ROBUST WEIGHTED COMPOSITE INDICATORS BY MEANS OF...
Transcript of ROBUST WEIGHTED COMPOSITE INDICATORS BY MEANS OF...
Statistica Applicata - Italian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol. 23 (2) 259
1 Francesco Vidoli, email: [email protected] In this paper the adjectives “composite” and “synthetic” (referred to indicators) will be used
as synonymous terms.
ROBUST WEIGHTED COMPOSITE INDICATORS BY MEANSOF FRONTIER METHODS WITH AN APPLICATION TO
EUROPEAN INFRASTRUCTURE ENDOWMENT
Francesco Vidoli1, Claudio MazziottaDepartment of Political Sciences, University of Roma Tre, Rome, Italy
Received: 14th November 2012/ Accepted: 10th July 2013
Abstract. The aim of this paper is to systematically and consistently present several recentcontributions where we have tried to combine two fields: the construction of compositeindicators and the measurement of productive efficiency by means of frontier techniques.In particular, we propose correcting the classic Benefit of the Doubt approach index bymeans of a non-compensatory approach and introducing a more robust estimator usingorder-m techniques. Suggested methods have been tested with reference to infrastructureendowment in European regions.
Keywords: Composite indicators; Data Envelopment Analysis, Order-m frontier, Condi-tional order-m frontier.
1. INTRODUCTION
This contribution is part of a branch of works whose subject is construction of compos-
ite indicators (CIs) that are statistically representative of a specific phenomenon. More
precisely, in the wake of various products by the same authors (among the most recent,
see Mazziotta and Vidoli (2009) and Mazziotta et al. (2010), where the "phenomenon"
considered was infrastructure), the specific objective of this contribution is the testing of
the robustness of some construction methods of composite indicators, particularly those
that refer to approaches like DEA, especially the Benefit of the Doubt (BoD), which has
been mainly used in the above mentioned works.
In essence, what we are trying to do - and we believe this is an attempt at "originality"
- is to combine the potential arising from two different areas of analysis: on the one hand,
the construction of synthetic2 indicators; on the other, the application of efficient frontier
techniques. In both cases it deals with research fields that have experienced significant
260 Vidoli F., Mazziotta C.
3 See, among others, Aiello and Attanasio (2004), Nardo et al. (2005), Mazziotta et al. (2010).
methodological progress in recent years (for example, see Witte and Rogge, 2009), but
which, in our opinion, have not been sufficiently evaluated for their ability to provide more
accurate and solid results - compared to other methods of synthesis of simple indicators -
if used together.
The work is structured as follows: in Section 2 we recall briefly the issues relating to
the construction of synthetic indicators and the need/opportunity to introduce weights in
aggregating simple indicators; in Section 3 we refer briefly to the methodological bases
of the frontiers of production efficiency and we attempt to combine the two search fields,
i.e. weighted synthesis of simple indicators through approaches inspired by DEA and its
additional specifications; in Section 4, and in Section 5 for the conditional measures, we
examine the possibilities that the use of so-called order-m functions (non-compensatory
approaches) using efficiency measures to be able to give more stability to the estimates
(synthetic indicators) in relation to the use of other methods of synthesis; Section 6 is
devoted to empirical verification as previously worked under the methodological profile,
implemented through the application of different approaches considered with the synthe-
sis of simple infrastructure indicators of terrestrial transport (roads and railways) in the
NUTS1 level regions of major European countries; brief conclusions in Section 7 com-
plete the project.
2. FROM SIMPLE TO COMPOSITE INDICATORS: THE PROBLEM OFWEIGHTING
The need to make comparisons between the performance achieved in varied fields within
the same country or between different countries has made increasingly frequent recourse
to synthetic indicators, i.e. indicators that seek to represent, through some form of aggre-
gation, the set of phenomena for each of which it was elaborated and quantified a simple
indicator. Synthetic indicators are widely used for comparisons in the economic, social,
environmental, and production fields: the press continuously makes categories and rank-
ings based on this or that synthetic indicator of a complex phenomenon. These forms of
communication often neglect methodological aspects underlying the construction of syn-
thetic indicators, with the consequence of conferring results of absolute certainty. How-
ever, since the close correlation between (synthesis) methods used and results obtained is
quite evident - and largely accepted in literature3 - it is worthwhile to carefully examine
the specificity of the different possible approaches to the synthesis of simple indicators. In
particular, the issue to be analysed here concerns the allocation of weights in aggregating
simple indicators. Behind this problem is the need to recognise that individual compo-
nents to be represented through the synthetic indicator of the complex phenomenon have
Robust weighted composite indicators by means of frontier methods with … 261
4 Here we refer to the determination of the infrastructure through “physical” indicators, whichinevitably face problems related to standardisation, aggregation and weighting of indicators.For more details, see infra, Section 6.
