RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

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DL S C uSSLOn Paper No ・ D97-8 RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912-1990:AComparisonofEstimatesof ProductionAccountstoExpenditureAccounts ToshiyukiMizoguchi August1997

Transcript of RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

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DLSCuSSLOnPaperNo・D97-8

RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan

1912-1990:AComparisonofEstimatesof

ProductionAccountstoExpenditureAccounts

ToshiyukiMizoguchi

August1997

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RevISlngLong-Term NationalAccountsStatisticsofTalWan1912_

1990:A Comparison ofEstimates ofProduction Accounts toExpenditureAccounts

ToshiyllkiMizoguchi

Thisisarevisedversionofapaperwhichwaspresentedatthe

internationalworkshop"TheLong-TermEconomicStatlStlCSOfTalWan,

190511993''on27128February1997.

It,isareproducedandcirculatedheretostlmulatefurther

discussion.Pleaserefrainfromquotingareferringtoltinpublication

withoutthewriter'sexpresspermiss10n.

KonosukeOdaka

DiTector

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Rev isin g Long-Te rm National Accounts Stat lStic s of Taiwan

1912-1990: A ComparlSOn O f Estima t es of Production Accounts to

ExpenditureAccounts

ToshiyukiLIizoguchi

71iroshlmaUniversityofEconomics

lntroductlOn

TheflrSt issueof theNewsletterof theCerlter OfExcellence

Project.HitotsubashllJniversity(COBproject)laysoutthebasicplan

fortheAsianJlistoricalStatistics Project WhiletherearcnuTnerOuS

details whichwe vilュnever beable toverlfy. wewュll calculate

natlOnalincomestatlStics (especlallyflowaccountlng), anduset∫le

resultstocreateandrefinealorlE-termeCOr)OnlCStatlSticsdatabase.

Theareacoveredby thlSproject lSmoreeXtenSIVe than slainthe

usualsense:1tincludesAsianRussla,thePeople'sRepubllCOfChina,

NorthandSouthXorea,Taiwan,the SENcountries.India,someXlddle

EasterncountriesandEgypt.Thesystematicwor】くhaSbeenproceededby

YorkofarlUrnberofsubgroupsbyregionandeconomicactlVity.TheWorkonTaiwan lSmore advancedthan forothercountriesor

regions,yetevenlnthis casethere iscertaininformationWhichve

arestillattemptingto locate.Tllerefore,the readerlSWarnedthaL

the researchplan outlinedbelow maybe revisedin t∫lefuture or

replacedbynewplans.

Inthefirstpart,MajorTables ofNatlOnalAccountsareshownwlth

explanationsoftheestlmateS,Wllich areclasslfledlntO9Subgroups,

1nCIuding (1) Productionof PrimarylndustrleS,(2) Production of

Secondary Industries, (3) Productionof Tertiary Industries, (4)

Private Consumption, (5) Government ConsumptlOn, (6) Capltal

Formation.(7)ForeignTrade Thetitlesofdetalledsupportlngtables

are arranged in thesecond partwiththe explanatlOnS. Data are

contalnedinafloppy des】(,Wllich isavallableln theOfficeoft】le

Co且pl、oject.

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(1)StatistlCalDataandPreviousContributions

(1.1)Data

ThebasIClntentOftheCOE Projectistosearchforinformation

fromtheearlleStperlOdposslblethrough1990.Consideringamountsofstatisticalinfomation available,we wュlldivide TalWan'seconomicJllStOryIntothefollowlngperiods:

1.Before1885(CIlingDynasty(1644-1911):VerylittlestatlSticalmaterlalavailable.

2.1886-1912 (First period of Japanese occupation):Somestatisticaldataarecomplledbutnotinsystematicfashion

3.191211938(XiddlcperlOdofJapaneseoccupation):Advancesin

gatheringofstatlSticsmakessystematizationposslble.4.1939-1950(SecondWorldWarandC】1ineseCivilWar):Somedata

iskeptsecretbecauseofwartimepollCleS,andotherdataislostbecauseofeconomicandsocialturbulence.

5.195ト1960(TheTaiwanesegovernmentbeginstocollectdata):Essentialdatabecomesavailable.

6.196111990 (The Taiwanese government systematizes datacollcctlOn):Thegatheringofdata,includingcensusesandcompllatlonofinput-outputtables,reachesL九estandardofanadvancednation.

lntheevaluationofthepreviousestlmateSOfSNA.Weshouldconsidertheseconditionsofstatisticaldata.

(1.2)EstimateforthePostwarPeriod.

The National Accounts Statistics lladbeen published by theDirectorate Generalof Budgets,Accounting &Statistics, ExecutiveYuan(DGBS),sincetheearly1950sbasedonthe1953SN.Yhile・thcre

were some problems ln the earlier estimates, 1mprOVemeTlt Wasremarkableafterwards.Intheearly 1970S,theDGBSadoptedthe1968SN andpublishednewseries from1951.Ye knowtheoutline_oftheseproceduresfromtheannualreportsofSN.

TheofficialstatlSticscomplled since1961arehighlyrespectedillAsiafor theirreliability, andtlle StatisticsProjectt】1erefore

needsonly toadjust theflgureStO meetits particularguidelinesapart fromefforts toupgrade capitalformation andcapital stockstatistics,Whichhavecreated sclmedifficultieslntheinternatlOna1

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comparison.Itisnecessary tocompile someadditionalestimatesfor

Period 5 (1951-1960), but theofflClal statistics are generally

sufflClent.The twomajor sourcesforthe lattertwoperlOdsare

DGBS,(NationalAccountsinTaiwanfor195ト1990andPreliminary

EstimateofNationalIncomeinTaiwanfor1992(NAT-1992)),1992and

I)GBAS.くStatistlCalYearbookoftheTiepublicofCllina(Sync)),(AnrIUalPublication).

Tlleformerprovidesflow accountlngbased upontJle"1968Systern

of National ccounts orNew Systemof National Accounts (NSM)"

recomruended by the UnltCd Nations. It also provides nominal

expenditureaccountsfor 1951-91,as wellasreal priceaccountsin

1986pricesforthesame perlOd.Nominalproductiorlaccountsarealso

providedfor1951-91,but realvalueaccounts areprovldedonlyfrom

1961.Thesedataare compiledintheCOEDatabase wlththefollowlngnotes.

1.WhiletheTaiwaneseNationalAccountsarebasedontheNSNA,

Capitalformationisestimated makinguseofvariousdata

includingfinaTIClalreportsof enterprises.Notethatthe

NSNA proposedtousethe commodity flow methodlnthlSfield.

2.InNAT-1992,therigldbalanceiskeptbetweenthee):pendltUre

andt∫le productionaccountsln nominalterms.Thismeans

thatt∫leStatlSticaldlSCrepanCyiszerofroLTl1951to1990.

3.The statistical discrepancyisalsozeroin realtcmsin

1986pricesinNAT-1992.BasedontheagreementoftheCOB

project,the reference yearforrealtermsischangedt0

1960,60the discrepancleS arenO longer zeroin realterlnS.

4.1norderto estimate thelongtermrealvalueserleS.OneOf

theoptionsistochangethebase-yearsevery10yearsand

compiletimeseriesdatabytllelinkmethodofinde二(eS.TlllS

optionwillbee)【aminedinthefuture.

Thefinalnoteisbasedontllerecenttrendinthetheoryofdeflators

torespectthelinktypeindexes asaproxyofDIvisiatypedeflatorsasisrecommendedinthe1993SN.

(1.3)PreviousEstlmateSfortheP∫e-1940Period

The maln data source for perlOds 2 and 3 (1886-1911 and

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1912-1938)lS

GovernmentGeneralofTaiwan,くStatisticalAnnualofthe

GovernmentGeneralofTaiwanlTaiwansotokufu tokeisho]

(inJapanese),availableforallyearsfrom1899to1942.

ln1912,theAnnualshifted fromusingverticalwritingtohorlZOntal

writing,atvhlChtimethecontent ofthestatlStlCSWasimprovedand

expanded. This means thata detalledstaListlCS database can be

compiledonlyfortheperiodfrom1912,alH10ughdataisavailablefor

certainareassuchasagricultureandforeigntradeforasfarbackas

1890.Taiwaneseand Japaneseresearchershave alreadymadeextensIVe

useofthisstatlStical materialto pl-OducesomeimportantfindlngS.

Twoimportantworksbased ontheSN. bothincludingnationalincome

statlStics onthe productionaccounts,aretlleappendixof

Lee,Ten虞-hue, 汁IntersectoralFlowsintheEconomic7)evelopment

of Taiwan,1895-1960,n Ph.D, Dissertation, Cornell

UnlVerSlty,1966,

aTld 11SINGEstimates," bothwrittenint】1e1960sandcitedin

llo,SamuelくEconomicDevelopmentofTaiwan,1860-1970),Yale

UniversityPress,1978.

1lovever.itisnotquite clearwhatncthods wereusedtocompilethe

estimates(Wcareinformed byTaiwanese scholarsthatLeersappendix

was publishedin Chinese,but theauthorhas notlュad achance to

accessthearticle).ltshould benoted thatlTo-svolumeprわvidesan

historical statistics.

notherstatlStlCalresearchprojectWasconductedincooperatlOn

wltllJapaneseresearchers,primarlly fromHltOtSubashiUnlVerSity,ln

thelate19605.Theresultsappearedinthefollowingtwoworks:

XiyoheiShinohal.aandShigerulshikawa(eds,),(Taiwan'S-Economic

Growth)lTalWannOkcizalSeisho],InstituteofDeveloping

Economies.1971(inJapanese)and

Toslliyuki∬1ZOgUChiくEconomlCGrowthiTITaiwanandKorea)[Taiwan

CI10SennOkeizaiselcl10],Iwanami,1975(1nJapanese).

The research projects cxanined historicaldata not onlyIOn theproductionbutalsoontllCexpenditure sideoftlleSN.TheseWereln

turncompiled inamajorcollection:

NatajiUmemuraandToshiyukiMizoguchi(eds.),くBasICEconoTnic

StatlstlCSOfFormel-JapaneseColonleS,1895-1938:EstlmateS

andFlndings)[XyuNihonshokuminchikeizaitokei,sulkeito

bunsekiコ,ToyoKeizaiShimposha,1988(lnJapanese).

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ThiscollectionincludedestimatesoftheexpenditureaccountsofSNl.

WhiletheprelimlnaryeStlmateSOfproductlOnaccountsarealsoshown,

theStatisticaldlSCrePanCyrenalnSrelativelylarge.

