Runoff10

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Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161 Page 1 Contact: Tom Swiss (773) 485-9477 March 18, 2015 10 th Ward: Pope +11 28% of ward still undecided CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-question poll for Aldertrack on Wednesday, March 18, 2015 for 10 th Ward Alderman with 466 respondents. Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters. John Pope 195 41.8% Susan Sadlowski Garza 140 30.0% Undecided 131 28.1% Margin of Error +/- 4.63% at 95% Confidence Interval ANALYSIS Alderman John Pope has an 11-point lead with 28% of the ward still undecided. Pope will only need to pick up 1 out of 3 undecided voters to be successful on April 7, 2015. Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further development in this race. METHODOLOGY Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.

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10th Ward runoff poll conducted 3/18/15 by Ogden & Fry

Transcript of Runoff10

Page 1: Runoff10

Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161 Page 1

Contact: Tom Swiss (773) 485-9477

March 18, 2015

10th Ward: Pope +11

28% of ward still undecided

CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-question poll for Aldertrack on Wednesday, March 18, 2015

for 10th Ward Alderman with 466 respondents.

Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.

John Pope 195 41.8%

Susan Sadlowski Garza 140 30.0%

Undecided 131 28.1% Margin of Error +/- 4.63% at 95% Confidence Interval

ANALYSIS

Alderman John Pope has an 11-point lead with 28% of the ward still undecided. Pope will only need to

pick up 1 out of 3 undecided voters to be successful on April 7, 2015.

Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further

development in this race.

METHODOLOGY

Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote

based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.

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Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161 Page 2

Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections,

likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.

CROSSTABS

Respondents by Gender

Male 217 46.6%

Female 249 53.4%

Respondents by Age

Age 18 – 30 64 13.7%

Age 31 - 45 154 33.0%

Age 46 - 64 148 31.8%

Age 65 plus 100 21.5%

Respondents by Zipcode

60617 Count 372

60633 Count 94