Rooftop Solar Energy Roundtable Presentation Final
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Transcript of Rooftop Solar Energy Roundtable Presentation Final
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Los Angeles Solar:
Now and into the Future
J.R. DeShazo, Director, UCLA Luskin Center for InnovaCon Manuel Pastor, Director, USC Program for Environmental and Regional Equity
March 27, 2015
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0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Burbank W&P
PG&E SDG&E SMUD SCE Pasadena W&P
Riverside Public UClity
LADWP Anaheim Public UClity
Glendale W&P
Wa#
s per Customer
Los Angeles is in boYom third of uCliCes for solar in California
159 solar waYs per customer
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Los Angeles remains heavily dependent on coal
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
PG & E SMUD Glendale W&P
Burbank W&P
Pasadena W&P
SDG&E SCE LADWP
Coal Cap
acity
(MW)
42% of power mix
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Clean Coalition
1,500 MW of in-basin solar by 2025
Clean Coalition 600 MW
1,500 MW
Clean Coalition
1,200 MW
800 MW
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
LA Clean Energy CoaliCons vision for in-basin solar
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0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Prog
ram Cap
acity
(MW)
Scaling to 1,500 MW of in-basin solar
2025 Goal
900 MW of
expanded feed-in tariff
500 MW of net
metering
100 MW of municipal projects
Feed-in Tariff
Net Metering
Community solar and other municipal projects
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Governor Jerry Brown has called for 50% renewables
by 2030
Los Angeles following States lead
To comply with current RPS requirements, LADWP must procure at least 75% of renewable energy from
Category 1 RECs
FiT, community solar and municipal projects receive Category 1 RECs NEM projects receive Category 3 RECs
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Achieving in-basin solar goals will create local jobs
Total job years created 35,950 Job years for large projects 17,950
Feed-in tariff 16,155
Community solar 718
Other municipal projects 1,077
Job years for small projects 18,000
Net metering 18,000
Note: Includes 22,950 direct job years and 13,000 indirect job years
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remove GHGs and other pollutants
Over 26.4 million metric tons of avoided CO2e
Note: GHG avoided when replacing coal-fire power plant
The equivalent to more than 5.6 million
vehicles removed from Los Angeles
roads
Source: UCLA Luskin Center for InnovaCon Ratepayer Impact Model EPA Greenhouse Gas Equivalencies Calculator
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Nearly 39 million MWh of energy produced
and generate clean local energy for Los Angeles homes and businesses
Enough to power over 335,000 Los Angeles homes
per year
Note: Assumes 6,621 kWh average annual LADWP household electricity consumpCon (CEC, 2012)
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Local businesses will be able to take advantage of federal tax credits
Even if the 30% Federal Investment Tax Credit is reduced in
2016, Los Angeles businesses can sCll leverage
$552 million in tax credits
Note: Assumes ITC is reduced to 10% in 2017
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Total in-basin solar capacity:
153.5 MW
Net metering (NEM):
143 MW
93%
Feed-in tariff (FiT):
6.5 MW 4%
Other in-basin solar:
4 MW 3%
Where are we now with installing rooiop solar in Los Angeles?
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1) FiT 100: Five tranches over two years
2) FiT 50: Fiiy MW bundled with out-of-basin solar Contracts have been awarded
LADWP has successfully allocated 150 MW of capacity with the goal of interconnecCon by the end of 2016
Tranche 1 20 MW $0.17 Tranche 2
20 MW $0.16
Tranche 4 15 MW $0.14
Tranche 3 20 MW $0.15
Tranche 5 25 MW $0.13
February 2013
July 2013
March 2014
August 2014
March 2015
Note: Tranche 4 released 15 MW and Tranche 5 released 25 MW
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Over 3,300 job years created $562.5 million invested into Los Angeles Nearly 4 million MWh of clean local energy generated 2.6 million metric tons of avoided CO2e A half million cars removed from Los Angeles roads Over 240,000 homes powered
Benefits of the allocated 150 MW of in-basin solar
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Tranche 1 Tranche 2 Tranche 3 Tranche 4
Capa
city (M
W)
Goal
Private industry has responded posiCvely: Program is oversubscribed by 238%
50 MW 250% over- subscripCon
43 MW 215% over- subscripCon
14 MW 7% under- subscripCon
72 MW 360% over- subscripCon
Offered Feb. 13 $0.17 per kWh
Offered Aug. 14 $0.14 per kWh
Offered March 14 $0.15 per kWh
Offered July 13 $0.16 per kWh
Note: In Tranche 4, large projects were over-subscribed. Small projects were undersubscribed by 94%.
