Risk Management. 2 Policy and planning Key Messages Assess all likely risks, be prepared and...
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Transcript of Risk Management. 2 Policy and planning Key Messages Assess all likely risks, be prepared and...
Risk Management
2Policy and planning
Key MessagesKey MessagesAssess all likely risks, be prepared and practice.
Structure the risk management process simply and avoid too much complexity.
Include people from all government sectors & civil society.
Clarify lines of authority & communication, and practice.
Ensure top level management support and commitment.
3Policy and planning
Natural Disasters in Mongolia 1980 - 2010
Drought
Epidemic
Extreme Temperature
Flood
Storm
Wildfire
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
4Policy and planning
Number of events 23
Number of people killed 268
Average killed per year 9
No of people affected 3,259,092
Average affected per year 105,132
Economic Damage (MNT X 1,000,000) 3,505,916
Economic Damage per year (MNT X 1,000,000) 113,094
Natural Disasters in Mongolia 1980 - 2010
5Policy and planning
Natural Disasters in Mongolia 1980 - 2010
Drought 13.8%
Extreme Temperature 23.6%
Storm 61.7%
People affected: 3,259,092
6Policy and planning
Risk reduction and emergency preparedness are the responsibility of all sectors at all levels, and of all national actors
Risk reduction and emergency preparedness are part of the development process.
An all-hazard approach is essential
Emergency preparedness requires a multisectoral approach.
Risk management principles
7Policy and planning
Prepare for the full range of likely risks: natural, biological, technological and societal
Different hazards cause similar problems Planning, early warning, health services,
evacuation, intersectoral coordination, and community recovery are usually implemented along the same model regardless of cause.
All-Hazard approach
8Policy and planning
dealing with death and injury; coordination, information and support services environmental health: water & sanitation nutrition maternal, newborn and child health communicable diseases control management of chronic diseases & mental health pharmaceuticals and biologicals health care delivery services
Emergency preparedness plans must include:
Features of Risk Events
Impact• The extent of the negative effect of
the event.
Likelihood• The anticipated frequency of this
event.
Controllable• The extent to which the source of
risk is under the control of the community.
Structural
• The extent to which risk events arise from the functional design and the strategic relationships between decision-makers and actors.
Operational• The extent to which risk events arise
from day-to-day decision-making and activities.
10Policy and planning
Assessing Risk
Risk is proportional to: Hazard x Vulnerability
Level of Preparedness
Leadership for Risk Management
STEP 1: Risk Content andIdentification
STEP 2: Risk
Assessment
STEP 3:Risk
Treatment
STEP 4:Risk & Performance
Monitoring
STEP 5:Incident Handling
●Define the context of the supply chain, (funding, product, classification, target population)
●Identify sources of risk
●Recruit stakeholders
●Analyze likelihood and impact
●Develop consensus
●Select priority areas
●Select response strategies (accepting, avoiding, reducing, hedging)
●Develop a risk treatment plan
●Review sources of information
●Collect information on high-priority areas
●Select a quick response team
●Monitor incidents
●Develop specific and general contingency plans
●Document lessons learned
12Policy and planning
What can go wrong in management of risk or an emergency?What can go wrong in management of risk or an emergency?Unclear lines of authority - quickly need to set up a
structure for who is responsible.
Unclear communication - who is responsible for talking to the public, to the press, to higher ups in the government
Transparency - as Shakespeare says 'the truth will out' - it is better for you to out it than for someone else to
Practice/simulation – in the recent Korean ferry disaster, with hundreds of deaths, the crews have never practiced or been trained in how to deal with an emergency – don’t let that happen in your Aimag!
13Policy and planning
Be ready to deal with likely risksBe ready to deal with likely risksAssess all likely risks, be prepared and practice.
Structure the risk management process simply and avoid too much complexity.
Include people from all government sectors & civil society.
Clarify lines of authority & communication, and practice.
Ensure top level management support and commitment.