(1.4)LinkageofPre-andPost-LiberationData

The above three Works cover only the period of JapaneseoccupatlOn, butXizoguchi attemptsto compllelong-term statisticsbeginningfroJnaroundthetimeofLlberationfromJapanesecontrolandllnktllemtOtheearllertimeseriesinhlSarticle

ToshiyuklXizoguchi, "Long-term NationalAccountsofTalWanandXorea[TalWan・Kankokunokokunirl】くeizalCho】くikelretSunO

suikel"]in741ZOguChl(editor),くnalysisoftheLong-term(includlngprewarandpostwar)DevelopmentofJapan,TalYan,andXorea)(lNihonITaiwan.Xankokunochoklhatten(senzen・

sengoofukumu)nobunseki],InstituteofEconomlCResearch,lIitotsubashiUnlVerSity,NizoguchiliesearchOfflCe,1988(inJapanese).

The work compares the pre-liberation expenditure data to the

post-liberationdata,inrealaswellasinnominalterms,uslngpricedata. This meantthat twobenchmark yearsWere usedto create a

deflator. so that twoperiods werelinked through the "indirectmetl10d"ofarealbase.

Yhatreallystimulatedthis typeof researchwasthelong-termstatlStical time series analysis completedat the Department ofEconomics at Taiwan University in the early 1990s Arnong themultifacetedresearch,nationaleconomlCStatisticsWere ledoffby

Yu, Tsong-Xin. "n EstirnationofTaiwanTs Gross Domestic

Product:1910-1950(1910Nianzhi1950NianTaiwanDlqluCuonei Sheng-chan XaoerzhiGuji)汁, (Taiwan EconomicJteview).1912,June1991,(inChinese).

Thiswor】くaSSeJnbles statistlCalestimateson theproductlOnaccountsof the SN for 1910-1951uslng bothnominal andreal bases. TheflgUreSOn eXpendituresfor nominalgrossdomestic production,whencomparedtothosecompiledby XizoguchiandNoriyuklNoJima(cltedlnUmemuraandNizoguchl(1988)),are ratherhighbutthedlfferencelS

Withinthe15%range.Ontheotherhand,whenarealbaseisemployed,Yu'S estimatedfigures arerather lower,though thedlfference iscertainlynotdecisive. ThlSresearchhastwodistinctlVefeatures:

1.The"directmetl10d"wasadoptedtolinkthetimeserleSOf

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estiTnateSfortheperiodofeconomlCChaos,includinghyper-inflation,whlChoccurl~edln1945-51,atandjustaftertlleliberation.

2.TheirproductionsideestlmateSWeremuchmorerellablethanpastones,andcouldbecomparedwlthXizoguchiandNojima'sexpendltureaccountsOftheSN.

ThetaskofcompilingestimateswasgreatlyadvancedbyEvaluationCommltteeOfNationalIncomeStatlStics,DGBAS,

ExecutiveYuan,くDataforF,xaminationsonEstimateofGross

DonestlCF'roducts.1941-50(Minguo30Nianzhi39州1anGuonei

ShengchanXoer))(uncut)llShed materlals).1995(inChinese)Thisresearchused theNSM methodto calculateproductionaccountsfor1946-1951, andmight beregardedas "quasi-officialmaterials.汁Therevisedversionofthisquasi-OfficialestimateswaspubllShedin

Xuo.Fang-YaD,Zho-YingCui.Ming-ZiLinandJung-YiDong(1997),"EstlmateSOfGrossDomesticProductsinTalWanArea,

1938-1950(yinguo26Nianzhi39NianTaiyanDiquXuoneiShangchanXaoerZh1Tuigu)",くPaperpresentedfortheseminaronEconomlCCondltionsof1940sTaiwanlleldlnthe

NatlOnalTaiwanUniversityin汁arch,1997).(inChinese)(tobepublishedin (TaiwanEconomicTleviev)).

Letus callthese figuresas the"I)GBS Estimates"1n thispaper.Yhllefigureswerevery similartotlleir previousestimates.thenewverslOn haveadvantage inthe coverageof estimatedperlOd. These

sourcesglVe figuresfor grossnationalproduct for1946 whlChareloverthanthose calculatedby Yu.Byinvestigatlng reasonsforthe

discrepanciesandrevising Yu'sprevious figures.Wenay beabletoreducethediscrepancy betweenYu's previousestinatcs andthoseofhtizoguchiand Nojima.

Yearebeenstronglyencouragedby theprogressmadesofar.ThenexttaskoftlleStatistics Projectwlthregard toTalWanWillbetousetheofficialandthequasi10fficial timeseriesoftheDGMS,the

expenditures tables of NIZOguChi andNojima, and the productionaccountstables of机1tOCOnpilea long-termtiEneSerleS dlichwill

incorporatebothexpendituresaccounts andproductionaccountsofH1eSNA.

(2) Rcvis d Estimat es of Lo ng-Term NatlQnal A ccounts Tables

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(2.1)NominalAccounts

Thefinalobjectoft∫leCOE projectlStOestimateflowaccountslntheNSN.Especlallyimportant arethe"GrossDomesticProductandExpenditureAccounts" ofthe "ConsolidatedAccountsfor theNation"

and the "GrossDomestic Productby lndustry〝.These accounts are

composedofnomlnalaccounts.realaccountsandthesystemofImplicitdeflators.llowever,owir唱tO thelackof datafortheOre-liberationperiodof Taiwan,a simplifiedsystem oftables is adopted.

1.YeharenotcompletedtheestimatesonthedistributionofGDP

iりtheformeraccounts. whichare leftas ourfuture vork・Tlle expenditure accountsaredirectlybalancedtothelatteraccounts.

2 The industrialclasslficationintheNSNAistoodetailedfor

thepre-liberationestimates.FollowingWu'swork.wcclassifyindustriesinto J'rimary Industry(agriculture,forestryandfishery), Secondary Industry (manufacturing, mlning,construction andpublicutllities)andL九eTertlaryIndustry(other industries. government SerVICe and nonprofltlnStltutions).

3.1nordertocalculateGDPfromthetotalofgrossvalueadded,import dutiesmュnusImputedscrvICeChargesshould beaddedto the latter.These itemsareaddedtothe productionofTertlaryIndustry.Thustheproductionofthebankingindustryisevaluatedasnearlyzero.

The outlinesof ourapproaches tocomplllng estimatesare asfollows.Fornominalaccountsuse theDGliAS'sofficialstatisticsfor

195111990 production andexpendltureS accounts.Remember that thestatistical discrepancybetween thesetwo accountsis zeroln theofficial estimates. Waitfor theDGBAS'S 194ト1950 quasi-official

productionaccountsmaterialsto becomeavailable forpublicuse(1nthemeantime. prelimirlarytesting vil上continue).Ttefer topreviouscontrlbutiorlSincludingYu's recentworkson theproductionaccountsforthep∫e-liberation periodas ourpreviousestimates areweaklnthlS area because our efforts were mainly concentraEed on tlleexpenditureaccounts.

FortheprimaryIndustry productlOnandgross valueaddedweuse

Yu'Sestimatesbecausethese areconsistent withtheDCBS■sflEureSfor194111950. Notethat Yu'Sestimatesfor agrlCUlturalproduction

are alittle largerthan theJCRR (theJoint Comnltteefor Rural

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Iieconstruction)estimates whicllhave beengenerallyaccepted asthe

mostreliabledata. Yu'sestimates onsecondaryindustry seemtobe

revisedintworespects.FlrSt,hisvalueaddedratiosaremuchlligher

tllantheDGBS'sdataandour previouscstinates.Second,Yudoesnot

znakead]ustmentsonthe"downwardbiases"oftheproductlOnflgUreSlntlleStatistical Annualof GovernmentGeneral ofTaiwan, whlchwere

pointed out by Shinohara (seehis artlCIc ln Shinohara-Ishikawa

(1971)).T】le1941DG】】ASfigureis usedastllebencllmarkdata,andis

linkedtothe nominalproduction indexof manufacturingindustryby

Shinohara.YuTsnomlnal estimatesare usedfor productionaTldgross

value addedforbothconstructionandpublic utilityIndustries.

Someadditionalwclrks areneeded fortJle tertiaryindustry.Yu

glVeSrellabledataonthe transportandcommunlCatlOnindustry.Yu's

estimatesongovernment servicesseems tobe underestimated,sonew

figt)resare calculatedfrom budgeLarydata.Other tertlarYindustry

productionisestimatedbyan indirectmethodbasedontheregress10n

analysisinYu'swork・ Whilewe respecttheresults asone.meansc・fcheckingdata.vetrytoestimate theTnbyadirectmethod.

It is very fortunate forus that the DGBAS quasi-Official

estimatesgiveus 1941data bydetalled IndustryclasslficAtionfor

tertiary Industry.Theseareadopted asthebenchmarkfigures.

1.ThenominalproductionindexoftlletransportandcommunicationindustrleSiscalculatedfrom甘u'sestlmateSandlinkedtothe

benchmarkfigure.

2.Newestimatesarecalculatedfrombudgetarydatabyourselves.

tobeconsistentwitllthequasi-Officialestimatesfor1941.

3.To extrapolate thevalue addedofthecommerceindustry,

ncededisthetimeseriesofaTnOuntSOftrade.Thequa占i-official

reportgivesus1941figuresbydomestlCWl101esale,retailand

foreigntrade.Forpre-liberationperiod,timeseries dataare

availableforforeigntrade.Theretailtradecouldbebroadly

estimatedbyllnkingthebenchmarkdatatot∫lenominalindex

of prlVate COnSUmptlOn fromthe expenditureaccounts.Tlle

wholcsaledataareestimatedbythe nomlnalindexoftotalof

nominal production amounts oftlleprimaryandthesecondary

industryafterthedeductlOnOfexports.

Ll.Ttegarding the production ofthebanking,insuranceandreal

estatcsIndustries.asnotedabove,thevalueofthefinancial

industry lS nearlyzerolfwesubtracttlleImputedrent.Tile

valueoftherealestatesindustryis obtainedbylinkingthe

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nominalindexofhousing expendltureSOfprivate consumption

tothebenchmarkfiguredThis dependsonabroad hypothesisthatt】1erentOfbusiness usemoves overtimeinasimilar

patterntothatforprlVateI10USlngS

5.Ye have littleinformationontheproductionOftheservice

industryothertllan benchmark value.ButtheservICeforthe

householdsectorwouldoccupythemajorpOrtio】10ftheservICe

productionln p∫e-1iberatlOnperiod.AproxynominalservICe

product10nCanbecalculatedfromthehouseholdexpenditureon

education,medicalandotherpersonalservices.Thisindexis

adoptedtollnkthebenchmarkflgUrethoughthewrlteragrees

thatthe approximaLionistoobroadtobeafiTlalfigure.

6.Thei叩OrttaxincludlngadjustmentltemSisobtalnedfromthe

foreigntradereports.

Combining theseestlmateS, VeCan Obtaint∫legross Valueadded of

tertlarylndustry. Theproduction accountsare shownin thelatter

part ofTableIllofAppendix1ofthlSpaper.

liegardingthenominalexpenditure accounts,theDCBSA'sofficial

estimatesareadoptedforthe1951-1990period. Yewillmakeestimates

of only oneportion ofthenominal expendituresaccounts for the

1941-1949 period uslng the DGBAS's report; 1.e. tlle government

consumptionexpenditure.1mpOrtS andexports areobtalned.Estimates

forcclnSOlldatedaccounts vlllnot beconducted duringthisperlOd,

becausethethescarcityofdatapreventsapplicaEionofthecommodlty

flow methodforprlVateCOnSumption andcapltal formation.

