Resource Planning Georgia Power’s Diverse Plan to Meet Georgia’s Energy Needs AWMA Fall 2010...
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Transcript of Resource Planning Georgia Power’s Diverse Plan to Meet Georgia’s Energy Needs AWMA Fall 2010...
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Georgia Power’s Diverse Plan to Meet
Georgia’s Energy Needs
AWMA Fall 2010 Conference
October 7, 2010
Jeff Burleson
Director of Resource Policy and Planning
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Outline
• Growth
• Planning
• Energy Efficiency
• Renewables
• Nuclear
• Summary
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gUS Electricity Generation by Region
History and projection, 1990-2030
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Chan
ge fr
om 1
990
.
Southeast (SERC, FRCC: AL, AR, FL, GA, LA, W MO, MS, NC, SC, VA)
US
West (WECC: AZ, CA, CO, ID, MT, NV, NM, OR, UT, WA, WY)
Northeast (CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, VT)
Midwest (ECAR: IN, KY, MI, OH, WV)
Data Source: Energy Information Administration, US Department of Energy
ProjectionHistory
Projected growth
2008-2030
34%
25%34%
22%
11%
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Planning
• Uncertainties include– Long term fuel prices– Long term environmental requirements– Potential climate change or renewable legislation– Technological advances
• Long lead times for new resources– Typically 3 to 10 years for permitting and construction– Resources typically last 30 to 60 years
• Robust, comprehensive planning process– Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) in some states– Frequent validation and updates, as needed
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Energy Efficiency Award Summary • EPA’s Change the World, Start
with ENERGY STAR Pledge® Campaign– 2009-2010 First Nationally– 2008-2009 First Nationally– 2007-2008 Third Nationally– 2006-2007 Second Nationally
• ENERGY STAR® Leadership in Housing Award - 2009 & 2010
• ENERGY STAR® partnership – Honored for three consecutive
years as Excellence in Energy STAR Promotion Award winner
• ENERGY STAR® Recycle My Old Fridge Campaign - 2008 First Place
• Southern Company “LEAF” Award Winner - 2007 Winner
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Energy Efficiency
• 7 new programs will launch January 1, 2011
– New homes– Existing homes– Lighting and appliances– Water heating– Refrigerator recycling– Commercial buildings (2 programs)
• 16 energy-efficiency and demand-response programs– Invest >$500 million next 10 years– Projected demand reduction of
2,800 MW by 2020
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Renewable Generation Today• Existing Capacity
– Hydro: over 1,000 MWs
• Green Energy Program (14.4 MWs Energy Only)– Landfill Gas Generation: 9 MW – Solar Energy: 5.4 MW
• Approved or Committed Capacity (~270 MWs)– Qualifying Facilities (QFs) under contract using biomass and solid
waste– Solar self build (1MW)
• Plans are for portfolio of projects at customer locations– Mitchell Biomass conversion (96 MW)
• Once converted, will supply about 1% of GPC’s annual energy sales
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Where We’re Headed Renewable generation
– Potential for up to several hundred MWs
– Woody biomass and landfill methane gas generation
Investing in renewable energy research
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gGeorgia Leads the Nation Georgia Leads the Nation
-- 24 million Acres of Commercial Timberland-- 24 million Acres of Commercial Timberland
• 2/3 of the state of 2/3 of the state of Georgia is timberlandGeorgia is timberland
• 2 billion tons of wood on 2 billion tons of wood on timberlandtimberland
• 70 million tons of wood 70 million tons of wood growth growth annuallyannually
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Biomass Conversion Opportunities• Potential candidates:
- Small, old coal plants - Low capacity factor - Potential high-cost environmental
controls
• Economics are very site specific- Fuel Supply- Existing equipment
• Major Plant Modifications:- Replace or modify existing boiler - New fuel handling systems- Significant de-rate in plant capacity
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gLocal Economic Benefits
• Tens of millions of dollars annually in local wood purchases vs. out-of-state coal purchases
• Increased tax base
Jobs
• 50-75 permanent to supply wood
• 80-100 temporary construction jobs over a two-year period
Conversion originally scheduled for June 2012
Delayed due to uncertainty regarding EPA’s pending EPA’s Industrial Boiler MACT final ruling, expected in December 2010.
Benefits of Conversion
• Cost-effective Renewable Energy
• Fuel Diversity
• Environmental Benefits
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Researching wind potential off the Georgia coast
Photo-Simulation, Northern Wind Farm Location, 6.8 miles Southeast of Tybee Island
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Making Solar Work
Long history of support for solar demonstration projects
Evaluating cutting-edge solar technologies– 7 photovoltaic technologies
installed on roof of corporate office
– 4 kilowatts in size each – Potential to expand by 2011
Bottom line at this point– Cost-effective solar energy will
require continued reductions in installation costs
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Nuclear Generation New licensing process
New passive safety design
Standardized design
Virtually no air emissions
Economical
Fuel diversity
Projected savings of $1 to 6 billion vs natural gas
Plant VogtleConceptual View with Units 3 & 4
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Summary
• Energy demand will grow over the next 10 years– Expected to be met with approximately
• 2 to 4 percent renewable generation sources • 14 percent nuclear generation • 21 percent energy efficiency and demand response• 61 to 63 percent natural gas-fueled generation
• Diverse energy plan is necessary to ensure economical and reliable supply of electricity
• Renewables and energy efficiency must play an increasing role in a diverse energy plan