San Francisco Transportation Plan Overview - Fall 2010

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SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY San Francisco Transportation Plan Update Updating the Transportation Blueprint for San Francisco’s Future Fall 2010

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Transcript of San Francisco Transportation Plan Overview - Fall 2010

Page 1: San Francisco Transportation Plan Overview - Fall 2010

SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY

San Francisco Transportation Plan Update

Updating the Transportation Blueprintfor San Francisco’s Future

Fall 2010

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San Francisco Transportation Plan (SFTP):The transportation “big picture”

Purpose: Establish San Francisco’s transportation goals and priorities for the next 25 years.

Periodically updated to address changing conditions

Addresses all aspects of transportation from high speed rail to walking, and all services: BART, Caltrain, Muni, etc.

Why do long range planning?If we don’t plan now, others will plan for us

To implement San Francisco’s goals and policy objectives

To prioritize the many needs within limited resources

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The SFTP is for both neighborhoods and policymakers, the start of changes large and small

Modal Plans:Bicycle Plan, Transit

Effectiveness Project, Better Streets Plan

SFTransportation

Plan

Major Projects & Plans

Neighborhood Plans & Projects

General Plan Transportation

Element

Climate Action Plan

Hayes 2-way ConversionSignal Timing/UpgradesTraffic Calming Projects

Parklets

Bicycle lanesTransit Preferential Streets

Pedestrian Curb extensions

Octavia BoulevardPresidio Parkway (Doyle Drive)

Van Ness BRTGeary BRT

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2004 Transportation Plan highlights

SF’s first countywide transportation plan

Investment programTransit expansion through a new mode: BRT network

Continued local funding for transportation: Prop K sales tax

Strategic InitiativesNeighborhood-scale transportation planning

Manage the transportation system through price signals

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Key initiatives and accomplishments:Capital Projects

T-Third Light Rail

Presidio Parkway (Doyle Drive)

Octavia Boulevard

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Key initiatives and accomplishments:Modal networks and improvements

Bike network improvements

Traffic calming

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Key initiatives and accomplishments:New programs and policies

Parking policy changes - SFpark

Peak period congestion management study –Mobility, Access, and Pricing Study (MAPS)

Streets as public spaces - parklets

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What will the San Francisco Transportation Plan include?

Phase 1 – Vision and goals, identify existing and projected future conditions

Phase 2 – Identify key transportation needs and opportunities

Phase 3 – Develop and evaluate possible investments and policies

Phase 4 – Recommend package of improvements

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19%

59%

21%29%

31%

39%

Transit

Auto

Non Motorized

Needs and Opportunities:A Transit-First City where transit is not the first choice

Share of Trips during the PM peak taken by:

CitywideDowntown

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Mode Share Comparison(daily trips to/from/within, all trip purposes)

51%

33%

52%

37%

33%

59%

19%

35%

15%

25%

30%

18%

30%

32%

33%

38%

37%

23%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Boston

Barcelona

Copenhagen

Amsterdam

New York City

Auto Transit Non-Motorized

San Francisco

Mode Share: San Francisco vs. Other Cities

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Needs and Opportunities: Congestion impacts transit speeds

The average transit trip covers a shorter distance than the average auto trip, yet takes up to 2.6x longer

Travel speeds on many streets operating below 10 mphgreater impacts on transit’s proposed Rapid Network

Transit Speeds, Spring 2009** Auto LOS, Spring 2009*

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Needs and Opportunities: Service delivered, but not always reliably

56.9%

72.3%

Performance Goal: 85.0%

96.6%Del ivery Goal : 

98.5% 

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 Q1 FY10 Q2

Frequency Performance Schedule Performance Scheduled Service Hours  Delivered

Muni Service Standards Reporting

Source:  SFMTA Prop E reporting

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Courtesy:  SF Planning Department

New Households Expected by 2035

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Courtesy:  SF Planning Department

New Jobs Expected by 2035

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Our population is diverse, with increasingly diverse needs

In 2035, greater shares of the population will be young or old (under 19 or over 65)—32% today, 40% by 2035

We know that today…

11% of SF residents live below poverty line

10% of SF residents say they don’t speak English well

3+ auto households are concentrated in the southeast

Percent of households with 0 cars (left)Percent of households with 3+ cars (right)

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With more than 400,000 new car trips by 2035,Expect more congestion, more delays

Growth in Auto Trips by Market, 2010- 2035Circles indicate change in trips beginning or ending in that district.

