RESULTS FOR 2Q 2016 ANALYST TELECONFERENCE · Product Price Effect on Tüpraş in1H Impact of Med...
Transcript of RESULTS FOR 2Q 2016 ANALYST TELECONFERENCE · Product Price Effect on Tüpraş in1H Impact of Med...
RESULTS FOR 2Q 2016 ANALYSTTELECONFERENCE11th August 2016
02 Operation
03Financials
01Market
2016 Second Quarter Market Conditions
Deteriorating Refining Market
WTI / Brent Spread
1 $/v
Ural & Other Crude
Spreads
Widened
High Global Capacity
Utilisation
Fluctuation in currency
& prices
WeakenedDemand
due to LowIndustrialUsage &
WarmWeather
Additional Chinese
production from
Teapot Refineries
ExcessCrude Supply
Normalised
Low price Environment
Excess Product SupplyPoor Crack Margins
Growing Turkish Petroleum Market
3
Bearish Refining Environment
5 Months 2016 - Turkish Consumption (Million tons)
7,69 8,44
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
9,0
2015 2016
Diesel
0,52 0,57
0,0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
2015 2016
Jet Fuel*
0,78 0,84
0,0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
2015 2016
Gasoline
0,29 0,30
0,00
0,10
0,20
0,30
0,40
2015 2016
Fuel Oil*
Source: EMRA
*bunker excluded.
4
+7.1%
+9.8% +9.9%
+4.1%
Crude Price Differentials, $/Barrel
-4,0
-3,5
-3,0
-2,5
-2,0
-1,5
-1,0
-0,5
0,0
0,5
1,0
-4,0
-3,5
-3,0
-2,5
-2,0
-1,5
-1,0
-0,5
0,0
0,5
1,0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2009-2012 Min/Max 2014 2013 2015 2016
-12,0
-10,0
-8,0
-6,0
-4,0
-2,0
0,0
2,0
Price Differentials Trends
Ural Iran Light (KI) Iran Heavy (KI) Kirkuk Arab. Heavy Siberian Light CPC
Ural Crude Differentials $/Barrel
5
Quarterly Product Crack Margins, $/bbl
9,5
14,116,5
6,8
13,612,1 9,7
4,5
8,0
13,0
15,1
10,1
13,0
19,4 18,9
13,815,2 14,5
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Gasoline
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
16,7
18,0 20,918,9
17,0
15,8 16,416,4
15,313,6
16,1 16,315,7 15,2 14,6
10,7
7,99,2
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Diesel
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
13,415,7
18,3 17,016,013,0
13,214,7
12,611,2
15,015,8
14,4
11,3 10,79,5
7,3 7,8
02468
101214161820
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Jet Fuel
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
-14,4-11,8 -14,3
-20,2-18,8 -13,9 -18,9
-20,4-20,1-20,9
-15,7
-15,0
-11,6-12,1
-13,2
-15,7-13,2
-15,1
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Fuel Oil2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
6
Product Price Effect on Tüpraş in 2Q
Impact of Med FOB Prices on Tüpraş Operations was - 575,2 million TL
2nd Quarter
Product Price, $/ton Tüpraş Crack Margin, $/bbl
2016 2015Product Yield %
2016 2015
LPG 293,63 388,50 3,6% -19,42 -27,33
Gasoline 486,65 660,19 20,1% 14,40 19,42
Naptha 379,49 506,55 1,1% -2,73 -4,74
Jet Fuel 419,55 575,55 17,5% 7,80 11,28
Diesel 408,16 574,27 32,5% 9,27 15,23
Diesel 1000 399,00 561,47 0,7% 8,04 13,51
Fuel Oil 1% 213,86 335,09 0,2% -12,58 -10,25
Fuel Oil 3,5% 198,42 323,04 18,8% -14,96 -12,10
Total Crack Margin,$/bbl 3,76 7,59
