Russia’s pipelines through iran

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PIPELINES IN THE CASPIAN By: Ye-Ji Hwang

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Transcript of Russia’s pipelines through iran

Page 1: Russia’s pipelines through iran

PIPELINES IN THE CASPIAN

By: Ye-Ji Hwang

Page 2: Russia’s pipelines through iran

The Caspian Rich natural re-

sources Competition US-Rus-

siaRussia wants to

remain Europe’s main supplier

US-Iran Oil to Europe Turkey, Armenia, and

Azerbaijan conflicts

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Little Bit of History

Before the fall of the Soviet

Nobel Brothers Soviet nationalism in

1920 and more oil dis-coveries in 1960’s

OPEC established Over production, poor

management, and too much water injected to the ground = decline

Oil production = “saving grace” to new indepen-dent nations

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Iran and Russia Iran turns to Russia be-

cause of sanctions 1995 Clinton- Executive

Orders (reaffirmation in 1997)

1996 Mandatory sanc-tions

Conoco withdrew left door open to Total and Petronas

Foreign oil companies pressured to leave

Russia major player in Central Asia

Share interest of limiting US power in the region

Co-founded Gas Export-ing Countries Forum

Signed agreement July 2010 Gazprom and Lukoil in-

creasingly involved

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Around Caspian 2007 Turkey and Iran Memorandum Baku-Tblisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline Trans-Caspian gas pipeline Central Asia-Center gas pipeline

Gazprom Dauletabad-Sarakhs-Khangiran gas pipe-

lineInaugurated early this year

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Four Conflicts

1. Ongoing problem between Armenia and Azerbaijan

2. Tensions between Armenians and Turks

3. US keeping pipelines out of Iran and Russia

4. Iran and Russia’s legal issues1921 and 19401982 Law of Sea

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Solution 1 Support Trans-Caspian oil pipeline

Pipeline between Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan Can be collaborated with Baku-Tblisi-Ceyhan

pipeline in Turkey

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Solution 2 Support Kazakhstan’s new oil route to Europe

Plans to triple exports in following years83% destined for EuropeHowever only small portion

Collaborative with Trans-Caspian pipeline then to Europe through Azerbaijan and Georgia

Already to Europe through Russia…. China

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Solution 3 Support Dauletabad-Sarakhs-Khangiran

gas pipelineTurkmenistan-Iran-Turkey

Pressure by Washington to back out of IranSanctions on companiesRoyal Dutch ShellGlencose and VitolTrafigureBPReliance

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Proposal

Solution 1 “Lobby” for Trans-Caspian pipeline

On-going routeIran faster- contradictionRussia

○ Not another Cold War

Obama more engaging