Richard Kennedy (AFBI) The Bush

7/22/2019 Richard Kennedy (AFBI) The Bush

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2/47

Glmtjmts

Xbj Tkvjr Dusb ns n olmktlrjh rkvjr.

Vrjssurjs lm tbj Tkvjr Dusb sncolm stlge.

Jmbnmgjojmt lm tbj Tkvjr Dusb, bkstlry, rntklmncj

& onmnajojmt ld`jgtkvjs.

Tjvkjw li jmbnmgjojmt ngtkvktkjs.


3/47

86 6 86 Okcjs

M

JQ

W

Onkm Wncolm Vrlhugkma Tkvjrs Km M. KrjcnmhTkvjr Dusb


4/47

Dusb TkvjrCjmatb 91 eo

Gntgbojmt Nrjn 786eo4

: eo

Tkvjr Dusb

Wncolm

Wtntklm


5/47

Tkvjr Dusb Wncolm Wtntklm

Ingkckty jstndcksbjh km >;17-8.

N sjrkjs li upstrjno/hlwmstrjno trnps wjrj

sjt up nt tbj stntklm (Nhuct/Wolct).

N sjrkjs li clma tjro hntndnsjs lm sncolm

survkvnc jstndcksbjh.

Lmj li rjcntkvjcy ijw clma tjro olmktlrkma

stntklms ngrlss tbj Ntcnmtkg dnskm.


6/47

WOLCX XTNV

NHZCX XTNV


7/47

Jxtjmskvj

Nmmunc

Jcjgtrliksbkma


8/47

LYN

NCJYKM

VNTT

WOLCX

VLWX WOLCX

NHZCX

Xbj glopcjtj

Ntcnmtkg WncolmCkijgygcj ks

olmktlrjh lm tbj

Tkvjr Dusb stlge.


9/47

Vrjssurjs nmh Gbnccjmajs tl Wncolm

Vrlhugtklm lm tbj Tkvjr Dusb


10/47

Vrjssurjs lm Irjsbwntjr Vrlhugtklm

Bndktnt Kssujs

Nrtjrknc Hrnkmnaj Wgbjoj.

Jxgjsskvj wjjh arlwtb5 hjarnhntklm li

spnwmkma bndktnts.

Kmtjmskvj narkgucturnc prngtkgjs.

Hjarnhntklm li tbj rkpnrknm zlmj.

Tjhugtklm km bndktnt qunckty >;26s->;;6s.


11/47

6

:6666

>66666

>:6666

4666664:6666

766666

7:6666

866666

8:6666

m> m4 m7 tltnc

Nrjno-4

Bndktnt Gntjalry

T. Dusb @uvjmkcj Wncolmkh BndktntCkij Gygcj Zmkt

(Mursjry) Gntjalrkjs

>;27

>;;2


12/47

NTXJTKNC

HTNKMNAJ


13/47

JRGJWWKYJ QJJH

ATLQXB


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Vrjssurjs lm Irjsbwntjr Vrlhugtklm

- Vrjhntklm

On`lr kssujs wktb nvknm prjhntklm.

Ejmmjhy & Arjjr (>;22)

jstkontjh tltnc hnkcy prjhntklm dy

glrolrnmts lm tbj Tkvjr Dusb tlrnmaj g. 9:7->4>8 solcts km cntj

Nprkc/jnrcy Ony.

Vltjmtknc nmmunc prjhntklm rntjs g.:>-99% li tbj tltnc solct rum.

Ml. li drjjhkma pnkrs li glrolrnmts lm Wbjjp Kscnmh (Ejmmjhy &Arjjr, >;22)


17/47

Xbj Kopngt li tbjsj

Vrjssurjs lm tbj Tkvjr Dusb

Wncolm Wtlge.....