Dated Brent Avg. $/Bbl 61,9 45,6 94,5%
Margin Differences, $/bbl -3,8
Total Raw Materials Charge, mn Barrel 51,94
Total Effect of Product Price, mn $ -198,8
Total Effect of Price Ratio, mn TL -575,2
7
FOB Italy Prices
Product Price Effect on Tüpraş in 1H
Impact of Med FOB Prices on Tüpraş Operations was –1.063,6 million TL
2nd Quarter
Product Price, $/ton Tüpraş Crack Margin, $/bbl
2016 2015Product Yield %
2016 2015
LPG 289,75 386,58 3,6% -13,93 -23,53
Gasoline 441,58 602,31 20,1% 14,68 16,27
Naptha 339,58 470,78 1,1% -1,39 -4,80
Jet Fuel 371,69 556,16 17,5% 7,55 12,79
Diesel 359,51 546,14 32,5% 8,57 15,42
Diesel 1000 349,65 530,40 0,7% 7,25 13,31
Fuel Oil 1% 179,40 313,01 0,2% -12,06 -9,68
Fuel Oil 3,5% 166,24 298,88 18,8% -14,09 -11,85
Total Crack Margin,$/bbl 3,92 7,46
Dated Brent Avg. $/bbl 39,7 57,9 94,5%
Margin Differences, $/bbl -3,5
Total Raw Materials Charged, mn barrel 102,88
Total Effect of Product Prices, mn $ -364,5
Total Effect of Product Prices, mn TL -1.063,6
8
FOB Italy Prices
Inventory Effect* Analysis
*FX effect Included, hedging excluded
9
2015 2016
$ million Crude Product Total Crude Product Total
1st Quarter -35,1 -35,1 -70,2 -9,0 -13,4 -22,4
Apr 9,1 25,3 34,4 7,2 16,6 23,8
May 16,8 12,0 28,8 26,3 43,3 69,6
Jun 2,2 1,7 3,9 13,4 10,2 23,6
2nd Quarter 28,1 38,9 67,1 46,9 70,1 117,0
6 Months -7,0 3,9 -3,1 37,9 56,7 94,6
Med & Tüpraş Net Margins, $/bbl
6,1
3
2,6
2
4,8
9 4,3
4 3,6
5 2,6
3
-0,2
8
7,4
8
5,2
1
6,2
8
1,4
0
3,5
5
1,6
5
5,7
3
2,5
2
0,0
6
4,8
8
3,2
0
-2,0
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2nd Quarter
Tüpraş Net Med Complex
4,0
5
2,2
2
3,4
2
4,1
2
2,8
5 1,8
8 1,0
5
6,2
3
4,0
3
4,9
9
2,4
2
3,5
3
1,0
4
4,3
5
2,6
8
0,2
5
5,4
3
3,5
2
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
6 Month
Tüpraş Net Med Complex10
1,5
7
1,7
2
1,3
7
3,8
7
1,9
6 0,9
0
2,4
1
4,6
9
2,8
1
3,7
0
3,4
4
3,5
0
0,4
2
2,9
7
2,8
3
0,4
4
5,9
8
3,8
4
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
1st Quarter
Tüpraş Net Med Complex
$ / bblGross
Margin
Inventory
Effect
Clean
Gross
Margin
Clean
NET
Margin
Med
Margin
2015 Q2 12,63 0,53 12,10 6,95 4,88
2016 Q2 10,58 0,90* 9,67 4,31 3,20
* Hedge Operations not included
Market Operations Financials
11
Capacity Utilisation (%)9
1,1
86
,1
60
,4
69
,6 74
,4 78
,7
76
,8
71
,3
98
,1
90
,1 95
,6
8,7
7,55,5
2,92,4
3,6
4,4
4,0
5,2
69,2
77,181,6
79,174,9
102,5
94,1
100,9
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2015/ 1H
2016/ 1H
Crude Oil Other
Quarterly Production Volume (Mn Tons)
4,554,63 5,41
5,515,60
6,93
7,32 7,42
6,596,75
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Min / Max 2007/2014 2014 2015 2016
Production
12
+6,8%
Product Yields
17% 20% 19% 17% 18% 19% 21%18% 16%
19%
27%27% 27%
26%28% 27%
31%35%
30%
32%
43%47% 46%
43%46% 46%
53% 52%
45%
51%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
14 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 15 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 16 Q1 16 Q2
Middle Distillate
Jet Diesel
21% 21%22% 23% 22%
20% 20% 21% 22% 21%
22% 21%22%
23% 23%
