SECOND QUARTER/ FIRST HALF 2016 PRESENTATION 25 August 2016 · PRESENTATION 25 August 2016 1 ......
Transcript of SECOND QUARTER/ FIRST HALF 2016 PRESENTATION 25 August 2016 · PRESENTATION 25 August 2016 1 ......
SECOND QUARTER/FIRST HALF 2016 PRESENTATION
25 August 2016
1
• Highlights
• Financials
• Operational review
• Market update and prospects
• Q&A
Agenda
2
Highlights
Highlights
-500
50100150200250300350
2007 201620152014201320122011201020092008
Chemical tankersTank terminalsLPG/Ethylene
1. Proportional consolidation method according to actual historical ownership share
• Net result 2Q16 of USD 16 mill (1Q16 of USD 24 mill) and EBITDA of USD 61 mill (1Q16 of USD 69 mill).
• Softer chemical tanker spot market, however, utilization remained high due to stable contract nominations
• First half 2016 EBITDA of USD 129 mill compared to first half 2015 EBITDA of USD 88 mill
• The two first vessels in Odfjell Gas’ newbuilding programme have been cancelled and all paid instalments have been returned
• Balance sheet continues to strengthen• Stable results from Odfjell Terminals• LoI signed for construction of four stainless
steel chemical tankers
Annualised EBITDA1, USD mill
Odfix, Quarterly average Index, 1990=100
3
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Odfix Index
Odfix Quarterly Average 2007-2015
Chemical tanker spot earnings index (midcycle = 100)Source: Clarkson Platou
Financials
USD millions 2Q 2016 1Q 2016Gross revenue 241 249
Voyage expenses (67) (69)
TC expenses (40) (41)
Operating expenses (49) (46)
General and administrative expenses (24) (23)
Operating result before depr. (EBITDA) 61 69
Depreciation (31) (30)
Impairment (0) (10)
Capital gain (loss) on non-current assets 0 12
Operating result (EBIT) 30 41
Net finance (13) (13)
Taxes (1) (5)
Net result 16 24
1. Proportional consolidation method
Income statement¹ – Second quarter 2016 Odfjell Group
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Financials
USD millions 1H 2016 1H 2015Gross revenue 490 539
Voyage expenses (136) (209)
TC expenses (82) (85)
Operating expenses (95) (104)
General and administrative expenses (47) (53)
Operating result before depr. (EBITDA) 129 88
Depreciation (61) (61)
Impairment (10) (10)
Capital gain (loss) on non-current assets 12 -
Operating result (EBIT) 71 17
Net finance (26) (42)
Taxes (6) (0)
Net result 40 (25)
1. Proportional consolidation method
Income statement¹ – First half 2016 Odfjell Group
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Quarterly figures¹ – Odfjell Group
Financials
Quarterly Gross Revenue and EBITDA, USD millions
2Q16 versus 1Q16• Reduced revenue mainly due to softer markets and fewer operational days• EBITDA remains healthy due to increased competiveness
241249253276279260276292302
Q1 2016Q4 2015Q3 2015Q2 2015Q1 2015Q4 2014Q3 2014Q2 2014 Q2 2016
6169
455753
353431
15
Q1 2016Q4 2015Q3 2015Q2 2015Q1 2015Q4 2014Q3 2014Q2 2014 Q2 2016
Gross Revenue
EBITDA
1. Proportional consolidation method6
Financials
EBITDA variance¹ – Odfjell Group
1. Proportional consolidation method
Quarterly EBITDA, USD millions
2Q 2016
60.6
G&A
0.6
OPEX
2.7
TC exp.
1.1
Voy exp.
2.3
Gross rev.
8.0
1Q 2016
68.6
1H 2016
129.2
G&A
5.7
OPEX
8.6
TC exp.
2.7
Voy exp.
73.3
Gross rev.
