Shining a Light on U.S.-China Clean Energy Cooperation

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    1 Center or American Progress | Shining a Light on U.S.-China Clean Energy Cooperation

    Shining a Light on U.S.-China

    Clean Energy CooperationNew Approaches Needed to Ensure Chinas Global

    Technology Ambitions Do Not Erode U.S. Clean

    Energy Competitiveness

    Melanie Hart February 2012

    Introduction

    Te U.S. Deparmen o Commerce nex monh is expeced o issue a criical ruling on

    one o he bigges rade cases o hi he U.S.-China energy relaionship in recen years.

    Seven U.S. solar companies claim ha he Chinese governmen unairly subsidizes

    Chinese solar panel manuacurers o enable hose companies o sell heir producs a

    below-marke prices and drive U.S. compeiors ou o he marke. Te seven companies

    suppor subsidy and dumping peiions led by SolarWorld Indusries America Inc.

    agains Chinese solar impors in Ocober ha ask he Commerce Deparmen o levy

    riple-digi aris on solar cells and modules impored rom China.

    Tis case highlighs a major challenge acing U.S.-China clean energy relaionships more

    broadly: how o handle he Chinese governmens deploymen o massive resources

    oward developing renewable energy echnologies, many o which are designed or

    expor. Indeed, his is an issue ha bedevils U.S.-China rade relaions no jus in clean

    energy, bu also in oher indusrial and services secors, which means ha how his com-

    plain by U.S. solar manuacurers plays ou may well have much broader implicaions.

    One o he bigges challenges acing renewable energy in he Unied Saes is ha radi-

    ional ossil uels are cheaper here han hey are in almos any oher developed counry.

    Tis is primarily due o he large supply o ossil uels such as coal and naural gas in our

    naion, as well as a long hisory o ederal governmen subsidies or developing hose

    energy sources. Te Unied Saes has also ailed o pu a carbon price on ossil uels, so

    U.S. ossil-uel prices do no include he environmenal and public-healh damage rom

    greenhouse-gas polluion. Relaively low ossil-uel prices make i paricularly hard or

    renewable energy o compee agains convenional energy in he U.S. marke.

    http://www.rechargenews.com/energy/solar/article300471.ece?WT.mc_id=rechargenews_rsshttp://www.americansolarmanufacturing.org/fact-sheet/http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/08/china_energy_competitiveness.htmlhttp://www.ustr.gov/webfm_send/3189http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2010/07/big_oil_spigot.htmlhttp://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2010/07/big_oil_spigot.htmlhttp://www.ustr.gov/webfm_send/3189http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/08/china_energy_competitiveness.htmlhttp://www.americansolarmanufacturing.org/fact-sheet/http://www.rechargenews.com/energy/solar/article300471.ece?WT.mc_id=rechargenews_rss
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    Noneheless, over he pas decade U.S. companies have goten much beter a manuac-

    uring, deploying, and operaing renewable energy echnologies, and as a resul prices

    are coming down rapidly. As prices decrease renewable energy gains marke share and

    speeds our ransiion oward a more susainable energy economy.

    Te problem is China is paricularly good a making hings cheaply. A he lower end o

    he value chain, ha is primarily due o he counrys low labor coss and massive supplychains. Also advanageous are Chinas lax labor, saey, healh, and environmenal san-

    dards. A he higher end, ha is oen because he Chinese governmen provides gener-

    ous subsidies and oher orms o suppor or high-echnology research, developmen,

    and commercializaion. Low-cos Chinese manuacuring plays a large role in driving

    prices down or a wide range o producs, including renewable energy echnologies.

    Chinese manuacuring also plays a large role in pricing some U.S. manuacurers ou

    o business, wih many o hose manuacurers claiming ha he China price is driven

    by Chinese governmen inervenion raher han naural marke orces. I he Chinese

    governmen is inervening in a way ha breaks rade rules hen ha ype o rule break-

    ing should be remedied in some way.

    Deermining wheher China is playing by he rules requires aking a close look a heir

    renewable energy policiesno only a he naional level bu also a he provincial and

    local levels. Tose policies are oen dicul o parse because Chinas economic sys-

    em is no like ha o he Unied Saes. I is a nonmarke economy wih a op-down,

    command-and-conrol energy planning process ha is oen nonransparen wih even

    more opaque ineracions beween he cenral governmen in Beijing and he provincial

    and local governmens when hese policies are implemened. All his makes i very di-

    cul o gure ou wheher he counry is abiding by inernaional rade rules.

    Te Unied Saes has much o gain rom cooperaing wih China on clean energy. As he

    worlds ases- and larges-growing energy marke, China is an ideal esing ground or scal-

    ing up and commercializing clean energy echnologies. Combining our wo energy markes

    increases economies o scale o bring down coss or consumers in boh counries.

    Bu he China we are dealing wih odayis no he same China we were dealing wih 10

    years ago. We are accusomed o China ocusing on low-end manuacuring and using

    heir cos advanages o make U.S.-designed consumer elecronics and oher low-end

    producs cheaper and aser. Now China is moving up he value chain o higher-end

    echnology. Tey are aiming o compee wih us in highly engineered, capial-inensive

    indusries such as solar phoovolaic, or PV, sysems, where he Unied Saes has long

    enjoyed a comparaive advanage.