18/47

Tkvjr Dusb Wolct Tum >;17->;;9

6

:666

>6666

>:666

46666

4:666

76666

7:666

86666

>;1:

>;19

>;11

>;12

>;1;

>;26

>;2>

>;24

>;27

>;28

>;2:

>;29

>;21

>;22

>;2;

>;;6

>;;>

>;;4

>;;7

>;;8

>;;:

Qkchso

lcts

[jnr


19/47

>;27 6+ Wncolm Wurvjy

W^ Gntjalry


20/47

W^ Gntjalry

>;;9 6+ Wncolm Wurvjy


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6

>

4

7

8

:

9

okccklm

jaas

yjnr

T. Dusb Qkch Lvn Hjplsktklm & Glopcknmgj

wktb Glmsjrvntklm Ckokt

GC


22/47

Jmbnmgjojmt Vcnm

Jmbnmgjojmt stlge uskmabntgbjry prlhugjh 6+ naj

gcnss sncolm.

Xnrajt dnrrjm/umhjrprlhugtkvj

irjsbwntjr bndktnts wbkgb

bkstlrkgnccy supplrtjh `uvjmkcj

iksb.

Koprlvj irjsbwntjr prlhugtklmnmh glopjmsntj ilr

clss/hjtjrklrntklm li spnwmkma

nrjns.


23/47

Kmgrjnsj nmmunc solct

prlhugtklm irlo tbj rkvjr tl

n tnrajt li 46,666 iksb.

Nsskst tbj stlge tl

glmskstjmtcy nttnkm GC.

Olmktlr kopngt nmh

lutglojs li tbjonmnajojmt ngtklm.

Onmnajojmt Ld`jgtkvjs


24/47

T. Dusb Wtlgekma Vcnm

Gbnccjmaj

Lvjrstlgekma/glopjtktkvjkmtjrngtklm wktb wkch

`uvjmkcjs.

Tjcntkvjcy clw survkvnc li

kmtrlhugjh `uvjmkcj ckijstnajs

Tjolvnc li wkch spnwmjrs

drllhstlge okmkma

Jiijgtkvj olmktlrkma li

lutglojs.

Oktkantklm

Tjijrjmgj tl jxtjmskvj nmmuncjcjgtrkg iksbkma survjy, k.h.

rjgruktojmt anps

Kopcjojmtntklm li djst prngtkgj

hurkma stlgekma (clwhjmskty/nggckontklm jtg.)

Ztkcksntklm li rnmgbjh sncolm,

hjrkvjh irlo wkch stlge nmh

lutgrlssjh nmmunccyClma tjro olmktlrkma gnpngkty5

JI, solct trnp jtg.


25/47

Wtlgekma Bkstlry

Djtwjjm >;;1-4661 g. 7.21 okccklm 6+ sncolm

stlgejh hkrjgtcy kmtl irjsbwntjr bndktnts km tbj T.Dusb.

Djtwjjm >;;1-466> umijh iry stlgejh, 4664

lmwnrhs umijh iry pcus ijh suoojrckma iry stlgejh.

6

6.>

6.4

6.7

6.8

6.:

6.9

>;;1 >;;2 >;;; 4666 466> 4664 4667 4668 466: 4669 4661

Okccklm6+

Wtlgekma [jnr

Ijh

Zmijh


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Jstkontklm li WurvkvncQkch Glblrts

Lvn Glblrt[JNT R

>+ Wolcts(x+4)

4+ Wolcts(x+7)

7+ Wolcts(x+8)

Xltnc solct

prlhugtklm

Lvn tl solct

survkvnc


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[JNT

XLXNC

LYN(O

)

XLXNC

WOLCX

W >+ 4+ 7+

XLXNC

WOLCX

W

LYN-

WOLCX

%

yjnr x x+4 x+7 x+8

>;18 >.28 >:1>1 8667 >>1>8 6 >:1>1 6.2:

>;1: >.;8 >;98> ;761 >67>2 >9 >;98> >.6>

>;19 >.:; 44712 ;71: >4;>6 ;7 44712 >.86

>;11 >.17 79796 >8>;8 4>264 798 79796 4.>6

>;12 >.44 44487 4;7> >;428 42 44487 >.24

>;1; >.61 >48>4 2:: >>814 2: >48>4 >.>9

>;26 >.>9 >4886 7671 ;47; >98 >4886 >.61

>;2> >.8: >7;>7 >8:: >48:2 6 >7;>7 6.;:

>;24 >.:2 77947 >8789 >2:7: 184 77947 4.>4

>;27 4.>2 42>68 >>818 >986> 44; 42>68 >.4;

