucker, CFA (11)Shelly Ghai, M.B.A. (7)
Rates and Foreign Exchange
Matthew Strauss, CFA (17)
Eric Bushell, CFA (18)
Darren Arrowsmith, CFA (12)
Paul Simon, CFA (10)
PreferredsJohn Shaw, CFA (21)
Global Road Map
Will the private sector bite?
Deleveraging and the economy
Government
sector
balance
sheet
Household
sector
balance
sheet
Corporate
sector
balance
sheet
Deleveraging delayed
Deleveraging ending
Deleveraging completed
Bottom line: Private sector deleveraging began in 2008 and has been the
key reason why the U.S. recovery has been so weak over the past couple of years.
We are now approaching the end of the deleveraging cycle.
Banking
sector
balance
sheet
Deleveraging ending
Developed markets: Running out of policy bullets
- 1 .5
- 1 .0
- 0 .5
0 .0
0 .5
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1 .5
J a n -0 8 J a n -0 9 J a n -1 0 J a n -1 1 J a n -1 2
6 0 0
7 0 0
8 0 0
9 0 0
1 0 0 0
1 1 0 0
1 2 0 0
1 3 0 0
1 4 0 0
1 5 0 0
1 6 0 0
U S E c o n o m ic S u r p r is e In d e x ( A c tu a l v s E xp e c te d D a ta )
S & P 5 0 0
USFiscal
C.Bank QE1 TwistQE2 QE3
400 pt drop
in Fed funds
OMTLTROEurope
Fiscal
C.Bank
A non-deflationary deleveraging recipe
Add ingredients in equal measure
• Debt paydown
• Default
• Positive growth
• Inflation
Apply low interest rates to support asset prices. Ensure
banks and credit markets function. Stir for 7-10 years.
Financial repression
Financial repression
Bernanke
Do not ignore valuations
Source: TD Securities
Income trust redux
Financial repression:negative real rates
High payoutfinancial structures
Cost of capitaladvantage forhigh payout
model
Accretive acquisitions& earnings growth
Dilemma: convert or beleft behind
Capital flows
• Massive inflows?
• Sell-side justification of valuations?
• New products?
• Hard for fundamentals to get any better?
• Spread compression between ratings?
• Increased leverage and credit risk?
The progression of the yield trade – technical indicators
Income opportunities – caution
Income opportunities – caution
The progression on the yield trade – structural changes
Signature flexibility
• Continue to invest in good, risk-adjusted securities
• Continue to invest in securities and asset classes set to benefit from deleveraging
• Will not simply invest in higher-yielding, higher-risk securities that have not yet run up in price
• Seek maximum diversification and remain cautious of common themes that can creep into portfolios
• Take full advantage of fund flexibility to manage downside risk
Signature positioning
Cash & gold
• Cautionary holdings; overweight
Government bonds
• Negative real returns; underweight
Investment-grade bonds
• Specific opportunities; market weight
High-yield bonds
• Still finding value; overweight
Equities
• Strong, less economically sensitive, quality;slight underweight
Conclusion
• Policy actions will continue to dominate markets
• Real interest rates will be low or negative for some time
• Financial repression changes the rules for investors
• Canadian investors need to be positioned to take advantage of global trends
• Global yield story has legs
• Signature has the personnel, process, and solutions to gives investors a real advantage in uncertain market
Thank youAll charts and illustrations in this guide are for illustrative purposes only. They are not intended to predict or project investment results.
®CI Investments, the CI Investments design and Signature Global Advisors are registered trademarks of CI Investments Inc. Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. Unless otherwise indicated and except for returns for periods less than one year, the indicated rates of return are the historical annual compounded total returns including changes in security value. All performance data assume reinvestment of all distributions or dividends and do not take into account sales, redemption, distribution or optional charges or income taxes payable by any securityholder that would have reduced returns. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated.