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Rohit Talwar - The Long View for AFCA Barcelona 09/04/13
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Transcript of Rohit Talwar - The Long View for AFCA Barcelona 09/04/13
The Long View
Aircraft Finance & Commercial Aviation Conference
Barcelona – April 9th 2013
Rohit Talwar - CEO – Fast Future [email protected]
Contents
• Presentation p. 3
• About Fast Future p. 55
• Image Sources p. 64
• Background Notes p. 69
‘Future Proofed’ Firms Work on
3 Horizons in Parallel
1-3 Years
Drive for
Growth
1-12 Months
Operational
Excellence
4-10+ Years
Creating
the Future
Genetic Profiles and Human Enhancement e.g. Trans-Cranial Direct Current Stimulation (tDCS)
GoFlow – Low Cost Home tDCS Kit
Our Research suggests airports need to see themselves an
as ecosystem - An integrated portfolio of models
Market Insight
• External Drivers
• National / Regional
Context & Landscape
• Airline / Aircraft /
Airport Trends
Strategies
• Passenger
Demographics,
Needs and
Expectations
• Ancillary Drivers
Demographic Destinies 2 billion more people in 40 years –
Demographics is Driving Economics
1998
448 691
729
5231
4216
740
1051
346
596
Source : United Nations 2011 2050
Insight – In-flight Experience
EADS – Vitalisation, interaction and smart tech zones, morphing seats,
personalised environment control, holographic projection, transparent walls and
virtual reality projection
Core Technologies Used by Pioneers Now Pioneered by 2015 Pioneered by 2025
Personal Technology
Mobile phones
3G / 4G smartphones
Augmented reality
Gesture recognition
Intelligent software assistants
Mind control headsets
3D displays (Glasses free)
Intelligent interfaces
Flexible screens
Digital currency
5G phones
Biologically embedded electronics
Eyewear embedded screens
Intelligent brain-computer interfaces
Streamlining the Passenger Journey
Biometrics –voice / facial / handprint
recognition
Quick-response (QR) codes
RFID
Interactive displays
Near field communications (NFC)
Temporary airports
Biometric signature – heartbeat pattern
Body language recognition
Robotics and automated services
Virtual airports
NFC integrated into all travel documents
and passports
Use of human genomic profiles
Enhancing the Passenger Experience
Social media
Passenger-polling systems
Hybrid platforms (i.e. Google Wave)
Interactive surfaces
Virtual worlds
Vertical farming (basic)
Next generation cinematic experiences:
6D and beyond
Real-time language translation
Reality mining
Wearable displays
Immersive web
3D printing
Biomimetic Design
Haptics technology
Touchable holograms
Vertical farming (advanced)
Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Infrastructure
Wireless broadband
Cloud computing
Telepresence
Big Data
Machine learning
Ambient / Embedded intelligence – the
‘Internet of Things’
Grid computing
MANETS (Mobile Ad-hoc NETworks)
Swarm intelligence
Intelligent web
Semantic web
Machine vision
Optical computers
Collective intelligence
Research at ‘cutting edge of technological media innovation’ e.g.
human-computer interaction, augmented reality, online gaming,
internet television and semantic text processing
Muscle – Rapid Innovation e.g. Naspers' New Media Lab
(“Fail fast and cheaply” – Koos Bekker, CEO)
Focus on a Holistic View of
Complexity, Risk and Performance
• Customer Interface
• Process
• Organisation
• Information / Systems
• Regulatory
• Human
• Financial
Priorities for Future Proofed Firms
Mastery Markets
Models
Magic
Management Mindset
Muscle
Message Message
Conclusions – Winning Strategies
• Long term thinking
• Differentiate through
curiosity and innovation
• Technology as a key
enabler
• Experiment with
business models
• Work with and for
tomorrow’s passenger
Fast Future –
Core Services
• Live Events - Speeches, briefings and workshops for executive management and boards of governments, investment funds, development agencies , companies, airlines, airports, hotels, venues, CVB’s and associations
• Future Insights - Customised research on emerging trends, future scenarios, technologies and new markets
• Immersion - ‘Deep dives’ on future trends, market developments, emerging issues and technology advances
• Strategy - Development of strategies and business plans
• Innovation - Creation of business models and innovation plans
• Engagement - Consultancy and workshop facilitation
Fast Future • Research, consulting, speaking, leadership
• 5-20 year horizon - focus on ideas, developments, people,
trends and forces shaping the future
• Clients
– ING, ABN Amro, Laing O’Rourke
– Marks and Spencer
– Airports - Aeroports de Paris / Schiphol Group
– Vancouver Airport Services
– Industry Associations – ICCA, ASAE, PCMA, MPI
– Corporates - GE, Nokia, Pepsi, IBM, Intel, Orange,
O2, Siemens, Samsung, GSK, SAPE&Y, KPMG,
Amadeus, Sabre, Travelport, Travelex, ING,
Santander, Barclays, Citibank, DeutscheBank
– Governments - Dubai, Finland, Nigeria, Singapore,
UK, US
– Convention Bureaus – Seoul, Sydney, London, San
Francisco, Toronto, Abu Dhabi, Durban, Athens,
Slovenia, Copenhagen
– Convention Centres – Melbourne,
Adelaide, Qatar, QEIICC
– Hotels - Accor Group, Preferred,
– Intercontinental
– PCO’s - Congrex, Kenes
Our Services Bespoke research; Identification & Analysis of Future Trends, Drivers & Shocks
Accelerated Scenario Planning, Timelining & Future Mapping
Identification of Opportunities for Innovation and Strategic Investment Strategy Creation &
Development of Implementation Roadmaps
Design & Facilitation of Innovation, Incubation & Venturing Programmes
Expert Consultations & Futures Think Tanks
Personal Futuring for Leaders and Leadership Teams
Public Speaking, In-Company Briefings, Seminars and Workshops
Example Projects • Public and private client research e.g. :
– Reinventing the Airport Ecosystem
– Development of Market Scenarios, emerging trends and strategies for key clients
– Government and OECD Scenario Projects – e.g. Migration 2030, Future of Narcotics, Chemical Sector, Family 2030
– Scenarios for the global economy for 2030 and the implications for migration
– Designing Your Future (Published August 2008) – book written for the American Society of Association Executives & The
Center for Association Leadership
– Global Economies – e.g. The Future of China – the Path to 2020
– The Shape of Jobs to Come – Emerging Science and Technology Sectors and Careers
– Winning in India and China
– The Future of Human Resources
– Exploiting the Future Potential of Social Media in UK Small to Medium Enterprises
– Convention 2020 – the Future of Business Events
– Future Convention Cities Initiative – Maximising Long-term Economic Impact of Events
– One Step Beyond – Future trends and challenges for the events industry
– Hotels 2020: Beyond Segmentation – Future Hotel Strategies
– The Future of Travel and Tourism in the Middle East – a Vision to 2020
– Future of Travel and Tourism Investment in Saudi Arabia
Hotels 2020 – Objectives
• Identify key drivers of change
for the globally branded hotel
sector over the next decade
• Examine the implications for:
Hotel strategy
Brand portfolio
Business models
Customer targeting
Innovation
• Global strategic foresight study to help the meetings industry prepare for
the decade ahead - Industry-wide sponsors
• Multiple outputs Nov 2009 – December 2011
• Current studies on future strategies for venues and destinations
Convention 2020
Rohit Talwar • Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research.