49.1
1H 2015
87.9
2Q 2016
versus1Q
2016
1H 2016
versus1H
2015
• Gross revenue down 3%
• Voyage expenses reduced 3%
• EBITDA down 12%
• Gross revenue down 9%
• Voyage expenses reduced 35%
• OPEX reduced 8%
• EBITDA improved 47%
7
Quarterly figures¹ – Odfjell Group
Financials
Operating Result (EBIT)¹, Net Finance² and Net Result, USD millions
• EBIT 1H 2016 USD 71 mill compared to 1H 2015 USD 18 mill• Net interest remain stable• Return on equity first half at 11.1%
3041
0
2612555
-15
16
-17
77
-32-17-9
-26
Q1 2016
24
Q4 2015Q3 2015Q2 2015Q1 2015Q4 2014Q3 2014Q2 2014 Q2 2016
1. Proportional consolidation method2. Equity method
Operating Result (EBIT)¹
Net Finance²
Net Result
-10 -20
-11-11-12-12-10-11-9-9 -79
-7
-21-9-14 -9-10-11-14-3
-30
Net interest Other financial/currency
8
Financials
242191
73 59 61 66
147
74
95
109 110 9627
98 97
40
20162012
93
2011
157
2010
169
2009 2015
191
2014
96
2013
11722
182
2008
286
2007
316
Annualised EBITDA1, USD millions
1. Proportional consolidation method according to actual historical ownership share
Segment details, 2Q 2016
86% 79% 69%
13% 20% 28%
EBITDA
100%
Gross revenue
100%
Assets
100%
Chemical tankersTank terminalsLPG/EthyleneResults per segment¹
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2Q 2016 1Q 2016
USD millionsChemical tankers
Tank terminals
LPG/Ethylene
Chemical tankers
Tank terminals
LPG/Ethylene
Gross revenue 207 31 3 215 31 4EBITDA 48 12 1 56 12 1EBIT 25 4 0 39 4 (2)
Income statement¹ – 2Q16 chemical tankers
USD millions 2Q 2016 1Q 2016
Gross revenue 207 215
Voyage expenses (65) (67)
TC expenses (41) (41)
Operating expenses (34) (33)
General and administrative expenses 2 (19) (18)
Operating result before depr. (EBITDA) 48 56
Depreciation (22) (22)
Impairment (0) (7)
Capital gain/loss on fixed assets 0 12
Operating result (EBIT) 25 39
Financials
• EBITDA margin 2Q of 23% compared with 1Q of 26%
1. Proportional consolidation method2. Including corporate functions
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Financials
Quarterly figures - Chemical tankers EBITDAadjusted for non-recurring items
-20
0
20
40
60
80
Q1 2016Q4 2015Q3 2015Q2 2015Q1 2015Q4 2014Q3 2014Q2 2014 Q2 2016
Quarterly Operational EBITDA (adjusted for provisions and derivatives)USD millions
• Bunker derivatives negative USD 0.5 mill in 2Q16 compared to USD 0.9 mill in 1Q16• In total USD 64.3 mill booked as voyage cost related to bunker derivatives in 2015• Total provisions/one-offs of USD 5.5 mill in 2015
EBITDABunker derivativesProvisions
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Financials
EBITDA variance – Chemical tankers
2.0
TC exp.
3.4
Bunker der.
11.6
Voy exp.
25.1
2Q 2015
-4.5
-35.7
Bunker cl.
41.9
2Q 2016
47.6
G&A
3.9
OPEXGross rev.
2Q 2016versus
1Q 2016
2Q 2016versus
2Q 2015
• Net gross revenue down 16%
• Net voyage expenses reduced 36%
• EBITDA improved 14%
• Net gross revenue down 4%
• EBITDA down 14%
-1.3
TC exp.
0.2
2Q 2016
Bunker der.
0.4
Voy exp.
1.7
Bunker cl.
4.1 47.6
G&A
-1.1
OPEXGross rev.
-12.1
1Q 2016
55.7
Quarterly EBITDA, USD millions
12
Vessel operating expenses – Chemical tankers
Financials
Vessel operating expenses (OPEX), USD/day
• OPEX remains competitive at stable level
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
2016YTD
201520142013201220112010200920082007
Crew costNon-crew OPEX
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
1Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q14 2Q16
Yearly development, 2007 - 2016 YTD Quarterly development, 2Q 2014 - 2Q 2016
Bunker development
Financials
• Net bunker cost in 2Q USD 324 per tonne before hedging vs. USD 369 in 1Q• Bunker clauses in CoAs cover about 60% of the exposure• 8% of remaining 2016 exposure is hedged at average USD 253 per tonne and 7% of 2017
exposure is hedged at USD 224 per tonne
Bunker purchase
Bunker clausesincl. in revenue
Bunker hedging
1Q16
37.8
21.4
15.5
4Q15
59.5
26.4
12.5
20.5
3Q15
63.7
36.8
9.9
17.0
2Q15
57.9
38.9
6.9
12.1
2Q16
32.9
21.0
11.4
Quarterly net bunker costUSD millions 2Q 2015 - 2Q 2016
Platts 3.5% FOB RotterdamJanuary 2012 - July 2016
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
01.201601.201501.201401.201301.2012
USD per metric tonne
14
USD millions 2Q 2016 1Q 2016
Gross revenue 31 31
Operating expenses (14) (13)
General and administrative expenses (5) (6)
Operating result before depr. (EBITDA) 12 12
Depreciation (8) (8)
Operating result (EBIT) 4 4
Financials
• Slight increase in tank terminal results• Higher OPEX due to large maintenance projects in 2Q• The occupancy rate continued high at 97% in 2Q
1. Proportional consolidation method
Income statement¹ – 1Q16 tank terminals
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Financials
Tank terminals EBITDA – By geographical segment
• Stable results in all areas• Odfjell Terminals (Rotterdam) continues
positive trend
EBITDA, USD millions YTD
EBITDA Tank Terminals 2Q 2016 1Q 2016
Europe 2 1North America 5 5Asia 3 4Middle East 2 2Total EBITDA 12 12
4
7
10
3
Europe North America Asia Middle East
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Balance sheet¹ – 30.06.2016
Assets, USD millionsShips and newbuilding contracts 1 221
Other non-current assets/receivables 39
Investment in associates and JV’s 372
Total non-current assets 1 632
Cash and cash equivalent 148
Other current assets 115.
