Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form №...
Transcript of Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form №...
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O. Prokopenko
Director
Department of Agriculture
and Environment Statistics
2014
Review of Ukrainian
Grain StatisticsStatistics of Food Grain
Stocks in Ukraine
OLGA MARTYNIUKSenior Specialist of the Department on Agricultural
and Environmental Statistics
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form N 21-zag “Sales of agricultural products”
form N 1-zerno “Delivery to and availability of grain and oilseed crops at storage and processing enterprises”
Department on Agricultural and Environmental Statistics of the SSCU along with the local statistics
offices are responsible for the data collection on grain stocks.
Three data sources for food grain stocks
2 Statistical observations:
Sample survey on agricultural activity of rural households: form № 02-СГН “Monthly questionnaire”
Statistical observations and sample survey have the same (monthly) frequency –it excludes double counting.
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Respondents – legal entities engaged in agricultural activities (excluding small ones).
Observations are submitted to the regional statistical offices. The number of respondents
in 2015 was 8600.
Type of observation by degree of unit coverage - non-complete of basic set.
Objective - Obtain data on the volumes and value of agricultural products sold by
respective enterprises in line with their activities and type of product
Basic statistical indicators
The volumes and value of agricultural products sold (including sales to processing
enterprises, products obtained by workers as remuneration, products obtained by shareholders as
rent for the land and property shares, products sold in the markets through own stores, others). The
number, volume and value of sold breeding animals.
The volume of own-manufactured products related to processing the agricultural animals
and poultry, crops (including cereals and legumes, grapes, fruits, vegetables, sunflower seeds).
The volume of cereals and legumes (including wheat, rye, barley, maize), sunflower
seeds and sugar available directly on the farm at the end of reporting period. This refers to the own
and accepted for storage products.
Form № 21-zag “Sales of agricultural products” (yearly)
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Basic statistical indicators
Respondents – the same list as for form 21-zag (yearly)
Form N 21-zag “Sales of agricultural products” (monthly)
The total volumes and value of agricultural products sold.
The volume of own-manufactured products related to processing the agricultural
animals and poultry, crops (including cereals and legumes, grapes, fruits,
vegetables, sunflower seeds).
The volume of cereals and legumes (including wheat, rye, barley and maize),
seeds of oil-bearing crops (including soya beans, colza, sunflower) and sugar
available directly on the farm at the end of reporting period. This refers to the own
and accepted for storage products).
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for private farms: agricultural land area - 1000 ha,
number of employees in agriculture - 50 people;
for other agricultural enterprises: agricultural land area - 200 ha,
number of cattle - 50 heads,
pigs - 50 heads,
sheep and goats - 50 heads,
poultry - 500 heads,
number of employees in agriculture - 20 people,
income from sales of agricultural goods and services - 150 thsd.hrn.
(about $6ooo)
List of respondents for Form N 21-zag
The basis for the creating the list of respondents is information about active
agricultural enterprises engaged in production of agricultural goods and services. Their
size must be equal to or exceeds the thresholds at least one of the following criteria:
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Respondents - legal entities, separate divisions of the legal entities.
The number of respondents in 2015 was 1166.
Type of observation by degree of unit coverage - complete enumeration.
Objective - obtain data on the volumes of grain and oil-bearing crops delivered to
processing enterprises, purchase prices, quality of raw materials and
volumes of grain and oil-bearing crops’ stock at the enterprises
engaged in their storage and processing
Basic statistical indicators
Volumes of availability of grain and oilseed crops at the enterprises as of the first
day of a month.
Volumes of supply and processing of grain and oilseed crops since the beginning
of the year; processing on flour, groats, feed; average purchase price of grain and oilseed
crops in the enterprises engaged in their storage and processing.
Form № 1-zerno “Delivery to and availability of grain and oilseed
crops at storage and processing enterprises” (monthly)
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Respondents – legal entities, separate divisions of legal entities that have own
processing facilities or rent them; buy, process agricultural products; have or rent
facilities for grain and oilseed crops storage.
List of NACE codes
C10.4.1 - Manufacture of oils and fats
C10.6.1 - Manufacture of grain mill products
C10.9.1 - Manufacture of prepared feeds for farm animals
C11.0.1 - Distilling, rectifying and blending of spirits
C11.0.6 - Manufacture of malt
H52.1.0 - Warehousing and storage
Enterprises with the codes not listed above may be included in the list of respondents
if they are engaged in the agricultural product processing.