• Award winning speaker on future insights and strategic
innovation – addressing leadership audiences in 40 countries on
5 continents
• Author of Designing Your Future
• Profiled by UK’s Independent Newspaper as one of the Top 10
Global Future Thinkers
• Led futures research, scenario planning and strategic
consultancy projects for clients in telecommunications,
technology, pharmaceuticals, banking, travel and tourism,
environment, food and government sectors
• Clients include 3M, BBC, BT, BAe, Bayer, Chloride, DTC De
Beers, DHL, EADS, Electrolux, E&Y, GE, Hoover, Hyundai, IBM,
ING, Intel, KPMG, M&S, Nakheel, Nokia, Nomura, Novartis,
OECD, Orange, Panasonic, Pfizer, PwC, Samsung, Shell,
Siemens, Symbian, Yell , numerous international associations
and governments agencies in the US, UK, Finland, Dubai,
Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Singapore.
• To receive Fast Future’s newsletters please email
• 50 key trends
• 100 emerging trends
• 10 major patterns of change
• Key challenges and choices for
leaders
• Strategic decision making framework
• Scenarios for 2012
• Key futures tools and techniques
• Published August 2008
• Price £49.95 / €54.95/ $69.95
• Email invoice request to
Designing Your Future Key Trends, Challenges and Choices
Image Sources p.1 Page:
1. http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pictures/2013/4/1/1364803659854/Virgins-April-fool-glass--010.jpg
Left, right:
http://www.imabgroup.net/img/for-posts/multichannel.jpg
http://www.original-press-releases.com/2011/12/story-article-now-offering-free-article.html
http://www.mondolithic.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/You-Are-Only-Coming-Through-In-Waves.jpg
4. Clockwise:
http://batonrouge.myhomecareblog.com/files/2011/07/active_seniors4.jpg
http://www.energyrefuge.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/solar_power.jpg
http://www.nanotechnologyinvesting.us/images/nanotechnology-480.jpg
http://cdn.lightgalleries.net/4bd5ec0d18599/images/Cocoon_05-2.jpg
http://yogizendude.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/vertical_farm.jpg
http://blog.daqri.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/3D-printed-airplane.jpg
5. Left, right:
http://www.whatarenootropics.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/tcds.png
http://flowstateengaged.com/
6. Clockwise:
http://www.airbus.com/innovation/future-by-airbus/concept-planes/the-airbus-concept-cabin/future-technologies/
http://assets.inhabitat.com/files/terreformfabtreehab1.jpg
http://english.sina.com/technology/p/2009/1125/288206.html
http://www.synthetic-biology.info/images/synbio.jpg
7. http://sites.psu.edu/raw5308/files/2012/03/0102072148300.jpg
8. http://weburbanist.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/04/concept_planes_main.jpg
9. http://www.technewsdaily.com/images/i/7596/original/supersonic-flying-wing-02.jpeg?1348072306
10. Top, bottom:
https://mdao.grc.nasa.gov/postcards/CD3/cardimage003.gif
http://www.airbus.com/innovation/future-by-airbus/concept-planes/the-airbus-concept-cabin/vitalising-zone/
11. Clockwise:
http://s1.ibtimes.com/sites/www.ibtimes.com/files/styles/picture_this/public/2011/08/26/150908-zero2infinity-balloon-for-near-space-travel-by-2013-spectacular-
pictur.jpg
http://ut-images.s3.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/Space_elevator2.jpg
http://www.igorstshirts.com/blog/conceptships/virgin_spaceship_two_model.jpg
12. Left, right:
http://www.popsci.com/files/imagecache/article_image_large/articles/cp0206luxHotel_485.jpg
http://rossignol.cream.org/new/airhotel.jpg
Image Sources p.2
13. http://www.amadeus.com/airlineit/resources/reinventing_the_airport_ecosystem/img/amadeus-reinventing-the-airport-ecosystem-2012-en-
infographic.jpg
14. From left to right top; bottom:
http://www.iwmsnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/globe.jpg
http://www.shareyourride.net/images/Its_Never_Too_Late_To_Become_A_Surfer_Dude/Really_Big_Wave.jpg
http://hotindiancelebrities.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/surya-six-pack-abs-gallery-1.jpg
http://ricotheclownandmagician.com/IMAGES/magic-hat-stars.gif
http://www.sonc.co.uk/xxIMMAGINI/sonc_Corp%20&%20Brand%20Identity.jpeg
http://www.subhub.com/custom/5ways/m3f85a9df.png
http://www.successfulaffiliate.com/images/positive-mindset.jpg
http://blog.vavia.in/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/leadership.jpg
15. http://airobserver.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/money-airplane.jpg
17. http://www.un.org/esa/population/unpop.htm
18. Clockwise:
http://www.guenthermetzger.com/wp-content/gallery/red-cab/red_cab_24032011_3010.jpg
http://www.defaiya.com/defaiyaonline/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=838&Itemid=70&lang=en
http://hindifilmnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/john-abraham-sky-bags-2.jpg
19. http://boardingarea.com/blogs/lufthansaflyer/2012/06/28/a-la-carte-dining-with-austrian-airlines-and-do-co-order-your-meal-before-your-
flight/
20. http://www.shareyourride.net/images/Its_Never_Too_Late_To_Become_A_Surfer_Dude/Really_Big_Wave.jpg
23. http://www.airbus.com/innovation/future-by-airbus/concept-planes/the-airbus-concept-cabin/vitalising-zone/
24. http://www.chennaibest.com/Articles/Narayana-Hrudayalaya-plans-to-set-up-100-low-cost-hospitals_clip_image001.jpg
26. http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
27. http://smartdesignworldwide.com/thinking/wp-content/uploads/internetofthings_480x324_final.jpg
Image Sources p.3
28. http://readwrite.com/files/styles/800_450sc/public/files/fields/shutterstock_artificial%2520intelligence.jpg
29. http://siliconrepublic.com/fs/img/big%20data%20650%20shutterstock_104929805.jpg
30. http://hotindiancelebrities.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/surya-six-pack-abs-gallery-1.jpg
31. Left, right:
http://mandatemedia.typepad.com/photos/uncategorized/2007/07/10/coca_cola.jpg
http://somewordsandpictures.files.wordpress.com/2009/06/this-water-innocent.jpg
32. http://images.gizmag.com/gallery_lrg/arkhotelchangsha.png
33. http://www.cambridgemedialab.com/1%20-%20Copy.jpg
34. http://ricotheclownandmagician.com/IMAGES/magic-hat-stars.gif
35. http://www.hackcollege.com/wp-content/themes/HackCollege/images/timthumb.php?src=http://www.hackcollege.com/wp-
content/uploads/2012/11/UniversalTranslator-1.jpg&w=780
36. http://www.designboom.com/weblog/cat/8/view/11002/marc-newson-next-generation-check-in-for-qantas.html
37. http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
38. http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
39. http://blog.apex.aero/cabin-interior/pictures-sensory-design-meets-aircraft-interiors-casino-jet-lounge-concept/
40. http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
41. http://www.autofocusasia.com/management/images/features_of_tata_nano.gif
42. http://www.subhub.com/custom/5ways/m3f85a9df.png
43. Left, right:
http://3008docklands.com.au/article/neighbourhood/1490
http://www.answers.com/topic/cloud-computing
44. http://news.discovery.com/tech/zooms/flapless-demon-aircraft.html
45. Top, bottom:
http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/828858/kickstarter-project-goal-800.jpeg
http://www.theverge.com/2011/12/20/2644358/kickstarter-success-product-development-revolution
Image Sources p.4
46. http://www.robotspodcast.com/images/DarpaUAVFoursome.jpg
http://www.suasnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/UAVForge.jpg
48. http://www.visualphotos.com/photo/2x4524045/businesswoman_on_ladder_looking_through_binoculars_bld005521.jpg
49. http://blog.apex.aero/prepost-flight/airline-social-seating-system-strikes-fancy/
50. Left, right:
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_pte2XO66Nwg/SKxbGnqa6DI/AAAAAAAAB2I/g4HX25sx1MQ/s400/magnet%2Bman2.jpg
http://embunpagi2009.files.wordpress.com/2009/02/seedling1.jpg
51. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-EJhAZaiyA8E/TfRRHfKzDMI/AAAAAAAAAGo/JmTQLz1z0xc/s320/6a00d8341c65c453ef010536d4981b970c-
800wi.jpg
52. http://infolific.com/images/fun/metaphor-for-complexity.gif
53. From left to right top; bottom:
