REPUBLIC OF ZAMBIA INTEGRATED SMALL TOWNS WATER … · Overview: The Integrated Small Towns Water...

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AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK GROUP REPUBLIC OF ZAMBIA INTEGRATED SMALL TOWNS WATER SUPPLY AND SANITATION PROGRAM APPRAISAL REPORT OWAS/SARC DEPARTMENTS November 2016 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

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Page 1: REPUBLIC OF ZAMBIA INTEGRATED SMALL TOWNS WATER … · Overview: The Integrated Small Towns Water Supply and Sanitation Program aims to increase access, quality and sustainability

AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK GROUP

REPUBLIC OF ZAMBIA

INTEGRATED SMALL TOWNS WATER SUPPLY AND

SANITATION PROGRAM

APPRAISAL REPORT

OWAS/SARC DEPARTMENTS

November 2016

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Currency Equivalents .................................................................................................................. i

Fiscal Year .................................................................................................................................. i

Weights and Measures ................................................................................................................ i

PROGRAM SUMMARY .......................................................................................................... v

I STRATEGIC THRUST AND RATIONALE ............................................................ 1

1.1 Program linkages with country strategy and objectives ............................................. 1

1.2 Rationale for Bank’s involvement .............................................................................. 1

1.3 Donor Coordination .................................................................................................... 3

II PROGRAM DESCRIPTION ...................................................................................... 4

2.1 Program Components ................................................................................................. 4

2.2 Technical solution retained and other alternatives explored ...................................... 5

2.3 Program Type ............................................................................................................. 6

2.4 Program Cost and Financing Arrangements ............................................................... 6

2.5 Program’s target area and population ......................................................................... 8

2.6 Participatory process for program identification, design and implementation ........... 8

2.7 Bank Group experience and lessons reflected in program design .............................. 9

2.8 Program’s performance indicators ............................................................................ 10

III PROGRAM FEASIBILITY ..................................................................................... 10

3.1 Economic performance ............................................................................................. 10

3.2 Environmental and Social Impacts ........................................................................... 11

IV. IMPLEMENTATION ............................................................................................... 14

4.1 Implementation Arrangements ................................................................................. 14

4.2 Monitoring ................................................................................................................ 16

4.3 Governance ............................................................................................................... 16

4.4 Sustainability ............................................................................................................ 17

4.5 Risk management ...................................................................................................... 19

4.6 Knowledge building .................................................................................................. 19

V. LEGAL INSTRUMENTS AND AUTHORITY ...................................................... 19

5.1 Legal instrument ....................................................................................................... 19

5.2 Conditions associated with Bank’s intervention ....................................................... 19

5.3. Compliance with Bank Policies ................................................................................ 20

VI RECOMMENDATION ............................................................................................ 20

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Currency Equivalents As of June 2016

Currency Unit = US Dollars

1 UA = USD 1.4023

1 USD = ZMW 9.701

1 UA = ZMW 13.609

Fiscal Year January 1st – December 31st

Weights and Measures

1 metric tonne (t) = 2,205 lbs.

1 kilogramme (kg) = 2.205 lbs.

1 metre (m) = 3.281 ft.

1 kilometre (km) = 0.621 mile

1 square kilometre (km2) = 0.386 square mile

1 hectare (ha) = 0.01 km2 = 2.471 acres

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ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS

AfDB African Development Bank Group MGCD Ministry of Gender and Child Development

ADB African Development Bank NCB National Competitive Bidding

ARAP

Abridged Resettlement Action Plan

NUWSS

P

National Urban Water Supply and

Sanitation Program

BPM Bank Procurement Method

CCA Climate Change Adaptation NWASC

O

National Water and Sanitation Council

ChWSC Chambeshi Water and Sewerage

Company O&M Operation and Maintenance

CP Cooperating Partner PID Program Implementing Department

CUs Commercial Utilities RBCSP Result Based Country Strategy Paper

DFID Department For International

Development R-SNDP Revised Sixth National Development Plan

DHID Department of Housing and Infrastructure

Development SA Sustainability Agreement

EIB European Investment Bank SAG Sector Advisory Group

EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return SESA Strategic Environmental Assessment

ESIA Environmental Social Impact Assessment SESA Strategic Environmental and Social

Assessment

ESMP Environmental and Social Management

Plan SDGs

Sustainable Development Goals

GIZ German Agency for Technical

Cooperation TA Technical Assistance

GOZ Government of Republic of Zambia UA Unit of Account

HDI Human Development Index UNICEF United Nations Children's Fund

HH House Hold USAID United States Agency for International

Development

ICB

International Competitive Bidding USD

US Dollar

IPR Implementation Progress Results WASHE Water, Sanitation and Hygiene Education

IQPR Interim Quarterly Progress Report WB World Bank

IWRM Integrated Water Resources Management WWSC Western Water and Sewerage Company

JASZ Joint Assistance Strategy for Zambia WSS Water Supply and Sanitation

JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency WSCPG Water Sector Cooperating Partners Group

JWSR Joint Water Sector Review ZEMA Zambia Environmental Management

Agency

LA Local Authorities ZNGP Zambia National Gender Policy

LpWSC Luapula Water and Sewerage Company

MCC Millennium Challenge Corporation

MCDMCH Ministry of Community Development,

Mother and Child Health

MDGs Millennium Development Goals

M&E Monitoring and Evaluation

MLGH Ministry of Local Government and

Housing

MMEWD Ministry of Mines, Energy and Water

Development

MOE

Ministry of Education

MOF Ministry of Finance

MOH Ministry of Health

MOU Memorandum of Understanding

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Loan and Grant Information Client’s Information

BORROWER: Republic of Zambia

EXECUTING AGENCY: Ministry of Local Government and Housing

Financing plan

Source Amount (USD) Amount (UA) Instrument

ADB 108.91 million 77.64 million Loan

ADF 9.92 million 7.07 million Loan

AGTF 15.00 million 10.69 million Loan

MIC TAF 1.68 million 1.2 million Grant

GOZ/ utilities 15.06 million 10.73 million Counterpart Contribution

TOTAL COST 150.57 million 107.33 million

ADB’s and AGTF’s key financing information

Loan Currency USD

Loan Type Fully Flexible Loan

Tenor 25 years inclusive of grace period

Grace period 8 years

Repayments Consecutive semi-annual payments after grace

period

Interest Rate Base Rate +Funding Cost Margin+ Lending

Margin + Maturity Premium if applicable

Base Rate Floating Base Rate (6-month USD LIBOR reset

each 1st February and 1st August). A free option

to fix the Base Rate is available.

Funding Cost Margin The Bank funding cost margin as determined

each 1st January and 1st July and applied to the

Base Rate each 1st February and 1st August

Lending Margin 80 basis points (0.8%)

Front-end fees 0.25% of the loan amount payable at latest at

signature of the loan agreement

Commitment fees 0.25% of the undisbursed amount. Commitment

fees start accruing 60 days after signature of the

loan agreement and are payable on Payment

dates

Option to convert the

Base Rate*

In addition to the free option to fix the floating

Base Rate, the borrower may reconvert the fix

rate to floating or refix it on part or full

disbursed amount. Transaction fees are payable.

Option to cap or collar

the Base Rate*

The borrower may cap or set both cap and floor

on the Base Rate to be applied on part or full

disbursed amount. Transaction fees are

payable.

Option to convert loan1

currency

The borrower may convert the loan currency for

both undisbursed or disbursed amounts in full or

part to another approved lending currency of the

Bank. Transaction fees are payable.

* Conversion options and transaction fees are subject to the Bank Conversion Guidelines available:

http://www.afdb.org/fr/documents/document/guidelines-for-conversion-of-loan-terms-july-2014-87643/

1 Only applicable to ADB but not to AGTF

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ADF loan key financing information

Currency Unit of Account

Interest rate spread 1%

Commitment fee 0.5% per annum on the undisbursed loan amount

Service charge 0.75% per annum on amount disbursed and outstanding

Duration 30 years

Grace period 5 years

MIC TAF Grant key financing information

Currency Unit of Account

Interest rate spread N/A

Commitment fee NA

Service charge NA

Timeframe - Main Milestones (expected)

Program approval November 2016

Effectiveness March 2017

Mid Term Review January 2019

Completion December 2020

Last Disbursement Deadline December 2021

Last repayment December 2041

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PROGRAM SUMMARY

1. Overview: The Integrated Small Towns Water Supply and Sanitation Program aims to increase

access, quality and sustainability of water supply and sanitation services in twelve (12) towns located

in four Provinces served by Western, Luapula and Chambeshi Water & Sewerage Companies as well

as ensure effective management and operation of the water supply and sewerage facilities on

commercial principles.

2. The main program outcomes include (i) increase in proportion of residents accessing improved

water supply and sanitation, (ii) increased hours of water supply, (iii) increased revenue collection

efficiency and (iv) reduction in Non-Revenue Water (NRW). At output level, activities encompass

rehabilitation and expansion of climate resilient water and sewerage infrastructure, training of utility

staff (>50% of female staff), training of national/municipal staff, training of women and youth in artisan

skills and training of women to operate and maintain water kiosks. The program is to be implemented

over 48 months beginning in January 2017 at a cost of USD 150.57 million.

3. At completion in 2020, the program will benefit 639,927 people directly and an additional 287,212

beneficiaries indirectly, who live around the targeted towns. Residents will gain better health from

increased access to safe drinking water and improved sanitation, women and school going children will

benefit particularly from utilisation of time earlier spent on collecting water for income generating

activities as well as improved school enrolment and retention of girls. There will also be benefits from

employment/livelihood opportunities generated by the program, training of artisans (30% women) and

empowerment of women and youth groups for possible business along the water and sanitation value

chain and catchment management. This will contribute towards meeting High Five (Hi5) #5: improving

the quality of lives of the beneficiary population.

4. Needs Assessment: There are high poverty levels in the four provinces in which the water utilities

operate (Luapula 81.1%, Western 82.2%, Northern 79.7% and Muchinga 69.3% of the population live

on less than USD 1 a day). The small towns are experiencing inadequate water and sanitation services

and as a result are badly affected with annual outbreaks of cholera, typhoid and dysentery. The current

coverage levels are an average of 51% for water supply and 22% for sanitation. The basic determinants

of better health are still in a critical state; having broken down and deteriorated over the years as

Government has not been able to adequately invest into rehabilitation or extension of the systems, hence

huge investments are required to restore the facilities to original operating capacity and also to extend

services to meet demand necessitated by population and economic growth.

5. The Banks’ added value: The Bank is among the largest Cooperating Partners providing sector

leadership and has extensive experience in delivery of large water and sanitation infrastructure. This

program will further strengthen and consolidate gains achieved from previous and currently active

interventions in Zambia. In addition to physical infrastructure, the Bank will support policy, institutional

and regulatory reforms to promote private participation, enhance efficiency and sustainability of

investments. The program contributes to the Bank’s 2013-23 TYS and its operational priorities, with

special emphasis on the Hi5 priorities; specifically to improve the quality of lives of the population in

the four provinces by providing safe clean water and improved sanitation thereby improving public

health outcomes, in particular, the incidence of water borne diseases and environmental enteropathy, all

of which have a strong impact on children under five stunting levels and mortality.

