Selected Data for West Virginia Higher Education J. Michael Mullen WVFAA November 6, 2003.

Selected Data for West Virginia Selected Data for West Virginia Higher EducationHigher Education

J. Michael MullenJ. Michael Mullen

WVFAAWVFAANovember 6, 2003November 6, 2003

Projected Population Growth Projected Population Growth

Projected Change in the PopulationProjected Change in the Population2000 to 20202000 to 2020

Projected Change in the PopulationProjected Change in the Population2000 to 20202000 to 2020

38.438.4

14.714.7

0.60.62.32.3

00

1010

2020

3030

40%40%

Haw

aii

Haw

aii

Wyo

min

gW

yom

ing

New

Mex

ico

New

Mex

ico

Cal

ifor

nia

Cal

ifor

nia

Ala

ska

Ala

ska

Idah

oId

aho

Was

hing

ton

Was

hing

ton

Uta

hU

tah

Tex

asT

exas

Flor

ida

Flor

ida

Ore

gon

Ore

gon

Mon

tana

Mon

tana

Ari

zona

Ari

zona

Geo

rgia

Geo

rgia

Col

orad

oC

olor

ado

Vir

gini

aV

irgi

nia

Ten

ness

eeT

enne

ssee

Ala

bam

aA

laba

ma

Nat

ion

Nat

ion

Mar

ylan

dM

aryl

and

New

Ham

pshi

reN

ew H

amps

hire

Okl

ahom

aO

klah

oma

Nor

th C

arol

ina

Nor

th C

arol

ina

Sout

h D

akot

aSo

uth

Dak

ota

Sout

h C

arol

ina

Sout

h C

arol

ina

Kan

sas

Kan

sas

Nev

ada

Nev

ada

Ark

ansa

sA

rkan

sas

Lou

isia

naL

ouis

iana

Nor

th D

akot

aN

orth

Dak

ota

Neb

rask

aN

ebra

ska

Ver

mon

tV

erm

ont

Min

neso

taM

inne

sota

New

Jer

sey

New

Jer

sey

Mis

sour

iM

isso

uri

Mai

neM

aine

Mis

siss

ippi

Mis

siss

ippi

Del

awar

eD

elaw

are

Wis

cons

inW

isco

nsin

Indi

ana

Indi

ana

Con

nect

icut

Con

nect

icut

Mas

sach

uset

tsM

assa

chus

etts

Ken

tuck

yK

entu

cky

Illin

ois

Illin

ois

Rho

de I

slan

dR

hode

Isl

and

Iow

aIo

wa

Ohi

oO

hio

Penn

sylv

ania

Penn

sylv

ania

Wes

t Vir

gini

aW

est V

irgi

nia

New

Yor

kN

ew Y

ork

Mic

higa

nM

ichi

gan

Source: US Census BureauSource: US Census Bureau

Projection of 18-24 Year OldsProjection of 18-24 Year Olds(Traditional College Age – from 2000 to 2025)(Traditional College Age – from 2000 to 2025)

Projection of 18-24 Year OldsProjection of 18-24 Year Olds(Traditional College Age – from 2000 to 2025)(Traditional College Age – from 2000 to 2025)


172,431

140,402

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

-18.6 % Decline

The Largest Decrease of all 50 States

-18.6 % Decline

The Largest Decrease of all 50 States

Projection of High School GraduatesProjection of High School Graduates(from 2002 to 2012)(from 2002 to 2012)

Projection of High School GraduatesProjection of High School Graduates(from 2002 to 2012)(from 2002 to 2012)

Source:Source: Knocking at the Door: Projections of High School GraduatesKnocking at the Door: Projections of High School Graduates , 1996-2012, 1996-2012Western Interstate Commission for Higher EducationWestern Interstate Commission for Higher Education

18,86818,868

17,47317,473

16,00016,000

17,00017,000

18,00018,000

19,00019,000

20,00020,000

2001-022001-02 2003-042003-04 2005-062005-06 2007-082007-08 2009-102009-10 2011-122011-12

-7.4 % Decline

The 10th Largest Decrease of all 50 States

-7.4 % Decline

The 10th Largest Decrease of all 50 States


Projected West Virginia Population Growth Projected West Virginia Population Growth Number Change from 2000 to 2020 – By RaceNumber Change from 2000 to 2020 – By Race

-52,439

-28,968

-86,299

35,468

119,575

14

-31 -1,151

4,308 1,6061,592 835 2,258 3,101 1,872

-90,000

-60,000

-30,000

0

30,000

60,000

90,000

120,000

0 to 17 18 to 24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65 and Older

White Black Hispanic

ENROLLMENT PATTERNS

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

National WV ALL Public Four-year

Two-year

Full-time

Part-time

Educational Attainment Educational Attainment

Percent of 18 to 24 Year Olds with at Least a High Percent of 18 to 24 Year Olds with at Least a High School Diploma - 2000 (%)School Diploma - 2000 (%)

Percent of 18 to 24 Year Olds with at Least a High Percent of 18 to 24 Year Olds with at Least a High School Diploma - 2000 (%)School Diploma - 2000 (%)

85.885.8

78.278.2

74.774.7

40%40%

90%90%

Haw

aii

Haw

aii

Nor

th D

akot

aN

orth

Dak

ota

Ver

mon

tV

erm

ont

Mas

sach

uset

tsM

assa

chus

etts

Iow

aIo

wa

Rho

de I

slan

dR

hode

Isl

and

Uta

hU

tah

Neb

rask

aN

ebra

ska

Penn

sylv

ania

Penn

sylv

ania

Mar

ylan

dM

aryl

and

Vir

gini

aV

irgi

nia

Min

neso

taM

inne

sota

Wyo

min

gW

yom

ing

Mai

neM

aine

Wis

cons

inW

isco

nsin

Mon

tana

Mon

tana

Kan

sas

Kan

sas

Con

nect

icut

Con

nect

icut

Sout

h D

akot

aSo

uth

Dak

ota

Wes

t Vir

gini

aW

est V

irgi

nia

New

Ham

pshi

reN

ew H

amps

hire

Del

awar

eD

elaw

are

Idah

oId

aho

Ala

ska

Ala

ska

Ohi

oO

hio

Indi

ana

Indi

ana

Mic

higa

nM

ichi

gan

Mis

sour

iM

isso

uri

New

Jer

sey

New

Jer

sey

New

Yor

kN

ew Y

ork

Illin

ois

Illin

ois

Ark

ansa

sA

rkan

sas

Was

hing

ton

Was

hing

ton

Col

orad

oC

olor

ado

Ten

ness

eeT

enne

ssee

Ken

tuck

yK

entu

cky

Okl

ahom

aO

klah

oma

Nat

ion

Nat

ion

Sout

h C

arol

ina

Sout

h C

arol

ina

Nor

th C

arol

ina

Nor

th C

arol

ina

Ore

gon

Ore

gon

Lou

isia

naL

ouis

iana

Ala

bam

aA

laba

ma

Flor

ida

Flor

ida

Mis

siss

ippi

Mis

siss

ippi

Cal

ifor

nia

Cal

ifor

nia

New

Mex

ico

New

Mex

ico

Geo

rgia

Geo

rgia

Ari

zona

Ari

zona

Tex

asT

exas

Nev

ada

Nev

ada

66.766.7


Percent of Adults 25 and Older with at Least a Percent of Adults 25 and Older with at Least a High School Diploma – 2000 (%)High School Diploma – 2000 (%)

Percent of Adults 25 and Older with at Least a Percent of Adults 25 and Older with at Least a High School Diploma – 2000 (%)High School Diploma – 2000 (%)

88.388.3

75.275.2

80.480.4

72.972.9

40%40%

100%100%

Ala

ska

Ala

ska

Wyo

min

gW

yom

ing

Min

neso

taM

inne

sota

Uta

hU

tah

New

Ham

pshi

reN

ew H

amps

hire

Mon

tana

Mon

tana

Was

hing

ton

Was

hing

ton

Col

orad

oC

olor

ado

Neb

rask

aN

ebra

ska

Ver

mon

tV

erm

ont

Iow

aIo

wa

Kan

sas

Kan

sas

Mai

neM

aine

Ore

gon

Ore

gon

Wis

cons

inW

isco

nsin

Mas

sach

uset

tsM

assa

chus

etts

Idah

oId

aho

Haw

aii

Haw

aii

Sout

h D

akot

aSo

uth

Dak

ota

Con

nect

icut

Con

nect

icut

Nor

th D

akot

aN

orth

Dak

ota

Mar

ylan

dM

aryl

and

Mic

higa

nM

ichi

gan

Ohi

oO

hio

Del

awar

eD

elaw

are

Indi

ana

Indi

ana

New

Jer

sey

New

Jer

sey

Penn

sylv

ania

Penn

sylv

ania

Vir

gini

aV

irgi

nia

Illin

ois

Illin

ois

Mis

sour

iM

isso

uri

Ari

zona

Ari

zona

Nev

ada

Nev

ada

Okl

ahom

aO

klah

oma

Nat

ion

Nat

ion

Flor

ida

Flor

ida

New

Yor

kN

ew Y

ork

New

Mex

ico

New

Mex

ico

Geo

rgia

Geo

rgia

Nor

th C

arol

ina

Nor

th C

arol

ina

Rho

de I

slan

dR

hode

Isl

and

Cal

ifor

nia

Cal

ifor

nia

Sout

h C

arol

ina

Sout

h C

arol

ina

Ten

ness

eeT

enne

ssee

Tex

asT

exas

Ark

ansa

sA

rkan

sas

Ala

bam

aA

laba

ma

Wes

t Vir

gini

aW

est V

irgi

nia

Lou

isia

naL

ouis

iana

Ken

tuck

yK

entu

cky

Mis

siss

ippi

Mis

siss

ippi


Percent of Adults 25 to 64 with a Bachelor’s Degree Percent of Adults 25 to 64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher - 2000or Higher - 2000

Percent of Adults 25 to 64 with a Bachelor’s Degree Percent of Adults 25 to 64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher - 2000or Higher - 2000

37.137.1

26.526.5

16.516.5

00

1010

2020

3030

4040

Mas

sach

uset

tsM

assa

chus

etts

Col

orad

oC

olor

ado

Con

nect

icut

Con

nect

icut

Mar

ylan

dM

aryl

and

New

Jer

sey

New

Jer

sey

Vir

gini

aV

irgi

nia

Ver

mon

tV

erm

ont

New

Ham

pshi

reN

ew H

amps

hire

Min

neso

taM

inne

sota

New

Yor

kN

ew Y

ork

Was

hing

ton

Was

hing

ton

Illin

ois

Illin

ois

Rho

de I

slan

dR

hode

Isl

and

Haw

aii

Haw

aii

Kan

sas

Kan

sas

Cal

ifor

nia

Cal

ifor

nia

Uta

hU

tah

Neb

rask

aN

ebra

ska

Ore

gon

Ore

gon

Del

awar

eD

elaw

are

Mon

tana

Mon

tana

Nat

ion

Nat

ion

Geo

rgia

Geo

rgia

Nor

th D

akot

aN

orth

Dak

ota

Ala

ska

Ala

ska

Penn

sylv

ania

Penn

sylv

ania

Wis

cons

inW

isco

nsin

Mai

neM

aine

Ari

zona

Ari

zona

Tex

asT

exas

New

Mex

ico

New

Mex

ico

Sout

h D

akot

aSo

uth

Dak

ota

Mis

sour

iM

isso

uri

Nor

th C

arol

ina

Nor

th C

arol

ina

Iow

aIo

wa

Flor

ida

Flor

ida

Mic

higa

nM

ichi

gan

Wyo

min

gW

yom

ing

Idah

oId

aho

Ohi

oO

hio

Okl

ahom

aO

klah

oma

Sout

h C

arol

ina

Sout

h C

arol

ina

Indi

ana

Indi

ana

Ten

ness

eeT

enne

ssee

Ala

bam

aA

laba

ma

Lou

isia

naL

ouis

iana

Nev

ada

Nev

ada

Ken

tuck

yK

entu

cky

Ark

ansa

sA

rkan

sas

Mis

siss

ippi

Mis

siss

ippi

Wes

t Vir

gini

aW

est V

irgi

nia


Disparities in Educational Disparities in Educational Attainment, Income, and Poverty Attainment, Income, and Poverty

