Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and...
Transcript of Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and...
![Page 1: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Vienna, October 2019
Research and Trend Analysis BranchUnited Nations Office on Drugs and Crime
Placeholder WDR 2019 Picture
![Page 2: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Growth of drug markets
![Page 3: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
179
127
0
50
100
150
200
250
Ind
ex: 1
99
8 =
10
0
Opium production index Population index Trend - opium production
Sources: UNODC, World Drug Report 2019 (and previous years) and World Bank, World Development Indicators.
Index: global illicit opium production and
global population, 1998=100
![Page 4: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
240
126
-
50
100
150
200
250
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
Ind
ex: 1
99
8 =
10
0
Global cocaine manufacture (old conversion ratio)
Global cocaine manufacture (new conversion ratio)
Population
Sources: UNODC, World Drug Report 2019 (and previous years) and World Bank, World Development Indicators
Index: global illicit cocaine manufacture and
global population, 1998=100
![Page 5: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Trafficking and population growthLong-term trend in quantities of drugs seized
(based on kilogram equivalents), and population growth, 1998–2017
Source: UNODC, World Drug Report 2019 and World Bank, World Development Indicators.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Ind
ex (
19
98
= 1
00
)
Population Cannabis Cocaine Opiates Opioids ATS
![Page 6: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Drug use and population at the global level – index: 1998 = 100
![Page 7: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Complex and fast dynamics of drug markets
![Page 8: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
The global emergence of New Psychoactive Substances
Nu
mb
er o
f u
niq
ue
NP
S re
po
rted
![Page 9: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Breakdown of NPS by structure and mode of action
30%
23%19%
17%
5%3%2%1%
Syntheticcannabinoidsother substances
SyntheticcathinonesPhenethylamines
Tryptamines
Piperazines
Phencyclidine-type substancesAminoindanes
![Page 10: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Heroin and Synthetic Drugs Seizures in Central Asia and the Russian Federation, 2014-2019
![Page 11: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Links between daily smoking, risky drinking and recent illicit drug use among people aged 14 or older in Australia, 2016
Source: Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, National Drug Strategy Household Survey 2016 –detailed findings, Canberra 2017.
![Page 12: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Number of drug-induced deaths reported in the European Union in 2012 and 2017 (or most recent year) by age band
Source: EMCDDA, European Drug Report 2019.
![Page 13: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
-
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Seiz
ure
s o
f m
eth
amp
het
amin
e an
d it
s p
recu
rso
rs in
m
eth
amp
het
amin
e eq
uiv
aln
ets,
in k
ilogr
ams
Nu
mb
er o
f d
ism
antl
ed la
bo
rato
ries
Global ephedrine seizures Global seizures of ephedrine preparations
Global seizures of pseudoephedrine P-2-P seizures (North America)
Phenylactic acid (North America) APAAN seizures (North America)
Global number of dismantled methamphetamine labs Global methamphetamine seizures
Number of dismantled methamphetamine laboratories,
methamphetamine seizures and seizures of methamphetamine
precursors, 2010-2017
Sources: UNODC, annual report questionnaire and INCB, Precursors 2018, New York 2018 (and previous years).
![Page 14: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Global opium production in metric tons, 1906/1907 – 2018
41,600
16,600
12,000
-71%
Note: The transformation of poppy straw into opium equivalents is tentative. A transformation ratio of around 7 kg of opium for 100 kg of poppy straw was
applied, derived from average morphine output from poppy straw of 0.7% at the global level and an average opium morphine content of close to 10% at the
global level (10 years average). Annual specific results were applied for data over the 2006-2016 period. Poppy straw figures for 2017 are still preliminary.
Sources: Report of the International Opium Commission, Shanghai, China, Feb. 1909, Vol. II, INCB, Narcotics Report, Narcotic Drugs: Estimated World
Requirements for 2018 – Statistics for 2016 and previous years, UNODC, A Century of International Drug Control (2009), UNODC, World Drug Report 2019 and
previous years.
Memo:
World population:
1906: 1.75 billion
2018: 7.63 billion
![Page 15: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
3.3%
1.5%
0.24% 0.25%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
ASIA WORLD
pre
va
len
ce
in
% o
f to
tal p
op
ula
tio
n
1907/08 2006
Estimates of opiate use among the total population
1907/08 and 2006
Source: UNODC, 2008 World Drug Report, June 2008.
-83%-93%
![Page 16: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
International Scheduling Decisions 2015 – 2019
Successful prioritization: the 48 substances scheduled between 2015-2019 correspond to only 5 percent of all NPS but account for 22 percent of all NPS country reports to the UNODC Early Warning Advisory on NPS. 9 substances including 4 fentanyl's were scheduled at the 2019 meeting of the Commission on Narcotic Drugs.
![Page 17: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
7.1
6.7
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Germany (age18-64)
Austria (age15-64)
Germany (age18-64)
Austria (age15-64)
All drugs NPS
An
nu
al p
reva
len
ce o
f N
PS
use
in %
An
nu
al p
reva
len
ce o
f al
l dru
g u
se in
%
All drugs New Psychoactive Substances (NPS)
Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015
Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015)
Sources: German Ministry of Health / SUCHT, Zeitschrift für Wissenschaft und Praxis, Vol. 62, Oct. 2016; Gesundheit Österreich, Bevölkerungserhebung zu Substanzgebrauch 2015..
Austria:
* Implementation of “Arzneimittelgesetz”
(medicine law) as of 2008 to prohibit Spice
imports
* Implementation of NPS Law: December
2012
Germany:
* Implementation of NPS law: November
2016
![Page 18: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Drug problem: the same type of problem but with different characteristics in different countries/regions
![Page 19: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Primary drug for treatment 2011
2016
![Page 20: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Source: UNODC, World Drug Report 2019
Non medical use of pharmaceuticals in contexts of too much or too little
![Page 21: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Synthetic opioids
Fentanyl and its
analogues (including some NPS)
Methamphetamine
Ecstasy
Non medical use
of pharmaceu
tical stimulants
Amphetamine
Ecstasy
Old NPS cementing in marginalized population
Non medical use of Tramadol
Captagon(amphetami
ne)
Methamphetamine
Non medical use
of Ketamine
Ecstasy
![Page 22: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
![Page 23: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
![Page 24: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
![Page 25: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
To keep the genius inside the magic
lamp
![Page 26: Research and Trend Analysis Branch United Nations Office ... · Prevalence of illicit drug use and NPS use in 2015 Prevalence of drug use in Germany (2016) and Austria (2015) Sources:](https://reader034.fdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050421/5f90aa2c29508a0cd27e7d26/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
The challenge of keeping the public-health centric approach when there is a powerful business sector