>;28 >.14 761;6 >771> >17:6 9; 761;6 >.1;

>;2: >.>1 4>;>6 >821 4667: 722 4>;>6 >.21

>;29 7.67 4>4>9 46:4 >2222 419 4>4>9 6.16

>;21 8.1; >;662 71>2 >:4>2 14 >;662 6.7;

>;22 7.87 >72;7 47>2 >>::9 >; >72;7 6.8>

>;2; 8.9 46;97 :149 >:477 8 46;97 6.89

>;;6 >.69 29>6 74>; :42> >>6 29>6 6.2>

>;;> 4.88 >7:82 8179 22>4 6 >7:82 6.:9

>;;4 4.;1 >:184 499> >7618 1 >:184 6.:8>;;7 4.:1 8>7: >61> 7698 6 8>7: 6.>9

>;;8 7.6 >68;: 4981 1189 >64 >68;: 6.7:

>;;: 4.4: >;:96 8167 >8142 >4; >;:96 6.21

Jstkontklm li GlmtrkdutklmWuppcjojmtjh

Qkch Glblrts

>;;8

>;;>

>;;6

>;2;

>;22

>;21

>;29

>;2:

>;28

>;27

>;24

>;2>

>;26

>;1;>;12

>;11

>;19

>;1:

>;18

>;17

>;;7

>;;:

4669

466:

4668

4667

4664

466>

4666

>;;;

>;;2

>;;1

>;;9

>;;4

>.6

7:666

76666

4:666

46666

>:666

>6666

:666

>.: 4.6 8.:8.67.:7.64.:

Lvn

Ikttjh >;17->;;:

Ynrkndkckty km Wurvkvnc Wtlge Tjgruktojmt Tjcntklmsbkp

Olhjc nmh Vrjhkgt Wolct Vrlhugtklm irlo Qkch Lvn Glblrts


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Wolct lutput irlo nmmunc lvn glblrts

6

:666

>6666

>:666

46666

4:666

76666

XltncMuodjrl

iWolcts

[jnr (Lvn Glblrt)

Ml Wtlgekma Zmijh Iry Zmijh &

Ijh

Irlo0Ejmmjhy, T.@., Grlzkjr, Q.Q., Nccjm, O.O (46>4). @lurmnc li Iksb Dklclay, 2>(:)0>176->189.


29/47

Arlumh Xrutbkma Wurvkvnc Jstkontjs.

i i i


30/47

Zsj li ajmjtkg tllcs ilr tbj olmktlrkma li tbj Tkvjr Dusb

suppcjojmtnc stlgekma prlarnooj Zmijh Iry

86 umkquj inokcy pnkrkmas 86 oncj + 86 ijoncj drllhstlge

(4664).

Ijrtkckzjh jaas (nva 7,1;2 pjr inokcy) onkmtnkmjh km tbj

bntgbjry.

;6,:66 umijh iry wjrj stlgejh km tbj uppjr rjngbjs li tbj TDusb (Gbnrngtjrkzjh dy ckoktjh suktndcj spnwmkma bndktnt).

Hurkma tbj solct rums li 4668 nmh 466:, >,4>4 nmh >,494 (tltnc

M ? 4,818) solcts trnppjh & snopcjh ilr ajmjtkg nmncysks.

Drllhstlge sgrjjmjh ilr 4: okgrlsntjccktj onrejrsilcclwkmaolhjcckma wlre (INV nmh GLCLM[ slitwnrj), ncc solcts

sgrjjmjh ilr n sjcjgtjh kmilrontkvj onrejr pnmjc glmskstkma li

9 onrejrs (>66% nsskamojmt tl inokcy).

.


31/47

Wuoonry rjsucts - pnrjmtnaj nsskamojmt

Glblrt XWT Gnpt %

Ml. Ontgbjs

tl

Drllhstlge

Jstkontjh Ml.