Enterprises included in the list of respondents for form N 1-zerno are not included in
the list for form N 21-zag
List of respondents for Form N 1-zerno
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Register AGRO “Register of statistical units in agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishery”
Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative list of entities engaged in economic
activity in the sphere of agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishery first of all as the basis for organizing
the state statistical observations in the relevant statistics spheres.
Integrated State Register of Enterprises and Organisations
of Ukraine
An automated system of collection, accumulation and processing of data on all legal entities, separate
units of legal entities located in Ukraine, separate units of legal entities located beyond Ukraine.
Ensures the integrated State recording and identification of all entities and serves as the basis for state
statistical observations.
The establishment and maintenance of Register are ensured by state statistical bodies.
Data in the Register are regularly updated. For example there is a procedure for replacing the wrong
type of economic activity obtained by enterprise upon registration on the right one using the results of
state statistical observations. Type of economic activity is the main criteria for drawing up the lists of
respondents.
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• Monthly periodicity. Method – in-person interview.
• Sample size is 28,2 thsd. households (0,6% from 4,7 mln. rural households) in all
districts of Ukraine
• Based on the natural and agricultural aspects of regions and size of households;
data representativeness at regional level
The program of sample survey on the production of grain
Base interview (once per year)
Data on structure of household and resource indicators:
- sown area (cereals by type)
- farm buildings and machinery
- the use of fertilizers
Monthly interview
- gross yield and harvested area of crops (cereals by type)
- sowing area of winter cereals and their death
- products sales (volume, prices and directions of grain sales)
- availability of selected agricultural products in household
(availability of grains including wheat; flour, groats)
Sample survey of agricultural activity of rural households
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Information system “Calculation of grains balance
forecast for Ukraine”
It was created in 2012 in the framework of the FAO/EBRD "Ukraine
Grain Sector Review and Policy Options" project.
The system consists of 120 indicators related to production, processing,
consumption, trade and stocks that are coming from 13 different statistical
forms and surveys.
Based on this information, the system generates 15 indicators that form
the balance for wheat, barley, corn, rye, and total grain.
Indicators are (mostly) updated on a monthly basis and can be compared
to the corresponding estimates from the US Department of Agriculture
(USDA) for Ukraine.
Grain Supply and Demand Balance System
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Forest
17,6%
Water4,0%
Land under
buildings –
4,3%
Other land –
3,3%
Agricul-
tural
land
70,8%
LAND AREA OF UKRAINE IN 2015
Total land
area –
603,5
thsd. km2
Agricultural land - 42,7 mln. ha
Including:
arable land - 32,5 mln. ha
hayfields - 2,4 mln. ha
pastures - 5,4 mln. ha
other - 2,4 mln. ha
30% of the world's black soil is in Ukraine.
Black-colored soil or chernozem contains a very high percentage of humus
(from 3% to 15%) along with phosphoric acids, phosphorus and ammonia.
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Grain production in 2015
All grain producers – 60,1 mln.t
Agricultural enterprises – 46,5 mln.t Households – 13,6 mln.t
77% 23%
Large and medium-
sized enterprisesSmall
enterprises
96% 4%
Large and medium-sized enterprises – with an area of agricultural
land more than 100 ha
Small enterprises – with an area of agricultural land less than 100 ha
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24459
38015.5
39270.9
56746.8
46216.2
63051.3
63859.3
60125.8
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Gross production of grain and leguminous crops , thsd.t
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
12
13
13
14
14
15
15
16
16
17
2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sown area and yield of grain and leguminous crops
Sown area, mln.ha Yield, centner per ha
Grain and leguminous crops
1 Data for 2014, 2015 don't include the temporarily occupied territories of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the city of Sevastopol and part of the anti-terrorist
operation zone.
Processing in 2015 on:
meal –
2098,8
groats –
186,5
feed –
1865,6
thsd.t
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Stocks of agricultural producers and storage,
processing enterprises in 2015, mln.t
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Wheat
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sown area and yield of wheat
Sown area, mln.ha Yield, centner per ha
10197
18699.2
16851.3
22323.6
15762.6
22279.3
24114
26532.1
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Gross production of wheat , thsd.t
1 Data for 2014, 2015 don't include the temporarily occupied territories of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the city of Sevastopol and part of the anti-terrorist
operation zone.
