Service Science, Management, and Engineering...
Transcript of Service Science, Management, and Engineering...
SSME: Service Science, Management, and Engineering
National Academy of Sciences, Keck Center| Washington, DC | March 29, 2007Committee on Enhancing the Master’s Degree in the Natural Sciences
Service Science, Management, and Engineering (SSME):
A Next Frontier in Education,Employment, Innovation, andEconomic Growth
Presented by Dr. Jim SpohrerDirector, Service ResearchIBM Almaden Research Center, San Jose, [email protected]
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What industry wants from the academy…(based on informal email survey of IBM colleagues *)
§ Depth (deep discipline knowledge and problem solving expertise)- Strong professional affiliation, conferences, publications
§ Breadth (multidisciplinary vocabulary & appreciation of value)§ Practical Experience (Internships, completed projects, patents)
- Ability to use tools of trade effectively§ Communications (multidisciplinary vocabulary, value propositions)§ Teaming (multidisciplinary vocabulary & appreciation, interpersonal)§ Project Management (schedules, deadlines, budgets, resources)§ People Management (leadership, motivation, cultural, diversity)§ Strategic Planning (market, competition, opportunity insights)§ Problem solving via informatics/computation§ Problem solving via social networks/open forums§ Flexible, adaptive, and entrepreneurial (idea to deployment)§ Produced on demand (custom designed to meet business need)
* Note the informal survey was of IBM Research professional 3/21/07
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Validation of employers expressed strong preference in Teitelbaum’s “A New Science Degree to Meet Industry Needs”
§ Broad understanding of relevant disciplines at the graduate level and sufficient flexibility in their research interests to move smoothly from one research project to another as business opportunities emerge§ Capabilities and experience in the kind of interdisciplinary teamwork
that prevails in corporate R&D§ Skills in computational approaches§ Skills in project management that maximize prospects for on-time
completion§ The ability to communicate the importance of research projects to
nonspecialist corporate managers§ The basic business skills needed to function in a large enterprise
Professional Science Master (PSM) is very much in the right direction from industry perspective
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What students should realize…
S&E Bachelors
1/12 S&E doctoral
1/3 Prof (Bus, Law, Med)
1/3 Other non-S&E degree
1/3 Managers
1/3 Sales
1/12 K-12 Educators1/12 Healthcare1/12 Gov & social service
1/24 Communication/Art1/24 Operate tech
½ more education
½ job leading to…
3/12 S&E masters
Approx. based on Regets, “What do people do afterearning a science and engineering bachelor’s degree?”
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Systemic Problems: What we need to solve…
§ Lack of large scale data collection about people’s educational and professional trajectories across complete lifespan
what are the transition probabilities between different job/professional roles§ Ad hoc mechanisms for
tuning academy service efforts to industry needs and opportunities
transforming curricula to stay in touch with latest advances in discipline knowledge (faculty and research interests)
exploiting e-learning systems for continuous improvement
industry and project experience to complement classroom education
projecting future needs§ No continuous improvement mechanism to year over year decrease the
amount of time it takes to educate students on standard content§ Too much emphasis on preparing for a job, and too little emphasis on
preparing to be an innovator and entrepreneur
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SSME: Service Science, Management, and Engineering
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Service scientists are both broad and deep – T-shaped.
“Need I-shaped, T-shaped, π-shaped people… “ – Stuart Feldman (Oct. 6, 2006)
Business and M
anagement
Science and E
ngineering
Econom
ics and Social S
ciences
Math and O
perations Research
Com
puter Science & Info. S
ystems
Industrial and Systems E
ngineering
Business A
nthropology
Organizational C
hange & LearningSlide by Jean Paul Jacob
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Communications of the ACM, July 2006
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At San Francisco’sWestin St Francis
16th Annual AMAFrontiers in Service Conference
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SSME: Service Science, Management, and Engineering
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What is SSME, really?
§ An urgent “call to action”§ A proposed academic discipline§ A proposed research area
Data Value
MANAGEMENTSCIENCEENGINEERING
Knowledge
Slide based on that of Ravi Nemana, UC Berkeley SSME Director
Related activities to date include:ACM, IEEE, INFORMS SIGs forming
38 Programs, 22 CountriesOver 100 conference and journal papers>100 Press, >10,000 Web site mentions
Germany - $87M Innovation with ServicesEuropean Union - NESSI $100M pending
China – 5 Year Plan “Modern Services”Japan - $30M Service Productivity
US - NSF SEE $4M plus otherIBM – 550 Service Researchers WW
Study of SERVICE Systems
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44643331.4Germany302611632.2Banglad.
302010702.2Nigeria
40702552.4Japan386523122.5Russia
205324233.0Brazil353916453.9Indonesia
21702734.8U.S.2823176017.0India
19135155021.0China
25 yr %delta S
%S
%G
% A
% WWLabor
Nation
Top Ten Nations by Labor Force Size(about 50% of world labor in just 10 nations)
A = Agriculture, G = Goods, S = Services
>50% (S) services, >33% (S) services
2004 2004United States
The largest labor force migrationin human history is underway,
driven by global communications, business and technology growth,urbanization and low cost labor.
