Sampling procedure30 jan2012

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Daxaben N Mehta Smt.S.C.U.Shah Home Science and C.U.Shah Arts & Commerce Mahila College Wadhwancity

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Transcript of Sampling procedure30 jan2012

Page 1: Sampling procedure30 jan2012

Daxaben N MehtaSmt.S.C.U.Shah Home Science

and C.U.Shah Arts & Commerce Mahila College Wadhwancity

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Define population (N) to be sampled

Quantitative assumptions in samplingQualitative assumptions in samplingTypes of samplingEthnographic samplingInterview samplingContent analysis samplingHow many? Determine sample size (n)A famous sampling mistakeControl for bias and error

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The process of selecting a number of individuals for a study in such a way that the individuals represent the larger group from which they were selected

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Sample…Sample……the representatives selected for a study

whose characteristics exemplify the larger group from which they were selected

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Population…Population…

…the larger group from which individuals are selected to participate in a study

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To gather data about the population in order to make an inference that can be generalized to the population

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Identify the group of interest and its characteristics to which the findings of the study will be generalized

…called the “target” population (the ideal selection)

…oftentimes the “accessible” or “available” population must be used (the realistic selection)

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POPULATION

SAMPLE

INFERENCE

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POPULATION (N)

SAMPLE (n)

IS THE SAMPLE

REPRESENTATIVE?

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POPULATION (N)

SAMPLE (n)

INFERENCE

IS THE

INFERENCE

GENERALIZABLE?

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A subset of the population, selected by either

“probability” or “non-probability” methods. If you have a “probability sample”

you simply know the likelihood of any member of the

population being included (not necessarily that it is

“random.”

A subset of the population, selected by either

“probability” or “non-probability” methods. If you have a “probability sample”

you simply know the likelihood of any member of the

population being included (not necessarily that it is

“random.”

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I want to know what causes something else.

I want to know what causes something else.

I really spend a lot of time wondering how to measure things.

I really spend a lot of time wondering how to measure things.

I wonder how small patterns generalize to big patterns.

I wonder how small patterns generalize to big patterns.

I want to make sure others can repeat my findings.

I want to make sure others can repeat my findings.

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We want to generalize to the population.We want to generalize to the population.

Random events are predictable.Random events are predictable.

Therefore…We can compare random events to our results.We can compare random events to our results.

Probability sampling is the best approach.Probability sampling is the best approach.

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I want to see the world through the eyes of my respondents.

I want to see the world through the eyes of my respondents.

I want to describe the context in a lot of detail.

I want to describe the context in a lot of detail.

I want to show how social change occurs. I’m interested in how things come to be.

I want to show how social change occurs. I’m interested in how things come to be.

I really want my research approach to be flexible and able to change.

I really want my research approach to be flexible and able to change.

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Social actors are not predictable like objects.Social actors are not predictable like objects.

Randomized events are irrelevant to social life.Randomized events are irrelevant to social life.

Probability sampling is expensive and inefficient.Probability sampling is expensive and inefficient.

Therefore…

Non-probability sampling is the best approach.Non-probability sampling is the best approach.

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1 Get a list or “sampling frame”This is the hard part! It must not systematically

exclude anyone. Remember the famous sampling mistake?

2 Generate random numbers3 Select one person per random number

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advantages…advantages……easy to conduct

…strategy requires minimum knowledge of the population to be sampled

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disadvantages…disadvantages……need names of all population members

…may over- represent or under- estimate sample members

…there is difficulty in reaching all selected in the sample

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1 Select a random number, which will be known as k

2 Get a list of people, or observe a flow of people (e.g., pedestrians on a corner)

3 Select every kthpersonCareful that there is no systematic rhythm to the

flow or list of people.If every 4th person on the list is, say, “rich” or

“senior” or some other consistent pattern, avoid this method

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advantages…advantages……sample selection is simple

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disadvantages…disadvantages……all members of the population do not have

an equal chance of being selected

…the Kth person may be related to a periodical order in the population list, producing unrepresentativeness in the sample

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1 Separate your population into groups or “strata”

2 Do either a simple random sample or systematic random sample from there

Note you must know easily what the “strata” are before attempting this

If your sampling frame is sorted by, say, school district, then you’re able to use this method

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advantages…advantages……more precise sample

…can be used for both proportions and stratification sampling

…sample represents the desired strata

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disadvantages…disadvantages…

…need names of all population members

…there is difficulty in reaching all selected in the sample

…researcher must have names of all populations

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1 Get a list of “clusters,” e.g., branches of a company

2 Randomly sample clusters from that list3 Have a list of, say, 10 branches4 Randomly sample people within those

branchesThis method is complex and expensive!