http://www.iwmsnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/globe.jpg
http://www.shareyourride.net/images/Its_Never_Too_Late_To_Become_A_Surfer_Dude/Really_Big_Wave.jpg
http://hotindiancelebrities.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/surya-six-pack-abs-gallery-1.jpg
http://ricotheclownandmagician.com/IMAGES/magic-hat-stars.gif
http://www.sonc.co.uk/xxIMMAGINI/sonc_Corp%20&%20Brand%20Identity.jpeg
http://www.subhub.com/custom/5ways/m3f85a9df.png
http://www.successfulaffiliate.com/images/positive-mindset.jpg
http://blog.vavia.in/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/leadership.jpg
54. http://nextnature.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/planes.jpg
Economic Outlook
Breakdown of components of average real growth in GDP at PPP (2011 – 2050)
Source: PwC (2013), World in 2050: The BRICs and Beyond: http://www.pwc.com/en_GX/gx/world-2050/assets/pwc-world-in-2050-report-january-
2013.pdf
Economic Outlook
Source: PwC (2013), World in 2050: The BRICs and Beyond: http://www.pwc.com/en_GX/gx/world-2050/assets/pwc-world-in-2050-report-january-
2013.pdf
Economic Outlook
Source: PwC (2013), World in 2050: The BRICs and Beyond: http://www.pwc.com/en_GX/gx/world-2050/assets/pwc-world-in-2050-report-january-
2013.pdf
Relative GDP at MERs and PPPs in 2050 (as % of US level)
Economic Outlook
Relative size of G7 and E7 economies: 2011 and 2050
Source: PwC (2013), World in 2050: The BRICs and Beyond: http://www.pwc.com/en_GX/gx/world-2050/assets/pwc-world-in-2050-report-january-
2013.pdf
Economic Outlook
Source: PwC (2013), World in 2050: The BRICs and Beyond: http://www.pwc.com/en_GX/gx/world-2050/assets/pwc-world-in-2050-report-january-
2013.pdf
E7 and G7 growth paths in PPP terms
IATA Scenarios
• The world in 2050:
• The global population has grown from 6.9 billion to 8.9 billion, birth rates
have continued to decline and radical new healthcare technologies have
resulted in life expectancy in developed countries rising to 99 years.
• The GDP of the G20 countries increased from $38 trillion in 2009 to $170
trillion in 2050. China became the world’s largest economy and China, India,
Brazil, Russia and Mexico account for just over 50% of the GDP of the G20
countries.
• New technology has revolutionised the way that people live their lives.
Access to information in real time at any time of the day and anywhere on
the planet is a more widely held expectation.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
IATA Scenarios
• People manage their lives using Lifestyle Integrated Management Pods
(LIMPs), which are small portable devices containing all necessary personal
data related to their owners.
• Both economic development and technological advances have changed the
shape of global geopolitics for the better.
• There is a greater economic parity between countries but tensions between
different states still exist over a number of issues like fresh water supplies.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
IATA Scenarios
• The airline industry in 2050:
• An industry that carried 2.4 billion passengers and shipped 40 million
tonnes of goods in 2010 carried 16 billion passengers and shipped 400
million tonnes of goods in 2050.
• Air transport has grown at almost twice the rate of GDP expansion - more
people are travelling than ever before and more frequently than ever before.
• The industry has adopted global advances in general technology.
• Travelling by air is faster (when desired), safer and more seamless than
ever before.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
IATA Scenarios
• Mobile technology available to air transport consumers is also affecting
passenger behaviour. LIMPs mean allow passengers change effortlessly
and seamlessly change their itineraries when they see fit.
• In-flight entertainment systems are no longer present on most aircraft,
• because passengers take all their personal audio, video or virtual
entertainment on board.
• Vastly improved high-speed train networks are now the norm in developed
economies and the train is often the preferred alternative for journeys of
fewer than 500 miles.
• For customers wishing to travel longer distances, air travel remains the only
option available.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
IATA Scenarios
• Who are the customers in 2050?
• Population aging has resulted in the average customer being on average
older than ever before. Healthcare advances mean that even though our
customers are older, they are not necessarily less mobile.
• Younger travellers are significantly more aware of air travel and more
worldly-wise than previous generations. They also have well-established
preferences about air travel including brand loyalty.
• It is expected that there will be new opportunities for companies to generate
brand loyalty amongst a new generation of travellers.
• Younger travellers are also much more technologically advanced.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
IATA Scenarios
• Customer priorities in 2050:
• Safety and security are still top priorities for passengers in 2050. Safety in
particular is less of a concern, as automation and new technology have
continued to revolutionize safety standards.
• The same technology has meant that reliability is also something that plays
a decreasing role in consumer choice, given that flights are almost always
on time and are almost never cancelled.
• Sporadic security threats regarding air transport still exist, although their
number have decreased.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
IATA Scenarios
• Price is still a key driver of consumer choice, but access to information has
made price transparency almost absolute, which has made price differences
between comparable products almost extinct.
• Price has become more of a driver when choosing between different
product types, and operators have learned to offer a wider array of products
to cater to every need.
• Regardless of the passenger segment, pricing has become more reflective
of the most precious of commodities: time.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
IATA Scenarios
• Business people still value their time above all else and are therefore willing
to pay a premium for the fastest available transport options.
• Amongst leisure passengers, technological advances and the elimination of
security, customs, and immigration delays have fuelled a large increase in
the demand for international and cross-cultural travel.
• Older travellers are seeking greater comfort and convenience, as well as a
slower pace or travel.
• For pre-adolescent travellers, priorities have not changed substantially -
these consumers still basically just want to be enter-tained.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
IATA Scenarios
• For adolescents, entertainment is also still a high priority, but entertainment
that is more about being social than individual. Some operators now offer
“adolescent only” sections on their larger aircraft, to enable adolescents the
opportunity to meet, play games, and even establish friendships with people
of their own age.
• This trend is also the case for young adults, as more and more operators
offer the opportunity for them to use their journey to meet and socialize with
members of the opposite sex.
• Customers from what used to be called developing economies are trying air
transport services for the first time in ever-increasing numbers. Rising living
standards normally lead them into the tourism market.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
IATA Scenarios
• Those customers from developed economies are demanding more and
more authenticity and customization. For them, just travelling by air is not
enough, they want a personal and unique experience. Having visited every
continent and scores of different countries, these passengers are
increasingly looking for something ‘extra’, something ‘special’. Week-long
‘Aircations’ (cruises in the sky) have become popular. Space travel is
becoming more reasonably priced but is still an indulgence for a few.