(A) Agriculture:Value from
harvesting nature(G) Goods:
Value from making products
(S) Services:Value from enhancing the
capabilities of things (customizing,distributing, etc.) and interactions between things
Service innovation driving GDP growth.Why is SSME so important?
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IBM Revenue and PTI Profits Mix
Fundamental Service Science Challenge:Scaling & learning curves are different for IT manufacturing and IT services How to invest to make progress (efficiency effectiveness, and sustainable growth)?
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How to invest to make progress?
Service System (Value Creating System)1. People (division of labor, multi-tasking)2. Technology3. Value Propositions Connecting
Internal and External Service Systems4. Shared Information (language, laws, measures)Computational System
Moore’s LawHigher density transistor
configurations
Normann’s Law?Higher density value co-creation
configurations
Reframing Business: When the Map Changes the LandscapeRichard Normann
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Quadruple Loop Learning of Service Systems
Invest
Relationships Goals Plans Action
Versatility(World
Model &Action
Repertoire)
Sustainability(Ecology)
Effectiveness(Exploration)
Efficiency(Exploitation)
Expectation(Unmet?)
Service actions have quantitative, qualitative, and serendipity components.(Measurable experiential constructs and their relationships)
123
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?+-=Self Sufficiency(versus interconnectedness)
Versatility & SustainabilityAll
Versatility & Sustainability
Efficiency & Effectiveness
Effectiveness
Effectiveness
Effectiveness
Efficiency
Efficiency
Category
Number of People(professions, salaries, ages, diversity, etc.)
Innovation Rates(versus compliance rates)
Time Costs/Quality of Experience(waste, boredom, stress, etc.)
Capabilities/Skills of People(learning curves)
Number of Services Accessible
World Model Fidelity(sense, store, compute, etc.)
Transaction Costs(Trust, Coase, North, etc.)
Communication and Transportation Costs
Change
?+-=
?+-=
-
-
-
-
-
-
Direction
+
+
+
+
+
+
?=
?=
?=
?=
?=
?=
How do service systems learn and evolve?
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SSME: Growing Body of Knowledge about Service
Economics and Social Science
Management
Engineering
Smith
200019501900185018001750
100%
75%
50%
25%
Marx Clark
Percentage of labor force in service sector: US (blue) and World (green)
Argyris
Glushko
Alter
Bryson et alMilgrom& Roberts
Jaikumar & Bohn
March& Simon
Lusch & VargoBerry (1999), Teboul (2006)
Fisk, Grove, & John (2000) .DavisFitzsimmons & Fitzsimmons (2001) Grönroos (2000), Sampson (2000)
Hoffman & Bateson (2002) Lovelock & Wright (2001)Zeithaml & Bitner (2003)
Hesket, Sasser, & Hart, Rust, RamirezPine & Gilmore, Schneider, Chase
Murmann, Seabright, Latour, SenCohen & Zysman, Triplett & Bosworth,Abbott, Baumol, Hill, Gadrey & Gallouj
StermanGanz, Weinhardt, RouseTiene & Berg, Carley
Herzenberg, Alic&Wial
Taylor Deming
Bastiat
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Service is value co-creation§ Provider and customer interact to
coproduce value
§ Value is achieving desired change or the prevention/undoing of unwanted change
§ Changes can be physical, mental, or social (= collective mental states – common or distributed knowledge)
§ Value is in the eye of the beholder, and may include complex subjective intangibles, bartered – knowledge intensive
§ Boundary of service experience in space and time may be complex
Win-Lose(loss lead)
Lose-Lose(war: value
codestruction)
Win-win(service: valuecoproduction)
Lose-win(coercion)
Customer/Client
Provider
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A service system is a type of complex system
“People-Oriented, Services-Intensive, Market-Facing Complex Systems –complex systems and services – are very similar areas
around which we are framing the very complicated problems of business and societal systems that we are trying to understand.”
– Irving Wladawsky-Berger, IBM VP Innovation (Oct. 9, 2006)
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Progression of phenomena: Emergence of Complex Systems
h
Physical SystemPhysics
Chemical SystemChemistry
Biological SystemBiology
Human SystemAnthropology
Service SystemService Science
Culture
People withmental models
Language
Trust
Tools &Technology
OrganizationsAndInstitutions
Value Co-Creation(Service)
Things That Make Us Smart by Donald A. Norman
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How did the service systems come to be?
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2000
000 Y
A
2000
0 YA
1000
0 YA
2000
YA
1800
1850
1900
1950
2000
2050
Services (Info)Services (Other)Industry (Goods)AgricultureHunter-Gatherer
Estimations based on Porat, M. (1977) Info Economy: Definitions and Measurement
Estimated world (pre-1800) and then U.S. Labor Percentages by Sector
The Pursuit of Organizational Intelligence, by James G. MarchExploitation vs exploration
The Origin of Wealthby Eric D. Beinhocker
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10,000 years ago – Agriculture & Cities§ Evolution of Trust: Human beings are the only species in nature to have
developed an elaborate division of labor between strangers. Even something as simple as buying a shirt depends on an astonishing web of interaction and organization that spans the world. But unlike that other uniquely human attribute, language, our ability to cooperate with strangers did not evolve gradually through our prehistory. Only 10,000 years ago--a blink of an eye in evolutionary time--humans hunted in bands, were intensely suspicious of strangers, and fought those whom they could not flee. Yet since the dawn of agriculture we have refined the division of labor to the point where, today, we live and work amid strangers and depend upon millions more. Every time we travel by rail or air we entrust our lives to individuals we do not know. What institutions have made this possible?