6. Knowledge management: The program shall enhance Bank’s knowledge in the sector through

capture of vital knowledge in utility management particularly on cost recovery, NRW and financial

viability. This will be done through (i) strengthening of the Water Regulator’s Aquatis Management

Information System to provide up-to-date data for overall sector planning, track investment programs,

monitor sustainability and continuity of services in water utilities, and (ii) systematic documentation of

the implementation progress and results.

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Results Based Logical Framework

Country and Program Name: Republic of Zambia: Sustainable Small Towns Water Supply and Sanitation Program

Program Purpose: To increase access, quality and sustainability of water supply and sanitation services in selected small towns

RESULTS CHAIN

PERFORMANCE INDICATORS MEANS OF

VERIFICATION RISKS/MITIGATION MEASURES

Indicator (including CSI) Baseline

(2015) Target

IMP

AC

T

Impact: Improved health and livelihoods of the urban population

1. Population below poverty line 61% 20% in 2030 National Census, living condition survey

2. Under-five mortality rate per 1,000 live births in Zambia 64 50 in 2030

OU

TC

OM

ES

Outcome 1: Increased access to improved Water Supply among residents in the program towns

1.1 Proportion of residents accessing Improved Water Supply (+50% women)

51% 95% (2020) NWASCO Sector Reports, Utility progress reports

Risk #1: Failure to meet the cost recovery

expectations

Mitigation: A tariff and affordability study

will be carried out and a program of tariff

adjustments for WSS services will be implemented in order to ensure

sustainability of service provision. These

should also take into account the social nature of services and the needs of the poor.

Outcome 2: Increased access to improved sanitation among residents of program towns

2.1 Proportion of people accessing Improved Sanitation (+50% women) 22% 40% (2020)

Outcome 3: Improved utility management, efficiency and sustainability of WSS services

3.1 Increased revenue collection efficiency (%) 3.2 Reduced Non-Revenue Water (NRW) 3.3 Increased average daily hours of supply (hrs.) at connections

60% 53% 9

>90% (2020) <35% (2020) >22 (2020)

NWASCO Sector Reports, quarterly and annual reports

OU

TP

UT

S

Component 1- Water Supply Infrastructure Development 1.1 Construction/ Rehabilitation of water Infrastructure

1.1.1 Water networks rehabilitated, augmented and extended (KMs) 1.1.2 No. of water treatment facilities rehabilitated/ expanded 1.1.3 Quantity of water produced and distributed (m3/day)

500 0 65,953

1,954 (2020) 10 (2020) 188,592 (2020)

Utility Quarterly and Annual Progress Reports

Risk #2: Limited technical capacity to

operate and maintain infrastructure Mitigation: Utility personnel will take part in implementation of the activities in order to allow for skills transfer. Incorporate on the job training and capacity building of utility personnel to operate and maintain the facilities. Risk #3: Coordination of activities

Mitigation: Each utility will second personnel to the PIT to be the focal point for activities pertaining to the utility and allow for skills transfer. PIT will to have sub-office in Western Province in addition to main office in Kasama, Northern Province. Risk #4. Program is of high value and

technically complex

Mitigation. MLGH/Utilities to enhance appropriate procurement, technical, contract management /dispute resolution capacity and skills to complement their capability to successfully manage the program

Component 2- Sewerage Infrastructure development, sanitation and Hygiene promotion 2.1 Construction/ Rehabilitation of Sewerage Infrastructure 2.2 WASH strengthened

2.1.1 Sewer networks rehabilitated, augmented and extended (KMs) 2.1.2 No. of Sewage treatment plants rehabilitated/ constructed 2.2.1 Community members trained in sanitation and hygiene (>50% women) 2.2.2 No. of promotional sanitation facilities

60 0 0 0

272 (2020) 8 (2020) 10,000 (2020) 60 (2018)

Utility Quarterly and Annual Progress Reports

Component 3- Institutional Strengthening 3.1 Strengthened utility operations 3.2 Enhanced institutional capacity of National/ Municipal Authorities/ Utilities to manage Water and Sanitation services 3.3 Empower for women & youth 3.4 Climate Change activities 3.5 Feasibility studies & designs

3.1.1 No. of utility staff trained (>50% of female staff) 3.1.2 No. of Performance Enhancement Contracts signed 3.2.1 No. of national/ municipal staff trained and supported in sector investment framework, sanitation and environmental health (% of female staff) 3.3.1 Training of women and youth in artisan skills ((% female) 3.3.2 No. women operating and managing water kiosks 3.4.1 Water sources catchments protected 3.5.1 Feasibility studies and detailed designs for two other water utilities completed

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

150 (2018) 3 (2018) 80 (2018) 150 (2019) 50 (2019) 12 (2020) 2 (2019)

Utility Quarterly and Annual Progress Reports

KE

Y A

CT

IVIT

IES

Activities INPUTS

1. Water Supply Infrastructure Development: Rehabilitation/ construction of new production facilities, reservoirs, networks water networks

2. Sewerage Infrastructure Development: Rehabilitation/ construction new climate resilient sewer networks, rehabilitation of sewage ponds; Delivery of sanitation, environmental and hygiene education; Construction of climate resilient demonstration institutional/public sanitation facilities 3. Institutional Strengthening: Training, development of social inclusion and gender framework, ESMP implementation, climate change mitigation and adaptation plans 4. Program Management: Program Auditing; Technical Assistance; Office Equipment; various goods, procurement of vehicles; Feasibility Studies and Mid Term Review of the program.

Total Program Cost: USD 150.57 million ADB loan: USD 108.91, ADF UA 7.07 Million and AGTF USD 15 million MIC TAF Grant: UA 1.2 Million GOZ/Utilities: USD 15.06 million

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Program Timeframe

Finalisation of detailed designs ◊

Board Approval

Publication of GPN

Signing

Effectiveness

Launch Mission

Engineering Services Consultancy

Bank approval EOI&RFP

RfP/bidding & contract award

Design review and Tendering

Works Supervison

Civil Works - Water and Sewerage

Bidding & contract award

Commencement of main works

Taking over works

Defect Liability Period

Institutional Strengthening

Operationalise Utility Gender Strategies

Training and Capacity Building activities ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊

Sanitation & Hygiene Promotion

Demo HH and public sanitation facilities

Mid Term Review ◊

Financial Audit (submission) ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊

Program Completion ○

Full time engagement of ESC Partime engagement

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ZAMBIA: INTEGRATED SMALL TOWNS WATER SUPPLY AND SANITATION PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE

Activity2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

2 4 6 8 10 12 2 4 68 10 12 2 4 6 8 10 12 2 4 8 10 128 10 12 2 4 6

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REPORT AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE MANAGEMENT TO THE BOARD

OF DIRECTORS ON A PROPOSED LOAN TO ZAMBIA FOR THE INTEGRATED

SMALL TOWNS WATER SUPPLY AND SANITATION PROGRAM

Management submits the following Report and Recommendation for a proposed loan for USD

108.91 million on ADB terms, UA 1.2 million MIC TAF grant and UA 7.07 million on ADF

terms to the Republic of Zambia to finance the Integrated Small Towns Water Supply and

Sanitation Program.

I STRATEGIC THRUST AND RATIONALE

1.1 Program linkages with country strategy and objectives

1.1.1. The Government of the Republic of Zambia’s (GOZ’s) development agenda are

articulated in the National Vision 2030 and Revised Sixth National Development Plan (R-

SNDP: 2013-2016) which have prioritised water among the key growth sectors of the economy.

The National Sector Vision is “A Zambia where all users have access to water and sanitation

services and utilise them in an efficient and sustainable manner for wealth creation and

improved livelihood by 2030”. The R-SNDP has the goal of increasing “accessibility to reliable

safe water by all sectors of the economy” in order to enhance economic growth and improve the

quality of life. Thus, this program supports the GOZ’s water sector development by providing

effective solutions for unreliable and unsafe water supply which has many negative impacts on

public health, and which limits economic development in densely populated and low-income areas

of small towns. Zambia’s water sector is also underpinned through sound policy, legal and

strategic framework which includes the National Urban and Rural Water Supply and Sanitation

Programs, Zambia’s Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM) articulated in the National

Water Policy of 2010, Water Supply and Sanitation Act (2008) and the Water Resources

Management Act (2011). The Government has now started developing the Seventh National

Development Plan (2017-2021) and the water sector still remains a priority.

1.1.2 The Bank’s Country Strategy Paper (CSP: 2016-2020) for Zambia focuses on: i)

support to infrastructure development to enhance productivity and trade competitiveness, and

ii) support to private sector development and its regulatory environment to diversify the

economy. The program is therefore in line with pillar one by supporting investments that

develop Zambia’s productive sectors and enhance economic development through provision of

improved infrastructure and addresses the required major investments for rehabilitation and

expansion of the infrastructure in the fast growing small towns supporting numerous businesses

and creating a favorable environment for business growth and industries.

1.2 Rationale for Bank’s involvement

1.2.1 The GoZ has been undertaking water sector reforms since the early 1990’s which

prioritized improving domestic water supply and sanitation accessibility due to its impact on

the population’s health. Considerable progress has been made in improving access to improved

water supply and sanitation. Currently, 65% of Zambians have access to clean drinking water

supply, while 49% have access to adequate sanitation. The national long-term vision for 2030

is to reach 80% access to clean water supply by 2015 and 100% by 2030; 68% access to

sanitation by 2015 and 90% by 2030; rehabilitation and reconstruction of sewage facilities in

all major towns and cities; and 80% of waste collected and treated by 2030. Recent studies

show the trend of national water coverage on a slow upward trend while that for sanitation

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coverage is even slower. Zambia made limited progress on sanitation during the MDG period

and did not meet the target of 70% (while for drinking water, moderate progress was made

although the target of 75% was also not met). Hence, the need for further investments in the

water sector.

1.2.2 In addition, there is disparity among the different provinces in terms of their access to

water supply and sanitation services as some provincial towns remained with very low access.

These included towns in the Northern, Luapula, Muchinga and Western provinces which have

access on average at 47% and 25% for water and sanitation respectively, hence the need to

urgently address the water supply and sanitation challenges in these towns lagging behind the

national average urban access of 86% and 56% for water and sanitation access respectively.

The proposed program interventions will focus on improving the livelihoods of the underserved

in these remote small towns. In the context of broad-based and pro-poor growth, the program

will promote inclusive growth with equitable allocation of resources to geographical areas

which long had not received support to improve water supply and sanitation.

1.2.3 The total population in the four target provinces is 3,712,382 people. There are high

poverty levels in the four provinces (Luapula 81.1%, Western 82.2%, Northern 79.7% and

Muchinga 69.3%). The small towns in the provinces are badly affected by poor water supply

and sanitation with annual outbreaks of cholera, typhoid and dysentery. The small towns are

experiencing high levels of inadequate water and sanitation services. Services in Luapula

Province are provided by Luapula Water and Sewerage, in Northern/ Muchinga Provinces by

Chambeshi Water and Sewerage Company and Western Water and Sewerage Company in

Western Province. The three utilities under consideration have had a little investment since

they were formed, are small and struggling to keep pace with the rapid population growth due

to dilapidated infrastructure. In the three utilities, average hours of supply are 9 hours a day,

average operations/maintenance cost coverage is 68% and Non-Revenue Water is at 53%. The

current water supply coverage levels are 30%, 50% and 73% respectively for the urban

population in Luapula, Western and Northern/ Muchinga Provinces and that for sanitation is

14%, 30% and 21% respectively.

