Research and truth
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Transcript of Research and truth
Why research (and researchers) won’t always tell you the truth
• They make mistakes
• They talk to the wrong people (e.g. they can’t talk to people without landlines on CATI surveys)
• They confuse cause with effect (A and B regularly happen together – therefore A causes B)
• They are sure of the conclusion before the research – & design the research (or fudge the data) to prove it
• They are frightened of the wrong conclusions
• They have reasons to lie (e.g. ties to funding organisations)
Why researchers sometimes go wrong
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Questionable research practices are common
John et al. (2011) Prevalence of Questionable Research Practices. Psychological Science 23(5) 524–532
Why don’t people always tell the truth?
• They want to be liked
• They are boasting (especially on social media!)
• They don’t want to feel stupid
• They hope to win something
• They get bored
• They can’t be bothered to think
• Or perhaps they do tell the truth but they are not a representative sample
• Social media participants and survey respondents are often “people with something to say”
How not to tell the truth in surveys
Sir Humphrey Appleby knew all about leading questions! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G0ZZJXw4MTA
Selecting the data
• What is the “best” set of data to fit my thesis
• Are there “outliers” I can ignore – or include
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Selecting the axes
Data visualisation – the wrong chart
Pie charts can easily cause problems
And infographics can be very difficult to get right (area of B on the left is 9x that of B on the right)
Selecting what you report
mean = £150,000; median = £35,000; mode = £10,000
One celeb earning £4,464,000
Five professionals making £150,000
14 managers making £50,000
1 teacher earning £35,000
20 other people only making £10,000
What is the average income in my street?