Runoff10
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Transcript of Runoff10
Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161 Page 1
Contact: Tom Swiss (773) 485-9477
March 18, 2015
10th Ward: Pope +11
28% of ward still undecided
CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-question poll for Aldertrack on Wednesday, March 18, 2015
for 10th Ward Alderman with 466 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
John Pope 195 41.8%
Susan Sadlowski Garza 140 30.0%
Undecided 131 28.1% Margin of Error +/- 4.63% at 95% Confidence Interval
ANALYSIS
Alderman John Pope has an 11-point lead with 28% of the ward still undecided. Pope will only need to
pick up 1 out of 3 undecided voters to be successful on April 7, 2015.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further
development in this race.
METHODOLOGY
Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote
based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161 Page 2
Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections,
likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.
CROSSTABS
Respondents by Gender
Male 217 46.6%
Female 249 53.4%
Respondents by Age
Age 18 – 30 64 13.7%
Age 31 - 45 154 33.0%
Age 46 - 64 148 31.8%
Age 65 plus 100 21.5%
Respondents by Zipcode
60617 Count 372
60633 Count 94