ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC · israel other me saudi arabia iraq. gas resources are ... targeting new...
Transcript of ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC · israel other me saudi arabia iraq. gas resources are ... targeting new...
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ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLCLONDON DECEMBER 5, 2012
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RISING ENERGY DEMAND, SUPPLY PRESSURE, CLIMATE CHANGE
SUSTAINABLE ENERGY FUTURE
Energy demand could doublefrom its levelin 2000.... while CO2emissions must be half today’s to avoid serious climate change
Twice as efficient, using half the energy to produce each dollar of wealth
3 times more energy from renewable sources
9 billionpeople, 75% living in cities
(2 billion more than today)
2 billion vehicles
(800 million at the moment)
Many millionsof people will rise out of energy poverty; with higher living standards energy use rises
climate change
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DEMAND GROWTH
Energy demand outlook in million boe/d
� Energy demand +60% 2010 – 2050
� Hydrocarbons dominate outlook
� Gas demand doubling 2010-2050
MAJOR OPPORTUNITY FOR SHELL
GLOBAL ENERGY OUTLOOK
Shell activities
Oil
Nuclear
Other renewables
Solar
Natural gas
Wind
Biomas
Coal
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REGIONAL GAS DEMAND DEVELOPMENT
ASIA DEMAND
Bcf/d
Asia SupplyOther AsiaOther SE AsiaMalaysia
NORTH AMERICA DEMAND
N.A. Supply
Bcf/d
IndiaChinaTaiwanKoreaJapan
OtherPowerIndustrialTransport
EUROPE DEMAND
Bcf/d
MIDDLE EAST DEMANDBcf/d
UAE
Dec 2012 04
Residential & CommercialPowerIndustrial
Europe Supply IranOmanIsraelOther ME
UAESaudi ArabiaIraq
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GAS RESOURCES ARE PLENTIFUL, GROWING AND GEOGRAPHICALLY DIVERSE
HUGE GLOBAL GAS RESOURCES
Conventional Gas
North America
South America
EuropeEurasia
AfricaAsia Pacific
Middle East
Conventional Gas Resources
Tight/Shale Gas and CBM Resources
Source: IEA World Energy Outlook, WoodMackenzie, Shell Interpretation
� Conventional and unconventional recoverable gas resources can supply >250 years of current global gas production
� Tight/Shale gas and CBM are transforming the global gas market
� Shell believes that increased use of natural gas, replacing coal, for electric generation is crucial to lowering global CO2 levels
REMAINING RECOVERABLE
RESOURCES (TCM)
EQUIVALENT IN YEARS OF CURRENT
PRODUCTION
Conventional 404.5 130
Tight/Shale Gas and CBM Resources
380.5 123
Total 785 253
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Deep Basin
GroundbirchCanol
Montney
SHELL’S GLOBAL TIGHT GAS + LIQUIDS-RICH SHALES PORTFOLIO
KEY SHELL POSITIONS
Ukraine
China tight gas
FoothillsDeep BasinMontney
BAKKENPinedaleNiobrara
Monterey
Haynesville
MarcellusUTICA
MISSISSIPPI LIMEWOLFCAMP
Eagle Ford
COLOMBIA
Germany
TURKEY
Egypt
Oman
South Africa (JAA) Study
Tight Gas
Liquids potential
NEUQUEN
South Africa (JAA) Study
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GAS VALUE CHAINS
Dec 2012 07
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SHELL LNG GROWTH + POTENTIAL
GLOBAL LNG PORTFOLIO
LNG Canada
� 22 MTPA ON STREAM
� 7 MTPA UNDER CONSTRUCTION + 33%
� 20+ MTPA OPTIONS�
SHELL GLOBAL LNG CAPACITY GROWTH
Gorgon
Prelude Browse
AbadiSunrise
Arrow
Wheatstone
US LNG
� 20+ MTPA OPTIONS
� SHELL 7% GLOBAL MARKET SHARE
On stream
Under construction
Options
2011-12 portfolio development
SHELL LNG LEADERSHIP
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On stream OptionsUnder construction
mtpa
year end mtpa
2011 2017
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PRELUDE FLNG
� 2011: FIRST INDUSTRY FID ON FLNG ON PRELUDE
� CONSTRUCTION SOUTH KOREA: OPTIONS FOR FURTHER PROJECTS
� TARGETING NEW EXPLORATION FOR FLNG
FLOATING LNG LEADERSHIP
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NORTH AMERICA LNG POTENTIAL
Dec 2012 09
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PEARL GTL
August 2012August 2012
120,000 BOE/D OF NATURAL GAS LIQUIDS AND ETHANE AND 140,000
B/D OF LIQUID HYDROCARBON PRODUCTS
MAJOR CONSTRUCTION COMPLETED END 2010, PRODUCTION RAMP
UP IN 2011
WORLD’S LARGEST GTL PLANT
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WHAT IS GTL?
THE GTL PROCESS:CONVERTS NATURAL-GAS TO OIL PRODUCTS VIA CHEMICAL TRANSFORMATION
Dec 2012 12
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GAS TO CHEMICALS
Moerdijk/Pernis
Mossmoran
Sadaf
Qatar
Singapore
Nanhai
US
US Gulf Coast
Scotford
� Key Site
� Options
Singapore
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GAS TO TRANSPORT
Dec 2012 14
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LNG TO TRANSPORT – SHELL OPPORTUNITIES
DRIVERS OF REGIONAL DEMAND VARY
ROAD TRANSPORTNORTH AMERICA SUPPLY
EUROPE “CLEANER COMPETITIVE FUEL”
GROWTH MARKETS “DEMAND”
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SHIPPING (LNG-fueled barge currently under construction)
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LEADER IN GLOBAL GAS
� International gas value chains
� Deep relationships with key customers
� Global presence + portfolio approach� Global presence + portfolio approach
SHELL POSITIONED FOR RAPID
& PROFITABLE GAS GROWTH
Dec 2012 16
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ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLCQ&A
Dec 2012 17