    In shor, insead o serving as he low-cos workshop or U.S. companies, China is aiming

    o capure he pars o he produc and services value chain ha we are used o dominaing.

    http://www.smartplanet.com/blog/smart-takes/us-states-can-reach-grid-parity-by-2014-energy-experts-say/8551http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/04_49/b3911401.htmhttp://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2007/07/china-makes-the-world-takes/5987/1/http://www.ustr.gov/node/6227http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/sep/12/how-china-dominates-solar-powerhttp://www.huffingtonpost.com/steven-chu/uschina-clean-energy-coop_b_810709.htmlhttp://www.economist.com/node/21543160http://www.economist.com/node/21543160http://www.huffingtonpost.com/steven-chu/uschina-clean-energy-coop_b_810709.htmlhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/sep/12/how-china-dominates-solar-powerhttp://www.ustr.gov/node/6227http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2007/07/china-makes-the-world-takes/5987/1/http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/04_49/b3911401.htmhttp://www.smartplanet.com/blog/smart-takes/us-states-can-reach-grid-parity-by-2014-energy-experts-say/8551
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    Te Unied Saes should no shrink rom ha challenge. Our rms are generaing he

    bes high-end echnologies in he world, and we have a skilledworkorce ha is hard

    o bea. A rising China is no a reason or us o close o our clean energy markes and

    orei he benes we can ge rom bilaeral rade and oher orms o collaboraion. Tis

    relaionship is only a win-win, however, i we compee wih he Chinese on a level play-

    ing eld, which is proving o be he bigges challenge.

    Ensuring ha he Chinese play by he rules will require more policy coordinaion on

    hese ypes o bilaeral rade dispues here in he Unied Saes. Te Obama adminisra-

    ions new rade enorcemen iniiaive is a criical sep in ha direcion. Bu i is only a

    rs sep. Tis issue brie will give an overview o he curren solar PV rade dispue o

    highligh he larger challenges we ace.

    Chinas energy economy is a massive command-and-conrol juggernau, and our energy

    companies are oen orced o choose beween leting a variey o rade problems slide

    versus squaring o agains ha sysem on heir own. Ensuring he U.S. governmen rec-

    ognizes and addresses ha imbalance a he ederal level vis--vis China will be criicalor keeping he U.S.-China clean energy parnership moving in a posiive direcion.

    Te Unied Saes will also have o do a beter job coordinaing rade enorcemen a

    he inernaional level because mulilaeral pressure is increasingly needed o make he

    Chinese governmen adhere o global norms and rules. Since Chinas rade policies are

    also harming clean energy exporers in many oher counriesparicularly in Europe

    he Unied Saes should have pleny o parners o work wih.

    The global solar PV market and Chinas manufacturing rise

    Te curren rade case ocuses on crysalline silicon phoovolaic cells and modules,

    which conver sunligh ino elecrical energy. Te demand or hese PV solar cells and

    modules is driven by he demand or solar panel insallaions. Solar echnology has

    expanded rapidly in recen years due o he increasing ineres in low-emissions ech-

    nology and he declining coss o solar cells. Since i is a newer echnology, however, i

    is sill generally more expensive o deploy han naural gas or coal, a leas in he shor

    erm. Mos counries already have exensive inrasrucure o suppor coal, bu solar

    inrasrucure is sill underdeveloped so solar prices have o include inrasrucure devel-

    opmen and capial coss. Due o hose addiional coss, he price dierenial or solar

    panels over he pas decade has been driven primarily by governmen subsidies o boos

    deploymen o solar energy.

    In Europe many o hose subsidies are in he orm o a eed-in ari, which requires

    uiliies o purchase solar energy a prices ha are higher han wha he uiliy is pay-

    ing or convenional ossil energy. Germany launched he rs major naionwide solar

    http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2012/01/dww_sp_scitechworkforce.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203436904577151273759279432.htmlhttp://www.iie.com/publications/testimony/subramanian20110921.pdfhttp://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,784653,00.htmlhttp://www.nrel.gov/learning/re_photovoltaics.htmlhttp://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/01/clean_contracts.htmlhttp://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/01/clean_contracts.htmlhttp://www.nrel.gov/learning/re_photovoltaics.htmlhttp://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,784653,00.htmlhttp://www.iie.com/publications/testimony/subramanian20110921.pdfhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203436904577151273759279432.htmlhttp://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2012/01/dww_sp_scitechworkforce.html
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    4 Center or American Progress | Shining a Light on U.S.-China Clean Energy Cooperation

    eed-in ari in 2004, and oher European counries ollowed sui. In conras he Unied

    Saes has ended o pass renewable elecriciy sandards, which se an overall goal or

    uiliies in a cerain sae or ciy o produce a cerain amoun o elecriciy using renew-

    able sources. weny-nine U.S. saes

    now have hese policies.

    Beore 2004 global solar panel demandwas relaively low, and here were no

    srong incenives o produce solar

    equipmen or expor. Saring in 2004,

    however, global demand increased

    exponenially, paricularly in Europe,

    which caugh he atenion o equip-

    men manuacurers worldwide.

    Chinese rms in paricular saw a new

    expor opporuniy and sared manu-

    acuring solar panels or Europe andoher overseas markes.

    Chinese manuacurers enered he

    global marke in 2004. By 2007 China

    had become he worlds larges solar cell

    producion counry. By 2008 hey were

    he larges solar panel producer in he world. By 2010 hey conrolled almos halo he

    global marke, up rom jus 15 percen in 2006. (see Figure 1)

    As hey have in many oher secors, Chinese enerprises ook over he global solarmanuacuring marke by compeing on price.

