REVIEW: Presidential Preference Election PREVIEW: May 17...
Transcript of REVIEW: Presidential Preference Election PREVIEW: May 17...
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REVIEW: Presidential Preference Election
PREVIEW: May 17, 2016 Special & August 30, 2016 Primary Elections
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Turnout
Early Ballots
Provisional Ballots
Doing the Math
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1,238,792 Eligible Registered Voters
621,976 Counted Ballots
50.21% Turnout of eligible voters (621,976/1,238,792 = 50.21%)
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PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE ELECTIONS
HISTORICAL DATA
2004 2008 2012 2016 2016
Estimate Actual
TOTAL ELECTION DAY TURNOUT 21.50% 22.47% 9.06% 6.74% 7.12%
TOTAL EARLY VOTING TURNOUT 7.05% 31.85% 35.25% 38.33% 43.09%
TOTAL TURNOUT 28.55% 54.32% 44.31% 45.07% 50.21%
DEMOCRATIC ELECTION DAY TURNOUT 21.50% 24.33% Not applicable 6.22% 6.65%
DEMOCRATIC EARLY VOTING TURNOUT 7.05% 30.08% Not applicable 36.78% 40.58%
TOTAL DEMOCRATIC TURNOUT 28.55% 54.41% Not applicable 43.00% 47.23%
REPUBLICAN ELECTION DAY TURNOUT Not applicable 21.13% 9.09% 7.14% 7.49%
REPUBLICAN EARLY VOTING TURNOUT Not applicable 33.14% 35.35% 39.57% 45.06%
TOTAL REPUBLICAN TURNOUT Not applicable 54.27% 44.44% 46.71% 52.55%
GREEN ELECTION DAY TURNOUT Not applicable Not applicable 1.23% 2.38% 2.57%
GREEN EARLY VOTING TURNOUT Not applicable Not applicable 8.54% 12.51% 14.18%
TOTAL GREEN TURNOUT Not applicable Not applicable 9.77% 14.89% 16.75%
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Republican Turnout
371,129 Votes Cast / 706,301 Eligible Voters = 52.55% 52.55%
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Democratic Turnout
47.23%
250,495 Votes Cast / 530,389 Eligible Voters = 47.23%
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Green Turnout
16.75%
352 Votes Cast / 2,102 Eligible Voters = 16.75%
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REQUESTED 897,247
RETURNED 536,183
COUNTED 533,772
Reasons for not counted
710 Bad Signature
137 Deceased
1,549 No Signature
15 Spousal Exchange
2,411
(536,183 – 533,772 = 2,411)
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RECEIVED 24,630
COUNTED 4,631
NOT COUNTED 19,999
REASONS FOR NOT COUNTED
Not registered 1,162
Incomplete 115
Not eligible to vote 18,322
Early ballot returned & counted 168
Insufficient ID 45
E-pollbook duplicate Provisional 187
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Including both PEVL
& one time requests
11,500 estimated mail ballot voters went to the polls March
22, 2016. They received a standard ballot instead of having to
vote a provisional ballot.
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How Maricopa did the
Math…….
ESTIMATED
(based on 2008 PPE)
ACTUAL
Total Registered Voters 1.9 million
Total Independent/No
Party Voters
750,000
Total qualified to
participate
1.2 million 1,238,792
Total qualified to receive
early ballots
890,000 897,247
Total possible voters at
the polls
310,000 341,545
Calculation 310,000 x 23% 341,545 x 24%
Equals # of Election Day
voters
71,300 83,489
# of voters per polling
place
1,188 1,391 (rounded up to
1,500)
# of poll workers per
polling place
5 to 7 13 to 15
# of check in lines 2 with paper rosters 4 to 5 with e-Pollbooks
# of polling places 60 (71,300 / 1,188 = 60) 60 (83,489 / 1,500 = 56)
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What did you experience on Election Day?
