Retirement Challenges - TNBC (2).pdf · Variable annuities mentioned on slides 13, 17, 25 and 29...
Transcript of Retirement Challenges - TNBC (2).pdf · Variable annuities mentioned on slides 13, 17, 25 and 29...
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Retirement Challenges Know the possible road blocks in your retirement
PAC.5311 (03.15)
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RETIREMENT CHALLENGES
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What if my spouse passes away?
Will I have enough?
What about my health care costs?
Will I be able to keep up?
What if the market doesn’t cooperate?
Will my savings last long enough?
Will there be anything left?
Questions About Retirement 1
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3
4
5
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YOU ARE NOT ALONE 4
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68% 75% 78% 79% 84%
You are Not Alone
Outliving your retirement
savings
Paying for long-term care costs
Medicare benefits being
reduced
Social Security benefits being
reduced
Paying for health care
costs
Source: Fidelity Investments® 2013 Retirement Savings Assessment™
Retirement Concerns
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76%
49%
Pre-retirees Retirees
You are Not Alone Three in four pre-retirees, half of retirees, concerned with long-term financial future
Source: Society of Actuaries The Process of Retirement and Retirement Risks, 2013
28%
48%
12%
37%
Somewhat concerned
Very concerned
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UNDERSTANDING
RISKS
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Understanding Risks
Longevity
Inflation
Interest Rate
Market Volatility
Employment
Public Policy
Health Care Needs Long-Term Care
Loss of Spouse
Unexpected Financial Responsibility
Financial Elder Abuse
Retirement Risks
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Retirement Income, Morningstar, 2013; Retirement Risk Solutions, The American College, 2014
Solvency
Savings
Retiree spending
Withdrawal
Liquidity
Timing Frailty
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Understanding Risks Retirement Risks
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Longevity
Inflation
Interest Rate
Market Volatility
Employment
Public Policy
Health Care Needs Long-Term Care
Loss of Spouse
Unexpected Financial Responsibility
Financial Elder Abuse
Solvency
Savings
Retiree spending
Withdrawal
Liquidity
Timing Frailty
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LONGEVITY RISK
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Longevity Risk
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10
12
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16
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20
1980 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Year
s
At Age 65 At Age 75
Source: Health, United States, 2012. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics
Life Expectancy
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Longevity Risk Retirees Should Plan for a Long Retirement Probability of living to various ages
Source: Annuity 2000 Mortality Tables. © 2013 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. 3/1/2013
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105
78 81 86
85 88 91
91 93 96
AGE
Male
Female
At least one spouse
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Longevity Risk Ways to Manage Longevity Risk:
Social Security 1
Traditional Pensions 2
Annuities 3
1. Immediate 2. Indexed 3. Variable 4. Fixed
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With Guaranteed Minimum
Withdrawal Benefits (GMWB)
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HEALTH CARE RISK
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Health Care Risk
$206,200
$276,300
$372,400
$50,900 $91,200
$146,400
$0$50,000
$100,000$150,000$200,000$250,000$300,000$350,000$400,000
If you live to 75 If you live to 80 If you live to 85
If you retire at 55 If you retire at 65
Medical Costs in Retirement Per Person
Source: Yamamoto, 2013. Health Care Costs from Birth to Death Society of Actuaries
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Health Care Risk
70% of all people over age 65 will require some type of chronic illness or long-term care during their lifetime
(www.longtermcare.gov; August 2012) (www.ltctree.com; August 2012)
$80,850 The national average cost of care for just one year in a nursing home is about
(www.longtermcare.gov; August 2012)
About 75% of all single people and 50% of all couples spend their entire savings within one year of entering a nursing home.
Source: Barbara Butrica and Mikki Waid, “What are the Retirement Prospects of Middle Class Americans?” AARP Public Policy Institute Report, 2013.
8%
18% Healthcare costs are expected to rise from 8% of income among today’s retirees at age 70 to 18% among future retirees when they are 70.
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Health Care Risk Ways to Manage Health Care risk
Medicare/Medicaid 1
Employer-sponsored or private health insurance 2
Personal savings 3 1. Long-Term Care
Insurance (LTCi) 2. Health Insurance
Private payment options 4
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INFLATION RISK
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Inflation Risk
1998 2013 Increase
Bread $0.87 $1.39 59%
Movie Ticket $4.69 $8.13 73%
Average Price of House Sold $183,300 $321,200 75%
Postage Stamp $0.32 $0.46 43%
Gallon of Milk $2.86 $3.50 22%
Source: U.S. Census Data, USPS, www.natoonline.org, U.S. Bureau of labor statistics,
Comparison of Consumer Prices 1998 vs 2013
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Inflation Risk Inflation and Taxes Reduce Returns Compound annual returns 1926–2013
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Assumes reinvestment of income and no transaction costs. Inflation rate over the time period 1926–2013 was 3.0%. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. © 2014 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.
Cash Bonds Stocks
–2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8%
12% 10.1%
6.9%
5.0% 5.5%
2.4%
0.4%
3.5%
0.5%
–0.8%
10%
Return After inflation After taxes and inflation
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Inflation Risk Ways to Manage Inflation Risk:
Inflation-indexed Treasury bonds 1
Investment in natural resources and commodities 2
Social Security benefits 3
Common Stocks 4
Annuities 5
Immediate Annuities Indexed Annuities
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INTEREST RATE RISK
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Interest Rate Risk
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Each bar shows the range of yield for each bond over the time period July 1954 to December 2013. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. © 2014 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.
History of Interest Rates, July 1954–December 2013
5.16% 6.41%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.83% 5.23%
1-yr Government Yield
IT Government Yield
LT Government Yield
Federal Funds
Average Current
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Interest Rate Risk
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. © 2014 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.