1.2.4 These basic determinants of better health, are still in a critical state having broken down

and deteriorated over the years as Government has not been able to adequately invest into

rehabilitation or extension of the systems, hence huge investments are required to restore the

facilities to original operating capacity and also to extend services to meet demand necessitated

by population and economic growth. Continuity of water supply is a major challenge and in all

the small towns, water is a limiting factor for development and therefore the Bank seeks to

support GOZ to grow these areas. The highest priority will be given to investment measures

aimed at ensuring that each utility meets the basic service and public health obligations by

getting the most out of the existing. These are measures that will ensure stabilization of the

service quality and reliability, by reducing Non-Revenue Water to make more water available

to the customers and densifying the network to shorten the service lines where most of the

water and energy losses occur. The second priority will be given to measures that will help the

water utilities respond to the increasing demand for services due to population and economic

growth.

1.2.5 The Bank’s comparative advantage in financing the program is a combination of its

comprehensive experience in developing infrastructure for sustainable service provision in

Zambia and the region. The Bank has continued to focus on supporting the unserved population

to increase access to equitable, sustainable water supply and improved sanitation, as inadequate

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access to clean, safe water supply and sanitation in Zambia is a major contributing factor to

poverty. The Bank’s support will compliment on-going efforts by GOZ to improve quality of

livelihoods of people living in peri urban and far flung small towns. The Bank has had a long

engagement with the GOZ having supported both urban and rural water and sanitation sectors

since the early 1980’s. In the urban sector, the Bank has supported the formation of Lusaka

Water and Sewerage Company, Lukanga Water and Sewerage Company and Nkana Water

Supply and Sewerage Company and facilitated sector development activities with other

partners. In this regard the Bank would use its leverage and position to further coordinate and

collaborate closely with the other partners actively involved in the sector.

1.2.6 The program is well-aligned to the Bank’s 2013-23 TYS, Integrated Water Resources

Management Policy (2000) and the Urban Development Strategy (2011); and seeks to help

manage urban growth and develop sustainable climate resilient urban infrastructure systems.

The program’s objective is also in line with the Bank’s Gender Policy (2001) and Gender

Strategy (2014-2018), in that it will support Government develop strategies to create economic

opportunities for women and youth. Equally important, the Program will support continued water

and sanitation institutional and policy reform, and build much needed capacity, to enable sector

institutions to scale-up service delivery. The program is aligned to the Bank’s TYS operational

priorities by responding to the need to improve the quality of growth in the targeted provinces

by addressing infrastructure development requirements through provision of climate resilient

sustainable infrastructure; enhancing skills and technology through training and employment

opportunities for women and youth; use of appropriate water and sanitation technologies; and

strengthening sector institutions to enhance governance and accountability in the water sector.

The program also contributes to the Bank’s TYS, with special emphasis on the High Five

(Hi5) priorities specifically to improve the quality of lives of the population in the four

provinces by providing safe clean water and improved sanitation thereby improving public

health outcomes in the target provinces, in particular, the incidence of water borne diseases and

environmental enteropathy, all of which have a strong impact on children under five stunting

levels and mortality. The program is also in line with the Sustainable Development Goals

(SDGs) specifically SDG 6 as by improving water, sanitation and hygiene which are essential

for health, welfare and livelihoods, it will lead to disease prevention, improved education

outcomes and improved economic productivity. In addition, the program will contribute to the

achievement of the other SDGs related to poverty, health, industry/ resilient infrastructure,

quality education, sustainable cities & communities, climate action and gender equality.

1.3 Donor Coordination

1.3.1 There is a comprehensive donor coordination framework that operates at national and

sector level. At national level, the coordination process is articulated in the Joint Assistance

Strategy for Zambia which involves a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) that was signed

by the GOZ and Cooperating Partners (CPs) to domesticate the principles of the Paris

Declaration and as a response by CPs to the national development plans. The MOU provides

the platform for developing in practice, harmonization of cooperation by CPs and alignment to

Government procedures and processes. A Water Sector CP Group of which the Bank is part of

a Troika (AfDB, WB and Germany) has been responsible for enhancing cooperation,

coordination of policies, strategies and approaches in support of WSS development and

effective communication with GOZ. It meets monthly to (i) discuss key sector issues for the

attention of government, (ii) updates on key developments within CPs programs and projects

(iii) discuss support to implementation of sector activities including the National Urban Water

Supply and Sanitation Program (NUWSSP). The financing required for the NUWSSP to

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achieve the 2020 water and sanitation targets is estimated at more than USD 197 million per

year (UA 141.1 million). The total financing commitment by the Bank Group and other CPs

for the period 2015 to 2020 is approximately UA 117 million per year.

1.3.2 The Bank consulted with the wider water sector CP group in designing the program in

particular with CPs financing the NUWSSP: Germany, World Bank, Japan and the Millennium

Challenge Corporation and will seek to harmonize support especially towards sector

development targeting institutional strengthening and capacity building activities.

Table: 1.1: Donor Support to Water

Sector or subsector*

Size

GDP Exports Labour Force

Water 2.3 - 0.3%

Players -

Water Supply and Sanitation Resource mobilisation in million US (2013-2015)**

Government

Donors AfDB 19% UNICEF

6% WB 14%

USD

m USD 73 m

USD 819 m

% 28%

72% MCC

43%

Germany

10%

Japan 4%

USA 2%

Level of Donor Coordination

Existence of Thematic Working Groups Yes

Existence of SWAps or Integrated Sector Approaches No

ADB's Involvement in Donors Coordination Lead

* The estimate is based on the national budget, past budget performance and donor portfolio information.

* Other donors are not included with contributions less than 1%

II. PROGRAM DESCRIPTION

2.1 Program Components

2.1.1 The Program Development Objective is to increase access, quality and sustainability of

water supply and sanitation services in the four Provinces served by Western Water &

Sewerage Company, Luapula Water & Sewerage Company and Chambeshi Water & Sewerage

Company as well as ensure effective management and operation of the water supply and

sewerage facilities on commercial principles. The program components are described in Table

2.1 below, with details provided in Annex B.2.

Table 2.1: Program Components and Outputs [cost in million USD]

S/No Component name Base

Cost Component description

1 Water Infrastructure

Development

100.07 Renewal and rehabilitation of 300 km major climate resilient

water supply bulk and transmission facilities, Expansion of

climate resilient 1,154 km of water distribution systems,

Development and expansion of 10 No. water production facilities,

Rehabilitation and construction of 60 No. water storage facilities,

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S/No Component name Base

Cost Component description

2 Sanitation Services

Improvements

14.58

Rehabilitation, upgrading and expansion of 212 km climate

resilient sewer collection networks (using labour intensive

contracts to support local employment), Rehabilitation of 8 No.

various sewage ponds; new climate resilient trunk mains and

upgrade of sewer interceptors, Feacal Management incorporating

emptying teams in some unsewered areas, Advocacy,

sensitization, promotion of decentralised sanitation & hygiene

education by training 10,000 community members , development

of gender responsive training and promotional material and

Construction of 60 No. climate resilient demonstration household

sanitation facilities.

3

Institutional Capacity

Building and Program

Management

16.61

Improve performance of the three utilities, tariff assessment and

development of procedures; strengthening of billing, collection,

and financial management processes; trainings/seminars to 3 No.

company boards, 180 No. utility staff, 100 No. water vendors,

water forums, microenterprises and provision of basic equipment

for improving utility efficiency such as leak detection and

introduce performance reporting, Yearly apprenticeships for fresh

graduates in utilities

Development and operationalizing of Gender strategy/policies

(increase women economic opportunities within the program)

Catchment management for production wells through tree

planting, tree nurseries established, river bank management for the

river intakes.

Enhance MLGH capacity to coordinate the sector and National

Water and Sanitation Council (NWASCO) to enhance its capacity

for developing sector guidelines and performance monitoring

including a component to benchmark all indicators.

Provision of technical assistance for program management,

Program operation costs coverage, program financial,

procurement and technical audits, ESMP reports; program

completion report and program M&E

2.2 Technical solution retained and other alternatives explored

2.2.1 The retained technical solutions are based on experiences in previous and ongoing

interventions and in line with the sector strategies outlined in the NUWSSP. In almost all the

small towns utilizing ground water sources, there is a significant number of boreholes that have

either collapsed (Mongu, Senanga) or the water quality is not palatable (high iron content, high

fine sand content and salinity). For Mongu, boreholes which are currently being used have been

silting at a fast rate and collapsing due to the sandy nature of the soils in Mongu. Therefore,

surface water supply from the little Zambezi River will be used to guarantee reliability and

sustainability of supply. For the sewerage system, it was proposed to have a full waterborne

sewerage but this has very high capital cost and would have taken up a substantial proportion

of the investment without a corresponding increase in water supply. As most of the households

are on decentralised on site sanitation systems comprising septic tanks and on site sanitation

facilities, the priority will be in the short to medium term to continue to support resuscitation

of the old defunct sewerage systems and rehabilitate the sewer networks and rehabilitate the

sewage treatment ponds and carry out limited expansion of the network while focusing on

utilizing hygiene promotion, Sanitation Marketing (SM) and support enforcement of bylaws

on onsite sanitation. The SM promotes household-centered choice of latrine type.

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Table 2.2: Alternatives considered and reasons for rejection

Alternative Brief Description Reasons for rejection

Groundwater Supply

from boreholes in

Mongu, Senanga and

Mwense

Wellfields to supply water to small

towns

high treatment costs due to high iron,

salinity, collapsing boreholes due to

Kalahari sand formations, encroachments

polluting sources

Full sewerage system in

all target towns

Provision of a full water borne

sewerage system in small towns

Unit costs are considerable high for a

sewerage system to cover all areas and

issue of affordability arises.

2.2.2 Based on sanitation survey findings and house-to-house visits, the program will

support, public water borne toilets in the small towns for public institutions like markets, Bus

stops and Schools. There is significant potential for increasing access to climate resilient

sanitation through introduction of ecological sanitation technologies for decentralised

sanitation systems, on-site systems and lined latrines in peri urban areas which will not have

waterborne sewer systems. Capacity building activities will be carried out for

ministries/national agencies, sensitization of communities in building sanitation facilities and

supporting Local Authorities in the program areas for enforcement of sanitation bylaws.

2.3 Program Type

2.3.1 This program is part of the NUWSSP which GoZ is implementing aimed at improving

service provision in all urban settlements. The program will be implemented as a stand alone

public investment operation. The program contributes to the achievement of the NUWSSP

objectives and its implementation will be aligned to its processes.

2.4 Program Cost and Financing Arrangements

2.4.1 The total cost of the NUWSSP, covering the period 2016 to 2020 is estimated at US$

985 million, of which the Bank supported operation is estimated to cost USD 150.57 million

(equivalent to UA 107.33 million), net of taxes and duties. These cost estimates are based on

information in the feasibility studies and other studies on the program with details of estimated

unit rates derived from suppliers and contractors, as well as from experience with similar

ongoing operations in the country and in the region. A physical contingency of 10% and a price

contingency of 3% per annum have been taken into consideration in these estimates. A

summary of the program cost estimates by components and expenditure accounts is shown in

Tables 2.3 and 2.4 below, while details are provided in the Annex B.2

Table 2.3: Program cost estimates by component

2.4.2 The program will be financed by AfDB Group (including MIC TAF Grant, ADF, and

ADB), AGTF and GOZ/ Utilities as shown in the Financing Plan in Table 2.4 below. The AfDB

Group contribution is a loan of UA 96.59 million (to include UA 77.64 million ADB loan, UA

10.69 million AGTF loan, UA 7.07 million ADF loan and UA 1.2 million MIC TAF grant).