by County by County

Hancock

Brooke

Ohio

Roane

Putnam

Raleigh

Pocahontas

Berkeley

Morgan

Hampshire

Mineral

Grant

Randolph

DoddridgeHarrison

Ritchie

MonongaliaWetzel

Cabell

Barbour

Boone

Braxton

Calhoun

C lay

Fayette

Gilmer

Greenbrier

Hardy

J ackson

J efferson

Kanawha

Lewis

Lincoln

Logan

Marion

Marshall

Mason

McdowellMercer

Mingo

Monroe

Nicholas

Pendleton

PleasantsPreston

Summers

Taylor

Tucker

Tyler

Upshur

Wayne

Webster

Wirt

Wood

Wyoming

Percent of 18-24 Year Olds With at Least aHigh School Diploma, 2000

West V irginia = 78.2%Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census

84.8% to 93.0%76.8% to 84.8%72.2% to 76.8%67.0% to 72.2%58.2% to 67.0%

Hancock

Brooke

Ohio

Roane

Putnam

Raleigh

Pocahontas

Berkeley

Morgan

Hampshire

Mineral

Grant

Randolph

DoddridgeHarrison

Ritchie

MonongaliaWetzel

Cabell

Barbour

Boone

Braxton

Calhoun

C lay

Fayette

Gilmer

Greenbrier

Hardy

J ackson

J efferson

Kanawha

Lewis

Lincoln

Logan

Marion

Marshall

Mason

McdowellMercer

Mingo

Monroe

Nicholas

Pendleton

PleasantsPreston

Summers

Taylor

Tucker

Tyler

Upshur

Wayne

Webster

Wirt

Wood

Wyoming

Percent of Population 25 Years and Older With at Leasta High School Diploma, 2000


80.3% to 83.8%75.8% to 80.3%70.8% to 75.8%63.7% to 70.8%50.0% to 63.7%

Hancock

Brooke

Ohio

Roane

Putnam

Raleigh

Pocahontas

Berkeley

Morgan

Hampshire

Mineral

Grant

Randolph

DoddridgeHarrison

Ritchie

MonongaliaWetzel

Cabell

Barbour

Boone

Braxton

Calhoun

C lay

Fayette

Gilmer

Greenbrier

Hardy

J ackson

J efferson

Kanawha

Lewis

Lincoln

Logan

Marion

Marshall

Mason

McdowellMercer

Mingo

Monroe

Nicholas

Pendleton

PleasantsPreston

Summers

Taylor

Tucker

Tyler

Upshur

Wayne

Webster

Wirt

Wood

Wyoming

Percent of 25-64 Year Olds With at Least aBaccalaureate Degree, 2000


22.0% to 36.0%13.9% to 22.0%10.9% to 13.9%

8.1% to 10.9%5.9% to 8.1%

Hancock

Brooke

Ohio

Roane

Putnam

Raleigh

Pocahontas

Berkeley

Morgan

Hampshire

Mineral

Grant

Randolph

DoddridgeHarrison

Ritchie

MonongaliaWetzel

Cabell

Barbour

Boone

Braxton

Calhoun

C lay

Fayette

Gilmer

Greenbrier

Hardy

J ackson

J efferson

Kanawha

Lewis

Lincoln

Logan

Marion

Marshall

Mason

McdowellMercer

Mingo

Monroe

Nicholas

Pendleton

PleasantsPreston

Summers

Taylor

Tucker

Tyler

Upshur

Wayne

Webster

Wirt

Wood

Wyoming

Percent of Families Living in Poverty, 1999


7.1% to 9.5%9.5% to 12.6%

12.6% to 16.3%16.3% to 20.8%20.8% to 33.8%

Hancock

Brooke

Ohio

Roane

Putnam

Raleigh

Pocahontas

Berkeley

Morgan

Hampshire

Mineral

Grant

Randolph

DoddridgeHarrison

Ritchie

MonongaliaWetzel

Cabell

Barbour

Boone

Braxton

Calhoun

C lay

Fayette

Gilmer

Greenbrier

Hardy

J ackson

J efferson

Kanawha

Lewis

Lincoln

Logan

Marion

Marshall

Mason

McdowellMercer

Mingo

Monroe

Nicholas

Pendleton

PleasantsPreston

Summers

Taylor

Tucker

Tyler

Upshur

Wayne

Webster

Wirt

Wood

Wyoming

Per Capita Personal Income, 1999

West V irginia = $16,477Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census