TheflgureSOfXIZOguChland Nojima,sllghtlyadjusted,vil上bc

usedfor the191211938 expendituresaccounts. Supplementaryoutside

materialswill beused toobtainthe preliminaryestlmateS forthe

1939-41perlOd.

1.Thedataisavailable for governlnentCOnSunptlOnandforelgntrade.So consistent timeserleSareObtairledfortJleSeitems

fron1912(orifnecessary1890)to1990.

2.The prellminary figuresofprivateconsumptionarecalculated

bylinklngthe1938-1941nomlnalwageindextotlle1938prlVate

consu叩tlon.

3.ThegovernmentcapltalformationfrombudgetarydatalSusedto

e)【trapolatethe1938capitalformatlOndata.

4.The1941expenditureaccountsarecalculatedtocomparethe1941

productionaccountsbytheDGBAS.

Because2and3areexpectedtobereplacedbytheproceedingWorksby

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thepresent17istorical.only theresults forI, arecompiledinour

databaseasisshowninTable1-1.Accordingtoourprelimlnarytests.

1nformationavailablethroughthe DGBScanbe usedtodirectlylink

nominalfigures forgovernment collSUmption,imports.and exportsto

the pre-liberation SNA tiTneSeries. It is difficult to obtain

statlStlCSOnprivateconsumptionandgrossdomesticcapitalformation

for1942-50,butitisnotimpossibletodlreCtlyllnknominalfigures

forthep∫e-1941figurestoposト11berationdata.

RegardlLlgXizoguchi-Nojimaestimatesontheexpenditureaccounts,

explanationson themethod ofestimatlOn isgiven inthe textand

otherpreviouspublications,SoonlysumrnarlZednotesaregivenhere

l.TheaccountsfollowtheNSN systemasfaraspossible.

2.TheprlVate COnSunptiorlandthegrosscapltalformationare

estlmatedbytlleCOmmOdityflowmethod.

3.Thegovernmentconsumptionisestimatedfrombudgetarydataof

the Government Generalandthelocal governments.Notethat

the expendlture forthe JapanesemilitarylnTaiwanbelongs

to the Central GovernrnentofJapaTIWhichlSnotincludedln

Taiwan'Saccounts,

4.The Increase instocks isnotestlmated asan Independent

ltem.butincludedasapartofotherexpenditureItems.

5.TheexportsandimportsinthlSdatabaseincludecommodltyand

scrvice trade although Mizoguchi-Nojlmadatacoveronlythe

commodity trade.Tile figuresfortheservicetradearetaken

fron Yamamoto's estimatesshowninUrnenura-Mizoguchl(1989).

It ls i叩Ortant tO test tlle reliability of data by the

statlSticaldiscrepanciesbetween productionandexpenditureaccounts

for the prelliberatlOn Period. First.it is confirmed that the

discrepancy lS relatively smallin1941 between DGBAS production

accounts andour pl~ellminaryestimateon theexpendlture accounts.

FurtherratlOSOfdiscrepancyto GT)Pare sllOWnforourestimatesfor

thepre-1938periodinTable卜1.For the27yearsfrom1912to1938,

tlle distrlbution ofratlOSareaSfollows:

from under -10% -5% 0% 5% over

t0 -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 10%

numberofyears O 6 6 8 6 1

T hese suggest that GDP 'S es tim a ted fromtheproduction accounts exceed

s lightly GI)pps froEn the expenditure accou nts,andthat the statistical

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discrepancyratiosarenottoo largeln theirabsolutevalues.ltlS

safetosayournominalnational accountsshowninTable1-1couldbe

used as a long timeserleSalthough some dctalled revISions are

expected inthe future.

(2.2)LtealAccountsandImplicitI)eflator

sthe_case ofnominal accounts-fourseries areavailablefor

real SN ofTaiwan.Theyare:

1.Therealaccountsin1986pricesonexpenditurebytheDGBAS

.from1951to1990andthoseonproductionfrom1961to1990.

2.Thequasi-OfficialestlmateSOn仙eproductionaccountsin

1951pricesbytheDGBASforthe1941-1951perlOd.

3,Xizoguchi-Nojima■sestimatesonexpenditureaccountsin

1934-36averageprlCeSprlCeSforthe1912-1938perlOd(the

prelimlnarydataarealsoavailablefrom1903to1911).

4.Yu'sestimatesonproductlOnaccountsin1951prlCeSforthe

1910-1951period.

Note that official implicitdeLlators arenot published for the

195卜1960productlOnaccounts.

Ourtaskistounifytheseseriesandtestt】leirrellabllity.1才Or

thepost-llberationperlOd, theofficial estimatesby theDGI!ASare

adopted.Toflllthe lackof offlClalestimates onthe1951-60real

productionbyindustry,wetookthefollowingapproximation:

1.The1961realproductionofprlmaryindustryisllnkedbythe

productionindexofagriculturebytheJCruL

2.The1961realproductionofsecondaryindustryislinkedby

theproductionindexofmlnlngandnanufac[uringbytheDGJ3S.

3.The realproductionoftertiaryIndustrylSestimatedby

reducingt】1erealproductionofprlmaryandsecondaryindustry

fromtllerealCDPfromthee):penditureaccounts.

ltem 3 depends on the system of NSNA of 工)GBS whlCh defines

statisticaldiscrepancyaszero notonlyin thenominalaccountsbut

alsointherealaccounts.T九eseworksareprelinlnaryintheirnature

andshouldbereplacediftheI)GBSpublishestlleOfflCialflgureSfor

tllerealproductlOnaccounts.

TllelllStOrlCal StatistlCSProject requeststheJWml)ers totake

1960asthereferenceyear ofimplicitdeflators.Becausenomlnaland

rcaユaccountsgiveusthesystem ofimplicitdeflators,WecansvltCh

thereferenceyearfroJn1986 to1960 asis shownlnTableト2B.The

- 11 --

Page 16: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

rcvISedrealaccountsinTable ト2arecalculatedbythesedeflators.

Note that the stalistlCaldiscrepaIICyisnolongerzero.

The prelliber(ltion real、accounts areinitially calculated in

1934-36averageprlCeS.FortheexpendltUreaccounts,Xizoguchi-Nojlmaestimates are used.The realproduction ofprimary and secondaryindustries areobtained bythe deflatlOnOfnominal valuesby tlledcflatorsofe(1ChiLldustryshowninYu'SestlmateSaftertheswitchof

referenceyear.Tllereal productionof tertiaryindustryis()btained

bytJlesunOf5sub-IndustriesshowninthenomiLlalaccounts,ofwhichdeflatorsaredefinedasfollows:

transportationandcomunical.ion:Yu'sdeflator.wholesaleandretail:GDPdeflatoriTltlleexpenditureaccounts.

flnanCeandrealestatesafterthedeductionOfimputedrent:

deflatorforacconTnOdationlntheprivateconsumption.

governmentservice:deflatorforgovernmentconsumption,andothcrservice・deflatorforservicesinprivateconsumption.

Thedeflatorfortertiaryindustry istlle ratioofnominalvaluestorealvalues.

TolinktheserealseriesoftheprcllibcratlOnDCrlOdtothoseofthepost-1lberat10n.VCWillrely noton indirectmethodsasvchavein JWizoguchi(1988), butshift tothe directmethod ofusing the

Taivanesegovernment'sofflCialstatistlCS Onpriceindicators,which

alsocovertheperiod ofeconomicchaos (1941-51)Bythisapproach,therealseries arcobtained forthrccindustries intheproduction

accounts. ELndfor governmentconsumption andforelgn tradeln theexpenditureaccounts.Thesern1-direct metllOdis usedforthellnkage

forpersonalconsumptlOnandgrosscapitalformatlOn;i.C.thenominal

data are adjustedby deflatorsobtalned fromtimeseries of price

Indices.TheresultsareshowninTableト2andTableト280fAppendlX

1oftllispaper.

Incomparisonwitllthe nominalaccounts,statlSticaldlSCrepanCy

GDPratiosarelargeinthe realaccounts,Tllisreflectsthe'biases

bychanges ofrelative prices,To dlStributesmoothly theseblaSeSIntobothdeflatorsandrealvalues. wenowexaminechangir)g_tllebase

yearofdeflatorseverytenyeELrSandtolinkingH1em.Thisdependson

theideaofI)ivisia indexalthoughthe preliminaryresultsareshownlnthenextsection.

- 12 -

Page 17: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(2.3)OverviewofOurEstiJ〕ateS

Letusexplainthetestswehavebeencorlductlng.TableIshowsa

portion of the tests. Nomlnaldata usedin the same chart are

calculatedonthebasisofNew TaiwanI)011ars,so1NewTalWanDollar

≡40.000OldTaiwanDollarsor TaiwanYen(notethatthepre-1940andposト1940unitsare different).

TableI

TheinformationinTableIcanserveast∫lebasisforanynumber

ofanalyses.Forexample.asharp declinecanbefoundafter1960for

thesllareOfprlmary lndustry,Whichwas themajorproductionsector

under theJapanese occupation.Thesllare Ofgovernment consumptlOn

lnCreaSCin thepost-liberation perlOdbecauseLhe defensee)【penses

werefinancedbytheCentralCovernnentofJapanlnthepre-liberation

period.Whiletheforelgntradehad beeninsurplusbeforetheSecond

WorldWar,the tradebalance Wasnearly zeroln thepost-liberation

period.Further examinationsareleft forfuture works.

Nextifvelook atTable IIand thenconsidertherelationshipbetween

nominalGDP=deflatorx realGI)㍗

realGDP=populationx realperperson

wecanthenanalyzethegrowth rateofnominalgrossdomesticproduct

bybreakingitdowrl Intothe realCDP, GDPdcflator.andpopulation

growth,andfュndaveragegrowth ratesfordlfferentperiods.TaiwaIl's

pre-WorldWarIIgrowth ratewaslligll byinternationalstandardsbut

becausepopulationgrowthWasalso high.therewaslittlelmprOVement

in llVlngStandards. Incontrast, rapldeconomic growthfrom 1960

broughtalargeincreaseinper capitaGI)P.lnaddltlOn,WeCanInfer

that the economicchaos intlle 1940sslowed realG工)P growth and

increased theCOPdeflatorbyanevengreaterrate.