    U.S. trade allegations and Chinas response

    Te China price is he ocus o he curren rade case. Te solar PV peiion claims

    ha he Chinese governmen unairly subsidizes Chinese solar panel manuacurers by

    providing land, elecriciy, maerial inpus, and nancing a below-marke raes, as well

    as direc nancial suppor and oher preerenial policies. Te peiion says hose subsi-

    dies are designed o aricially suppress Chinese manuacuring coss and drive oreign

    compeiors ou o he marke.

    China cerainly has a hos opolicies designed o spur indigenous innovaion across a

    wide range o clean energy echnologies including solar.1 A he naional level Chinese

    leaders dene clean energy as heir hisoric opporuniy o nally gain a dominan

    marke posiion in a criical echnology secor. Green energy is one o seven sraegic

    FIGURE 1

    Chinas swift solar PV market dominance

    Annual solar module production growth and China market share, 2000-2010

    25,000

    20,000

    15,000

    10,000

    5,000

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    0

    10

    80

    60

    40

    20

    90

    70

    50

    30

    10

    0%

    Solar megawatts Market sh

    Total global PV production

    Total Chinal PV production

    China global PV market share

    Source: Earth Policy Institute

    http://www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/solutions/renewable_energy_solutions/renewable-electricity-1.htmlhttp://www.epia.org/publications/photovoltaic-publications-global-market-outlook/global-market-outlook-for-photovoltaics-until-2015.htmlhttp://www.epia.org/publications/photovoltaic-publications-global-market-outlook/global-market-outlook-for-photovoltaics-until-2015.htmlhttp://www.epia.org/publications/photovoltaic-publications-global-market-outlook/global-market-outlook-for-photovoltaics-until-2015.htmlhttp://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/04_49/b3911401.htmhttp://www.solarworld-usa.com/news-and-resources/news/domestic-solar-manufacturers-petition-to-stop-unfair-trade-by-china.aspxhttp://www.gov.cn/jrzg/2006-02/09/content_183787.htmhttp://www.amcham-shanghai.org/amchamportal/InfoVault_Library/2010/What's_Next_in_China%E2%80%99s_Indigenous_Innovation_Program.pdfhttp://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/08/china_energy_competitiveness.htmlhttp://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90001/90778/90862/7170816.htmlhttp://www.earth-policy.org/indicators/C47http://www.earth-policy.org/indicators/C47http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90001/90778/90862/7170816.htmlhttp://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/08/china_energy_competitiveness.htmlhttp://www.amcham-shanghai.org/amchamportal/InfoVault_Library/2010/What's_Next_in_China%E2%80%99s_Indigenous_Innovation_Program.pdfhttp://www.gov.cn/jrzg/2006-02/09/content_183787.htmhttp://www.solarworld-usa.com/news-and-resources/news/domestic-solar-manufacturers-petition-to-stop-unfair-trade-by-china.aspxhttp://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/04_49/b3911401.htmhttp://www.epia.org/publications/photovoltaic-publications-global-market-outlook/global-market-outlook-for-photovoltaics-until-2015.htmlhttp://www.epia.org/publications/photovoltaic-publications-global-market-outlook/global-market-outlook-for-photovoltaics-until-2015.htmlhttp://www.epia.org/publications/photovoltaic-publications-global-market-outlook/global-market-outlook-for-photovoltaics-until-2015.htmlhttp://www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/solutions/renewable_energy_solutions/renewable-electricity-1.html
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    indusries ha Beijing srongly suppors wih sae nancial resources and oher preer-

    enial policies such as ax breaks.

    Since Beijing prioriizes clean energy developmen, provincial and local governmens

    have a srong incenive o develop heir own suppor policies. Some local ocials

    simply implemen naional direcives such as he Minisry o Finance direcives

    calling on local nancial bureaus o raise and disribue green energy developmenunds. Oher local governmens see clean energy as a prime growh opporuniy and

    go well beyond naional policy requiremens in an atemp o urn heir provinces ino

    clean energy manuacuring hubs.

    Case in poin:Jiangsu Province has paricularly aggressive solar developmen policies.

    Jiangsus 2009 hree-year solar PVdevelopmen plan se ambiious arges or solar-

    module producion and called on local ocials o culivae name-brand producs

    and inernaionally compeiive enerprises by providing sae assisance or produc

    developmen and supply-chain vericalizaion.2 Te resul is a province responsible

    or wo-hirds o Chinas oal solar PV equipmen producion in 2010more han 90percen o hose producs were expored o overseas markes.3

    Subsidy programs are no necessarily anicompeiive. Green energy is an emerging

    echnology secor, and policy assisance is oen required o help new echnologies com-

    pee wih exising marke alernaivesespecially when he exising alernaives such as

    coal already receive explici and implici public subsidies. We have similar green energy

    programs here in he Unied Saes.

    Wha he U.S. rade peiion claims, however, is ha Chinas subsidies are designed no

    jus o suppor inan indusries bu also o undercu compeiors so ha Chinas domes-ic enerprises can ake over a larger share o he global marke. Te solar PV rade pei-

    ion claims ha he subsidies provided o Chinese manuacurers are counervailable,

    which means hey aricially suppress Chinese manuacuring coss o enable Chinese

    companies o sell heir producs a nonmarke prices ha U.S. companies canno mach.

    I he Chinese governmen is indeed using subsidies or ha purpose hen i is a marke-

    disoring acic ha violaes a hos o rade rulesno only World rade Organizaion

    subsidy rules bu also domesic rade legislaion here in he Unied Saes.