5 http://composite-indicators.jrc.ec.europa.eu/S6\_weighting.htm6 For a complete review, see Freudenberg (2003) and Nardo et al. (2005) for major applications
and papers.7 Section 3.1 shows the analogous representation (Figure 2) for the CI obtained with the BoD
approach.
different levels of importance: for example, with reference to the infrastructure (the sub-
ject of the application given at the end of this paper), one wonders if in the construction
of its synthetic indicators it is correct to give the same importance to municipal roads
than highways within the same category (road transport) or, more importantly, if it is per-
missible to attribute the same importance to different infrastructure categories (transport,
water, energy, etc.)4. If it is easy to recognise the conceptual merits of the case, and thus
join the aggregation solution "weighted" simple indicators, it is much less easy to locate
a weighted synthesis method which is statistically correct and sufficiently robust.
Along such lines the Joint Research Centre of European Commission asserts that "nouniformly agreed methodology exists to weigh individual indicators before aggregatingthem into a composite indicator".5 Much wider-ranging literature is found regarding the
aggregation methods than for weight systems; however, the two aspects are related and
interwoven and often lead to the same solutions.
Among many approaches proposed in literature6, two relate to our purposes: i) BoD;
and ii) MPCV (Method of Penalty for Coefficient of Variation) proposed by De Muro
et al. (2010). The first approach (DEA techniques) have been used, among others, for
the European labor market analysis by Storrie and Bjurek (2000); for social inclusion
policies at the European Union level by Cherchye et al. (2004) and for internal market
policies by Cherchye et al. (2007). Similarly, some authors have suggested applying
DEA techniques to the Human Development Index (HDI): see Mahlberg and Obersteiner
(2001), Despotis (2005a,b), Cherchye et al. (2008). The second approach, starting with
a linear aggregation, emphasizes the non-compensability between indicators, introducing
penalties for units that present an unbalanced basic indicators set.
For greater clarity, we have simulated for each method proposed the calculation of
the CIs for two basic indicators I1, I2 ∈ [0,1]; for example in Figure 1 the CIs value by
the MPCV method that penalizes units with higher values for I1 and a lower I2 value (and
vice versa) is represented, by rewarding the "unbalanced" set7.
262 Vidoli F., Mazziotta C.
8 For an explanation of all steps, see Nardo et al. (2005).
Figure 1: MPCV distribution, source: simulation results
Several steps are involved in creating CIs: investigate the structure of simple indi-
cators by means of multivariate statistics, handling the problem of missing data that may
be missing either in a random or a non-random fashion, bringing the indicators to the
same unit to avoid adding up apples and pears by normalisation, and finally selecting an
appropriate weighting and aggregation model.8
Our analysis will focus only on the weighting and aggregation phase, that in the field
of CIs is of great importance and has yet to be fully developed.
3. BENEFIT OF THE DOUBT APPROACH
3.1. THE BASIC APPROACH
In the last decade productive efficiency has been widely analysed9 and estimated more
often by using two different approaches: parametric and nonparametric techniques. The
first one specifies a priori a functional form with constant parameters which are estimated
MPCV
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9 For a complete survey, see Fried and Lovell (2008).10 See Debreu (1951) and Farrell (1957).
with statistical and econometric methods. Hence for each observation, the measurement
of efficiency is calculated with reference to the function estimated, and the measure ob-
tained depends strictly on the functional form specified in advance. On the other hand,
nonparametric methods allow for the determination of the relative efficiency without hy-
pothesizing a particular production process and calculating the relative Decision Making
Unit (DMU)’s efficiency through linear programming. These latter methods appear flexi-
ble and close to the CI idea when the problem is designed as a relative maximum search
in a fixed set of data.
The basic productive efficiency framework considers a production technology where
the activity of each DMU is characterized by a set of inputs x ∈ Rp+ used to produce a set
of outputs y ∈ Rq+. The production set H is the set of technically feasible combinations
of (x,y):
Ψ = {(x,y) ∈ Rp+q|x can produce y} (1)
Ψ is the so-called support of H(x,y).Some assumptions are usually made on this set, such as the free disposability of
inputs and outputs, meaning that if (x,y) ∈ Ψ, then (x′,y′) ∈ Ψ, if x′ ≥ x and y′ ≤ y.
The Farrell-Debreu10 efficiency scores, in an input-oriented framework and for a given
production scenario (x,y) ∈ Ψ, are defined as:
θ(x,y) = inf{θ |(θx,y) ∈ Ψ}. (2)
In practice Ψ is unknown and as such, must be estimated from a random sample of
production units χ = {(Xi,Yi)|i = 1, ...n}, where we assume that Prob((Xi,Yi) ∈ Ψ) (so
called deterministic frontier models). The matter is related to the problem of estimating
the support of the random variable (X ,Y ) where Ψ is supposed to be compact.
The most popular nonparametric estimators are based on the Farrell-Debreu envel-
opment ideas; in an input-oriented approach, the Free Disposal Hull (FDH) estimator
(Deprins et al., 1984) is provided by the free disposal hull of the sample points X :
Ψ̂FDH = {(x,y) ∈ Rp+q|y < Yi,x ≥ Xi, i = 1, ...,n} (3)
The FDH efficiency scores are obtained by plugging Ψ̂FDH in equation (2) in place
of the unknown Ψ.
