Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions B RADLEY J EMMETT -S MITH 1, A NDREW...

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Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions BRADLEY JEMMETT-SMITH 1 , ANDREW ROSS 1 , PETER SHERIDAN 2 , JOHN HUGHES 1 21 st Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence Leeds, UK 9 June 2014 1 Institute of Climate and Atmospheric Science, University of Leeds, UK 2 Met Office, Exeter, UK

Transcript of Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions B RADLEY J EMMETT -S MITH 1, A NDREW...

Page 1: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions B RADLEY J EMMETT -S MITH 1, A NDREW R OSS 1, P ETER S HERIDAN 2, J OHN H UGHES 1 21 st.

Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions

BRADLEY JEMMETT-SMITH1, ANDREW ROSS1, PETER SHERIDAN2, JOHN HUGHES1

21st Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence Leeds, UK

9 June 2014

1Institute of Climate and Atmospheric Science, University of Leeds, UK2Met Office, Exeter, UK

Page 2: Sensitivity of cold air pool evolution in hilly terrain regions B RADLEY J EMMETT -S MITH 1, A NDREW R OSS 1, P ETER S HERIDAN 2, J OHN H UGHES 1 21 st.

Jeremy Price (Met Office)

Clun Valley, Shropshire, UK

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Nocturnal Boundary Layer• Develop around sunset, forming in dips,

hollows, valleys or basins etc.

• Cold air pools (drainage flows/katabatic

winds) and/or cools in-situ.

• Break-up following sunrise as CBL

establishes.

• Ideal conditions; low wind speeds, no

cloud cover, stable atmospheres. (Whiteman, 2000)

Cold air-pools (CAPs) in complex terrain

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Why?

• Hazardous driving conditions; frost, fog, persistence of lying snow.

• Health risks; pollution episodes.

• Representation in Numerical Weather Prediction models; unresolved

scales, SBL parameterizations, surface energy balance.

• Improve understanding of SBL processes; better representation of

minimum temperature, fog, frost etc.

• Recent capabilities allow high resolution modelling of scales <1km.

• Application of downscaling techniques, e.g., for improved road

temperature forecasts.

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• Comprehensive field campaign, June 2009 to April 2010.

• University of Leeds, Met Office, NCAS.

• Satellite weather stations (HOBOS, AWS), wind, temperature and pressure.

• Large flux towers; components of the energy budget – see Price et al, (2011).

• Valley depths ~200m, widths typically 1km.

COLd air Pooling EXperiment (COLPEX)Unique data set of SBL observations

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9–month climatology

• Nights with temperature inversions greater than

4oC occur 23% of the time.

• Strong CAPs frequent during October and April –

periods of prolonged high pressure.

• Strongest CAP observed 7-8th January, exceeding

9.9oC: ~5oC/100m. Tmin = -18.2oC.

How often do they occur?

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IOP 16 4-5 March 2010

• High pressure

• Low wind speeds

• Clear skies

IR sat image 00:00 UTC 5 March 2010

Analysis 00:00 UTC 5 March 2010

“Ideal” case study – Synoptic conditions

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4–5 March 2010

WarmingCooling

Theta and ELR evolution

Potential temp Env. Lapse rate

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Episodes of evolution disruption

LIDAR vertical velocity 4-5 March 2010

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Episode 1 – Gravity wave activity?

LIDARVertical velocities

Radiosondeascent rate

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Wind speed t-series

Episode 2 – Momentum mixed down?

Hill top

Valley Bottom

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Episode 3 – Nocturnal Low Level Jet (NLLJ)

Duffryn sondes

Nocturnal Jet Drainage flow

Supergeostrophic

Hill tops

Veering

Wind directionWind speed

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Bulk Richardson number

Evolution of valley stability

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Model representation

Momentum mixed down

Gravity wave activity

Higher sustained

wind speeds

Wind speed and direction vertical profile, from valley bottom, Duffryn

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• CAPs observed frequently throughout COLPEX.

• Relatively small changes in synoptic wind affect CAP evolution during ‘’ideal’’ case study.

• CAP evolution was disturbed, and characterised by three episodes:

• Gravity wave activity; possibly caused by wind speed/directional shear.

• Downward momentum transport of the developing NLLJ, accelerating hill top wind speeds.

• Established NLLJ, with hill top winds of 4—5 m/s.

• The developing NLLJ appears to be the overriding factor.

Summary

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Thank you for listening. Any questions?

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Publications

Vosper, S., Hughes, J., Lock, A., Sheridan, P., Ross, A., Jemmett-Smith, B., and Brown, A. 2013: Cold pool formation in a narrow valley. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. doi: 10.1002/qj.2160

Price J. D. , Vosper S., Brown A., Ross A., Clark P., Davies F., Horlacher V., Claxton B., McGregor J. R., Hoare J. S., Jemmett-Smith B., and Sheridan P. 2011: COLPEX: Field and Numerical Studies over a Region of Small Hills. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 92, 1636–1650. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011BAMS3032.1

Sheridan, P. F., Vosper, S. B., and Brown, A. R. 2013. Characteristics of cold pools observed in narrow valleys and dependence on external conditions. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.

Price J. D. , Vosper S., Brown A., Ross A., Clark P., Davies F., Horlacher V., Claxton B., McGregor J. R., Hoare J. S., Jemmett-Smith B., and Sheridan P. 2011: COLPEX: Field and Numerical Studies over a Region of Small Hills. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 92, 1636?1650. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011BAMS3032.1

COLPEX Publications

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Momentum mixed down

Nocturnal Low Level JetGravity wave

Hill top level

Sunrise Final break-up of CAP

m/s

NLLJ the overriding factor?

LIDAR vertical velocity 4-5 March 2010

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Recurrence of the NLLJ

Mean of 5 profiles on separate CAP nights

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Recurrence of the NLLJ?

Consistent

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Strong CAPs in the Clun Valley…….

Conditions ideal for CAPs to form

Ideal conditions: Ambient wind <3 m/s Msl pressure >1029 hPa Wind dir from N Low values of Flw, i.e.,

0.80.

Preferentially form when: Ambient wind <7 m/s Msl pressure >1008 hPa Wind dir from N or NW Dry, clear (Flw < 0.91)

Results from 9–month climatology: July 2009 – April 2010

Andrew Ross
Figure quite small. Anything you want to enlarge specifically, or just talk about it in general?This is all broadly what one might expect to see – still useful though.