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REVISION OF KIEV’S GROUND

TRANSPORT NETWORK THROUGH DATA

COLLECTION

Alexander Kubrakov, Advisor to the Mayor, KievPresented at Transforming Transportation 2016

REVISION OF KYIV’S GROUND

TRANSPORT NETWORK THROUGH

DATA COLLECTION

TECHNOLOGIES AND METHODS

JANUARY 2016

Why Kyiv needs new transport strategy and new transport scheme –key facts:

Demographical factors: Objective factors:1 2

1,104,000

2,362,000

2,602,000

2,785,000

2,888,710

1959

1983

1989

2010

2014

Growing population of Kyiv (number of inhabitants):

• Growing population of Kyiv and Kyiv agglomeration – more than 3 600 000people officially,

• More than 100 000 officially registeredmigrants in Kyiv from temporary occupied territories in the East part of Ukraine and Crimea, and real numbers of migrants nobody knows

• Last time measurement of passengers flows in Kyiv were held in 1986, since then, many things have changed.

• Number of private cars in Kyiv significantly increased – in 10 times (up to M1,3 private carsregistered in Kyiv),

• In 90s private operators with thousands of small buses («marshrutkas») started operations in Kyiv instead of municipal buses, trolley-buses and trams – it was completely new type of public transport for the city,

• Rapid real estate market growth in the middle of 2000s led to development of completely new business districts and new residential districts in Kyiv,

• New technologies which allows to conduct passengers flows measurement in public transport in more efficient way were introduced last 3-5 years.

Chronology of the Project and key milestones:

2015

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Jan

Consulting companyselection from WB

side - ITP

Market surveys were completed by KMIS

2014

Confirmation from WB side about start

of the Project

Kick-off meeting of WB

and KGGA

Passengers flows measurements in all Kyiv public transport

Presentation of the first results of

passengers flows measurements

First version of Kyiv transport model –developed by A+S

New public transport

network, reforms & investments

plan

2016

Organizational structure of the Project:

Transport infrastructure department

Municipal company «Kyiv metropolitan»

Municipal company«Kyivpasstrans»

«Municipal transportation service»

Private bus operators

Municipal company«Kyivdorservice»

Urban development and architectural department

«A+S Ukraine», Kyiv international sociological

institute

World Bank team and World Bank experts

Integrated Transport Planning, consulting company

Students of Kyiv National University of construction and

architecture

Students of National Transport University

Students of National Aviation University

Two key processes of the Project we did in parallel – and it was a big challenge for the team:

Transport model development: Network review – four key objectives:1 2

Data collection –key sources of data:

1. Transport mobility surveys.

2. Social and demographical statistics.

3. Mobile operators data.

4. GTFS data from Google-based service.

5. Fare-collection statistics from municipal operators.

6. Boarding and alighting surveys using TransitWand

7. Occupancy surveys.8. Graf of roads

network.

1. Ensuring the network meets user needs,

2. Making the network more cost efficient to provide,

3. Ensuring the network serves the city in the best possible way,

4. Consider transit’s contribution to wider policy objectives - economic development, environmental protection & social well being.

Iterative process: Network Examination & Kyiv Transport Model – all

scenarios of network optimization were tested on the transport model

1. Analysis of the current situation,

2. Monitoring and interpretation of existing situations,

3. Modelling of future transport infrastructure and areas of socio-economic development,

4. Scenarios of improvement and optimization,

5. Preparations for the dynamic operation of transport systems.

Kyiv territory was divided into 407 transport districts (including suburbs):

All collected data was also corresponded to these 407 transport districts

Mobility surveys – key figures and examples of results:

Key contractor – Kyiv International Institute of Sociology: 30K successful questionnaires were

received by phone survey,

5K successful questionnaires were received by web-site survey for specific correspondences identification

GTFS data was provided by private company which provides Google maps-based services for public transport users:

3098 stops of public transport

Data source:

Transferred to Visum:

• Operators,• Routes,• Travels,• Stops,• Schedule of public

transport work

All public Transport of Kyiv:• Underground,• City train (Bahn),• Bus• Trolleybus• Marshrutkas (small

buses)• Suburban bus

Google-based service for public transport users

Municipal public transport operator

(provides GPS tracks)

