Runoff46

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Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161 Page 1 Contact: Tom Swiss (773) 485-9477 March 24, 2015 46 TH Ward: Cappleman +23 Uptown likely to retain Cappleman CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-question poll for Aldertrack on Tuesday, March 24, 2015 for 46 th Ward Alderman with 463 respondents. Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters. James Cappleman 286 61.8% Amy Crawford 177 38.2% Margin of Error +/- 4.65% at 95% Confidence Interval ANALYSIS Alderman James Cappleman has a 23 point advantage over attorney Amy Crawford. Crawford seems to close well and may tighten this race up some, but not enough to be successful. Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further development in this race. METHODOLOGY Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.

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Conducted by Ogden & Fry on 3/24/15.

Transcript of Runoff46

Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161 Page 1

Contact: Tom Swiss (773) 485-9477

March 24, 2015

46TH Ward: Cappleman +23

Uptown likely to retain Cappleman

CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-question poll for Aldertrack on Tuesday, March 24, 2015 for

46th Ward Alderman with 463 respondents.

Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.

James Cappleman 286 61.8%

Amy Crawford 177 38.2% Margin of Error +/- 4.65% at 95% Confidence Interval

ANALYSIS

Alderman James Cappleman has a 23 point advantage over attorney Amy Crawford. Crawford seems to

close well and may tighten this race up some, but not enough to be successful.

Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further

development in this race.

METHODOLOGY

Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote

based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.

Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161 Page 2

Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections,

likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.

CROSSTABS

Respondents by Gender

Male 252 54.4%

Female 211 45.6%

Respondents by Age

Age 18 – 30 24 5.2%

Age 31 - 45 159 34.3%

Age 46 - 64 154 33.3%

Age 65 plus 126 27.2%

Respondents by Zipcode

60613 Count 236

60640 Count 199

60657 Count 28