Report on Economic and Financial Developments
Transcript of Report on Economic and Financial Developments
Report on Economic and Financial Developments Second Quarter 2020
B A N G K O S E N T R A L N G P I L I P I N A S
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |i
Report on Economic and Financial Developments – Second Quarter 2020 Table of Contents
Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... 2
Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 4
Real Sector ................................................................................................................................ 5
Aggregate Supply and Demand ................................................................................................... 5
Labor and Employment ............................................................................................................... 7
Fiscal Sector .............................................................................................................................. 9
National Government Cash Operations ...................................................................................... 9
Monetary Sector ..................................................................................................................... 10
Prices ......................................................................................................................................... 10
Domestic Liquidity ..................................................................................................................... 11
Monetary Policy Developments ................................................................................................ 12
Monetary Operations ................................................................................................................ 12
Domestic Interest Rates ............................................................................................................ 13
Financial Sector ....................................................................................................................... 15
Banking System ......................................................................................................................... 15
Banking Policies ......................................................................................................................... 18
Capital Market Reforms ............................................................................................................ 19
Stock Market ............................................................................................................................. 19
Bond Market .............................................................................................................................. 20
Credit Risk Assessment .............................................................................................................. 22
Payments and Settlements System ........................................................................................... 23
External Sector ........................................................................................................................ 24
Balance of Payments ................................................................................................................ 24
International Reserves .............................................................................................................. 28
Exchange Rate ........................................................................................................................... 28
External Debt ............................................................................................................................ 30
Foreign Interest Rates ............................................................................................................... 31
Global Economic Developments ............................................................................................... 33
Financial Condition of the BSP ................................................................................................. 36
Balance Sheet ............................................................................................................................ 36
Income Statement ..................................................................................................................... 36
Conclusion, Challenges and Policy Directions ........................................................................... 37
Annexes .................................................................................................................................. 39
2 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
Executive Summary
The domestic economy slowed down further in
Q2 2020. Real gross domestic product (GDP)
declined by 16.5 percent year‐on‐year (y‐o‐y), a
reversal from the 5.4‐percent expansion last year.
This follows the strict community quarantine
measures for the most part of the review quarter to
contain the spread of COVID‐19. The further
deterioration in growth during the quarter brings
real GDP for the first half of 2020 to a 9.0‐percent
contraction. On the production side, the services
and industry sectors decreased by 15.8 percent and
22.9 percent, respectively. On the expenditure side,
household consumption declined by 15.5 percent
while investments (gross capital formation) fell by
53.5 percent.
Labor market weakens. Based on the Labor Force
Survey as of April 2020, unemployment rate surged
to 17.7 percent which translates to 7.3 million
unemployed persons. All the major employment
sectors posted significant declines in the number of
employed persons, reflecting the initial impact of
the community quarantine measures implemented
nationwide.
Fiscal deficit widens during the quarter. The cash
operations of the National Government (NG)
yielded a deficit of ₱474.3 billion in Q2 2020,
equivalent to 11.4 percent of GDP. The Q2 2020
deficit was much higher than the shortfall recorded
in the previous year at 1 percent of GDP. Total NG
revenue was lower at ₱690.2 billion, due to lower
tax collections. Meanwhile, total NG disbursement
reached ₱1,164.5 billion on account of COVID‐19‐
related expenses with the implementation of
health‐related measures and social protection
programs.
Inflation eases in Q2 2020. Headline inflation
decelerated to 2.3 percent y‐o‐y during the review
quarter, lower than 3.0 percent in the comparable
quarter last year. Average inflation in the first half
of the year is at 2.5 percent, well within the NG’s
announced target range of 3.0 percent ± 1.0
percentage point (ppt) for 2020. Core inflation was,
likewise, slower during the review quarter at
2.9 percent y‐o‐y. Food inflation remained steady
during the quarter while non‐food inflation eased
as electricity, gas, and other fuels, as well as
transport inflation continued to decline.
Domestic liquidity remains ample. Money supply
continued to expand, increasing by 14.9 percent
y‐o‐y to about ₱13.6 trillion as of June 2020.
Domestic claims grew by 13.3 percent as credit
extended to the private sector rose, supported by
sustained expansion in bank lending. Net foreign
assets in peso terms likewise grew by 15.7 percent
y‐o‐y as the BSP’s international reserves and
banks’ foreign assets increased.
The BSP reduces key policy rate by a cumulative
100 basis points in Q2 2020. The BSP announced an
off‐cycle policy rate reduction by 50 basis points
(bps) on 16 April 2020 and another follow‐on 50‐bp
rate cut on 25 June 2020. This brings the overnight
reverse repurchase (RRP) rate to 2.25 percent. The
interest rates on the overnight lending and deposit
facilities were likewise lowered accordingly. Latest
baseline forecasts during the quarter indicated that
inflation could settle near the low end of the target
range of 3.0 percent ± 1 ppt for 2020‐2022, with the
balance of risks to the inflation outlook leaning
toward the downside. In deciding to reduce the key
policy interest rate twice during the quarter, the
BSP believes that keeping monetary policy
accommodative will help mitigate downside risks to
growth amid the impact of COVID‐19 pandemic on
the economy.
Domestic interest rates fall during the quarter.
Interest rates in the primary and secondary markets
declined, reflecting high levels of liquidity in the
financial system owing to BSP policy rate cuts and
liquidity‐enhancing measures. Strong demand for
Treasury papers were likewise attributed to
investor preference for safe‐haven assets as well as
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |3
stable market sentiment during the quarantine
period following the policy measures of the BSP.
Banking system remains sound and stable. Bank
lending expanded at a slightly modest pace of
9.6 percent y‐o‐y as of end‐June 2020 amid limited
operations due to the lockdowns. In terms of asset
quality, the banking system’s gross non‐performing
loan (GNPL) ratio rose slightly to 2.5 percent as of
end‐June 2020 but still below the pre‐Asian crisis
level of 3.5 percent. Moreover, capital adequacy
ratios, both on solo and consolidated basis,
remained well above the BSP’s regulatory threshold
of 10.0 percent and the international standard of
8.0 percent.
Stock market index declines. The Philippine Stock
Exchange index (PSEi) declined by 15.2 percent
quarter‐on‐quarter to average 5,832.17 index
points in Q2 2020. The volatility in trading was due
mainly to expectations of the adverse impact of the
COVID‐19 pandemic on the economy. The negative
performance was tempered partially by the policy
measures of the BSP, the NG’s stimulus package;
and the easing of quarantine measures starting
June.
External position posts higher surplus. The balance
of payment (BOP) position in Q2 2020 recorded a
surplus of US$4.2 billion, higher by US$991 million
from the previous year. The higher BOP position
was attributed mainly to the reversal in the current
account to a surplus, following a substantial
reduction in the trade‐in‐goods deficit.
International reserves increase to record high. The
country’s gross international reserves (GIR) reached
US$93.5 billion as of end‐June 2020. At this level,
the GIR remains adequate as it can cover 8.5
months’ worth of imports of goods and payments
of services and primary income. It is also equivalent
to 7.0 times the country’s short‐term external debt
based on original maturity and 4.6 times based on
residual maturity.
External debt remains manageable. Outstanding
external debt stood higher at US$87.5 billion as of
end‐June 2020 from the quarter‐ago level of
US$81.4 billion. The rise in debt stock was due
mainly to higher external borrowings to fund the
financing requirements of the pandemic response
programs. Nevertheless, external debt maturity
profile remained predominantly medium‐ to long‐
term. The debt service ratio (DSR) increased slightly
to 7.8 percent from 7.7 percent a year ago. In terms
of solvency ratios, external debt to GDP ratio
increased to 23.7 percent due in part to the
contraction in GDP during the review quarter.
Philippine peso appreciates against the US dollar.
The peso averaged ₱50.45/US$1 in Q2 2020,
appreciating by 0.75 percent, quarter‐on‐quarter.
The peso’s strength was supported by positive
market view given the country’s macroeconomic
fundamentals, which include the manageable
inflation environment, a strong and resilient
banking system, prudent fiscal position, and a high
level of international reserve buffer.