Component FC LC Total FC LC Total %

1) Water Supply Improvement 75,005 25,002 100,007 53,465 17,822 71,287 76%

2) Sanitation Services Improvement 8,746 5,830 14,576 6,234 4,156 10,390 11%

3) Institutional Capacity Building and PM 8,541 8,068 16,608 6,088 5,751 11,839 13%

Total Base Cost 92,292 38,900 131,191 65,787 27,728 93,516 100%

Physical Contingency (10%) 9,229 3,890 13,119 6,579 2,773 9,352

Price Contingency (3% annually) 4,405 1,857 6,262 3,140 1,324 4,464

Total 105,926 44,646 150,573 75,506 31,825 107,331

US$ '000 UA '000

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GOZ/CUs will finance the balance of UA 10.73 million, which represents 10% of the total

program cost. GOZ/CUs contribution shall also include contributions in kind. In accordance

with the “Policy on Expenditure for Bank Group Financing”, the GOZ has requested the Bank

to consider reducing the requirement for 50% counterpart funding on the program due to the

fact that Zambia has only recently transitioned to blend status and is yet to transition to full

ADB only and also continues to dedicate substantial provisions for infrastructure development

through the national budget. Zambia is also at the lower end of middle income status and will

require substantially more time to fully transition to a 50% counterpart funding level. The

minimized counterpart funding requirement for the program is supported on the basis of the

foregoing, to enable Zambia forge ahead with infrastructure development with the ADB

resources and the leveraged AGTF funds.

Table 2.4: Sources of financing2

Table 2.5 (a): Program cost by category of expenditure [‘000 USD]

Table 2.5 (b): Expenditure schedule by component [‘000 USD]

2 In addition to the above, GoZ has approached EIB to provide equivalent of USD 30 million to fund the program remaining

towns in Muchinga Province

MIC TAF to fund feasibility studies and detailed designs for Southern & Northwestern Water and Sewerage Companies

Source of Finance US$ '000 UA '000 %

MIC TAF Grant 1,683 1,200 1.1%

ADF 9,918 7,070 6.6%

ADB 108,913 77,636 72.3%

AGTF 15,000 10,692 10.0%

GoZ/Utilities 15,057 10,733 10.0%

Total 150,573 107,331 100.0%

Project Cost Estimates by Category of Expenditure (in *US$ '000)

Category of Expenditure FC LC Total %

1 Works 84,347 31,727 116,073 88.5%

2 Goods 1,515 75 1,590 1.2%

3 Services 6,058 1,576 7,633 5.8%

4 Operating Costs - 4,564 4,564 3.5%

5 Miscellaneous 372 958 1,330 1.0%

Total Base Cost 92,292 38,900 131,191 100.0%

Physical Contingency 9,229 3,890 13,119

Price Contingency 4,405 1,857 6,262

Total Cost 105,926 44,646 150,573

Component 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total

1) Water Supply Improvement 20,001 30,002 30,002 20,001 100,007

2) Sanitation Services Improvement 2,915 5,830 5,830 - 14,576

3) Institutional Capacity Building and PM 6,262 4,502 3,012 2,832 16,608

Total Base Cost 29,179 40,335 38,844 22,833 131,191

Physical Contingency (10%) 2,918 4,033 3,884 2,283 13,119

Price Contingency (3% annually) - 1,331 2,602 2,329 6,262

Total 32,097 45,699 45,331 27,446 150,573

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2.4.3 Table 2.5 (c) below shows the disbursement plan during the program implementation

period.

Table 2.5 (c): Expenditure schedule by category of expenditure [‘000 USD]

2.5 Program’s target area and population

2.5.1 The program will be implemented in Northern, Muchinga, Western and Luapula

Provinces. The program is designed to be implemented in twelve (12) towns benefiting 639,927

(>50% women) direct beneficiaries and an additional 287,212 beneficiaries indirectly, who live

around the targeted towns. These towns are Mongu, Sesheke, Senanga, and Kaoma in Western

Province, Kasama and Mbala in Northern Province, Nakonde and Mpika in Muchinga

Province, Mansa, Samfya, Mwense and Kawambwa in Luapula Province. Residents will gain

better health from increased access to safe drinking water and improved sanitation. Women

and school going children, who bear the majority of the burden due to inadequate water supply

through queuing for long hours and transporting water over long distances, will benefit

particularly from utilisation of time earlier spent on collecting water for other income

generating activities as well as improved school enrolment and retention for the girls. The small

town populations will also benefit indirectly from; a) employment/livelihood opportunities to

be generated by increased investments; and b) improved social services (health, education) all

of which will be made possible by the improved service coverage. Government institutions,

private businesses, Schools, Markets and health centres in the targeted small towns will also

benefit from the program as direct beneficiaries through improved service provision. The

program will train artisans (30% women) and empower women and youth groups for possible

business along the water and sanitation value chain and catchment management. Skilled and

unskilled employment will be generated during the construction and operations of the

infrastructure once completed. The program will provide yearly apprenticeship to fresh

graduates to be attached in the three CUs for the duration of the program for possible future

absorption in the CUs or enriching for the job market. All these benefits will contribute towards

meeting Hi5 #5: improving the quality of lives of the beneficiary population.

2.6 Participatory process for program identification, design and implementation

2.6.1 The program has benefited from a wholly participatory approach at the various stages;

identification, program design, preparation and appraisal. It is intended that the participatory

approach shall be adopted through the program implementation.

2.6.2 The program was conceived, at a strategic level, from the NUWSSP with a view to

improve drinking water supply and sanitation services in the four provinces served by the three

utilities. GoZ financed the pre-feasibility, feasibility and detailed designs for the three utilities.

The program development process entailed extensive consultations with relevant stakeholders

including the line ministry (MLGH), Ministry of Finance, provincial administration, district

administration, Local authorities, the three water utilities, CSOs and beneficiaries with diverse

Category of Expenditure 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total

1 Works 23,662 36,578 35,832 20,001 116,073

2 Goods 1,590 - - - 1,590

3 Services 2,431 2,261 1,471 1,471 7,633

4 Operating Costs 1,141 1,141 1,141 1,141 4,564

5 Miscellaneous 355 355 400 220 1,330

Total Base Cost 29,179 40,335 38,844 22,833 131,191

Physical Contingency 2,918 4,033 3,884 2,283 13,119

Price Contingency - 1,331 2,602 2,329 6,262

Total Cost 32,097 45,699 45,331 27,446 150,573

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social backgrounds. Systematic consultations were conducted as part of the studies, with

persons directly affected by the program from a cross section of the communities and other key

stakeholders. Stakeholder workshops were held in the provincial headquarters towns.

Discussions with communities were voluntary, gender inclusive, touched on challenges with

current service, current applicable technologies, current rates of access, level’s of disease

burden, relevant interventions, roles, capacities and gaps of the various stakeholders. The

community meetings highlighted concerns on the benefits and possible impacts of the proposed

program, utilisation of funds and community involvement in program activities. It was noted

that the selection of sites and infrastructure was in agreement with the desires of the

beneficiaries who also indicated their willingness to fully participate in all program activities

during implementation. Beneficiaries, in project areas expressed their preference for surface

water supply to borehole water supply as they had suffered over the last decades with poor

quality water and frequent breakdown of the systems due to silting and collapse. All

stakeholders acknowledged that inadequate water supply and sanitation is affecting the social

wellbeing, posing serious risks to public health and livelihoods of the people in the small towns.

These issues have been appropriately addressed in the program design.

2.6.3 Ideas were also solicited on the relevance and implementation arrangements of the

various program components, target groups and geographical locations. Efforts were made to

ensure gender and social inclusiveness, women and youth empowerment and sustainability

mechanisms in these consultations. The feedback from the consultations has been used to

formulate the capacity development aspect of component three of the program. Consultations

with users will be an on-going part of the program and will continue throughout implementation

of the program. The existing water watch groups in the small towns will be used to facilitate

the process and ensure inclusiveness. Participation of national stakeholders and representatives

of beneficiary groups in the ISTWSSP will be through the existing National Urban Water

Supply and Sanitation steering committee which will have oversight responsibility, oversee

program compliance with sub-sector national policies and strategies and guide implementation.

2.7 Bank Group experience and lessons reflected in program design

2.7.1 The Bank’s on-going portfolio in Zambia comprises of 19 operations (17 national and

2 multi-national programs) with a total commitment of UA 632.5 million, including two

operations in the sector; National Rural Water Supply and Sanitation Program II (USD 15.5

million loan, Euro 3.5 million grant) was approved in September 2014, with the Lusaka

Sanitation Program (LSP) (UA 37 million) approved in June 2015. The current IPR ratings are

3 for both the NRWSSP II and the LSP. The 2015 Country Portfolio Performance Review

assessed the overall portfolio as satisfactory and continues to improve. The combined rating

from Implementation Progress and Resource Reporting (IPR) and SAP was 2.93 while

combined implementation objectives and development outcomes scored 2.79 and 2.88

respectively. The number of programs at risk reduced from 7% in 2013 to 6% in 2015. The

average CPI rating is 3.63 for 2015 (3rd Quintile). Overall portfolio disbursement ratio is 15%

as at 30 June 2016 with an average portfolio age of 2.32 years. There is no Project Completion

Report (PCR) backlogs and all conditions precedent to first disbursements for previously

approved loan/grant agreements of the Bank in the sector have been satisfied by the Borrower.

2.7.2 Lessons learned from the Bank’s past and current projects are described in Annex B1.

The main lessons applied to the ISTWSSP are: (i) there is need to critically address the issue

of cost recovery as it is fundamental to financial sustainability. The program will therefore

undertake a tariff and affordability study; implement a program of tariff adjustments for water

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supply and sanitation services in order to ensure sustainability of service provision including

investment, taking into account social equity (pro-poor tariffs) and ability of beneficiary

communities to pay for the services (ii) There is need for a solid results framework that provides

a means to systematically assess implementation progress and measure outcomes in projects/

programs. Progress on the program will be monitored by the water regulator based on the

indicators in the NWASCO sector report and those in the program result based logical

framework, (iii) in order to optimize benefits from water supply and sanitation interventions,

the interventions will concurrently address water supply, sanitation and hygiene and (v) the

program will increase sustainable demand and commitment for improved WSS through

consistent targeted hygiene behaviour change.

2.8 Program’s performance indicators

2.8.1 Achievement of the expected program results will be demonstrated by the key

performance indicators described in the results-based logical framework and process indicators

in annex B9. They include increase in proportion of residents accessing improved water supply

and sanitation, increased hours of water supply, increased revenue collection efficiency and

reduced non-revenue water. The rate of physical and financial implementation of planned

activities, including development of infrastructure, will measure the trend towards the

achievement of Program’s objective. The key output indicators include: (i) length of climate

resilient water and sewer networks constructed, rehabilitated, (ii) water production and

treatment facilities constructed and rehabilitated, (iii) training of women and youth in artisan

skills, (iv) sewage treatment plants rehabilitated/ constructed, (v) community members trained

in sanitation and hygiene, (vi) women operating water kiosks.

