Royal Unibrew Carnegie Small & Midcap Seminar
Transcript of Royal Unibrew Carnegie Small & Midcap Seminar
Royal UnibrewCarnegie Small & Midcap Seminar- 8 September 2021
Disclaimer
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This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including statements about the Group’s sales, revenue, earnings, spending, margins, cash flows, inventories, products, actions, plans, strategies, objectives and guidance with respect to the Group’s future operating results. Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, any statement that may predict, forecast, indicate or imply future results, performance or achievements, and may contain the following words or phrases “believe, anticipate, expect, estimate, intend, plan, project, will be, will continue, likely to result, could, may, might”, or any variations of such words or other words with similar meanings. Any such statements involve known and unknown risks, estimates, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause the Group’s actual results, performance or industry results to differ materially from the results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. Royal Unibrew assumes no obligation to update or adjust any such forward-looking statements (except for as required under the disclosure requirements for listed companies) to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting such forward-looking statements.
Some important risk factors that may have direct bearing on the Group’s actual results include, but are not limited to: economic and political uncertainty (including interest rates and exchange rates), financial and regulatory developments, development in the demand for the Group’s products, intro- duction of and demand for new products, changes in the competitive environment and the industry in which the Group operates, changes in consumer preferences, increasing industry consolidation, the availability and pricing of raw materials and packaging materials, cost of energy, production- and distribution-related issues, information technology failures, breach or unexpected termination of contracts, price reductions resulting from market-driven price reductions, determination of fair value in the opening balance sheet of acquired entities, litigation, pandemic, environmental issues and other unforeseen factors.
New risk factors may emerge in the future, which the Group cannot predict. Furthermore, the Group cannot assess the impact of each factor on the Group’s business or the extent to which any individual risk factor, or combination of factors, may cause results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Accordingly, forward-looking statements should not be relied on as a prediction of actual results.
Royal Unibrew – Equity Story
Leading European-based multi beverage company with strong local market positions
Locally anchored multi beverage business model based on volume growth, premiumization and efficiency improvements
Targeting organic volume growth that exceeds market growth through focus on high growing categories and premiumization
Industry leading profitability supports strong cash flow generation
Ambitious targets on CSR that will brings us up among the most sustainable beverage companies in the world
STRONG MARKET POSITION
LOCAL MULTI BEVERAGE
ORGANIC GROWTH
VERY CASH GENERATIVE
SUSTAINABLE COMPANY
The PreferredChoiceWe want to be the preferred choice of local beverage partner
that challenge the status quo by doing better every dayin a fun, agile and sustainable way
Our peopleWe recruit, develop and retain
entrepreneurial and empowered people thirsting for success and striving to do better every day. Our people drive our success and progress – and live and
protect our values. We work as one team and find solutions to
all challenges.
Our consumersBringing people together and
facilitating great moments and enjoyment is the heart of our business. We offer strong local
beverage brands in combination with global brands – continu-ously striving to match con-
sumers’ changing preferences through meaningful innovations
and by offering a broad rangeof refreshments that deliver
choice.
Our customersWe partner with our customers and strive to grow together by offering a portfolio of relevant
brands and having a challenger mindset. With our local, decen-tralized setup we focus on agility and close collaboration – aiming to provide best-in-class service
as well as pursuing extraor-dinary brand execution in all
channels.
The futureWe are deeply rooted in the
communities where we work, and we partner with all our
stakeholders to make a positive impact on society. Our focus is
to build a long-term sustainable business and to minimize the environmental footprint of our operations from raw materials
to the end consumption.
Our shareholdersOur main focus is to invest behind the categories and channels that grow the most, pushing premiu-mization and driving organic EBIT growth. On top of this, we will do value accretive bolt-on, as well as strategic acquisitions if possible.
We aim to increase distribution to shareholders over time through dividend and share buy-backs.
The Royal Unibrew purpose and ambition
The Royal Unibrew Multi Beverage Modelenables efficiency, premiumization and volume
Hist
oric
abs
olut
e EB
IT
grow
th sp
lit
Volume growth1.5 – 2.5%
Price/mix improvement1.5 – 2.5% Operational leverageKey KPIs EBIT margin
20 – 21%Reinvest in growth
Current EBIT%
-6
Volume Mix New EBIT%
Efficiency Reinvest
20-21% 20-21%
EBIT
mar
gin
Inorganic growth
EBIT Organic growth
EBIT
2/31/3
Management Administration
Performance
Technology
Key principles of the RU model
Local ownership
Lean HQ
Transparency and simplicity
Very little matric – clear ownership
Agile
Volume growth
Premium-isation
Efficiency
Multi Beverage model benefits
• Local ownership of 3 drivers
• Proven performance management system
• Shared IT system
• Shared procurement structure
• Innovations focused on premium products• Insight and competence• Packaging capabilities• Ability to down-prioritise low margin
• Better utilisation of people• Better utilisation of assets• Larger drops
• More sales people• More customers• More competitive
359
CSDJuice Beer Cider/RTDWater Malt Energy Wine & Spirits
449
47
100 107 109
139
262
2020 indexed profit contribution comparison per HL (beer = 100)
39%
6%
3%
37%
4% 9%
4%
Energy
0%
Beer
Wine & Spirits
Cider / RTD
Juice
2%Malt
CSD
Juice Water
2020product volume split
Expected future growth
Baseline
Focus on growth categories with above-average PC/HL
Ambitious KPIs drive our daily performance
• Fuglsang – a strong regional Danish brewery with a very interesting brand portfolio, which we belive we can leverage into rest of Denmark
• Crazy Tiger – a French energy drinks brand with an around 10% market share in France. A step in transforming our French business from a niche business to a multi-niche business
• Solera Beverage Group – a leading importer and distributor of beverages across Norway, Sweden and Finland, thereby creating a strong platform to expand sales of our own product range into Norway and Sweden in line with our multi-beverage strategy
Three acquisitions in 2021
Outlook 2021
Assumptions
• Outlook includes performance up to 19 August 2021
• We will increase investments in growth compared to 2019
• Outlook sensitivity highest regarding short-to-medium term impactfrom potential restrictions
• The top end of guidance includes that no further restrictions are imposed and that the re-opening continues throughout the year. It also includes a quick approval of the Solera Beverage Group acquisition and no further deterioration of raw material prices
• The low end of guidance includes re-introduction of restrictions and/or full lockdowns related to COVID-19 towards the end of the year, as well as higher raw material prices than the current level seen in the spot market
1.600
0
1.450
1.700
1.500
1.550
1.650
1.469
2020 20212019
1.625
1.700
2021
1.515
10%
+16%
mDKK Outlook 2021 Outlook 2021 Outlook 2021 Actual(August 2021) (April 2021) (March 2021) 2020
EBIT 1,625-1,700 1,525-1,625 1,475-1,625 1,515