Research support for operational activities of RCCs · Research support for operational activities...

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014 Research support for operational activities of RCCs Teruko MANABE, Shuhei MAEDA, Akihiko SHIMPO and Kiyoharu TAKANO Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)

Transcript of Research support for operational activities of RCCs · Research support for operational activities...

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

Research support for operational activities of RCCs

Teruko MANABE, Shuhei MAEDA, Akihiko SHIMPO and Kiyoharu TAKANO

Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

contents

• Introduction of the Tokyo Climate Center

• Linkage between TCC and the research community – JMA’s Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate

Events (established in 2007) – Researchers' support to TCC events – Development of reanalysis (JRA-55)

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

Tokyo Climate Center (TCC)

TCC serves as a WMO Regional Climate Center in the RA II. TCC supports NMHSs through data/information provision and capacity development activities.

Provision of climate data and information via the Internet

NMHSs in Asia - Provision of climate information using TCC data based on national requirements

- Natural disaster reduction - Food security - Water management

Capacity Development

- Seasonal forecasts - Report on extreme events - Climate system analysis

Tokyo Climate Center (TCC)

- Global warming - Climate monitoring -Reanalysis data

- Training seminar - Expert visit

Current status of establishment of RCC TCC and BCC were designated as RCCs in RA II in 2009.

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

TCC website

Please visit TCC website. http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/index.html

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

Examples of climate information, data and products

Monitoring of Extreme Climate Events

Climate database

One-month Probabilistic Forecast for Southeast Asia

Global Average Surface Temperature Anomalies

Asian Monsoon Monitoring

El Niño outlook

Report on extreme climate event (Heavy rainfall over the Indochina Peninsula in 2011)

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Monthly discussion on Seasonal Climate Outlooks

http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/monthly_discussion/latest.pdf

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

Linkage between TCC and the research community

• JMA’s Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate Events (established in 2007)

• Researchers’ support to TCC’s events

• Development of JRA-55

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

Background • When extreme climate events occur, JMA is expected to

provide information : current status, cause, outlook.

• Research on climate impacts and climate services is ongoing. Devising more effective ways to bring research results to operational groups is important.

TCC and its Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate Events

formal establishment of an Advisory Panel

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

Membership • The Panel consists of 11 prominent experts from universities

and research institute.

• Prof. KIMOTO, Masahide (Chair) University of Tokyo • Prof. NAKAMURA, Hisashi (Vice-Chair) University of Tokyo • Prof. IWASAKI, Toshiki Tohoku University • Dr. OSE, Tomoaki Meteorological Research Institute (MRI)/JMA • Prof. KAWAMURA, Ryuichi Kyushu University • Prof. TANIMOTO, Youichi Hokkaido University • Prof. HIROOKA, Toshihiko Kyushu University • Dr. FUJIBE, Fumiaki MRI/JMA • Prof. MASUMOTO, Yukio University of Tokyo • Prof. MUKOUGAWA, Hitoshi Kyoto University • Prof. WATANABE, Masahiro University of Tokyo

TCC and its Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate Events

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Missions • To investigate extreme climate events based on a

climatological approach

• To advise and assist JMA in issuing statements on such events

• To recommend related application of the latest findings

TCC and its Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate Events

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

A dedicated website and e-mail communication

Research

Com

munity

TCC

/JMA

At a usual time

Observational data, analysis tools, operational monitoring information on climate system

Scientific comments on climate monitoring, suggestion on improvement of analysis

JMA routinely shares information on the current conditions of the climate system and discusses climatic anomalies with the Panel using a decided website and e-mail communication

TCC and its Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate Events

Monthly climate diagnostic meeting

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

TCC and its Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate Events

Extreme event!!

JMA initiates preliminary discussion

with the Panel

Extraordinary meeting

@JMA HQ or On-line Analysis of the event

Timely statement on the extreme climate event

-General public -Decision makers in socio-economic sectors

Help avoiding or minimizing adverse effects from the event

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Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate Events

Research Comm

unity

Extraordinary meeting Analysis of the event

Annual meeting Review of Panel activities, extreme

climate events in the year

J M A

Timely statement on causes of the extreme climate event

Regular provision of related information

Extreme event!!