The Company of Strangers : A Natural History of Economic Lifeby Paul Seabright
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200 years ago – Railroads/Telegraphs & Businesses
Effects of A
griculture,C
olonial Expansion & E
conomics,
Scientific M
ethod, Industrialization&
Politics, E
ducation, Healthcare &
Inform
ation Technologies, etc.
The Visible Hand: The Managerial Revolution in American Businessby Alfred Dupont Chandler
Rise of the m
odern managerial firm
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Modern service systems tend to give rise to top ten lists…(a kind of shared information; intangible value = reputation/brand)
§ People – Fortune: Most wealthy, Fellows, etc.§ Families – Local Communities: Mother of the year§ Cities – Newsweek: Most livable cities§ Nations – OECD: Quality of life§ Universities – Business Week: Top B-Schools§ Businesses – Business Week: Best employers§ And more Hospitals, Call Centers, Data Centers, etc.
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People
§ “All the information workers observed experienced a high level of fragmentation in the execution of their activities. People averaged about three minutes on a task and about two minutes on any electronic device or paper document before switching tasks.”
Gloria Mark and Victor M. Gonzalez, authors of “Research on Multi-tasking in the Workplace”
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Families
§ "The family is the natural and fundamental group unit of society and is entitled to protection by society and the State".
Article 16(3) of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights
§ “Developing a Family Mission Statement”Stephen R. Covey, author of The 7 Habits of
Highly Effective Families
§ “In the agricultural age, work-life-and-family blended seamlessly.”
IBM GIO 1.0
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Cities
§ “Cities are the defining artifacts of civilisation. All the achievements and failings of humanity are here… We shape the city, and then it shapes us. Today, almost half the global population lives in cities.”
John Reader, author of Cities
§ IBM Releases ``IBM and the Future of our Cities'' Podcast
IBM Press Release 2005
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Nations
§ “Understanding economic change including everything from the rise of the Western world to the demise of the Soviet Union requires that we cast a net much broader than purely economic change because it is a result of changes in (1) the quantity and quality of human beings; (2) in the stock of human knowledge particularly as applied to human command over nature; and (3) the institutional framework that defines the deliberate incentive structure of a society.”
Douglass C. North, author of Understanding the Process of Economic Change
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Universities
§ “The contemporary American university is in fact a knowledge conglomerate in its extensive activities, and this role is costly to sustain.”
Roger L. Geiger, author ofKnowledge and Money: Research Universities and the Paradox of the Marketplace
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Businesses
§ “…of the 100 entities with the largest Gross National Product (GNP), about half were multi-national corporations (MNCs)… The MNCs do not exist on traditional maps.”
Alfred Chandler and Bruce Mazlish, authors of Leviathans
§ “The corporation has evolved constantly during its long history. The MNC of the late twentieth century …were very different from the great trading enterprises of the 1700s. The type of business organization that is now emerging -- the globally integrated enterprise -- marks just as big a leap. “
Sam Palmisano, CEO IBM in Foreign Affairs
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Hospitals
§ “Modern medicine is one of those incredible works of reason: an elaborate system of specialized knowledge, technical procedures, and rules of behavior.”
Paul Starr, author of The Social Transformation of American Medicine
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Call Centers
§ “Call Centers For Dummies helps put a value on customer relations efforts undertaken in call centers and helps managers implement new strategies for continual improvement of customer service.”
Réal Bergevin, author of Call Centers For Dummies
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Data Centers
§ “All data centers are unique, but they all share the same mission: to protect your company’s valuable information.”
Douglas Alger, author of Build the Best Data Center Facility for Your Business
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“Service science is just ___________”Need to unbundle and rebundle knowledge from existing disciplines
OR/IEMS
CS/AIMultiagent Systems
Economics & LawGame Theory
MIS Anthropology& Psychology
OrganizationTheory
ServiceSystem
ServiceManagementOperationsMarketing
EngineeringQualityDesign
InformationScience
(i-schools)
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The challenge – need shared vocabulary and understanding of what a service system is – a type of complex adaptive system
§ Operations Research and Industrial EngineeringMore realistic models of people
§ Computer Science and Electrical Engineering, Information SystemsSoftware and systems that adaptively/autonomously change with business strategy
§ Economics and Business Strategy, Service Management & OperationsBetter models of scaling and innovation to improve economic efficiency
§ Law and Political EconomyBetter models of social innovation – in what way is passing a law innovation
§ Complex Systems and Systems EngineeringBetter model of robustness and fragility of service systems (sustainability)
§ Service systems are value co-creation configurations of people, technology, internal and external service systems connected by value propositions, and shared information (language, laws, measures, models, etc.)