21% 21% 22%22% 23%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
14 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 15 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 16 Q1 16 Q2
Light Distillate
Gasoline Naphtha
19% 17%14%
20% 18% 17%
5%7%
15%
5%
9%9%
12%
8%7% 10%
13%11%
9%
13%
1%
3% 3%
1%
3%
28%26% 26%
29%
26%27%
21% 21%
26%
21%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
14 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 15 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 16 Q1 16 Q2
Black Product
Fuel Oil Asphalt Coke
32,532,9
31,8 31,9
33,1
32,2
30,3 30,3
31,130,8
27,5
28,5
29,5
30,5
31,5
32,5
33,5
34,5
Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4
Crude Oil API
2014 2015 2016
13
Tüpraş Sales, Thousand tons
3.5
80
3.9
17
5.0
68
4.1
02
5.3
74
6.4
03
4.9
11
6.7
56
4.2
67
6.1
99
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
Q1-14 Q1-15 Q1-16 Q2-14 Q2-15
Q2-16 Q3-14 Q3-15 Q4-14 Q4-15
1.1
28
1.7
26
1.8
07
92
5
1.9
25
1.2
52
1.4
59
1.1
79
1.8
22
1.6
63
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
Q1-14 Q1-15 Q1-16 Q2-14 Q2-15
Q2-16 Q3-14 Q3-15 Q4-14 Q4-15
4.7
08
5.6
43
6.8
75 5
.02
7
7.2
98
7.6
55 6.3
70
7.9
35 6
.08
9
7.8
62
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
Q1-14 Q1-15 Q1-16 Q2-14 Q2-15
Q2-16 Q3-14 Q3-15 Q4-14 Q4-15
14
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
ExportDomestic Sales
Total Sales
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Domestic Sales, million tons
0,3
9
0,4
3
0,4
5
0,4
6
0,5
2
0,5
5
0,5
4
0,6
0
0,4
4
0,5
0
0,0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
Gasoline
Q1-14 Q1-15 Q1-16 Q2-14 Q2-15
Q2-16 Q3-14 Q3-15 Q4-14 Q4-15
0,7
6
0,8
6
1,0
0
0,9
8
1,2
6
1,2
3
1,1
8
1,5
0
0,9
1
1,1
3
0,00,20,40,60,81,01,21,41,6
Jet Fuel
Q1-14 Q1-15 Q1-16 Q2-14 Q2-15
Q2-16 Q3-14 Q3-15 Q4-14 Q4-15
1,4
8
1,7
3
2,2
7
1,6
6
2,2
3
2,7
5
1,8
3
2,6
2
1,7
3
2,5
9
0,0
0,4
0,8
1,2
1,6
2,0
2,4
2,8
Diesel
Q1-14 Q1-15 Q1-16 Q2-14 Q2-15
Q2-16 Q3-14 Q3-15 Q4-14 Q4-15
0,2
3
0,2
7
0,4
3
0,4
2
0,6
3
0,9
1 0,7
9
1,0
8
0,5
1
0,9
0
0,0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1,0
1,2Asphalt
Q1-14 Q1-15 Q1-16 Q2-14 Q2-15
Q2-16 Q3-14 Q3-15 Q4-14 Q4-15
15
Opet
798 830 885 915 938 966 1009 1044
526 394 394 410 418 427 435 343
1.3241.224 1.279 1.325 1.356 1.393 1.444 1.387
0
300
600
900
1.200
1.500
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016July
Station Numbers
Opet Sunpet
– In June, White Product market share is 17,6 percent.
– Total market share, including white and black products is 17,06 percent.
16
Market Operations Financials
17
Income Statement
18
Q2 Q2% Diff. Million USD 6 M 2015 6 M 2016 % Diff.
2015 2016
4.024,3 2.914,7 -28 Net Sales 6.853,6 5.016,0 -27
431,2 221,3 -49 Gross Profit 634,3 387,9 -39
-72,0 -78,9 10 Operating Expenses -142,0 -155,8 10
-21,3 27,3 -228 Income/Loss from other operations -112,1 30,6 -127
337,9 169,7 -50 Operating Profit 380,2 262,6 -31
12,9 18,5 43 Income/Loss from equity investment 3,7 23,5 527
350,9 188,2 -46Operating Profit Before Fin.