• One demand that has become consistently high among every type of
traveller is customer service.
• Ethical consumerism continues to be a growing trend and focuses on issues
like the preservation of local cultures and livelihoods.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
BOEING GLOBAL MARKET
FORECAST
Source: Boeing, (2012), Current Market Outlook 2012-2031:
http://www.boeing.com/assets/pdf/commercial/cmo/pdf/Boeing_Current_Market_Outlook_2012.pdf
BOEING GLOBAL MARKET
FORECAST
Source: Boeing, (2012), Current Market Outlook 2012-2031:
http://www.boeing.com/assets/pdf/commercial/cmo/pdf/Boeing_Current_Market_Outlook_2012.pdf
BOEING GLOBAL MARKET
FORECAST
Source: Boeing, (2012), Current Market Outlook 2012-2031:
http://www.boeing.com/assets/pdf/commercial/cmo/pdf/Boeing_Current_Market_Outlook_2012.pdf
BOEING GLOBAL MARKET
FORECAST
Source: Boeing, (2012), Current Market Outlook 2012-2031:
http://www.boeing.com/assets/pdf/commercial/cmo/pdf/Boeing_Current_Market_Outlook_2012.pdf
BOEING GLOBAL MARKET
FORECAST
• Boeing (2012) expects global economic growth to average 3.2% over the
next 20 years, fostering 5% annual growth in passenger traffic and 5.2%
annual growth in cargo traffic.
• Boeing suggests that airlines are responding to market pressures –
deploying capacity more strategically to help boost yields and cover high
fuel expenses.
• Airlines are optimizing airplane utilization more closely to seasonal demand
fluctuations.
Source: Boeing, (2012), Current Market Outlook 2012-2031:
http://www.boeing.com/assets/pdf/commercial/cmo/pdf/Boeing_Current_Market_Outlook_2012.pdf
BOEING GLOBAL MARKET
FORECAST
• In general, the industry continuously adapts to varied market forces,
including fuel price, economic growth and development, environmental
regulation, infrastructure, market liberalization, airplane capabilities, other
modes of transport, business models, and emerging markets.
Source: Boeing, (2012), Current Market Outlook 2012-2031:
http://www.boeing.com/assets/pdf/commercial/cmo/pdf/Boeing_Current_Market_Outlook_2012.pdf
BOEING GLOBAL MARKET
FORECAST
• Boeing’s analysis suggests that sustained investment in aviation
infrastructure is crucial to the continued growth of commercial aviation.
• The projected commercial air traffic growth is expected to increase
congestion at airports around the world as demand for takeoffs and landings
reaches or surpasses airport capacity over the next 20 years.
• Continued infrastructure investment is pa rticularly important in regions,
such as China, Northeast and Southeast Asia, India, and Latin America,
where aviation growth outpaces planned infrastructure development.
• Airport authorities are investing in large capital projects, including new or
improved runways, terminal expansions, and entirely new airports.
Source: Boeing, (2012), Current Market Outlook 2012-2031:
http://www.boeing.com/assets/pdf/commercial/cmo/pdf/Boeing_Current_Market_Outlook_2012.pdf
BOEING GLOBAL MARKET
FORECAST
• Many national and regional airspace management agencies are engaged in
programs to overhaul airspace systems (NextGen programme in the U.S.
helping airports run smoother).
• In general, Boeing suggests that although airports and governmental air
services agencies will need to continue investing in infrastructure
improvements, and airlines will need to evolve strategic responses at some
airports, congestion will not be a major limiting factor to commercial air
traffic growth.
Source: Boeing, (2012), Current Market Outlook 2012-2031:
http://www.boeing.com/assets/pdf/commercial/cmo/pdf/Boeing_Current_Market_Outlook_2012.pdf
Key Drivers for Traffic Growth
Source: EADS (2012), Airbus Global Market Forecast 2012-2031: http://www.eads.com/dms/eads/int/en/investor-relations/documents/2012/presentations/2012-
31-Global-Market-Forecast/Global%20Market%20Forecast%202012-2031.pdf
Key Drivers for Traffic Growth
Source: EADS (2012), Airbus Global Market Forecast 2012-2031: http://www.eads.com/dms/eads/int/en/investor-relations/documents/2012/presentations/2012-
31-Global-Market-Forecast/Global%20Market%20Forecast%202012-2031.pdf
Key Drivers for Traffic Growth Emerging economies drive strong travel growth
Source: EADS (2012), Airbus Global Market Forecast 2012-2031: http://www.eads.com/dms/eads/int/en/investor-relations/documents/2012/presentations/2012-
31-Global-Market-Forecast/Global%20Market%20Forecast%202012-2031.pdf
Key Drivers for Traffic Growth
Airlines are becoming more efficient
Source: EADS (2012), Airbus Global Market Forecast 2012-2031: http://www.eads.com/dms/eads/int/en/investor-relations/documents/2012/presentations/2012-
31-Global-Market-Forecast/Global%20Market%20Forecast%202012-2031.pdf
Key Drivers for Traffic Growth
Oil prices are expected to remain high in the long term
Source: EADS (2012), Airbus Global Market Forecast 2012-2031: http://www.eads.com/dms/eads/int/en/investor-relations/documents/2012/presentations/2012-
31-Global-Market-Forecast/Global%20Market%20Forecast%202012-2031.pdf
Key Drivers for Traffic Growth 42 cities in the world handle more than 10,000 long haul passengers per day
Source: EADS (2012), Airbus Global Market Forecast 2012-2031: http://www.eads.com/dms/eads/int/en/investor-relations/documents/2012/presentations/2012-
31-Global-Market-Forecast/Global%20Market%20Forecast%202012-2031.pdf
Key Drivers for Traffic Growth By 2031 the number of these cities will be over 90
Source: EADS (2012), Airbus Global Market Forecast 2012-2031: http://www.eads.com/dms/eads/int/en/investor-relations/documents/2012/presentations/2012-
31-Global-Market-Forecast/Global%20Market%20Forecast%202012-2031.pdf
Travel Markets
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
Source: IATA PaxIS, IMF
Travel Markets
• IATA (2011) suggests that once real GDP per capita reaches $15,000-
$20,000 the number of trips by air per head of population levels out.
• U.S. and Europe, the world’s largest markets, were approaching saturation
as of 2011.
• The BRIC economics have very underdeveloped travel markets and are
likely to be a very large source of new travel demand in the decades ahead.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
Travel Markets
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
Source: Michael Porter
Indicative evolution of airline markets
Key Drivers for Traffic Growth
Air travel remains a growth market
Source: EADS (2012), Airbus Global Market Forecast 2012-2031: http://www.eads.com/dms/eads/int/en/investor-relations/documents/2012/presentations/2012-
31-Global-Market-Forecast/Global%20Market%20Forecast%202012-2031.pdf
Key Drivers for Traffic Growth
Asia-Pacific airlines to lead world traffic by 2031
Source: EADS (2012), Airbus Global Market Forecast 2012-2031: http://www.eads.com/dms/eads/int/en/investor-relations/documents/2012/presentations/2012-
31-Global-Market-Forecast/Global%20Market%20Forecast%202012-2031.pdf
Key Drivers for Traffic Growth
Domestic PRC and domestic India lead the growth in RPKs to2031
Source: EADS (2012), Airbus Global Market Forecast 2012-2031: http://www.eads.com/dms/eads/int/en/investor-relations/documents/2012/presentations/2012-
31-Global-Market-Forecast/Global%20Market%20Forecast%202012-2031.pdf
Total World Passenger Traffic to
2025
Source: ACI, 2007: http://www.aci.aero/aci/aci/file/Economics/ACI%20Executive%20Summary.pdf
Total World Passenger Traffic to
2025
Source: ACI, 2007: http://www.aci.aero/aci/aci/file/Economics/ACI%20Executive%20Summary.pdf
Value Creation in the Airline
Industry Value Chain
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
Value Creation in the Airline
Industry Value Chain
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
Majority of capital invested in airlines and airports
Source: McKinsey & Company for IATA
Flight Numbers in Europe
• Eurocontrol’s medium term forecast of flight numbers in Europe covers 44
markets for the period 2012 to 2019.