Examples: People, families, cities, businesses, nations, global economy, etc.
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What is science?§ Data – the language of nature (empirical framework)§ Model – measurable experiential constructs and relationships (theoretical framework)§ Analytics – fit data to model, explain variance (analytical framework)§ Take Action – interact with world and iterate (engineering and design frameworks)
Can we create CAD (Computer Aided Design) tools for service systems?
Can we create Service System Ecology Simulators to glimpse evolutionary trajectories?
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Under what conditions do value propositions exist between service systems to justify service-for-service exchanges?
§ Case 1 – complementary superior performance
Costs
A = 1 4, B = 3 2
Self Service
A: 10 + 40 = 50B: 30 + 20 = 50
Over produce best by one and exchange
A: 11 + 36 = 47
B: 27 + 22 = 49
§ Case 2 – one with strictly superior performance, namely A
Costs
A = 1 2, B = 4 3
Self Service
A: 10 + 20 = 30B: 40 + 30 = 70
Over produce best by one and exchange
A: 11 + 18 = 29
B: 36 + 33 = 69
§ Assume service system A and B (imagine two people, family-clans, cities, nations, or businesses) each produce two same kinds of service, each have demand for ten performances of the services each day, and each have different costs of producing the services for self-service consumption
§ Surprisingly, in Case 2, it still makes sense to exchange service for service as well!§ Of course, this ignores transaction costs associated with the exchange…§ What happens when the cost decreases with experience/learning/innovations?§ What about trading the skill to perform a service, rather than simply performances?
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Under what conditions are compliance laws innovative in a service system of selfish optimizers?
§ Pigou’s ExampleA population of commuters must drive from point A to point B. There are two roads. The first road always takes one hour. The second road takes time proportional to the amount of traffic (all = 1). If everyone takes the second road, the time is one hour. All drivers take the second road, it is never worse than one hour, and maybe better.
§ Braess’s ParadoxTwo roads with composed of two parts. First road has constant one hour plus one hour max if congested. Second road has one hour max if congested plus one hour. Traffic splits so everyone gets from point A to point B in 90 minutes. However, by adding a zero cost interchange connecting the two midpoints, now everyone takes the two connected congested routes, and now every takes 120 minutes!
A B
C(x) = 1
C(x) = x
A law that mandates odd and even license plates take different routeson different days, if backed up with sampling and tickets/fines, could yield better results.
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Law and Economics
§ Problem: Almost any business strategy or societal policy change will be viewed negatively by some stakeholder
§ Pareto EfficiencyCan anyone be improved,
without making someone else worse off?
§ Kaldor-Hicks EfficiencyCan anyone be improved,
such that anyone made worse off can be adequately compensated for their lose?
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Shared Information: Reasoning about Knowledge§ Formalization of shared mental models of the world
- Model of social world as multiple agents with shared knowledge/information, interacting based on that knowledge
§ Common Knowledge Defined (everyone knows…)§ Distributed Knowledge (collectively we know…)§ “Muddy Children Problem”§ Percentage Total Info: Less in memory, more on line
Reasoning About Knowledge by Ronald Fagin, Joseph Y. Halpern,
Yoram Moses, Moshe Y. Vardi
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Complexity 1: So many types of service jobs/industries
People Business
Products Information
enable develop enable transform
design operate &maintain create utilize
Industrial services Information services
Business servicesConsumer services
Non-market services
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Complexity 2: So many academic disciplines…
People Business
Products &Nature Information
Schools ofScience & Engineering Information Schools
Schools ofBusiness Management
Schools ofSocial Science
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Complexity 2b: For example, anthropology is, well…
PeopleBusiness
Products &Nature Information
Archeology(material artifacts & configurations)
Linguistic Anthropology(language as social action)
Cultural Anthropology(link social organization, including families,
to cultural models and embodiments)Physical Anthropology
(human biology & cultural practices)
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Complexity 3: So many definitions of service…
People ServiceSystems
Technology Information
External Internal
Language, laws, measures, contracts, etc
Connected byValue Propositions
Model ascomplex systems
Service = value coproduction = the application of competence for mutual benefitService System: A value co-creation configuration of people, technology, value propositions connecting internal and external service systems, and shared information (language, laws, measures, contracts, etc.)
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Complexity 4: No unique, fundamental problems…
People ServiceSystems
Technology Information
External Internal
Language, laws, metrics,standards, culture, etc.
Connected byValue Propositions
Model ascomplex systems
What are the origins, types, and evolutionary patterns of service systems?How are service systems similar to/different from other types of complex systems?Are service systems the most complex type of complex system? How to invest?How are competences transferred from one service system to another?
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Service scientists are both broad and deep – T-shaped.
