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Sept 21, 2012 Mission College All College Forum Presented by: Rick Bennett, VP Admin Services

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National & State Context State of the District & College: 2012/13 the most difficult budget year November 6 & Mission College budget? 2013/14-- a peak ahead Agenda

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Dec 2007 Great Recession Most severe economic decline-Great Depression Downgraded US debt Officially over July 2009-hard times keep coming Economy slow to recovery- 1st Qtr. Growth 2010 3.9% 2011 0.4% 2012 1.9% Public sector continues to shrink Economy needs private sector employment to rebound, tax revenues will lag Rocky Ground--National Perspective

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US GDP near term weak, mirroring last two years GDP growth 2.4% by the end of 2013 Increasing to 3.4% in 2014 US-- 2013 unemployment anticipated 7.7% Real Main Street problem--inadequate workforce development for 21st century labor markets CA-- 10.8% 3 rd highest in nation Worst state for business Education system decline CA Positive signals Six months of rising home prices Economic Climate--National to State

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Assumes approval of Nov 6 Prop 30 tax initiative to raise new revenues 0.25% increase in Sales tax for 4 years Increase in personal income tax for wage earnings in excess of $250K for 7 years State Budget

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Cuts of $8.1B Revenue increase of $6B Shifts, payment delays $2.5B Total Budget still $11B below 07-08 State Budget

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Projected revenues $6M less than Unrestricted General Fund Budget $5M one-time funding carry-over $1M step/column and benefit increases. Mitigate the shortfall--$3M reduction plan $1.5M new revenues Land Corp 3.5% salary concessions from all units placeholder for ACE Reductions $1.3M in Associate Faculty Missions component is $600,000. District 2012/13 budget

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$103M General Fund Unrestricted $89M Restricted $13M District 12/13 budget

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Mission--Total Budget 2009-2012

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WVM District 2012/13 Overhead and Fixed Costs District Services $ 910,000 District Wide Cost $ 13,900,000 Mission College $ 770,000 West Valley College $ 1,000,000 Total Fixed Costs $ 16,580,000 Fixed Costs District and College Overhead, including certain salaries, benefits, software, utilities, legal expenses, retiree benefits, etc

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Associate Faculty Expenditures Budgeted vs. Actual

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CCCs are held hostage Polls show Prop 30 leading with uncomfortable majority 51-52% Prop 38 at 38% for K12 only Competing initiatives Nov 6--Prop 30 and Prop 38 Tax Initiatives on Ballot

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No reduction to base revenues SB 361 still in placefor now Mandate Block Grant ($28 per FTES in lieu of claims) Full hold harmless from shortages in RDA Revenues Cash flow is a trickle in early 2012 FY No COLA (last COLA was 2007-8) No policy changes to categorical programs Additional COSTS-unfunded reporting requirements 2012/13 Assumptions

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CCC System $50 M restoration $160M in deferral buy down $961M to $801M District Workload Increases 141 FTES Mission 65 FTES Snake in the Grass: Expect mid year reductions If Prop 30 Passes

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State triggered reductions --$6B in total cuts $5.4B in Prop 98 $250M --UC and CSU each $50M -- Developmental Services $40M -- Police/Forestry/Fire $17.6M -- other programs Second consecutive year that CCCs will face Automatic Budget Reductions Mid Year If Prop 30 does not pass

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More drastic Trigger Cuts than 11/12 Lose $50M in restoration Lose $160M in deferral buy down System wide base apportionment Reduction $338M $5.3 M Funding Reduction to District 1161 FTES Workload Reduction Mission546 FTES 7.3% If Prop 30 does not pass

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2012/13 District Shortfall if Tax Fails Projected Available Funding $3.6M Budget Reduction $1.7M Additional Assoc. Faculty Reduction

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A community college or K-12 district that does not receive state funds because its revenues from local property taxes and student fees provide more than it would receive under state formulas. Locally Funded or Basic Aid If Prop 30 passes, WVM estimate 2 years to Locally Funded or Basic Aid

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The Bucket Analogy 2012/13 funding formula, District receives $5.4M in state apportionment When local property tax/student fees exceed $5.4 in apportionment, enter Basic Aid

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Lowest level of funding in last 5 years Long term effect--Stable Funding Local property tax is the source No State Apportionment Light at end of tunnel, but up to 5 years to climb out of the hole If Tax Initiative fails WVM backs into Locally Funded or Basic Aid Status in 2012/13

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Tax Passes: $1.5M One Time Carryover $1.0M Step/Column/Longevity $1.5M Bargaining Restoration $3.5M shortfall Projected Available Funding $2-2.5M Budget Reduction $1.5M LandCorp Funding 2013/14 Shortfall Planning Still in the woods either way Tax Fails: $5.1M One Time Carryover $1.0M Step/Column/Longevity $1.5M Bargaining Restoration $7.6M shortfall Projected Available Funding $3.0M Budget Reduction $1.5M LandCorp Funding $1.6M One time/Prop tax increase +$1.5M LandCorp

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1.Total budget for Mission College? 2.District General Fund Budget? 3.Will the District become Basic Aid? Describe 1 of 2 scenarios 4.How much did the Associated Faculty Budget decline from 2011/12? Why did it decline? 5.Are we out of the woods in 2013/14? Student Successyes a pop quiz

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1.Total budget for Mission College? $44.3M 2.District Budget General Fund? Unrestricted $89M; restricted $13M. Total $102 M 3.Will the District become Basic Aid? Describe 1 of 2 scenarios Yes, if Brown tax passes, 2 years; If Brown tax fails, immediately 2012-13 Student Success

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4.How much did the Associated Faculty Budget decline from 2011/12? Why did it decline ? $600K Reduction to help balance 2012 budget 5.Are we out of the woods in 2013/14? No, with Prop 30 passage or without Student Success

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Positive Signs in economyGDP 2014 Economist Steve Levy reported that half of all USA job growth in May 2012 was in CA Prop 30 Tax Initiative Increased Funding with passage Basic Aid in two years Silver lining with failure in the mid term Basic Aid this fiscal year Stable Funding Chance to grow with local tax increases over time Rise Up

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Learn more about Prop 30 http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php/California_Proposition_30,_Sal es_and_Income_Tax_Increase_(2012) Prop 30 latest polls http://www.excellence.dgs.ca.gov/CostEffectiveness/S2_2-5.htm Link to this presentation: P:\MC Administrative Services\Training and Presentations Rocky Ground http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uy30aOR0rYk Links