SF Technical Cost Benchmarks Final - Home - Rocky Mountain ... · 1 Multifamily*NetZero...
Transcript of SF Technical Cost Benchmarks Final - Home - Rocky Mountain ... · 1 Multifamily*NetZero...
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• Acronym Key
• Analysis Process
• Retrofit Economics
• Technical Analysis Details– 6 Unit Building Analysis Results
– 15 Unit Building Analysis Results
– 65 Unit Building Analysis Results
Table of Contents
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ACEEE – American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy
ACH50 – Air Changes Per Hour Taken at 50 Pascals
AFUE – Annual Fuel Utilization Efficiency
ASHRAE – American Society of Heating, Refrigerating, and Air-Conditioning Engineers
BAU – Business As Usual
BB – Baseboard
BEopt – NREL’s Building Energy Optimization Model
CFL – Compact Fluorescent Lamp
CO2 – Carbon Dioxide
DHW – Domestic Hot Water
ECM – Energy Conservation Measure
EE – Energy Efficiency
EIA – Energy Information Administration
EUI – Energy Use Intensity
GPM – Gallons Per Minute
HP – Heat Pump
HPHW – Heat Pump Hot Water
HSPF – Heating Seasonal Performance Factor
HVAC – Heating Ventilation and Air Conditioning
HW – Hot Water
ITC – Solar Investment Tax Credit
kBTU – Kilo British Thermal Unit
kW – Kilo Watt
LB - Pound
LED – Light Emitting Diode
LIHTC – Low Income Housing Tax Credit
Low-E – Low-emittance
NREL – National Renewable Energy Lab
NZEc – Net Zero Carbon
NPV – Net Present Value
PG&E MUP – Pacific Gas & Electric Multifamily Upgrade Program
PV – Present Value
SAM – System Advisor Model
SEER – Seasonal Energy Efficiency Ratio
SF – Square Foot
Solar PV – Solar Photovoltaic
STD – Standard
YR - Year
Acronym Key
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Retrofit Technical and Cost Benchmark ProcessA detailed “how-to” guide is available that explains key considerations
and gives resources to complete each step
Step 8: Optimize Analysis To Hit Net Zero In The Most Cost Effective WayUsed BEopt to optimize efficiency package
Step 7: FinancingUsed a 15 and 25 year analysis period and 5% discount rate;; incentives included LIHTC, PG&E MUP, and ITC
Step 6: Utility EconomicsDetermined utility escalation rates, typical rate structure, and carbon produced from electricity and natural gas
Step 5: Solar AnalysisUsed SAM to determine carbon offset of solar arrays with different efficiency and racking configurations
Step 4: Energy Conservation MeasuresIncluded envelope, lighting, HVAC, rooftop PV, offsite renewables, and appliances in analysis
Step 3: Select Prototypical BuildingsThree prototype buildings were selected: 6 unit, 15 unit, and 65 unit
Step 2: Identify Appropriate Modeling Tools and Data SetsBuilding Energy Optimization (BEopt) and System Advisor Model (SAM) were the modeling tools used
Step 1: Determine Scope of ProjectAffordable multifamily buildings in greater San Francisco were analyzed for net zero carbon
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Modeling Tools Used
Building Energy Optimization (BEopt) System Advisor Model (SAM)
BEopt was used to optimize EE measures and SAM was used to do a detailed solar analysis. Because these were done in two separate programs a degree of manual optimization was required.
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Defining “Net Zero”
This analysis defined net zero as net zero carbon, which is achieved when an equivalent unit of carbon-free renewable energy is produced (on or off site) to offset each unit of fossil fuel energy used by the building.
BEopt uses site energy to calculate carbonElectric: Carbon Factor: 0.427 lb/kWh from PG&E 2013 (last verified)Gas: Carbon Factor: 14.150 lb/therm from ASHRAE STD 105
Building CO2 Production: Electricity: 36 tons/yr
Gas: 4 tons/yr
Renewable CO2 Offset:40 tons/yr
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Three Prototypical San Francisco Building Types
The majority of affordable multifamily buildings in San Francisco were constructed prior to 1980, have gas furnace heating, and are three stories or less.