History of Interest Rates, January 1926–December 2013
3.5%
-4%
0%
4%
16%
20%
4.6% 5.2%
Long-Term Government Bonds
Intermediate-Term Government Bonds
30-day Treasury Bills
Average Current
12%
8%
0.0% 1.1%
3.7%
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Interest Rate Risk Ways to Manage Interest Rate Risk:
Stocks, Bonds 1
Annuities 2
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1. Immediate 2. Indexed 3. Variable 4. Fixed
With Guaranteed Minimum
Withdrawal Benefits (GMWB)
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MARKET VOLATILITY RISK
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Market Volatility Risk
–83.4%
–21.8%
–10.2%
–15.0%
–22.3%
–15.6%
–29.3%
–42.6%
–14.3%
–16.5%
–29.6%
–14.7%
–15.4%
–44.7%
% Loss
–50.9%
34 months 6 months 7 months 5 months 6 months 8 months 19 months 21 months 14 months 20 months 3 months 5 months 2 months 25 months
Downturn
16 months
51 months 35 months
5 months 7 months 0 months 6 months 9 months
21 months 5 months 3 months 8 months 4 months
49 months 37 months
3 months
Recovery
Mar 2009–Mar 2012 Nov 2007–Feb 2009
Sep 1929–Jun 1932 Jul 1932–Jan 1945
Jun 1946–Nov 1946 Dec 1946–Oct 1949
Aug 1956–Feb 1957 Mar 1957–Jul 1957
Aug 1957–Dec 1957 Jan 1958–Jul 1958
Jan 1962–Jun 1962 Jul 1962–Apr 1963
Feb 1966–Sep 1966 Oct 1966–Mar 1967
Dec 1968–Jun 1970 Jul 1970–Mar 1971
Jan 1973–Sep 1974 Oct 1974–Jun 1976
Jan 1977–Feb 1978 Mar 1978–Jul 1978
Dec 1980–Jul 1982 Aug 1982–Oct 1982
Sep 1987–Nov 1987 Dec 1987–May 1989
Jun 1990–Oct 1990 Nov 1990–Feb 1991
Jul 1998–Aug 1998 Sep 1998–Nov 1998
Sep 2000–Sep 2002 Oct 2002–Oct 2006
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. Downturns are defined by a time period when the stock market value declined by 10% or more from its peak. © 2014 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.
Market Downturns and Recoveries, 1926–2013
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Market Volatility Risk Market Performance Affects Chance of Portfolio Shortfall Six percent inflation-adjusted withdrawal at three confidence levels
IMPORTANT: Projections generated by Morningstar regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes using the Ibbotson Wealth Forecasting Engine are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary over time and with each simulation. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. © 2014 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.
$1M $500K
$100 $50
$10 65 100 95 90 85 80 75 70
Age
90% confidence level 75% confidence level 50% confidence level
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Market Volatility Risks Ways to Manage Volatility Risk:
Diversification 1 1. Cash 2. Pensions 3. Social Security 4. Stocks 5. Bonds 6. Annuities
• Indexed Annuities • Immediate Annuities • Variable Annuities
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Retirement Challenges
Protect your retirement income
Understand your risks
Define your budget Create a portfolio to meet your specific
retirement income needs
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Questions?
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Important Information This presentation is intended to provide a general overview of retirement risks. The annuity products mentioned in this
presentation are general overviews of the products. Every company’s products are different and many products offer various
features and options. It’s important to talk with your financial professional to help find the type of annuity product with
features and options that best suit your specific needs and requirements.
This material contains statements regarding the tax treatment of certain financial assets and transactions. These statements
represent only our current understanding of the law in general and are not to be considered legal or tax advice by
purchasers. Neither Protective Life nor its representatives offer legal or tax advice. Purchasers should consult with their
legal or tax advisor regarding their individual situations before making any tax-related decisions.
Protective and Protective Life refer to Protective Life Insurance Company (PLICO) and its affiliates, including Protective Life
& Annuity Insurance Company (PLAICO). Insurance issued by PLICO in all states, except New York, and in New York by
PLAICO. Securities offered by Investment Distributors, Inc. (IDI), principal underwriter for registered products issued by
PLICO and PLAICO, its affiliates. Both companies are located in Birmingham, AL. Product availability and features may vary
by state. Each company is solely responsible for the financial obligations accruing under the policies it issues.
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Variable annuities mentioned on slides 13, 17, 25 and 29 are long-term investments intended for retirement planning and involve market risk and the possible loss of principal. Investments in variable annuities are subject to fees and charges from the insurance company and the investment managers.
All guarantees are subject to claims-paying ability of the issuing life insurance company.
Variable annuities issued by Protective Life Insurance Company (PLICO). Securities offered by Investment Distributors, Inc. (IDI), principal underwriter for registered products issued by PLICO and PLAICO, its affiliates
Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of a variable annuity, any protected lifetime income benefit, and the underlying investment options before investing. This information is contained in the prospectus for a variable annuity and its underlying investment options. Prospectuses may be obtained by calling Protective Life at 800.456.6330.
Important Information
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S&P Information The S&P 500 Index is a product of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (“SPDJI”), and has been licensed for use by Protective Life. S&P® and S&P 500® are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (“S&P”); Dow Jones® is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (“Dow Jones”); and these trademarks have been licensed for use by SPDJI and sublicensed for certain purposes by Protective Life. The Protective Indexed Annuity is not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by SPDJI, Dow Jones, S&P, their respective affiliates, and none of such parties make any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such product(s) nor do they have any liability for any errors, omissions, or interruptions of the S&P 500 Index.”