TableII

ー 13 -・

Page 18: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

ltiswellknownthat theconstantprice systemistoorlgidto

beElpplled forlong-term historlCalstatistics.It lStrue forour

case. Because the relativeprlCeSCJlanged rernarkably through the

economicdevelopmentof TalWan,the growthrate variesdependlngOn

theselectionofthereference year rt isa goodideatoapplythe

yearlyllnkagetypeindices fortlle impllCitdeflator asaproxyof

DIVisiatypeIndexsuggestedinthe1993SM,buttimeconsumlngWOrks

arcnecessarytocoTnPletctheidea.Toescapefromthedilenna,letus

proposeaslmplifiedformof llnkIndexmethod.Supposeanaggregated

value(for exampleGDP) 1SCOmpOSCd ofa numberof subgroups(for

example,three industrlalgroups). TosaveWork, letus adjustthe

effects of relativeprice cllangeSbetweensubgroups supposing the

effectswithingroupsare relativelysmall. Tllisassumptionwouldbe

acceptedlnthenormaleconomic condltions,BasedonthisassumptlOn,

letuschangebase yearsof deflatorsevery 10years.andcalculate

theaggregatedvalues.Thelong-term seriesofrealaggregatedvalues

canbeObtainedbythellnkageofoftlleSeSeries.TableIIIshowsour

preliminaryresl】1ts.TheGDI''sin 1960constantprices(SeriesA)are

cornparcdwitllthose adコuStlngthe effectsof relativepricechanges

between three industrial groups (SeriesB) and those between 5

expenditure groups ~ privateconsumption. government consumption,

grosscapltalformation.exportandimport- (SeriesC).Becausedata

arcnotavailablefrom1938to 1950forSerleSC.veinterpolatethem

uslngthedeflatorsfor SeriesB.

TableIll

(3)SummaryofStatlStlCalDatabase

The estimates of National Accountsmentioned above are the

synthetic systemsof variousestimates.Each categoryvlll Include

basic datanecessary tocompillng SN-estimates. Forexample, the

gross value added ofthe prlmaryindustry basedon the data on

agrlCulturalproduction.inpu〔 offertilizer, numberofagriculturallaborers,etc.

lnour databasefor theNationa1 人ccountsestimates, theyare

classifled ina t】1ree-StageStructure, Thesemost basicdata were

compiledlnourFlrStStagedatabaseforprivateuse.Theywereunlted

- 1・L -

Page 19: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

toItemsWhlCllareeSSentlal int∫leCalculatlOnOfnationalaccounts.

ThesearecompiledintheSecondstagestructure,andavallabletothe

public.ThesecondarydatabaseiscomposedofninesectlOnS:

Section2: ctlVitiesIndicatorsOfPriTnaryIndustries,

3:ActlVitieslndlCatOrSOfSecondarylndustrleS.

4:ActivltleSIndicatorsofTerL1arylndustrleS,

5:ActivitiesIndicatorsofPrlVateConsumptlOn,

6.IActivitieslndlCatOrSOfGovernmentFlnaTICe,

7:StatisticalDataonCapitalFormation.

8:ForeignTradeIndicators,

9 :FinanceandPriceStatistics.and

lO:PopulationandLaborStatistics.

Sect10ElIiscomposedofNational Accounts.Thetitlesofseriesfrom

Section2to7complledin tlleSeSeCtlOnS areShownlnAppendix20f

this paper Whilethe serleSOf Sections8 9 and 10are to be

publlShed by other members of our project. TimeserleS are

Identifiedbythree numbers lndlCatedas(a.b,C):theyare

a:thenumberofthesection.

b:thenumberoftables(twofigures:e.g.1B)

tllefirstdigit1:nominalvalues,

2:realvalues,

3:referenceindicators,andc: theserialnumber,

Thesedataseries areavallable intileE)こCe1 95format eltherbya

FloppydeskortheDownlioadintheinternetthroughtheofflCeOfthe

COEProjectafterJanuary,1998.Thedetailedexplanationonthemethod

ofestiJDationoneach itemwill begiven lntheforthcoming TnanUal

(1nJapanese).

- 15 -

Page 20: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

TableI

NominalGnpanditsComposition

1915 1925 1935 1951 1960 1970 19801990

NominalGDP in1000yuan lnblllionsofyuan5.3317.4923.331233 70.04 226.814914222

Conposi tlOn(冗) in ExpenditureAccountsP rlVate COnSUmp tlOn 82.4970.6564.79 72,426787 56.2851.49 54.52Go vernmentcons ump 6.00 5.62 6.08 17.851925 18.2515.91 17.62

Ca plta l formatlOn 8.0712.9518.62 14.4319.96 25.5233.8022.40Ex port 40.6840.3444.37 10.2014.00 30.315253 53,72

Import 35.5929.573386 148g21.08 30.3653.27 42.24

ConposltlOn(冗)inProductionAccounts(excluding discrepancleS)

Primarylndustry 38.4943.8738.2532.2828.5415.47 7.68 4.13

Secondaryindustry 21.0822.5027.6021.3326.8736.8345.7542.53

Tertiary 40.4233.6334.1546.3844.5947.7146.5753.34

TableII

ASummaryofllistoricalAnnualGrowthRatesofGnp

period nominal deflator real PopulatlOn

1912-20 7.19 10.40 2.41

1920-30 4.22 -0.43 4.95

1930-40 7.50 4.76 2.171940-45 29.05 49.67 -12.09

1945-50 843.55 671.01 17.381950-60 22.85 11.70 10.00

1960-70 13.76 3.44 10.00

1970-80 20.72 9.36 10.391980-90 10.97 2.85 7.88

- 16 -

3

2

4

nJ7

8

ー1

9

1

2

6

7

6

6

50

2

Page 21: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

TableIII

CorqparlSOnOfConstantPriceMetjlOdwithSemi-DIVislaXetl10dintheCalculationofrealGl)P

(milllCInSOfyuan)

year l912 1920 1930 1940 1951 1960 1970 1980 1990

Series^ 9655 12779190562483530920625071617084346209282951i 8517 818114768206992792262507172291466411995772

C 6918 949713945---- 3041362507161612383009716235

- 17 -

Page 22: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

ppendix1LongtermEstimatesofSN ofTaiwan

Tablei-1NationalAccounts InCurrentPrices(InXilllOnSOfYuan)

(A)ExpenditureontheGrossDomesticproductl.1,1 1.1.2 1.1.3 1.1.4 1.1.5 1.16Gross Private Gover n- Gross Exports ImportsDonesticFinal RentFinalDomestlC Of ofExpendi-ConsumpL-Consumpt-Capital Goods& Goods良ture ionExpe-ionExpe-FormationServICeS ServICeS

nditure ndltUre

19120.0056210.00469319130.005962 0.0051031914 8.005523 0.00467519150.005329 000439619160.007005 0.0049301917 0.008930 0.006233

0.0003360.00∩3740.0004350.0003200.0003520.000392

000069400005790.0004410.0004300.0007270,001299

0.0018320.0018600.0017130.0021680.0030910.003938

0.0017430.00172900015130.0017900.0018660.002550

19180010798 0.007987 0.000499 0001913 0003786 0.00297319190,013832 0.010542 0.0007510,002413 0.004813 0.0042281920 0016887 0.0111610.000765 0004616 0.005782 0.004663

9999999999

9999999999

0,014220 0.009748 0.000940 0.003212 0.004106 D.0037862 0013160 0,00904630.014007 0.0087844 0.015757 0.0097475 0.017485 0.0123546 0.017137 0.0123727 0.016572 0.0115068 0.019254 0.0127399 0.019272 0.01310900.017445 0.011798

0.00108400010100.0009940.0009830.0010150.001050.00107g0.0011620.001195

0.0020230.0020190.0017500.0022650.0021820.0025800.0031270.0034070.002737

0.0043920.0053770.0070420.0070530.0067660.0067420.0067950,0074370.006644

0.0033850.0031830.0037760.0051700.0051980.0053060.0044860.0058430.004929

310.0147960.009382 0.001184 0.002324 0.006217 0.・00431132 0.017010 0.011487 0.001164 0.002678 0.006913 0.005232330.0171910.011632 0.001208 0.002998 0,007123 0.00577034 0.019690 0012574 0.001315 0.0034210009098_0006718350023383 00151510.0014210,004355 0.010374 0.007918360.025304 0016445 0.口01607 0.0042310.0118110.00879037 0.026937 0.017296 0.001864 0.0042910.013307 0.009821380.031834 0.0203510.002016 0.005297 0.015444 0.0112743g 0.002390 0.019143 0.01242340 0.002890 0.015725 0.011525

- 16 --

Page 23: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Tableト1:Continued)

(A)ExpenditurPOntheGrossDomesticproduct

Gross PrlVate Govern- Gross Exports lmpol-tsDomcstic Final mentFlnalDomestic of ofExpendi- Consunpt-Consumpt-Capital Goods& GoodsA

ture ionExpe-ュonExpe-FormatlOnServices Servicesnditure nditure

1234567890

444444.44・45

9999999999

1951 123281952 172511953 229551954 252041955 299811956 344101957 401731958 449661959 518331960 62507

0.0031250.0036500.0047250.0056750.0074500.0786250.2869751.618500

113日莞iJH

0346501942

0360510343

29566nU137lU

223457CO902

oOOU34353500∩叫〉

2256237335

9736627065

lUO27001・47152

111222334

1961 70043、 47541 134841962 77159 52103 154481963 87252 55912 163891964 101966 64315 177871965 112627 71452 190021966 126022 77066 218711967 145817 87407 255131968 169904 101789 303231969 196845 113861 361891970 226805 127636 41397

- 19 -

9341OU459U200

33nU96PU2・496

7424925531

00∩∂5QU430U21cc

762nU953476

979057nI362OU

1234356792

33595652007

1

1111223445

0.012358 0.0106250.013075 0.0096250.010025 0.0084750.007775 0.0041250.000900 0.0008250.062050 0.0271250.903600 0.5874255.656700 4.687825

83 106599 975

69ハU1095544

33747645Lnnコ

ouJハ7177.49503受U

1233355701

764・dT509932

580037100nO79

23964100651

1111233467

9803 1476810498 1461515637 1663620371 1959621771・ 2514427522 2717332286 3527141268 4610052909 5433368746 68860

Page 24: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Tableト1:Continued)

19191919191919191919

(A)ExpendltureOntheGrossI)omestlCproduct1.1.1 1.1.2 1.1,3 1.1.4 1.1,5 1.1・6Gross Private Govern- Gross Exports ImportsDomestic Flnal れentFinalDomeStic of ofExpendi- Consumpt-Consumpt-Capltal Goods& Goods良tur° ionExpe-ionExpe-FormationServices Services

nditure nditure

263676 142531 45478 69179 93776 87288316172 164580 50767 Bl082 133610 113867410405 206919 62349 119373 193755 171991549577 299346 77489 215325 24】395 283978589651 336846 93064 179047 233701 253007707710 368690 107527 216231 336228 320966828995 426802 128827 232950 405534 365118991602 497649 150326 279671 519372 45541611g5838 604473 184467 393379 637586 6240671491059 767742 237160 503911 783272 801026

1981 1773931 922154 285727 529833 920920 8847031982 1899971 1002305 320645 479224 952471 8546741983 2100005 1085429 340290 492861 1日4298 9328731984 2343078 1189459 371818 519371 1317482 10550521985 2473786 1261580 399364 471359 1341253 9997701986 2855180 1366466 422882 500656 1658744 10935681987 3222993 1537782 463920 659848 1855409 12939661988 3496951 1765247 529926 816052 1914488 15287621989 3878547 2070811 618953 885164 1953257 16496381990 4222004 2302009 743773 945839 2013953 1783570

- 2ll -

Page 25: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Table1-1:Continued)

(B)GrossDomestlCProductl.1.7 1.1.8 1.1.9 1.1.10 1.1.11 1.1,12Gross Primal.y Seconda- Tertiary Statisti- Popula-Domestic Industry ry Industry calDis- tionProduct Industry crepancy (1000)

Ilatio(%)

1912 0.006179 0.003358 0.000780 0.002041 -9.1913 0.006353 0.003274 0.000785 0.002295 -6.1914 0.005507 0.002310 0.000945 0.002253 0.Ⅰ915 0.005699 0.002194 0.001202 0.002304 -6,1916 0.007080 0.002551 0.001896 0.002633 -1.1917 0.009735 0.003701 0.002586 0.003448 -9.1918 0.011360 0.005001 0.002522 0.003837 -51919 0.015151 0.006271 0.003526 0.005354 -91920 0.016160 0.005818 0.004469 0.005874 4.