+ Greater San Francisco Bay Area has 69,857 affordable housing units* 58% of San Francisco homes use natural gas, 36% electricity according to an ACEEE 2017 report
Category: 5-9 unit buildings Market Share+: 8.9% (~6.2K units)
6 Unit Prototype• Built pre-1980s • 4,725 sf• 3 stories • Row home• Furnace, no cooling*• Individual gas HW heater
Category: 10-19 unit buildings Market Share+: 22.5% (~16K units)
15 Unit Prototype • Built pre-1980s• 11,270 sf• 3 stories• Stand alone building• Furnace, no cooling*• Central gas HW heater
Category: 20+ unit building Market Share+: 66.2% (~46K units)
65 Unit Prototype • Built pre-1980s• 40,900 sf• 5 stories• Stand alone building• Central boiler, no cooling* • Central gas HW heater
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Results Summary
For the 6 and 15 unit prototypes, there are many existing cost-effective paths to net zero via custom retrofits. Net zero is technically feasible for 65 units, but not cost effective.
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6 Unit Prototype: Analysis Key Take-aways
NZEc Mini-Split Retrofit
• Site EUI of 17.6 kBtu/sf • No offsite renewables
required• No envelope upgrades
required;; great for buildings with complex envelope
• Provides optional cooling• Market-ready technology• All electric solution• 25 YR NPV* with
incentives: $61,200 • 8.7 year simple payback
period
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.35%, which is a blended average based on 10years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
Several retrofit paths to net zero are cost effective now. Further cost-reduction would be helpful to make the business case even more compelling.
NZEc Baseboard + Envelope Retrofit
• Site EUI of 17.4 kBtu/sf • No offsite renewables
required• Great for buildings that
want to electrify• Market-ready technology• All electric solution• 25 YR NPV* with
incentives: $64,400 • 8.1 year simple payback
period
NZEc Envelope Retrofit
• Site EUI of 17.8 kBtu/sf • No offsite renewables
required• No HVAC upgrade
required;; great for buildings with recently replaced HVAC or improving aesthetics
• Market-ready technology• 25 YR NPV* with
incentives: $62,900 • 8.2 year simple payback
period
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15 Unit Prototype: Analysis Key Take-aways
NZEc Mini-Split Retrofit
• Site EUI of 19.5 kBtu/sf • No offsite renewables
required• No envelope upgrades
required;; great for buildings with complex envelope
• Provides optional cooling• Market-ready technology• All electric solution• 25 YR NPV* with
incentives: $187,000 • 8.5 year simple payback
period
NZEc Baseboard + Envelope Retrofit
• Site EUI of 20.9 kBtu/sf • No offsite renewables
required• Great for buildings that
want to electrify• Market-ready technology• All electric solution• 25 YR NPV* with
incentives: $213,000 • 7.1 year simple payback
period
NZEc Envelope Retrofit
• Site EUI of 20.6 kBtu/sf • No offsite renewables
required• No HVAC upgrade
required;; great for buildings with recently replaced HVAC or improving aesthetics
• Market-ready technology• 25 YR NPV* with
incentives: $189,000• 8.1 year simple payback
period
Several retrofit paths to net zero are cost effective now. Further cost-reduction would be helpful to make the business case even more compelling.
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.28%, which is a blended average based on 10years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
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65 Unit Prototype: Analysis Key Take-aways
• Site EUI is 16.8 kBtu/sf• Can achieve NZEc with efficient rooftop
solar PV• Measures less cost effective than solar
PV required to reduce load• All electric solution• 25 YR NPV* with incentives: $295,000• 14.9 year simple payback period
Net zero retrofits for this prototype require cost reductions in order to achieve payback during a typical investment cycle of 15 years, but are cost effective in a 25 year analysis.
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.48%, which is a blended average based on 10years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
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NZEc Retrofit Cost Benchmarks and Targets
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.35% for the 6 unit prototype, 2.28% for the 15 unit prototype, and 2.48% for the 65 unit prototype. Escalation rates are a blended average based on 10 years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
6 Unit Prototype
15 Unit Prototype
65 Unit Prototype
Current Net Zero Carbon Retrofit Cost ($/Unit) $19,013 $22,255 $22,296
Cost With Current Incentives ($/Unit) $7,527 $8,985 $11,329
Price Point Using 25 Year Present Value* Utility Bill Savings ($/Unit) $17,997 $22,053 $12,189
Cost Reduction Required to be Paid for Through 25YR Utility Bill Savings (Without Incentives/With Incentives) 5.34% / 0% 0.9% / 0% 45.3% / 0%
Price Point for 10 Year Simple Payback Period ($/Unit) $9,045 $11,371 $5,867
Cost Reduction Required for 10 Year Simple Payback Period (Without Incentives/With Incentives) 52.4% / 0% 48.9% / 0%
73.7% / 48.2%
Benchmarks and targets were determined by averaging results from the selected net zero carbon retrofit packages for each prototype.