If Ψ is convex, take the convex hull of Ψ̂FDH :
264 Vidoli F., Mazziotta C.
Ψ̂DEA = {(x,y) ∈ Rp+q|y <n∑
i=1γiyi for (γ1, ..γn)
such thatn∑
i=1γi = 1;γi ≥ 0, i = 1, ...,n}
(4)
The application of ideas and techniques developed in the production efficiency field
to the CI is relatively simple because, as suggested by Witte and Rogge (2009), "theBenefit of the Doubt approach is formally tantamount to the original input-oriented CCR-DEA model of Charnes et al. (1978), with all questionnaire items considered as outputsand a dummy input equal to one for all observations."
So, the Farrell-Debreu efficiency scores (input oriented) for a given production sce-
nario (x,y) ∈ Ψ when x is constant and equal to 1 may be written as:
θ(x,y) = inf{θ |(θ ,y) ∈ Ψ} (5)
and consequently the FDH estimator is provided by the particular disposal hull of the
sample points:
Ψ̂FDH = {(�,y) ∈ R1+q|y < Yi, i = 1, ...,n}. (6)
Hypothesizing the convexity of Ψ, the convex hull of Ψ̂FDH can be named Ψ̂BoD in
accordance with Cherchye and Kuosmanen (2002):
Ψ̂BoD ={(�,y) ∈ R
1+q|y <n∑
i=1γiyii for (γ1, . . . ,γn)
such thatn∑
i=1γi = 1;γi ≥ 0, i = 1, . . . ,n
}.
(7)
In Figure 2 we plot the BoD distribution; it may be readily noted that the composite
score depends exclusively on the frontier’s distance and not, contrary to the MPCV, on
the relationship between simple indicators. In Subsection 3.3 we join BoD and MPCV
methods to overcome this drawback in a non-compensatory framework.
The main drawbacks are directly linked with the DEA solution: for example since
the weights are unit specific, cross-unit comparisons are not possible and the values of
the scoreboard depend on the benchmark performance. But with respect to the specific
problem of CIs, there are three more important drawbacks we will discuss specifically
in the following sections: the multiplicity of equilibria (see Subsection 3.2), the non-
compensability between indicators (see Subsection 3.3) and the estimation robustness
(see Section 4).
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11 More precisely we added an “Assurance regions”, type I (AR I), see Thanassoulis et al. (2004).
Figure 2: BoD distribution, source: simulation results
3.2. MULTIPLICITY OF EQUILIBRIA: VARIANCE WEIGHTED BOD
The first drawback discussed is the multiplicity of equilibria; equation (7), in fact, hiding
a problem of the multiple equilibria makes weights not uniquely determined (even though
the CI is unique). It is also worth noting that multiple solutions are likely to depend
upon the set of constraints imposed on the weights of the maximisation problem: the
wider the range of the variation of weights, the lower the possibility of obtaining a unique
solution. The optimisation process could lead to many zero weights if no restrictions on
the weights are imposed, so setting restrictions on weights is necessary for this method
to be of practical use. To fix this problem, many weighting schema in recent years have
been proposed (see for instance Makui et al., 2008 or Rogge, 2012) introducing additional
information (e.g. utility function) to the optimisation problem.
In 2009, following original methodology, we proposed (see Mazziotta and Vidoli,
2009) adding a particular set of weight constraints11 endogenously determined to account
for the variability of each simple indicator, in terms of sample variance of each indicator.
This solution, applied to the calculation of a synthetic indicator of infrastructure, is based
on the assumption, consistent with a policy aimed at balancing regional variability, that
BoD
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12 To bypass this assumption, future developments of this methodology may involve theanalysis of the Kernel density estimate of the simple indicators and their own sample variance.
13 For a complete survey about compensatory and non-compensatory approaches, see Vansnick(1990).
between simple indicators it should be interpreted as an index (negative) of the gap be-
tween the territorial units concerned. Our basic thesis involved weighing simple indicators
by their own sample variance; thus, indicators with a high variability will strongly affect
the composite indicator. However, there are consequences to this approach: our measure-
ment has to be read as a "gap indicator" among the unit characteristics. Our preliminary
hypothesis is that every single indicator Iq, q = 1, . . . ,Q is a probabilistic variable, having
a normal distribution12:
Iq ∼ N(µIq ,σIq
), ∀ q = 1, . . . ,Q. (8)
In this way the vertical variance of each indicator can be computed in a standard
probabilistic setting and the unbiased variance confidence interval is:
P
(n−1
χ2n−1,1−α/2
S2< σ2 <
n−1
χ2n−1,α/2
)= 1−α (9)
P(lowIq < σ2 < highIq
)= 1−α. (10)
Even when the underlying distribution is not normal, the procedure is still used to
obtain the approximate confidence bounds for the variance estimated. If the distribution
is not too far from the Normal one, the procedure is sufficiently robust and usually works
well. We can use lowIq and highIq for each indicator to reconstruct the marginal rates of
substitution among indicators:
lowIihighIj
≤ wIiwIj
≤ lowIj
highIi, ∀ i, j = 1, ...,Q. (11)
Contrasting the lower limit of the variance of the confidence interval with the maximum ofanother one assumes a "benefit of doubt" attitude, by not imposing an exact relationship
among weights, but thereby establishing a range in which every unit obtains the maximum
relative weight.