    Te solar peiions also include allegaions ha China is dumping in he U.S. marke.

    Dumping is he pracice o selling goods in he Unied Saes a less han home marke

    price or cos o producion. Dumping is also prohibied by he WO agreemens and by

    U.S. law, i i resuls in maerial injury o a compeing U.S. indusry.

    Te Chinese dispue hose allegaions. When inerviewed or his issue brie in Beijing

    recenly, Chinese analyss all claimed Chinas low solar PV prices are due o a combina-

    ion o Chinas comparaive advanages in manuacuring and, paricularly over he pas

    http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90001/90778/90862/7170816.htmlhttp://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2009/03/china-announces-new-solar-incentiveshttp://ditan360.com/NengYuan/Info-98515.htmlhttp://www.chinahightech.com/views_news.asp?Newsid=931383936333http://china.org.cn/business/2011-11/17/content_23938653.htmhttp://china.org.cn/business/2011-11/17/content_23938653.htmhttp://cleantechnica.com/2011/06/20/wind-power-subsidies-dont-compare-to-fossil-fuel-nuclear-subsidies/3/http://cleantechnica.com/2011/06/20/wind-power-subsidies-dont-compare-to-fossil-fuel-nuclear-subsidies/3/http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2012/01/renewable_energy_investment.htmlhttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/pcp/pcp-overview.html#A_2http://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/whatis_e/tif_e/agrm8_e.htmhttp://www.aflcio.org/issues/jobseconomy/globaleconomy/intro301.cfmhttp://www.aflcio.org/issues/jobseconomy/globaleconomy/intro301.cfmhttp://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/whatis_e/tif_e/agrm8_e.htmhttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/pcp/pcp-overview.html#A_2http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2012/01/renewable_energy_investment.htmlhttp://cleantechnica.com/2011/06/20/wind-power-subsidies-dont-compare-to-fossil-fuel-nuclear-subsidies/3/http://cleantechnica.com/2011/06/20/wind-power-subsidies-dont-compare-to-fossil-fuel-nuclear-subsidies/3/http://china.org.cn/business/2011-11/17/content_23938653.htmhttp://china.org.cn/business/2011-11/17/content_23938653.htmhttp://www.chinahightech.com/views_news.asp?Newsid=931383936333http://ditan360.com/NengYuan/Info-98515.htmlhttp://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2009/03/china-announces-new-solar-incentiveshttp://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90001/90778/90862/7170816.html
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    ew years, excess capaciy and marke-induced

    invenory clearing. According o he Chinese

    manuacurers, soaring demand growh

    beween 2008 and 2010 (see Figure 2 below)

    made solar manuacuring look like a golden

    opporuniy, and as a resul hundreds o privae

    Chinese enerprises dove ino he secorhroughou 2010 and early 2011.

    Even Chinese leaher companies dove ino

    he marke by opening up solar manuacur-

    ing subsidiaries.4 Chinese energy analyss call

    hese manuacurers bantu chujia, which

    roughly ranslaes o halway monk, or

    someone who akes up somehing new wih-

    ou commiting o i compleely and wihou

    acquiring he necessary experise.5

    Ten he pace o global marke growh slowed signicanlyrom almos140 percen

    growh in 2010 o around 17 percen in 2011. Chinese rms claim he muliude o

    new enrans ooded he marke wih excess capaciy, and Chinese manuacurers were

    orced o price solar modules below marke value o clear invenories, hus riggering a

    seep price drop ha damaged pros no only in he Unied Saes bu also in China.

    Unorunaely, parsing ou how much o he China price is due o marke orces versus

    anicompeiive governmen subsidies is exremely dicul. Te reason: Chinas subsidy

    programs are oen nonransparen, paricularly a he provincial and local levels. Iis very common, or example, or local ocials o provide land, elecriciy, and oher

    resources a below-marke raes o atrac economic developmen (and he associaed

    ax revenue) even when he cenral governmen does no suppor hose acics.

    Loan subsidizaion is also common. Chinas ier-one manuacurers claim hey are pay-

    ing marke ineres raes or heir massive and conroversial China Developmen Bank

    loan guaranees, bu some local governmens reporedly reimburse hose companies or

    mos o heir ineres paymens, hus reducing he eecive ineres rae o nearly zero

    (or, depending on inaion, possibly even below zero). In many cases local governmens

    provide hese supporive measures on a case-by-case basis insead o via clear develop-

    men policies ha apply o all rms across he board. Tese measures can make Chinas

    local level clean energy suppor programs very dicul o measure.

    Chinas naional leaders oen sruggle among hemselves o ge an accurae picure o

    wha heir local level ocials are doing. Indeed, naional level ocials complain ha

    local level economic growh saisics are oen abricaed. When even Beijing has a hard