Processing in 2015 on:
meal –
1957,9
groats –
32,2
feed –
371,1
thsd.t
0
5
10
15
20
25
Stocks of agricultural producers and storage,
processing enterprises in 2015, mln.t
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3848.1
7166.6
11953
22837.8
20961.3
30949.6
28496.8
23327.6
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Gross production of maize , thsd.t
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sown area and yield of maize
Sown area, mln.ha Yield, centner per ha
Maize
1 Data for 2014, 2015 don't include the temporarily occupied territories of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the city of Sevastopol and part of the anti-terrorist
operation zone.
Processing in 2015 on:
meal –
0,03
groats –
4,9
feed –
1410,5
thsd.t
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Stocks of agricultural producers and storage,
processing enterprises in 2015, mln.t
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89.7
93
148
169.9159.8
145.1
50.9
62.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Gross production of rice, thsd.t
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sown area and yield of rice
Sown area, thsd.ha Yield, centner per ha
Rice
1 Data for 2014, 2015 don't include the temporarily occupied territories of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the city of Sevastopol and part of the anti-terrorist
operation zone.
Processing in 2015 on:
groats – 1,4
thsd.t
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Stocks of storage, processing enterprises
in 2015, thsd.t
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64.4
612.6
1680.2
2264.4
2410.2
2774.3
3881.9
3930.6
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Gross production of soybeans, thsd.t
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
1
1
2
2
3
2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sown area and yield of soybeans
Sown area, mln.ha Yield, centner per ha
Soybeans
1 Data for 2014, 2015 don't include the temporarily occupied territories of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the city of Sevastopol and part of the anti-terrorist
operation zone.
Processing in 2015:
total – 588,9
thsd.t
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
Stocks of storage, processing enterprises
in 2015, mln.t
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0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Monthly grain stocks in 2015, mln.t
Producers of agricultural products Elevators and warehouses
Processors Rural hoseholds
Grain stocks of rural households amount 19% of the total volume.
Feed consumption is the main source of grain utilization for rural households
(more than 60% of the total grain production by households).
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In 2015 Ukraine retained the following leading
position worldwide as:
1st exporter of sunflower oil (3,9 mln.t)
3rd exporter of barley (4,6 mln.t)
4th exporter of maize (19,0 mln.t)
6th exporter of wheat (13,5 mln.t)
7th exporter of soybean
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Grain and
leguminous
crops - total
including
wheat maize rice
Production 60126 26532 23328 63
Changes in stocks at the end of
the year -3204 1367 -4199 0
Import 190 37 30 85
Total supply 63520 25202 27557 148
Export 38348 13993 19103 2
Feed consumption 14189 4174 6845 0
Seeds consumption 2597 1496 233 5
Losses 1400 451 774 1
Processed for non-food purposes 1089 197 476 0
Food consumption 5897 4891 126 140
Grain and leguminous crops balance (including products of grain processing counted as grain) for 2015
(thsd.t)
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Grain and
leguminous
crops – total
including
wheat maize rice
Opening stocks 33025 10932 17463 5
of which:
- in agrarian enterprises, grain
processing and storage enterprises 25452 7772 14563 2
- in households 7573 3160 2900 3
Ending stocks 29821 12299 13064 5
of which:
- in agrarian enterprises, grain
processing and storage enterprises 22452 9575 10118 2
- in households 7369 2724 2946 3
Changes in stocks at the end of the
year -3204 1367 -4399 0
- in agrarian enterprises, grain
processing and storage enterprises -3000 1803 -4445 0
- in households -204 -436 46 0
Grain and leguminous crops stocks for 2015(thsd.t)
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Dissemination of statistical data
Statistical publications and bulletins, analytical papers, press-releases, repliesto requests, Plans with dates of tasks performance, methodology, enquiryforms of the state statistical observations and instructions on filling in them
All basic statistical information and publications on agriculture uploaded on the website in the sections:
http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua
/ Statistical Information / Economic statistics/ Agriculture,
forestry and fishery
/ Publications /Economic statistics/ Agriculture, forestry and fishing
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Thank for kind attention!