Global economic conditions deteriorate. The
impact of the pandemic on the global economy in
Q2 2020 was larger‐than‐anticipated and the
recovery path could be slower than what was
previously forecasted. The persistent deterioration
in domestic and global financial conditions, greater
disruptions in the supply chain, shifts in spending
patterns, decline in consumer and business
confidence, among others, point to synchronized
downturns in advanced economies and deeper
growth slowdowns in emerging market and
developing economies. The IMF (2020) noted that
while reopening of the economy requires the
gradual unwinding of targeted policies, stimulus
measures must continue to be implemented to
support demand and keep businesses afloat.
4 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
Introduction The Philippine economy is currently being tested by
the unprecedented impact of the health crisis
brought on by the COVID‐19 pandemic. The
negative GDP growth for two consecutive quarters
has placed the country in a technical recession due
mainly to the implementation of strict lockdown
measures in April‐May 2020 to contain the spread
of the virus. As a result, major sectors in the
economy from both the supply and demand side
were adversely affected.
Unemployment rate as of April 2020 surged as the
number of employed persons, mostly from the
services and industry sectors, declined
substantially, pointing to a possible slack in the
economy going forward. At the same time, inflation
during the review quarter eased from the year‐ and
quarter‐ago averages, in large part due to the
significant fall in global oil prices. Moreover,
outlook for inflation in 2020 is seen to be benign
but well within the NG target range of 3.0 percent ±
1.0 ppt for 2020.
Government spending, on the other hand,
increased considerably as the pandemic response
necessitated additional budgetary support for
health and social welfare programs. As a result, the
fiscal deficit widened in Q2 as revenue collection
weakened against higher expenditure requirement.
Nevertheless, past fiscal prudence provides
sufficient space for the NG to pursue an
expansionary policy in order to effectively address
the health and economic impact of the pandemic.
For its part, the BSP implemented prompt and
decisive monetary policy actions during the review
quarter to ensure the smooth functioning of the
financial market amid the lockdowns and provide
support to the economy. The BSP reduced its key
policy rate by a cumulative 100 bps in Q2 and
implemented liquidity‐enhancing measures that are
expected to lower borrowing costs and support
credit availability. Moreover, the BSP relaxed
certain regulatory rules to allow banks to exercise
forbearance on affected clients.
The sound macroeconomic fundamentals that the
country has nurtured in the past years are currently
seen to provide buffers to the economy. Growth in
bank lending moderated but asset quality remained
intact. Moreover, the banking system continues to
be stable, owing to sufficient capitalization and
manageable loan exposure and coverage to absorb
the unexpected losses.
External payments position likewise remained
manageable. International reserves stood at record
high as of June 2020, indicating ample external
liquidity buffer, which can cushion the domestic
economy against external shocks. At the same time,
external debt continued to be manageable, with a
debt profile composed largely of medium‐ to long‐
term (MLT) maturities.
Lockdown measures were gradually eased toward
the end of Q2. However, there is still the challenge
of keeping the virus contagion in control to
transition safely towards economic reopening and
recovery. To do so, a whole‐of‐government
approach have been adopted with both fiscal and
monetary policy levers optimized to prevent
economic scarring and restore the economy back to
its growth path.
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |5
Real Sector Aggregate Supply and Demand
The Philippine economy declined by 16.5 percent
in Q2 2020, a reversal from the 5.4‐percent growth
registered in Q2 2019 and further deterioration
from the 0.7‐percent contraction1 in Q1 2020.
Domestic economy further slows down in Q2 2020
The record‐low2 Q2 2020 real GDP was due mainly
to the adverse impact of the unprecedented health
crisis, particularly the implementation of stringent
and prolonged community quarantine measures to
help mitigate the spread of the coronavirus
disease (COVID‐19).
Chart 1. Gross Domestic Product and Gross National Income annual growth rate in percent; at constant 2018 prices
On the supply side, the services and industry
sectors registered double‐digit contractions by
15.8 percent and 22.9 percent, respectively, due
to the closure of businesses and firms amid
the pandemic. Meanwhile, the agriculture, fishery
and forestry (AFF) sector posted a positive
performance with a 1.6‐percent expansion, driven
mainly by the 7.2‐percent increase in palay
production supported by the implementation
of the Rice Competitiveness Enhancement Fund
(RCEF) under the Rice Tariffication Law. On the
1 Downward revision from the preliminary data of ‐0.2 percent. 2 Lowest recorded quarterly GDP since the 1981 national accounts was released.
demand side, the loss of income and lingering
uncertainty led to the significant decline in
household consumption and private sector
investment by 15.5 percent and 53.5 percent,
respectively. Nonetheless, the NG ramped up
spending by 22.1 percent in line with its COVID‐19
response strategy.
The Q2 2020 GDP outturn resulted in a cumulative
contraction of 9.0 percent in the first semester. The
NG remains optimistic that economic recovery will
start in the second half of the year. On 28 July
2020, the Development Budget Coordination
Committee (DBCC) adjusted its 2020 GDP projection
to ‐5.5 percent (or ‐4.5 to ‐6.6 percent) from ‐2.0 to
‐3.4 percent following revised estimates on the
impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic on tourism,
trade, and remittances throughout the year.3
GDP by industry
The services sector declined by 15.8 percent from
the year‐ and quarter‐ago growth rates of
7.5 percent and 0.6 percent, respectively (Table 1).
Accounting for 62.3 percent of GDP, the services
sector contributed largely to the decline with
‐9.7 percentage points. The prolonged enhanced
community quarantine (ECQ) and the modified ECQ
implemented during the review quarter affected
the transportation and storage subsector as all
land, sea, and air transport services were
suspended during the period, posting a decline
of 55.7 percent from the 11.1‐percent drop in
Q1 2020. Moreover, accommodation and food
service activities further declined by 68.0 percent
from the 16.4‐percent contraction in Q1 2020, due
mainly to the “stay‐at‐home” measures
implemented to contain the spread of COVID‐19
and limited business operations. Wholesale and
retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and
motorcycles, which accounted for the bulk (or
29.1 percent) of the services sector, declined by
13.7 percent, a reversal from the 8.6‐percent
expansion during the same period in 2019 and
1.9 percent increase in the previous quarter. This
is attributed to the closure of businesses (including
3 Department of Budget Management (DBM) Press Release, “DBCC Revisits Macroeconomic Assumptions and Fiscal Program for the 2021 President’s Budget, dated 6 August 2020”.
‐20‐18‐16‐14‐12‐10‐8‐6‐4‐202468
1012
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
GDP GNI
Source: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)
6 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
temporary shutdowns) during the imposition of
quarantines.
Chart 2. Gross Domestic Product, by Industry annual growth rate in percent; at constant 2018 prices
In contrast, the financial and insurance activities as
well as the information and communication
subsector posted growth rates at 6.8 percent and
6.6 percent, respectively. These subsectors
continued to operate during the ECQ due to the
essential nature of their services, particularly in the
aspect of e‐commerce. In the new normal scenario,
e‐commerce is expected to continue to play a big
role as businesses and consumers shift to online
transactions such as the expanded use of cashless
payment systems and other financial technology
platforms.
The industry sector exhibited the steepest decline
at 22.9 percent in Q2 2020, much lower than the
3.4‐percent contraction in Q1 2020 and a reversal
from the 2.5‐percent expansion in Q2 2019.
The decline in the sector slashed 6.9 ppts off the
overall GDP. The manufacturing subsector further
contracted by 21.3 percent from the 3.8‐percent
decline in Q1 2020, dragged by the double‐digit
contraction in almost all subsectors due to
restricted business operations, particularly on non‐
essential goods and low domestic demand.
Meanwhile, construction subsector remained in the
negative territory as it declined by 33.5 percent,
lower than the 0.1 percent and 2.9 percent
contractions seen in Q2 2019 and Q1 2020,
respectively. Construction projects by both public
and private sectors were suspended during the ECQ
and were only allowed under the general
community quarantine (GCQ). On the other hand,
4 Statement by Karl Kendrick T. Chua, Acting Socioeconomic Planning Secretary on 2020 Q2 Performance of the Philippine Economy, dated 6 August 2020.
manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and
pharmaceutical preparations grew by 7.7 percent,
albeit slower than the double‐digit growth of
20.6 percent and 27.3 percent in Q2 2019 and
Q1 2020, respectively. Looking ahead, there are
indications of recovery for the industry sector.