1921 0.014261 0.005140 0.003213 0005908 -0.1922 0.013157 0.004816 0.003074 0.005267 0.1923 0.013630 8.004977 0.003452 0,005201 2.1924 0.015740 0.006499 0.003760 0.005481 01925 0,017863 0.007831 0.00401LJ 0OO6006 -21926 0.017188 0.007327 0.003932 0.005930 -0.1927 0,016429 0.006749-0.003834 0.005846 0.1928 0.018034 0.007196 0,004615 0.006223 -2.1929 8,019281 0,007391 0.005307 0.006588 -0,1930 0.017181 0.006274

1931 0.014447 0.0050011932 0.017306 0.0069081933 0.016099 0.0056221934 0.018249 0.0069411935 0021981 0.0084791936 0.023552 0.0089371937 0.024900 0.0092001938 0.027875 0.0105251939 0.033700 0.0127001940 0.035425 0,012350

0.004833

0.0040550.0046310.0045910.0047680.0060120.0063470.0067250.0077250.0099000.010700

0.006074 1.

0.005391 2.0005767 -1.0.005886 6.0.006540 70.007491 5.0.008268 6.0.008975 70.009625 12.0.0111000.012375

524nU67050U

6562727899

4015629767

305794715

3074443347

036915nU・497

455556677

nxU99nU123456

009013.4670UハU

333333333

33344.444..ハ74

4455555556

970119272

59∧UnO2005060

50296226

250057nUO30

00190696641

3・4319263

95290nU253

206112001nU5

3753∩∂95・バー

Page 26: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Table1-1:Continued)

(B)GrossDomesticProductl.1.7 1.1.8 1.1.9 1.1.10 1.1.llGross Primary Seconda- Tcrtlary Statisti-Domestic Industry ry Industry calpis-Product Industry

1941 0.038075 0.013500 0.011875 0.0127001942 0.043425 0.015475 0.012525 0.0154251943 0.050475 0.015925 0.015800 0.0187501944 0.068175 0.017575 0.021050 0.0295501945 0.126800 0.029900 0.027000 0.0699001946 1.382525 0.9510250.132625 0.2988751947 5.940825 3.476900 0.903925 1.560000194849.39192529.044800 7.43357512.9135501949 2896 1515 552 8291950 8212 2869 1614 3729

1951 123281952 172511953 229551954 252041955 299811956 344101957 401731958 449661959 518331960 62507

CrepanCyRatio(冗)

2

a

)

ll1

lnU

.u∩nU

1

p00

.〇・⊥I

1Pt(

5-・・・OD84670094

5416544093

1qU56953729

6666666677

-一U10133912

73459nU(U439

47036nU36nU3

8009990nU∧Ul1

0nUハU爪U000nUnU0

874nU5398013

199196・4637

725125nU7100

5cc∧‖U2.469147

11111222

nU620617356

39536nU4649

63・・〃.nU9411nU7

234660nUnU1JuJeU

nUCO940675700

oU506247353

959074-90600

3577nXU90237

1961 70043 19225 18616 322021962 77159 19269 21772 361181963 87252 20286 26128 408381964 101966 24989 30971 460061965 112627 266日 34025 519911966 126022 28379 38494 591491967 145817 30057 48053 677071968 169904 32308 58524 790721969 196845 31276 72565 930041970 226805 35076 83530 108199

92370U37八日U56

1山▲185744037

71400150U23eU

1222333444

<‖UnU00O∧‖U000nU

Page 27: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Table卜1:Continued)

(B)CrossDomesticProductl.1.7 11.8 1.1.9 1.1.10 1.1.llGross Primary Seconda- Tertlary Sl'ltistl-Domestic Industry ry Industry calDis-Product Industry

1971 263676 34455 102680 1265411972 3161721973 410405Ig74 5495771975 5896511976 7077101977 8289951978 991602

38619 131670 14588349678 179893 18083468279 223609 25768974875 235419 27935780504 305443 32176387875 364393 37672793033 448007 450562

1979 1195838 102248 542210 551380114556 682114 694389

129487 807242 837202147016 843022 909933153289 944691 1002025148351 1081913 1112814142999 1144824 1185963158224 1360196 1336760171234 1528714 1523045175624 1597457 1723870189567 1690913 1998067174242 1795742 2252020

← 司B] ←

1980 1491059

1981 17739311982 18999711983 21000051984 23430781985 24737861986 28551801987 32229931988 34969511989 38785471990 4222004

CrepanCyRatio(%)

2a

)

=リ日日

mT九

.u∩o

1

p0nu

.▲U1I

1Pt

(

59520003695

6ウリ33005QJ・47

900655nU137ハU

35315520nU5

925nO458148

1470246913

4555666777

QU00OU99999nUnU

1111111111

111111l122

∩=U00nU一U00nUnU0

nUnU▲UnUハU0nU000

Page 28: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

Tablel12NationalAccounts lnJtealPrices(1960ConstantPrices)(InMillionsofYuan)

(A)ExpenditureontheGrossDomestlCproductl.2.1 1.2.2 1.2.3 1.2.4 1,2.5 1.26Gross PrlVate Govern- Gross Exports ImportsDomestic Final mentFlnalDomestic of ofExpendト Consumpt-Consumpt-Capital Goods& Goods良ture ionExpellooExpe-FormatlOnServICeS Services

nditure nditur°

∩ロ480569445

7472367303

5691714559

39・49415QUOu

2247330233

5000647nU795

64nU570U790

0649574124

5407nU23271

.4・4JT433345

544467白U799

9nUnU1343443

∧∪9nU824・qOU2

647509513C.0

1374266391

2232020U49

4201680041・4

25996990U700

3122oU4367

11307914ハU200

1ハ「7nU4422151

333456554

JT5677cOのU9nU9

1nU9i334521

1647<‖04475

cc79275937QU

63366625

0744589nU4

125120U7672

45000nU775

731996311

93396610007

52727273

111

1123

2221223343

34456756

27JT一U360003

0U79.4一U64227

6240u375277

00299914nU

2545556689

〇一UO2467744

111

1111111111

22∩′∪222223・・nT

- 2・1 -

765526575

9371319222

9691DOl122

2955230U2nU2

653579564

29ハU560U79nU6

8999999▲HU一U

ハU01lU2223.44

145591963

・475nU75nU542

000048000・4400

9726221646

1600IOU3653

3113nXUI20029

999024233

2・45566699OU

18893 1327521478 1667619766 1585121218 1597125441 1798724813 1824526110 1907127638 20003

23・4567nO90

1234567009nU

1234567CO9一U

11111l112

2222222223

3333333334

999999999

9999999999

9999999999

Page 29: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Table1-2Continued)

(A)Expenditureor)theGrossDomesticproductl.2.1 l.2.2 1.2.3 1.2.4 1.2.5 1.2.6Gross Private Govern- Gross Exports I叩OrtSDomestic Final れentFlnalI)omestic of ofExpendト Consumpt-Consumpt-Capital Goods& Goods良

ture lOnExpe-ionExpe-FomationServICeS Servicesndihュre nditure

6420Ul10375

4003620U30005

33000000UO70U3

07145009223

CO3nXUOU7054∩コ49

00・495796190

oU492

4305∧U

O2610¢UOO24QU

790〇一U717cc69

0CO41

2314

56676778nU1

3225228612

11

111-1222345

7507695612

37470U25nUnロ2

0nUn∂COnU0OU130

55538465nU2

0193352739

7771377329

70U331・4nUOU64

21nU9792641

54hU19290070U

9974

21

2

3342334467

∩ロnU6nU▲U5∩訂6.49

112222345

53673345.4lUU

16195551日XU91

73178070071

40UOU2eUOUOU234

21nU696nU436

8394cc5nU574

45665700912

2235927一U25

11

1111122333

2444・4470027

nU3763ハUOU772

9333395749

99nU1912503

566665nU147

5nUCO7574.41nU

l124

5657890122

12967145481542016738179491964722510248032818231561

- 25 -

4633374519

595338000013

870095640.45

139∩訂600.42nU1

51日一U4602nU9005

4210743156

2580235eU92

50UnU6341700U

2223333334

44556677ccCO

OU1775400736

007nU721372

60013942210

1072396740

5970U269235

0773771446

nU37nU・469492

7223992242

3334444556

67cc9902346

1234567890

12345670090

123456700g0

44444444.45

5555555556

6666666667

9999999999

9999999999

9999999999

1111111111

1111111111

1111111111

Page 30: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Table1-2Continued)

(A)ExpenditureontheCrossI)omesticproductl.21 1.2,2 1.2.3 1.2.4 1.2.5 1・2・6Gross Private Govern- Gross Exports ImportsDomestic Flnal ‖entFinalDomestic of ofExpendl- Consumpt-Consumpt-Capital Goods& Goods良

ture ionExpe-ionExpe-FormationServICeS Servicesnditure nditure

l971 185332 95202 33583 41996 79475 649241972 214356 102759 35605 47765 106681 784541973 237383 114915 39800 57973 128534 1038391974 233139 134734 38486 69653 127327 1370611975 238498 131509 38852 68460 113037 1133601976 280694 141644 46043 72288 16日50 1404311977 314923 153545 51028 72850 186212 1487121978 354408 169971 55904 80309 224588 1763641979 380291 189815 64055 95261 245041 2138811980 391483 203993 67004 106812 251770 238096

