Runoff46
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Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161 Page 1
Contact: Tom Swiss (773) 485-9477
March 24, 2015
46TH Ward: Cappleman +23
Uptown likely to retain Cappleman
CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-question poll for Aldertrack on Tuesday, March 24, 2015 for
46th Ward Alderman with 463 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
James Cappleman 286 61.8%
Amy Crawford 177 38.2% Margin of Error +/- 4.65% at 95% Confidence Interval
ANALYSIS
Alderman James Cappleman has a 23 point advantage over attorney Amy Crawford. Crawford seems to
close well and may tighten this race up some, but not enough to be successful.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further
development in this race.
METHODOLOGY
Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote
based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161 Page 2
Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections,
likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.
CROSSTABS
Respondents by Gender
Male 252 54.4%
Female 211 45.6%
Respondents by Age
Age 18 – 30 24 5.2%
Age 31 - 45 159 34.3%
Age 46 - 64 154 33.3%
Age 65 plus 126 27.2%
Respondents by Zipcode
60613 Count 236
60640 Count 199
60657 Count 28