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• R-15 wall insulation• R-15 roof insulation• 4 ACH50 air leakage, no mechanical vent• Single pane windows• Keep existing furnace, natural gas, 72% AFUE• No cooling• Heat pump hot water heater, individual• 100% LED lights• Low flow water fixtures (1.8 gpm shower, 1.5 gpm sink)• ENERGY STAR clothes washer• 18.2 kW rooftop solar PV• Electric cooking range
6 Unit Prototype: Retrofit Packages
• R-15 wall insulation• R-15 roof insulation• 6 ACH50 air leakage, no mechanical vent• Single pane windows• Electric baseboards• No cooling• Heat pump hot water heater, individual• 100% LED lights• Low flow water fixtures (1.8 gpm shower, 1.5 gpm sink)• ENERGY STAR clothes washer• 17.5 kW rooftop solar PV• Electric cooking range
NZEc Baseboard + Envelope Retrofit NZEc Envelope Retrofit
• No wall upgrades• No roof upgrades• No air sealing improvements, no mechanical ventilation added• No window improvements• Mini-split HP, 29.3 SEER, 14 HSPF• Heat pump hot water heater, individual• 100% LED lights• Low flow water fixtures (1.8 gpm shower, 1.5 gpm sink)• ENERGY STAR clothes washer• 17.8 kW rooftop solar PV• Electric cooking range
NZEc Mini-Split Retrofit
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6 Unit Prototype: Retrofit Package Comparison
All three packages are comparable. The baseboard + envelope package would be the most cost-effective maximizing financial benefits of solar under CA NEM, with lowest total cost. However, California Energy Code discourages electric resistance heating due to cost of grid electricity during peak periods (i.e. Time Dependent Valuation), so this solution may not be permitted.
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NZEc Mini-Split NZEc BB+Envelope NZEc Envelope
Site EUI (kBtu/sf)
Gas EUI Electric EUI
NPV 15 Yr NPV 25 Yr
NPV* ($)
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.35%, which is a blended average based on 10years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. 15 years selected as typical investment cycle for affordable housing. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
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51%
5%
13%
2%1%2%
6%
10%
5%
2%3%
Solar PV
HW Htr*
Envelope
NZEc Baseboard + Envelope Retrofit
50%
28%
12%
1%1% 2%
6%
Solar PV
HVAC
HW Htr*
Solar, HVAC, envelope, and hot water heater are the biggest cost drivers, and, therefore, are likely the best targets for cost savings through industrialized solutions.
53%
13%2%
1%2%
6%
10%
6%4%3%
Solar PV
Envelope
HW Htr*
NZEc Envelope RetrofitNZEc Mini-Split Retrofit
6 Unit Prototype: Cost Comparison
Solar
*Htr - Heater
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25YR PV Water + Sewage Bill 25YR PV Energy BillCost with Incentives Air LeakageRoof Insulation Wall InsulationElectric Range ENERGY STAR Clothes WasherLow Flow Fixtures LEDSolar PV HPWHHVAC
Mini-split NZEcRetrofit
BAU Improvement
Envelope NZEc Retrofit
BB + Envelope NZEc Retrofit
6 Unit Prototype: NZEc Retrofit vs. BAU
With existing incentives, the NZEc retrofits are more cost effective than business as usual.
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.35%, which is a blended average based on 10 years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
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6 Unit Prototype: ECMs Savings And Cost
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0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5
Cost to Install Measure
Annual Carbon Saving (Metric Tons)
Mini-split 14 HSPF HPHWLED Low flowENERGYSTAR washer Wall R-15Roof R-35 WindowReduce air leakage Smart Thermostat
Note: All measures compared to baseline building with furnace. Does not take into account interactive effects of each measure.
The most cost effective measures reduce DHW load and heating load. These independently modeled measures don’t account for reduced carbon savings from interactive effects.