The volume of production index was ‐39.0 percent
in April but improved to ‐19.0 percent by June. This
is expected to gradually improve in the succeeding
months.4
The AFF sector grew by 1.6 percent, faster than
the 0.7‐percent expansion in Q2 2019 and a
reversal from the 0.3‐percent decline in Q1 2020.
After eight consecutive quarters of contraction
which started in Q2 2017, palay production rose by
7.2 percent, following the implementation
of the RCEF under the Rice Tariffication Law.
Other high performing crops during the quarter
were corn (15.6 percent in Q2 2020 from
‐4.4 percent in Q1 2020), sugarcane (76.0 percent
from 8.9 percent), and rubber (12.1 percent from
nil growth). However, livestock continued to be
challenged by the African Swine Fever, reducing its
production by 8.2 percent compared with the 3.3
percent and 1.5 percent growth in Q2 2019
and Q1 2020, respectively. According to the
Department of Agriculture (DA), agriculture,
alongside the construction industry, will be the
most strategic sector for economic recovery. Aside
from the revival of economic activity, ensuring food
security should be the utmost concern of the
government at the height of the health crisis.5
GDP by expenditure
On the expenditure side, the Q2 2020 GDP output
was pulled down by further contraction in
gross capital formation triggered mainly by the
suspension in the implementation of major
infrastructure projects in compliance with the
ECQ guidelines. Moreover, household
consumption, which has been a growth driver, fell
significantly due to the loss of income as well as the
compliance to “stay‐at‐home” measures to contain
the spread of COVID‐19.
5 DA Press Release, “Agri sector posts 1.6 percent growth in Q2, paves way to perk up Phl economy”, dated 7 August 2020.
‐26‐24‐22‐20‐18‐16‐14‐12‐10‐8‐6‐4‐202468
10121416
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
Agriculture
Industry
Services
Source: PSA
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |7
Chart 3. Gross Domestic Product, by Expenditure annual growth rate in percent; at constant 2018 prices
Household spending significantly decreased by
15.5 percent, a reversal from the expansion
recorded in Q2 2019 and Q1 2020 at 5.6 percent
and 0.2 percent, respectively (Table 1a). This was a
record‐low as consumers reduced their spending
due mainly to job losses and lay‐offs.
Transportation spending, which is one of the key
household expenditure items, contracted by
60.5 percent due largely to the suspension of
public transportation during the stringent
quarantine period as well as the implementation of
alternative working arrangements by firms. The
other subsectors that posted large declines during
the review quarter were restaurants and hotels
(‐66.4 percent in Q2 2020 from 14.3 percent
in Q1 2020), recreation and culture (‐57.2 percent
from ‐5.7 percent), and clothing and footwear
(‐40.2 percent from 0.1 percent). On the other
hand, housing, water, electricity, gas and other
fuels as well as food and non‐alcoholic beverages
increased by 6.6 percent and 2.4 percent,
respectively.
Government expenditures grew by 22.1 percent,
much higher than the year‐ago and quarter‐ago
growth rates of 6.8 percent and 7.0 percent,
respectively. This is in accordance with the
COVID‐19 response strategy through provision of
social welfare support to low‐income households
and wage subsidy to small business workers.
Gross capital formation further declined in Q2 2020
by 53.5 percent from the 17.4‐contraction in the
previous quarter and 0.8‐percent contraction in
the same period last year. This is attributed to the
62.1‐percent drop in durable equipment and 32.9‐
percent contraction in construction amid the
subdued business sentiment as well as the delay in
the roll‐out of infrastructure projects in compliance
with the rules under the ECQ. Nevertheless, public
construction was ramped up when the restrictions
were lifted under the general community
quarantine which started on 1 June 2020.
International trade continued to face a challenging
environment due to limited economic activity
related to the pandemic, as well as ongoing
geopolitical conflicts and trade tensions among
major economies. Exports posted a double‐digit
contraction of 37.0 percent in Q2 2020 from the
3.1‐percent growth recorded in Q2 2019 and
4.4‐ percent decline in Q1 2020. A larger
contraction of 40.0 percent was recorded for
imports, narrowing the country’s trade deficit
during the review quarter. This is also the fourth
consecutive quarter of negative performance for
imports. Net exports contributed 4.9 ppts to the
Q2 2020 GDP outturn.
Due to the significant economic impact of the
ongoing pandemic, the NG is rebalancing its
strategy to save lives as well as the livelihood of
Filipinos. Under Pillar 1 and 2 of the COVID‐19
response strategy, the NG provided support to
vulnerable groups/individuals and expanded
medical resources to fight COVID‐19. Furthermore,
the signing of the Bayanihan to Recover As One
Law (Bayanihan 2) on 11 September 2020 and
the anticipation of the passage of the Corporate
Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises
(CREATE) Act will help enable the country to
recover in the next semester along with the gradual
reopening of the economy. This is consistent with
Pillar 3 of the COVID‐19 response strategy i.e.,
to finance emergency initiatives and keep the
economy afloat through fiscal and monetary
actions, while Pillar 4 maps out an economic
recovery plan to create jobs and sustain growth.
Labor and Employment
The number of employed persons reached
33.8 million in April 2020, a 20.8‐percent reduction
from 42.7 million in January 2020, based on the
preliminary results of the April 2020 Labor Force
‐60‐55‐50‐45‐40‐35‐30‐25‐20‐15‐10‐505
101520253035
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
HH Consumption
Govt Spending
Capital Formation
Source: PSA
8 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
Survey (LFS)6 (Table 2). The employment situation
in the April 2020 reflects the initial impact of the
community quarantine measures implemented
nationwide amid the COVID‐19 pandemic.
Labor market conditions deteriorate in April 2020
In April 2020, all the major employment sectors
posted large declines in the number of employed
persons. Employment in the services sector
decreased by 22.8 percent (‐5.7 million workers)
with large employment losses in the following
subsectors: wholesale and retail trade; repair
of motor vehicles and motorcycles services
(‐2.2 million workers); transportation and
storage (‐825,000 workers); accommodation
and food service activities (‐790,000 workers);
other service activities (‐558,200 workers);
public administration and defense; compulsory
social security (‐307,100 workers); and education
(‐221,900 workers), to name a few. Likewise,
employment in the industry sector declined
significantly by 28.2 percent (‐2.3 million workers)
due mainly to employment losses in the
construction (‐1.2 million workers) and
manufacturing sub‐sectors (940,300 workers).
Employment in the agriculture sector also fell
by 9.5 percent (‐920,900 workers). Of the total
employed persons, the services sector accounted
for the largest share at 57.1 percent, followed by
the agriculture sector at 25.9 percent, and the
industry sector at 17.0 percent.
Employed persons are categorized into: (1) wage
and salary workers; (2) self‐employed workers
without any paid employee; (3) employers in own
family‐operated farm or business; and (4) unpaid
family workers. Among the wage and salary
workers, employment losses were registered
in those who worked in private establishments
(‐5.7 million workers), in government/government
corporation (‐411,800 workers), in private
households (‐301,700 workers), and those workers
with pay in own family‐operated farm or business
6 Released on 5 June 2020 7 Those who worked for 40 hours or more during the reference week are considered full‐time workers, while those who worked for less than 40 hours are considered part‐time workers.
(‐18,800 workers). Similarly, employment reduction
was posted in self‐employed workers without any
paid employee (‐1.5 million workers), unpaid family
workers (‐528,700 workers), and employers in own
family‐operated farm or business (‐394,500
workers). Of the total employed, wage and salary
workers made up 63.2 percent, self‐employed
comprised 28.7 percent, unpaid family workers
accounted for 6.3 percent, and workers in own
family‐operated farm or business accounted for
the remaining 1.8 percent.