$17,982 to $20,471$16,247 to $17,982$14,102 to $16,247$12,445 to $14,102$10,174 to $12,445

Transition and Completion Transition and Completion Rates – From High School to Rates – From High School to

College CompletionCollege Completion

86.1

74.8

51.0

67.1

0

20

40

60

80

100

New

Jer

sey

Nor

th D

akot

aU

tah

Neb

rask

aM

inne

sota

Iow

aV

erm

ont

Mon

tana

Wis

cons

inC

onne

ctic

utId

aho

Mai

neW

yom

ing

Penn

sylv

ania

Mas

sach

uset

tsW

est V

irgi

nia

Kan

sas

Sout

h D

akot

aN

ew H

amps

hire

Vir

gini

aA

rkan

sas

Mar

ylan

dM

isso

uri

Okl

ahom

aIl

linoi

sW

ashi

ngto

nC

olor

ado

Ohi

oR

hode

Isl

and

Nev

ada

Cal

ifor

nia

Mic

higa

nIn

dian

aO

rego

nN

atio

nK

entu

cky

Haw

aii

Ala

ska

Tex

asD

elaw

are

New

Mex

ico

Ari

zona

Ala

bam

aN

orth

Car

olin

aN

ew Y

ork

Lou

isia

naM

issi

ssip

piFl

orid

aT

enne

ssee

Geo

rgia

Sout

h C

arol

ina

High School Graduation Rates – Public HS Graduates as a High School Graduation Rates – Public HS Graduates as a Percent of 9Percent of 9thth Graders Four Years Earlier (%) - 2000 Graders Four Years Earlier (%) - 2000

Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity

65.4

53.0

38.5

22.3

20

30

40

50

60

70

Rho

de I

slan

dN

ew H

amps

hire

Mas

sach

uset

tsPe

nnsy

lvan

iaD

elaw

are

Iow

aM

aryl

and

Was

hing

ton

Ver

mon

tN

ew J

erse

yC

onne

ctic

utV

irgi

nia

Cal

ifor

nia

Nor

th C

arol

ina

Mai

neM

ichi

gan

Illin

ois

New

Yor

kW

isco

nsin

Indi

ana

Min

neso

taFl

orid

aN

atio

nSo

uth

Car

olin

aU

tah

Wyo

min

gO

rego

nO

hio

Col

orad

oM

isso

uri

Ari

zona

Kan

sas

Ten

ness

eeN

ebra

ska

Tex

asA

laba

ma

Haw

aii

Mis

siss

ippi

Nor

th D

akot

aSo

uth

Dak

ota

Nev

ada

Geo

rgia

Mon

tana

New

Mex

ico

Ken

tuck

yW

est V

irgi

nia

Okl

ahom

aId

aho

Ark

ansa

sL

ouis

iana

Ala

ska

Source: NCES-IPEDS, Graduation Rate Survey

Graduation Rates – Percent of Bachelor’s Students Graduating Graduation Rates – Percent of Bachelor’s Students Graduating within Six Years (%) - 2000within Six Years (%) - 2000

