Sharon Construction Case Study
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Transcript of Sharon Construction Case Study
Case Study (1)
- Sharon Construction Corporation
April 16, 2013
Case situation• Project- 200,000 seat stadium • Start from Feb. 15, expected finish time: 1 year• Overhead cost of $500 per week for any delay after 52 weeks• Penalty of $15,000 per week of delay beyond next Feb. 15 • Uncertainties: Strike and Weather in December (42th weeks).
1.) Possible labor strike in Dec.: No Strike, P=50%; Strike:+8 weeks , P=35%; +12 weeks , P=15% 2.) Possible heating need: 33% with extra heating cost $500 per week, 67% with no heating need.
Five proposals • 1. Expedite the pouring of seat gallery supports with extra cost
$20,000 and cut 6 weeks• 2. The same as proposal 1, but in addition, expediting filling of
the field with extra cost $10,000 and cut 5 weeks • 3. Expedite the roofing with extra cost $9,000 and cut 6 weeks • 4. Do nothing until Dec. 1. If it is cold, delay the pouring or
heating; If a strike occurs, expedite all activities after strike over with extra cost $3000 per activity per week.
• 5. Do nothing until Dec. 1.
A clean site
B Subsurface drainage
CField & Truck filling
DTurf
installation
EExcavation
FPouring concrete footing
G Pouring
seat gallery
support
HPre cast galleries
IPouring
concrete seats
JInstalling
steel structure
K Roof
erection
LBuilding dressing
room
MSeat
paintingFINISH
NLight
installation
OScoreboard &
facilities
Precedence Network
8
80
8
8
8
16
4
12
16
14
30
12
4
16
16
30
12
12
28
16
4 8
20 20 28
28
42
41
13
41 45
428
4
32
45 48
3
28
285
4
33
48
32
Critical Path: A E F G H I M
A clean site
B Subsurface drainage
CField & Truck filling
DTurf
installation
EExcavation
FPouring concrete footing
G Pouring
seat gallery
support
HPre cast galleries
IPouring
concrete seats
JInstalling
steel structure
K Roof
erection
LBuilding dressing
room
MSeat
paintingFINISH
NLight
installation
OScoreboard &
facilities
8
80
8
8
8
16
4
12
16
14
30
12
4
16
16
30
12
6
22
16
4 8
20 20 28
22
42+X
35
13
35 39
428
4
32
39 42+X
3
28
285
4
33
42+X
32
Proposal 1Possible strike occurs in 42th week
Possible strike occurs in 42th week
Actual CostP(Strike) No heating
(P=67%)Heating(P=33%)
No strike, P=50% $20,000 $20,000
Strike +8w, P=35% $20,000 $20,000
Strike +12w, P=15% $51,000 $51,000 $20,000[Expediting cost]+(42+12-52) x ($15,000[Penalty]+$500[Overhead]) =$51,000
A clean site
B Subsurface drainage
CField & Truck filling
DTurf
installation
EExcavation
FPouring concrete footing
G Pouring
seat gallery
support
HPre cast galleries
IPouring
concrete seats
JInstalling
steel structure
K Roof
erection
LBuilding dressing
room
MSeat
paintingFINISH
NLight
installation
OScoreboard &
facilities
8
80
8
8
8
16
4
12
16
9
25
12
4
16
16
25
12
6
22
16
4 8
20 20 28
22
37
35
13
35 39
428
4
32
39 42+X
3
28
285
4
33
42+X
32
Proposal 2
Possible strike occurs in 42th week
Actual Cost
$30,000[Expediting cost] +(42+12-52)x ($15,000[Penalty]+$500[Overhead cost]) = $61,000
P(Strike) No heating (P=67%)
Heating(P=33%)
No strike, P=50% $30,000 $30,000
Strike +8w, P=35% $30,000 $30,000
Strike +12w, P=15% $61,000 $61,000
Scenario of Proposal 3
scenario
No Strike
Good weather no heating needed,
done within 48 weeks
Bad weather, delay 4 weeks, no heating
needed, done within 52 weeks.