Workers are also classified as either full‐time or
part‐time workers.7 As reported in the April 2020
LFS, the number of full‐time workers decreased by
65.8 percent (‐19.0 million workers) while the
number of part‐time workers fell by 18.9 percent
vis‐à‐vis the January 2020 LFS. Full‐time workers
represent two‐thirds of the total employed, while
the remaining one‐third are part‐time workers.
Meanwhile, the number of workers with jobs
but not at work8 reached 13.0 million.
The unemployment rate in April 2020 was
estimated at 17.7 percent, 12.4 ppts higher than
5.3 percent in the January 2020 LFS. Of the
7.3 million unemployed, most of them were males
(67.0 percent), aged between 25 to 34 years old
(31.6 percent), and have completed junior high
school9 (30.3 percent).
Chart 4. Unemployment and Underemployment Rates in percent
8 “With a job but not at work” are those who have a job or business but are not at work because of temporary illness/injury, on vacation, or other reasons. 9 Per PSA, graduates of junior high school include those high school graduates in the old curriculum.
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Jan2017
Apr Jul Oct Jan2018
Apr Jul Oct Jan2019
Apr Jul Oct Jan2020
Apr
Unemployment (LHS) Underemployment (RHS)
Source: Labor Force Survey (LFS) ‐ PSA
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |9
The underemployment10 rate also rose by 4.1 ppts
to 18.9 percent in Apr 2020 LFS from 14.8 percent
in January 2020 LFS. By hours worked in a week,
the visibly underemployed persons (part‐time
workers) comprised 61.7 percent of the total
underemployed, while the invisibly underemployed
persons (full‐time workers) comprised 38.3 percent.
By sector, underemployed workers in the services
sector comprised 48.8 percent of the total
underemployed, while those in the agriculture
and industry sectors comprised 33.8 percent and
17.4 percent, respectively.
The labor force participation rate (LFPR)11 dropped
to 55.6 percent in April 2020, 6.1 ppts lower than
the 61.7 percent in January 2020 LFPR. This is
attributed to the increased number of household
population 15 years old and over against the
number of workers who were not able to join
the labor force.
Fiscal Sector National Government Cash Operations
The cash operations of the NG yielded a deficit
of ₱474.3 billion in Q2 2020, a reversal from
the year‐ago surplus level of ₱47.6 billion.
The NG’s fiscal deficit for Q2 2020 was equivalent
to ‐11.4 percent of GDP, a reversal from the
1.0 percent deficit ratio registered in Q2 2019
(Table 3).
NG cash operations post larger deficit
Total NG revenues for Q2 2020 reached
₱690.2 billion, 19.7 percent lower than the
Q2 2019 level of ₱859.8 billion. Total revenues
10 Underemployment refers to those employed persons who express the desire to have additional hours of work in their present job, or to have additional job, or to have a new job with longer working hours. Those who work for less than 40 hours in a week are called visibly underemployed persons, while those who worked for more than 40 hours in a week are called invisibly underemployed persons.
as a share of GDP was recorded at 16.6 percent
in Q2 2020, lower than the Q2 2019 share of
17.7 percent. The y‐o‐y decline in revenues was
due mainly to decreased collections by the
Bureau of Customs (BOC) and Bureau of Internal
Revenue (BIR) by 33.1 percent and 18.5 percent,
respectively. Tax collections, which constituted
86.3 percent of total revenues, amounted to
₱595.5 billion, 22.2 percent lower than the
comparable figure a year ago. Non‐tax revenues,
which consisted mainly of collections made by the
Bureau of the Treasury (BTr), slightly decreased by
0.1 percent y‐o‐y to reach ₱94.7 billion.
Meanwhile, total NG expenditures in Q2 2020
reached ₱1,164.5 billion, 43.4 percent higher
than the ₱812.2 billion expenditures in Q2 2019.
Relative to the size of the economy, total NG
disbursements was recorded at 28.1 percent of
GDP in Q2 2020, an increase from the previous
year’s ratio of 16.7 percent. Spending for the
period was primarily on account of COVID‐19‐
related expenditures at the height of the ECQ
imposition, with the implementation of
health‐related measures and social protection
programs to safeguard the public, particularly
the vulnerable sectors.12
Chart 5. Cash Operations of the National Government in billion pesos
Netting out the interest payments from total
expenditures, the resulting primary deficit
amounted to ₱406.5 billion, representing
11 LFPR refers to the percentage of the total number of persons in the labor force to the total population 15 years old and over. The labor force consists of employed and unemployed persons. 12 National Government Disbursement Performance, June 2020, DBM.
‐600
‐500
‐400
‐300
‐200
‐100
0
100
200
300
400
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
Surplus/(Deficit) (RHS)
Revenues (LHS)
Expenditures (LHS)
Source: Bureau of the Treasury (BTr)
10 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
‐9.8 percent of GDP during the review quarter.
In terms of financing the deficit, the NG incurred
net borrowings in Q2 2020 of ₱747.4 billion mostly
coming from domestic sources.
Fiscal discipline has generated sufficient fiscal space
which can be allocated mainly into funding social
protection programs as well as economic stimulus
measures against the widespread and profound
impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic.
Monetary Sector
Prices
Headline inflation. Headline inflation decelerated
to 2.3 percent y‐o‐y in Q2 2020, lower than
3.0 percent and 2.7 percent recorded in the
previous year and quarter, respectively (Table 4).
Headline inflation eases in Q2 2020
This resulted in an average inflation of 2.5 percent
in the first half of 2020, which was within the NG’s
announced target range of 3.0 percent ± 1.0 ppt
for the year.
Core inflation. Likewise, core inflation—which
excludes selected volatile food and energy items
to measure underlying price pressures—also
slowed down to 2.9 percent y‐o‐y in Q2 2020 from
3.4 percent in the same period a year ago and
3.2 percent in the previous quarter. Similarly, the
alternative measures of core inflation were lower
from their quarter‐ and year‐ago rates except for
the net of volatile items which was higher relative
to the previous year.13
13 Trimmed mean, weighted median and net of volatile items are
Table A. Alternative Core Inflation Measures (2012=100) in percent
Food inflation rate in the Philippines was steady at
3.0 percent y‐o‐y in Q2 2020 relative to the
previous year but was higher than the 2.3 percent
recorded in the previous quarter. Key food items
such as rice, corn and sugar, jam, honey, chocolate
and confectionery posted less negative inflation
rates while y‐o‐y inflation for milk, cheese and eggs,
oils and fats, and fruits accelerated in Q2 2020.
Quarantine measures impeding farming and trading
activities and transport problem of food items
exerted upward pressure on food prices during
the quarter. Meanwhile, non‐alcoholic beverages
eased to 2.6 percent during the review quarter
from 5.1 percent in Q2 2019 and 2.8 percent in
Q1 2020.
Chart 6. Food and Non‐Food Inflation in the Philippines (2012=100) in percent
Non‐food inflation rate eased in Q2 2020 to
1.0 percent from 2.6 percent a year ago and
2.1 percent in the previous quarter. Inflation for
housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels
decelerated as the price index of electricity, gas,
and other fuels continued to decline on a y‐o‐y
BSP‐computed alternative measures for core inflation.
Q2 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020
Official Core Inflation 3.4 3.2 2.9
Trimmed Mean 1 2.9 2.2 2.1
Weighted Median 2 3.0 2.6 2.3
Net of Volatile Items 3 3.0 3.8 3.5
1 The trimmed mean represents the average inflation rate of the (weighted) middle 70 percen
in a lowest‐to‐highest ranking of year‐on‐year inflation rates for all CPI components.2 The weighted median represents the middle inflation rate (corresponding to a cumulative
CPI weight of 50 percent) in a lowest‐to‐highest ranking of year‐on‐year inflation rates.3 The net of volatile items method excludes the following items: bread and cereals, vegetable
sugar, jam, honey, chocolate, and confectionery, electricity, gas, fuel and lubricants for
personal transport equipment, and passenger transport by road, which represents
29.5 percent of all items.
Source: PSA, BSP estimates
‐2
‐1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
Headline Inflation
Food Inflation
Non‐Food Inflation
Source: PSA
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |11
basis and at a faster pace relative to the previous
quarters. At the same time, the decline in the
transport inflation following the significant drop in
global oil prices, was tempered slightly by the
higher inflation for transport services from the
tricycle fare hike implemented during the quarter.
