Scottish Government Drivers | Liam Kelly
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Climate Change in Scotland:targets, policies and assessment
Liam Kelly
Climate Change Division
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Introduction
• Climate Change (Scotland) Bill
• Mitigation: delivering the 80% target
• Carbon assessment
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Scottish Government climate change policy landscape
CLIMATE CHANGE (SCOTLAND) BILL• Sets the strategic, long term aims
• Creates the necessary legislative framework to pursue those strategic aims
SUPPORTDescribes how the Government will pursue its strategic aims
REDUCING EMISSIONS
• Strategic Overview Paper
• Carbon assessment
• Emissions trading
PREPARING FOR A CHANGING CLIMATE
• Scotland’s Climate Change Adaptation Framework
COMMUNICATING THE CHALLENGE
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Climate Change (Scotland) Bill
• 80% emissions reduction target in 2050
• Interim 50% target in 2030 •Covers all GHGs
• Statutory framework based on annual targets•Set at least 12 years in advance•Based on expert advice from CCC
• Targets will include international aviation and shipping
Key features
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Climate Change (Scotland) Bill – enabling powers
• Require production of an energy efficiency action plan
• Powers to reduce waste and encourage recycling
• Powers to vary dates for muirburn (land management tool to prevent wildfires)
• Powers to promote and incentivise generation of heat from renewable sources
• Possible powers include:
– improving energy performance of non-domestic buildings
– maximising potential of forest estate
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“Do” - Policies and actions
“Check” – Annual reports“Act” - Adjust actions as required
“Plan” – Target reports
Climate Change (Scotland) Bill
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Achieving 80% - the size of the challenge
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Setting out carbon budgets for the UK – CCC report
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Identifying inputs to delivery
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• Assumes delivery of existing and planned policies
• Improved vehicle technologies and “smarter choices”
• CCS for energy generation and industry
• Increased forest area
• Renewable heat
• Building energy efficiency
Inputs to the delivery work
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Inputs to delivery work –baseline emissions in Scotland, 2006
Inventory category %
Power stations 32
Road transport 17
Residential combustion 12
Land converted to cropland 11
Other industrial combustion 10
Agricultural soils 6
Landfill 4
Enteric fermentation - cattle 4
Commercial and institutional combustion 3
Refineries 3
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Delivering emissions reductions: Strategic Overview Discussion Paper
• Key sectors for abatement - electricity, heat, transport, housing, land use
• High level policy options - abatement potential and cost
• Short (2012), medium (2020) and long term (2030 and 2050)
• Releasing the potential abatement - milestones, barriers to implementation, actions
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Carbon assessment in the Scottish Government
“…… Taking account of carbon impacts is already part of the best-value duty …… but the new carbon assessment tool will be applied to all Government spending in Scotland….”
Cabinet Secretary for Finance and Sustainable Growth, John Swinney, January 2008
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Carbon assessment
• High level assessment of overall budget• Individual level assessment of policies and plans
• Challenges include:• Setting boundaries• Establishing the methodological basis • Integration into wider business• Linking assessments together
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Budget key facts
• Spending review every 2 or 3 years• Varying levels of detail• £34.6 billion in Scotland (2009-10), split approximately
as follows:– 33% to Local Authorities – 33% to the NHS – 7% on Further & Higher Education– 25% on Environment, Housing, Transport,
Justice, Administration
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Consumption or production?
Production MtCO2e
Consumption MtCO2e
Scottish public sector 0.9 10.8
Scotland 59.0 83.6UK public sector 10.5 127.7UK 652.0 977.9
Source: AEA, SEI
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HLA progress to date
• Literature review and consultation on carbon assessment methodologies
• Expert workshop• Proceeding on input-output basis initially
• Pilots in 2-3 areas
• Examining reduction mechanisms
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ILA project
• Follows HM Treasury guidance on treating policy impacts
• Uses existing guidance on the Shadow Price of Carbon • Defra/DECC guidance on Greenhouse Gas Appraisal &
Evaluation – recently updated December 2008• Pilot areas currently engaged in trial operation of ILA
method
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Conclusions
• Climate Change Bill – next Parliamentary activity follows shortly
• Setting targets – more details to emerge this summer with the Strategic Overview
• Carbon assessment - long term development of a complex issue