1981 423130 216041 69060 98122 280837 2409301982 445675 221085 73189 90226 284981 2238061983 494407 237994 77568 87896 337740 2467911984 555532 259303 84905 90036 399689 2784011985 586283 271250 90540 83087 404785 2633791986 664176 281954 94177 89991 493007 2949531987 711906 321591 104016 108663 555607 3779711988 718394 370365 118711 123352 569736 4637701989 729912 413582 131014 135783 557470 5079371990 749221 439327 150655 140252 554155 535168

- 26 一

Page 31: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

・lly)

・「-SC%

2

S・ln(

illD

a0

.t

p・⊥

2

a1

eJL

.t

a∫a

1S

CCpハ

46415941i

5129009341

339nU2QU1.47

98536213600

6730UnU79Ln

61へ〔U47499000

18250U259

(Tableト2Continued)

(B)GrossDomesticProductl.2.7 1.2.8 1.2.9 1.2.10 1.2.llGross Primary Seconda- Tertiary PerDomestlC Industry ry Industry CapitaProduct Industry DDP

(Yuan)

536449467

.4754134721

352626780U

491924RU803

0nXU0l15442

1275640U943

323333333

33333333.44

9600170qU1

3677345971

9515165152

2665452233

327912210

1015155573

4473331151

691157nU37

36591750002

2312736116

111467654

7779216¢U91

4525とUQUnU143

222222222

2222333334

4444445555

00116600172

920766601=09

452431・406QU

eU49637861

nU51646nU594

0U916131730

001eU839346

50U91556310

900ハU2OUl1日UO63

111122222

2223323455

4555677777

377166616

049295QU00O5

5509172692

954146959

2606568349

1240U719639

339ハU22492

002132cc55000

25100997<日日65

666767777

679001日凸899∧Ul

1243121223

4nU5636∩ロ91

06nU6664357

34qU67・・17701

29593一1445

6772104926

25675の06496

497220793

0(HD750600602

693640U史U262

090113222

2244546700

0233343・456

1

1111111

11▲l111l122

2222222222

一2345670UgnU

I234567890

1234567009ハU

l11111l12

2222222223

3333333334

999∩ロ99999

9999999999

999g999999

111111111

1111111111

1111111111

- 27 -

Page 32: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

・l】y)

t

SC%

2

S1n(

l・lD

a0

.t

p・1

2

a1

et

.t

ara

1S

CCn爪

(Table卜2Continued)

(8)GrossDoTneSticProductl.2.7 1,2.8 1.2.9 1.2.10 1.2.llGross Primary Seconda- Tcrtlary Per

Industry CapitaODll(Yuan)

430U1

0004nU9

nUOO6126nU5095

1977

6751

30096396255

10nUnU

0000

l155001爪U00

934nUnU464005

09591520077

63121・49069

60の09一U20741

520979001OUOO

2967.437131

23920nUO5925

692356企U134

6002nXU50631nU

.dT433122233

334444.d「.555

55eU670UOO901

00U5709370U3

9619794440

11OUO562232

554422巾「U・・450U

10251123701358515566170901975520694221502685427873

30002331183738141456472425140957278625466840175183

Domestic ∫ndustry ryProduct Industry

.4.1471¢UO720U

63621130016

6569265311

6335558へ〔U6O3

71nO7000UOU969

56300231.4.41

279<‖U79002nU.4

150699・427・7

7巾へU.40736251

7766--2.455

6799ハUO2446

7915nD3731nU

l11111

l122233456

17nU73・413500

3003nU552爪UOuOU

70037751714

00020099COnU99

91492225nU3

3004(日日1600161

0327157・421

4430022100000

30U30U4nU2434

4441OUOO9134

44556670077

000U91345656

111

1111⊥l11l・・l1

1l12222222

560Dl・414759

nU140U619837

51021046300

50U641504nUOU

201296992ハU

9765¢U17nUnU0

4299529970U

93nU12924・45

031∩■∪3COI237

6751235937

04RU1460.492

61nOOU980251

2222111122

3334445556

6770U9∩‖∪2346

1234567890

1234567CO9nU

1234567009nU

4444444445

5555555556

66〃hU6RU6たU667

9999999999

9999999999

9999999999

ー 28 -

Page 33: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Table1-2Continued)

(B)GrossDomesticProduct1.2.7 1.2.8 1.2.9 1.2,10 1.2.llGross Primary Seconda- Tertiary PerDomestic industry ry Industry CapitaProduct Industry

1971 1834811972 2092311973 2373891974 2434881975 2566861976 2931801977 3248631978 3726581979 4038581980 434629

26609 71592 8528027304 84284 9764328076 96631 11268229502 94537 日944927585 102848 12617329819 124154 13920730923 140878 15306230473 167213 17497231890 179459 19250931415 198990 204224

DDP(Yuan)

6510902751

30U569624nU1

26235737・14

2355579134

1111111222

1981 464939 31256 216833 216850 256361982 479386 32111 219076 228199 25972

⊥】y)

t

SC%

2

S⊥n(

1

1D

a0

.t

p・1

2

a1

et

.t

a∫a

1S

CCEE<

15

(U5666043

93

04

202nU9009

9nU

1983 523816 32609 241332 249875 27962 -5.61

1985 606961 34192 282108 290661 31517 -3.411986 677871 34004 31g299 324568 34843 -2.821987 766616 35586 360192 370838 39067 -7・141988 823127 35673 375298 412156 41355 -12・721989 888256 35173 394242 458841 44176 -17・831990 928295 35542 397570 495183 45610 -19・29

- 29 -

Page 34: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

Table1-2B National Accoun t s:Implicite Deflator (1960=100)

(A)ExpenditureontheGrossDomesticProductl.2B.1 1.2B.2 1.2B.3 12B4 1.2B.5 112B・6Gross Private Govern- Gross Exports Imports

Domestic Final RentFinalI)ornestic of of

Expendi- Consumpt-Consump卜 Capital Coo°s& Goods良

ture ionExpe-ionExpe-FormatlOnServices ServICeSnditure nditure

l9120.00006120.00005400.00032940.00004080・00005520・000037619130,00006160.00005330.00034950.00004210・00005940000038519140.00005610.00004980.00035080.00003850・00005300・000037419150.00005230.00004620.00035560.0000454000005130・00003901916000005430.00005040.00037850.00007590.00005330・000049819170.00006240.00006290.00040830.00007710.00006130・000066819180,00008540.00008390.00045360.00013720・00007030・00007921919000010210.00009920.00050740.00011450・00008520・000084819200.00012620.00010700.00074270.00014680.00012070・0000917

19210.00011470.00009530.00073440.00011010.00009900・000075319220.00009280.00008230.0006904000008690.00008250・00007321923000009260.00007940.00067790.00008560.00008950・000071619240.00010260.00009240.00064550.00009150100009130000075919250.00010390.00009790.00065530.00008620.00008860000079119260.0001063000009640.00065060.00008130.80008260・000067219270,00010220.00009000.00064020.0000812a.0000795口・000063119280,00009690.00009150.00066600.0000809000007520000063019290.00010010.00009360,00063850.0000836000007280000063319300.00009200.00008070.0006066000007340・00006750・0000523

19310,00007830.00007070.00057480.00006550.000054 4 0・000045119320.00007920.00006890.00057620.00006300000064 3 0000050319330.00008700.0000734000059220,00006370.000078 3 0.000057219340.00009280.0000787000057680,00006470.000079 2 0.080057119350,0000919000008420.00058480.00006410.000077 1 0.000060719360.00010200.00009010.00060190.00005820.000088 8 0.00nO616193700001032000009070.00067780.00007430.000093 1 0_.000073819380,00011560.00010170.0007412000008340,0001017 0.00007901939 00006888 0.800152 2 000008401940 0.0006465 0.000140 6 0.0000876

- 30 -

Page 35: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Table1-2】iContinued)

(A)ExpenditureontheGrossDomesticproduct1.2B.1 ].2B.2 1.2B.3 1.2IL4 1.21】5 1.2B.6Cross Private Govern- Gross Exports ImportsI)omestic Final mentFinalDomestlC Of ofE)【pendi- Consumpt-Consumpt-Capital Goods& Goods良

ture ionExpe-ionExpe-FormationServICeS ServICeSnditure ndltore

3762876290

331620U667QU

3700767493ハU

5142973224

.-1

000173027

JT65924∩ロ0069

4566670UCO8

nuonU▲U1l1233

12345670U9ハリー234567nO90

1234567の09ハU

44444444455555555556

6666666667

99999999999999999999

9999999999

0,00052790.00057570.00074530.00089510.00117510.01323650.02715000.1373939

4.6334.83

9,53 39.36 41.619.19 48.14 51.490.92 61.37 53.59

0.00012660.00009830.00013270.00011360.00013640.00017250.00017930.00033050.00048390.00161760.0138196a.00563930.04375790.02457850.30477910.1550719

13.81 6.9424,73 24.1639.24 36.ll44.47 39.1048.46 47.43

60.81 59.69 60.52 55.64 52.0667.46 65.81 66.82 66.21 62.0972.85 72.19 72.66 78.69 69.3379.25 77.69 78.71 92.05 75.8084,09 81.51 78.63 100.41 91.1389.45 88.74 8556 102.08 103.89100 100 100 100 100

04.68 103.99 108.89 102.43 107.1508.01 106.13 11 0.88 180.27 112.92ll.39 106.28 114.08 97.25 1289814.66 10627 123.72 101.26 130.1412,06 川5.87 128.60 104.02 110.4319.50 111.32 118.38 108.91 122.4122.51 113.34 132.48 107.70 122.6431.97 122.26 139.62 112.05 125.2141.44 128.41 147.28 118.30 130.3044.04 131.17 163.33 114.79 130.16

- 31 -

Page 36: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Tableト2BContinued)

(A)ExpenditureontheGrossDomesticproductl.2B.I I.2B2 1.2B.3 1.2B.4 112B・5 1・ZB6Gross PrlVate Govern- Gross Exports ImportsDomestic Flnal …entFinalDomestic of of

F,xpend1- Consumpt-Consumpt-Capital Goods& Goods良

ture ionExpe-ionExpe-FormationServICeS ServicesndltUre nditure

l971 142.27 149.71 135.42 164・73 117・99 134・451972 147.50 160.16 142.58 169.75 125・24 145・141973 172.89 18006 156.66 205・91 150・74 165・631974 235.73 222.18 201.341975. 247.24 256.14 239.531976 252,13 260.29 233541977 263.24 277.97 252.461978 279.79 292.78 268.901979 314.45 318.45 287.98

309.14 189.59 207.19261.54 206.75 223.19299.12 208.64 228.56319.77 217.78 245.52348.24 231.26 258.23412.95 260,20 291.78