3.3. NON-COMPENSATORY BOD: BOD-PCV
When proceeding to the synthesis of simple indicators, whatever the shape chosen, one
must address the issue of compensability, namely: to what extent can we accept that
the high score of an indicator go to compensate the low score of another indicator? In
the field dealt with here (infrastructure), the problem arises with reference to different
Robust weighted composite indicators by means of frontier methods with … 267
Figure 3: BoD-PCV distribution, source: simulation results
possible variabilities of indicators relating to the individual categories. In other words,
one wonders whether, and to what extent, it is correct for example that a large supply of
water resources go to offset a modest section of highways, and so on.
The problem is intertwined with the issue of attribution of weights. Munda and
Nardo (2005) affirm the "if one wants the weights to be interpreted as “importance co-efficients” (or equivalently symmetrical importance of variables) non-compensatory ag-gregation procedures must be used"13.
To overcome the "compensatory" drawback, we can easily incorporate the De Muro
et al. (2010) idea in the basic BoD model, assuming that each indicator may not be re-
placed by others or is replaced only in part. According to this hypothesis, the method
involves introducing a penalty for units that have not balanced a budget for all compo-
nents, such as:
BoD_PCVi = BoDi(1− cv2i ), ∀ i = 1, ...,N (12)
where cv2i represents the coefficient of variation for the unit i between all indicators. This
approach, therefore, allows for the penalisation of the units that, while having an equal
BoD score, have a greater imbalance among indicators (see Figure 3).
Bod−PCV
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Figure 4: BoD-PCV distribution in presence of outliers, source: simulation results
With respect to the individual BoD and MPCV approaches, the BoD-PCV approach
has two advantages: (i) it consistently takes into account the benchmark units on the
frontier, and (ii) at the same time, in the case of non-compensatory issues, it penalises the
presence of unbalanced data.
It is moreover worth noting that BoD-PCV model (see Figure 4 in which we added
the presence of an outlier), is logically and strongly influenced by outliers in the simple
indicators. This problem is connected with the drawback of the estimate robustness, dealt
in the following subsection.
4. ROBUST BOD: ORDER-m METHODS APPLICATION TO CIS
The latest main drawbacks of DEA/FDH nonparametric estimators is their sensitivity to
extreme values and outliers. Even in this case we can exploit specific methods devel-
oped for the estimation of production efficiency, in particular the robust order-m method
(Daraio and Simar, 2005); in the following, the basic idea is presented and then the mo-del explained in detail.
In this context, Cazals et al. (2002) proposed a more robust nonparametric estimator
of the frontier. It is based on the concept of the expected minimum input function of
Bod−PCV − with outlier
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order-m. Extending these ideas to the full multivariate case, Daraio and Simar (2005)
defined the concept of the expected order-m input efficiency score. They affirmed that:
"in place of looking for the lower boundary of the support of FX (x|y), as was typically thecase for the full-frontier (DEA or FDH), the order-m efficiency score can be viewed as theexpectation of the minimal input efficiency score of the unit (x,y), when compared to munits randomly drawn from the population of units producing more outputs than the levely."
We extend Daraio and Simar (2005)’s idea into CIs framework by drawing with
replacement m observations from the original sample of n observations and choosing only
from those observations which are obtaining higher performance scores (I1, I2) - grey lines- than the evaluated observation (see observation C in the Figure 5).
In other words, and practically speaking:
• We draw m observation only from those observations which are obtaining higher
performance scores than the evaluated observation C;
• We label this set as SETtm;
• We estimate BoD scores relative to this subsample SETtm for T times (see Figure
6);
• Having obtained the T scores, we compute the arithmetic average.
Figure 5: The support of unit C
270 Vidoli F., Mazziotta C.
This is certainly a less extreme benchmark for the unit C than the "absolute" maxi-
mum achievable level of output. C is compared to a set of m peers (potential competitors)
producing more than its level and we take, as a benchmark, the expectation of the maxi-
mum achievable CI in place of the absolute maximum CI.
More accurately, Daraio and Simar (2005) propose (for a more complete theoretical
summary see Daraio and Simar, 2007a and Fried and Lovell, 2008) a probabilistic formu-
lation of efficiency concepts, assuming that the Data Generating Process (DGP) of (X ,Y )is completely characterized by:
HXY (x,y) = Prob(X ≤ x,Y ≥ y) (13)
so HXY (x,y) can be interpreted as the probability for a unit operating at the level (x,y)of being dominated. Note that it is monotone non-decreasing with x and monotone non-
increasing with y. This joint probability can be decomposed as follows (yet in a input-
oriented framework):
HXY (x,y) = Prob(X ≤ x|Y ≥ y)Prob(Y ≥ y) = SX |Y (x|y)FY (y). (14)
Figure 6: Subsamples
An input oriented efficiency score θ̂(x,y) for (x,y) ∈ Ψ is defined for all y values
with FY (y)> 0 as
θ̂(x,y) = inf{θ |(θx0,y0) ∈ Ψ}= inf{θ |H(θx,y)> 0}. (15)
Robust weighted composite indicators by means of frontier methods with … 271
Applying Daraio and Simar (2005)’s ideas to the particular case of composite indi-
cators, equation (13) can be written:
H(x,y) = Prob(X ≡ 1,Y ≥ y) (16)
where Ψ is the support of H(x,y).