• The forecast suggests that the average growth rate of flight numbers will be
2.3%.
• CAPA, the Centre for Aviation, citing Eurocontrol, suggests that Turkey will
lead the growth in the Eastern countries in the period to 2019.
• Airport capacity constraints and competition from high speed rail are
forecast to cut 1.6% from the total of flights in 2019.
• Flights to non-European destinations are expected to see the highest
growth rate.
Source: CAPA, 07/03/2013: http://centreforaviation.com/analysis/eurocontrol-flight-movement-forecasts-to-2019-go-east-young-man-100117
Flight Numbers in Europe
ESRA08 – Eurocontrol Statistical Reference Area. H = high growth case; B = base case; L = low growth case
Source: Eurocontrol
Source: CAPA, 07/03/2013: http://centreforaviation.com/analysis/eurocontrol-flight-movement-forecasts-to-2019-go-east-young-man-100117
Flight Numbers in Europe
Source: Eurocontrol
Source: CAPA, 07/03/2013: http://centreforaviation.com/analysis/eurocontrol-flight-movement-forecasts-to-2019-go-east-young-man-100117
Short-term Forecast – Airline
Passenger Numbers • Citing IATA, Skift (2012) suggests that a robust growth is expected in airline
passenger numbers through 2016, much of it generated by the domestic airline
market in China.
• Skift states that IATA predicts 3.6 billion passengers will board commercial
aircraft in 2016, a 28.5% increase compared to 2011. That growth rate equals
5.3% per year.
• There will be 831 million additional passengers flying in 2016, 59 million (19.1%)
will be Chinese citizens traveling within China. China’s international passenger
numbers are projected to increase by just 34 million by 2016.
• IATA states that growth in passenger volume in domestic markets (500 million)
around the world is projected to outpace international passenger growth (331
million) in the period to 2016.
Source: Skift, 06/12/2012: http://skift.com/2012/12/06/forecast-domestic-china-flights-to-propel-global-passenger-growth/
Short-term Forecast – Airline
Passenger Numbers • In 2016, the U.S. will continue to be the largest market for domestic
passengers (710.2 million) and international travel (223 million passengers).
• The U.S. domestic passenger growth rate (2.6%) and international
passenger growth rate (4.3%) are below the global averages of 5.2% and
5.3% for domestic and international growth, respectively.
• Asia-Pacific will be the largest regional market in 2016 with one-third of all
global passengers while Europe and North America will secure shares of
21% each.
• Only Africa, with a compound annual growth rate of 6.8% through 2016, is
projected to beat Asia-Pacific’s CAGR of 6.7%, although Africa’s regional
best comes from a lower base of passengers.
Source: Skift, 06/12/2012: http://skift.com/2012/12/06/forecast-domestic-china-flights-to-propel-global-passenger-growth/
The Middle East
• Homaid Al Shemmari, executive director of Abu Dhabi's Mubadala
Aerospace, suggests that manufacturers must invest more in infrastructure
in the Middle East if they want the region to remain a major market for their
products.
• Al Shemmari is urging the industry to industry to follow the large airliner
manufacturers in establishing industrial partnerships as well as training and
maintenance facilities.
• Al Shemmari says that although the UAE is a large buyer of business
aircraft, it doesn’t want to "continue in the same game" as a consumer of
products rather than an integrated part of the industry.
Source: Flightglobal, 11/12/2012: http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/meba-mubadala-urges-business-aircraft-manufacturers-to-invest-in-the-regions-
industrial-infrastructure-380010/
The Middle East
• This was the motivation behind the setting up of STRATA in Al Ain in 2007 -
a Mubadala-owned start-up focused on the design and production of
composite components for airliners.
• STRATA is a risk-sharing supplier to Airbus, and is expected to manufacture
for Boeing in 2013.
• Any collaborations would have to be based on high-end design engineering
rather than low-value production. Al Shemmari says that people need to
think about the Middle East in a different way as it is becoming a global
player.
Source: Flightglobal, 11/12/2012: http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/meba-mubadala-urges-business-aircraft-manufacturers-to-invest-in-the-regions-
industrial-infrastructure-380010/
Customer Satisfaction
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
Source: University of Michigan
Customer satisfaction with airlines compared to other industries
Customer Satisfaction
• IATA (2011) suggests that the bargaining power of customers is high and
rising.
• Channels have become significantly more concentrated (internet websites)
and travel agents more aggressive in pursuing the interests of the end
customers. A significant share of end consumers is highly price sensitive,
especially among the new consumers that have driven demand growth in
mature markets.
• There is a low perceived willingness to pay for service features unrelated to
ticket flexibility.
• Customer loyalty to specific airlines is low, but frequent travellers react to
the incentives of customer-loyalty programs.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
The Customer of the Future
• The passenger market is expected to expand and diversify by 2050.
• As air travel becomes accessible to more regions and sections of society,
the airlines of the future might have to market and provide their services to a
far more heterogeneous customer base.
• Therefore, marketing strategies will have to be refined from a broad-based
orientation towards focused segmentation, from mass customization to
insight-driven development and from mass marketing to differentiated
branding.
• A key challenge for the industry is to keep ahead of the rising demand
curve.
Source: IATA (2011), Vision 2050: http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
APEX – Passenger Choice
Awards
• Best Overall Passenger Experience – Emirates.
• Best Overall Passenger Experience (Up to 50 IFE EQUIPPED IN FLEET) –
Virgin America.
• Best in Region: Africa – South African Airways.
• Best in Region: Americas – Virgin America.
• Best in Region: Asia and Australasia – SriLankan Airlines.
• Best in Region: Europe – Virgin Atlantic.
• Best in Region: Middle East – Emirates.
• Best Inflight Publication – Southwest Airlines.
Source: APEX, 2012: http://apex.aero/Awards/PassengerChoiceAwards/CurrentAwardWinners/tabid/228/Default.aspx
APEX – Passenger Choice
Awards
• Best Inflight Connectivity & Communications – Norwegian
• Best Inflight Video – Kingfisher Airlines
• Best Cabin Ambiance – Virgin America
• Best Food & Beverage, in conjunction with IFSA – Singapore Airlines
• Best Ground Experience – Kingfisher Airlines
Source: APEX, 2012: http://apex.aero/Awards/PassengerChoiceAwards/CurrentAwardWinners/tabid/228/Default.aspx
APEX – Passenger Choice
Awards
• Avion Award: Best Single Achievement in Passenger Experience:
• Airline – Brussels Airlines: The New Long Haul Cabin.
• Vendor – Lufthansa Systems: BoardConnect.
