Russian Military Expenditures in the War on Terror Denis Volkov Saratov State University, 2005.
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Transcript of Russian Military Expenditures in the War on Terror Denis Volkov Saratov State University, 2005.
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Russian Military Expenditures in the War on Terror
Denis VolkovDenis Volkov
Saratov State University, 2005
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Why should we investigate
We, the multinational people of Russian Federation… bear responsibility to our state before present and next generations
Constitution of Russian Federation
Source: http://rusarmy.com/avia/su_25.htm
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Reasons for the research
Responsibility;
Comprehensive and excessive state secret;
The necessity to evaluate to make electoral decisions.
Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/2561873.stm
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Sources of the research
Budget acts of Russian Federation, 2001-2005
Annual President Address to Parliament, 2000-2004
Public speeches of Minister of Defense and Minister of Finance, 2004
the National Security Concept, 1997
RIA news, 2005
Source:http://old.fontanka.ru/politic.thtml?
mday=30&mon=12&year=2002&id=94116055http://www.rosconcert.com/common/arc/story.php?
id_cr=19&id=30398
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Goals of the research
Dynamic of Russian military Dynamic of Russian military strategy;strategy;
Military budget analysisMilitary budget analysis How Military budget increase affects How Military budget increase affects
national counterterrorist politics;national counterterrorist politics; How can we improve national How can we improve national
counterterrorist politicscounterterrorist politicsSource: http://rusarmy.com/vmf/tpk_pr_10412_10410.htm
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Official approach to the problem
Highly professional resources are required to fight international terror within this country.
Alexander Kudrin,
September 15th 2004
Source: http://birobidjan.rfn.ru/cnews.html?id=1178&cid=4
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Budget Analysis
Budget(bn rub)
NationalDefense(bn. rub)
% Budget
% PreviousYear
NationalSecurity (bn. rub)
Total(bn. rub)
% Budget
%Previous Year
2001 1 193,5 214,7 17,9 No data
131,6 346,3 29 No data
2002 1 947,4 284,1 14,5 32,3 173,9 458 23,5 32,2
2003 2 345,60 344,5 14,7 21,3 244,8 589,3 25,6 28,7
2004 2 400,70 411,5 17,4 28,1 310,5 722 30 22,5
2005 3 047,90 529,1 17,3 28,5 491 1020,1 33,4 41,2
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Dynamic of military budget growth, rub
Source: http://rusarmy.com/avia/su_30.htm
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005t
To
tal
(bn
ru
b)
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Dynamic of military budget growth% previos budget
Source: http://rusarmy.com/avia/su_27.htm
20
30
40
50
2002 2003 2004 2005t
%
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Expenditures on the National Defense program rose by 28.5%;
17.3% of the whole budget; National Defense + National Security
rose by 41.2% National Defense + National Security
bobbled the same index of the year 2004;
2005 budget – turning point in National Defense and Security budgeting
Budget analysis
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Official perception of the terrorist threat
Documents analysis Putin’s annual addresses to the
Parliament 2000-2004 National Security Strategy
Real steps analysis RIA news agency survey of the
2004
Source: http://www.dni.ru/news/russia/2002/3/20/7524.html
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Putin’s annual addresses to the Parliament, 2002
“After 9/11…many people understood that the Cold war is over… there are new threats now; there is another war – the war on international terror.”
Vladimir Putin*
Source:http://www.bbc.co.uk/bbcfour/documentaries/profile/putin.shtml
*Source:
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Official announcements of the last quarter of the 2004
1. Oct 20th – new testing of the “Topol-M” 2. Nov 4th – new testing of antiaircraft 3. Nov 29th – testing antimissile missile. 4. Nov 30th – Russian army will be supplied
with 18 new T-90 Tanks in the 2005. 5. Dec 10th –test launch of the “Topol-M”. 6. Dec 17th –the program “Russian strategic
interests” should be increased 7. Dec 20th –Two SS-18 Satan IBMs were
launched. 8. Dec 24th – in the 2005 Russia will increase
the number of its ballistic missiles both nuclear and conventional.
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Contradictions
Between the National Security Concept
And the President’s annual addresses
Source: http://rusarmy.com/brone/otrk_9k79_tochka.htm
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What are the contradictions? President’s annual addresses:
terrorism is the main foreign threat to Russian Federation
National Security Concept: terrorism gets lost among many other threats
Question: What is a priority? Finding: Budget and activity
confusion
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Towards new National Security Concept
New National Security Concept should clearly recognize terrorism as the main threat of modern Russia and put it in front of the other problems
Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/2848583.stm
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Conclusions
2005 unique military budget
Contradictions in services’ activities
More money is not enough
New National Security Concept
Source:http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/americas/2737617.stm
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THANK YOU!
Source: http://music.dtn.ru/photo/putin/photos/putin04.htm