So Farrell-Debreu (input) efficiency score, since Prob(X ≡ 1|Y ≥ y) = 1 can be
written as:
H(x,y) = Prob(X ≡ 1|Y ≥ y)Prob(Y ≥ y) = FY (y) (17)
θ(1,y0) = inf{θ |(θ ,y0) ∈ Ψ}= inf{θ |H(θ ,y)> 0}. (18)
The effects of the introduction of order-m methods can be appreciated in the Figure 7and 8, respectively for BoD and BoD-PCV distribution.
Figures 7: Order-m BoD distribution in presence of outliers, source: simulation results
Order−m − with outlier
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Figure 8: OrderBoD-PCV distribution in presence of outliers, source: simulation results
5. CONDITIONAL ROBUST BOD (CONDITIONAL ORDER-m METHODS AP-PLICATION TO CIS)
Using the probabilistic formulation, Cazals et al. (2002) also suggested a conditional effi-ciency approach, which includes external environmental factors that might influence the
production process, but are neither inputs nor outputs under the control of the producer.
Daraio and Simar (2005) extended these ideas to a more general multivariate setup and
proposed a practical methodology to evaluate the effect of environmental variables in the
production process. Later, an extension to convex nonparametric models was proposed
by Daraio and Simar (2007b) and also a significant number of works has been done to
prove the consistency and the asymptotic properties of different conditional efficiency
estimators (see Jeong et al., 2010).
The conditional efficiency approach consists of conditioning (for simplicity, we re-
port only a univariate case) the production process to a given value of Z = z, where Zdenotes a variable characterising the operational environment. The joint probability func-
tion given Z = z can be defined as:
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HXY |Z(x,y) = Prob(X ≤ x,Y ≥ y|Z = z)= Prob(X ≤ x|Y ≥ y,Z = z)Prob(Y ≥ y|Z = z)= SX |Y,Z(x|y,z)FY (y|z).
(19)
Daraio and Simar (2005), by analogy with the output Farrell efficiency score, define
the conditional output efficiency measure:
θ̂(x,y|z) = inf{θ |(θx0,y0|z) ∈ Ψ}= inf{θ |H(θx,y|z)> 0}. (20)
To reduce the deterministic nature, again instead of using the full support of S(x|y,z)we can use the expected value of maximum output efficiency score of the unit (x,y), when
compared to m units randomly drawn from the population of units for which X ≤ x. Like
the unconditional order-m efficiencies, conditional efficiency measure λm(x,y|z) can be
expressed using the following integral:
λm(x,y|z) =∫ ∞
0[1− (1−SX |Y,Z(ux|y,z))m]du. (21)
Estimating SX |Y,Z non-parametrically is somewhat more difficult than it is for the
unconditional case, as we need to use smoothing techniques in z (due to the equality
constraint Z = z).
Witte and Kortelainen (2008) proposed adapting the nonparametric conditional effi-
ciency measures to include mixed (i.e. both continuous and discrete) exogenous variables
by specifying an appropriate kernel function which smooths the mixed variables.
The conditional output efficiency measure (X ≡ 1) can be expressed as:
θ̂(x,y|z) = inf{θ |(θ ,y0|z) ∈ Ψ}= inf{θ |H(θ ,y|z)> 0}. (22)
6. AN APPLICATION TO THE INFRASTRUCTURE ENDOWMENT IN EURO-PEAN REGIONS
Like previous works (Mazziotta and Vidoli, 2009; Mazziotta et al., 2010), the proposed
new approach concerning the construction of CIs has been applied to infrastructure en-
dowment. As already mentioned, the problems associated with the construction of CI
arise where it is preferable to quantify the level of infrastructure through physical indi-
cators, and not, as is frequently done, based on monetary indicators of public capital,
generally reconstructed through the perpetual inventory method. Our opinion is that the
correct approach for an estimate of infrastructure at the territorially disaggregated level,
especially in Italy with its diverging development between north and south, should be
based only on simple physical indicators (kilometres of roads, cubic meters of water,
MW of electricity, etc.). The reasons for this position are described in detail in Mazziotta
(2005) and more succinctly, in Bracalente et al. (2006).
274 Vidoli F., Mazziotta C.
14 The most appropriate level for an effective analysis of infrastructure should be that concerningthe NUTS2 regions (in Italy, 20 regions) or even NUTS3 (in Italy, the provinces). Here, giventhe methodological character of the application, it is considered satisfactory to operate evenat a territorially more aggregate level, such as NUTS 1.
15 http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/statistics/themes,Regional transport statistics (reg_tran).
In the present paper we have limited the analysis to terrestrial transport infrastructure
(roads and railways) for the following reasons: i) the relevance of this type of infrastruc-
ture in any regional development strategy; ii) coherence with some previous applications
(Mazziotta et al., 2010); and iii) the opportunity of following the same pattern shown in
the methodological part of this paper, in particular in Figures 1 to 8, where two dimensions
(that is, two infrastructure categories) have been considered.