    FIGURE 2

    Soaring solar PV demand triggers Chinese market excitement

    Annual global solar PV demand growth and forecast, 2008-2014

    Source: Solarbuzz

    GW demand Percent grow

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    35

    30

    25

    20

    15

    10

    5

    0

    160

    140

    120

    100

    80%

    60%

    40%

    20%

    0%

    GW demandPercent growth

    http://www.chinanews.com/ny/2011/02-23/2861583.shtmlhttp://www.chinanews.com/ny/2011/02-23/2861583.shtmlhttp://solarbuzz.com/facts-and-figures/market-facts/global-pv-markethttp://www.digitimes.com/Reports/Report.asp?datepublish=2012/01/11&pages=PD&seq=205http://www.hagstromreport.com/news_files/120511_china.htmlhttp://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-11-02/chinese-loans-to-solar-companies-not-subsidized-trina-says.htmlhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/sep/12/how-china-dominates-solar-powerhttp://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/09/business/global/09trade.html?pagewanted=allhttp://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2011/06/10/chinese-gdp-data-how-reliable/http://58.64.153.139/Registration/2011SNECPPT/131.pdfhttp://58.64.153.139/Registration/2011SNECPPT/131.pdfhttp://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2011/06/10/chinese-gdp-data-how-reliable/http://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/09/business/global/09trade.html?pagewanted=allhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/sep/12/how-china-dominates-solar-powerhttp://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-11-02/chinese-loans-to-solar-companies-not-subsidized-trina-says.htmlhttp://www.hagstromreport.com/news_files/120511_china.htmlhttp://www.digitimes.com/Reports/Report.asp?datepublish=2012/01/11&pages=PD&seq=205http://solarbuzz.com/facts-and-figures/market-facts/global-pv-markethttp://www.chinanews.com/ny/2011/02-23/2861583.shtmlhttp://www.chinanews.com/ny/2011/02-23/2861583.shtml
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    ime racking local aciviy, i is almos impossible or oreign observers o do so in a

    sysemaic ashion, and ha can creae conusion here in he Unied Saes.

    The bigger question

    How to deal with Chinas ambitious green technology development policies

    Te Deparmen o Commerce is invesigaing his solar PV case and will soon

    announce wheher hey have ound sucien evidence o levy rade remedies.

    Commerce invesigaors are racing he nancial and policy suppor he Chinese

    governmen provides o Chinese solar manuacurers, and he U.S. Inernaional rade

    Commission will ry o deermine o wha degree ha suppor decreases Chinese manu-

    acuring prices and damages U.S. manuacurers.

    Te Deparmen o Commerce is expeced o issue a preliminary subsidy deermina-

    ion in early March and a preliminary anidumping deerminaion several weeks laer.I he ongoing invesigaions nd Chinese rade violaions, hen ha preliminary

    announcemen will likely include a plan o levy aris agains Chinese impors. I is

    possible ha once he Chinese governmen realizes aris are imminen hey will ry

    o negoiae a setlemenhey may oer o hal he conesed subsidies or ake oher

    acion o ge SolarWorld o drop he case.

    Ta is how China responded o he Sepember 2010WO complain by he Unied

    Seelworkers abou Chinese governmen subsidies o wind equipmen manuacurers.

    Some U.S. solar companiesparicularly he companies ha already have purchasing

    agreemens wih Chinese solar manuacurersare hoping ha his case will end in anegoiaed setlemen insead o impor aris.

    No mater how his paricular dispue ends, however, here is a much bigger underly-

    ing issue here ha we mus no overlook. Over he pas hree decades, Chinas role in

    he global economy has primarily been as a low-value-added manuacurer. Now he

    Chinese wan o move up he value chain o increase pro margins and play a more

    dominan role in higher-end global echnology markes. Specically, hey wan o supply

    he Unied Saes wih higher-value-added echnologies, paricularly clean energy ech-

    nologies. And he Chinese governmen is dedicaing a huge amoun o sae resources o

    help heir enerprises achieve ha goal.

    Chinas echnology ambiions can be a good hing or he Unied Saes, paricularly

    in renewable energy. Our wo counries are he worlds bigges energy consumers, and

    open compeiion beween our massive energy markes can uel innovaion, bring

    clean energy prices down, and speed boh o our counrys ransiions oward a more

    susainable energy economy.

    http://www.usitc.gov/trade_remedy/http://www.americansolarmanufacturing.org/news-releases/01-30-12-casm-critical-circumstances.htmhttp://www.ustr.gov/about-us/press-office/press-releases/2011/june/china-ends-wind-power-equipment-subsidies-challengedhttp://www.ustr.gov/about-us/press-office/press-releases/2010/october/united-states-launches-section-301-investigation-chttp://coalition4affordablesolar.org/http://www.chinadailyapac.com/article/innovate-or-slip-down-value-chainhttp://www.huffingtonpost.com/steven-chu/uschina-clean-energy-coop_b_810709.htmlhttp://www.huffingtonpost.com/steven-chu/uschina-clean-energy-coop_b_810709.htmlhttp://www.chinadailyapac.com/article/innovate-or-slip-down-value-chainhttp://coalition4affordablesolar.org/http://www.ustr.gov/about-us/press-office/press-releases/2010/october/united-states-launches-section-301-investigation-chttp://www.ustr.gov/about-us/press-office/press-releases/2011/june/china-ends-wind-power-equipment-subsidies-challengedhttp://www.americansolarmanufacturing.org/news-releases/01-30-12-casm-critical-circumstances.htmhttp://www.usitc.gov/trade_remedy/
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    Bu heres he rub. China is a nonmarke economy wih a less-han-ransparen energy

    planning process. Tis makes i very hard o ideniy when he Chinese cross he line

    rom marke compeiion (which we wan o encourage) o anicompeiive behavior

    (which we should gh back agains).

    We already know ha he Chinese governmen someimes ries o skir rade rules.

    When China joined he World rade Organizaion in 2001, he governmen pledgedo submi required repors on specic naional and regional subsidy programs every

    wo years, bu i has no abided by ha pledge. Over he pas 10 years i has only

    issued wo repors. Te rs, in April 2006, covered some subsidies rom 2001 o

    2004, and ha repor was incomplee because i only included naional subsidies no

    subnaional programs. Te Chinese governmen submited a second noicaion in

    Ocober 2011, bu again did no include subnaional programseven hough China

    has clear obligaions o do so.