• Avion Award: Best Achievement in Technology
• Airline – Delta Air Lines for Demystifying the Checked Baggage Experience.
• Vendor – Panasonic for the eXTV.
Source: APEX, 2012: http://apex.aero/Awards/PassengerChoiceAwards/CurrentAwardWinners/tabid/228/Default.aspx
Korean Air
1. Korean Air:
• Korean Air is at the top of airlinetrends.com’s 2012 ranking of the world’s
most innovative airlines.
• The carrier has established itself as a major hub carrier for passengers
travelling between Asia and North America.
• Its A380 flagships have the lowest seat density of any A380 operator and
feature bars and lounges branded by Absolut Vodka and a duty-free shop.
• Korean Air operates its own organic farm and offers alternative service
amenities such as a coat storage service and women-only lounge at Seoul’s
Incheon Airport.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
Korean Air
• Korean Air is taking advantage of South Korea’s open sky policies to target
travellers flying between East Asia and North America. The airline’s short-
haul route network spans 22 cities in China, 15 cities in Japan and has a
market share of 25% in the Chinese-North America market.
• Analysts forecast an optimistic future for Korean Air and suggest it will
benefit from Chinese tourists and the increasing export of consumer
electronics and automobile components.
• In 2007, Korean Air bought 28% stake at a South Korean oil company ( S-
Oil) to secure a stable supply of jet fuel.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
Korean Air
• While many airlines across Asia are currently busy establishing their own
low cost carriers, in 2008 Korean Air launched a low cost subsidiary –Jin Air
– in order to compete with Korea’s high speed rail network.
• In 2011 the carrier completed an aggressive fleet expansion and a cabin
refurbishment program.
• The airline is also the first A380 operator to dedicate the entire upper deck
of the superjumbo to Business Class, creating a business jet-like
atmosphere.
• Keehong Woo, the head of the Korean Air’s passenger business division,
says that the carrier hopes to better market itself to international
corporations with the A380 business-only upper deck.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
Korean Air
• Onboard bars and lounges:
• The carrier has installed three onboard bars co-designed in partnership with
Absolut Vodka. The bars feature three signature Korean Air Absolute
cocktail drinks and a display tower.
• Duty-free display:
• Korean Air generated $201 million in duty free sales in 2011 and is seen as
the world’s most successful in-flight retailer.
• Because Korean and Chinese top the list of duty-free spenders, the airline
is the first in the world to feature an onboard duty-free store.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
Korean Air
• Catering:
• Korean Air is an active proponent of Korean-style meals and organic produce.
For example, passengers in all classes can choose to sample South Korea’s
national dish – bibimbab.
• The airline also operates its own organic farm through its subsidiary Korea
Airport Service. The airline’s Jedong Ranch is located 400 meters above sea
level on the mid-slopes of Mt. Halla on Jeju, a volcanic island located off the
south coast of South Korea.
• The organic beef and chicken are part of meals served in First Class. However,
responding to the growing demand for healthy food, in 2011 the airline started to
offer low-calories salmon salad and noodle dishes to Economy Class
passengers.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
Korean Air
• Service touches:
• Catering for the needs of female passengers, 45%, the airline refurbished
its prestige lounge at Incheon Airport, offering a dedicated area for female
travellers including a sleeping room, rest room and powder room.
• Korean Air is also one of the few airlines in the world to dedicate bathrooms
onboard for use by female passengers only.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
British Airways
2. British Airways:
• Airlinetrends.com report that British Airways seem to have regained its footing
with several key innovative programs:
• GBP 5 billion investment – The five-year program encompasses several
key areas of focus. BA’s customers will benefit from new aircraft, updated
World Traveller (economy) and World Traveller Plus (premium economy)
cabins; a revamped first class; many improvements in in-flight service such
as more personable service and more flavoursome catering.
• To Fly. To Serve – this £20 million branding campaign kicked off in 2011 and
aims to reignite the passion and belief in the BA brand. The logo is found on
the BA coat of arms and on the uniforms of crew members.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
British Airways
• BA also introduced fleet and cabin upgrades.
• Onboard service innovation:
• A central tenet of BA’s business plan is to deliver outstanding passenger
service.
• BA’s crew iPads feature the ‘ Enhanced Service Platform’ which consist of
several apps that allow flight attendants to store and receive relevant
passenger details in real time (itineraries, meal preferences, and other data
that allow for more tailored service).
• Around 2,000 senior cabin crew are provided with an iPad.
• BA is also trialing a program on a some long-haul routes where a crew
member is designated as an onboard travel advisor.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
British Airways
• BA also seeks to boost cabin crew morale and reward outstanding customer
service with a ‘golden ticket’ scheme.
• The Height Cuisine Initiative:
• In 2011 BA partnered with English celebrity chef Huston Blumenthal to
come up with new revamped menus and innovative culinary approaches to
make airline meals taste better.
• Instead of using sugar and salt to flavour meals, BA now use umami-rich
ingredients.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
KLM
http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
KLM
4. KLM:
• KLM Royal Dutch Airline is the seventh largest airline in the world in terms
of international kilometres flown and serves 135 destinations.
• Having a small home base, KLM’s strength lies in a tightly-knit worldwide
network.
• KLM has been an early adopter of self service options such as DIY luggage
check in; has a strong focus on sustainability (catering biofuel); is rapidly
expanding in China; aims to differentiate the passenger experience by
adding local Dutch touches; and is a pioneer adopter of social media.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
KLM
• KLM customers shave indicated that they appreciate the airline’s typical Dutch
character. To emphasise its Dutch origins, the airline partners with
contemporary Dutch designers for the creation of its onboard amenities.
• Deft Blue:
• Deft Blue porcelain is also part of KLM’s Dutch-inspired branding. Since the
1950s the airline has handed out small ceramic replicas of historical Dutch
houses filled with ‘genever’ (a Dutch style of gin) to passengers in Business
Class, that are still a popular souvenir item.
• Local food:
• Besides serving meals created by Michelin-starred Dutch chefs, KLM
organises ‘From Holland’ food and wine festival once a year.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
KLM
• For two months the airline serves Business Class passengers on long-haul
flights out of Amsterdam meals based on seasonal home-grown ingredients.
• Crowdsourcing – For the packaging of its sandwiches served on
European flights in 2012 KLM challenged design students to come up with a
design that reflected KLM’s distinct Dutch character. Three of the most
original designs were chosen by the airline’s Facebook fans.
• Serving Chinese customers:
• KLM aims to make Chinese customers feel at home – the airline has
localised elements of the onboard experience on flights to and from China.
Each flight has three Chinese-speaking crew onboard.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
KLM
• Social media:
• KLM has over 1.5 million Facebook fans and nearly 300,000 Twitter
followers. It has developed a reputation for launching innovative social
media campaigns.
• Sometimes the airline surprises passengers with a personal gift based on a
tweet or a Facebook profile.
• The airline also crowdsourced a commercial flight via Twitter and often asks
its Facebook fans to share their ideas and improve KLM products and
services.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
KLM
• Social seating:
• This is KLM’s most ambitious social initiative, the Meet & Seat social
seating scheme was launched in 2012.
• The service allows passengers to pick seatmates with similar interests
before their flight by linking their Facebook and LinkedIn profiles to their
seat number. Passengers must opt in for the service and can adjust their
privacy settings to reveal as much or as little information as they wish.
• ‘Meet &Seat’ is currently available for 13 destinations and CNN reports that
in the first 3 months after the launch, 2,200 people have shared their
profiles. The service is supplemented with Trip Planner – a new social
booking platform allowing Facebook friends to coordinate flights.