In terms of geographical location, inflation rate
in the NCR slowed to 1.5 percent y‐o‐y in Q2 2020
from 3.2 percent in the same period a year ago
and 2.1 percent in the previous quarter (Table 4a)
due largely to lower inflation rates for both
food and non‐food tems. Food inflation in the
NCR slowed down to 3.0 percent in Q2 2020
from 3.6 percent and 3.5 percent a year‐ and
quarter‐ago, respectively. Meanwhile, non‐food
inflation decelerated to 0.5 percent in Q2 2020
from 3.0 percent and 1.2 pecent in the previous
year and quarter, respectively.
Chart 7. Inflation Rate by Region (2012=100)
in percent
Inflation in areas outside NCR (AONCR) fell to
2.5 percent y‐o‐y in Q2 2020 from 2.8 percent a
year‐ and quarter‐ago (Table 4b). Food inflation in
AONCR rose to 3.1 percent during the review
quarter from the year‐ and quarter‐ago’s rates of
2.7 percent and 2.0 percent, respectively, while
non‐food inflation in AONCR eased to 1.1 percent
in Q2 2020 from 2.4 percent in Q2 2019 and
2.5 percent in Q1 2020.
14The indicators used for money supply are: M1 (or narrow money), comprised of currency in circulation and demand deposits; M2, composed of M1 plus savings and time deposits (quasi‐money); M3, consisting of M2 plus deposit substitutes; and M4, consisting of M3 plus foreign currency deposits.
Domestic Liquidity14
Money supply or M3 grew by 14.9 percent y‐o‐y as
of end‐June 2020 to about P13.6 trillion, faster than
the 13.3‐percent expansion as of end‐March 2020
(Table 5).
Domestic liquidity remains ample
The expansion in M3 was driven by the
15.7‐percent y‐o‐y growth in net foreign assets
and the 13.3‐percent growth in domestic claims
in June 2020. Credit extended to the private sector
rose by 7.2 percent, supported by the sustained
expansion in bank lending. Meanwhile, net claims
on the central government grew by 53.2 percent
from a 21.6‐percent expansion as of end‐March
2020.
Table B. Domestic Liquidity (M3)
Net foreign assets (NFA) in peso terms grew by
15.7 percent y‐o‐y in June 2020. The BSP’s NFA
position continued to expand during the quarter,
reflecting the sustained growth of gross
international reserves. The NFA of banks also
expanded as growth in banks’ foreign assets rose
on account of higher interbank loans, deposits with
other banks, and investments in marketable
securities. Meanwhile, the growth of M4, a broader
concept of domestic liquidity comprising broad
money liabilities and foreign currency deposits of
residents, rose to 13.3 percent y‐o‐y in June 2020
from 12.1 percent in March 2020.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
Philippines
National Capital Region
Areas Outside the National Capital Region
Source: PSA
Jun 2020rMar 2020
r Jun 2019 Q‐o‐Q Y‐o‐Y
Domestic Liquidity (M3) 13,561.6 13,127.5 11,801.6 3.3 14.9of which:
Net Foreign Assets 5,481.2 5,149.6 4,738.9 6.4 15.7
Domestic Claims 13,603.1 13,195.9 12,006.7 3.1 13.3of which:
Net Claims on Central Government 2,681.2 2,166.9 1,750.6 23.7 53.2
Claims on the Private Sector 9,427.3 9,503.5 8,793.1 ‐0.8 7.2
rRevi sed
Source: BSP
PARTICULARS
Growth Rates (in percent)
Levels (in bi l l ion pesos )
12 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
Monetary Policy Developments
On 16 April 2020, the BSP announced an off‐cycle
key policy rate reduction by 50 basis points (bps) to
2.75 percent for the overnight reverse repurchase
or RRP facility. Moreover, in the 25‐June monetary
policy meeting, the BSP decided to cut the policy
rate anew by another 50 bps to 2.25 percent. The
interest rates on the overnight lending and deposit
facilities were likewise lowered accordingly.
The BSP reduces policy rate by a cumulative 100 bps in Q2
In deciding to reduce the key policy interest rate
twice during the review quarter, the BSP assessed
the impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic on the
Philippine economy.
Chart 8. BSP Policy Rates
in percent
Latest baseline forecasts during the review period
indicate that inflation could settle near the low end
of the target range of 3.0 percent ± 1 ppt for 2020
up to 2022, with inflation expectations remaining
firmly anchored over the policy horizon.
Meanwhile, the balance of risks to the inflation
outlook leans toward the downside from 2020 up
to 2022 owing largely to the potential impact of a
deeper and more disruptive pandemic on domestic
and global demand conditions.
The BSP observed that domestic economic activity
has slowed with the enforcement of necessary
protocols to slow the spread of the virus in the
country. Equally important, the outlook for global
growth has deteriorated further as considerable
uncertainty still surrounds the extent of the health
crisis. The BSP noted that even as economies begin
to reopen, the global recovery would likely be
protracted and uneven. Hence, there remains a
critical need for continuing measures to bolster
economic activity and support financial conditions,
especially the effective implementation of
interventions to protect human health, boost
agricultural productivity and build infrastructure.
Given these considerations, the BSP decided that
a reduction in the policy rate amidst a benign
inflation environment would help mitigate the
downside risks to growth and boost market
confidence. Even as domestic liquidity dynamics
and market function continue to improve owing
to prior liquidity‐enhancing measures, the BSP
believes that keeping an accommodative stance
will further ease the cost of borrowing and ensure
ample credit and liquidity in the financial system
as the economy transitions toward recovery in
the coming months.
Going forward, the BSP reiterates its support for
the health and fiscal programs already being rolled
out by the National Government in responding to
the needs of Filipino households and businesses.
The BSP remains committed to deploying its full
range of monetary instruments and regulatory
relief measures as needed in fulfillment of its
mandate to promote non‐inflationary and
sustainable growth.
Monetary Operations
As of end‐Q2 2020, total outstanding amount
absorbed in the BSP liquidity facilities stood at
₱1.5 trillion. Bulk of the BSP’s liquidity‐absorbing
monetary operations had been through the
overnight deposit facility (ODF), comprising about
73.3 percent of the total outstanding amount.
Meanwhile, placements in the term deposit facility
(TDF) and RRP facility each made up 13.4 percent.
The BSP calibrated its monetary operations to
ensure adequate short‐term peso liquidity in the
financial system and support the smooth flow of
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Mar2017
Jun Sep Dec Mar2018
Jun Sep Dec Mar2019
Jun Sep Dec Mar2020
Jun
Overnight RRP Rate
Overnight RP Rate
Overnight Deposit Facility Rate
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |13
funding to businesses and households amid the
implementation of quarantine protocols in
response to the COVID‐19 pandemic. To this end,
there were no offerings in the TDF for 1 and 8 April
2020. In addition, beginning 8 April, the daily RRP
volume offering was reduced to P100 billion
(from ₱305 billion). The BSP gradually reopened
the TDF by offering the 7‐day and 14‐day tenors
on 15 April and 10 June, respectively, while the
daily RRP offer volume was increased to
₱200 billion on 10 June.
The reduced TDF operations in Q2 2020 resulted
in lower average weekly offer volume at about
₱131.5 billion for the period 15 April‐24 June
relative to the previous quarter’s ₱151.8 billion.
Meanwhile, average bid‐to‐cover ratios for the
7‐day and 14‐day tenors were higher at 2.4 and
3.1 compared to 1.4 and 1.5, respectively, in
the previous quarter. Similarly, the average
bid‐to‐cover ratio for the daily RRP auction
increased significantly to around 5.2 during
the quarter from 1.7 in Q1 2020.
For the standing facilities, there were a few
availments in the overnight lending facility (OLF)
in the first half of April but at minimal amounts
only. Meanwhile average daily placements in the
ODF in Q2 2020 was at about P560.25 billion,
higher than ₱226.56 billion in the previous quarter.