TCC and its Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate Events

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

Temperature, Precipitation, Sunshine duration in Japan TCC and its Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate Events

(held in Sep. 2013) Convective activity in Tropics

Activity of Asian Monsoon

Northern Hemisphere Circulation (around Japan)

Long-term changes in the surf. temp. over Japan in Summer

Schematic chart of primary factors contributing to the extreme condition in Japan in Jul. & Aug. 2013

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Example of information

http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/news/press_20130902.pdf

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Working Group • The Panel has established its Working Group also to

advise JMA in regard to the improvement of climate diagnosis tools.

• Membership • Prof. WATANABE, Masahiro (Chair) University of Tokyo • Prof. INATSU, Masaru Hokkaido University • Prof. UEDA, Hiroaki University of Tsukuba • Prof. ENOMOTO, Takeshi Kyoto University • Dr. ENDO, Hirokazu MRI/JMA • Dr. KOBAYASHI, Chiaki MRI/JMA • Dr. KONDA, Masanori Kyoto University • Prof. TAKAYA , Kotaro Kyoto Sangyo University • Prof. TAKAYABU, Yukari University of Tokyo • Prof. TANAKA, Hiroshi University of Tsukuba • Dr. NONAKA, Masami JAMSTEC • Dr. FUJINAMI, Hatsuki Nagoya University • Prof. HORINOUCHI, Takeshi Hokkaido University • Prof. HONDA, Meiji Niigata University • Dr. YASUDA, Tamaki MRI/JMA

TCC and its Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate Events

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Factor analysis of extreme climate events in cooperation with the Advisory Panel

Linear baroclinic model (LBM) experiment Heating anomalies Steady response

Wave activity flux to analyze the propagation of Rossby wave packets that can be associated with meandering of jet stream and blocking events.

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Collaboration between Met. Service and Research Community

Met. Service

Research Community

Win-Win! • Improvement of

operational climate information and services using the advanced research findings

• Improvement of skills of staff

• Contribution to societies through the climate information issued by operational services

• To catch ongoing phenomena

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

Research support to TCC

• JMA’s Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate Events (established in 2007)

• Researchers’ support to TCC’s events

• Development of JRA-55

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TCC annual training seminar

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Theme Nov. 2008 Climate Information and Forecasting

Dec. 2009 Climate Analysis using Reanalysis Data

Jan. 2011 Application of Seasonal Forecast Gridded Data to Seasonal Forecast Products

Nov. 2011 One month Forecast Products

Nov. 2012 Climate Analysis Information

Nov. 2013 Seasonal Forecast Products

Supported by

Researchers

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

Research support to TCC

• JMA’s Advisory Panel on Extreme Climate Events (established in 2007)

• Researchers’ support to TCC’s events

• Development of JRA-55

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JRA-55

http://jra.kishou.go.jp/JRA-55/index_en.html

- Advisory Committee - Preliminary assessment Researchers

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Concluding Remarks

• The collaboration between TCC and researchers has greatly contributed not only to TCC itself but also to improving operational climate services in NMHSs in the region.

Provision of climate data and information via the Internet

NMHSs in Asia - Provision of climate information using TCC data based on national requirements

- Natural disaster reduction - Food security - Water management

Capacity Development

- Seasonal forecasts - Report on extreme events - Climate system analysis

Tokyo Climate Center (TCC)

- Global warming - Climate monitoring -Reanalysis data

- Training seminar - Expert visit

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

Concluding Remarks Because advanced research findings are expected to help improve operational climate information and services, improving transfer of findings from research to operations should be tried. The following could be considered:

• Reciprocal collaboration will be important to keep linkages between research and operational services.

• Operational services are encouraged to talk to researchers. Establishment of a formal mechanism may enhance linkage.

• Researchers are encouraged to consider working with operational organizations (NMHSs),if appropriate, when trying to contribute to decision-making in socio-economic sectors. NMHSs could serve as intermediaries.

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WMO Technical Conference on Climate Services – Building on CLIPS Legacy, 30 June – 2 July 2014

Thank you for your attention.