    Because China has no submited hese repors as promised, i makes i more dicul

    or U.S. companies o examine Chinese policy programs and deermine wheher heyare rule-abiding or anicompeiive. Furhermore, since governmenransparencyis

    a major problem in China across he board, even when U.S. companies are willing o

    spend heir own resources o collec ha daa, i is exremely hard o do. Tis gives

    China a lo o maneuvering room o enac programs ha erode U.S. compeiiveness.

    Clearly he Chinese governmen needs o do more o comply wih hese rade rules,

    and he U.S. governmenand he global communiy as a wholeneeds o do more o

    enorce ha compliance.

    We have wo dispue-resoluion sysems specically designed o handle companycomplains abou apparenly anicompeiive rade praciceshe anidumping and

    counervailing duymechanisms here in he Unied Saes and heWO process a

    he inernaional level. Bu ling a ormal complain is cosly in boh cases. Some U.S.

    manuacurers may no be willing o inves in expensive legal ees, paricularly idue

    o he ransparency issuehey hemselves are no cerain wheher he China price is

    marke-based or governmen-induced.

    For hose companies who are acually doing business direcly wih China, realiaion is

    anoher concern. Ocials a U.S. Oce o he rade Represenaive, or USR, re-

    quenly complain ha alhough U.S. companies share inormaion abou Chinese rule

    breaking privaely, mos are unwilling o le ormal complains because hey suspec

    he Chinese will realiae wih puniive marke access reducions. In he curren dis-

    pue SolarWorld Indusries America Inc., he domesic uni o he German company

    SolarWorld AG, was he only one o he seven solar comapnies willing o sae is sup-

    por or he case publicly. Te oher six companies remainedanonymous due o ears

    ha China would realiae.

    http://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/reports/seo2011/seo-annual-report-2011.pdfhttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/reports/seo2011/seo-annual-report-2011.pdfhttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/reports/seo2011/seo-annual-report-2011.pdfhttp://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2011/09/28/testing-chinas-government-transparency-sweet-talk/http://ia.ita.doc.gov/intro/index.htmlhttp://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/dispu_e.htmhttp://www.cnbc.com/id/45712228/USTR_Kirk_Says_Troubled_by_Chinese_Trade_Retaliationhttp://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/20/business/global/six-complainants-in-solar-trade-case-are-unnamed.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/20/business/global/six-complainants-in-solar-trade-case-are-unnamed.htmlhttp://www.cnbc.com/id/45712228/USTR_Kirk_Says_Troubled_by_Chinese_Trade_Retaliationhttp://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/dispu_e.htmhttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/intro/index.htmlhttp://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2011/09/28/testing-chinas-government-transparency-sweet-talk/http://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/reports/seo2011/seo-annual-report-2011.pdfhttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/reports/seo2011/seo-annual-report-2011.pdfhttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/reports/seo2011/seo-annual-report-2011.pdf
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    Realiaion can also spread beyond he acual peiioners o harm he U.S. economy

    more broadly. In he curren case, or example, rade remedies ha spark Chinese reali-

    aion could also harm U.S. companies selling clean echnology inpus o China. Chinese

    manuacurers have already argeed upsream solar suppliers by calling on heir own

    Commerce Minisry o iniiae an invesigaion ino U.S. subsidies and dumping or

    polysilicon expors o China.

    China could realiae by blocking marke access as well. In privae conversaions many

    U.S.-based polysilicon and solar manuacuring equipmen suppliers say ha in he

    curren rade case, realiaory marke access limiaions are a major concern. Many

    U.S. solar indusry suppliers ear ha i he Commerce Deparmen levies aris

    agains Chinese manuacurers, hen hose manuacurers will immediaely sar buy-

    ing upsream producs rom oher counries insead o rom he Unied Saes. Some

    Chinese companies are apparenly already insering escape clauses ino heir purchasing

    conracs o pave he way or ha swich.

    I U.S. companies do ace realiaory measures rom he Chinese, ha would be a rade vio-laion, and hey can cerainly le anoher round o ormal complains. Bu realiaion can

    be dicul o prove because i can be dicul o prove why a Chinese cusomer swiched

    rom a U.S. supplier o a European one. Whas more, successive rounds o rade dispues

    over swiching cusomers would be a massive economic drain on U.S. companies.

    Te ip side o realiaion is coercionin he orm o required echnology ranser o

    ener he Chinese markeplace and access he counrys cheap labor, is booming domes-

    ic marke, and he many governmen subsidy programs ha are available o companies.

    echnology ranser is requenly par o global rade deals, bu he Chinese governmen

    oen carries i oo ar by blaanly pressuring oreign companies o share propriearyengineering inormaion or he ypes o high-end echnology producs Chinese rms

    are sruggling o develop hemselves. Tis can lead o inellecual propery he, which

    again harms U.S. companies and erodes U.S. compeiiveness.

    o move orward he U.S. governmen will have o do a beter job a dealing wih hese

    hreas o U.S. companies operaing in China or exporing here. We need o undersand

    and hen ac upon he realiy ha he Chinese economy does no operae like ours. Te

    U.S. economy is a decenralized, marke-based sysem wihou op-down economic

    planning. Chinese leaders, in conras, run heir economy wih op-down develop-

    men plans ha pu a lo o governmen suppor behind criical indusries such as clean

    energy. Tose op-down direcives hen measasize a he provincial and local levels

    ino myriad programs and policies ha are all bu impossible o discern.