Total current assets 263
Assets held for sale 22
Total assets 1 916
Equity and liabilities, USD millionsTotal equity 663
Non-current liabilities and derivatives 34
Non-current interest bearing debt 903
Total non-current liabilities 937
Current portion of interest bearing debt 221
Other current liabilities and derivatives 95
Total current liabilities 316
Liabilities held for sale -
Total equity and liabilities 1 916
Financials
• Cash balance of USD 148 mill - excluding JV’s cash• Net investment in tank terminals JV’s USD 308 mill• Equity ratio 34.6% (34.0% end 1Q)• Asset held for sale consist of planned vessel sales
1. Equity method17
• In June Bow Harmony was sold and leased back on an 11-year financial lease structure• NOK bond maturing with USD 105 mill in April 2017
Debt Portfolio, USD millions Debt Repayments, USD millions
Financials
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2019201820172016 2020Secured loansNOK Bond 12/18
NOK bond 12/17LeasingBalloon
Debt development – 30.06.2016
18
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
20202016 2017 2018 2019Ending balance Repayment
USD millions Remaining 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Chemical Tankers
Docking 7 14 14 14 14
Other investments (vessel retrofitting) 4 7
Odfjell Gas, 100%1
Sinopacific, 2 x 17,000 cbm TBD
Sinopacific, 4 x 22,000 cbm 30 139
Tank Terminals, 100%
Planned capex 39 46 40 9 8
Financials
Capital expenditure programme – 30.06.2016
1 Odfjell SE (50% owner) is committed to inject up to USD 45 mill in equity in 2016 - 2017. Due to cancellation and delays at the yard the capital injections will be significantly reduced and/or pushed to later than originally scheduled
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Terminal projects and expansions
• Our terminal in Tianjin China is still awaiting permits which is expected to be in November• Odfjell Terminals have initiated a full strategic business review of the activities. This initiative is led by the new terminal management headed by the new CEO Odfjell Terminals, Frank Erkelens, and will be completed later this year
Operational review
20
Odfjell Terminals Rotterdam – current status
40
-20
-40
-60
20
0
-80
60
2014 201620152009 20132007 20102008 2011 2012
• The terminal has now delivered positive EBITDA for three consecutive quarters
• The distillation volumes in Rotterdam continued to increase in 2Q
• The commercial available tank capacity in Rotterdam reached 1,011,000 cbm by end of June as planned
• The Rotterdam results are expected to stabilise for the remainder of 2016
Annualised EBITDA for Odfjell Terminals (Rotterdam) (100%)EUR millions
Operational review
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Due to delayed construction of our LPG/Ethylene vessels on order, we have cancelled the two first 17,000 cbm gas carriers
We will most likely cancel the remaining orders when we are in a cancelling position
All investments paid for the cancelled vessels have been returned by the refund guarantor
The remaining orders are secured by refund guarantees from reputable financing institutions
USD millions 2Q 2016 1Q 2016Gross revenue 3 4
EBITDA 1 1
EBIT 0 (2)
Operational review
Odfjell Gas Carriers
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Market activity was reasonably stable, but increased competition
The contract coverage for the pool is satisfactory
Fleet additions DWT Built Tanks TransactionJuly 2016 Bristol Trader 35 863 2016 Stainless Long-term TC
June 2016 Bow Harmony 33 619 2008 Stainless Sale/lease back
February 2016 Southern Owl 26 057 2016 Stainless Long-term TC
Short-term TC: Up to one yearMedium-term TC: 1-3 years
Fleet disposals, owned DWT Built Tanks Transaction
2H 2016 Bow Master 6 046 1999 Stainless Bareboat
June 2016 Bow Sailor 6 008 1999 Stainless Sale
June 2016 Bow Harmony 33 619 2008 Stainless Sale/lease back
November 2015 Bow Victor 33 000 1986 Stainless Recycling
August 2015 Bow Bracaria 5 846 1997 Stainless Sale
July 2015 Bow Brasilia 5 800 1997 Stainless Sale
July 2015 Bow Balearia 5 846 1998 Stainless Sale
Operational review
Fleet development – Last 12 months
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Market update and prospects
• 2Q saw a slight reduction in TCElevels
• The slowdown observed in 1Q in the Far East spot market continued throughout 2Q and gradually spread to other markets
• The volume transported also decreased due to fewer operational days available compared to 1Q.
