Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

57
Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District GROUP-03 JOY DEEP CHAKRABARTTY(1015004) MASTURA SAFAYET(1015024) MD. FAQRUL AREFIN(1015027)

Transcript of Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Page 1: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

GROUP-03JOY DEEP CHAKRABARTTY(1015004)

MASTURA SAFAYET(1015024)MD. FAQRUL AREFIN(1015027)

Page 2: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Basic Terminology

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

National shareRepresents how much growth would have occurred in the local industry if it had grown at the same rate as overall national employment.

Regional shiftExplains how much of the change in a particular industry is due to some unique competitive advantage that the region has.

Industrial Mix Indicates how much of the local growth in that

industry can be attributed to the performance of that industry at the national level.

Estimates change in GDP of each industry due to differences in industry and total national growth rates.

Page 3: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

ObjectivesStudy Area

ProfileWorking

procedure

Data Analysis

Objectives

1. To analyze shift-share components for each industry of Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj districts based on GDP data of 1995-96 and 1999-2000.

2. To identify the leading and lagging industries in Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj districts.

3. To identify the change in economic structure (i.e. direction of shifting)

4. To establish a comparison among Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj districts in terms of changed GDP.

Objectives of the study

Page 4: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area ProfileWorking

procedure

Data Analysis

Pabna District

Area 2371.50 sq km

Main sources of incomeSectors Contribution(%)Agriculture 53.75Non- Agricultural laborer 4.75Industry 4.58Commerce 14.97Transport and communication 4.14

Service 7.41Construction 1.64Religious service 0.16Rent and remittance 0.49Others 8.29

Page 5: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area ProfileWorking

procedure

Data Analysis

Rajshahi District

Area- 2407.01 sq km

Main sources of income Sectors Contribution(%)Agriculture 59.35Non- Agricultural laborer 3.36Industry 0.99Commerce 14.25Transport and communication 4.36

Service 8.97Construction 1.45Religious service 0.12Rent and remittance 0.41Others 6.74

Page 6: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area ProfileWorking

procedure

Data Analysis

Sirajganj District

Area- 2497.92 sq km

Main sources of income Sectors Contribution (%)Agriculture 51.14Non- Agricultural laborer 3.99Industry 11.05Commerce 14.47Transport and communication 3.02Service 6.33Construction 1.41Religious service 0.21Rent and remittance 0.42Others 7.96

Page 7: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedureData Analysis

Working procedure of the study

Page 8: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

0.0010.0020.0030.0040.00

Sector-wise National Percent change in GDP in between 1995-

96 and 1999-2000

Sectors

Perc

ent

chan

ge in

GD

P

Sector-wise National Percent change in GDP Significant change in Fishing and

Construction sector. Comparatively less change in Community,

Social and Personal services sector.

Page 9: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Basic and Non-Basic sector identification of Pabna District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Sectors 1995-96 1999-2000

Agriculture and Forestry Non-basic Non-basicFishing Non-basic Non-basicMining and Quarrying Non-basic Non-basicManufacturing Basic BasicElectricity, Gas and Water Supply Non-basic Non-basicConstruction Non-basic Non-basicWholesale and Retail Trade Basic BasicHotel and Restaurants Non-basic Non-basicTransport, Storage and Communication Non-basic Non-basic

Financial Inter Mediations Basic BasicReal Estate, Renting and Business Activities

Non-basic Non-basic

Public Administration and Defence Non-basic Non-basicEducation Basic BasicHealth and Social Works Non-basic Non-basicCommunity, Social and Personal Services

Basic Basic

Page 10: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Percent change in GDP of Basic Sectors for Pabna district.

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

0.0010.0020.0030.00

Percent change in GDP of Basic Sectors in between 1995-96 and

1999-2000 (Pabna)

Basic Sectors

Perc

ent

chan

ge in

GD

P

Highest change is observed in Education sector.

Significant change in Wholesale and Retail Trade sector.

Page 11: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Percent change in GDP of Non-Basic Sectors for Pabna district.

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Highest change is observed in Fishing sector.

Comparatively High Percentage of change than Basic sectors .

0.0020.0040.0060.0080.00

Percent change in GDP of Non-basic Sectors in between 1995-

96 and 1999-2000 (Pabna)

Non-basic sectors

Perc

ent

chan

ge in

GD

P

Page 12: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

0.00600.00

1200.00

Amount of National share of changed GDP for Basic sectors

of Pabna District

Basic Sectors

GD

P in

mill

on t

k.

Changed GDP for Basic sectors of Pabna District

Highest change is observed in Manufacturing sector.