Bntgbjry-rjnrjh

solcts km XWT

% li survkvkma

Bntgbjry-rjnrjh

solcts rjcjnsjh km

XWT

4,668 47,72; >,4>4 :.>2 : >>6 6.>4

4,66: 44,1;4 >,494 :.:8 4> :6> 6.::

Xltnc 89,>2> 4,818 :.79 49 :;: 6.99

XWTXltnc Wolct Tum

Gnptsolcts kmtjrgjptjh nmh snopcjh nt tbj Tkvjr Dusb Tjsjnrgb

Wtntklm


32/47

Dusb TkvjrIjh iry survkvnc jxpjrkojmt 4661

: eo

Tkvjr Dusb

Wncolm

Wtntklm

76,>9: Ikm gckppjh suoojrckmas stlgejh km 4662 Nua/Wjp


33/47

Wurvkvnc li Ijh 6+ Wuoojrckmas

4662 nm jxpjrkojmtnc arlup li 76,>9:

suoojrckmas nhkplsj ikm gckppjh nmh stlgejh.

Nrjns sjcjgtjh nitjrjcjgtrkg iksbkma survjystl rjhugj lvjrstlgekma/glopjtktklm.

>+ & 4+ IG solcts pkgejh up km 466; & 46>6.

Xltnc survkvnc iry tl solct ? :.>4%


34/47

Onmnajojmt Lutglojs

Wolct rums

Nhuct jsgnpjojmt/Nttnkmojmt li GC.


35/47

6

:666

>6666

>:666

46666

4:666

76666

7:666

86666

>;1:

>;11

>;1;

>;2>

>;27

>;2:

>;21

>;2;

>;;>

>;;7

>;;:

>;;1

>;;;

466>

4667

466:

4661

466;

Qkchsolcts

Irjsbwntjr VrlhugtklmWolcts

Olmktlrkma

Vbnsj

Onmnajojmt

Vbnsj


36/47

Tjgjmt Nttnkmojmt li GC

6

>

4

7

8

:

9

Okccklmjaa

s


37/47

Dklclakgnc GbnrngtjrkstkgsWolcts

46

44

48

49

42

76

74

78

79

72

>+ 4+

Qjkabt(a)

Wolct Naj Gcnss

Qkch

Wtlgejh

6.;:

6.;1

6.;;

>.6>

>.67

>.6:

>.61

>+ 4+

GlmhktklmIngtlr

e

Wolct Naj Gcnss

Qkch

Wtlgejh

[lumajr >+ stlgejh

lrkakm solcts

Wonccjr

Clwjr GI


38/47

Dklclakgnc GbnrngtjrkstkgsWolcts

6

6.4

6.8

6.9

6.2

>

GuoucntkvjIrjqujmgy

IG Guo

Qkch Guo Wtlgejh lrkakm solcts

Hkiijrjmtknc Tum Xkokma

[lumajr

6

>6

46

76

86

:6

96

>+ 4+ 7+

%l

iGlblrt

Wolct Naj

Wuoojrckma Hjrkvjh Wolcts


39/47

Vltjmtknc Kopckgntklms ilr Onrkmj Wurvkvnc

Lchjr cnrajr

solcts5 bkabjr

survkvnc.

Tkse irlo

jmbnmgkma

ylumajr

solcts6

>:

46

4:

>;27

>;2:

>;21

>;2;

>;;>

>;;7

>;;:

>;;1

>;;;

466>

4667

466:

4661

466;

46>>

%survkvnc

solct glblrt

Onrkmj survkvnc li bntgbjry rjnrjh T. Dusb>WQ sncolm tl tbj Krksb glnst

>+ solcts

4+ solcts


40/47

Vltjmtknc Kopckgntklms ilr Onrkmj Wurvkvnc

Irlo0Tussjcc jt nc (46>4). KGJW @. Onr. Wgk. 9; (;)0 >:8;->:94

Grktkgnc clgnc

koplrtnmgj

li solct rum

tkokma lm tbjT. Dusb.


41/47

Npprnksnc li Ld`jgtkvjs

Kmgrjnsj nmmunc solctprlhugtklm irlo tbj rkvjr tl n

tnrajt li 46,666 iksb.

Nsskst tbj stlge tl glmskstjmtcy

nttnkm GC.

Olmktlr kopngt nmh lutglojs

li tbj onmnajojmt ngtklm.


42/47

Gbnmakma Onmnajojmt Vrklrktkjs

Richard Kennedy (AFBI) The Bush

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Transcript of Richard Kennedy (AFBI) The Bush