    Ta dierence can someimes mean ha when problems arise, individual U.S. compa-

    nies and indusries are orced o choose beween leting apparen rule breaking slide ver-

    sus squaring o agains Chinas massive adminisraive sae a he naional, provincial,

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-21/china-s-solar-industry-seeks-u-s-polysilicon-imports-probe.htmlhttp://www.bis.doc.gov/defenseindustrialbaseprograms/osies/defmarketresearchrpts/techtransfer2prc.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/06/business/global/gm-aims-the-volt-at-china-but-chinese-want-its-secrets.html?pagewanted=allhttp://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2011npc/2011-03/06/content_12122579.htmhttp://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2011npc/2011-03/06/content_12122579.htmhttp://www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2010-10/28/content_11470240.htmhttp://www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2010-10/28/content_11470240.htmhttp://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2011npc/2011-03/06/content_12122579.htmhttp://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2011npc/2011-03/06/content_12122579.htmhttp://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/06/business/global/gm-aims-the-volt-at-china-but-chinese-want-its-secrets.html?pagewanted=allhttp://www.bis.doc.gov/defenseindustrialbaseprograms/osies/defmarketresearchrpts/techtransfer2prc.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-21/china-s-solar-industry-seeks-u-s-polysilicon-imports-probe.html
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    and local level. Boh opions erode U.S. company pros, bu in an era where China is a

    global economic powerhouse, many U.S. companies decide ha he rs sraegyaci

    accommodaionis likely o resul in he leas damage.

    Over ime aci accommodaion can erode U.S. compeiiveness. o avoid ha we need

    o nd ways o lower he coss o monioring his bilaeral relaionship o make sure

    Chinese enerprises and ocials play by he rules and compee wih U.S. companies onan even playing eld. Doing so will require a shi rom he curren sraegy ha places

    our primary enorcemen eors on he backs o individual U.S. companies, some o

    whichlike many renewable energy companiesare in emerging indusries ha lack

    he poliical leverage o do batle wih he Chinese.

    Te bes way o address his problem is o improve rade policy coordinaion a home.

    Beijing is very adep a divide-and-conquer acics. In he oreign policy realm,

    Chinese leaders are well aware ha i hey can maneuver oher counries o deal wih

    hem bilaerally, China will have more negoiaing leverage han i would agains a

    unied mulilaeral group. China wans o use he same acics agains U.S. companiesmaneuvering hem o square o one by one agains he massive Chinese sae.

    Te U.S. governmen needs o do a beter job making sure ha his approach is no

    eecive. In 2010 he USR ook a criical sep in ha direcion wih a year-long

    program o monior Chinese governmen suppor or Chinese companies compeing

    agains he Unied Saes in clean energy. USR also surveyed Chinas subsidy programs

    across he board, uncovering around 200 dieren programs ha violaed WO rules.

    USR noied he Chinese governmen o hese alleged violaions and also submited

    a lis o Chinese subsidies o he W O. Ta sep does no auomaically rigger a WOinvesigaion, bu i does require China o provide more inormaion abou he USR-

    conesed subsidy programs. I also makes he USR ndings available o oher coun-

    ries, which can help increase mulilaeral pressure agains his ype o rule breaking. I

    he Chinese governmen ails o respond o USR noicaion by providing deailed

    inormaion on heir subsidy programs, hen USR may escalae bysubmiting a com-

    plain o he WO Subsidies Commitee.

    Tese inormaion-gahering and noicaion procedures call inernaional and

    domesic poliical atenion o Chinese rule breaking. Tey also lay he groundwork

    or he Unied Saes o le addiional rade complains and levy addiional aris

    agains Chinese impors, which should give he Chinese governmen sronger incen-

    ives o comply wih he r ules.

    I is imporan o noe ha he USR subsidy survey did no require specic U.S.

    companies o le ormal peiions and ac as inermediaries, a role ha can oen

    http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/opinon/2010/08/137_71235.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/07/business/us-says-some-chinese-subsidies-violate-trade-rules.html?_r=2http://www.ustr.gov/about-us/press-office/press-releases/2011/october/united-states-details-china-and-india-subsidy-proghttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/files/china-counter-notification.pdfhttp://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/07/business/us-says-some-chinese-subsidies-violate-trade-rules.htmlhttp://www.ustr.gov/about-us/press-office/press-releases/2011/october/united-states-details-china-and-india-subsidy-proghttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/reports/seo2011/seo-annual-report-2011.pdfhttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/reports/seo2011/seo-annual-report-2011.pdfhttp://www.ustr.gov/about-us/press-office/press-releases/2011/october/united-states-details-china-and-india-subsidy-proghttp://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/07/business/us-says-some-chinese-subsidies-violate-trade-rules.htmlhttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/files/china-counter-notification.pdfhttp://www.ustr.gov/about-us/press-office/press-releases/2011/october/united-states-details-china-and-india-subsidy-proghttp://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/07/business/us-says-some-chinese-subsidies-violate-trade-rules.html?_r=2http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/opinon/2010/08/137_71235.html
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    urn hem ino sacricial lambs. Insead he Obama adminisraion kicked o

    his invesigaion proacively when i launched he Naional Expor Iniiaive in

    early 2010. Ta iniiaive ordered USR and he Commerce Deparmen o pay

    closer atenion o oreign governmen subsidies ha erode U.S. compeiiveness,

    paricularly vis--vis Chinese manuacurers.