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6 Unit Prototype: Incentives Available
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Solar PV EE
LIHTC (4%)
NZEcRetrofit
NZEc Retrofit W/ Incentives
PG&E MUP
ITC
59%
Currently, incentives cut cost of net zero retrofit by almost two thirds.
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GasElectric
Baseline Mini-split NZEc Retrofit
BB+ Envelope NZEc Retrofit
Envelope NZEcRetrofit
6 Unit Prototype: Utility Bill Savings
86%
The net zero retrofits eliminate the annual energy utility bill, except for fixed costs.
86% 83%
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The NPV of the net zero retrofit will result in positive savings in the typical 15 year investment cycle.
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Cost ($) 59%
Reduction
6 Unit Prototype: Summary Mini-split Package
Incentives
PV 15* YR Utility Bill Savings
NPV 15* YR
NZEc Retrofit W/ Incentives
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.35%, which is a blended average based on 10years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. 15 years selected as typical investment cycle for affordable housing. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
Planned Update Planned
Update
COST SAVINGS
Heat Pump NZEcRetrofit
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Savings ($)
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NPV 25* YR
The NPV of the net zero retrofit will result in positive savings in the typical 15 year investment cycle. As noted previously, this solution may not pass Title 24 Energy Code, which discourages electric resistance heating.
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61% Reduction
6 Unit Prototype: Summary Baseboard Package
Incentives
PV 15* YR Utility Bill Savings
NPV 15* YR
NZEc Retrofit W/ Incentives
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.35%, which is a blended average based on 10 years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. 15 years selected as typical investment cycle for affordable housing. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
Planned Update Planned
Update
COST SAVINGS
Baseboard NZEcRetrofit
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NPV 25* YR
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6 Unit Prototype: Summary Envelope Package
Incentives
PV 15* YR Utility Bill Savings
NPV 15* YR
NZEc Retrofit W/ Incentives
Planned Update Planned
Update
COST SAVINGS
Baseboard NZEcRetrofit
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.35%, which is a blended average based on 10years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. 15 years selected as typical investment cycle for affordable housing. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
The NPV of the net zero retrofit will result in positive savings in the typical 15 year investment cycle.
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• R-15 wall insulation• R-15 roof insulation• 5 ACH50 air leakage, no mechanical vent• No window improvements• Keep existing furnace, natural gas, 72% AFUE• No cooling• Heat pump hot water heater, individual• 100% LED lights• Low flow water fixtures (1.8 gpm shower, 1.5 gpm sink)• ENERGY STAR clothes washer• Electric cooking range• 55.6 kW rooftop solar PV
15 Unit Prototype: Retrofit Packages
• R-12 wall insulation• R-15 roof insulation• No air sealing improvements, no mechanical ventilation added• No window improvements• Electric baseboards• No cooling• Heat pump hot water heater, individual• 100% LED lights• Low flow water fixtures (1.8 gpm shower, 1.5 gpm sink)• ENERGY STAR clothes washer• Electric cooking range• 55.6 kW rooftop solar PV
NZEc Baseboard + Envelope Retrofit NZEc Envelope Retrofit
• R-12 Wall Insulation• No roof upgrades• No air sealing improvements, no mechanical ventilation added• No window improvements• Mini-split HP, 29.3 SEER, 14 HSPF• Smart thermostat• Heat pump hot water heater, central• 100% LED lights• Low flow water fixtures (1.8 gpm shower, 1.5 gpm sink)• ENERGY STAR clothes washer• Electric cooking range• 51.9 kW rooftop solar PV
NZEc Mini-Split Retrofit
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15 Unit Prototype: Retrofit Package Comparison
All three packages are comparable. The baseboard + envelope package would be the most cost-effective –maximizing financial benefits of solar under CA Net Energy Metering, with lowest total cost. However, California Energy Code discourages electric resistance heating due to cost of grid electricity during peak periods (i.e. Time Dependent Valuation), so this solution may not be permitted.
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Site EUI (kBtu/sf)
Gas EUI Electricity EUINPV 15 Yr NPV 25 Yr
NPV* ($)
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.28%, which is a blended average based on 10years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. 15 years selected as typical investment cycle for affordable housing. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
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61%
4%3%2%
1%2%
5%
10%
12%
Solar PV
Envelope
NZEc Baseboard + Envelope Retrofit
52%
23%
3%1%1% 2% 5%
11%2%
Solar PVHVAC
Solar, HVAC, and envelope are the biggest cost drivers, and, therefore, are likely the best targets for cost savings through industrialized solutions.