Income/Loss383,9 286,1 -25
12,2 -16,6 -235 Financial Income 192,9 45,1 -77
-85,5 -34,8 -59 Finance Expenses -311,2 -161,8 -48
277,6 136,8 -51 Profit Before Tax & Minorities 265,7 169,4 -36
272,7 113,5 -58 Net Profit 384,8 140,2 -64
380,6 216,6 -43 EBITDA (mn.$) 452,7 355,1 -22313,6 99,5 -68 EBITDA (mn.$)- CCS 455,9 260,5 -43
Tüpraş Balance Sheet
19
Million USD 30.06.2016 31.12.2015 Difference % Difference
Current Assets 3.598 2.984 615 21
Cash & C. Equivalents 1.590 1.041 549 53
Receivables 915 882 32 4
Derivatives 7 6 0 2
Inventories 892 723 169 23
Pre-paid expenses 50 45 5 11
Other Current Assets 144 285 -141 -49
Long Term Assets 5.829 5.776 53 1
Financial Assets & Subsidiaries 274 264 10 4
Fixed Assets 3.984 3.950 34 1
Derivatives 69 86
Pre-paid expenses 79 62 18 29
Deferred Tax 1.071 1.101 -30 -3
Other Long Term Assets 352 314 38 12
Total Assets 9.427 8.760 668 8
Short Term Liabilities 4.035 3.036 998 33
Financial Loans 1.202 644 559 87
Payables 1.689 1.363 327 24
Derivatives 73 14 60 429
Deferred Incomes 2 8 -6 -72
Provisions 37 24 12 51
Other ST Liabilities 1.030 984 46 5
Long Term Liabilities 2.868 2.845 23 1
Financial Loans 2.778 2.768 10 0
Payables & Provisions 70 67 3 4
Derivatives 19 9 10 103
Other LT Liabilities 1 1 0 1
Equity 2.500 2.856 -357 -12
Minority Interests 25 22 3 14
Total Liabilities 9.427 8.760 668 8
Financial Highlights (mn $)
134262
95 79150 150 114
256
328
15378
-27
415237
271
468
361315
226
410169
272
106
89
-11
422
830
1.329
715
560
338
1.397
351
-100
100
300
500
700
900
1100
1300
1500
2010 2011 2012R 2013 2014 2015 2016
67194 161
72231
112 27
145
16575
75
171273
113
230
206309 435
175 26847
174 27147 91
285
490
740817
629 667
938
140
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
9001000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
-1.9
55
57
8
55
1
1.3
40 1.9
94
1.8
69
1.5
98
1.6
63 2
.45
2
2.5
77
2.7
48
2.3
70
2.2
58
2.3
91
-3.000
-2.000
-1.000
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
0,2
2 0,2
50
,34
0,1
10
,22
0,1
90
,30
0,3
20
,24
0,1
00
,40
0,3
30
,30
0,2
60
,18
0,3
0 0,3
50
,35
0,0
40
,11
0,00
0,05
0,10
0,15
0,20
0,25
0,30
0,35
0,40
0,45
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
13 Q
1
20
14 Q
1
20
14 1
H
20
14 9
M
20
14
20
15 Q
1
20
15 Q
2
20
15 9
M
20
15
20
16 Q
1
20
16 1
H
EBITDA Net Income
Net Debt Return on Average Equity
20
Balance Sheet Analysis
1,41
2,16
1,721,69
1,30
1,641,68
1,211,04
0,821,04
1,641,59
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5Cash & Equivalents (Billion $)
1,451,33
0,930,71
0,520,51
0,090,20
0,66
1,070,88
0,700,91
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
Receivables (Billion $)
2,3 2,4 2,6 2,8 2,9 2,9 3,0 3,3 3,1 3,0 2,8 2,9 2,8
0,81,0 0,5
0,9 0,3 0,3 0,30,4 0,5 0,6 0,6
1,0 1,23,1
3,43,1
3,73,2 3,2 3,3
3,7 3,6 3,6 3,43,9 4,0
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0Financial Loans (Billion $)
LT Loans ST Loans
2,94
3,463,223,103,28
3,04
2,46
1,741,701,591,361,23
1,69
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
Payables (Billion $)
21
FX Risk Exposure (30 June 2016)
ConsolidatedAssets
ConsolidatedLiabilities
LT Financials: 2,657
RUP Loans: 1,407
Eurobond: 700
Other credits 550
ST Financials 374
• RUP 306
Payables
1.174
Forward & CFH*
2,509
Stock
842
Receivables & otherassets
42
Cash
900
Million $
+74 million $
*Cash flow hedge accounting : 1,568 mn $ 22
Future Expectations
Brent Price Estimation
• The average Brent price in 2016 is expected to be 45-55 dollars per barrel band.
Med Complex Margin
• We expect Med Complex margins to be 3.5 – 4.0 dollars per barrel band in 2016.
Tüpraş Net Margin
• Net Tüpraş refinery margin is expected to be in the region of 4.5 – 5.0 dollars per barrel
Capacity Utilisation
• Expected Capacity Utilisation in 2016 will be around 100 %.
• Production will therefore be approximately 28 million tons
• Imports of finished products will be minimal, as we focus on selling increased volumes of production
• Total sales volume will be 30.0 million tons
Investment
• Total investments for 2016 will be about 270 Million dollars
23
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that reflect the Company
management’s current views with respect to certain future events. Although it is
believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, they may
be affected by a variety of variables and changes in underlying assumptions that could
cause actual results to differ materially.
Neither Tüpraş nor any of its directors, managers or employees nor any other person
shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from use of this presentation.
24
Extras
25
2nd Quarter Product Yields
White Product 71.83%
Production 6.8 mn ton
API:32.21
White Product 78.20%
Production 6.6 mn ton
API:30.83
Gasoline20,6%
Naphtha1,9%
Jet19,0%
Diesel32,4%
Other1,5%
LPG3,8%
Coke2,7%
Fuel Oil5,4%
Bitumen12,6%
Light Distil.22,5%
Mid. Distil.51,4%
Other5,4%
Black Prod.20,7%
2015 2016
26
Gasoline19,5%
Naphtha1,4%
Jet19,0%
Diesel27,1%
Other2,3%
LPG3,2%
Coke0,6%
Fuel Oil16,9%
Bitumen10,0%
Light Distil.20,9%
Mid. Distil.46,1%
Other5,5%
Black Prod.27,4%
1 H Product Yields
White Product 72.7%
Production 12.3 mn ton
API:32.63
White Product 75.59%
Production 13.1 mn ton
API:30.98
Gasoline21,1%
Naphtha1,4%
Jet17,2%
Diesel31,2%
Other2,1%
LPG3,6%
Coke2,1%
Fuel Oil10,3%
Bitumen11,0%
Light Distil.22,5%
Mid. Distil.48,4%
Other5,7%
Black Prod.23,4%
2015 2016
27
Gasoline20,6%
Naphtha1,2%
Jet18,5%
Diesel27,5%
Other2,4%
LPG3,2%
Coke0,3%
Fuel Oil17,5%
Bitumen8,8%
Light Distil.21,8%
Mid. Distil.45,9%
Other5,7%
Black Prod.26,6%
Production (million tons)
0,7 0,9 1,0 0,9 1,0 1,3 1,6 1,3 1,0 1,3
1,2 1,3 1,4 1,4 1,61,8
2,3 2,5
2,02,11,9 2,2
2,5 2,3 2,53,1
3,8 3,8
3,03,4
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
14 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 15 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 16 Q1 16 Q2
Middle Distillate
Jet Diesel
0,9 1,01,2 1,3 1,2 1,3 1,5 1,5 1,4 1,4
1,0 1,01,2 1,3 1,3
1,41,6 1,6
1,5 1,5
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
14 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 15 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 16 Q1 16 Q2
Light Distillate
Gasoline Naphtha
0,8 0,8 0,81,1 1,0 1,1
0,3 0,5
1,0
0,4
0,4 0,40,6
0,50,4
0,7
0,90,8
0,6
0,8
1,3 1,21,4
1,61,4
1,9
1,5 1,61,7
1,4
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
14 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 15 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 16 Q1 16 Q2
Black Product
Fuel Oil Bitumen Coke
32
,5
32
,9
31
,8
31
,9
33
,1 32
,2
30
,3
30
,3
31
,1
30
,8
27,5
28,5
29,5
30,5
31,5
32,5
33,5
34,5
Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4
Crude Oil API
2014 2015 2016
28
Domestic Sales4
52
137
943
2.1
45
53
3.9
11
58
1 89
5
17
0
5
54
8
14
0
99
5
2.2
44
39
4.9
76
67
4
1.3
35
21
4
30
7
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
2015 H1
2016 H1
Export Volumes
1.597
158
1.851
45
1.731
157
1.155
150
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
1.800
2.000
Gasoline MiddleDist.
