Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form №...

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O. Prokopenko Director Department of Agriculture and Environment Statistics 2014 Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain Stocks in Ukraine OLGA MARTYNIUK Senior Specialist of the Department on Agricultural and Environmental Statistics

Transcript of Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form №...

Page 1: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

O. Prokopenko

Director

Department of Agriculture

and Environment Statistics

2014

Review of Ukrainian

Grain StatisticsStatistics of Food Grain

Stocks in Ukraine

OLGA MARTYNIUKSenior Specialist of the Department on Agricultural

and Environmental Statistics

Page 2: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

form N 21-zag “Sales of agricultural products”

form N 1-zerno “Delivery to and availability of grain and oilseed crops at storage and processing enterprises”

Department on Agricultural and Environmental Statistics of the SSCU along with the local statistics

offices are responsible for the data collection on grain stocks.

Three data sources for food grain stocks

2 Statistical observations:

Sample survey on agricultural activity of rural households: form № 02-СГН “Monthly questionnaire”

Statistical observations and sample survey have the same (monthly) frequency –it excludes double counting.

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Respondents – legal entities engaged in agricultural activities (excluding small ones).

Observations are submitted to the regional statistical offices. The number of respondents

in 2015 was 8600.

Type of observation by degree of unit coverage - non-complete of basic set.

Objective - Obtain data on the volumes and value of agricultural products sold by

respective enterprises in line with their activities and type of product

Basic statistical indicators

The volumes and value of agricultural products sold (including sales to processing

enterprises, products obtained by workers as remuneration, products obtained by shareholders as

rent for the land and property shares, products sold in the markets through own stores, others). The

number, volume and value of sold breeding animals.

The volume of own-manufactured products related to processing the agricultural animals

and poultry, crops (including cereals and legumes, grapes, fruits, vegetables, sunflower seeds).

The volume of cereals and legumes (including wheat, rye, barley, maize), sunflower

seeds and sugar available directly on the farm at the end of reporting period. This refers to the own

and accepted for storage products.

Form № 21-zag “Sales of agricultural products” (yearly)

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Basic statistical indicators

Respondents – the same list as for form 21-zag (yearly)

Form N 21-zag “Sales of agricultural products” (monthly)

The total volumes and value of agricultural products sold.

The volume of own-manufactured products related to processing the agricultural

animals and poultry, crops (including cereals and legumes, grapes, fruits,

vegetables, sunflower seeds).

The volume of cereals and legumes (including wheat, rye, barley and maize),

seeds of oil-bearing crops (including soya beans, colza, sunflower) and sugar

available directly on the farm at the end of reporting period. This refers to the own

and accepted for storage products).

Page 5: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

for private farms: agricultural land area - 1000 ha,

number of employees in agriculture - 50 people;

for other agricultural enterprises: agricultural land area - 200 ha,

number of cattle - 50 heads,

pigs - 50 heads,

sheep and goats - 50 heads,

poultry - 500 heads,

number of employees in agriculture - 20 people,

income from sales of agricultural goods and services - 150 thsd.hrn.

(about $6ooo)

List of respondents for Form N 21-zag

The basis for the creating the list of respondents is information about active

agricultural enterprises engaged in production of agricultural goods and services. Their

size must be equal to or exceeds the thresholds at least one of the following criteria:

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Respondents - legal entities, separate divisions of the legal entities.

The number of respondents in 2015 was 1166.

Type of observation by degree of unit coverage - complete enumeration.

Objective - obtain data on the volumes of grain and oil-bearing crops delivered to

processing enterprises, purchase prices, quality of raw materials and

volumes of grain and oil-bearing crops’ stock at the enterprises

engaged in their storage and processing

Basic statistical indicators

Volumes of availability of grain and oilseed crops at the enterprises as of the first

day of a month.

Volumes of supply and processing of grain and oilseed crops since the beginning

of the year; processing on flour, groats, feed; average purchase price of grain and oilseed

crops in the enterprises engaged in their storage and processing.

Form № 1-zerno “Delivery to and availability of grain and oilseed

crops at storage and processing enterprises” (monthly)

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Respondents – legal entities, separate divisions of legal entities that have own

processing facilities or rent them; buy, process agricultural products; have or rent

facilities for grain and oilseed crops storage.

List of NACE codes

C10.4.1 - Manufacture of oils and fats

C10.6.1 - Manufacture of grain mill products

C10.9.1 - Manufacture of prepared feeds for farm animals

C11.0.1 - Distilling, rectifying and blending of spirits

C11.0.6 - Manufacture of malt

H52.1.0 - Warehousing and storage

Enterprises with the codes not listed above may be included in the list of respondents

if they are engaged in the agricultural product processing.