• In spite of the more challenging market, we delivered acceptable utilization through stable contract nominations for our vessels and agility in the spot market
• Our forecast for 3Q is a limited reduction in TCE results as the markets are generally softer
Market update – Chemical tankers
Source: Clarkson Platou
1. Odfix Index (1Q 1990 = 100) 2. Chemical tanker spot earnings index (midcycle = 100)
24
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Odfix Index
Odfix Quarterly Average 2007-2015
Odfix, Quarterly average Index, 1990=100
Chemical tanker spot earnings index (midcycle = 100)Source: Clarkson Platou
Market update and prospects
Chemical tanker market
1. Differences between sources due to different fleet definitions. Stricter definition and thus, more limited fleet basis2. IMO 2 tonnage ≥ 13,000 dwt, predominantly trading in chemicals. Assuming current orderbook and outphasing at 30 years (Europe built) or 25 years (Asia built).
25
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Odfjell Core FleetInge SteenslandClarksonsSwedbank
Year-on-year growth1 (%)
Forecasts
Annual compound growth rate 2015-18:Odfjell estimate core fleet: 6.8%Average other sources, full fleet: 3.7%
Chemical tanker year-on-year net fleet growth, 2005-2018F
The consensus is that supply and demand is fairly well balanced, which is also our view
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Chemical tanker supply and demand forecast, 2015-2018E
100
105
110
115
120
125
Growth in supplyIndexed (2015 = 100)
2018E2017E2016E100
105
110
115
120
125
2018E2017E2016E
Growth in demandIndexed (2015 = 100)
Inge SteenslandOdfjell core fleet
AverageSwedbank
Clarksons
ClarksonsInge SteenslandAverage
World GDP (x1.5)
Average compound annual growth rate (2015-2018): 4.9%
Average compound annual growth rate (2015-2018): 4.5%
Source: Odfjell FleetBase, IMF, various external sources
Market update and prospects
Prospects
• Our forecast for 3Q is a slightly weaker timecharter results as the markets are generally
softer
• The long term balance between supply/demand in the chemical tanker market remains
favourable, but the supply of ships is increasing mainly due to swing tonnage. The markets
are therefore under pressure, but our high COA coverage is reducing the impact of the
softer spot market
• The result at Odfjell Terminals is expected to be stable for the remainder of 2016
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Market update and prospects
Executive Management - Priorities during 2016
2016 “Building strength”• Key focus continues to be on:−Operational improvements and quality of service− Initiatives that improve cash and balance sheet −A balance sheet that gives room for growth within our core business
• Top line improvement initiatives ongoing• Fleet renewal programme for the advanced chemical tankers• Strategic review of our terminal business• Reduce our commitments in Odfjell Gas
2017 “Build for the future”• Focus on building competitive strength in our markets• Group strategy review• Focus on growth
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IR – contactTom A. Haugen │ VP Finance, Odfjell SEEmail: [email protected]: +47 905 96 944
Kristian V. Mørch │ CEO, Odfjell SEEmail: [email protected]: +47 55 27 00 00
Terje Iversen │ CFO, Odfjell SEEmail: [email protected]: +47 932 40 359
Company representatives
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ODFJELL SE
Conrad Mohrs veg 29,P.O. Box 6101 Postterminalen5892 Bergen, NorwayTel: +47 5527 0000Fax: +47 55284741E-mail: [email protected]. no: 930 192 503
www.odfjell.com
Investor Relation and Media contact Tom A. HaugenPhone: + 47 55 2746 69Mobile: + 47 90 59 69 [email protected]
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