2.8.2 Progress towards achieving program outcomes and outputs will be measured and

monitored through bi-annual Bank supervision missions, IPRR, annual technical and financial

audit reports. The program outputs will feed into the annual NWASCO sector report which

then aggregates all the data for national reporting on water sector outcomes. The M&E

Specialist in the PIT will be responsible for the M&E framework and data collection, including

baseline, impact and other relevant studies to be carried out as required to inform the program

progress. The M&E framework will be implemented in collaboration with stakeholders,

especially Utilities, NWASCO and NGOs/CBOs. Internal monitoring systems of the MLGH

and utilities will be strengthened to facilitate post-program implementation monitoring.

III. PROGRAM FEASIBILITY

3.1 Economic performance

Table 3.1: Key Economic Figures

EIRR 28.5 and NPV ZMK 2306 million (at 12% base case)

NB: detailed calculations are available in Annex B6

3.1.1 The economic analysis of the program has been undertaken by comparing “with” and

“without program” of the various costs and benefits that will accrue to the beneficiaries of

improved water supply and sanitation services for the residents in the twelve provincial towns

and surrounding areas, managed by the three CUs. In addition, the program will provide

institutional capacity building to improve operational efficiency of the three water utilities

managing the water supply and sanitation services in their respective provincial towns for

sustainable improved service delivery.

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3.1.2 It will improve access to reliable and clean water supply and sanitation services which

will promote good environmental health. These will result in reduced water borne diseases for

the populations living in urban and peri-urban areas of the twelve beneficiary towns. These will

also enhance the quality of livelihoods and well-being of the beneficiary population, and boost

economic activities. The economic returns are measured in terms of benefits which accrue to

residents in the form of clean, regular and adequate drinking water supply, improved sanitation

services, improved health and living conditions of the beneficiary population.

3.1.3 The main assumptions are: Improved water system management including installation

of meters and demand management systems, improved commercial and operational

management of water utilities, which in turn will enhance operating efficiency in the delivery

of services. This would contribute to generate incremental water and sanitation revenues.

Another major benefit is health benefit which accounts for the reduction in water borne diseases

of populations living in urban and peri-urban areas of the beneficiary towns, which results in

savings in health expenditure. The costs side includes capital investments, periodic replacement

costs, and incremental operating and maintenance costs. All costs and benefits are considered

net of duties and taxes. In addition, the economic life of the investment is estimated at 25 years.

The program’s economic rate of return is estimated at 28.5%. The value is higher than the

opportunity cost of capital of 12% and thus the program is considered economically viable.

Sensitivity analysis to test the robustness of the EIRR was carried out to determine the impact

of adverse variations. The EIRR changes to 25.2% assuming that investment cost increases by

20%, and changes to 23.3% when the benefits of the program are decreased by 20%. The

analysis shows that the program is economically viable and socially beneficial for Zambia.

Annex B.6 shows the assumptions and the calculations of the EIRR.

3.2 Environmental and Social Impacts

3.2.1 The ISTWSSP was validated as Category 2 on 11 April 2016 by ORQR.3. This

classification is justified considering the impact from the level of infrastructure and other

interventions which will be introduced within the participating towns are mainly likely to

induce detrimental but site-specific environmental and/or social impacts. Detailed designs are

underway for water and sewerage infrastructure development and the individual projects’ sites are

located in different provinces; due to being far apart, they have different baseline conditions

in terms of physical, ecological and social attributes. For these reasons, the type of

Environmental Assessment tool was the development of the Strategic Environmental and

Social Assessment (SESA) report and Environmental and Social Management Framework

(ESMF). The categorization is in alignment with the national environmental law of Zambia.

The ESMF summary was published on the Bank’s website on 14 October 2016.

3.2.2 Major positive impacts identified (associated with Hi5 #5) include (i) Increased and

sustainable access to water supply and sanitation (ii) socio-economic development of the

towns, (iii) improved environmental health, (iv) improved health and livelihoods of residents

(v) improved technical and financial viability of the utilities for sustainable service delivery

and (vi) time savings to engage in other productive activities (women and youth). On

employment opportunities, works contractors will be required to have active employment

policy favoring local workers and women. The negative environmental impacts anticipated

from the proposed program include (i) Environmental pollution from liquid and solid waste

generation from construction camps and work sites; (ii) Sedimentation of watercourses during

water production and sewage treatment plant construction; (iii) Loss of vegetation due to

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diversions and material sourcing; (iv) Soil erosion from exposed areas during earthworks; and

vii) Temporary social disruption including physical and economic displacement of persons

living within the wayleave and road reserve. Environmental impacts resulting from

implementation of civil works are expected to be localized, minor and short-term since the

rehabilitation and expansion works are principally for the works in existing wayleaves. Where

the infrastructure pass through private land, the owners will be compensated for any damage

to property, trees and crops, etc., by GoZ in line with the provisions of the Environmental and

Social Management Act of 2011.

3.2.3 Provision has been made for appropriate mitigation measures. These include (i)

development of construction methodologies compliant with the AfDB Integrated Safeguards

System; (ii) adherence to contractors’ work practices; (iii) program management’s strict

enforcement of the correct construction practices and standards; (v) incorporation of mitigation

measures identified in the ESMP into the Tender documents and specifications into contracts;

(vi) public awareness including liaison at ward level in advance of work in each work location;

and (vii) undertaking sensitization campaigns on HIV/AIDs in the program areas during

construction. The ESMP implementation and monitoring budget which is part of all works

contracts is estimated to be USD 1.5 million.

3.2.4 Climate Change: According to the Bank’s Climate Safeguards System, the program is

classified as Category II, requiring the implementation of adaptation measures to increase the

resilience of communities and the infrastructure to be rehabilitated to withstand the impacts of

climate change. The program will ensure that infrastructure is climate resilient to account for

programed climatic conditions and prolong the longevity of the infrastructure. The program

will access funds from the ACTFCN to support the further development of climate change

activities of the program. This specific Consultancy Service in support of the program will

focus on (i) water resources vulnerability to climate change, (ii) the updating of infrastructure

design standards, and (iii) climate change adaptation technologies for sustainable water

resources development. It will complement the environmental and social impact assessment

component of the program and facilitate the integration of climate change adaptation

technologies into the other components of the program. Annex B.7 provides the adaptation

summary.

3.2.5 Gender: The quality of water and sanitation services is highly gender sensitive and thus

requires the wholesome engagement of women and men on their roles, responsibilities,

challenges and opportunities within the scope of the program. Women constitute 51% of

Zambia’s population but at the same time face severe difficulties in fully participating in

various local and national development processes and programs. Socio-economic studies

undertaken in the participating towns indicate that, women and children, particularly girls, are

the facing the challenges of inadequate water supply and sanitation services. As in most

communities, women and girls are the main accessors, couriers and transporters of water in

terms of walking distances, waiting time and security at water points. It increases the burden

on them as they have to search for the commodity which takes away their precious time for

school and for them to engage in other meaningful income generating activities. The multiple

roles of women play often subject them to crushing workloads leaving them with no time for

other activities, worse is their exclusion from decision-making in the development of water and

sanitation resources of their own communities. Women in some communities visited already

engage in some form of small businesses but because of the water shortages; their businesses

are negatively affected; they have to spend less time in business and more time looking for

water for domestic uses and also for their businesses (hair salon, bakeries etc.). As the main

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users of water, women have a greater incentive to take part in affairs to do with water and

sanitation; thus justifying the need to involve the active participation of women in planning,

management and decision making of programs designed to deliver water and sanitation

services in their communities. Thus, the program is expected to have a major positive impact

in terms of time and health gains for women. The program will also ensure adequate

representation of women in water watch groups, currently proposed to be at least 30% of

committee members.

3.2.6 The NUWSSP recognizes the gender inequality and is responding to it. MLGH has

begun reviewing and updating the Zambia National Gender Policy for the water and sanitation

sector (2000) to incorporate current thinking, needs and opportunities. Although Gender

mainstreaming is quite new in the three utilities, they have commenced Gender Mainstreaming

by recently incorporating Gender policies within their Strategic Business Plans. The CUs have

each appointed Gender focal persons and Gender committees for the company employees to

oversee implementation of the policies have also been formed and work plans are in place for

the 2015-2016 period. The program will support the gender aspects within the utilities and

fully operationalize the gender policies. In addition, the program will assist with further

elaboration of Gender strategies with detailed activities, costing and indicators going forward.

See Annex B.8, Table 8.8.1c for activities and budget.

3.2.7 Social: Zambia’s 2014 Human Development Index (HDI), (that measures a long and

healthy life, access to knowledge and a decent standard of living) value is 0.586; this places it

in the medium human development range, as specified by the UNDP at 139 out of 188

countries. 74.3% of Zambia’ population live on or below US$ 1.25 a day. There are high

poverty levels in the four provinces (with Luapula 81.1%, Western 82.2%, Northern 79.7% and

Muchinga 69.3%). Zambia’s under five mortality rate is 64 per 100,000 births, with water borne

diseases being among the top five diseases in the targeted small towns. In small towns,

businesses, social services, schools and health centres lack access to water and improved

sanitation facilities greatly contributing to the health deterioration in the four provinces and the

quality of education attainment.

3.2.8 The program will thus have a positive impact on the population, contribute to the SDGs

and the Bank’s Hi5 agenda. Benefits will include sharp decline in diarrhoea and other water

borne diseases (by about 30%) and associated health care costs, improvement of maternal

health, reduction in absenteeism and school-dropout rates especially among girls. The program

will target and capacitate community based enterprises specially those of women to get

involved in program activities through training in sanitation and hygiene, running of water

kiosks and provision of sanitation products to facilitate onsite sanitation facilities construction.

The program will seek to train youths and women, who presently lack employment

opportunities through training in business start-up, as masons and artisans to enable them

participate in construction activities during and beyond the program. It is expected that this will

offer unemployed youths (current national average 16.7%) the opportunity to earn income. The

program will thus contribute to reducing poverty and improving the quality of livelihoods of

the populations in small towns.

3.2.9 Involuntary resettlement: There will be no involuntary resettlement. Trunk water, sewer

lines, distribution networks and laterals will be laid along road reserves and existing way leaves

to reduce incidences and scale of compensation. Water production/ treatment / storage and

wastewater treatment units will be on existing parcels of land requiring minor adjustment

within the defined reserve area to the extent possible. Should the scope of the activities change

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in such a way that results in land acquisition, the Bank’s Integrated Safeguards Policy,

specifically the Operational Safeguards 2 on Involuntary Resettlement will be followed and

implemented accordingly.

IV. IMPLEMENTATION

4.1 Implementation Arrangements

4.1.1 The implementation of the proposed operation will use existing institutional

arrangements incorporating lessons and experience gained from similar operations in the

country. The GoZ shall be the borrower of the ADF, AfDB, AGTF loans and recipient of the

MIC TAF Grant. The implementation of the program falls within the existing framework of

the NUWSSP. The MLGH will be responsible for overall coordination of the program activities

with the Urban Water and Sanitation Unit (UWSU) within the MLGH being in charge of

overall program coordination. The MLGH will be the Executing Agency (EA) of the program,

while the three utilities, namely Chambeshi WSSC, Luapula WSSC, and Western WSSC will

be implementing agencies of program activities in their respective areas. The MLGH will

constitute a Program Implementation Team (PIT) to follow up the implementation in the

program areas. The main PIT to be in charge of overall coordination will be based in Northern

Province (Kasama) and cover overall program activities, while there will be sub-PITs in

Chambeshi, Luapula and Western Province (Mongu).

