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Transcript of S 1 [email protected] Questioning the silly answers since 1997. „We do not lack resources;...
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBE
Siemens GlobalBusiness Ecosystem
(GBE)Jose C. Lacal
Product Manager,OpenSource Applications
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBETable of Contents
• Jose C. Lacal• Global Business Ecosystem Definition• Plan of Action: the “Sea of Business”• „Competing for the Future“• Market Potential Pyramid• Open Standards = Open Software + Open Hardware +
Open Networks• Create Your Own Future• „Virtualize“ Siemens Assets, Core Competencies• Sample Open BoIP Products and Services• Open Source Value Creation
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEJose C. Lacal
• 1986 - 1994: First business at age 21.– Founder, President of industrial bakery in Miami, FL.– In charge of 40 employees, Sales, Customer Care, Marketing.
• 1995 - 1996: First ISP in SE Mexico.– Founder, investor and Chief Vision Officer. 10 employees.– Introduced the Internet culture to this area.
• 1995 - now: founder of 02 Open Source start-up ventures.• 1997 - now:
– Siemens ICN Boca Raton. Customer Service engineer, daily contact with large telco operators in the US and worldwide.
– Munich: Open Source, developed „Business over IP“
• I know business, I know telcos, I know Open Source.
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEReality Check
• Value created in the IP market since 1984: US$_____ Billions Percentage of such value to Siemens? _____%
• More of the same actions = more of the same results.• Amazing that young people, who live closest to the
future, are the most disenfranchised in strategy-creating exercises.
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Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEGlobal Business Ecosystem Definition
• No company is large enough to survive and prosper alone• Characteristics of a GBE:
– A group of independent entities (partners, internal companies, external members) and individuals, geographically unbounded;
– that share a common vision of what the future should look like;– and that join forces (temporarily and voluntarily);– to make that future happen in their own terms.
• Cisco, Intel, Microsoft, Nortel nurture their ecosystems• Business ecosystems:
– adapt and adopt– compete– evolve– grow or die together
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Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEPlan of Action: the “Sea of Business”
• Siemens as an aircraft carrier “task force:” provide support logistics to thousands of airplanes (startups, associates). All types: long-range reconnaissance; fighters; bombers.
FutureOpportunity
Island 01
FutureOpportunity
Island 02
PastOpportunity
Island 01
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBECompeting for the Future
• Envision new markets: strategic purpose• Establish the market: set standards• Lead those markets• As a result:
– we drive perceptions, we make the rules => Trendsetter– create a new global business ecosystem with ICN at the center
• Continued reactive planning ensures:– shrinking market share– diminishing mind-share– shrinking market (stock) value– become an economic dinosaur
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEMarket Potential Pyramid
Wires and fiber
Routers, switches
Service providers
?? unknowntoday
Content creationand delivery
Contentaggregation
Communitybuilding
DWDM SONET
IP ATM
Industry elements.
Voice, data, video, fax.
Sensoryaugmentation
Avatars, VR,on-line auctions
Application and developmentsoftware, specialized hardware
Multimedia content for sale,real-time IP voice and video.
?
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBE
Where is the money?
Wires and fiber
Routers, switches
Service providers
?? unknowntoday
Content creationand delivery
Contentaggregation
Communitybuilding
Mark
et va
lue /
phys
ical a
ssets
ratio
Verylow
Low
Medium
High
Huge
ROI (
Retu
rn on
Inve
stmen
t), EV
ACo
st of
entry
(req
uired
inve
stmen
t)
Verylow
Huge
High
Low
Medium
Financial analysis.
Huge
High
Medium
Low
Verylow
Verylow
Huge
High
Low
Medium
Corp
orate
and o
perat
iona
l ove
rhea
d
Revenue potential / time.
Dupont,Ciena
Alcatel,Lucent,Nortel
British Telecom,AT&T, MCI
AOL, Compuserve, eBay, eWorlds,ICQ, slashdot
amazon.com, Yahoo,most portal sites
Inktomi, Microsoft,Netscape, SoundBlaster
Un-born, un-named entities.
Un-born, un-named entities.
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Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBE
SiemensIPRs
Customs´ lawexpertise
Commerciallaw expertise
Wireless
01SNI
Carrier
Remotereality
Videoconference
02 03 04 05 06 07 0801
01 Open core standards WDM, TDM, SONET, etc.
02 Core equipment
03 Open equipment API
Currently proprietary (Cisco IOS)
Parlay Group (http://www.parlay.org)
04 Open transport standards ATM, TCP/IP
05 Open hardware standards
06 Open source software
ISA, PCI, VGA, OpenTelecom, etc.
Linux, GNU C/C++, Perl. Python
07
08
Open source applications Apache, Open H.323, GNOME, KDE
New business models [to be created]
Open Standards =Open Software + Open Hardware + Open
Networks
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Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBECreate Your Own Future
• With right tools, create alternative futures (Isaac Asimov)• “The future is not what it used to be.” Disruptive, non-linear• Three huge industries in the XXIst Century:
– edutainment (education + entertainment)– experiential tourism– safety / security
• Three massive societal changes in the XXIst century:– rise of the Third Age– transnational companies = global clans– more humans per square meter
• Common thread along all outcomes: I & C technologies.