Because the purpose of this paper is essentially methodological, the application and
the related results serve mostly as an empirical example, as opposed to an effective analy-
sis of infrastructure endowment. In any case, we believe the results attained are very use-
ful to verify the robustness of the proposed methods concerning the construction of CIs.
The following methods have been considered: BoD, BoD-PCV, Order-m BoD, Order-mBoD-PCV (for the meaning of these acronyms, see previous Sections).
The application concerns two main categories of terrestrial transport: roads (sepa-
rately, motorways and other roads) and railways (separately, electrified railways lines and
railways lines double). The data set includes NUTS1 regions14 of main European coun-
tries (in terms of population and GDP): France, Germany, Italy, Spain. Unlike other
works (Di Palma and Mazziotta, 2003), the United Kingdom has been omitted, due to lack
of data concerning railways. Source of data base: Eurostat, Statistics by theme, 201215.
More specifically, we used the following basic indicators:
• Motorways - Kilometres per 1000 km2;
• Other roads - Kilometres per 1000 km2;
• Electrified railway lines Kilometres per 1000 km2;
• Railway lines with double and more tracks - Kilometres per 1000 km2.
and the relative indicators have been calculated as:
IRoads =2 ·Motorways+Other roads
3
ITrains =2 ·Railway lines double+Electrified railway lines
3
(23).
Robust weighted composite indicators by means of frontier methods with … 275
16 In order to highlight the correspondence of the obtained results with the methodological partof the paper, Figures 9, 10, 11 and 12 propose the same framework that was used in previousSections. In fact, the results are represented by points corresponding to the infrastructureindicators in European regions, while the framework is only indicative of the virtual patternof each considered approach.
The main results of the application (see Figures16 9, 10, 11 and 12 and Table 1) are
the following:
• The four above mentioned approaches produce four corresponding rankings of
considered European regions. The cograduation index (Spearman Index, see Ta-
ble 1) shows the distance between such rankings. This distance is greater in the
comparison between the original BoD approach and the revised BoD approach by
means of MPCV index. Evidently, the correction introduced in the construction of
CIs by non-compensatory approach gives more changes in ranking than the cor-
rection caused by the order-m approach;
• Two regions are always on the top of the ranking: Berlin (the first region for rail-
ways) and Ile de France (the first region for roads). Their endowment level is
always much more elevated in comparison to all the remaining areas: this situation
produces a "crushing effect" that risks flattening the position of the other regions.
The correction introduced by the order-m approach mitigates this effect and high-
lights the differences among the infrastructure levels of the considered regions.
From this point of view the order-m approach can be considered an improvement
in regard to the other methods (BoD and MPCV);
• With reference to Italian regions, their ranking is not notably influenced by dif-
ferent approaches: north-east is always in the first half position, north-west and
central are at the beginning of second half, and south and the islands are located at
the bottom part of the ranking.
Table 1: Spearman index for different approaches of construction ofcomposite indicators
Approaches BoD BoD-PCV Order-m BoD Order-m BoD-PCV
BoD 1
BoD-PCV 0.78 1
Order-m BoD 0.89 0.92 1
Order-m BoD-PCV 0.70 0.93 0.93 1
276 Vidoli F., Mazziotta C.
Figure 9: European infrastructure endowment - BoD method,source: elaboration on EUROSTAT data
Figure 10: European infrastructure endowment - Order-m BoD method,source: elaboration on EUROSTAT data
Table 2 in Annex shows the complete results for NUTS1 regions.
Roads
Trains
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
●●
●
●
●●
●
●●
●
●
●
●●
●●●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●●●
●●●
●●
●●
GE−BWGE−BAY
GE−BER
GE−BRA
GE−BREGE−HA
GE−HE
GE−MEGE−NI
GE−NW
GE−RP
GE−SAA
GE−SACGE−SCA
GE−SCHGE−THUSP−NOR
SP−MAD
SP−CEN
SP−EST
SP−SUR
FR−PAR
FR−BAS
FR−NPC
FR−ESTFR−OUEFR−SOU
