Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations Collaborations...

Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010

Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations

Collaborations

Scientific Advisory Committee Meeting

13 April 2010



Multi-Model Approach: Honest Broker(via Institutional Collaborations)

• Community Climate System Model (CCSM; NSF)

• Climate Forecast System (CFS; NOAA)

• NOAA - Climate Test Bed

• Modeling, Analysis and Prediction (MAP) (MERRA, GEOS5; NASA)



Community Climate System Model

• Led effort to correct tropical biases• Adaptation as seasonal prediction research tool• Participation

– CCSM Advisory Board– Atmospheric Model Working Group– Land Model Working Group

• Contributing to CPL7 and IE capability in CCSM code base (see PetaApps project)

• Contributing to incorporation of superparameterization in CCSM code base (see CMMAP project)



Climate Forecast System (CFS)

• CFS1.0 (2005 version; used operationally for seasonal prediction)– 12 COLA Technical Reports produced based on CFS– 10 COLA scientists, 3 PhD students and 2 summer interns have used

CFS– Diagnose/model initial tendency errors in GFS/CFS (DelSole CTB project)– Developed an interactive ensemble version of CFS– Many diagnostic and model sensitivity studies– Winter high-resolution experiments to complement summer runs made

by NCEP• CFS2.0 (new GFS + MOM4; used in CFSRR; ready in May

2010)– Letter from L. Uccellini – COLA as “Research to Operations” partner– Collaborative research with EMC and CPC to use CFS2.0 to understand

the weather-climate connection, including decadal prediction• CFS3.0 (2015??)

– COLA will collaborate with EMC and CPC to design and develop next generation CFS



• Multi-model experiments– CCSM transition to operations (CTB-funded project with U.

Miami)– GFDL CM2.1 transition to operations

(collaboration with NCEP, GFDL)• Real-time seasonal predictions for CPC, IRI, and APCC• GrADS:

– Used in CPC, NOMADS and other NOAA labs - Helps broaden the usage and impact of NOAA climate products

– Adding GIS capability to enhance interoperability of CPC products with impacts and applications community (CTB-funded project)

• Joint NCEP-COLA CTB Seminar Series

Contributions to Climate Test Bed



CTB Seminar Series

• 2007-2008• CFS as a prediction system and research tool • Venue alternating between NCEP and COLA• NCEP Venue: seminars coordinated with CTB “Test and

Evaluation Team” meetings for broader discussion following the seminars

• 2008-2009 • Topics include:

– CFS improvements (R2O)– MME - evaluation, consolidation techniques (R2O)– Climate Forecast Products (R2O)– Using CFS to do scientific research (O2R)

– 2009-2010• Venues now include COLA, NCEP, ESSIC, and GSFC



NOAA OST maintains a web page for the extended summaries of CTB Joint Seminar Series (part of the Science and Technology Infusion Climate Bulletin assembled by Jiayu Zhou)

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/ost/climate/STIP/fy09jsctb.htm



Modeling, Analysis and Prediction (MAP) Program of NASA

• New atmospheric reanalysis (MERRA) uses ESMF-based model (GEOS-5) – provides unique data set for evaluating high-resolution models

• Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (GLACE, collaboration with Randy Koster, GMAO) • COLA participants: Dirmeyer, Guo• Along with GSWP, showed that locations where soil moisture data appear most

likely to have an impact on climate prediction are those sparsely-vegetated areas (grasslands, savanna, steppes), which are also the locations where a passive microwave satellite has a chance of getting good data

• GLACE-2 – continuing collaboration with Koster to examine effect of soil moisture on prediction skill



Land Group CollaborationsAtmospheric Research Beijing Normal U. BoM (Australia) Catalan Institute of Science and

Climate Center for Euro-Mediterranean

Climate Change CNRM CSIRO Earth Water Global ECMWF Environment Canada Florida State U. GFDL Hadley Center Hokkaido U. Institute of Hydrology,

Wallingford Russian Academy of Sciences,

Institute of Water Problems KNMI Kyoto U. LMD/CNRS Météo-France MIT Nanjing U. NASA/GSFC National Institute for

Environmental Studies (Japan)

National Oceanography Centre, Southampton

NCAR NCEP (EMC and CPC)NERC, Centre for Ecology &

Hydrology Princeton U. Purdue U.