Significant change in Wholesale and Retail Trade sector.

Page 13: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

0.00600.00

1200.00

Amount of National share of changed GDP of Non-basic sectors of Pabna District

National Share

Non-basic Sectors

GD

P in

mill

ion

tk.)

Highest change is observed in Agriculture sector.

Comparatively low Percentage of change than Basic sectors .

Changed GDP for Non-Basic sectors of Pabna District

Page 14: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

-400.00-200.00

0.00200.00

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Basic sectors of

Pabna District

Basic Sectors

Indu

stry

Mix

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Basic sectors of Pabna District

Highest positive change is observed in Wholesale and Trade sector.

Highest negative change is observed in Community, Social and Personal Services sector.

Page 15: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Non-Basic sectors of Pabna District

Highest positive change is observed in Construction sector.

Highest negative change is observed in Agriculture and Forestry sector.

-300.00-100.00100.00300.00

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Non-basic sectors of Pabna District

Non-basic Sectors

Indu

stry

Mix

Page 16: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

-80.00-20.0040.00

100.00

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Basic Sectors of

Pabna District

Basic Sectors

Regi

onal

Shi

ft

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Basic Sectors of Pabna District

Highest positive change is observed in Wholesale sector.

Highest negative change is observed in Manufacturing sector.

Page 17: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Non-Basic Sectors of Pabna District

Highest positive change is observed in Agriculture and Forestry sector.

Highest negative change is observed in Transport, Storage and Communication sector.

-100.00100.00300.00500.00

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Non-basic sectors of Pabna District

Non-basic Sectors

Regi

onal

Shi

ft

Page 18: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

  Basic Sectors Non-basic Sectors

National Share 3229.36 3344.30

Industry Mix -86.81 47.91

Regional Shift -18.55 724.79

Total change in GDP

3,124.00 4117.00

Total change in GDP for Pabna District

Page 19: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Agriculture Industry Services-500.00

0.00

500.00

1000.00

1500.00

2000.00

2500.00

3000.00

3500.00

National Share, Industrial Mix and Re-gional Shift in the Three Broad Sectors

National Share Industry Mix Regional Shift

Broad Sectors

Chan

ged

GD

P (in

mill

ion

tk.)

National Share, Industrial Mix and Regional Shift in the Three Broad Sectors

Page 20: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Identification of Fast and Slow Growing Sectors for Pabna district from Industry Mix

Fast Growing Sectors 

Slow Growing Sectors

Wholesale and retail trade

Fishing Public Administration

and Defense Transport, Storage and

Communication Construction Hotel and Restaurants Education

Agriculture and Forestry Manufacturing Financial intermediaries Real estate, Renting and

Business Activities Electricity, Gas and Water

supply Mining and Quarrying Community, Social and

Personal Services Health and Social Works

 

Page 21: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Identification of Leading and Lagging Sectors for Pabna district from Regional Shift.

Leading Sectors Lagging Sectors Agriculture and Forestry Fishing Mining and Quarrying Electricity, Gas and

Water supply Wholesale and retail

trade Public Administration

and Defense Health and Social Works Community, Social and

Personal Services

Manufacturing Construction Hotel and Restaurants Transport, Storage and

Communication Financial intermediaries Real estate, Renting and

Business Activities Education

Page 22: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Sectors 1995-96 1999-2000Agriculture and Forestry Non-basic Non-basicFishing Basic BasicMining and Quarrying Non-basic Non-basicManufacturing Non-basic Non-basicElectricity, Gas and Water Supply Non-basic Non-basicConstruction Basic BasicWholesale and Retail Trade Non-basic Non-basicHotel and Restaurants Basic BasicTransport, Storage and Communication

Basic Basic

Financial Inter Mediations Basic BasicReal Estate, Renting and Business Activities

Basic Basic

Public Administration and Defence Basic BasicEducation Basic BasicHealth and Social Works Basic BasicCommunity, Social and Personal Services

Basic Basic

Basic and Non-Basic sector identification of Rajshahi District

Page 23: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

0.0010.0020.0030.0040.00

Percent change in GDP of Basic Sectors in between 1995-96 and

1999-2000 (Rajshahi)

Basic Sectors

Perc

ent

Chan

ge in

GD

P

Percent change in GDP of Basic Sectors for Rajshahi

Highest change is observed in Construction sector.

Significant change in Education sector.