OD-matrix of whole Kyiv region based on the data of Ukrainian largest mobile operator – Kyivstar company:

Kyiv

Chernobyl

Bila Tserkva

• Kyivstar market share in Kyiv region about 55%(about M1,8 subscribers),

• OD-matrix of whole Kyiv region – it was almost impossible task without mobile data,

• As a result of this exercise we understand how many people traveling form suburbs to Kyiv each day, for example:• Brovary – 20%,• Irpin – 21%,• Borispil – 12%

• City now understand where better to construct interchanges and what capacity of its should be:

Daily migration from the largest “sleeping” district was also calculated with the help of mobile data:

• Population of Troeshyna –450 000, with estimates that in the next 15 years this figure will grow by 120 000.

• 236 000 (59% of population)daily (working week) commute outside of Troeshyna, posing a serious burden on public transport and the nearest metro stations:• М2: Petrovka, Heroyiv

Dnepra, Minska, Obolon,• М1: Lesnaya and

Chernigivska

• In feasibility study of 4-th metro line construction city also using mobile data.

Passenger traffic at major transport hubs in Kyiv*:

М2

М1

*Statistics provided by the Kyivstar company, October 2014

Troeschina

Heroyiv Dnepra

Minska

Obolon

Petrovka

Chernigivska

Lesnaya

• Scenario A, Short term – Transit route changes that require minimal infrastructure works, such as simple changes to existing road intersections.

• Scenario B, Medium term - Route changes that require more significant infrastructure works, such as catenary extensions and bus priority measures to segregate traffic.

• Scenario C, Long term mass transit options

Scenario A and B pragmatic optimisation of the existing public transport network

Focus upon: CREATION - DELETION - MODIFICATION

As a result of Network Examination & Kyiv Transport Modeling 3 scenarios were developed and approved by team:

As a result of Network Examination & Kyiv Transport Modeling 3 scenarios were developed and approved by team:

Scenario A and B Overview

Scenario A, short term Scenario B, medium term

16 new routes 3 additional new routes

38 existing routes modified 6 Scenario A routes become Trolleybus 8 further route modifications

107 routes deleted from existing 11 additional routes deleted

163 routes retained with new headway 193 routes retained from scenario A

Total of 217 routes Total of 210 routes

Implementation of Proposed Scenarios – Impact on Fleet Size:

Vehicle fleet sizes Change in fleet size

Baseline

A B A BTotal vehicles

owned

Daily vehicle

requirement

Marshrutka 2,062 1,804 1,051 861 -753 -943

Bus 567 370 601 474 +231 +104

Trolleybus 500 369 541 787 +172 +418

Tram 378 289 351* 361* +62* +72*

Total 3,507 2,832 2,543 2,483 -289 -349

Implementation of Proposed Scenarios – Impact on Energy Consumption:

Metric Scenario Marshrutka Bus Trolleybus Tram Total

Estimated

energy

consumed

(Energy

TJ/year)

Base 1,260 337 272 152 2,021

A 600 424 317 210 1,551

B 487 327 467 215 1,496

Diesel

consumed

Litres/yr

(000’s)

Base 35,048 9,381 44,429

A 16,699 11,803 28,502

B 13,558 9,102 22,660

Electricity

consumed kWh/yr

Base 75,471 42,234 124,808

A 88,027 58,265 146,293

B 129,610 59,702 189,312

Public transport mode

Annual operating costs

(Million UAH)

Baseline Scenario A Scenario B

Marshrutka 1,212 578 469

Bus 551 694 535

Trolleybus 429 501 738

Tram 245 337 345

Total 2,436 2,110 2,088

Net reduction - 326 348

Implementation of Proposed Scenarios – Impact on Annual Operating Cost:

Troyeshchyna Obolon

Solom’yansk’kyi

Liko Grad Darnytski

Syrec

Liko Grad Darnytski

Obolon

Solom’yansk’kyi

Troyeshchyna

Syrec

Implementation of Proposed Scenarios – Impact on Impact on Accessibility: