Results for Market Forecast

March 26-30, 2007

Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc

All rights reserved.

Results Summary

• This was our first week using the new charting system. Very good results overall.

• Correct in assessing the biggest event of the week was Crude movement on Wednesday. Interpretation error on direction of movement.

• Including error in Crude, we increased our modest trading funds by 67% this week.

Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

British Pounds - results

• Long on BP Monday and Wednesday successfully.

Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

% Price Change, Cumulative - March26-30, 2007

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

M T W Th F

B Pounds Forecast Actual

Treasury Bonds - results

• Short on T-Bonds Mon. evening successfully.

Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

% Price Change, Cumulative - March26-30, 2007

-0.8

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

M T W Th F

T-Bonds Forecast Actual

Crude Oil - results

• Short on Crude Wed. against obvious bullish fundamental and technical indicators – NOT successful.

Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

% Price Change, Cumulative - March26-30, 2007

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

M T W Th F

Crude Forecast Actual

Stock Market - results

• Based on S&P negative forecast for Friday, we went Short on Dow Jones Index futures – Successful.

Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

% Price Change, Cumulative - March26-30, 2007

-2.5

-2

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

M T W Th F

S&P Forecast Actual

Copper - results

• Did not trade Copper. Actuals tracked well in timing and direction, but not magnitude of change. Net change for week good.

Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

% Price Change, Cumulative - March26-30, 2007

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

M T W Th F

Copper Forecast Actual

Lessons Learned

• This method substantially increases clarity and thus successful trades.

• Spotting peaks for selling short, and dips for buying are greatly facilitated .

• Ongoing problem underestimating magnitude of volatility in metals, however timing and direction continue to be fairly well placed. Needs further work.

Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

The Crude Story• We waited anxiously for the significant event of

the week – Wednesday’s big Crude move DOWN.

• Monday we were suspicious of the Crude chart, Tuesday the forecast and the actuals were becoming very different.

• In the future, if the charts are not tracking well we will 1) reassess our original qualitative assessment or 2) throw out the chart and stand aside for the remainder of the time period.

Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

Disclaimer

A New Story Foundation is not a brokerage firm nor are we professional investment advisors. Please consult the appropriate person/firm for specific investment advice.

Should you find our forecasts beneficial please consider supporting our research. Our sole source of funding is donations and grants from people like you. More information can be found on our website at http://anewstory.org.

Thanks for your interest.