Domestic Interest Rates
Lower primary market rates in Q2 2020 reflected
high levels of liquidity in the financial system owing
to BSP policy rate cuts and liquidity‐enhancing
measures, as well as strong demand for safe‐haven
government securities (GS) amid market
uncertainty over the economic impact of COVID‐19.
Primary market interest rates decline
The 91‐day, 182‐day and 364‐day Treasury bill
(T‐bill) rates in the primary market fell to
2.52 percent, 2.52 percent and 2.66 percent from
the Q1 2020 rates of 3.16 percent, 3.45 percent and
3.79 percent, respectively (Table 6). The NG also
started to offer a 35‐day security during the quarter
in view of market preference for shorter‐tenors,
which fetched a yield of 2.10 percent.
Chart 9. Treasury Bill Rates in percent
Likewise, interest rates in the secondary market
declined in end‐June 2020 relative to end‐March
2020, indicating ample liquidity conditions and
stable market sentiment during the quarantine
period following the implementation of BSP
liquidity‐enhancing measures.
Yields in the secondary market GS fall across the board
Yields across all GS maturities fell by a range of
138.7 bps (3‐month) to 230 bps (2‐year).
Chart 10. Yield Curve of Government Securities in percent
Interest rates on the 7‐day and 14‐day TDFs
declined in Q2 2020 by 168.99 bps and 173.35 bps
to settle at 2.28 percent and 2.25 percent,
respectively.
Rates in the BSP’s term deposit facility decline
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
91‐day T‐bill Rate
182‐day T‐bill Rate
364‐day T‐bill Rate
Source: BTr
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
3Mo 6Mo 1Yr 2Yr 3yr 4Yr 5Yr 7Yr 10Yr 20Yr 25Yr
Q2 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020
Source: BSP
14 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
This reflected BSP policy rate cuts during the
quarter as well as ample liquidity in the financial
system. The BSP 28‐day TDF facility remained close
to help ensure ample liquidity and stable funding
conditions amid the prolonged enforcement of
community quarantine measures.
The differentials (gross and net of tax) between
the domestic and US interest rates generally
widened in Q2 2020 relative to Q1 2020.
Interest rate differentials widen
The average RP 91‐day T‐bill, the US 90‐day London
Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and the US 90‐day
T‐bill rates fell by 66.51 bps to 2.47 percent,
93.15 bps to 0.60 percent and 92.84 bps to
0.15 percent, respectively.
Chart 11. Interest Rate Differentials quarterly averages; in basis points
The wider differential, despite the policy rate cuts
by the BSP during the quarter, reflected the larger
decline in foreign interest rates as the US Fed hit
the zero‐lower bound amid growing concerns on
the growth prospects of the US as domestic
COVID‐19 cases continued to surge.
The positive differential between the BSP's policy
interest rate (overnight borrowing or RRP rate) and
the US Federal Funds target rate decreased to 200
bps as of end‐June 2020, given the 100‐bp
cumulative cut in the BSP policy rate against the
unchanged US Federal Funds target rate.
Chart 12. BSP RRP Rate and US Federal Funds Target Rate in percent
Compared to its March 2020 level, the risk‐adjusted
spread between the two policy rates widened to
44 bps in June 2020, with a 126‐bp decline in risk
premium (measured as the difference between
the 10‐year ROP and the 10‐year US note). The risk
premium declined following the 132‐bp decrease
in the yield of the 10‐year ROP note and the 6‐bp
decline in the yield of 10‐year US Treasury note.
Chart 13. Risk‐Adjusted Differentials in basis points
‐50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
RP 91‐day T‐bill vs. US 90‐day LIBOR (before tax) RP 91‐day T‐bill vs. US 90‐day T‐bill (before tax)
RP 91‐day T‐bill vs. US 90‐day LIBOR (after tax) RP 91‐day T‐bill vs. US 90‐day T‐bill (after tax)
‐1
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1
2
3
4
5
6
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Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
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Q2
BSP RRP Rate
US Federal Funds Target Rate
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |15
Financial Sector
Banking System
The Philippine banking system continued to show
resilience and stability even as the country’s
economic activities and financial transactions were
severely limited by the disruption caused by the
pandemic and quarantine measures.
Banking system sustains growth in assets and deposits
In Q2 2020, banks’ balance sheets exhibited
sustained annual growth in assets and deposits,
though mildly subdued with respect to end‐March
2020 levels. At the same time, asset quality
remained steady while capital adequacy ratios
stayed above international standards. Banks
maintained dominance in the financial sector, with
universal and commercial banks (U/KBs) accounting
for about 92.4 percent of total banks’ resources.
In terms of the number of head offices and
branches/agencies, non‐bank financial
intermediaries have the widest physical network,
consisting mainly of pawnshops.
Performance of the Banking System
Market Size
The number of banking institutions (head offices) as
of end‐June 2020 decreased to 541 offices from 554
a year ago and 542 a quarter ago (Table 7).
Banks’ operating network continues to expand
The banks’ head offices are comprised of 46 U/KBs,
48 thrift banks (TBs), and 447 rural banks (RBs). This
indicated continued consolidation of banks.
15 GDP as of end‐June 2020.
Chart 14. Number of Banking Institutions
During the same period, the operating network
(head offices and branches/agencies) of the
banking system expanded to 12,912 offices from
12,543 offices a year ago and 12,905 offices a
quarter ago.
The total resources of the banking system reached
₱19.1 trillion as of end‐June 2020. This was
8.5 percent and 1.6 percent higher relative to the
year‐ and quarter‐ago levels (Table 8). As a percent
of GDP, total resources stood at 101.3 percent.15
Chart 15. Total Resources of the Banking System
levels in trillion pesos; share in percent
Savings Mobilization
As of end‐June 2020, banks’ total deposits reached
P11.2 trillion, higher than the year‐ago level by
12.4 percent and the quarter‐ago level by
2.6 percent.16
Bank deposits sustain growth
16 This refers to the total peso‐denominated deposits of the banking system.
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Mar2017
Jun Sep Dec Mar2018
Jun Sep Dec Mar2019
Jun Sep Dec Mar2020
Jun
Universal and Commercial Banks Thrift Banks Rural Banks
Source: BSP
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
101
103
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
Mar2017
Jun Sep Dec Mar2018
Jun Sep Dec Mar2019
Jun Sep Dec Mar2020
Jun
Total Resources (LHS)
as % of GDP (RHS)
Source: BSP
16 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
For the same period, savings, demand and
time deposits increased, quarter‐on‐quarter (q‐o‐q),
by 5.0 percent, 0.6 percent and 0.6 percent,
respectively. On the other hand, foreign‐currency
deposits (FCDs) owned by residents declined
slightly, q‐o‐q, by 0.5 percent to ₱2.1 trillion.17
Chart 16. Deposit Liabilities of Banks in trillion pesos
Bank Lending Operations
Outstanding loans of universal and commercial
banks, net of RRP placements with the BSP, grew,
y‐o‐y, by 9.6 percent in June 2020.18
Bank lending posts single-digit growth in Q2
Loans for production activities grew by 8.3 percent
during the same period. The increase in
production loans was driven primarily by lending
to the following sectors: real estate activities
(16.8 percent); financial and insurance activities
(10.6 percent); information and communication
(23.7 percent); electricity, gas, steam and air
conditioning supply (5.4 percent); and
transportation and storage (11.0 percent).
Bank lending to other sectors also increased
during the month, except for mining and
quarrying (‐2.8 percent), professional, scientific,
and technical services (‐5.5 percent), and
manufacturing (‐0.7 percent).
17 FCD‐Residents, along with M3, forms part of a money supply measure called M4. Meanwhile, M3 consists of savings deposits, time deposits, demand deposits, currency in circulation, and deposit substitutes. 18 The slowdown in bank lending reflects in part the weak domestic economic prospects and constrained economic activity following the imposition of quarantine measures to contain the
Chart 17. Loans Outstanding of Commercial Banks (Gross of RRPs) in trillion pesos
Similarly, loans for consumption of households,
still reeling from the partial mobility restrictions
and weak consumer confidence, grew y‐o‐y
at a slower pace of 26.7 percent in June from
30.2 percent in May, following slowdown in credit
card, motor vehicle, and salary‐based general
purpose consumption loans during the month.