Source: Airlinetrends.com, 2012: http://www.airlinetrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Innovative_Airlines_2012-airlinetrends.pdf
Sensory Design Innovation
• How to cater for the five senses in-flight:
• Touch - materials should be of natural substances, rich to the touch, or have
interesting textures (such as leathers, wood veneer or other finishes) “that can
give the passenger a sense of reassurance that a high degree of quality exists in
the surroundings.
• Sight - Mary Kirby, contributing to the APEX’ editor blog, explains that dynamic
lighting scenarios or “intelligent lighting systems” are increasingly being used for
aircraft cabins. This is important because lighting has an effect on behaviour.
Lighting can be used to reduce the feeling of jetlag and increase the passenger’s
sense of wellbeing. Lighting colours can also be used to emphasize different
aspects of the flight, such as boarding, take-off, breakfast, movie,
announcements. Boeing’s blue-hued Sky Interior cabin is an example of how to
create different ambient lighting scenarios using different colours and intensities.
Source: Apex Editor’s Blog, 22/03/2013: http://blog.apex.aero/cabin-interior/pictures-sensory-design-meets-aircraft-interiors-casino-jet-lounge-
concept/
Sensory Design Innovation
• Smell – the olfactory sense is the most sensitive one, influencing people’s
mood as well as sense of well-being. Therefore different scents could be
associated with different aspects of the flight. One of the most successful
examples of the use of smell in design and branding in the airline industry
has been accomplished by Singapore Airlines. A scent called Stefan
Floridian Waters is infused into the hot towels they serve, the perfume used
by all the flight attendants, and subtly diffused into the cabin air.
• Sound – sound is still an expensive feature but has interesting potential.
For example, airlines can design signature tunes that play during the
boarding and deplaning parts of the flight. British Airways plays the Flower
Duet by Lakme upon boarding (and also in their commercials).
Source: Apex Editor’s Blog, 22/03/2013: http://blog.apex.aero/cabin-interior/pictures-sensory-design-meets-aircraft-interiors-casino-jet-lounge-
concept/
Sensory Design Innovation
• Taste – designing for the sense of taste is primarily done through food and
beverages. As expected, food and drink have to be good to leave a lasting
impression on the passenger.
• Sensory design goes one large step beyond these core values of aesthetics
and ergonomics and takes a holistic approach at design. It puts the human
experience at the centre of its focus.
Source: Apex Editor’s Blog, 22/03/2013: http://blog.apex.aero/cabin-interior/pictures-sensory-design-meets-aircraft-interiors-casino-jet-lounge-
concept/
Sensory Design Innovation
The frontend of a Boeing 777-200 was re-imagined to include a revenue-generating
casino lounge. The design aims to bring back the glamour of travel and to create a
social area where passengers could have a drink, watch TV, play blackjack and
engage in conversations with other passengers.
Source: Apex Editor’s Blog, 22/03/2013: http://blog.apex.aero/cabin-interior/pictures-sensory-design-meets-aircraft-interiors-casino-jet-lounge-
concept/
http://blog.apex.aero/cabin-interior/pictures-sensory-design-meets-aircraft-interiors-casino-jet-lounge-concept/
http://blog.apex.aero/cabin-interior/pictures-sensory-design-meets-aircraft-interiors-casino-jet-lounge-
concept/
Trolley Toppers to
‘Revolutionise’ In-fight Sales • Trolley Topper aims to improve considerably ancillary revenue by by
creating a shop window of all the goods on sale.
• The creators – Woodhouse Design – describe the product as “a clever
inflight display system that takes up no more lateral space than the width of
a trolley drawer”.
• Kenneth Griffiths, product design director at Woodhouse Design, explains
that Trolley Topper is like the displays positioned beside tills at
supermarkets, so it’s up to each airline to decide which products it will
showcase.
• The Trolley Topper comes naked for the airline to stock, depending on the
demographics of its passengers.
Source: Apex Editor’s Blog, 18/03/2013: http://blog.apex.aero/inflight-services-2/yettobelaunched-trolley-toppers-revolutionize-inflight-sales/
Trolley Toppers to
‘Revolutionise’ In-fight Sales • Bigger items, like bottles of spirits, sit in the actual drawer itself. Smaller
items like perfumes and makeup, sunglasses and toys, can hang in the front
and still be within the width of the trolley.
• Trolley Toppers can be also be used to enhance snack sales. Kenneth
Griffiths says ‘’ An airline can take on one extra pocket for sweets and crisps
and as the trolley comes towards the passenger, it’ll help boost impulse
onboard buys, especially if they haven’t had a chance to look through the
inflight magazine’’.
• Griffiths suggests that airlines use the blank space on the outside of the
pockets to sell advertising; the space is slightly larger than the size of a DL
envelope.
Source: Apex Editor’s Blog, 18/03/2013: http://blog.apex.aero/inflight-services-2/yettobelaunched-trolley-toppers-revolutionize-inflight-sales/
Trolley Toppers to ‘Revolutionise’ In-fight Sales
http://www.trolleytoppers.com/Trolley_Toppers_inflight_retail_Display/Trolley_Toppers_inflight_retail_display_system.html
The Business Jet
• In 2011 Boeing revealed its new business jet (747-8) which is reportedly the
‘latest technological jump for the company’ as well as the longest
commercial jet in the world.
• The cabin of the 747-8 is 6.1 meters wide and has up to 525 square meters
of floor-space - two or three times the size of an average house.
• The 747-8 Intercontinental is also the most expensive corporate jet in the
world. An empty747-8 costs around $300 million, but with a VIP fit-out the
price goes up to $500 million.
Source: CNN, 03/10/2011: http://travel.cnn.com/explorations/life/boeing-business-jets-816398
The Business Jet
http://travel.cnn.com/explorations/life/boeing-business-jets-816398
A conference room
The Business Jet
http://travel.cnn.com/explorations/life/boeing-business-jets-816398
Working in the sky…
The Business Jet
http://travel.cnn.com/explorations/life/boeing-business-jets-816398
In-flight Cocktails
• Travel (2013) reports that serving in-flight cocktails is a trend that more and
more airlines are taking on board.
• Travel comments that the magic begins at the airport lounges. At Heathrow
Terminal 3 and passengers can choose from the Taste By Appointment
menu, selecting a drink from five flavour profiles (sweet, sour, umami, bitter
and salt).
• In the air, Virgin Upper Class passengers can enjoy cocktails served seat-
side. A sleek onboard bar allows passengers to get up, stretch out and have
a chat with other passengers.
• Travel reports that Virgin is leading the way but is not the only airline
embracing in-flight cocktails.
Source: Travel, 29/03/2013: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/travel/ultratravel/9960636/In-flight-cocktails-Airlines-latest-innovation.html
In-flight Cocktails
Airlines serving cocktails in the air:
• All Nippon Airlines: In first- and business-class.
• British Airways: In first- and business-class, and on the all-business-class
London City to New York JFK service.
• Cathay Pacific: In first- and business-class.
• Emirates: In all classes.
• Singapore Airlines: In all classes.
• Virgin Atlantic: In Upper Class.
Source: Travel, 29/03/2013: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/travel/ultratravel/9960636/In-flight-cocktails-Airlines-latest-innovation.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/travel/ultratravel/9960636/In-flight-cocktails-Airlines-latest-innovation.html
Flying into the Future
• Jude Gomila, the co-founder of HeyZap, a gaming company, suggests nine
core areas that could be improved to improve the passenger experience.