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May 17, 2016 Preview
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WHAT’S ON THE BALLOT? http://www.azsos.gov/elections/voting-election/election-information
PROPOSITION 123 – Amendment to the Constitution relating to Education Finance
HCR 2001
PROPOSITION 124 – Amendment to the Constitution relating to Public Retirement Systems
SCR 1019
SB 1428
UOCAVA BALLOTS
VOTER REGISTRATION DEADLINE
POLLING PLACES
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Amendment to the Constitution relating to Education Finance
House Concurrent Resolution 2001
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Increases annual distributions from the State Land Trust Permanent Endowment Fund from 2.5% to 6.9% to benefit K-12 schools, colleges, and other beneficiary institutions.
Includes
A $259,266,200 distribution in fiscal year 2016
Protections for state funds in the case of a severe economic downturn
HCR 2001
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Amendment to the Constitution relating to Public Safety Retirement Systems
Senate Concurrent Resolution 1019
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Permits the state to adjust certain benefits in the Public Safety Personnel Retirement System to alleviate system underfunding,
Including
The replacement of the current permanent benefit increase structure with a cost of living adjustment that is indexed for inflation
Capped at 2% per year
SCR 1019
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EARLY VOTERS
AND
UNIFORMED & OVERSEAS CITIZENS ABSENTEE VOTING ACT (UOCAVA) VOTERS
EARLY VOTING IMPORTANT DATES
FIRST DAY TO REQUEST - February 14, 2016
BEGINS - April 20, 2016
LAST DAY TO REQUEST - May 6, 2016
DEADLINE TO TURN IN - May 17, 2016
WHEN & WHERE TO TURN IN EARLY BALLOT
When mailing ballot – Recommend May 11, 2016
In Person between 4/20/16 & 5/17/16 – MCTEC, Downtown, Mesa Offices
On Election Day – MCTEC, Downtown, Mesa and any polling place within the county
UOCAVA IMPORTANT DATES BEGINS - April 4, 2016
ENDS – May 17, 2016 at 7:00 pm
April 18, 2016
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August 30, 2016 Preview
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90 Day Notice-June 1, 2016 All voters on the Permanent Early Voting List (PEVL) are
sent a 90 day notice.
Partisan voters are notified they will receive an early ballot by mail.
Independent voters are asked to select an early ballot type:
Republican
Democrat
Green
City/Town Only
33 Day Notice-July 28, 2016
In Maricopa County, Independent voters on PEVL who have not yet selected an early ballot type will be sent a second notice.
NOTE: Independent voters on PEVL who do not request a specific ballot type will not receive a ballot by mail.
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Federal Races
U.S. Senator
U.S. Congressman – All 9 Districts
State Races
Corporation Commissioner – 3 Seats
County Races
Assessor
Attorney
Board of Supervisors – All 5 Districts
Recorder
School Superintendent
Treasurer
Justice of the Peace – 9 Districts
Constable – 9 Districts
Plus Two 2-year terms to fill vacancies
Precinct Committeemen
Local Issues (?)
FILING DEADLINE:
JUNE 1, 2016
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• Republican: 6,385
• Democrat: 4,987
• Libertarian: 717
• Total: 12,089 available precinct committeemen offices
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Military and Overseas Citizens (UOCAVA) Voting Begins
July 16, 2016
Early Voting Begins
August 3, 2016
UOCAVA – The Uniformed and
Overseas Citizens Absentee Voting
Act
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Republicans
Democrats
Libertarians
Green
Independents (Other Voters)
Republican Ballot
Democratic Ballot
Libertarian Ballot
Green Ballot
Choose: Republican Ballot
Democratic Ballot
Green Ballot
City/Town Ballot
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3 Languages
English
Spanish
Tohono O’odham
5 Formats
Standard
Spanish (Bilingual ballots are mailed in the Primary, available in Spanish upon request in the General)
Large Print
Braille
Touch Screen Voting Machines (provides audio of ballot)
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DIRECT ALL VOTERS INTERESTED IN WORKING AT
THE POLLS TO CONTACT:
• Colleen M. Redmond
• Board Worker Recruiter Staff Supervisor
• 602-372-3713
• BILINGUAL BOARDWORKERS MUST:
• Speak with a staff member to verify bilingual aptitude.
• Attend a bilingual boardworker training ($25
compensation, not required).
• STEP UP PROGRAM
• 16 & 17 year olds
• Get credit for being at school
• Need a signed form from parent/school
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MAY 4, 2016 @ 10:00 am