“Need I-shaped, T-shaped, π-shaped people… “ – Stuart Feldman (Oct. 6, 2006)
Business and M
anagement
Science and E
ngineering
Econom
ics and Social S
ciences
Math and O
perations Research
Com
puter Science & Info. S
ystems
Industrial and Systems E
ngineering
Business A
nthropology
Organizational C
hange & LearningSlide by Jean Paul Jacob
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IBM Research © 2007 IBM Corporation
Herbert A. Simon – Gets my vote as the first service scientist
§ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herbert_Simon§ “Herbert Simon (1916-2001), in the course of a long
and distinguished career in the social and behavioral sciences, made lasting contributions to many disciplines, including economics, psychology, computer science, and artificial intelligence. In 1978 he was awarded the Nobel Prize in economics for his research into the decision-making process within economic organizations. His well-known book The Sciences of the Artificial addresses the implications of the decision-making and problem-solving processes for the social sciences. “
Models of a Man : Essays in Memory of Herbert A. Simon
by Mie Augier (Editor), James G. March (Editor)
The Sciences of the Artificial by Herbert A. Simon
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Service systems or “value co-creation systems” as complex systemsAn intellectually deep, integrative area of great economic significanceAs called out in this National Academy of Engineering, 2003 report:
§ “The studies suggest that services industries represent a significant source of opportunity for university-industry interaction. Services account for more than 80 percent of the U.S. gross domestic product, employ a large and growing share of the science and engineering workforce, and are the primary users of information technology. In most manufacturing industries, service functions (such as logistics, distribution, and customer service) are now leading areas of competitive advantage. Innovation and increased productivity in the services infrastructure (e.g., finance, transportation, communication, health care) have an enormous impact on productivity and performance in all other segments of the economy. Nevertheless, the academic research enterprise has not focused on or been organized to meet the needs of service businesses. Major challenges to services industries that could be taken up by universities include: (1) the adaptation and application of systems and industrial engineering concepts, methodologies, and quality-control processes to service functions and businesses; (2) the integration of technological research and social science, management, and policy research; and the (3) the education and training of engineering and science graduates prepared to deal with management, policy, and social issues.”
§ From "The Impact of Academic Research on Industrial Performance“(ttp://newton.nap.edu/catalog/10805.html)
SSME: Service Science, Management, and Engineering
National Academy of Sciences, Keck Center| Washington, DC | March 29, 2007Committee on Enhancing the Master’s Degree in the Natural Sciences
Thanks for yourquestions and comments!
ContactJim Spohrer ( [email protected] )Paul Maglio ( [email protected] )Wendy Murphy ( [email protected] )
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http://www.ibm.com/university/ssmehttp://www.ibm.com/university/ssme
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Textbooks
§ Berry (1999) § Chase, Jacobs, Aquilano§ Davis§ Fisk, Grove, & John (2000) § Fitzsimmons & Fitzsimmons (2001) § Grönroos (2000)
§ Hoffman & Bateson (2002) § Lovelock & Wright (2001)§ Sampson (2000) § Teboul (2006)§ Zeithaml & Bitner (2003)
Service Management: Operations, Strategy, and Information Technologies
by James Fitzsimmons and Mona Fitzsimmons
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Journal and Conference
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Berkeley SSME Certificate Program
http://ssme.berkeley.edu/
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On what foundational logic, could we build a science of service?
§ Defines service as the application of competencies for the benefit of another entity and sees mutual service provision, rather than the exchange of goods, as the foundational logic
§ This new paradigm is service-oriented, customer-oriented, relationship-focused, and knowledge-based
The Service-Dominant Logic of Marketing: Dialog, Debate, and Directions
by Robert F. Lusch and Stephen L. Vargo
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To Nations: Innovation sustains skilled employment/export growth
?
2000-
2000-
1990-
1950-
1900-
1850-
1800-
?
China
India
Finland
Japan
USA
Germany
England
Cost Innovation: Product Revolution
Service Systems Revolution
Cost Innovation: Services Revolution
Mobile Communication Revolution
Quality Innovation: Product Revolution
Electrical & Information Revolution
Chemicals Revolution
Industrial Revolution
Sustainable growth depends on innovation viaregional government, industry, academic collaboration.
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Service§ Service is value coproduction
Value change is the motive for interactionCoproduction is the method, not doing it alone (self service)Motive & Method: Have someone else do something (or allow
or enable something) so you don’t have to do it yourself, and be deprived of the benefit of the other – what is the value add of the other? what is the cost of the other? what are the alternatives?
§ Value is complexContext dependent judgment (update mental models of world)Made by a person or group of peopleSometimes formalized into an explicit measurable quantity
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Service System§A service system has the capability to
interact with another service system to produce and consume services (coproduce value)
§Some example service systems:- Person (smallest)- Business (1 person to 1 million people)- Nation (1 million to billions of people)
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Service System§ A type of complex system that can evolve & learn
- Can nucleate around a person (an entrepreneur, prime mover)
- Can grow more intelligent (adapt to/transform environment)
- Can disappear (become maladapted to environment)
§ A value coproduction configuration of- People (division of labor, multitasking)
- Technology
- Value propositions connecting internal and external service systems
- Shared information (language, laws, measures, etc.)