• For example, Gomila states that airlines should learn from the shipping
industry and re-engineer planes so that people are pre-loaded into detached
air-conditioned cabins that would then be rolled onto the plane, thus
allowing passengers to “board” before the plane even arrives.
• More realistic ideas involve better seat design, including meshed chairs,
more localised temperature controls that are operated from a personal
display, and reading lights that don't spread onto a neighbour’s space.
• Gomila believes that armrest controls should be removed in favour of
Source: The Economist, 29/03/2013: http://www.economist.com/blogs/gulliver/2013/03/airline-innovation
Flying into the Future
• a high-resolution touchscreen and using magnets rather than a turn fob to
secure tray tables.
• Some of these ideas, or similar ones, appear to already be more than
plausible, judging by the finalists of the Crystal Cabin Award 2013 to he held
in Hamburg in April.
• Among the 21 products and concepts under consideration are a “stylish and
robust capacitive touchscreen” by Dornier Technologie Systems; a
lightweight, self-cleaning seat table integrated into the armrest by English
designers Acro Aircraft Seating; and ceiling panels reduce drafts and cabin
noise while improving mood lighting.
Source: The Economist, 29/03/2013: http://www.economist.com/blogs/gulliver/2013/03/airline-innovation
http://news.cnet.com/8301-1023_3-57577270-93/april-fools-2013-from-twttr-to-google-nose-to-nokias-microwave/
Eye Tracking and Gesture
Control
• The eye-tracking and gesture control system is controlled by a combination
of the passenger’s eye movements and hand motions.
• Passengers can navigate through the seat display menu options and select
entertainment and information preferences.
• The use of Eye Tracking and Hand Gesture Control technologies creates a
MMI (Man-Machine Interface), so that the passenger doesn’t have to look
down at a remote controller when making decisions.
Source: CNN, 03/04/2013: http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
Lufthansa Technik's Nice HD
System
• The HD system includes personal HD video at seat locations via ultra-thin,
and light-weight 7- or 10-inch pop-up HD displays.
• It offers several media interfaces (USB, Apple, HDMI), a multifunctional
"nice" HD media center unit that includes a Blu-ray player, media server,
Audio/Video on Demand (AVoD) server and a map server.
• All cabin functions can be intuitively controlled via a scroll-wheel with a
corresponding animated user Interface, a touchscreen control or a wireless
application on their iPhone or iPad.
Source: CNN, 03/04/2013: http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
Paperclip Design's Checkerboard
Convertible Seating System
• The system is designed for the short-haul market.
• The Checkboard is convertible between economy and business class
configurations, with the latter having extra width and an additional 8 inches
of legroom.
• CNN (2013) suggests that this gives airlines the the flexibility to adjust
cabin configuration for each flight to match variability in demand, allowing
them to maximize revenue.
Source: CNN, 03/04/2013: http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
HAW Hamburg's Big Lavatory
Concept
• CNN (2013) suggests that the BigLavC will be the first aircraft lavatory on
market customized to the needs of obese passengers.
• The new diagonal position of the toilet improves conventional aircraft
lavatories through increased comfort and space.
• A new toilet seat makes it safer and easier for wheelchair users to change
between wheelchair and toilet seat.
• CNN comments that for the first time it is possible to earn money with the
integrated infotainment display in the lavatory, which can be used for short
commercials to support sales during flights.
Source: CNN, 03/04/2013: http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
MERU's TravelChair
• The TravelChair offers comfortable, postural support for severely disabled
children.
• Weighing 6 kilograms, it fits in most airline seats and is secured with a strap
around the host seat. The chair also allows for the seat lap belt to be used
in the usual way, meeting aviation safety regulations.
• The TraveChair also folds in half to fit into the overhead locker when not in
use.
Source: CNN, 03/04/2013: http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
Zodiac Seats's Reversible Seat
• The Reversible Seat allows passengers to orient their seating in accord with
the size of their group. The underlying mechanism is designed to allow the
orientation of the seat to be reversed quickly and with minimal effort.
• The mechanism allows the flight crew to swing the backrest from the back
of the seat to the front while simultaneously reversing the angle of both the
backrest and seat cushion, and sliding the base-frame forward to enlarge
the shared foot area between the facing seats. A locking feature prevents
the seat from sliding into a new position unless intended.
Source: CNN, 03/04/2013: http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
TU Delft's Tray Table Cabinet
• The table cabinet is a substitute for regular tray tables – it can be can be
opened and passengers can store their phone, tablet or wallet in dedicated
compartments.
• The main features of the tray table cabinet are: compartments that have
space for at least a tablet, smart phone, wallet and keys; protective and
fixating foam rubber; openings for headphone wires; see-through bottom to
prevent passengers from forgetting their belongings and a USB-charging
output.
Source: CNN, 03/04/2013: http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
Boeing's Insulated Galley Cart
• The Insulated Galley Cart (IGC) allows airline operators to load cold food at
a catering facility and keep the food cold, both in transit to the aircraft and
for the length of the flight.
• The IGC eliminates the need for onboard refrigeration systems.
• This change in managing refrigerated food storage dramatically reduces
aircraft weight and airline operating costs, and improves aircraft
performance.
• In addition to monetary benefits, the weight savings reduce CO2 emissions
by hundreds of tons per year.
Source: CNN, 03/04/2013: http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
Lufthansa Technik's
ColourCurve
• The ColourCurve is the first non-electrical system that can be shaped to
follow any form, adapted to any interior design.
• Flowing shapes can be supported with 20 colors.
• This new ColourCurve consists of only two parts instead of the six of the
former system.
• One strip fits all, thus customers don't need different strips for galleys and
aisles, installation is easier, and spare parts are reduced. ColourCurve
achieves up to 8 kilograms/35% weight reduction (compared with former
products) over the life of the aircraft.
Source: CNN, 03/04/2013: http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
Dornier Technologie Systems'
Glass PCU
• This is a capacitive touch panel that gives each seat a modern and
sophisticated look.
• Developed by nd produced by Dornier Technologie Systems.
• It's customizable (size, shape, colors) and has homogeneous and selective
lighting .by using a specific light-guidance technology
Source: CNN, 03/04/2013: http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
Row 44's Live TV to Passengers'
Devices
• Row 44's Inflight WiFi Live Television lets passengers watch live TV
channels inflight on their smart phones, tablets, laptops and other Wi-Fi
devices.
• At the time of the product's roll-out in July 2012, Row 44 and launch
customer Southwest Airlines offered passengers a choice of several live
channels: CNBC, MSNBC, NBC Sports Network and others.
• This service can be made available to passengers as a separate Wi-Fi
offering, independent of Internet access.
Source: CNN, 03/04/2013: http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
TU Dresden's Concept Cabin
• Heavy mechanical parts are replaced by intelligent, flexible materials. Large
screens are nothing more than thin films.
• Hybrid OLED layers convert light into energy and small units and sensors
harvest energy by themselves through light and vibration - sufficient energy
for wireless communication with the IFE system.
• To give the passenger an impressive flight experience, the sidewall panels
are expanded with many 3D displays that provide a great picture of the
environment. Additionally, the view of the environment will be supplemented
by digital information about the region, of the mountains or the ocean below.
Source: CNN, 03/04/2013: http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4
http://travel.cnn.com/12-flight-innovations-keep-eye-out-013216?hpt=hp_c4