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Science-based credibility and carbon decision support, using FIA data
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Transcript of Science-based credibility and carbon decision support, using FIA data
Science-based credibility and carbon decision support,
using FIA data
Linda S. Heath
Forest Carbon Accounting
and Research
NRS-FIA
Durham, NH
Science-based credibility
--peer-reviewed publications
--”expert” review
Decision support
-- credibility to users?
A factoid quiz
On average, over the years 2001-2006, forests offset what percent of emissions in the United States?
A. 18%
B. 14%
C. 11%
On average, over the years 2001-2006, net sequestration in forests ecosystems, harvested wood products, and urban forests offset:
A. 18% of emissions from fossil fuel combustion and IF count contribution of wood burned for energy
B. 14% of emissions from fossil fuel combustion, or emissions of all greenhouse gases IF count wood burned for energy
C. 11% of emissions of all greenhouse gases (in terms of CO2 eq.)
Total emissions CO2 eq. 7,027
Only CO2 emissions 5,967
Fossil fuel combustion 5,623
Forest ecosystems -611
Products/Landfills -102
Urban forests -90
Emissions from wood burned for energy
199
Source: US EPA (2008)
0
100
200
300
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
CO
2 e
mis
sio
ns
(T
g)
Source: US EPA (2008) – Heath and Smith (in prep)
CO2 emissions from forest fires
Why would the FS be interested in C accounting at the national-level?
• United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change: Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks Inventories– Like 140 other nations, the US ratified the
UNFCCC and promised, by law, to report their GHG emissions and sinks annually.
– US Environmental Protection Agency is the lead agency for this, but we (the FS) provide the official forest ecosystem and harvested wood statistics and have done this “forever”
UNFCCC Reporting – still evolving
• Beginning 1990, every year, managed forests
• Consistency
• Moving toward full land representation (forest, cropland, grassland, wetland, settlement, other)
• Uncertainties required
UNFCCC Reporting – still evolving
• Be able to report subcategories (nonforest becoming forest, forest remaining forest)
• Transparency, verification, accuracy, precision, cost
UNFCCC reviews of inventory
CarbonTrackCarbonTracker Resulter Result
Weekly gridded product at 1x1 degree with error estimate, freely available on web with code, data, docs
Source: Scott Denning
• The Vulcan inventory represents the US fossil fuel CO2 emissions for the year 2002 at a spatial scale that is less than 10 km and hourly.
• Detailed documentation at http://www.purdue.edu/eas/carbon/vulcan.
Tools with output at various scales
• Forest Stand
• Landscape
• County
• State
• Region or ecoregion
• National
FVS-CGTR-343
COLECCTFORCARB2
To access tools go to http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/carbon/tools