Page 24: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Agricul

ture a

nd Fo

restry

Mining a

nd Qua

rrying

Manufa

cturin

g

Electr

icity, G

as an

d Wate

r Sup

ply

Wholes

ale an

d Reta

il Trad

e0.00

30.0060.00

Percent change in GDP of Non-basic Sectors in between 1995-96

and 1999-2000 (Rajshahi)

Non-basic Sectors

Perc

ent

Chan

ge in

GD

P

Percent change in GDP of Basic Sectors for Rajshahi district.

Highest change is observed in Mining and Quarrying sector.

Excessive high Change of percentage in Mining and Quarrying sector than other sectors.

Page 25: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

0.00400.00800.00

Amount of National share of changed GDP of Basic Sectors of

Rajshahi District

Basic Sectors

GD

P in

mill

ion

tk.

Changed GDP for Basic sectors of Rajshahi District

Highest change is observed in Real Estate, renting and Business Activities sector.

Significant change in Transport, Storage and Communication sector.

Page 26: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis 0.00

400.00800.00

1,200.00

Amount of National share of changed GDP of Non-basic sectors of Rajshahi District

Non-basic Sectors

GD

P in

mill

ion

tk.

Changed GDP for Non-Basic sectors of Rajshahi District

Highest change is observed in Agricullture and forestry sector.

Unexpected low change in Mining and quarrying and Electric, Gas and Water Supply Sector.

Page 27: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

-400.00-100.00200.00500.00

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Basic Sectors of

Rajshahi District

Basic Sectors

Indu

stry

MIx

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Basic sectors of Rajshahi District

Highest positive change is observed in Construction sector.

Highest negative change is observed in Real Estate, Renting and Business Activity sector.

Page 28: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Non-Basic sectors of Rajshahi District

Highest positive change is observed in Wholesale and Retail Trade sector.

Highest negative change is observed in Agriculture and Forestry sector.

Agricul

ture a

nd Fo

restry

Mining a

nd Qua

rrying

Manufa

cturin

g

Electr

icity, G

as an

d Wate

r Sup

ply

Wholes

ale an

d Reta

il Trad

e-300.00-150.00

0.00150.00

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Non-basic sectors

of Rajshahi District

Non-basic Sectors

Indu

stry

MIx

Page 29: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

-400.000.00

400.00800.00

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Basic Sectors of

Rajshahi District

Basic Sectors

Regi

onal

Shi

ft

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Basic Sectors of Rajshahi District

Highest positive change is observed in Real Estate, Renting and Business Activity sector.

Highest negative change is observed in Fishing sector.

Page 30: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

-50.00100.00250.00400.00

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Non-basic sectors of Rajshahi District

Non-basic Sectors

Regi

onal

Shi

ft

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Non-Basic Sectors of Rajshahi District

Highest positive change is observed in Agriculture and Forestry sector.

Slight negative change is observed in Electric, Gas and Water Supply sector.

Page 31: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

  Basic Sectors Non-basic Sectors

National Share 4,123.25 2,224.52

Industry Mix 191.32 -155.08

Regional Shift 515.42 517.56

Total change in GDP

4,830.00 2,587.00

Total change in GDP for Rajshahi District

Page 32: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Agriculture Industry Services-1000.00-500.00

0.00500.00

1000.001500.002000.002500.003000.003500.004000.00

National Share, Industrial Mix and Regional Shift in the Three Broad

Sectors

National Share Industry Mix Regional Shift

Broad Sectors

Chan

ged

GD

P (in

mill

ion

tk.)

National Share, Industrial Mix and Regional Shift in the Three Broad Sectors for Rajshahi District

Page 33: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Fast Growing Sectors 

Slow Growing Sectors

Wholesale and retail trade

Fishing Public Administration

and Defense Transport, Storage and

Communication Construction Hotel and Restaurants Education

Agriculture and Forestry Manufacturing Financial intermediaries Real estate, Renting and

Business Activities Electricity, Gas and Water

supply Mining and Quarrying Community, Social and

Personal Services Health and Social Works

 

Identification of Fast and Slow Growing Sectors for Rajshahi district from Industry Mix

Page 34: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Leading Sectors Lagging Sectors

Agriculture and Forestry Mining and Quarrying Manufacturing Construction Wholesale and retail

trade Transport, Storage and

Communication Education Real estate, Renting and

Business Activities

Fishing Electricity, Gas and Water

supply Hotel and Restaurants Financial intermediaries Public Administration and

Defense Health and Social Works Community, Social and

Personal Services 

Identification of Leading and Lagging Sectors for Rajshahi district from Regional Shift