57%
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5%
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Solar PV
Envelope
NZEc Envelope RetrofitNZEc Mini-Split Retrofit
15 Unit Prototype: Cost Breakdown
Solar
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0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000800,000900,000
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Cost ($)
25YR PV Water + Sewage Bill 25YR PV Energy BillCost with Incentives Air LeakageRoof Insulation Wall InsulationElectric Range ENERGY STAR Clothes WasherLow Flow Fixtures LEDSolar PV HPWHHVAC
Mini-split NZEcRetrofit
BAU Improvement
Envelope NZEc Retrofit
BB + Envelope NZEc Retrofit
15 Unit Prototype: NZEc Retrofit vs. BAU
With current incentives, the NZEc retrofits are more cost effective than business as usual.
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.28%, which is a blended average based on 10 years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
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15 Unit Prototype: EE With Furnace Baseline
The most cost effective measures reduce DHW load and heating load. These independently modeled measures don’t account for reduced carbon savings from interactive effects.
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Annual Carbon Saving (Metric Tons)
HP 14 HSPFHPHWLEDLow FlowENERGYSTAR WasherWall R-12Roof R-35Window3 ACH50Smart Thermostat
Note: All measures compared to baseline building with furnace. Does not take into account interactive effects of each measure.
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Solar PV EE
15 Unit Prototype: Incentives Available
LIHTC (4%)
NZ Retrofit
NZ Retrofit W/ Incentives
PG&E MUP
ITC
58%
Current incentives drastically reduce the cost of net zero retrofits.
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GasElectric
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BB+ Envelope NZEc Retrofit
Envelope NZEcRetrofit
15 Unit Prototype: Utility Bill Savings
89%
The net zero retrofits eliminate the annual energy utility bill except for fixed costs.
89% 86%
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NPV 25* YR
The NPV of the net zero retrofit will result in positive savings in the typical 15 year investment cycle.
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Cost ($) 58%
Reduction
15 Unit Prototype: Summary Mini-split Package
Incentives
PV 15* YR Utility Bill Savings
NPV 15* YR
NZ Retrofit W/ Incentives
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.28%, which is a blended average based on 10years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. 15 years selected as typical investment cycle for affordable housing. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
Planned Updates Planned
Updates
COST SAVINGS
NZ Retrofit
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Cost ($)
61% Reduction
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PV 25* YR Utility Bill Savings
NPV 25* YR
The NPV of the net zero retrofit will result in positive savings in the typical 15 year investment cycle. As noted previously, this solution may not pass Title 24 Energy Code, which discourages electric resistance heating.
15 Unit Prototype: Summary Baseboard Package
Incentives
PV 15* YR Utility Bill Savings
NPV 15* YR
NZ Retrofit W/ Incentives
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.28%, which is a blended average based on 10years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. 15 years selected as typical investment cycle for affordable housing. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
Planned Updates Planned
Updates
COST SAVINGS
NZ Retrofit
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Cost ($) 60%
Reduction
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PV 25* YR Utility Bill Savings
NPV 25* YR
The NPV of the net zero retrofit will result in positive savings in the typical 15 year investment cycle.
15 Unit Prototype: Summary Envelope Package
Incentives
PV 15* YR Utility Bill Savings
NPV 15* YR
NZ Retrofit W/ Incentives
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.28%, which is a blended average based on 10years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. 15 years selected as typical investment cycle for affordable housing. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
Planned Updates Planned
Updates
COST SAVINGS
NZ Retrofit
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65 Unit Prototype: Retrofit Package
• Masonry walls, uninsulated• 2x6 wood framed roof• 7 ACH50 air leakage, no mechanical vent• Single pane windows• Central hot water boiler serving radiators• No cooling• Non-programmable thermostat• Hot water heater, natural gas, central• 67% incandescent, 33% CFL lights• Standard water fixtures (2.5 gpm shower, 2.2 gpm sink)• Conventional appliances• Gas cooking range
Baseline Building Proposed Net-Zero Retrofit
• R-15 continuous exterior insulation• R-35 roof• 4 ACH50 air leakage, no mechanical vent• Low-E, double pane windows• Minisplit HP, 29.3 SEER, 14 HSPF• Smart thermostat• Heat pump hot water heater, central• 100% LED lights• Low flow water fixtures • ENERGY STAR clothes washer• ENERGY STAR refrigerator• Heat pump dryer• Electric induction cooking range• 167 kW rooftop solar PV or 208,000 kWh from community choice aggregator
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65 Unit Prototype: Cost Breakdown
Solar, HVAC, envelope, and appliances are the biggest cost drivers, and, therefore, are likely the best targets for cost savings through industrialized solutions.