4.1.2 For program implementation, GoZ will competitively recruit national experts (this cost

will be covered by the program) who will work under the overall coordination of MLGH. The

Main PIT will comprise a Program Coordinator, Procurement Specialist, Safeguard Specialist,

Monitoring & Evaluation Specialist and Financial Management Specialist. The sub-PITs will

have a Water and Sanitation engineer (experienced in contract management and procurement)

and Accountant. SHE officers will be also part of the team to monitor activities in each of the

three utilities. Technical Assistance to the program will be provided by (two or three)

experienced Engineering Services firms for design review, supervision and implementation

support. At National Level, the existing National Water Supply and Sanitation Steering

Committee (NWSSSC) will have oversight responsibility and oversee program compliance

with sub-sector National Policies and Strategies. See Annex B.3 for implementation details.

4.1.3 Program Readiness Mechanisms. In order to reduce start-up delays and speed up the

program implementation plan, the following measures will be taken (i) advance procurement

of the PIT to have them in place before loan signature, (ii) advance procurement of the

Engineering Supervision Consultant and have them in place in February 2016 and (iii)

finalisation of all detailed designs and draft tender documents by 31 October 2016. These

arrangements are to ensure timely start-up and avoid costly program overruns.

Procurement Arrangements

4.1.4 Procurement of goods (including non-consultancy services), works and the acquisition

of consulting services, financed by the Bank for the project, will be carried out in accordance

with the “Procurement Policy and Methodology for Bank Group Funded Operations” (BPM),

dated October 2015 and following the provisions stated in the Financing Agreement.

Specifically, Procurement would be carried out as follows:

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(i) Borrower Procurement System (BPS): Specific Procurement Methods and Procedures

(PMPs) under BPS comprising its Laws and Regulations as per the Public Procurement Act

of 2008 and the Public Procurement Regulations of 2011, using the national Standard

Solicitation Documents (SSDs) or other Solicitation Documents agreed during program

negotiations for various group of transactions for specified thresholds under the program.

(ii) Bank Procurement Policy and Methodology (BPM): Bank standard PMPs, using the

relevant Bank Standard Solicitation Documents (SSDs), for contracts where the BPS shall

not apply for specific transaction or group of transactions as BPMs have been found to be

the best fit for purpose.

(iii) Procurement Risks and Capacity Assessment (PRCA): The assessment of procurement

risks at the Country, Sector, and Project levels and of procurement capacity at the Executing

Agency (EA), were undertaken for the project and they are low, moderate, high and high

respectively. These outputs have informed the decisions on the procurement regimes being

used for specific transactions or groups of similar transactions under the project. The

appropriate risks mitigation measures have been included in the procurement PRCA action

plan proposed in Annex B.5.

Financial Management and Disbursement Arrangements

4.1.5 Financial Management: The Program’s FM will be managed within the Main PIT

under the overall responsibility of the Chief Accountant-MLGH as the head of the Ministry’s

Finance department. The Bank carried out a FM assessment of the Executing Agency (EA)

including those of the three designated implementing CUs (Chambeshi, Luapula and Western

Water and Sewage Companies). The assessment which included a comprehensive review of

the budgeting, accounting, internal controls, flow of funds, financial reporting and auditing

systems within the implementing entities, revealed the strengths and weaknesses of the various

entities and areas needing improvements. The assessment also took into consideration lessons

learnt from previous projects implemented by the EA as well as performance of ongoing

projects in Zambia. Based on the outcome from the assessment, appropriate FM actions have

been proposed to be undertaking by respective implementing agencies, and adequate mitigation

measures are also included in the proposed FM arrangements. With the implementation of all

agreed FM actions, the EAs FM capacity (including those within the three CUs) would satisfy

the Bank’s minimum requirements, to ensure funds to be made available to finance project

activities would be used economically, efficiently and for the purpose intended. The Bank’s

fiduciary team would follow up and monitor closely to ensure timely implementation of all

agreed FM actions to further strengthen the fiduciary environment in readiness for project

implementation. Detailed FM and disbursement arrangements are also included in the

Appraisal Report Volume II (Annex B.4).

4.1.6 Disbursement arrangements: Based on the assessment, the program will make use of

the Bank’s various disbursement methods including (i) Direct Payment, (ii) Special Account

(SA) and (iii) Reimbursement methods in accordance with Bank rules and procedures as laid

out in the Disbursement handbook as applicable. The Special Account method shall be used

exclusively to pay for program recurrent expenditures (including eligible local operating costs

incurred within the decentralized implementing teams, workshops and related expenses, where

applicable); whereas the direct payment method will be used for larger program expenditures

(including consultants, suppliers, contractors, where applicable etc.). The Bank will issue a

Disbursement Letter of which the content will be discussed and agreed with GoZ during

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negotiations. As highlighted above, detailed disbursement arrangements are included as part of

Annex B.4 in the PAR technical annex.

4.1.7 Reporting and External Audit: In accordance with the Bank’s financial reporting and

audit requirements, the program will be required to prepare and submit to the Bank

Implementation Quarterly Progress Report (IQPR) not later than forty-five (45) days after the

end of each calendar quarter. Annual financial statement prepared and audited by the Office of

the Auditor General (OAG) as per their mandate (or a private audit firm recruited with OAG’s

involvement through short-lists using the Bank rules and procedures for procurement), together

with the auditor’s opinion and management letter will be submitted to the Bank not later than

six (6) months after the end of each fiscal year.

4.2 Monitoring

4.2.1 Progress on the program will be monitored by the MLGH based on the indicators in the

NWASCO sector report and those in the program result based logical framework including

ESMP implementation. It will produce regular IQPR, annual technical, procurement and

financial audits for submission. This data will be entered into an Implementation Progress

Report (IPR) in timely manner. And will provide a status of the various program activities

including financial and procurement status, asset management, environment, social and gender

safeguards, risks and mitigation measures.

4.2.2 Bank supervision missions will be undertaken twice per year, and the Bank will

undertake quarterly desk supervision, providing feedback and following up on progress reports

(including progress on the ESMP, ARAP). A Mid-Term Review will be undertaken during the

third year of implementation. Upon completion of the Program, MLGH will prepare and submit

to the Bank a Program Completion Report (PCR).

Table 4.1: Key Milestones

Timeframe Milestone Monitoring process/feedback loop

October 2016 Detailed Designs/ Tender Documents Submission

November 2016 ADB Board of Directors Loan approval

February 2017 Signing Loan signed

February 2017 Engineering Services consultancy Award of contract

March 2017 Effectiveness Loan declared effective including precedent conditions for first

disbursement by the Bank

March 2017 Launching Launching workshop done

July 2017 Construction works start Works contract signed, monthly supervision reports

December 2018 Mid-Term Review Assessment of progress/performance, restructuring if needed

December 2020 Program completion Commissioning of works

December 2021 Loan closing -

4.3 Governance

4.3.1 Successful implementation of the program requires good governance at National, Local

and Executing Agency level. Zambia has made significant progress in the area of accountability

and transparency and has relatively improved on key indicators of governance including

control of corruption, rule of law, regulatory quality and Government effectiveness. The overall

governance rating of Zambia is above Africa’s continental average in many fronts and

measures. Zambia ranks 12 out of 52 countries and 6 out of the 12 countries in Southern Africa

on the 2015 Ibrahim Index of African Governance, 76 out of 168 in Transparency

International’s 2015 Corruption Perception Index (a relative improvement from 83 compared

to 2013). It ranked amongst the top 10 countries performing reasonably in safety and rule of

law.

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4.3.2 The governance of the water sector goes beyond the three utilities in this program. GoZ

has shown commitment to reform the sector for better transparency and accountability. In 2013,

the MLGH started the process of preparing the National Water Supply and Sanitation Policy

to capture emerging issues; further strengthening the policy, legislative and regulatory

framework to increase the commercial sustainability, efficiency and quality of water and

sanitation services. This will also provide for clear guidance on sector activities, as planning

and implementation of WSS related programs has many socio-economic aspects. The

NUWSSP has also created an enabling environment and promotes good governance in the

sector. The successful operationalization of the program will create the much needed

foundation of the urban water sector.

4.3.3 For urban areas service delivery is by water utilities whose management operates under

the overall oversight of a non-executive Board of Directors which provides guidance, monitors

executive activities and contributes to development of company strategies. All board members

are appointed by the shareholders who are the Local Authorities in the Provinces in which the

CUs operate and consists of members from both Government and private sector. The Bank will

support governance enhancement in the utilities through the institutional strengthening and

capacity building component which includes supporting the Regulation by Incentive Program

entered into between the Boards of the CUs and the Regulator. In light of the multiple

institutions involved in the delivery of services, Zambia has a formalized water governance

structure at National Level that brings key institutions (MOF, MoH, MoE, MCDMCH,

MEWD) under the NWSSSC which provides oversight responsibility and oversees program

compliance with sub-sector National Policies and Strategies. There is also the quarterly Sector

Advisory Group (SAG) meetings within government structures, and yearly Joint Water Sector

Reviews (JWSR) with development partners focusing policy and strategy. These formal

structures will be used to monitor and report on program progress.

4.3.4 To counter corruption and fraud, tenders shall be evaluated by an appointed evaluation

committee whose recommendations shall be submitted to the MLGH Tender Committee for

approval before submission to the Bank for No Objection and approval of contract award

depending on the thresholds. The internal audit arrangements of the executing agency (MLGH)

were reviewed and found acceptable. There will also be a program steering committee chaired

by MLGH which will oversee the implementation. These shall reinforce transparency and

accountability during tendering and award of contracts.

4.4 Sustainability

4.4.1 Cost Recovery and Sustainability: The tariffs are not yet fully reflective of economic

cost of water and sanitation service. There is a need for a paradigm shift to set the service

provision on a solid foundation and ensure cost recovery and financial sustainability of service

provision. The current tariff policy for the urban centers/towns is to recover at least operation

and maintenance (O&M) costs and in the long run recover full cost through user charges.

Therefore, there is need to review and update the structure to reflect efficient cost of service so

that tariffs are commensurate to the cost of these services. In this regard, the three utilities will

undertake a tariff and affordability study and implement a program of tariff adjustments for

WSS services in order to ensure sustainability of service provision including investment. These

adjustments should also take into account the social nature of services and the needs of the

poor. After completion of the program, the utilities will start applying cost reflective tariffs,

incorporating lifeline tariff, to cover at least operation and maintenance costs in line with the

policy of GOZ and reduce their dependence on Government subsidy.

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4.4.2 Regulation by Incentive. The program will work with the Regulator, NWASCO to roll

out and implement the Regulation by Incentives (RBI) program which will part of the recovery

plan for the three utilities. Under RBI, the three utilities will be supported to improve their

operational efficiency by rolling out an “Operational Efficiency Service Delivery Business

Model”. The main objectives will be to increase performance of utilities targeting service

quality, efficiency and accelerate service provision to the underserved. NWASCO will work

with each utility identifying critical areas of improvements and agreeing on institutional targets.