Page 35: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Sectors 1995-96 1999-2000Agriculture and Forestry Non-basic BasicFishing Non-basic Non-basicMining and Quarrying Non-basic Non-basicManufacturing Basic BasicElectricity, Gas and Water Supply Non-basic BasicConstruction Basic BasicWholesale and Retail Trade Basic BasicHotel and Restaurants Non-basic Non-basicTransport, Storage and Communication

Non-basic Non-basic

Financial Inter Mediations Non-basic Non-basicReal Estate, Renting and Business Activities

Basic Basic

Public Administration and Defence Non-basic Non-basicEducation Basic BasicHealth and Social Works Basic BasicCommunity, Social and Personal Services

Non-basic Non-basic

Basic and Non-Basic sector identification of Rajshahi District

Page 36: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

0.0015.0030.0045.00

Percent change in GDP of Basic Sectors in between 1995-96 and

1999-2000 (Sirajganj)

Basic Sectors

Perc

ent

Chan

ge in

GD

P

Percent change in GDP of Basic Sectors for Sirajganj

Highest change is observed in Construction sector.

Significant change in Education sector.

Page 37: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

0.0020.0040.0060.00

Percent change in GDP of Non-basic Sectors in between 1995-96

and 1999-2000 (Sirajganj)

Non-basic Sectors

Perc

ent

Chan

ge in

GD

P

Percent change in GDP of Non-Basic Sectors for Sirajganj

Highest change is observed in Mining and Quarrying sector.

Page 38: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Agriculture and Forestry Electricity, Gas and Water Supply27.5028.0028.5029.0029.5030.00

Percent change in GDP of Basic Sectors in 1995-95 which have Turned into Non-basic Sectors

in 1999-2000 (Sirajganj)

Sectors

Perc

ent

Chan

ge in

GD

P

Percent change in GDP of Basic Sectors in 1995-95 which have Turned into Non-basic Sectors in 1999-2000

Page 39: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

0.00600.00

1200.00

Amount of National share of changed GDP of Basic Sectors of

Sirajganj District

Basic Sectors

GD

P in

mill

ion

tk.

Changed GDP for Basic sectors of Sirajganj District

Highest change is observed in Construction sector.

Significant change in Wholesale and Retail Trade sector.

Page 40: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

0.00150.00300.00450.00

Amount of National share of changed GDP of Non-basic

sectors of Sirajganj District

Non-basic Sectors

GD

P in

mill

ion

tk.

Changed GDP for Non-Basic sectors of Sirajganj District

Highest change is observed in Transport, Storage and Communication sector.

Significant change in Community, Social and Personal Service sector.

Page 41: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Agriculture and Forestry Electricity, Gas and Water Supply0.00

400.00

800.00

1200.00

Amount of National share of changed GDP of Basic Sectors in 1995-95 which have Turned into

Non-basic Sectors in 1999-2000of Sirajganj District

Sectors

GD

P in

mill

ion

tk.

Amount of National share of changed GDP of Basic Sectors in 1995-95 which have Turned into Non-basic Sectors in 1999-2000 for Sirajganj District

Page 42: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

-300.000.00

300.00

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Basic Sectors of

Sirajganj District

Basic Sectors

Indu

stry

MIx

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Basic sectors of Sirajganj District

Highest positive change is observed in Construction sector.

Highest negative change is observed in Real Estate, Renting and Business Activity sector.

Page 43: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Non-Basic sectors of Sirajganj District

Highest positive change is observed in Fishing sector.

Highest negative change is observed in Community, Social and Personal Service sector.

-200.00-100.00

0.00100.00

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Non-basic

sectors of Sirajganj District

Non-basic Sectors

Indu

stry

Mix

Page 44: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis Agriculture and Forestry Electricity, Gas and Water Supply

-300.00

-200.00

-100.00

0.00

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Basic sectors in 1995-95 which have Turned into Non-basic Sectors in 1999-2000

of Sirajganj District

Sectors

Indu

stry

MIx

Amount of Industry Mix of changed GDP of Basic sectors in 1995-95 which have Turned into Non-basic Sectors in 1999-2000 of Sirajganj District

Page 45: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

-400.00-250.00-100.00

50.00

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Basic Sectors of

Sirajganj District

Basic Sectors

Regi

onal

Shi

ft

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Basic Sectors of Sirajganj District

Highest positive change is observed in Education sector.

Highest negative change is observed in Communication sector.

Page 46: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

-250.00-150.00-50.0050.00

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Non-basic

sectors of Sirajganj District

Non-basic Sectors

Regi

onal

Shi

ft

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Non-Basic Sectors of Sirajganj District

Highest positive change is observed in Mining and Quarrying sector.