Fuel Oil Other
2015 H1
2016 H1
1H Sales (Thousand Tons)
29
2015/H1 : 9.3 mn tons
2016/H1: 11.5 mn tons
2015/H1: 3.7 mn tons
2016/H1: 3.1 mn tons
Profitability Indicators , 2015-2016 6 Month & 2Q-2015-2016
* In our EBITDA calculation, FX related items are not included, whereas CMB calculation method includes these in operationg
profit
30
2nd Q(%)
6M(%)
2015 2016 2015 2016
61,92 45,57 -26 Dtd.Brent Price, ($/bbl) 57,95 39,73 -31,4432,21 30,83 -4,3 Processed Crude API 32,63 30,98 -5,0671,83 78,20 6,4 White Product Yield, (%) 72,70 75,59 2,89
4,88 3,20 -34,4 Med. Complex Margin,($/bbl) 5,43 3,52 -35,27,48 5,21 -30,3 Tüpraş Net Margin,($/bbl) 6,23 4,03 -35,3
337,95 169,7 -50 Operating Profit, (mn. $) 380,2 262,6 -31
372,9 189,9 -49 Operating Profit for EBITDA, (mn. $) 492,6 258,1 -48
380,6 216,6 -43 EBITDA (mn.$)-CMB 452,7 355,1 -22313,6 99,5 -68 EBITDA (mn.$)-CMB- CCS 455,9 260,5 -43415,6 236,8 -43 EBITDA *(mn. $) 565,1 350,6 -38348,5 119,7 -66 EBITDA* (mn. $) CCS 568,2 256,0 -55
Fluctuation in Oil Price & Exchange Rate for H1 2016
36,5
26,0
38,7
48,4
2,95
3,06
2,83
2,80
2,99
2,89
2,77
2,82
2,87
2,92
2,97
3,02
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
41
43
45
47
49
51
53
Brent Crude Price
TL/Dollar
31
1H Trading Activities
0
454 465
44
279
610
160
588
0
978
203
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
Product Imports, Ton*000
2015 H1
2016 H1 311
0
406
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
HVGO + LCGO ASR F.Oil
Intermediate Imports, Ton*000
2015 H1
2016 H1
Finished Products
Because of low desulfurisation
margin in High Sulfur Diesel imports,
ULSD imports were increased in
paralel to the sales volume rise.
Intermediates
HVGO + LCGO imports increased
for the conversion units.
32
Monthly Price Ratios (product $/bbl/Crude $/bbl)
2016-BBL/BBL Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Avg.
LPG 0,93 0,74 0,62 0,61 0,57 0,55 0,67
Naptha 1,08 0,95 0,98 0,97 0,92 0,93 0,97
Gasoline 1,61 1,36 1,38 1,39 1,31 1,27 1,38
Jet Fuel 1,22 1,23 1,20 1,16 1,16 1,19 1,19
Diesel 10ppm 1,24 1,24 1,22 1,18 1,21 1,22 1,22
Diesel 1000ppm 1,19 1,21 1,17 1,14 1,18 1,20 1,18
Fuel Oil %3,5 0,59 0,64 0,60 0,63 0,68 0,71 0,64
2015-BBL/BBL Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Avg.
LPG 0,68 0,51 0,72 0,62 0,56 0,50 0,60
Naptha 0,85 0,92 0,95 0,93 0,92 0,92 0,92
Gasoline 1,20 1,21 1,31 1,28 1,28 1,38 1,28
Jet Fuel 1,32 1,26 1,23 1,18 1,18 1,19 1,22
Diesel 10ppm 1,31 1,29 1,28 1,24 1,25 1,24 1,27
Diesel 1000ppm 1,26 1,24 1,22 1,19 1,24 1,22 1,23
Fuel Oil %3,5 0,77 0,78 0,80 0,81 0,80 0,81 0,79
33
Quarterly Price Ratios (product $/bbl/Crude $/bbl)
1,081,13 1,15
1,061,12 1,12 1,09 1,04
1,07
1,121,15 1,13
1,24
1,31
1,38
1,32
1,45
1,32
1,001,051,101,151,201,251,301,351,401,451,50
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Gasoline
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
1,141,17
1,19 1,171,15 1,15 1,15 1,15
1,141,12
1,16
1,21
1,29
1,25
1,29
1,251,231,20
1,00
1,05
1,10
1,15
1,20
1,25
1,30
1,35
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Diesel
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
1,111,15 1,17 1,151,14 1,13 1,12 1,13
1,121,10
1,15
1,21
1,27
1,18
1,21 1,221,22
1,17
1,00
1,05
1,10
1,15
1,20
1,25
1,30
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Jet Fuel
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0,88 0,89 0,87 0,820,83 0,860,83
0,81
0,81 0,810,85
0,800,78
0,800,74
0,640,610,67
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Fuel Oil
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
34
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