    Ten here is he new rade Enorcemen Uni announced by Presiden Barack Obamain his recen Sae o he Union speech. Te presiden said he new uni willbring

    ogeher key U.S. rade ocials rom he deparmens o he reasury, Commerce,

    Energy, and USR (under Michael Froman, depuy naional securiy adviser or

    Inernaional Economic Aairs) o beter coordinae U.S. rade acions agains China.

    Ta uni will reporedly also consider asking he Commerce Deparmen o iniiae

    counervailing duy and anidumping cases isel on behal o U.S. indusries raher han

    waiing or companies o le individual peiions.

    In heory his approach should go a long way oward balancing he ineress o U.S. com-

    panies agains Chinese governmen involvemen in hese dispues, hereby eliminainghe burden on U.S. companies or iniiaing hese acions and reducing he possibiliy

    o realiaion by he Chinese agains individual U.S. companies. I his uni also direcs

    more ederal governmen ime and resources oward monioring Chinese governmen

    behavioragging apparen rade violaions and raising ormal complains wih he

    WOhen his approach may also enable he Unied Saes o beter enorce Chinese

    compliance wih basic WO rules.

    We also need o make sure we are invesing in he oundaions o innovaion here in he

    Unied Saes o give our companies he policy environmen hey need o remain com-

    peiive agains a rising China. I is ineviable ha here will be some global economicreshufing as China moves up he economic ladder, bu we can gain a lo o benes

    rom ha process i handled well. Chinas growing domesic marke, or example, can be

    a major new source o consumers or U.S. producs, bu we have o make sure ha we do

    no cede criical American jobs o he Chinesein solar manuacuring as in oher U.S.

    indusriesjus because we were lax on he policy side.

    Conclusion

    Chinas ocus on renewable energy and high echnology is here o say. Ta can be a

    grea hing or he Unied Saes. Chinese compeiion can give U.S. companies sronger

    incenives or innovaion and can help bring down renewable energy prices o beter

    compee wih radiional ossil uels. Combining our wo markes can also increase

    demand or U.S. clean energy producs and provide exacly he ypes o higher-paying

    jobs ha we need o resore our economy o susainable, broad-based economic growh.

    http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/executive-order-national-export-initiativehttp://trade.gov/nei/http://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/reports/seo2011/seo-annual-report-2011.pdfhttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/reports/seo2011/seo-annual-report-2011.pdfhttp://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2012/01/24/remarks-president-state-union-addresshttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203436904577151273759279432.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203436904577151273759279432.htmlhttp://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/01/china_innovation.htmlhttp://www.booz.com/media/file/China_Consumer_Market_Strategies_2011.pdfhttp://www.booz.com/media/file/China_Consumer_Market_Strategies_2011.pdfhttp://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/01/china_innovation.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203436904577151273759279432.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203436904577151273759279432.htmlhttp://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2012/01/24/remarks-president-state-union-addresshttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/reports/seo2011/seo-annual-report-2011.pdfhttp://ia.ita.doc.gov/esel/reports/seo2011/seo-annual-report-2011.pdfhttp://trade.gov/nei/http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/executive-order-national-export-initiative
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    12 C t A i P | Shi i Li ht U S Chi Cl E C ti

    Tis relaionship is only a win-win, however, i our companies have a level playing eld,

    and more work is needed o achieve ha goal. Te Obama adminisraions new rade

    enorcemen iniiaive is a grea sar in he righ direcion. Oher seps may be ideni-

    ed once he new rade Enorcemen Uni is up and runningseps boh bilaeral and

    inernaional in scope ha can help he Unied Saes and China beter manage his crii-

    cal bilaeral rade relaionship or he bene o he global economy.

    Melanie Hart is a Policy Analyst on China Energy and Climate Policy at the Center for

    American Progress.

    Acknowledgements

    Tanks o Kae Gordon, Ed Paisley, Rudy deLeon, Sabina Dewan, Michael Etlinger, Adam

    Hersh, and Sephen Lacey or heir commens on and conribuions o his issue brie.

    Endnotes

    1 Guo jia zhong chang qi ke xue he ji shu a zhan gui hua gang yao (2006-2020) (Guidelines or the National Medium- and Long-Term Science and Technology Development Program, 2006-2020), PRC State Council, February 2006, available at http://www.gov.cn/jrzg/2006-02/09/content_183787.htm.

    2 Jiangsu sheng guang u a dian tui jin yi jian (Jiangsu Province Opinions or Advancing Solar PV Generation), Jiangsu ShengFagaiwei (Jiangsu Provincial Development and Reorm Commission), June 30, 2009, available at http://www.carcu.org/html/zhengceagui/20090702/2974.html.

    3 Guang u chan ye zai wai shou zhi yu ren qi neng rang han dong leng le yang guang? (Solar PV Industry Sufering RestraintsAbroad: How to Shine Light on the Cold Winter?),Zhongguo Huanjing Bao (China Environment Report), December 31, 2011, avail-

    able at http://ditan360.com/NengYuan/Ino-98515.html.

    4 Xu Meng, Guo nei guang u chan ye cheng xian jing pen ren ren zheng gan tai yang neng sheng yan (Domestic Solar PVIndustry Becomes a Gold Rush: Everyone Rushing to Join Solar Energy Feast), Jiefang Ribao (Liberation Daily), February 23, 2011,available at http://w ww.chinanews.com/ny/2011/02-23/2861583.shtml.

    5 Ibid.