1980 380.87 376.36 353.95 471.77 311・11 336・43

1981 419.24 426.84 413.74 539.97 327・92 367・201982 426.31 453.36 438.11 531.14 334122 381・881983 424.75 456.07 438.70 560.73 329・93 378・001984 421.77 45871 437.92 576,85 329・63 37B・971985 42194 465.10 441.09 567.31 331・35 379・591986 429.88 484.64 449.03 556・34 336・45 370・761987 452,73 478.18 446,01 607.24 333194 342・351988 486.77 476.62 446.40 661.56 336・03 329・641989 531.37 500.7 472.43 651.9 350・38 3241771990 563.52 523.99 493.69 674.39 363・43 333・27

ー 32 -

Page 37: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Table1-2BContlnued)

(B)GrossDomestlCProduct1.2B.7 1.2Ⅰ3.8 1.2B.9 1.2B.10Gross Primary Seconda- Tertial・yDomestic Industry ry lndustryProduct Industry

19120.00005930.00005250.00004180.000094419130.00006360.00005150.00005440.000104719140.00005120.00003330.00005590.0001064Ll915000005050.00003130.00006440.000095219160.000063819170.000074819180.000091019190.000117019200.0001308

19210.000118219220.000102219230.000092319240.000108419250.000119019260.000117719270.000097519280.000101919290.000096319300.0000848

19310.000070119320.0000754

0.00004080.00005090.00006670.00007890.0000800

0.00007540.00006630,00005460.00007770.00009490.00008260.00007040.00007540.00006820.0000566

0.00004460.0000552

0.00008120.00008680.00010590.00014290.0001711

0.00012810.00010780.00011860.00011870.00011330.00015320.00010650.00010610.08010210.0000957

0.00008140.0000786

0,00009930.00012440.80014740.00021150.0002378

0.00021630.00019080.00018910.00018290.00018710.00018680.00016000.00016350.00016510.0001473

0.00012190.0001272

19330.00006890.0000398000009160.000139619340.000077119350.000093719360.000094719370.000104319380.000115019390.000131219400.0001349

0.00005000.00007080.00006920.00007800.00008720.00010050.0000909

0.00009060.00008820.00008900.00009590.00010930.00012960.0001464

一 33p-

0.00014460.00016030.00017110.00017730.00018830.00020500.0002308

Page 38: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Tablel12BContinued)

(A)Grossl.2B.7GrossDomestic

Product

19410,000143219420.000159119430.000194419440.000310719450.001013319460.010433219470.037354119480.2476158

Domestic

1.2B.8PrimaryIndustry

0.00009640.00010760.00011200.00014910.00036490.01106620.03554750.2533787

Product

1.2B.9Seconda-

ry

Industry

0.00016340.00016200.00022790.00035520.00154200.00677480.03138638.1754425

1.2B.10TertiaryIndustry

0.00024470.00029850.00038940.00070820.00271980.01107150.04810270.3040629

1949 12.22 11.40 10.90 15.501950 29.45 20.21 29.41 45,59

0078nU5.45006▲U

7ハU90068∧U280

11-

577733289

567700009900

00ハUO44ハU9750

52nU3452八日U10

2592361005

44・46670u79

65564210090

455472166nU

70U1438・466

235455667

799CDOO77130

cc232620052nU

900173927

356667780U

12345670U9nU

5555555556

9999999999

1234567009nU

6666666667

9999999999

105.97 104.84 104.84 107.33108.11 102.02 112.43 109.061日.63 104.88 121.89 109.25115.41 114.113.33 113.115.82 117.121.34 118.128.51 122.135.47 123.

59 123.44 110.9864 日8.46 110.0593 115.47 115.0689 127.75 118.2130 135.34 126.4232 140.79 135.97

140.26 132.79 138.96 143.91

- 3.1 -

Page 39: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

(Table1-2BContinued)

(B)GrossDomesticProductl,2B.7 1.2B.8 1,2B.9 1.2B.10Gross Prlmary Seconda- TertiaryDomestic ITldustryPry IndustryProduct Industry

1971 143.71 129.49 143.42 148.381972 151.11 141.44 156.22 149.401973 172.88 176.94 186.16 160.48-1974 225.71 231.44 236.53 215.731975 229.79 271.43 228.90 221.411976 241.39 269.98 246.02 231.141977 255.18 284.17 258.66 246.131978 26609 305.30 267.93 257.511979 296.10 320.63 302.14 286.421980 343.06 364.65 342.79 340.01

1981 381.54 414.28 372.29 386.071982 396.33 457.84 384.81 398.751983 400.91 470.08 391.45 401.011984 404.34 445.04・39820 405・471985 407.57 418.22 405.81 408.021986 421.20 465.31 425.99 411.861987 420.42 481.18 424.42 410.701988 424.84 49232 425.65 418.261989 436.65 538.96 42890 435.461990 454.81 490,24 451.68 454.79

- 35 -

Page 40: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

Appendlx2TltleofTaiwanDatabase

Table1-INationalAccounts InCurrentPl・lCeS(InXlllionsofYuan)

(A)ExpenditureontheGrossDomesticProduct

1.i,1 GrossDomesticExpenditure

1.1.2 PrivateFlnalConsumptlOnExpendltUre

1.1.3 GovernmentFinalConsumptionExpendltUre

1.1.4 GrossDomesticCapitalFormation

1.1.5 ExportsofGoodsandServices

1.1.6 1mportsofGoodsandServices

(B)ProductionofCrossDomestlCProduct

1.1.7 GrossDomesticPr∝】uct

1.1.8 PrimaryIndustry

1.1.9 Secondarylndustry

1.1.10 TertiaryIndustry

1.1ll StatisticalDISCrepanCyRatio(冗)

1.1.12 Population(1000)

Ta ble1-2 NationalAccountsln RealPrices(1960 ConstantPrices:lnMillions

ofYuan)

(A)ExpenditureontlleGrossDomesticProduct

1.2.1 GrossDomestlCExpendlture

1.2.2 PrlVatCFinalConsumptionExpenditure

1.2.3 GovernmentFinalConsumptionExpendlture

1.2.4 GrossDomesticCapitalFormatlOn

1.2.5 ExportsofGoodsandServICeS

1.2.6 lmportsofGoodsandServICeS

(B)ProductionOfCrossDomesl.icProduct

1.2.7 GrossDomesticProduct

1.2.8 Prlmarylndustry

1.2.9 SecondaryIndustry

1.2.10 TertiaryIndustry

1.2.ll StatlSticalDiscrepancyl‡atio(冗)

i.2.12 PerCapitaGDP(Yuan)

- 36 -

Page 41: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

Table1-3PreliminaryEstimateofNationalAccounts190311911

(A)Nominal(MillionsofYuan)

1.3.1 GrossDomesticExpenditure

1.3.2 PrivateFinalConsumptionExpendiLure

I.3.3 GovernmentFinalConsumptionExpenditure

i.3.4 GrossI)ornesticCapitalFormatlOn

1.3.5 ExportsofGoodsandServICeS

1.3.6 1mportsofGoodsandServICeS

(B)Realin1960Prices(XilllOnSOfYuan)

1.3.7 GrossDomesticExpenditure

l.3.8 PrivateFinalConsunptlOnExpenditure

1.3.g GoverrlnentFinalConsumptionExpenditure

1.3.10 CrossI)omesticCapitallTormatlOn

1.3.ll ExportsofCoo°sandServICeS

1.3.12 1mportsofGoodsandServices

Table 211 Nominal Pr oductlOn Of Agr icultural,For estr y an d FISllery Industries

(InXlllionsofYuan)

(A)ByIndustry

2.1.1 EstimatesofAgriculturalStatisticalyearbook:Total

2.1.2 :Agriculture

2.1.3 :Forestry

2.1.4 :Fishery

2.1.5 JCJほEstimateS:Agriculture

2.1.6

(B)ComposltionofProduction(%)

2.1.7 CommonCrops

2.1.8 IndustrialCrops

2.1.9 Vegetable良Fruit

2.1.10 LIVeStOCk良Sericulture

2.i.ll Fishery Products

2,I.12 ForestryProducts

- 37 一

Page 42: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

Table2-lBComparlSOnOfEstimatesonNominalGrossValueAddedofAgriculture.

ForestryandFisherylndustrleS(InMillionsofYuan)

2.1B.1 grlCulture,ForestryandFISheryIIldus[ries:byDGBS

2.1B.2 :byT.~.Yu

2,173.3 :SeriesLinked

2.1B.4 grlCUlture:byIX;BAS

2.1B.5 :byT.LLYu

2.1】3.6 :SeriesLinked

Table2-2RealGrossValueAddedofAgriculture,ForestryandFISherylndustrleS(1960YearPrices:InMillionsofYuan)

2.2.I griculturc . F o restry and FIShcry IndustrleS: by DGliS

2,2.2 : by T. 汁.Yu

2,2.3 : Series Linked

Table2-2BProductionIndexof grlCUlture,ForestryandFIShery:S.P.IIo's

IndexLlnkedToIndexByTaiwaneseGovernment (1960=100)

2.2B.I TotalProductionofAgricuuure,ForestryandFishery2.2B.2 Co皿10nCrops

2.2B.3 IndustrialCrops

2.2B.4 Vegetable良Fruit

2.2B.5 grlCulturalFieldProduct

2.21!.6 Livestock良SerlCUlture

Table2-2CI)etailedPrcductionIndexofAgricultural.ForestryandFisheryIndustry:1946-1990 (1960=100)

2.2C.1 Total

2,2C.2 griculture:Total

2.2C.3 :FleldProducts:Total

2.2C.4 :Rice

2.2C.5 :Others

2.2C.6 :ⅠndustrlalProducts

2.2C.7 :Fruit

- 38 -

Page 43: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

2.2C.8

2.2C.9

2.2C.10

22C.llForestry2.2C.12

2.2C.13

2.2C.14Livestock

2.2C.15

2.2C.16

2.2C.17FISllery2.2C.18

2.2C.19

2.2C20

VegetableHushroom

Flower

Total

Timber

Fire.BambooaCharcoalTotal

PigOthers

Total

FarSea

OffShore

Coastal

2.2C.21 :Cultural

Table 2-2D ProductionIndex of Agriculhlre by S,Ishikawa(1960=100)

2.2D.1CoJnnOnCrops

2.2D.2IndustrialCrop

2.2D.3Vegetable良Fruits:Vegetable2.2D.4 :Fruits

2.2D.5 :Subtotal

2.2D.6Total

Table2-313ackgroundlndlCatOrSforAgriculturalProductlOn

3.1 NumberofFan lLouseholds(1000):Total

3.2 :OwnLandHolders

3.3 FarmPopulation(1000)

3.4 Cultivatedland(1000hectare)・Total

3.5 :PaddyLand:Subtotal

3.6 :I)oubleCropping

- 39 -

Page 44: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

Table 2- 3B Q uantity ofProd uction of MajorAgriculturalProducts(1000 Tons)

2.38.1IilCe2.3B2SweetPotatoes

2.3B.3SugarCanes2.3B.4 Tobacco2.37!.5Banana

2.3B.6PineApples

Table 3-1 NomlnalGrossVa lueAddedofSeco n d aryIndustry(Lfillions of Yuan)

