RHESSys in grasslands Scott W. Mitchell, University of Toronto Motivation information / data model /...
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Transcript of RHESSys in grasslands Scott W. Mitchell, University of Toronto Motivation information / data model /...
RHESSys in grasslands
Scott W. Mitchell, University of Toronto
• Motivation
• information / data model / uncertainty relationships in environmental modelling
• Grasslands National Park
• Earlier work (CENTURY)
• Problems encountered using RHESSys
• Interim solutions
Grasslands National ParkVal Marie, SK (49°N, 107°W)
ArchaeologyVisitor loads / servicesLocal residentsFireGrazingWildlife Native / InvasiveClimate Change
Grass Productivity
• Current status - inventory, diversity, native versus introduced, carbon budget
• Effects of grazing
• Fuel load - standing dead
• Potential response to climate change
• Feedbacks between biogeochemistry and biogeography
First experiment - CENTURY
•What can a non-spatial, monthly time step provide ?•Uncertainty in ANPP•UNCERTAINTY in climate change scenarios
RHESSys - why ?
• Daily, spatial (implicit)• Attractive data model (worldfile hierarchy,
snapshots)• Links with GRASS (GIS)• Active “local” development• Use of BGC - some reports of prior use
(BUT: untested, questions re: applicability of submodels, computer stability issues)
What was missing ? (Round 1)
• Grass morphology (no woody bits)
• Standing dead
• Seed bank ?
• Differentiating C3 & C4 photosynthesis
• Parameterization
• Numerical sanity ?!
How did it do ?
• “That doesn’t look semi-arid !”
• Very high productivity, driven by sunlight, not precipitation
Solution (aka workaround)•moisture control on photosynthesis: stomatal control•Farquhar model control through conductance term•conductance from Jarvis multiplicative model•modify leaf water potential multiplier
€
gs = m final * gsMAX * LAI
€
m final = mAPAR * mtavg * mLWP
* mCO2* mt min * mVPD
€
mLWP =LWPpredawn − LWPstomclosure
LWPmin stomopen − LWPstomclosure
mLWP = mLWP × sed •(1−root 2sat )
ed
⎛
⎝ ⎜
⎞
⎠ ⎟
root2sat =zroot
zsat
Phenology
• “fixed” phenology model not good for semi-arid grasslands, especially leaf-on
• phenology data relatively rare, let alone models - main source of help White et al. (1997) using degree days + precipitation
• implemented minimum degree days for earliest possible leaf allocation, then adjusted daily rate of carbon allocation according to soil moisture
Summary• Modifications:
– C4 photosynthesis (update psn from BGC)
– “shallower” moisture response (kludge)
– phenology model
• Outstanding issues:– more work needed on hydrology; probably need
another layer, probably need to stop using TOPMODEL (get more data!)
– test and improve phenology
– verify C4 predictions