Research Institute for Humanity and Nature (Japan)

Swiss Federal Institute of Technology

Texas A&M U. U. Colorado U. Exeter U. Gothenburg U. Lisbon U. Maryland U. Maryland Baltimore County U. Miami U. Minnesota U. New South Wales U. Texas U. Tokyo UCLA UK Met Office Western Kentucky U.



International CLIVAR Climate of the 20th Century Project (C20C)

• COLA participants– Cash, Jin, Kinter– COLA hosts the project home page

• > 15 modeling groups from

many countries– Australia, Brazil, China, France,

Italy, Japan, New Zealand, Russia, U.K., USA

• Series of workshops organized jointly by COLA & Hadley Centre– 4th workshop held at COLA in 2007– 5th workshop planned in Beijing on

19-22 April 2010

• Many-author papers have shown what can and cannot be attributed to variations and change in global SST and sea ice

– Scaife et al.– Kucharski et al.– Zhou et al. – Grainger et al.



PetaApps

• COLA participants– Kinter, Stan

• Several groups participating with NSF OCI funding– NCAR, UC Berkeley, U. Miami

• Already had several impacts– Demonstrated efficacy of collaboration between modeling groups and

computational science/software engineering groups– Highest resolution integration of CCSM (0.5 degree CAM + 0.1 degree

POP) – interesting comparison with DOE Grand Challenge runs – Re-design of Flux Coupler for purposes of Interactive Ensemble (IE) led

to high degree of efficiency in using O(6000 cores)– Serendipity: Design intended to support IE easily adapted to support

EnKF for POP– Largest TeraGrid allocation (up to that time in 2009) of 35M SUs



CMMAP• COLA participants

– Stan, Kinter• NSF Science and Technology Center at CSU

– Center for Multi-scale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes, D. Randall (PI)• Demonstrated improvement of coupled model (CCSM)

simulation with explicit representation of clouds, despite very low resolution of host model (T42 CAM)

PRAC – Blue Waters• COLA participants

– Stan, Kinter• NSF Petascale Research on Blue Waters

– ~320K cores IBM Power7 system at NCSA (Illinois)– Partners:

– NCAR (Loft et al.)– Center for Multi-scale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes (D. Randall, R. Heikes)– U. Miami (Kirtman)– UC Berkeley (Collins, Yelick)



http://adv-model-earth-syst.org/



The Athena Project



Participants• ECMWF

– Mats Hamrud– Thomas Jung– Martin Miller– Tim Palmer (co-PI)– Peter Towers– Nils Wedi

• NICS– Phil Andrews (co-PI)– Troy Baer– Matt Ezell– Christian Halloy– Dwayne John– Bruce Loftis– Kwai Wong

• Cray– Pete Johnsen– Per Nyberg

• JAMSTEC/U. Tokyo– Chihiro Kodama– Masaki Satoh (co-PI, U.

Tokyo)– Hirofumi Tomita (co-PI,

JAMSTEC)– Yohei Yamada

• NSF– AGS: Jay Fein– OCI: Steve Meacham, Rob

Pennington• COLA

- Emilia Jin

- Jim Kinter (PI)

- Larry Marx

- Julia Manganello

- Cristiana Stan

- Tom Wakefield

- Deepthi Achutavarier

- Jennifer Adams

- Eric Altshuler

- Ben Cash

- Paul Dirmeyer

- Bohua Huang

Scientific Advisory Committee – 12-13 April 2010Jim Kinter - COLA Collaborations Collaborations...

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