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advantages…advantages…

…efficient

…researcher doesn’t need names of all population members

…reduces travel to site

…useful for educational research

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disadvantages…disadvantages…

…fewer sampling points make it less like that the sample is representative

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Purposive sampling

Quota sampling

Convenience sampling

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Convenience samplingConvenience sampling

the process of including whoever happens to be available at the time

…called “accidental” or “haphazard” sampling

Find some people that are easy to find

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disadvantages…disadvantages…

…difficulty in determining how much of the effect (dependent variable) results from the cause (independent variable)

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Purposive samplingPurposive sampling

the process whereby the researcher selects a sample based on experience or knowledge of the group to be sampled

…called “judgmentjudgment” sampling

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1. Find a few people that are relevant to your topic.

2. Ask them to refer you to more of them.

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disadvantages…disadvantages…

…potential for inaccuracy in the researcher’s criteria and resulting sample selections

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Quota samplingQuota sampling

the process whereby a researcher gathers data from individuals possessing identified characteristics and quotas

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1 Determine what the population looks like in terms of specific qualities.

2 Create “quotas” based on those qualities.

3 Select people for each quota.4 the process whereby a researcher

gathers data from individuals possessing identified characteristics and quotas

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disadvantages…disadvantages…

…people who are less accessible (more difficult to contact, more reluctant to participate) are under-represented

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“Our findings have a margin of error of + or - 4%, 19 times out of 20.”

“Our findings have a margin of error of + or - 4%, 19 times out of 20.”

“The average man is 35% more likely to choose this option over the average

woman.”

“The average man is 35% more likely to choose this option over the average

woman.”

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PeoplePeople PlacesPlaces ContextsContexts

TimesTimes EventsEvents

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PeoplePeople PlacesPlaces

TimesTimes

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MediaMediaDatesDates

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…qualitative research is characterized by in-depth inquiry, immersion in a setting, emphasis on context, concern with participants’ perspectives, and description of a single setting, not generalization to many settings

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…because samples need to be small and many potential participants are unwilling to undergo the demands of participation, most qualitative research samples are purposive

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…representativeness is secondary to the quality of the participants’ ability to provide the desired information about self and setting

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2. Homogeneous sampling: selecting participants who are very similar in experience, perspective, or outlook

1. Intensity sampling: selecting participants who permit study of different levels of the research topic

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4. Snowball sampling: selecting a few individuals who can identify other individuals who can identify still other individuals who might be good participants for a study

3. Criterion sampling: selecting all cases that meet some pre-defined characteristic

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5. Random purposive sampling: with a small sample, selecting by random means participants who were purposively selected and are too numerous to include all in the study

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Qualitative researchers seek “saturation” “How many” isn’t the issue. Do you understand the

phenomenon? Have you learned enough? Mere numbers are irrelevant. You want “verstehn”

or deep understanding Quantitative researchers seek statistical

validity Can you safely generalize to the population? Have

you systematically excluded anyone?

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The size of the sample influences both the representativeness of the sample and the statistical analysis of the data…larger samples are more likely to

detect a difference between different groups

…smaller samples are more likely not to be representative

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2. For smaller samples (N ‹ 100), there is little point in sampling. Survey the entire population.

1. The larger the population size, the smaller the percentage of the population required to get a representative sample

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4. If the population size is around 1500, 20% should be sampled.

3. If the population size is around 500 (give or take 100), 50% should be sampled.

5. Beyond a certain point (N = 5000), the population size is almost irrelevant and a sample size of 400 may be adequate.

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2. Sampling bias

…which threaten to render a study’s findings invalid

1. Sampling error

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That’s TrumanThat’s Truman

They only asked rich, white people with

telephones who’d they vote for. Sadly, they

published their mistake

They only asked rich, white people with

telephones who’d they vote for. Sadly, they

published their mistake

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“…predicting behavior on the basis of knowledge of attitude is a very hazardous venture.”

Meaning, predicting social behavior is often misguided.

Keep that in mind!

“…predicting behavior on the basis of knowledge of attitude is a very hazardous venture.”

Meaning, predicting social behavior is often misguided.

Keep that in mind!

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Sampling error…

…the chance and random variation in variables that occurs when any sample is selected from the population

…sampling error is to be expected

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…to avoid sampling error, a census of the entire population must be taken

…to control for sampling error, researchers use various sampling methods

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Sampling bias…

…nonrandom differences, generally the fault of the researcher, which cause the sample is over-represent individuals or groups within the population and which lead to invalid findings

…sources of sampling bias include the use of volunteers and available groups

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Be aware of the sources of sampling bias and identify how to avoid it

Decide whether the bias is so severe that the results of the study will be seriously affected

In the final report, document awareness of bias, rationale for proceeding, and potential effects

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Questions???