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBE„Virtualize“ Siemens Assets, Core Competencies
OpenStandards
E-BusinessLarge system
expertise
Large systemexpertise
Globalsalesforce
Globalsalesforce
Globaldistribution
Globaldistribution
Worldwidetax, legal
Worldwidetax, legal
Financeexpertise
Financeexpertise
Worldwidecertification
Worldwidecertification
CustomersCustomers
Brand nameBrand name
130 LCs130 LCs
Installed baseInstalled base
ManufacturingManufacturing
PeoplePeople
Open BoIP
Trusted globalpartner
Trusted globalpartner
SponsorOpen Source
SponsorOpen Source
Integrationmanagement
Integrationmanagement
Forces Siemens’ Unique Assets Courses
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEWhat is next?
• „The basic economic resource -‘the means of production,‘ to use the economist's term- is no longer capital, or natural resources (the economist's ‚land‘), nor ‚labor.´ It is and will be knowledge.“ Peter F. Drucker, „Post-capitalist Society,“ 08.
The ability to exploit the firm's „core competencies“ and strategic assets, the building blocks for new businesses.
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEThe new role of the CEO
• The notion of white-space opportunities is proving especially compelling for highly decentralized companies such as Hewlett-Packard Co. HP Chairman Lewis E. Platt now believes his most important role in strategy formulation is to build bridges among the company's various operations. „I don't create business strategies,“ argues Platt. “My role is to encourage discussion of the white spaces, the overlap and gaps among business strategies, the important areas that are not addressed by the strategies of individual HP businesses.“
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEWhat‘s next
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBE
OpenStandards
E-Business
Large systemexpertise
Large systemexpertise
Globalsalesforce
Globalsalesforce
Globaldistribution
Globaldistribution
Worldwidetax, legal
Worldwidetax, legal
Financeexpertise
Financeexpertise
Worldwidecertification
Worldwidecertification
CustomersCustomers
Brand nameBrand name
130 LCs130 LCs
Installed baseInstalled base
ManufacturingManufacturing
PeoplePeople
Open BoIP
Trusted globalpartner
Trusted globalpartner
SponsorOpen Source
SponsorOpen Source
Integrationmanagement
Integrationmanagement
ForcesSiemens’ Unique Assets
Courses TeleMed
Personal CO
SafeLife
Sample Open BoIP Products and Services
OpenBusiness
TeleKnow
TeleWorkReinvestment
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEOpen Source Value Creation
Switch
- low margin- low customization
Initial Sale Time
Cum
ulat
ive
Inco
me
After-market
services
Switch
- higher margin- higher value ==> higher volume (bigger base)
eroded traditional after-market services
- revenue on bigger base
- new addon-products and
services
Cum
ulat
ive
Inco
me
Cum
ulat
ive
Inco
me
Initial Sale Time
Traditional Model
OpenBoIPModel
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBE
Backup slides
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEIntroducing OpenSource and GNU/Linux
• OpenSource software (OSS)– Freely distributed with source code
• Widespread acceptance– OSS is at the heart of the Internet:
• Apache ( >65% of all websites)• DNS and BIND (all name resolution)• Perl (behind most CGI scripts)• sendmail (processes 90% of e-mail)
• GNU/Linux, best example of OSS:– Beat common Operating Systems (OSs)– Superior stability and usability*– GNU/Linux, fastest growing Network OS
* - OS of the year, InfoWorld magazine
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEThe numbers behind Open Source
• Red Hat: Linux distributor. IPO 30 days ago. US$90/share.• Cobalt: Linux mini-servers. IPO 10 days ago. US$100/share.• Hewlett-Packard: entire business unit only for Open Source;
free e-speak (broker system) and mail server software.• Sun Mycrosystems: will release source code of Solaris; free
Star Office package; publicly available Sparc64 spec files.• IBM Consulting Group: 300 out of 1,800 are Linux experts.• SCO (Santa Cruz Operation): Linux consulting group.
• Microsoft was recently declared a monopoly by a US judge. That will generate a cascade of interest in Open Source.
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEVirtualize Siemens assets, core competencies
Corecompetencies
Corporateweaknesses
Turn around weaknesses
CustomersCustomers
Brand nameBrand name
130 LCs130 LCs
Installed baseInstalled base
ManufacturingManufacturing
PeoplePeople
Corporateassets
Slowmoving
Slowmoving
Largesize
Largesize
Obsoletemindset
Obsoletemindset
Trusted globalpartner
Trusted globalpartner
SponsorOS “geeks”
SponsorOS “geeks”
Integrationmanagement
Integrationmanagement
Large systemexpertise
Large systemexpertise
Globalsalesforce
Globalsalesforce
Globaldistribution
Globaldistribution
Worldwidetax, legal
Worldwidetax, legal
Financeexpertise
Financeexpertise
Worldwidecertification
Worldwidecertification
s
Questioning the silly answers since 1997.„We do not lack resources; we lack dreams.“
GBEExample of Global Business Ecosystem
Siemens
Supportorganizations
Currentcustomers
Currentofferings
Externaldevelopers
Externalcontent
providers
Futureofferings
Open interfaces
Open documents
Joindevelopment
Futurecustomers