Enterprises included in the list of respondents for form N 1-zerno are not included in

the list for form N 21-zag

List of respondents for Form N 1-zerno

Page 8: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

Register AGRO “Register of statistical units in agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishery”

Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative list of entities engaged in economic

activity in the sphere of agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishery first of all as the basis for organizing

the state statistical observations in the relevant statistics spheres.

Integrated State Register of Enterprises and Organisations

of Ukraine

An automated system of collection, accumulation and processing of data on all legal entities, separate

units of legal entities located in Ukraine, separate units of legal entities located beyond Ukraine.

Ensures the integrated State recording and identification of all entities and serves as the basis for state

statistical observations.

The establishment and maintenance of Register are ensured by state statistical bodies.

Data in the Register are regularly updated. For example there is a procedure for replacing the wrong

type of economic activity obtained by enterprise upon registration on the right one using the results of

state statistical observations. Type of economic activity is the main criteria for drawing up the lists of

respondents.

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• Monthly periodicity. Method – in-person interview.

• Sample size is 28,2 thsd. households (0,6% from 4,7 mln. rural households) in all

districts of Ukraine

• Based on the natural and agricultural aspects of regions and size of households;

data representativeness at regional level

The program of sample survey on the production of grain

Base interview (once per year)

Data on structure of household and resource indicators:

- sown area (cereals by type)

- farm buildings and machinery

- the use of fertilizers

Monthly interview

- gross yield and harvested area of crops (cereals by type)

- sowing area of winter cereals and their death

- products sales (volume, prices and directions of grain sales)

- availability of selected agricultural products in household

(availability of grains including wheat; flour, groats)

Sample survey of agricultural activity of rural households

Page 10: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

Information system “Calculation of grains balance

forecast for Ukraine”

It was created in 2012 in the framework of the FAO/EBRD "Ukraine

Grain Sector Review and Policy Options" project.

The system consists of 120 indicators related to production, processing,

consumption, trade and stocks that are coming from 13 different statistical

forms and surveys.

Based on this information, the system generates 15 indicators that form

the balance for wheat, barley, corn, rye, and total grain.

Indicators are (mostly) updated on a monthly basis and can be compared

to the corresponding estimates from the US Department of Agriculture

(USDA) for Ukraine.

Grain Supply and Demand Balance System

Page 11: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

Forest

17,6%

Water4,0%

Land under

buildings –

4,3%

Other land –

3,3%

Agricul-

tural

land

70,8%

LAND AREA OF UKRAINE IN 2015

Total land

area –

603,5

thsd. km2

Agricultural land - 42,7 mln. ha

Including:

arable land - 32,5 mln. ha

hayfields - 2,4 mln. ha

pastures - 5,4 mln. ha

other - 2,4 mln. ha

30% of the world's black soil is in Ukraine.

Black-colored soil or chernozem contains a very high percentage of humus

(from 3% to 15%) along with phosphoric acids, phosphorus and ammonia.

Page 12: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

Grain production in 2015

All grain producers – 60,1 mln.t

Agricultural enterprises – 46,5 mln.t Households – 13,6 mln.t

77% 23%

Large and medium-

sized enterprisesSmall

enterprises

96% 4%

Large and medium-sized enterprises – with an area of agricultural

land more than 100 ha

Small enterprises – with an area of agricultural land less than 100 ha

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24459

38015.5

39270.9

56746.8

46216.2

63051.3

63859.3

60125.8

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Gross production of grain and leguminous crops , thsd.t

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

12

13

13

14

14

15

15

16

16

17

2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Sown area and yield of grain and leguminous crops

Sown area, mln.ha Yield, centner per ha

Grain and leguminous crops

1 Data for 2014, 2015 don't include the temporarily occupied territories of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the city of Sevastopol and part of the anti-terrorist

operation zone.

Processing in 2015 on:

meal –

2098,8

groats –

186,5

feed –

1865,6

thsd.t

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Stocks of agricultural producers and storage,

processing enterprises in 2015, mln.t

Page 14: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

Wheat

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Sown area and yield of wheat

Sown area, mln.ha Yield, centner per ha

10197

18699.2

16851.3

22323.6

15762.6

22279.3

24114

26532.1

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Gross production of wheat , thsd.t

1 Data for 2014, 2015 don't include the temporarily occupied territories of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the city of Sevastopol and part of the anti-terrorist

operation zone.