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So, service is…Invest for improved mutual performance in which client and provider coproduce value
§ High talent (Person Power)Knowledge-intensive business services (business performance transformation
services) (e.g., chef’s, concert musicians)
§ High tech (Technology Power)Environment designed to allow average performer to provide a superior
performance, including self service and eventually a utility (average cook with great cook book and kitchen; average musician with a synthesizer)
§ Highly organized & motivated (Value Proposition Power)Businesses, markets, government services, institutions
Networks of partner both internal and external coordinating performance
§ Highly coordinated (Shared Information Power)Language, laws, measures (including KPI, prices), explicit models, etc.
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Building tools & organizations – accelerating growth of capabilities
HumansTools & ClansCoevolution
0.002Mass Extinctions0.065Bees (Swarms)0.2Trilobites (Brains)0.5Clams (Nerves)0.7 Sponge (Body)2.5Bacteria (Cell)3.5Earth (Molecules)4.5Sun (Energy)8Milky Way (Atoms)11.5Big Bang (EMST)12Natural ProcessesBillion Years Ago
GPS, CD, WDM0Internet/e-Mail1Computer2Television3Radio4Telephone5Accurate Clocks16Printing24Universities40 Libraries400Writing500Agriculture750Speech100,000Human ProcessesGenerations Ago
Global Brain: The Evolution of Mass Mind from the Big Bang to the 21st Centuryby Howard Bloom
Nonzero : The Logic of Human Destinyby Robert Wright
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What would service scientists actually do?
§ Service scientist own the body of knowledge around service system problem solving
§ Service scientists identify a service system that needs improvement
§ Service scientists identify the stakeholders their concerns and perceived opportunities
§ Service scientists envision augmentations (additional new service systems) or reconfigurations (of old service systems components) that best address all problems and opportunities
Identify year-over-year improvement trajectories
Identify incentives to change (ROI, leadership, laws)
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SSME: Service Science, Management, and Engineering
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Example: Are there “scale laws” of service innovation –year-over-year compounding effects?
§ ProblemsInput: Student quality
Process: Faculty motivation
Output: Industry fit
§ AugmentationsA: -20% eLearning certification
B. +10% Faculty interest tuning
C. +10% On-the-job skills tuning
Year 1: 20%
Year 2: 20%
Year 3: 20%
Year N: 20%
. . . . . . . .
After a decade the course may look quite differentService systems are learning systems: productivity, quality, etc.
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How will we know when we have succeeded?
§ A textbook that is used in service science and complex systems courses around the world
Data from variety of service systems (e.g., call center), models, analytics, action research plans and case studies of service systems
§ Payoff in business and societal results from systematic service innovations
Productivity, quality, compliance, innovation, and learning curves
Better measurement systems, models of business-clients-competitors, and theory of value proposition evolution between service systems, theory of investment, entrepreneurship, and institution formation
§ Perhaps even a Moore’s like law or investment road map for predictable service system capability growth
We’ve even had a few people starting to propose some!
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If time permits…
§ Call centers as exemplar service systemsBalance productivity and quality
Balance compliance and innovation§ Service innovation, beyond cost cutting (e.g., global sourcing, automation)
How to grow when markets don’t
Blue ocean strategies
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SSME: Service Science, Management, and Engineering
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Spohrer-Engelbart Cycle of Service System Evolution(Augmentation Systems: Bootstrapping Capability Infrastructure via Coevolution of Human System and Tool System)
§ Population Growth (Atomic Service Systems, Self Service, Multitasking)Assume growing population of service systems in an environmentEach service system is multitasking two services based on two underlying capabilities or
competences§ Organization Growth (Outsource Service, Higher-Level Multitasking)
Advantage of pairs forming to trade, or forming an organizationCoase’s Law and Kaldor-Hicks Efficiency enabled within organizationThus, a growing populations of multitasking service systems gives rise to increasingly
specialized service systems, professions, markets and organizations§ Technology Growth (Improvement, Free Time, Rise of New Goals, Multitasking)
Over time learning curves and efficiency leads to better competenciesLearning curves improve specialization and technologies used, until it is cost effective to form
new service systems that provide the technologyFree time leads to new goals, competences, and more multi-taskingAs technology capability improves some service systems shift back to self service –
multitasking more and using high capability technology§ Infrastructure Growth (Fairness, New Environment, New Multitasking Goals)
If the service and technology become universally needed, the technology may be embedded into the environment as part of a government action to establish a new utility or national infrastructure (institution formation) to ensure fairness of access
Improved environment fosters population growth
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SSME: Service Science, Management, and Engineering
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One last service system surprise… R&D service sector…
§ Baumol and Oulton – Progessive and symptotically stagnant sectors of economies
§ Circa 1960: Imagine an economy with two sectors (manufacturing and services). Technology for labor substitutions increase productivity at a steady pace in the “progressive” sector, and the “stagnant” or “asymptotically stagnant” sector absorbs the labor from the other.
§ Circa 2002: Now imagine that the asymptotically stagnant sector is R&D (primus inter parus). Oulton (Bank of England) suggests that R&D which produces information is not a final result, but is actually input to the progressive sector. So as long as R&D productivity gains are slightly positive, the economy as a whole does not stagnate!
Let, yi = the output of sector I, Li = the primary input quantity used by sector I, where L1 + L2 = L (constant), Pi = the price of the sector’s output, Gi = the growth rate of the productivity of the primary input used directly by sector I (with 0 < G1 < G2, so that sector 1 is the relatively stagnant sector, w primary input price
Y1 = F1(L1, t), Y2 = F2(y1, L2, t)
• Surprise: Data from Fano: In US, between 1921 and 1938 industrial research personnel rose by 300%. Laboratories rose from fewer than 300 in 1920 to over 1600 in 1931, and more than 2,200 in 1938.
R&D grew most rapidly in US during the time centered around the great depression!
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What is Visible to the World (2004 – 2006)
§ Thought Leadership and PressOver 90 press articles (e.g., NY Times, Wall Street Journal)Over 10,000 non-IBM web site mentions and growing by over 500 a month
§ Workshops and FundingSSME summit at Palisades with more than 250 participants from 22 countries 8 National Workshops (China, Japan, India, US, Norway, Germany, Israel, Ireland)Germany – $87M Innovation with ServiceJapan – $30M Service ProductivityChina – Five Year Plan in Modern ServicesPending – EU NESSI; US legislation; NSF Complex Systems
§ Skill Needs and Course Development38 courses, programs, degrees in 11 countries (e.g., Berkeley, NCSU)
§ Science and Publications15 academic articles (e.g., CACM special issue, POMS)16 conferences, workshops, panels (e.g., INFORMS, Frontiers)Special Interest Groups already forming in INFORMS, AIS, HFES; IEEE and ACM also targeted
Almaden Services Research
© 2006 IBM Corporation67 Service Science
New skills are needed§ All national economies are shifting to services – service systems are an important type
of complex system– major industrialized nations are >75% services, developing nations are close behind – growth
increasingly depends on service innovation at multiple scales - person, family, city, firm, nation– credit cards are a simple example of service innovation, requiring integrated business, technology, and
social-organizational change to be successful– drivers: outsourcing, globalization, internet, self-service - Wipro, IBM, EDS, eBay, Amazon, Google
§ New workforce skills are needed - to better study, manage, and engineer service systems– study benefits from a combination of business, organization, technology skills – soft skills enhance hard
skills – more organizational transparency and data sharing by industry would help greatly– new profession (like service scientist) needed, and new tool (service system ecology simulator)
§ Educational system is slowly shifting toward services– service management, operations, marketing, and engineering courses and programs exist - study of
complex systems seeks to integrate– Research universities should increase number of grant proposals focused on service systems– new multidiscipline (like SSME) needed, to integrate and break down silos – industry must hire them
§ National systems are slowly shifting policy towards service innovation– bootstrapping investment in research and education through targeted programs– focusing attention on intellectual property protection for service innovation– new innovation policy and metrics needed (government role in creating historical data sets)
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Some Types of Service Systems
§ People§ Families§ Businesses§ Cities§ Nations§ Hospitals§ Universities§ Call Centers§ Data Centers
§ Professional Associations§ Disciplinary Associations§ Government Agencies§ PACs§ NGOs§ Non-Profits§ Foundations§ On-line Communities,
MMORPGs, Virtual Worlds
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On what theory of economics, could we build a science of service?
§ Firms: Viewed as historically situated combiners of heterogeneous and imperfectly mobile resources under conditions of imperfect and costly to obtain information, towards the primary objective of superior financial performance.
§ Resources: Viewed as tangible and intangible entities available to the firm that enable it to produce efficiently and/or effectively a market offering that has value for some market segment(s).
A General Theory of Competition : Resources, Competences, Productivity, Economic Growth(Marketing for a New Century)
by Shelby D. (Dean) Hunt
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How do new professions arise?
§ In The System of Professions Andrew Abbott explores central questions about the role of professions in modern life: Why should there be occupational groups controlling expert knowledge? Whereand why did groups such as law and medicine achieve their power?Will professionalism spread throughout the occupational world? While most inquiries in this field study one profession at a time, Abbott here considers the system of professions as a whole. Through comparative and historical study of the professions in nineteenth- and twentieth-century England, France, and America, Abbott builds a general theory of how and why professionals evolve.
The System of Professions: An Essay on the Division of Expert Labor
by Andrew Abbott
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How do new professions and new disciplines coevolve with government institutions?
§ Emergence of German dye industry, German mid-19th Century§ Emergence of chemistry as an academic discipline§ Emergence of patent protection in the new area of chemical
processes and formula§ Emergence of new relationships connecting firms, academic
institutions, government agencies, and clients§ Demonstrates needed coevolution of firms, technology, and national
institutions§ Took England and US over 70 years to catch up!!!
Knowledge and Competitive Advantage : The Coevolution of Firms, Technology, and National Institutions
by Johann Peter Murmann
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How does the service economy and the innovation economy relate?
§ “… modern economies are both service economies and economies of innovation. Paradoxically, they are not regarded as economies of innovation in services, that is as economies in which service firms' innovation efforts are proportional to their contribution from the major economic aggregates. It is as if service and innovation were two parallel universes that coexist in blissful ignorance of each other.”