33%
20%
2%1%1%
15%
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26%
Solar PVMini SplitHPWHLEDLow Flow FixturesAppliancesSmart ThermostatEnvelope
Solar PV
Appliances
Envelope
HVAC
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25YR PV Water + Sewage Bill 25YR PV Energy BillCost with Incentives Solar PVSmart Thermostat Low Flow FixturesLED HPWHMini Split EnvelopeAppliances
NZEc Retrofit W/ Rooftop Solar
BAU Improvement
NZEc Retrofit W/ Offsite Renewables
65 Unit Prototype: NZEc Retrofit vs. BAU
The NZEc retrofits are comparable to business as usual during the life of the retrofit package.
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.48%, which is a blended average based on 10 years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
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Cost to Install Measure
Annual Carbon Saving (Metric Tons)
HP 29.3 SEERHPHWLEDLow FlowENERGYSTAR WasherWall R-15Roof R-35WindowAir LeakageSmart Thermostat
65 Unit Prototype: ECMs Savings And Cost
Note: All measures compared to baseline building with furnace. Does not take into account interactive effects of each measure.
The most cost effective measures reduce DHW load and heating load. These independently modeled measures don’t account for reduced carbon savings from interactive effects.
40
0200,000400,000600,000800,000
1,000,0001,200,0001,400,0001,600,0001,800,0002,000,000
Cost ($)
Solar PV EE
65 Unit Prototype: Incentives with Rooftop PV
LIHTC (4%)
NZEcRetrofit
NZEc Retrofit W/ Incentives
PG&E MUP
ITC
51%
Incentives cut the cost of a net zero retrofit by half.
41
65 Unit Prototype: Renewable Program vs. Rooftop Solar PV
Using this approach requires investment in deep energy efficiency measures and rooftop solar
Approach 1: Rooftop Photovoltaics Approach 2: CleanPowerSF (Offsite Renewables)
CleanPowerSF avoids upfront cost of rooftop PV, creating a fairly easy path to NZEc even in high rise buildings, but adds ~2 cents/kWh to utility bill
CleanPowerSF allows for lower upfront costs and rooftop solar PV provides lower total cost of ownership.
42
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
Annual Utility Bill ($)
100% Renewable ElectricGasElectric
Baseline Proposed with Rooftop Solar PV
Proposed with CleanPowerSF
65 Unit Prototype: Energy Utility Bill
85%
Fixed costs
Renewable power programs almost eliminate utility bill savings from energy efficiency.
11%
43
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
2,000,000
Cost ($)
51% Reduction
-200,000
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
Savings ($)
PV 25* YR Utility Bill Savings
NPV 25* YR
The NPV of the net zero retrofit will not break even in the typical 15 year investment cycle, but saves money over life of the retrofit.
65 Unit Prototype: Summary Rooftop Solar PV
Incentives
PV 15* YR Utility Bill Savings
NPV 15* YR
NZEc Retrofit W/ Incentives
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.48%, which is a blended average based on 10years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. 15 years selected as typical investment cycle for affordable housing. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.
BAU BAU
COST SAVINGS
NZEc Retrofit
44
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
Cost ($)
47% Reduction
-400,000
-300,000
-200,000
-100,000
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
Savings ($)
PV 25* YR Utility Bill Savings
NPV 25* YR
Although CleanPowerSF allows for lower upfront costs, the reduction in energy savings make it far less cost effective than rooftop solar PV.
65 Unit Prototype: Summary Offsite Renewables
Incentives
PV 15* YR Utility Bill Savings
NPV 15* YR
NZEc Retrofit W/ Incentives
BAU BAU
COST SAVINGS
NZEc Retrofit
*Energy savings PV calculated using a 5% discount rate and an escalation rate of 2.48%, which is a blended average based on 10years of gas and electric escalation in California from the EIA. 25 years selected as life of retrofit package. 15 years selected as typical investment cycle for affordable housing. Water and sewage savings calculated assuming 5% discount rate and 5% escalation rate.