Processing in 2015 on:

meal –

1957,9

groats –

32,2

feed –

371,1

thsd.t

0

5

10

15

20

25

Stocks of agricultural producers and storage,

processing enterprises in 2015, mln.t

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3848.1

7166.6

11953

22837.8

20961.3

30949.6

28496.8

23327.6

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Gross production of maize , thsd.t

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Sown area and yield of maize

Sown area, mln.ha Yield, centner per ha

Maize

1 Data for 2014, 2015 don't include the temporarily occupied territories of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the city of Sevastopol and part of the anti-terrorist

operation zone.

Processing in 2015 on:

meal –

0,03

groats –

4,9

feed –

1410,5

thsd.t

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Stocks of agricultural producers and storage,

processing enterprises in 2015, mln.t

Page 16: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

89.7

93

148

169.9159.8

145.1

50.9

62.5

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Gross production of rice, thsd.t

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Sown area and yield of rice

Sown area, thsd.ha Yield, centner per ha

Rice

1 Data for 2014, 2015 don't include the temporarily occupied territories of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the city of Sevastopol and part of the anti-terrorist

operation zone.

Processing in 2015 on:

groats – 1,4

thsd.t

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

Stocks of storage, processing enterprises

in 2015, thsd.t

Page 17: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

64.4

612.6

1680.2

2264.4

2410.2

2774.3

3881.9

3930.6

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Gross production of soybeans, thsd.t

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

1

1

2

2

3

2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Sown area and yield of soybeans

Sown area, mln.ha Yield, centner per ha

Soybeans

1 Data for 2014, 2015 don't include the temporarily occupied territories of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the city of Sevastopol and part of the anti-terrorist

operation zone.

Processing in 2015:

total – 588,9

thsd.t

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

Stocks of storage, processing enterprises

in 2015, mln.t

Page 18: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Monthly grain stocks in 2015, mln.t

Producers of agricultural products Elevators and warehouses

Processors Rural hoseholds

Grain stocks of rural households amount 19% of the total volume.

Feed consumption is the main source of grain utilization for rural households

(more than 60% of the total grain production by households).

Page 19: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

In 2015 Ukraine retained the following leading

position worldwide as:

1st exporter of sunflower oil (3,9 mln.t)

3rd exporter of barley (4,6 mln.t)

4th exporter of maize (19,0 mln.t)

6th exporter of wheat (13,5 mln.t)

7th exporter of soybean

Page 20: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

Grain and

leguminous

crops - total

including

wheat maize rice

Production 60126 26532 23328 63

Changes in stocks at the end of

the year -3204 1367 -4199 0

Import 190 37 30 85

Total supply 63520 25202 27557 148

Export 38348 13993 19103 2

Feed consumption 14189 4174 6845 0

Seeds consumption 2597 1496 233 5

Losses 1400 451 774 1

Processed for non-food purposes 1089 197 476 0

Food consumption 5897 4891 126 140

Grain and leguminous crops balance (including products of grain processing counted as grain) for 2015

(thsd.t)

Page 21: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

Grain and

leguminous

crops – total

including

wheat maize rice

Opening stocks 33025 10932 17463 5

of which:

- in agrarian enterprises, grain

processing and storage enterprises 25452 7772 14563 2

- in households 7573 3160 2900 3

Ending stocks 29821 12299 13064 5

of which:

- in agrarian enterprises, grain

processing and storage enterprises 22452 9575 10118 2

- in households 7369 2724 2946 3

Changes in stocks at the end of the

year -3204 1367 -4399 0

- in agrarian enterprises, grain

processing and storage enterprises -3000 1803 -4445 0

- in households -204 -436 46 0

Grain and leguminous crops stocks for 2015(thsd.t)

Page 22: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

Dissemination of statistical data

Statistical publications and bulletins, analytical papers, press-releases, repliesto requests, Plans with dates of tasks performance, methodology, enquiryforms of the state statistical observations and instructions on filling in them

All basic statistical information and publications on agriculture uploaded on the website in the sections:

http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua

/ Statistical Information / Economic statistics/ Agriculture,

forestry and fishery

/ Publications /Economic statistics/ Agriculture, forestry and fishing

Page 23: Review of Ukrainian Grain Statistics Statistics of Food Grain …€¦ · form № 02-СГН“Monthly questionnaire ... Creation and maintenance of accurate, relevant and qualitative

Thank for kind attention!