§ Gallouj, F. (2002). Innovation in the Service Economy: The New Wealth of Nations. Cheltenham UK: Edward Elgar.
Productivity, Innovation and Knowledge in Servicesby Jean Gadrey and Faiz Gallouj
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http://www.nytimes.com/2006/04/18/business/18services.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2006/04/18/business/18services.html
Stay tuned!
TheJourney
Continues
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Michigan Tech Service Systems EngineeringUndergraduate Major (http://www.sse.mtu.edu/)
§ 128 semesters credits:§ 22 University defined General Education§ 15 Mathematics§ Calculus with Technology I&II, § Elementary Linear Algebra, § Elementary Differential Equations, § Engineering Statistics§ 11 Science§ General Chemistry, § Physics I, § Intro to Psychology§ 26 Engineering Core§ Computer Science I,§ Engineering Analysis and Problem Solving, § Modeling & Design, § Statics & Strength of Materials, § Circuits and Instrumentation, § Thermodynamics & Fluid Mechanics, § Multidisciplinary Senior Project
§ 15 Business/Economics§ Accounting I,
Fnance, (this should touch on Financial Engineering)§ IS/IT Management§ Strategic Leadership, § Economic Decision Analysis§ 29 Service Systems Engineering§ World of Service Systems Engineering ()§ Service System Design§ Web Based Services§ Human Interaction in Service Systems§ Operations of Service Systems ()§ Optimization and Adaptive Decision Making§ Project Planning and Management§ Managing Risk§ Simulation§ Quality Engineering§ 09 Electives
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SSME: Service Science, Management, and Engineering
IBM Research © 2007 IBM Corporation
Michigan Tech Service Systems EngineeringUndergraduate Major (http://www.sse.mtu.edu/)
§ 128 semesters credits:§ 22 University defined General Education§ 15 Mathematics§ Calculus with Technology I&II, § Elementary Linear Algebra, § Elementary Differential Equations, § Engineering Statistics§ 11 Science§ General Chemistry, § Physics I, § Intro to Psychology§ (seems like they should also add
Environmental Science, as well as Biology I or Bioinformatics)
§ 26 Engineering Core§ Computer Science I,§ Engineering Analysis and Problem
Solving, § Modeling & Design, § Statics & Strength of Materials, § Circuits and Instrumentation, § Thermodynamics & Fluid Mechanics, § Multidisciplinary Senior Project
§ 15 Business/Economics§ Accounting I, (this should touch on
Activity Based Costing as well)§ Finance, (this should touch on
Financial Engineering)§ IS/IT Management§ Strategic Leadership, § Economic Decision Analysis§ (they should add Organizational
Learning Theory, Service Marketing, Qualitative Methods, Pricing Strategy/Value Propositions)
§ 29 Service Systems Engineering§ World of Service Systems
Engineering (Service Economy, Front Stage/Back Stage - much of Teboul, plus some of Service Engineering)
§ Service System Design§ Web Based Services§ Human Interaction in Service
Systems§ Operations of Service Systems (This
should include Service Management material from Fitzsimmons)
§ Optimization and Adaptive Decision Making
§ Project Planning and Management§ Managing Risk§ Simulation§ Quality Engineering§ 09 Electives
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SSME: Service Science, Management, and Engineering
IBM Research © 2007 IBM Corporation
Can there really be a science of service?
“Wherever there are phenomena, there can be a science to describeand explain those phenomena. Thus, the simplest (and correct) answer to “What is botany?” is, “Botany is the study of plants.” And zoology is the study of animals, astronomy the study of stars, and so on. Phenomena breed sciences.”
- Newell, A., Perlis, A. & Simon, H. A. (1967). Computer Science, Science, 157, 1373-1374.
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Possible Objections… to Computer Science
§ Only natural phenomena breed sciences§ The term “computer” is not well defined§ Computer Science is the study of algorithms, not computers§ Computers are instruments, not phenomena§ Computer Science is a branch of another science§ Computers belong to engineering, not science
- Newell, Perlis, & Simon (1967)
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SSME: Service Science, Management, and Engineering
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Possible Objections… to Service Science
§ Only natural phenomena breed sciences§ The term “service” is not well defined§ Service Science is the study of work, not services § Services are performances, not phenomena§ Service Science is a branch of another science§ Services belong to engineering (or management), not science
- with apologies to Newell, Perlis, & Simon (1967)
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What makes SSME hard is that it is multidisciplinary…§ Services depend critically on people, technology, organizations, and co-creation of value§ People work together and with technology and with organizations to provide value for clients§ Shared information helps coordinate activities – language, laws, measures, models, etc.§ So a service system is a complex socio-techno-economic system § Growth requires innovation that combines people, technology, organizations, value, shared
information, clients§ A service system is a value coproduction configuration of people, technology, internal and
external service systems connected by value propositions, and shared information§ Services systems are both designed (Artificial) and shaped by evolutionary forces (Natural)
Science & Engineering
Business &Management
Social & CognitiveSciences
Economics & Markets
BusinessInnovation
TechnologyInnovation
SocialInnovation
DemandInnovation