Lines indicate increase in trips between the two areas connected by the line

Red indicates an overall increase, darker indicates larger increases

Blue indicates an overall decrease

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With more than 400,000 new car trips by 2035,Expect more congestion, more delays

~20% increase in Bay Bridge crossings (daily & PM peak)

~10% decrease in Golden Gate Bridge crossings (PM peak outbound )

>37% increase in county line crossings(daily & PM peak)

>100% increase inCaltrain ridership (daily & PM peak )

60 - 80% increase in BART ridership @ countyline(daily & PM peak )

~20% increase in BART ridership(daily & PM peak)

Growth in Auto Trips by Market, 2010- 2035

>15% increase in Sam Trans ridership @countyline(daily & PM peak )

Expected growth in car trips is more than the combined volume of Bay Bridge and Golden Gate Bridge crossings today

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Four Core Goals for the Future

Create a more livable and

equitable city

Improve environmental

quality

Provide world-class

infrastructure

Strengthen our economic

competitiveness

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Evaluating the goals: “What would it take” to achieve these goals?

Create a more livable and

equitable city

Improve environmental

quality

Provide world-class

infrastructure

Strengthen our economic

competitivenessReduce auto mode share below 50%

Attract more employees and

residents

Achieve greenhouse gas

reduction mandates

Bring our system to a

state of good repair

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Important trend in economic competitiveness:San Francisco job growth flat compared to the Bay Area

425,000

925,000

1,425,000

1,925,000

2,425,000

2,925,000

3,425,000

3,925,000

4,425,000

1969

1971

1973

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

759,212679,349

747,676

655,019

Courtesy:  SF Planning

Bay Area

San Francisco

Commute travel time and cost for SF workers vs regional workers

Auto::transit travel time

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Only 20% of San Francisco streets in “good” pavement condition

Resurfacing and reconstruction of streets costs 10-50x more than regular maintenance

Important trend in world-class infrastructure:Pay now or pay more later

Cost of Deferred Road Maintenance

Pavement Condition

Good 

Adequate

Poor

Worst 

Total

Source: SF DPW 

Type of Repair Needed

Cost/Block% of San Francisco 

Blocks

None ‐ 20%

Maintenance  $9,000 31%

Resurfacing $97,800 30%

Reconstruction $436,400 19%

100%

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Important trend in environmental quality:Technology changes are not enough

Source: SF-CHAMP, MVSTAFF

San Francisco Greenhouse Gas Trends vs. Goals (Surface Transportation GHGs only)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Metric

 Ton

s/Day

 (1,000s)

2035

Trend

Trend w/technology

Goal

-Technology trend includes Pavley and Low Carbon Fuel Standard State mandates

-Includes all SF trips, and ½ of trips that begin or end in SF

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Important trend in livability & equity:Increased VMT related to increased collisions

How easily can San Franciscans access goods and services within their neighborhoods?

How often do San Franciscans walk and bike?

Source: SWITRS, DPH, SFMTA Collision Report, 2008

Pedestrian Incidents, 2004-2008

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Defining “Livability” Kickoff Contest

To launch the To launch the SFTP, the Authority organized a contest: “In six words, what does livability mean to you?” This word cloud displays responses received, where larger words were included in more definitions.

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Defining “Livability” Kickoff Contest

Accessible places, natural spaces, minimal traces. –winning entry

Serendipitous encounter… dependable rendezvous… spontaneous excursion. –runner-up

Living, working, playing, all in reach. –runner-up

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The SFTP can shape a different future

Business as usual falls short of our vision But it doesn’t have to be that way…

New projects or programs can help achieve our vision:BRT lines and dedicated lanes – can improve transit reliability

bicycle facilities – to improve connectivity and safety

traffic calming -- to improve pedestrian safety

congestion pricing – to improve drive and transit travel times

parking reform – to improve availability

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Where do we go from here?

Phase I: Background and contextProject launch, goals, existing conditions, projectionsUntil October 2010

Phase II: Issues and optionsSpecific concerns, needs, options, challenges, opportunitiesBrainstorm potential projects and strategiesNovember 2010 to March 2011

Phase III: Draft planRefine projects and strategies; define alternativesApril 2011 to September 2011

Phase IV: Final planPreferred alternative; implementation strategyOctober 2011 to March 2012

Ongoing neighborhood

and stakeholder meetings

Coordination with agency staff

Public workshops and webinars

Surveys and focus groups

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How to be involved

Attend meetings of the SFTP Community Advisory Committee

Request or attend presentations to neighborhood groups

Participate in webinars

Get updates at www.MoveSmartSF.com

Find us on www.facebook.com/MoveSmartSF

Follow us on twitter.com/SanFranciscoTA

Call (415) 593-1670 or email us ([email protected])

Take our survey! www.surveymonkey.com/s/sftp

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Thank you!

[email protected]

(415) 593-1670www.facebook.com/movesmartsf