ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC · israel other me saudi arabia iraq. gas resources are ... targeting new...

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1 August 2012 1 Dec 2012 01 ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC LONDON DECEMBER 5, 2012

Transcript of ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC · israel other me saudi arabia iraq. gas resources are ... targeting new...

  • 1August 2012 1Dec 2012 01

    ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLCLONDON DECEMBER 5, 2012

  • RISING ENERGY DEMAND, SUPPLY PRESSURE, CLIMATE CHANGE

    SUSTAINABLE ENERGY FUTURE

    Energy demand could doublefrom its levelin 2000.... while CO2emissions must be half today’s to avoid serious climate change

    Twice as efficient, using half the energy to produce each dollar of wealth

    3 times more energy from renewable sources

    9 billionpeople, 75% living in cities

    (2 billion more than today)

    2 billion vehicles

    (800 million at the moment)

    Many millionsof people will rise out of energy poverty; with higher living standards energy use rises

    climate change

    Dec 2012 02

  • DEMAND GROWTH

    Energy demand outlook in million boe/d

    � Energy demand +60% 2010 – 2050

    � Hydrocarbons dominate outlook

    � Gas demand doubling 2010-2050

    MAJOR OPPORTUNITY FOR SHELL

    GLOBAL ENERGY OUTLOOK

    Shell activities

    Oil

    Nuclear

    Other renewables

    Solar

    Natural gas

    Wind

    Biomas

    Coal

    Dec 2012 03

  • REGIONAL GAS DEMAND DEVELOPMENT

    ASIA DEMAND

    Bcf/d

    Asia SupplyOther AsiaOther SE AsiaMalaysia

    NORTH AMERICA DEMAND

    N.A. Supply

    Bcf/d

    IndiaChinaTaiwanKoreaJapan

    OtherPowerIndustrialTransport

    EUROPE DEMAND

    Bcf/d

    MIDDLE EAST DEMANDBcf/d

    UAE

    Dec 2012 04

    Residential & CommercialPowerIndustrial

    Europe Supply IranOmanIsraelOther ME

    UAESaudi ArabiaIraq

  • GAS RESOURCES ARE PLENTIFUL, GROWING AND GEOGRAPHICALLY DIVERSE

    HUGE GLOBAL GAS RESOURCES

    Conventional Gas

    North America

    South America

    EuropeEurasia

    AfricaAsia Pacific

    Middle East

    Conventional Gas Resources

    Tight/Shale Gas and CBM Resources

    Source: IEA World Energy Outlook, WoodMackenzie, Shell Interpretation

    � Conventional and unconventional recoverable gas resources can supply >250 years of current global gas production

    � Tight/Shale gas and CBM are transforming the global gas market

    � Shell believes that increased use of natural gas, replacing coal, for electric generation is crucial to lowering global CO2 levels

    REMAINING RECOVERABLE

    RESOURCES (TCM)

    EQUIVALENT IN YEARS OF CURRENT

    PRODUCTION

    Conventional 404.5 130

    Tight/Shale Gas and CBM Resources

    380.5 123

    Total 785 253

    Dec 2012 05

  • Deep Basin

    GroundbirchCanol

    Montney

    SHELL’S GLOBAL TIGHT GAS + LIQUIDS-RICH SHALES PORTFOLIO

    KEY SHELL POSITIONS

    Ukraine

    China tight gas

    FoothillsDeep BasinMontney

    BAKKENPinedaleNiobrara

    Monterey

    Haynesville

    MarcellusUTICA

    MISSISSIPPI LIMEWOLFCAMP

    Eagle Ford

    COLOMBIA

    Germany

    TURKEY

    Egypt

    Oman

    South Africa (JAA) Study

    Tight Gas

    Liquids potential

    NEUQUEN

    South Africa (JAA) Study

    Dec 2012 06

  • GAS VALUE CHAINS

    Dec 2012 07

  • SHELL LNG GROWTH + POTENTIAL

    GLOBAL LNG PORTFOLIO

    LNG Canada

    � 22 MTPA ON STREAM

    � 7 MTPA UNDER CONSTRUCTION + 33%

    � 20+ MTPA OPTIONS�

    SHELL GLOBAL LNG CAPACITY GROWTH

    Gorgon

    Prelude Browse

    AbadiSunrise

    Arrow

    Wheatstone

    US LNG

    � 20+ MTPA OPTIONS

    � SHELL 7% GLOBAL MARKET SHARE

    On stream

    Under construction

    Options

    2011-12 portfolio development

    SHELL LNG LEADERSHIP

    Dec 2012 08

    On stream OptionsUnder construction

    mtpa

    year end mtpa

    2011 2017

  • PRELUDE FLNG

    � 2011: FIRST INDUSTRY FID ON FLNG ON PRELUDE

    � CONSTRUCTION SOUTH KOREA: OPTIONS FOR FURTHER PROJECTS

    � TARGETING NEW EXPLORATION FOR FLNG

    FLOATING LNG LEADERSHIP

    Dec 2012 10

  • NORTH AMERICA LNG POTENTIAL

    Dec 2012 09

  • PEARL GTL

    August 2012August 2012

    120,000 BOE/D OF NATURAL GAS LIQUIDS AND ETHANE AND 140,000

    B/D OF LIQUID HYDROCARBON PRODUCTS

    MAJOR CONSTRUCTION COMPLETED END 2010, PRODUCTION RAMP

    UP IN 2011

    WORLD’S LARGEST GTL PLANT

    Dec 2012 11

  • WHAT IS GTL?

    THE GTL PROCESS:CONVERTS NATURAL-GAS TO OIL PRODUCTS VIA CHEMICAL TRANSFORMATION

    Dec 2012 12

  • GAS TO CHEMICALS

    Moerdijk/Pernis

    Mossmoran

    Sadaf

    Qatar

    Singapore

    Nanhai

    US

    US Gulf Coast

    Scotford

    � Key Site

    � Options

    Singapore

    Dec 2012 13

  • GAS TO TRANSPORT

    Dec 2012 14

  • LNG TO TRANSPORT – SHELL OPPORTUNITIES

    DRIVERS OF REGIONAL DEMAND VARY

    ROAD TRANSPORTNORTH AMERICA SUPPLY

    EUROPE “CLEANER COMPETITIVE FUEL”

    GROWTH MARKETS “DEMAND”

    Dec 2012 15

    SHIPPING (LNG-fueled barge currently under construction)

  • LEADER IN GLOBAL GAS

    � International gas value chains

    � Deep relationships with key customers

    � Global presence + portfolio approach� Global presence + portfolio approach

    SHELL POSITIONED FOR RAPID

    & PROFITABLE GAS GROWTH

    Dec 2012 16

  • ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLCQ&A

    Dec 2012 17