Working from the specific indicators at corporate level, the utilities will develop their own staff

incentives to improve performance. RBIs for each utility will therefore differ as they have

different challenges, and include both qualitative and quantitative measures. In this regard,

rollover of the “Regulation by Incentive” has been made a condition of the loan. The RBI will

run for three years beginning 2017.

4.4.3 Technical support and Capacity development: The three utilities have inadequate

technical, accounting, financial management capacity and have not had sufficient experience

in implementing large infrastructure program. The utilities do not have staff with the required

skills and competence to handle such programs. Hence, the need to strengthen the utilities to

enable them cope with the increased responsibilities of the program, operating and maintaining

the expanded infrastructure. As part of the program, the three water utilities will be supported

with training, capacity building, necessary key tools and equipment assets to enhance proper

operation and maintenance of facilities for sustainable service delivery. The program will also

finance an institutional assessment study which will focus on dealing with all the people related

issues entailing; restructuring, re-staffing, re-skilling and revitalizing the leadership team for

better management. The study recommendations will be implemented by 2020. This will be

one of the conditions of the loan.

4.4.4 Performance Agreement: As part of the RBI, there will be need for Sustainability

Agreements (SA) between the GoZ and utilities to ensure that the utilities move towards

technical, environmental, financial and commercial viability including improved operational

performance, customer services and corporate governance. In this regard, adherence to the SA

is of paramount importance for the technical and financial sustainability of the utilities.

NWASCO will monitor and report on performance on behalf of MLGH. The utilities are laden

with separation/termination packages for some redundant staff. As the utilities are unable to

settle these packages, their financial statements are affected negatively. In order to address

these challenges and support the turnaround of the utilities there will be need for GoZ support

to address the issue of termination/separation packages of staff.

4.4.5 Affordability of service: This is a key consideration in the design of the program and

choice of technology such that the majority of households falling within the poor strata of the

population are not overburdened by high user charges. In this regard, water-vending kiosks,

each serving between 15 and 25 households are included for the poor peri-urban settlements.

These options are all demand driven and offer appropriate low cost solutions, bringing down

operational costs within affordable levels for the peri-urban population. In addition, a social

(lifeline) tariff will be put in place to allow for subsistence consumption up to cater for the

needs of low-income households.

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4.5 Risk management

The following risks shall be monitored and mitigated to the extent possible.

RISKS MITIGATION MEASURES (rating)

1. Failure to meet the

cost recovery

expectations

A tariff and affordability study will be carried out and a program of tariff adjustments

will be implemented in order to ensure sustainability of service provision. Customer

orientation, introduction of pro-poor supply strategy and encouraging customers to

pay for services will be built to mitigate a potential risk of resistance to user

payments. (moderate)

2. Limited technical

capacity to operate and

maintain infrastructure

Utility personnel will take part in implementation of the activities in order to allow

for skills transfer. Incorporate on the job training and capacity building of utility

personnel to operate and maintain the facilities. (Moderate)

3. Coordination of

activities

Each utility will second personnel to the PIT to be focal points for activities

pertaining to the utility and allow for skills transfer. PIT will to have sub-offices in

Western/ Luapula Provinces in addition to main office in Kasama, Northern

Province. (Moderate)

4. Unauthorized

program expenditures

Existing internal control systems will be strengthened in the implementation of the

program (Moderate)

5. Program is of high

value and technically

complex

MLGH/Utilities to enhance appropriate procurement, technical, contract

management /dispute resolution capacity and skills to complement their capability

to successfully manage the program. Engineering services consultants to assist carry

out the design review and prepare tender documents for the civil works. (Substantial)

4.6 Knowledge building

4.6.1 The Bank will support strengthening of the Water Regulator’s Management

Information System (Aquatis Information System) to provide up-to-date data for overall sector

planning, track investment programs, and monitor the sustainability and continuity of services

in Zambia’s water utilities. In addition, NWASCO’s water sector report, the use of SAGs and

the JWSR will be key in dissemination, sharing of experience and knowledge to improve sector

implementation within government and with development partners including the Bank. The

program implementation review, quarterly progress reports, audits, procurement, sector M&E

and completion reports will also provide information on various aspects of the program will

provide wealth of information and knowledge products to assist the Bank replicate the good

practices in other member countries.

V. LEGAL INSTRUMENTS AND AUTHORITY

5.1 Legal instrument

The Bank instruments to finance this operation shall be an ADB Loan of USD 108.91 million,

ADF loan of UA 7.07 million, a Bank administered AGTF Loan of USD 15 million and a MIC

TAF grant of UA 1.2 million

5.2 Conditions associated with Bank’s intervention

5.2.1 Condition Precedent to Entry into Force of the Loan Agreement

The loan agreement shall enter into force subject to fulfilment by the Borrower of the

provisions of section 12.01 of the General Conditions Applicable to the African Development

Bank Loan Agreements and Guarantee Agreements.

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5.2.2 Conditions Precedent to First Disbursement for the Loan

The obligation of the Bank to make the first disbursement of the Loan shall be conditional upon

entry into force of the Loan Agreement in accordance with Section 5.2.1 above and the

fulfilment, in form and substance satisfactory to the Bank, of the following conditions:

Provide evidence of opening of special accounts as follows: (i) foreign currencies

accounts for the deposit of the proceeds of the Loans and (ii) operating local currency

accounts in a Bank(s) acceptable to the Bank; and

Provide evidence to the Bank of a Subsidiary Financing Agreement between the

Government of Zambia, Chambeshi Water and Sewerage Company, Luapula Water

and Sewerage Company and Western Water and Sewerage Company and in due

consultations with the AfDB, on the transfer of the ADB and ADF loan proceeds;

5.2.3 Other Conditions

The Borrower/Recipient shall provide evidence, in form and substance satisfactory of the

following:

The Borrower shall, by January 2017, submit evidence in form and substance

satisfactory to the Bank, of having established the Program Implementation Team

whose skills and qualifications are acceptable to the Bank;

5.2.4 Undertakings

Under the ADB Loan Agreement, the Borrower/ Recipient undertakes the following:

Provide an undertaking to resolve the termination and separation of redundant staff of

utilities before 31 Dec 2017;

Provide an undertaking to implement the recommendation of the tariff study and cause

the implementation of a program of tariff adjustments for water supply and sanitation

services in order to ensure sustainability of service provision including investment; and

Provide an undertaking to complete the institutional reform and business efficiency

model before end of December 2017, and implement the recommendations by 2020.

To implement and report on the Regulation by Incentive Program between the Boards

of Chambeshi Water and Sewerage Company, Luapula Water and Sewerage Company

and Western Water and Sewerage Company and the Regulator on annual basis.

5.3. Compliance with Bank Policies

The program complies with all applicable Bank policies.

VI. RECOMMENDATION

Management recommends that the Board of Directors of the Bank approve the proposal for an

ADB loan of USD 108.91 million, ADF loan of UA 7.07, UA 1.2 million MIC TAF on ADB

and ADF terms, and an AGTF Loan to USD 15 million to the Republic of Zambia for the

purposes and subject to the conditions stipulated in this report

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I

Appendix I: Country’s comparative socio-economic indicators

Year Zambia Africa

Develo-

ping

Countries

Develo-

ped

Countries

Basic Indicators

Area ( '000 Km²) 2015 753 30,067 80,386 53,939Total Population (millions) 2015 16.2 1,184.5 5,945.0 1,401.5Urban Population (% of Total) 2015 39.2 39.7 47.0 80.7Population Density (per Km²) 2015 21.8 40.3 78.5 25.4GNI per Capita (US $) 2014 1 680 2 045 4 226 38 317Labor Force Participation * - Total (%) 2015 79.2 66.3 67.7 72.0Labor Force Participation ** - Female (%) 2015 73.0 56.5 53.0 64.5Gender -Related Dev elopment Index Value 2007-2013 0.913 0.801 0.506 0.792Human Dev elop. Index (Rank among 188 countries) 2014 139 ... ... ...Popul. Liv ing Below $ 1.25 a Day (% of Population) 2008-2013 74.3 39.6 17.0 ...

Demographic Indicators

Population Grow th Rate - Total (%) 2015 3.1 2.6 1.3 0.6Population Grow th Rate - Urban (%) 2015 4.5 3.6 2.6 0.8Population < 15 y ears (%) 2015 45.9 41.0 28.3 17.3Population >= 65 y ears (%) 2015 2.9 3.5 6.2 16.0Dependency Ratio (%) 2015 95.4 80.1 54.6 50.5Sex Ratio (per 100 female) 2015 99.7 100.1 102.8 97.4Female Population 15-49 y ears (% of total population) 2015 23.0 24.0 25.8 23.0Life Ex pectancy at Birth - Total (y ears) 2015 60.8 61.2 68.9 79.1Life Ex pectancy at Birth - Female (y ears) 2015 62.9 62.6 70.8 82.1Crude Birth Rate (per 1,000) 2015 39.7 34.8 21.0 11.6Crude Death Rate (per 1,000) 2015 8.7 9.3 7.7 8.8Infant Mortality Rate (per 1,000) 2015 43.3 52.2 35.2 5.8Child Mortality Rate (per 1,000) 2015 64.0 75.5 47.3 6.8Total Fertility Rate (per w oman) 2015 5.3 4.6 2.6 1.7Maternal Mortality Rate (per 100,000) 2013 280.0 411.3 230.0 22.0Women Using Contraception (%) 2014 50.2 35.3 62.1 ...

Health & Nutrition Indicators

Phy sicians (per 100,000 people) 2004-2012 6.6 46.9 118.1 308.0Nurses (per 100,000 people)* 2004-2012 78.4 133.4 202.9 857.4Births attended by Trained Health Personnel (%) 2009-2012 46.5 50.6 67.7 ...Access to Safe Water (% of Population) 2015 65.4 71.6 89.1 99.0Healthy life ex pectancy at birth (y ears) 2012 49.0 51.3 57 69Access to Sanitation (% of Population) 2015 43.9 39.4 60.8 96.3Percent. of Adults (aged 15-49) Liv ing w ith HIV/AIDS 2013 12.5 3.8 1.2 ...Incidence of Tuberculosis (per 100,000) 2013 410.0 245.9 149.0 22.0Child Immunization Against Tuberculosis (%) 2013 82.0 84.1 90.0 ...Child Immunization Against Measles (%) 2013 80.0 76.0 82.7 93.9Underw eight Children (% of children under 5 y ears) 2005-2013 14.9 20.8 17.0 0.9Daily Calorie Supply per Capita 2011 1 937 2 621 2 335 3 503Public Ex penditure on Health (as % of GDP) 2013 2.9 2.7 3.1 7.3

Education Indicators

Gross Enrolment Ratio (%)

Primary School - Total 2011-2014 108.4 106.4 109.4 101.3 Primary School - Female 2011-2014 107.9 102.6 107.6 101.1 Secondary School - Total 2011-2014 ... 54.6 69.0 100.2 Secondary School - Female 2011-2014 ... 51.4 67.7 99.9Primary School Female Teaching Staff (% of Total) 2012-2014 53.1 45.1 58.1 81.6Adult literacy Rate - Total (%) 2006-2012 61.4 61.8 80.4 99.2Adult literacy Rate - Male (%) 2006-2012 71.9 70.7 85.9 99.3Adult literacy Rate - Female (%) 2006-2012 51.8 53.4 75.2 99.0Percentage of GDP Spent on Education 2009-2012 5.3 4.3 5.5

Environmental Indicators

Land Use (Arable Land as % of Total Land Area) 2013 5.0 8.6 11.9 9.4Agricultural Land (as % of land area) 2013 31.9 43.2 43.4 30.0Forest (As % of Land Area) 2013 65.9 23.3 28.0 34.5Per Capita CO2 Emissions (metric tons) 2012 0.2 1.1 3.0 11.6

Sources : AfDB Statistics Department Databases; World Bank: World Development Indicators; last update :

UNAIDS; UNSD; WHO, UNICEF, UNDP; Country Reports.