Credit Card Receivables
The credit card receivables (CCRs) of the
banking system as of end‐March 2020 increased
by 47.6 percent to ₱446.5 billion, y‐o‐y, and by
20.7 percent, q‐o‐q.
Credit card receivables remain on the uptrend in end-March
The ratio of CCRs to the total loan portfolio (TLP)
increased to 4.2 percent as of end‐March 2020
relative to the previous quarter’s and year’s ratios
of 3.5 percent and 3.2 percent, respectively. In
terms of loan quality, the ratio of non‐performing
CCRs to total CCRs remained at 5.3 percent relative
to the quarter‐ago ratio and improved slightly from
5.6 percent a year ago.
Motor Vehicle Loans19
As of end‐March 2020, the banking system’s motor
vehicle loans (MVLs) increased to ₱597.1 billion,
COVID‐19 outbreak. In this regard, the BSP continues to adopt measures to ensure the flow of credit to affected businesses and households, including a further reduction in the monetary policy rate as well as a cut in the reserve requirement ratios of thrift and rural/cooperative banks. 19 Formerly “Auto Loans”, renamed effective September 2015.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Mar2017
Jun Sep Dec Mar2018
Jun Sep Dec Mar2019
Jun Sep Dec Mar2020
Jun
Demand Savings Time
Source: BSP
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Mar2017
Jun Sep Dec Mar2018
Jun Sep Dec Mar2019
Jun Sep Dec Mar2020
Jun
Source: BSP
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |17
registering a y‐o‐y growth of 11.9 percent and a
q‐o‐q growth of 2.3 percent.
Vehicle loans post moderate growth in end-March
Demand for passenger cars and commercial
vehicles continued its growth, albeit moderately,
as the ECQ was lifted in some parts of the country.
Further, introduction of new and refreshed models,
appropriate product mix, as well as flexible
financing schemes from banks and other financing
firms helped sustain the rise in vehicle purchases.
The share of total MVLs to TLP was unchanged at
5.6 percent relative to the year‐ago ratio increased
marginally compared to the quarter‐ago ratio of
5.5 percent. In terms of loan quality, the ratio of
non‐performing MVLs to total MVLs grew slightly
to 4.5 from the 3.8 percent and 4.0 percent posted
a year and a quarter ago.
Salary‐Based General‐Purpose Consumption
Loans20
The banking system’s Salary‐Based General‐Purpose
Consumption Loans (SBGPCL) rose to ₱160.4 billion
as of end‐March 2020, 6.4 percent and 3.1 percent
higher than the year‐ and quarter‐ago level.21
Salary loans increase as of end-March
The share of total SBGPCLs to TLP declined slightly
to 1.5 percent relative to the year‐ago ratio of
1.6 percent but was unchanged relative to the
quarter‐ago ratio. In terms of loan quality, the
ratio of non‐performing SBGPCLs to total SBGPCLs
improved to 6.0 percent from the previous year’s
6.2 percent but increased slightly from the previous
quarter’s 5.7 percent.
20 Formerly “Salary Loans” 21 Data collection started with June 2014 data. 22 The regulatory relief package include the following, among others: (1) exclude exposure of affected borrowers from the computation of the past due loan ratios; waiver of BSP documentary requirements for restructured loans, and (2) allow
Residential Real Estate Loans
As of end‐March 2020, the total residential real
estate loans (RRELs) of the banking system reached
₱772.3 billion, growing by 11.8 percent, y‐o‐y, and
by 1.7 percent, q‐o‐q.
Real estate loans continue to expand in end-March
Sustained household investments in residential
properties and the increase in the number of
projects unveiled by real estate developers
supported the growth in real estate purchases
during the review period. Total RRELs to TLP grew
slightly to 7.3 percent relative to the year‐ and
quarter‐ago ratio of 7.2 percent. In terms of loan
quality, non‐performing RRELs to total RRELs
increased slightly to 3.5 percent from 2.8 percent
and 3.1 percent, recorded a year and a quarter ago,
respectively.
Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy
The Philippine banking system’s Gross
Non‐Performing Loan (GNPL) ratio rose to
2.5 percent as of end‐June 2020 from the
year‐ and quarter‐ ago ratios of 2.1 percent and
2.2 percent, respectively (Table 9). Amid the
ongoing pandemic, GNPL ratio remained below its
pre‐Asian crisis level of 3.5 percent on the back of
banks’ initiatives to improve their asset quality
along with timely and prudent lending
regulations.22,23
Improved asset quality indicates banks remain healthy
Likewise, the net non‐performing loan (NNPL) ratio
increased to 1.3 percent as of end‐June 2020
relative to the year‐ and quarter‐ ago ratio of
1.1 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively.
staggered booking of allowance for credit losses for loans extended to affected borrowers for a maximum period of five years, subject to approval of the BSP (per BSP Memorandum No. M‐2020‐008). 23 The 3.5 percent NPL ratio was based on the pre‐2013 definition.
18 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
Chart 18. Ratio of Gross NPLs and Net NPLs to Total Loans of the Banking System
In computing for the NNPLs, specific allowances
for credit losses on NPLs are deducted from the
GNPLs. Said allowances increased to ₱133.3 billion
as of end‐June 2020 from ₱99.5 billion a year ago
and P116.9 billion a quarter ago.24
Compared with regional counterparts, the
Philippine banking system’s GNPL ratio of
2.5 percent was higher with respect to those of
Malaysia (0.9 percent) and South Korea
(0.7 percent) but was lower than those of Indonesia
(2.9 percent) and Thailand (3.0 percent).25
The loan exposures of banks remain adequately
covered as NPL coverage ratio of the banking
system rose to 109.9 percent as of end‐June 2020
from 93.3 percent a year ago and 91.3 percent a
quarter ago.
The capital adequacy ratio (CAR) of U/KBs at
end‐December 2019, on solo basis, decreased
marginally to 15.4 percent from 15.6 percent as
of end‐September 2019. Meanwhile, on a
consolidated basis, CAR of U/KBs remained
unchanged at 16.0 percent relative to the previous
quarter. These figures remained well above the
BSP’s regulatory threshold of 10.0 percent and
international standard of 8.0 percent.
24 This type of provisioning applies to loan accounts classified under loans especially mentioned (LEM), substandard‐secured loans, substandard‐unsecured loans, doubtful accounts and loans considered as loss accounts. 25 Sources: Malaysia (Banking System’s Ratio of net impaired loans to net total loans, June 2020); South Korea (Domestic Banks’ Substandard or Below Loans [SBLs] ratio, June 2020); Indonesia (Commercial Banks’ Nonperforming Loans to Gross
UKBs’ CAR remains well above international and regulatory standards
The CAR of Philippine U/KBs, on consolidated basis,
was higher than that of South Korea (14.5 percent)
but lower than those of Malaysia (17.7 percent),
Thailand (19.2 percent) and Indonesia
(22.5 percent).26
Chart 19. Capital Adequacy Ratio of Universal and Commercial Banks in percent
Banking Policies
Banking policies implemented during the
quarter were aimed at enhancing/providing
guidelines/regulations on the following:
(1) alternative compliance with the reserve
requirements of banks and non‐bank financial
institutions with quasi‐banking functions (NBQBs);
(2) treasury activities of BSP‐Supervised Financial
Institutions (BSFIs); (3) foreign currency deposit
system; (4) sustainable financial framework; and
(5) risk‐based capital adequacy frameworks for
banks/quasi‐banks (QBs) (Annex A).
Loans Ratio, June 2020); and Thailand (Total Commercial Banks’ Gross NPL ratio, December 2019). 26 Sources: South Korea (Domestic Banks’ Total Capital Ratio, June 2020); Malaysia (Banking System’s Total Capital Ratio, June 2020); Thailand (Commercial Banks’ Capital Funds Percentage of Risk Assets, June 2020); and Indonesia (Commercial Banks‘ Regulatory Capital to Risk‐Weighted Assets Ratio, June 2020).