FR−CESFR−MEDIT−NOV
IT−NESIT−CEN
IT−SUDIT−ISO
Roads
Trains
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.60.6
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.70.7
0.80.80.8
0.80.8
0.8
0.80.8
0.8
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9 0.90.90.90.9
0.9
0.9
0.90.9
0.90.90.9
0.90.9
1.01.0
1.01.01.0
1.01.0
1.01.01.0
1.01.0
1.0
1.0
1.01.0
1.01.0
1.0
1.01.0
1.01.0
1.0
1.1
1.1 1.11.1 1.1
1.1
1.1 1.1
1.11.11.11.1
1.11.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.11.1
1.1
1.11.11.1
1.11.11.1
1.11.11.1
1.1
1.11.1
1.1 1.1
1.1
1.21.21.21.21.21.21.21.2
1.21.21.21.21.21.21.21.2
1.21.21.21.2
1.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
��
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��
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�
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��
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�
�
�
�
�
�
�
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��
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GE−BWGE−BAY
GE−BER
GE−BRA
GE−BREGE−HA
GE−HE
GE−MEGE−NI
GE−NW
GE−RP
GE−SAA
GE−SACGE−SCA
GE−SCHGE−THUSP−NOR
SP−MAD
SP−CEN
SP−EST
SP−SUR
FR−PAR
FR−BAS
FR−NPC
FR−EST
FR−OUEFR−SOU
FR−CESFR−MED
IT−NOVIT−NES
IT−CENIT−SUD
IT−ISO
Robust weighted composite indicators by means of frontier methods with … 277
Figure 12: European infrastructure endowment - Order-m BoD-PCV method,source: elaboration on EUROSTAT data
Figure 11: European infrastructure endowment - BoD-PCV method,source: elaboration on EUROSTAT data
Roads
Trains
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
−0.4−0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
��
�
�
��
�
��
�
�
�
��
���
�
�
�
�
�
�
�
�
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��
��
��
�
GE−BWGE−BAY
GE−BER
GE−BRA
GE−BREGE−HA
GE−HE
GE−MEGE−NI
GE−NW
GE−RP
GE−SAA
GE−SACGE−SCA
GE−SCHGE−THUSP−NOR
SP−MAD
SP−CEN
SP−EST
SP−SUR
FR−PAR
FR−BAS
FR−NPC
FR−EST
FR−OUEFR−SOU
FR−CESFR−MED
IT−NOVIT−NES
IT−CENIT−SUD
IT−ISO
Roads
Trains
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
−0.4
−0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.6
0.6
0.60.6
0.6
0.60.6
0.6
0.60.6
0.6
0.8
0.8
0.80.8
0.80.8
1.0
1.01.0
1.01.0
1.0
1.01.01.01.0
1.01.01.0
1.0
1.0
1.2
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
��
�
�
��
�
��
�
�
�
��
���
�
���
�
�
�
�
����
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��
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GE−BWGE−BAY
GE−BER
GE−BRA
GE−BREGE−HA
GE−HE
GE−MEGE−NI
GE−NW
GE−RP
GE−SAA
GE−SACGE−SCA
GE−SCHGE−THUSP−NOR
SP−MAD
SP−CENSP−ESTSP−SUR
FR−PAR
FR−BAS
FR−NPC
FR−EST
FR−OUEFR−SOUFR−CESFR−MED
IT−NOVIT−NES
IT−CENIT−SUD
IT−ISO
278 Vidoli F., Mazziotta C.
7. FINAL REMARKS
In this paper we have presented several new approaches for the construction of CIs. In
particular, two objectives were pursued: i) the correction of the BoD index by means of a
non-compensatory approach; and ii) the introduction of the order-m approach as a more
robust estimator in the field of nonparametric frontier techniques.
For the first objective, we attempted to integrate BoD the index using a non-compensatory
approach, introducing a penalty for unbalanced simple indicators in the construction of
composite indicators. The resulting approach (BoD-PCV) presents two advantages: it
takes into account the benchmark units on the frontier (peculiarity of BoD), and at the
same time penalises the presence of the unbalanced simple indicators (peculiarity of
MPCV).
For the second objective, we introduced the concept of the expected minimum input
function of order-m in the construction of composite indicators which is relevant overall
in the presence of outliers in a frontier framework. This approach has been applied with
reference to both synthesis methods indicated above (BoD and Bod-PCV), obtaining a
more robust estimation of CIs.
Finally, these approaches were tested with reference to infrastructure endowment in
European regions (terrestrial transport). The obtained results confirm the improvement in
the robustness of CIs by the introduction of order-m technique.
Robust weighted composite indicators by means of frontier methods with … 279A
NN
EX
Tabl
e2:
Eur
opea
nN
UT
S1tr
ansp
orti
nfra
stru
ctur
eby
com
posi
tein
dica
tors
(GE
=G
erm
any)