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Tranche 1 Total wait Cme: 425 days
Tranche 2 Total wait Cme: 254 days
Tranche 3 Total wait Cme: 182 days
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Med
ian Wait T
ime (days)
LADWP execuCng FiT contracts more quickly
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So far, only 6.5 MW of the released 100 MW have been built with
another 8.1 MW contracted
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Program Capacity (MW)
However, several improvements are needed
6.5 MW
8.1 MW
Tranche 1 February 13
Tranche 2 July 13
Tranche 3 March 14
Tranche 4 August 14
Tranche 5 March 15
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But aYriCon rates are high
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Tranche 1 Tranche 2 Tranche 3 Tranche 4
Capa
city Lost (MW)
AYriCon rates have been high
61% of applicaCons drop out
52% of applicaCons drop out
41% of applicaCons drop out
20% of applicaCons drop out
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Contracted
Cap
acity
(MW)
500% Increase in SOPPA ExecuCon
Business as Usual
and LADWP will need to interconnect over 4 MW per month to achieve interconnecCon goals
2016 Goal
Note: Based on rate of SOPPA execuCons
LADWPs current interconnecCon pace is 271 kW per month
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FiT does advance solar related equity goals
Training programs which frequently target less
advantaged workers generally in or near these opportunity
areas
40% of all installed or acCve capacity falls within equity hot
spots
Equity Hot Spots are defined as census tracts in:
BoYom 1/3 of household income and
BoYom 1/3 high school graduaCon rate and Top 1/3 unemployment rate and/or
Top 10% CalEnviroScreen
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When it works . . .
PermaCitys Forever 21 Project
5.1 MW (Net Metering + FiT) Project in Lincoln Heights Local hiring from programs training
disadvantaged workers
UClized racking system manu-factured locally & invented by PermaCity
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And how could it do more?
Maximize the connecCon between high-need communiCes, equity opportuniCes and the FiT through codified programs and incenCves
Examples: PrioriCze solar equity projects and incenCvize hiring disadvantaged workers
Work with training programs to beYer arCculate and develop career pathways
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And how could it leverage more? CalEnviroScreen is designed to
distribute Cap and Trade proceeds clear overlap with
equity hot spots
A share of S.B. 535 Investment Funds can be used for energy
efficiency goals, with priority for low-income mulC-family units
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RecommendaCons
1. Ask for bolstered staffing plan on which LADWP reports quarterly in order to create capacity and insCtuConal knowledge On January 2013, LADWP approved a 150 MW FiT program and requested 30 FTE from the Board of Commissioners. As of today, only 3 FTE are dedicated to the FiT as well as consulCng assistance (LADWP Board TransmiYal, 2013).
2. Call on Board to ask LADWP Staff for a waitlist management plan including strategy to review and prioriCze waitlisted projects based on: Quality of applicaCon Projects in solar equity hot spots Economic development opportuniCes
Hiring from high need areas/disadvantaged workers
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RecommendaCons 3. Review Expanded FiT proposal based on
lessons learned from FiT 100 Evaluate pricing, waitlist management, recruitment, technical assistance and other program features
4. AcCvely encourage linkages to less advantaged workers Hiring credits for employing workers from high need areas/ disadvantaged workers; arCculate Prop. 47 opportunity; facilitate smaller projects; measure equity on Mayors dashboard
5. Seek advice of LADWP and other stakeholders on addiConal improvements
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Users can sort by: ZIP code City council district Property owner Property use System size
Other announcements: A new tool from the LABC InsCtute
Online resource to idenCfy potenCal sites for rooiop solar installaCons
Access at hYp://solar.labcinsCtute.org
Includes nearly 8,000 properCes
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Thank you
J.R. DeShazo [email protected]
Manuel Pastor
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All FiT analysis based on Current FiT Review Priority List released March 5, 2015
Direct investment assumes $4.56 per waY for NEM, and $3.23 per waY for FiT and community solar Also includes a 5% annual decrease in cost per waY and a 5% discount rate
Equity hotspots include census tracts in boYom third of household income AND boYom third of high school graduaCon rates AND top third of unemployment AND/OR top 10% CalEnviroScreen score
See next slides for job year assumpCons
Sources and AssumpCons
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Direct Jobs MulCpliers FTE per MW
BOS components 3.0 System integraCon 2.8
InstallaCon 2.1 Annual O&M 0.4
UClity network upgrade 1.5 Program administraCon 1.5
Total direct jobs 11.3 Note: Does not include wafer, cell and module job creaCon Source: Navigant, 2008
Indirect Job MulCpliers FTE per MW
Manufacturing 4.20 ConstrucCon 2.45
Total indirect jobs 6.65
Job Years Created for Large Projects AssumpCons
Source: NaConal Renewable Energy Laboratory Note: Manufacturing is BOS * 1.4; ConstrucCon is system integraCon and installaCon * 0.5
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Direct Jobs MulCpliers FTE per MW
BOS components 3.0 System integraCon 7.8
InstallaCon 9.2 Annual O&M 0.3
UClity network upgrade 1.5 Program administraCon 1.5
Total direct jobs 23.3 Note: Does not include wafer, cell and module job creaCon Source: Navigant, 2008
Indirect Job MulCpliers FTE per MW
Manufacturing 4.2 ConstrucCon 8.5
Total indirect jobs 12.7
Job Years Created for Small Projects AssumpCons
Source: NaConal Renewable Energy Laboratory Note: Manufacturing is BOS * 1.4; ConstrucCon is system integraCon and installaCon * 0.5