3.13.13.13.13.1

SecondaryIndustryTotal

XanufacturingViningElectricity,Gas良YalerConstruction

Table3-1B ProductionShare of ManufacturingIndustry(冗)

3.1B.1Food.Beverage良Tobacco3.1B.2Textile,WearingApparel良Accessories3.1B,3 Yood良BarnbooProducts

3.1Ⅰ3.4 ChemicalaPaperProducts3.1B.5Ceramlc,Stone良ClayProducts31B.613asicMetalProducts

3,113.7Hachinery良Equipment3.1B.8Printing良Others

Table312JlealGrossvalueAddedoftheSecondaryIndustry(LtillionsofYuan:1960Prices)

1 SecondaryIndustryTotal2 Nanufacturing3 Xinlng

4 Electricity,GasaWater5 Construction

- ・10 -

Page 45: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

Table3-2BProductionlndexofManufacturingindustry

3.2B.1 Food,Beverage良Tobacco

3.2B.2 Textile,≠earingApparel良Accessories

3.2B.3 Yood良BambooProducts

3.28.4 Chemical良PaperProducts

3.2li.5 CeramlC,Stone良ClayProducts

3.2B.6 BasicMetalProducts

3.2Ⅰ3.7 ∬achirlery良Equipment

3.2B.8 Prlnting良Others

3.2B.9 yanufacturingTotal

3.2I3,10Nlning

3.2BllElectricity,Gas良Water

3.213.12Construction

Table312CI)etailedPrcKluctionIndexofSecondaryIndustry1946-1990

(1960=100)

3,2C.1 Total

3.2C.2 Xining :Total

3.2C.3 :Coal

3.2C.4 Xanufacturlng:Total

3.2C.5 :Food

3.2C.6 :Beverage

3.2C.7 :Tobacco

3.2C.8 :Textile

3.2C.9 :WearingApparel

3.2C.10 ・,YcK)denProducts

3.2C.11 :PaperaPulpProducts

3.2C.12 :Printir)良

32C.13 :Leather &FarProducts

3,2C.14 :RubberProducts

3.2C.15 :CheJnlCalProducts

3.2C.16 :PetroleumProducts

3.2C1 7 :PlasticProducts

3.2C.18 :Ceramic,Stone良ClayProducLs

3.2C.19 :BasicSteelProducts

3.2C,20 :FabricatedMetalProducts

3.2C.21 :GeneralMachinery

- ・11 -

Page 46: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

3.2C.22 :ElectricLtachinery

3.2C.23 :TransportEquiprnent

3.2C24 :Miscellaneous

Table3-3CensusofManufacturingandCommerce

012

3

4

567cc901234

5

670090123

1

2345670Ug11I111111122222222223333

33333333333333333勺J33333333333333nJ

3333333333333333qtU3333333333333333

Number o f EnterprlSeS :Total

:Xlning

:加anufacturing

:PublicUtilities

:Construction

:Commerce

:TransportaCommunication

:Service:Total

:FinanceaBusinessService

:Finance

:Others

:Servicetollouseholds

Number of Establishments :Total

:Mining

:Nanufacturlng

:PublicUtilities

:ConstructlOn

:Commerce

:Transport良CommunlCatlOn

:Service:Total

:Finance良BusinessService

:Finance

:Others

:Servicetollouseholds

NuJnber of Employees ・Total

:湖ining

:Llanufacturing

:PublicUtllities

:Construction

:Commerce

:TransportaCommunlCation

:Service:Total

:FinanceaBusinessService

- 112 1

Page 47: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

3.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.3

3.33.3茎∵斐3.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.3

4 :Finance

5 :OtllerS

6 :SeryicetoHouseholds

7 AmountsofProduction(i(illionsofYuan):Total

Ⅹ1ning

″anufacturing

Publictjtlllties

Construction

Commerce

TransportaCommunication

Service:Total

:Finance良BuslneSSServICe

:Finance

:Others

.IServicetollouseholds

9 ValueAdded(MillionsofYuarI)・.Total

加1ning

kanufacturing

PubllCUtilities

Construction

Commerce

TransportACommunication

Service:Total

:FinanceaBusinessService

:Finance

:Others

:Servicetollouseholds

Table3-3IuroductionIndexofMajorProducts(1980=100)

3.31】.1 CottonYarn

3.38.2 Cement

3,3B.3 NobileTire

3.3B.4 Radio

3.3Ⅰ3.5 TV

3.3B.6 Car

3.3B.7 Sugar

33Ⅰ3.8 Tea

3.3B.9 Flour

- t13 -

Page 48: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

3.3B.10 P'lPer

3.3B.ll ChemicalFertilizer

3.31).12 Tobacco

Table4-1NominalGrossValue Addedof theTertiaryInd ustry(ylllionsof Yuan)

4.1

引∴‖

4.1

4.I

4.1

4.1

WholesaleAJIctallsale

Transport良Comunlcatlon

FlnanCe良RealEstate(ExcludingImputedRent)

Service

Government良Nonpェ'OfitOrganization

Total(IncludlnglmportTax)

Table4-1BComparisonofOurandYu'sFJStimatesonTertiarylTldustry

ProductlOn (MillionsofYuan)

4.1B.1 Transport良Communication:Ours

4.1B.2 :Yu

4.1B.3 GovernmentService:Ours

4.1Ii.4 :†U

4.1B.5 0therTotal:Ours

4.1li.6 :†u

Table 4-2 R ealGrossValue Added ofthe TertiaryIndustry(19 6 0 Prices:汁illionsof Yuan)

Wholesale良Jtetailsale

Transport良CommunlCation

Finance也RealEstate(FJXCIudingImputedJtent)Service

GovernmentaNonprofitOrganization

Total(IncludingImportTax)

- .Ill -

Page 49: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

Table 511 Composition ofNominalPriva te ConsumptionExpenditure(%)

5.1.1 Food良Beverage

51.2 Clothing良Footwear

5.1.3 Accomodation:Total

5.1.4 :Rent.FuelaLightllousehold

5.1.5 :Furniture,Equipments良OperatlOn5.1.6 Xedical良lIealth

5.I.7 TransportaConJnunicatlOn

5.1.8 Education,Culture良Entertalnment

5.1.9 0thers

5.1.10 TotalExpenditure(XillionsofYuan)

TableSIRRealT'rivatc ConsumptionExpenditure

(1960PrlCeS:MillionsofYuan)

5.2.1 Food良Beverage

5.2.2 Clotlling良Footwear

5,2.3 AccomLnOdatlOn:Total

5.2.4 :Rent,Fuel良Lightllousehold

5.2.5 :Furniture,Equipments良OperatlOn

5.2.6 Xedical良Jlealtl1

5.2.7 Transport良Communication

5.2.8 Education.CultureaEntertainment

5.2.9 0thers

5.2.10 TotalExpenditure

Table6-1IncomeandOutlayAccountofGeneralGovernment(MillionsofYuan)

6.1.1 CurrentReceipts :Total

6.I.2 :Taxes

6,1.3 :BusinessaPropertyIncome

6.1.4 :TransferwlthlnCountry

6.1.5 :Transferfromothel・Countries

6.1.6 NoncurrentReceipts:SalesofProperty

6.1.7 CurrentOutlay :Total

6.1.8 :GovernmentConsumption

6.1.9 :TransferwithinCountry

- 45 -

Page 50: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

TransfertootherCountries

GovernmentSavings

Governmentlnyestment

Table611B Composition of G ovt. Consumptionby Purpose(%)

6.1B.I GeneralAdministration

6.1B.2 PublicSecurlty

6.1B.3 EducationAResearcl1

6.1B4 IlealthASocialSecurity

6.1B.5 EconomicDevelopment

6.1B.6 Transport良ComunlCatlOn

Table6-3BalanceofPut)1icFinLlnCeOfTaiwanbefore1945川illionsofYuan)

ハリー2

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

009

1

11

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

Jteceipt :Total

:GovernmentGeneral:Total

.IMonopoly良PublicBusiness

:Tl-anSferfromJapan

:LocalGovernments :Total

:TransferfromGov'ntGeneral

Expenditure:Total

:GovernmentGeneral:Total

:TransfertoJapan

:TransfertoLocalGovernments

:汁onopoly良PublicBusiness

:LocalGovernments :Total

Table6-3B ComJnSitionofExpenditureofGovernmentGeneralbyPurposeBefore

1945(FiscalYear:%)

6.31!.1 GovernmentConsumption

6.3B.2

6.3li.3

6.3B.4

6.3Ⅰ;.5

6.31).6

Agriculture良FisheryCommerce&TndustrleS

TransportCommunication

People■sLivings

EducatlOn良Culture

ConservationofllationalI.and

- ・t6 -

Page 51: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

6.38.7 :Security良Defense

6.3B.8 :GeneralAdministration

63B.9 :SalaryofOfficers

63B.10 Goyernment Investment :Agriculture良Fishery

6.3B.ll6.3B.126.3B.136.3B.146.38.156.3B.1663B,176.3B.186.31).19 Gov'ntCurrentExp.

6.3li.206.3B.21

6.3B,226.3B.236.3B.246.3B.256.3B266.3B.2763B.28 Gov'ntcapitalExp.

6.3B.296.3Ⅰ1.306.3B.316.38.326.3B.336.311.346.3B.356.31】.36

CommercealndustrleS

TransportCommunlCatlOn

People'sLivings

EducationaCulture

ConservationofNationalLand

Securlty良Defense

GeneralAdminlStration

SalaryofOfficers

Agriculture良Fishery

Commerce良ⅠndustrleS

TransportCo爪1mUnication

People'sLivings

Education良Culhlre

ConservationofNationalLand

SecurityaI)efense

GeneralAdministratlOn

SalaryofOfflCerS

Agriculture良FisheryCommerce良Industries

TransportCommunlCatlOn

People'sLivlngS

Education良Culture

ConservationofNatlOnalLand

Security&Defense

GeneralAdministration

SalaryofOfficers

Table7-1NominalGrossCapltalFormation(LtillionsofYuan)

7.1,1 GrossCapita lFo rmation :Total

7.1.2 :ConstI■uction

7.I.3 :Other Fixed Capital Fomation

7.I.4 : Increase of Stocks

7.1.5 : By Governments

7.1.6 :By Others

1 47 -

Page 52: RevisingLong-TermNationalAccountsStatisticsofTaiwan 1912 ...

Table7-2RealGrossCapitalFormation

GrossCapitalForrnatlOn:Total

:Construction

:OtherFi)【edCapitalFormation

:IncreaseofStocks

Table7-3CapitalStocklnTalWan(ThousandsofOldTaiwanYuan)

.3.1 TotalCapltalStock

.3.2 人griculturalFIXedCapiLa1

33 Trees(excludingAgriculturaltJses)

.3.4 Non-agriculturalCapitalStock:Equipment

,3.5 :13uildingsBusinessUses

3.6 :rZesidentialBuildlngS

- ・18 -