NU
TS
1A
BB
RR
oad
sT
rain
sB
oD
Ran
kO
rder
-mR
ank
BoD
Ran
kO
rder
-mR
ank
PC
VP
CV
1B
aden
-Würt
tem
ber
gG
E-B
W0,2
69977
0,0
99161
0,3
278
19
0,5
922
16
0,0
964
17
0,3
608
14
2B
ayer
nG
E-B
AY
0,3
06017
0,0
6684
0,3
313
18
0,4
933
20
0,0
106
22
0,1
726
23
3B
erli
nG
E-B
ER
0,0
29957
11,0
000
11,5
877
10,5
291
21,1
168
2
4B
randen
burg
GE
-BR
A0,1
42258
0,0
82735
0,2
213
29
0,4
529
24
0,0
890
19
0,3
206
17
5B
rem
enG
E-B
RE
00,5
58577
0,5
656
90,9
208
50,0
656
20
0,4
208
10
6H
amburg
GE
-HA
0,0
19104
0,5
77879
0,5
970
81,1
082
40,1
290
13
0,6
402
6
7H
esse
nG
E-H
E0,2
59806
0,1
36359
0,3
554
15
0,7
533
12
0,1
996
11
0,5
975
8
8M
eckle
nburg
-Vorp
om
mer
nG
E-M
E0,1
29653
0,0
3862
0,1
710
34
0,2
930
32
-0,0
995
27
0,0
226
27
9N
ieder
sach
sen
GE
-NI
0,2
32777
0,0
65871
0,2
701
23
0,4
589
23
-0,0
093
23
0,1
795
22
10
Nord
rhei
n-W
estf
alen
GE
-NW
0,3
66046
0,1
71969
0,4
646
12
0,8
723
80,2
842
80,6
920
5
11
Rhei
nla
nd-P
falz
GE
-RP
0,3
07169
0,0
83764
0,3
400
17
0,5
324
19
0,0
543
21
0,2
466
20
12
Saa
rlan
dG
E-S
AA
0,2
06084
0,1
80603
0,3
585
14
0,8
786
60,3
256
40,8
456
4
13
Sac
hse
nG
E-S
AC
0,2
27573
0,0
99669
0,2
980
22
0,5
843
18
0,1
026
16
0,3
889
13
14
Sac
hse
n-A
nhal
tG
E-S
CA
0,1
56778
0,0
90421
0,2
388
28
0,4
818
21
0,1
046
15
0,3
475
16
15
Sch
lesw
ig-H
ols
tein
GE
-SC
H0,1
88423
0,0
38911
0,2
180
30
0,3
190
30
-0,1
108
30
-0,0
099
29
16
Thüri
ngen
GE
-TH
U0,1
82386
0,0
39589
0,2
122
31
0,3
340
29
-0,1
094
29
0,0
124
28
280 Vidoli F., Mazziotta C.
Tabl
e3:
Eur
opea
nN
UT
S1tr
ansp
orti
nfra
stru
ctur
eby
com
posi
tein
dica
tors
(SP
=Sp
ain,
FR=
Fran
ce,I
T=
Ital
y)
NU
TS
1A
BB
RR
oad
sT
rain
sB
oD
Ran
kO
rder
-mR
ank
BoD
Ran
kO
rder
-mR
ank
PC
VP
CV
17
Nore
ste
(ES
)S
P-N
OR
0,1
63
03
10
,01
66
51
0,1
93
53
30
,26
10
33
-0,2
138
32
-0,1
463
32
18
Com
unid
adde
Mad
rid
SP
-MA
D0
,11
78
44
0,1
24
93
20
,24
34
27
0,6
25
91
50,2
288
90,6
113
7
19
Cen
tro
(ES
)S
P-C
EN
0,3
20
09
10
,00
02
66
0,3
44
91
60
,39
52
27
-0,1
543
31
-0,1
039
31
20
Est
e(E
S)
SP
-ES
T0
,22
45
99
0,0
37
34
40
,25
29
26
0,3
47
02
8-0
,1045
28
-0,0
104
30
21
Sur
(ES
)S
P-S
UR
0,2
26
07
30
0,2
54
32
50
,30
28
31
-0,2
457
33
-0,1
972
33
22
Île
de
Fra
nce
FR
-PA
R1
0,2
60
49
91
,00
00
11
,54
88
20,7
067
11,2
555
1
23
Bas
sin
Par
isie
nF
R-B
AS
0,7
25
78
60
,05
04
61
0,7
35
76
0,8
76
67
0,3
007
50,4
416
9
24
Nord
-P
as-d
e-C
alai
sF
R-N
PC
0,7
83
83
70
,14
66
13
0,7
91
73
1,2
01
53
0,4
493
30,8
591
3
25
Est
(FR
)F
R-E
ST
0,5
45
97
30
,06
76
11
0,5
62
51
10
,74
30
13
0,1
727
12
0,3
532
15
26
Oues
t(F
R)
FR
-OU
E0
,75
22
74
0,0
28
69
70
,76
13
40
,87
03
10
0,2
980
60,4
071
12
27
Sud-O
ues
t(F
R)
FR
-SO
U0
,67
21
86
0,0
14
04
40
,68
41
70
,78
86
11
0,2
046
10
0,3
091
19
28
Cen
tre-
Est
(FR
)F
R-C
ES
0,7
29
35
10
,03
74
98
0,7
39
25
0,8
71
89
0,2
881
70,4
207
11
29
Méd
iter
ranée
FR
-ME
D0
,54
76
72
0,0
25
48
50
,56
41
10
0,6
65
51
40,1
086
14
0,2
099
21
30
Nord
-Oves
tIT
-NO
V0
,27
88
08
0,0
61
89
10
,30
51
21
0,4
67
52
2-0
,0132
24
0,1
491
24
31
Nord
-Est
IT-N
ES
0,3
35
54
0,0
95
59
10
,37
13
13
0,5
87
61
70,0
930
18
0,3
093
18
32
Cen
tro
(IT
)IT
-CE
N0
,23
56
69
0,0
60
78
60
,26
74
24
0,4
10
72
6-0
,0276
25
0,1
157
25
33
Sud
IT-S
UD
0,2
80
23
30
,03
39
62
0,3
06
52
00
,43
08
25
-0,0
854
26
0,0
389
26
34
Isole
IT-I
SO
0,1
70
49
30
,00
03
78
0,2
00
73
20
,24
32
34
-0,2
971
34
-0,2
546
34
Robust weighted composite indicators by means of frontier methods with … 281
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