Bad weather, heating needed, done within
48 weeks
Strike
+8 weeks strike, no heating needed, done
within 56 weeks
+12 weeks strike, no heating needed, done
within 60 weeks
A clean site
B Subsurface drainage
CField & Truck filling
DTurf
installation
EExcavation
FPouring concrete footing
G Pouring
seat gallery
support
HPre cast galleries
IPouring
concrete seats
JInstalling
steel structure
K Roof
erection
LBuilding dressing
room
MSeat
paintingFINISH
NLight
installation
OScoreboard &
facilities
8
80
8
8
8
16
4
12
16
14
30
12
4
16
16
30
12
12
28
16
4 2
20 20 22
28
42+X
41
13
41 45+X
422
4
36
45+X 48+X
3
22
225
4
27
48+X
26
Proposal 3Possible strike and cold weather occur in 42th week
Possible strike and cold weather occur in 42th week
Actual CostP(Strike) No heating
(P=67%)Heating(P=33%)
No strike, P=50% $9,000 $11,000
Strike +8w, P=35% $71,000 $71,000
Strike +12w, P=15% $133,000 $133,000 $9,000[Expediting cost] +(48+12-52) x ($500[Overhead cost] + $15,000[Penalty]) =$133,000
Scenario of Proposal 4
scenario
No Strike
Good weather, no heating needed,
done within 48 weeks
Bad weather, delay 4 weeks, no heating
needed, done within 52 weeks
Bad weather, heating needed, done within
48 weeks
Strike
+8 weeks strike, Crash 4 weeks, no heating
needed, done within 52 weeks
+12 weeks strike, Crash 4 weeks , no heating
needed, done within 56 weeks
A clean site
B Subsurface drainage
CField & Truck filling
DTurf
installation
EExcavation
FPouring concrete footing
G Pouring
seat gallery
support
HPre cast galleries
IPouring
concrete seats
JInstalling
steel structure
K Roof
erection
LBuilding dressing
room
MSeat
paintingFINISH
NLight
installation
OScoreboard &
facilities
8
80
8
8
8
16
4
12
16
14
30
12
4
16
16
30
12
12
28
16
4 8
20 20 28
28
42+8
41
13
41 49+2
4-2=228
4
32
51 51+1
3-2=1
28
285
4
33
52
32
Proposal 4Possible strike and cold weather occur in 42th week
Possible strike and cold weather occur in 42th week
Actual CostP(Strike) No heating
(P=67%)Heating(P=33%)
No strike, P=50% $0 $2,000
Strike +8w, P=35% $12,000 $12,000
Strike +12w, P=15% $74,000 $74,000
42+12
53+2
55 55+1
56
$3,000[crash cost]x4 +(56-52) x ($500[Overhead cost] + $15,000[Penalty]) = $74,000
$3,000[ Expediting cost] x 4 weeks= $12,000
Scenario of Proposal 5
scenario
No Strike
Good weather, no heating needed,
done within 48 weeks
Bad weather, delay 4 weeks, no heating
needed, done within 52 weeks
Bad weather, heating needed, done within
48 weeks
Strike
+8 weeks strike, no heating needed,
done within 56 weeks
+12 weeks strike,no heating needed,
done within 60 weeks
A clean site
B Subsurface drainage
CField & Truck filling
DTurf
installation
EExcavation
FPouring concrete footing
G Pouring
seat gallery
support
HPre cast galleries
IPouring
concrete seats
JInstalling
steel structure
K Roof
erection
LBuilding dressing
room
MSeat
paintingFINISH
NLight
installation
OScoreboard &
facilities
8
80
8
8
8
16
4
12
16
14
30
12
4
16
16
30
12
12
28
16
4 8
20 20 28
28
42+X
41
13
41+X 45+X
428
4
32
45+X 48+X
3
28
285
4
33
48+X
32
Proposal 5Possible strike and cold weather occur in 42th week
Possible strike and cold weather occur in 42th week
Actual CostP(Strike) No heating
(P=67%)Heating(P=33%)
No strike, P=50% $0 $2,000
Strike +8w, P=35% $62,000 $62,000
Strike +12w, P=15% $124,000 $124,000(48+8-52)x ($500[Overhead cost]+$15,000[Penalty])= $62,000
Cost AnalysisNo heating Scenario (67%)
Heating needed Scenario (33%)
Probability Strike Proposal 1
Proposal 2
Proposal 3
Proposal 4
Proposal 5
No Strike- 50% $20,000 $30,000 $9,000 $0 $0
+8 weeks- 35% $20,000 $30,000 $71,000 $12,000 $62,000
+12 weeks- 15% $51,000 $61,000 $133,000 $74,000 $124,000
EMV $24,650 $34,650 $49,300 $15,300 $40,300
Probability Strike Proposal 1
Proposal 2
Proposal 3
Proposal 4
Proposal 5
No Strike- 50% $20,000 $30,000 $11,000 $2000 $2000
+8 weeks- 35% $20,000 $30,000 $71,000 $12,000 $62,000
+12 weeks- 15% $51,000 $61,000 $133,000 $74,000 $124,000
EMV $24,650 $34,650 $49,330 $15, 630 $40, 630
Recommendation based on Cost Analysis-EMV method
• Choose proposal 4• Proposal 1 would be the second choice
Reason• Proposal 4 has the lowest EMV, and it can end up with no
extra cost.• Proposal 1 would be the second choice because it has
second lowest EMV and is better than 2, 3 and 5 if a strike happens.• If the CEO is adverse to risk, then select proposal 1
which has smaller loss range (from $20,000 to $ 51,000)
Time Analysis
Probability Strike Proposal 1
Proposal 2
Proposal 3
Proposal 4
Proposal 5
No Strike- 50% 42 42 48 48 48
+8 weeks- 35% 50 50 56 52 56
+12 weeks- 15% 54 54 60 56 60
Make span 46.6 46.6 52.6 50.6 52.6
Recommendation based on Time Analysis
• Take proposal 1• Proposal 4 would be the second choice
Reason• Proposal 1 & 2 has the shortest average duration, but
proposal 2 costs more. • Proposal 4 would be the second choice because it has
second shortest average duration and is better than proposal 1 if the cost-time ratio is considered.• If the CEO cares time the most, then select proposal 1.
Other factors• Behavioral – Employee morale and enthusiasm if a strike
occurs. Is this company brand oriented?• Organizational – Will a strike and falling behind schedule lead
to layoffs or low morale? Does the sub-contractor have the capacity to work in an expedited scenario?
• Political- Will local or state government become involved in a labor dispute
• Financial- how urgently does the firm need cash flow? Will early completion lead to financial benefits?
• Cultural – If labor force is mostly of the same background, they may be more culturally or less culturally likely to strike.
Decision making as the president• I will choose proposal 4.• The first reason is obvious that it has the lowest EMV. I am a
risk seeker so I do not think the broader loss rang would be a big problem.
• Although proposal 4 has longer duration than proposal 1 based on Time Analysis. Besides, there is no extra bonus if we get it done earlier. For financial reason, I will choose proposal 4 for sure.