63.8

42.4

30.0

11.0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Sout

h D

akot

aM

aine

Ari

zona

Penn

sylv

ania

Lou

isia

naW

yom

ing

New

Ham

pshi

reC

alif

orni

aId

aho

Wes

t Vir

gini

aN

ebra

ska

Mis

sour

iV

erm

ont

Uta

hC

olor

ado

Iow

aFl

orid

aM

inne

sota

Kan

sas

Wis

cons

inM

onta

naA

lask

aN

evad

aN

orth

Dak

ota

Was

hing

ton

Nat

ion

New

Yor

kM

issi

ssip

piIn

dian

aG

eorg

iaIl

linoi

sT

enne

ssee

Con

nect

icut

Ore

gon

Haw

aii

Okl

ahom

aV

irgi

nia

Ala

bam

aN

orth

Car

olin

aK

entu

cky

Ohi

oA

rkan

sas

New

Mex

ico

Mas

sach

uset

tsM

ichi

gan

Sout

h C

arol

ina

Tex

asN

ew J

erse

yM

aryl

and

Del

awar

eR

hode

Isl

and

Source: NCES-IPEDS, Graduation Rate Survey

Graduation Rates – Percent of Associate Students at Two-Year Graduation Rates – Percent of Associate Students at Two-Year Colleges Graduating within Three Years (%) - 2000Colleges Graduating within Three Years (%) - 2000

Student PipelineStudent Pipeline

Of 100 9Of 100 9thth Graders, How Many . . Graders, How Many . . . .

Student PipelineStudent Pipeline

Of 100 9Of 100 9thth Graders, How Many . . Graders, How Many . . . . 8484

5858

2828

38.838.8

6767

3838

2626

1818

26.726.7

7575

3939

2727

151516.616.6

4242

00

100100

Graduate fromGraduate fromHigh SchoolHigh School

DirectlyDirectly EnrollEnrollSophomore YearSophomore Year

Graduate withinGraduate within150%150% 25 to 44 with a25 to 44 with a

Bachelor'sBachelor's

Best Performing StateBest Performing State US AverageUS Average West VirginiaWest Virginia

Within 4 YearsWithin 4 YearsEnter CollegeEnter College

PopulationPopulation

Sources: Tom Mortenson, ACT, NCES-IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey, US Census BureauSources: Tom Mortenson, ACT, NCES-IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey, US Census Bureau

College Participation College Participation

West Virginia = 43.7%Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

Hancock

Brooke

Ohio

Roane

Putnam

Raleigh

Pocahontas

Berkeley

Morgan

Hampshire

Mineral

Grant

Randolph

DoddridgeHarrison

Ritchie

MonongaliaWetzel

Cabell

Barbour

Boone

Braxton

Calhoun

Clay

Fayette

Gilmer

Greenbrier

Hardy

Jackson

Jefferson

Kanawha

Lewis

Lincoln

Logan

Marion

Marshall

Mason

Mcdowell Mercer

Mingo

Monroe

Nicholas

Pendleton

Pleasants

Preston

Summers

Taylor

Tucker

Tyler

Upshur

Wayne

Webster

Wirt

Wood

Wyoming

First Time Full-Time Freshmen as a Percent ofHigh School Graduates, 2000

53.6% to 60.0%45.3% to 53.6%35.7% to 45.3%30.5% to 35.7%21.6% to 30.5%

Hancock

Brooke

Ohio

Roane

Putnam

Raleigh

Pocahontas

Berkeley

Morgan

Hampshire

Mineral

Grant

Randolph

DoddridgeHarrison

Ritchie

MonongaliaWetzel

Cabell

Barbour

Boone

Braxton

Calhoun

Clay

Fayette

Gilmer

Greenbrier

Hardy

J ackson

J efferson

Kanawha

Lewis

Lincoln

Logan

Marion

Marshall

Mason

Mcdowell Mercer

Mingo

Monroe

Nicholas

Pendleton

Pleasants

Preston

Summers

Taylor

Tucker

Tyler

Upshur

Wayne

Webster

Wirt

Wood

Wyoming

Part-Time Undergraduates as a Percent of25-44 Year-Olds, 2000

West Virginia = 3.0%Source: West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission.U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

3.8% to 4.5%3.3% to 3.8%2.6% to 3.3%2.1% to 2.6%1.2% to 2.1%

Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment as a Percent of Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment as a Percent of 25 to 44 Year Olds (%) - 200025 to 44 Year Olds (%) - 2000

Source: NCES-IPEDS, US Census Bureau

10.8

3.6

6.2

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3

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Selected Data for West Virginia Higher Education J. Michael Mullen WVFAA November 6, 2003.

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