Note : n.a. : Not Applicable ; … : Data Not Available. * Labor force participation rate, total (% of total population ages 15+)

** Labor force participation rate, female (% of female population ages 15+)

november 2015

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

20

00

20

05

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

Infant Mortality Rate( Per 1000 )

Zambia Af rica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

20

00

20

05

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

GNI Per Capita US $

Zambia Af rica

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

20

00

20

05

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

Population Growth Rate (%)

Zambi a Af rica

01020304050607080

20

00

20

05

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

Life Expectancy at Birth (years)

Zambia Af rica

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II

Appendix II: Table of AFDB’s portfolio in the Zambia

Division Long name

Finance

project

Loan

Number Status

Sector

Name Company Name Curr.

Approval

date Amount

Amount

Disb Disb Ratio

AWTF

MULTIPURPOSE

SMALL DAMS

P-ZM-EAZ-

002 5600155002951 OnGo

Water

Sup/Sanit AfricaWater Facility Fund UAC 9/4/2012

763,506.02 229,051.81 30.00

AWTF

FEASIBILITY STUDY

FOR UPSCALING

SMALLHOLDER

IRRIGATION SYSTE

P-ZM-

AAC-007 5600155004601 APVD Agriculture AfricaWater Facility Fund UAC 6/20/2016

1,125,166.77 - 0.00

OFSD1

LINE OF CREDIT TO

DEVELOPMENT BANK

OF ZAMBIA

P-ZM-

HAA-001 2000200000351 APVD Finance African Development Bank UAC 9/21/2016

18,036,086.60 - 0.00

OITC2

CHINSALI - NAKONDE

ROAD

REHABILITATION

PROJECT (NORTH-

SOUTH

P-ZM-DB0-

003 2000130013830 OnGo Transport African Development Bank UAC 7/10/2015

139,238,588.57 24,073.94 0.02

OITC2

CHINSALI - NAKONDE

ROAD

REHABILITATION

PROJECT (NORTH-

SOUTH

P-ZM-DB0-

003 5050130000051 OnGo Transport AfricaGrowingTogetherFund UAC 7/10/2015

36,072,173.20 - 0.00

OITC2

BOTSWANA/ZAMBIA-

KAZUNGULA BRIDGE

PROJECT

P-Z1-DB0-

031 2100150025694 OnGo Transport African Development Fund UAC 12/7/2011

51,000,000.00 1,032,898.65 2.03

ONEC2

POWER TRANSMISSION

PROJECT

P-ZM-FA0-

003 2100150027396 OnGo Power African Development Fund UAC 6/13/2012

30,000,000.00 20,071,709.91 66.91

ONEC2

POWER TRANSMISSION

PROJECT

P-ZM-FA0-

003 2200160000989 OnGo Power Nigerian Trust Fund UAC 6/13/2012

6,400,000.00 4,295,126.53 67.11

ONEC2

KARIBA DAM

REHABILITATION

P-Z1-FA0-

075 2100150032548 OnGo Power African Development Fund UAC 12/15/2014

25,200,000.00 - 0.00

OPSD4

LINE OF CREDIT TO

FRB SUBSIDIARY,

FIRST NATIONAL

BANK OF ZAM

P-ZM-

HAB-022 2000130012980 OnGo Finance African Development Bank UAC 12/12/2012

31,720,426.23 31,720,426.23 100.00

OPSD4

ITEZHI-TEZHI

HYDROPOWER

PROJECT

P-ZM-FAB-

004 2000130008981 OnGo Power African Development Bank UAC 6/13/2012

25,250,521.24 24,959,587.97 98.85

OSAN1

MIC TAF GRANT

YOUTH IN

AGRIBUSINESS AND

AGRICULTURE

COMMODIT

P-ZM-AA0-

026 5500155010401 APVD Agriculture Middle Inc Countries Fund UAC 4/26/2016

790,000.00 - 0.00

OSAN1

MIC TAF GRANT

LUSWISHI FARM

BLOCK

P-ZM-AA0-

025 5500155010151 APVD Agriculture Middle Inc Countries Fund UAC 3/22/2016

720,000.00 - 0.00

OSAN1

LIVESTOCK

INFRASTRUCTURE

SUPPORT PROJECT

(LISP)

P-ZM-

AAE-001 2100150029293 OnGo Agriculture African Development Fund UAC 6/19/2013

12,000,000.00 2,732,831.78 22.77

OSAN1

GAFSP-AGRICULTURE

PRODUCTIVITY AND

MARKET

ENHANCEMENT

PROJEC

P-ZM-AA0-

019 5570155000501 OnGo Agriculture GAFSP Trust Fund UAC 3/26/2014

22,451,320.60 2,395,307.84 10.67

OSAN1

CASHEW

INFRASTRUCTURE

P-ZM-AA0-

024 2000130014431 OnGo Agriculture African Development Bank UAC 11/4/2015

32,464,955.88 541,226.89 1.67

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III

DEVELOPMENT

PROJECT (CIDP)

Division Long name

Finance

project

Loan

Number Status

Sector

Name Company Name Curr.

Approval

date Amount

Amount

Disb Disb Ratio

OSAN3

STRENGTHENING

CLIMATE RESILIENCE

IN THE KAFUE BASIN

P-ZM-CZ0-

001 5565130000151 OnGo Environment Strategic Climate Fund UAC 10/18/2013

12,625,260.62 173,350.63 1.37

OSAN3

STRENGTHENING

CLIMATE RESILIENCE

IN THE KAFUE BASIN

P-ZM-CZ0-

001 5565155000501 OnGo Environment Strategic Climate Fund UAC 10/18/2013

14,789,591.01 2,005,366.00 13.56

OSAN3

LAKE TANGANYIKA

DEVELOPMENT PROJ

P-ZM-AA0-

021 2000130012932 OnGo Agriculture African Development Bank UAC 12/18/2014

16,223,099.18 1,117,949.98 6.89

OSAN3

LAKE TANGANYIKA

DEVELOPMENT PROJ

P-ZM-AA0-

021 5550155000501 OnGo Agriculture Global Environmental Faci UAC 12/18/2014

5,050,104.25 - 0.00

OSHD1

SKILLS DEVELOPMENT

AND

ENTREPRENEURSHIP

PROJECT - SUPPORTIN

P-ZM-IE0-

002 2000130014280 OnGo Social African Development Bank UAC 10/14/2015

21,643,303.92 72,144.35 0.33

OSHD2

SUPPORT FOR SCIENCE

AND TECHNOLOGY

EDUCATION PROJECT

(SSTEP/

P-ZM-IA0-

005 2100150030194 OnGo Social African Development Fund UAC 11/20/2013

22,220,000.00 4,555,098.44 20.50

OWAS2

TRANSFORMING

RURAL LIVELIHOODS

IN WESTERN ZAMBIA -

NATIONAL

P-ZM-E00-

028 2000130012430 OnGo

Water

Sup/Sanit African Development Bank UAC 9/10/2014

11,182,373.69 287,638.67 2.57

OWAS2

TRANSFORMING

RURAL LIVELIHOODS

IN WESTERN ZAMBIA -

NATIONAL

P-ZM-E00-

028 5800155001401 OnGo

Water

Sup/Sanit Rural Water Supply & Sani UAC 9/10/2014

2,812,916.91 657,122.31 23.36

OWAS2 LUSAKA SANITATION

PROGRAM

P-ZM-E00-

010 2000130013680 APVD

Water

Sup/Sanit African Development Bank UAC 6/24/2015

36,072,173.20 504,488.82 1.40

575,851,567.89 97,375,400.75 17%

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IV

Appendix III: Key related programs financed by the Bank and other development partners in the country

Donor Agency Program Title Program Coverage Total Budget (USD) Implementation Organisation Program Status

AfDB

National Rural Water Supply and

Sanitation Program II Western Province 15,500,000

Ministry of Local Government and

Housing On-going

To develop and field test guidelines for

community driven planning, design and

implementation of multi-purpose small

dams.

Nationwide 1,235,000 Ministry of Mines, Energy and Water

Development On-going

Lusaka Sanitation Program Lusaka City 50,000,000 Lusaka Water and Sewerage

Company On going

European

Investment

Bank

Zambia water and Sanitation Program Mufulira, Chililabombwe,

Chingola, 187,000,000

Mulonga Water and Sewerage

Company On-going

UK DFID/

UNICEF

3 million Sanitation and Hygiene

Program, 44 Districts 32,000,000

Ministry of Local Government and

Housing On-going

Germany

National Rural Water Supply and

Sanitation Programme (Basket Financing

Mechanism)

6 districts in five

provinces 13,000,000

Ministry of Local Government and

Housing On-going

Urban Water Supply and Sanitation

(Basket Financing Mechanism) Nationwide 10,400,000

Ministry of Local Government and

Housing On-going

Devolution Trust Fund - Financial

Support to DTF in 4 phases Nationwide 18,300,000

Ministry of Local Government and

Housing On-going

Urban Water Supply and Sanitation

Eastern Province

Eastern Province-

Nyimba, Chadiza, Katete

and Chipata districts

21,800,000 Eastern Water and Sewerage

Company

On-going

JICA

To establish and roll-out the SOMAP

O&M model

4 Districts in Luapula

Province 6,000,000

Ministry of Local Government and

Housing

On-going

To Construct 216 boreholes with

handpumps

Mansa, Mwense, Milenge

and Nchelenge in Luapula

Province

8,700,000

Ministry of Local Government and

Housing

On-going

US MCC Lusaka Water Supply, Sanitation &

Drainage (LWSSD) Program Lusaka Province 355,000,000

Lusaka Water and Sewerage

Company On-going

US AID

To provide water supply, sanitation and

hygiene facilities in more than 600

schools in 4 districts.

Chadiza, Chipata,

Mambwe and Lundazi of

Eastern Province.

20,000,000

Ministry of Education, Science,

Technology, Vocational Training and

Early Education (MOESVTEE) and

collaborating with MLGH

On-going

UNICEF

Rural Water, Sanitation, Hygiene

Promotion

Nationawide 22,000,000

Ministry of Local Government and

Housing, Ministry of Chiefs and

Traditional Affairs and Ministry of

Education

On-going

World Bank

Water Resources Management Nationawide 50,000,000 Ministry of Mines, Energy and Water

Development On-going

Irrigation development and Support

program 3 Sites 115,000,000

M Ministry of Agriculture and

Livestock On-going

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V

Appendix IV: Map of the Zambia showing Western, Luapula, Northern and Muchinga Provinces