Slight negative change is observed in Fishing sector.

Page 47: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis Agriculture and Forestry Electricity, Gas and Water Supply

0.00100.00200.00300.00400.00500.00600.00

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Basic Sectors in 1995-95 which have Turned into Non-basic Sectors in 1999-2000

of Sirajganj District

Sectors

Regi

onal

Shi

ft

Amount of Regional Shift of changed GDP of Basic Sectors in 1995-95 which have Turned into Non-basic Sectors in 1999-2000 of Sirajganj District

Page 48: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

  Basic Sectors Non-basic Sectors

Anomaly Sectors

National Share

4000.09 1027.64 1378.34

Industry Mix 417.23 9.13 -298.99

Regional Shift -494.32 -169.77 593.66

Total change in GDP

3923.00 867.00 1673.00

Total change in GDP for Sirajganj District

Page 49: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Agriculture Industry Services-500.00

0.00

500.00

1000.00

1500.00

2000.00

2500.00

3000.00

National Share, Industrial Mix and Regional Shift in the Three Broad

Sectors

National Share Industry Mix Regional Shift

Broad Sectors

Chan

ged

GD

P (in

mill

ion

tk.)

National Share, Industrial Mix and Regional Shift in the Three Broad Sectors for Sirajganj District

Page 50: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Fast Growing Sectors 

Slow Growing Sectors

Wholesale and retail trade

Fishing Public Administration

and Defense Transport, Storage

and Communication Construction Hotel and

Restaurants Education

Agriculture and Forestry Manufacturing Financial intermediaries Real estate, Renting and

Business Activities Electricity, Gas and Water

supply Mining and Quarrying Community, Social and

Personal Services Health and Social Works

 

Identification of Fast and Slow Growing Sectors for Sirajganj district from Industry Mix

Page 51: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Leading Sectors Lagging Sectors Agriculture and

Forestry Mining and Quarrying Financial

intermediaries Electricity, Gas and

Water supply Hotel and

Restaurants Transport, Storage

and Communication Education Public Administration

and Defense Community, Social

and Personal Services

Fishing Manufacturing Construction Wholesale and retail

trade Real estate, Renting and

Business Activities Health and Social Works

Identification of Leading and Lagging Sectors for Sirajganj district from Regional Shift

Page 52: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Basic Non-basic Anomaly 0500

10001500200025003000350040004500

Comparison of National Share of Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj

Districts

Pabna Rajshahi Sirajganj

Sectors

Nat

iona

l Sha

re

Comparison of National Share of Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj Districts

Highest National Share for Basic Sectors is found in Rajshahi district.

Highest National Share for Non-Basic Sectors is found in Pabna district

Page 53: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Basic Non-basic Anomaly -400-200

0200400600

Comparison of Industry Mix of Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj

Districts

Pabna Rajshahi Sirajganj

Sectors

Indu

stry

Mix

Comparison of Industry Mix of Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj Districts

Highest Industry Mix for Basic Sectors is found in Sirajganj district.

Highest Industry Mix for Non-Basic Sectors is found in Pabna district

Page 54: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Basic Non-basic Anomaly -600-400-200

0200400600800

Comparison of Regional Shift of Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj

Districts

Pabna Rajshahi Sirajganj

Sectors

Regi

onal

Shi

ft

Comparison of Regional Shift of Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj Districts

Highest Regional Shift for Basic Sectors is found in Rajshahi district.

Highest Regional Shift for Non-Basic Sectors is found in Pabna district

Page 55: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Basic Sectors Non-basic Sectors Anomaly Sectors0100020003000400050006000

Comparison of Different Sectors GDP Change of Pabna, Rajshahi

and Sirajganj Districts

Pabna Rajshahi Sirajganj

Sectors

GD

P Ch

ange

in M

Illio

n tk

.

Comparison Different Sectors GDP Change of Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj Districts

Highest Different Sectors GDP Change for Basic Sectors is found in Rajshahi district.

Highest Different Sectors GDP Change for Non-Basic Sectors is found in Pabna district

Page 56: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Introduction

Objectives

Study Area Profile

Working procedure

Data Analysis

Pabna Rajshahi Sirajganj5800600062006400660068007000720074007600

Comparison of Net GDP Change of Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj

Districts

Districts

GD

P Ch

ange

in M

illio

n tk

.

Comparison Net GDP Change of Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj Districts

Highest Net GDP Change for Basic Sectors is found in Rajshahi district.

Page 57: Shift-Share Analysis for Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj District

Thank You