RSMC Nadi Activity Report
description
Transcript of RSMC Nadi Activity Report
RSMC Nadi Activity Report
RSMC Technical Coordination
Meeting 26th – 29th November 2002,
Nadi Fiji
SW Pacific
RSMC Nadi AOR
Vision
To be a regional To be a regional leaderleader in in meteorological science and meteorological science and
expertise, and in the expertise, and in the provision of provision of qualityquality weather weather
and climate servicesand climate services..
Mission To provide meteorological To provide meteorological
expertise and professional services expertise and professional services in support of Fiji’s economic in support of Fiji’s economic development, and for the safety development, and for the safety and benefit of the community.and benefit of the community.
To deliver quality forecast, To deliver quality forecast, warning and advisory services to warning and advisory services to the South Pacific Island Nations the South Pacific Island Nations and Territories falling within FMS’s and Territories falling within FMS’s area of responsibility.area of responsibility.
Objectives to satisfy Fiji’s need for supply of weather and
climatological data, archive and analyse this data, and based on this, issue forecasts, warnings and other information as required;
to function as a RSMC for tropical cyclones in the Southwest Pacific under the WWW Programme of WMO.
to monitor the climate of Fiji and advise on any changes due to global warming and other factors;
to provide public/marine forecast and warning services for other South Pacific Island States as agreed;
to provide marine and aviation forecast and warning services as per international agreement; and
Organisation & Resources
FMS has 2 main output Divisions :FMS has 2 main output Divisions :1.1. Forecast ServicesForecast Services and and2.2. Climate Services.Climate Services.
There are 6 support Divisions :There are 6 support Divisions :1.1. Computing and Information SystemsComputing and Information Systems2.2. Technical SystemsTechnical Systems3.3. Reporting & FacilitiesReporting & Facilities4.4. Services DevelopmentServices Development5.5. Finance and Finance and 6.6. Administration. Administration.
Weather Forecasting Centre
IncorporatesIncorporates….….
1.1. National Weather Forecasting National Weather Forecasting and Tropical Cyclone Warning and Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre.Centre.
2.2. Regional Forecast Centre.Regional Forecast Centre.3.3. Regional Specialised Regional Specialised
Meteorological Centre Nadi – Meteorological Centre Nadi – Tropical Cyclone Centre.Tropical Cyclone Centre.
Public and Marine Services Public Public andand Marine Marine for Fiji, for Fiji, Tonga, Tonga,
Niue, Cook Islands, Tuvalu, Tokelau, Niue, Cook Islands, Tuvalu, Tokelau, Kiribati, Nauru and Wallis & Futuna.Kiribati, Nauru and Wallis & Futuna.
Special Advisory ServicesSpecial Advisory Services for for Vanuatu and Samoa.Vanuatu and Samoa.
TD SummariesTD Summaries to all NMSs in the to all NMSs in the region and beyond (RSMC function). region and beyond (RSMC function).
International marine forecasts and International marine forecasts and warningswarnings for area from Eqtr to 25ºS for area from Eqtr to 25ºS between 160 º E to 120 º W. between 160 º E to 120 º W.
Aviation Services Forecasts and warningsForecasts and warnings within within Nadi Nadi
FIRFIR (TAFs, ARFORs, ROFORs and (TAFs, ARFORs, ROFORs and SIGMETs).SIGMETs).
In additionIn addition, TAFs and ARFORs for , , TAFs and ARFORs for , Samoa, Tonga, Niue and Cooks Samoa, Tonga, Niue and Cooks ((Auckland OceanicAuckland Oceanic) plus TAFs only ) plus TAFs only for Christmas island (for Christmas island (US-controlledUS-controlled).).
TC Advisories for International Air TC Advisories for International Air Navigation in area Eqtr to 40Navigation in area Eqtr to 40ººS bet S bet 160160ººE and 120E and 120ººW. W.
Tropical Cyclone Services Forecasts, Warnings and Advisory
Services for Fiji, Tonga, Niue, Cook Islands, Tuvalu, Tokelau, Kiribati, Nauru and Wallis & Futuna.
Special Advisory Services for Vanuatu and Samoa.
TD Advisories/Summaries to all NMSs in the region and beyond.
International marine warnings for area from Eqtr to 25ºS between 160 º E to 120 º W.
CREX to NWP Centres
RSMC Nadi AOR Geostationary Satellite Coverage
GMS-5
140ºE
GOES-10
135ºW
Fleet Numerical Meteorology & Oceanography Center, Monterey Website
CIMSS Website
MOST Website - Quikscat
BoM – Darwin RSMC Website
SW Pac TC Forecasting Page
Strike Probability Website
SH Satellite Page
ADDS & Aviation Pages
AOR TC activity since 1990
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
No. of TCs
No. ofHurricanes
RSMC Nadi Forecast Errors
RSMC Nadi Forecast Errors
050100150200250300
94/95
95/96
96/97
97/98
98/99
99/00
00/01
2001/02
Season
Mea
n E
rror
(km
)
T+24
T+12
T+0
Plans AIFS TC Module to be integrated into AIFS TC Module to be integrated into
FIMSFIMS Storm Surge ModelStorm Surge Model Collaboration with Climate Services on Collaboration with Climate Services on
seasonal TC activity predictionsseasonal TC activity predictions Partnership with Hydrology Division on Partnership with Hydrology Division on
comprehensive flood warning system for comprehensive flood warning system for FijiFiji
HRD WMO SH TC Course and PWS Workshops WMO SH TC Course and PWS Workshops
– 2000 & 2002– 2000 & 2002 TC Simulation Exercise/Workshop - 2000TC Simulation Exercise/Workshop - 2000 Mentor Training – 2001Mentor Training – 2001 2-month Internships – Honolulu FO - 20012-month Internships – Honolulu FO - 2001 Locally conducted courses for Classes 3 Locally conducted courses for Classes 3
and 4 Mets – in collaboration with WMO and 4 Mets – in collaboration with WMO and JICAand JICA
Exchange/attachments with other Exchange/attachments with other RSMCs/TCWCsRSMCs/TCWCs
Challenges
Professional staff retention.Professional staff retention. Automation.Automation. Government policies.Government policies. Un-interrupted geostationary satellite Un-interrupted geostationary satellite
coverage.coverage. Commercial services.Commercial services. Research.Research.
Future Plans
Access and utilise data from new platformsAccess and utilise data from new platforms
-- in collaboration with the international in collaboration with the international research community (eg NRL, CIMSS, research community (eg NRL, CIMSS, NOAA) on data retrieval and use.NOAA) on data retrieval and use.
Exchange with RSMCs and TCWCs on Exchange with RSMCs and TCWCs on expertise, tools and techniquesexpertise, tools and techniques