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
Mar2017
Jun Sep Dec Mar2018
Jun Sep Dec Mar2019
Jun Sep Dec Mar2020
Jun
Gross NPLs/Total Loans (LHS)
Net NPLs/Total Loans (RHS)
Source: BSP
13
14
15
16
17
18
Mar2017
Jun Sep Dec Mar2018
Jun Sep Dec Mar2019
Jun Sep Dec
Solo Basis
Consolidated Basis
Source: BSP
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |19
Capital Market Reforms
During the second quarter, capital market policies
were focused on regulatory and operational relief
measures amidst the pandemic. Specifically, the
BSP, the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE), and
the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
implemented policies focused on extending
financial relief to borrowers, ensuring sufficient
liquidity in the financial system, promoting
continued access to financial services, managing
extreme market volatility, and encouraging the
use of e‐payment while strengthening cybersecurity
(Annex B).
Stock Market
The Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) declined
by 15.2 percent quarter‐on‐quarter to average
5,832.17 index points in Q2 2020. Trading in the
equities market remained relatively volatile due to
expectations of the negative impact of the COVID‐
19 pandemic on the economy.
Average PSEi declines in Q2 2020
The BSP’s decision to provide liquidity to stimulate
economic activity and the gradual easing of the
government’s quarantine measures in some
parts of the country improved investor sentiment.
Subsequently, the main index closed at
6,207.72 index points in end‐June, about
16.7 percent higher relative to the closing index
in end‐March of 5,321.23 index points.
During the review period, expectations of economic
losses following the extension of the ECQ in most
parts of Luzon until May 15 (e.g., the contraction in
the Philippines’ manufacturing Purchasing
27 The IMF projected that the Philippine economy will contract by 3.6 percent from April’s forecast of a 0.6 percent growth. The figure is worse than the World Bank’s 1.9 percent contraction estimate and the government’s estimate of 2.0‐3.4 percent decline. 28 Global crude oil prices were dragged down by a supply glut and dropping demand for crude oil due to the coronavirus pandemic. 29 On 15 June, tension between India and China escalated following the violent clash between Indian and Chinese troops in a disputed border.
Managers’ Index (PMI) data (in April and May) and
the decline in Philippine GDP in Q1 2020 that ended
the country’s uninterrupted 21‐year growth streak);
the IMF’s negative outlook for the Philippine
economy;27 and the BSP’s announcement that
remittances from overseas Filipino workers may
drop 5 percent this year negatively affected trading
in the Philippine stock market.
Chart 20. Average PSEi in index points
Moreover, external developments such as the sharp
drop in oil prices;28 lingering trade tensions
between the US and China; renewed conflict
between China and India;29 the US Fed’s negative
assessment of US economic prospects;30 and
concerns over a “second wave” of COVID‐19
infections across the globe31 also weighed on the
main index.
The negative performance of the domestic stock
market was tempered by the following: the BSP’s
decision to inject liquidity into the economy
through cuts in policy rates and reduction in banks’
reserve requirement ratio (RRR) to spur economic
activity; the easing of domestic inflation; the
Philippine government’s openness to public‐private
partnerships (PPP) in infrastructure projects and
it’s implementation of fiscal stimulus packages;
the easing of quarantine measures starting June
that allowed some businesses to reopen;32 news
30 The US Federal Reserve projected a 6.5 percent decline in the GDP of the US this year. 31 On 29 June, data from the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center showed that about 10.15 million COVID‐19 cases have been recorded across the world. The United States and Brazil are leading other nations in the number of cases with 2.55 million and 1.34 million cases, respectively. 32 On 28 May, President Duterte announced that Metro Manila and nearby cities would be placed under GCQ starting 1 June to gradually reopen the economy after more than two months of strict quarantine measures that halted economic activity.
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
Source: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE), BSP
20 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
of potential COVID‐19 vaccines; and Merry Mart
Consumer Corporation’s successful debut at the
PSE. In addition, relaxing lockdown measures
abroad (e.g., US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain,
Austria, Denmark) and the US Fed’s announcement
of plans to begin its corporate bond‐buying
program33 lifted trading in the local stock market.
Mirroring the gradual uptick in the benchmark
index, total capitalization in the Philippine stock
market went up from ₱12.04 trillion in end‐March
2020 to reach ₱13.17 trillion in end‐June 2020. The
price‐earnings (P/E) ratio of listed firms similarly
improved from 12.6x in end‐March to reach 20.2x
in end‐June. In contrast, foreign investors continued
to withdraw from the local stock market as they
posted net sales of ₱36.6 billion in Q2 2020 from a
₱32.3‐billion net sales in the preceding quarter.
Bond Market
Local Currency Bond Market Size and Composition34
Local currency (LCY) bonds issued by both
the public and private sectors amounted to
₱783.8 billion in the second quarter of 2020.
This was less than the ₱848.7 billion registered
in the previous quarter but 70.1 percent higher
than the ₱460.7 billion recorded in the same
period last year.
LCY bond issuances of the private sector decrease
The NG‐issued T‐bills, Fixed‐Rate Treasury bonds
(FRTBs) and Benchmark bonds reached a total of
₱706.1 billion to increase by 5.4 percent from its
Q1 2020 level. The increase in government
issuances reflects the NG’s continuous need to
counter the impact of the COVID‐19 outbreak in the
country. The NG took advantage of the domestic
liquidity due to the reduced reserve requirement
Meanwhile, the rest of the country was placed under modified general quarantine at the same time. 33 The Federal Reserve announced on 15 June that it will start buying up to $250 billion corporate bonds through the secondary market corporate credit facility to assist small and medium‐sized businesses survive the COVID‐19 pandemic.
ratio (RRR) and enhanced liquidity measures
implemented by the BSP during the quarter.
Meanwhile, the private sector issuance of LCY
bonds amounted to ₱77.7 billion, 56.5 percent
lower than that in the previous quarter and
62.4 percent lower than that in the previous year.
Local firms were less aggressive in tapping the
bond market as business disruptions and prospects
of a decline in business revenues brought about
by the COVID‐19 pandemic started to relatively
affect corporates’ borrowing capacities.
Chart 21. LCY Bond Issuances in billion pesos
In terms of market share, issuances from the public
sector comprised 90.1 percent share of the total
bond issuances while the private sector took the
remaining 9.9 percent. Bonds issued by the BTr
accounted for the entire public sector issuance
while issuers from the private sector came from
banks and holding companies.
Chart 22. LCY Bond Issuances as percent of market share; Q2 2020
34This refers to the peso‐denominated bond issuances by both public and private sectors. Public sector issuances of LCY bonds include issuances in the primary market and rollovers of maturing series which were issued by the BTr and Government Owned‐ and Controlled‐ Corporations (GOCCs).
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
Private Sector Public Sector
Source: BTr, Bloomberg, Staff Calculation
Public Sector90.1%
Private Sector9.9%
Source: BTr, Bloomberg, Staff Calculation
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |21
Primary Market35
In the primary auctions conducted for both
T‐bills and Treasury Bonds (T‐bonds), the NG
offered a total of ₱572.0 billion short‐ and
long‐term debt securities. Demand was robust as
tenders were oversubscribed by about 3.5 times.
The market showed preference for short‐term
dated debt securities as tenders for T‐bills reached
P1,395.8 billion as against the NG’s offering of
P392.0 billion. Such tenders were higher than the
tenders for T‐bonds, which reached ₱598.5 billion
against the P180.0 billion offering. Relatively higher
demand for short‐term debt indicates investors’
risk‐averse attitude amid the uncertain and
challenging market environment.
The NG fully awards auction offerings
The NG fully awarded the oversubscribed
₱572.0 billion offering of GS (combined offerings
for T‐bills and T‐bonds) in Q2 2020 while rejecting
tenders whose bid rates were found to be relatively
higher than NG’s preferred rates.
Secondary Market
Trading of both government and private corporate
bonds at the secondary market increased by
1.4 percent to ₱1,782.5 billion from ₱1,757.5 billion
registered in the previous quarter. Similarly, on a
y‐o‐y basis, trading in the secondary market also
increased by 31.1 percent.
Trading increases in the secondary market
Trading was dominated mostly by Fixed‐Income
Treasury Notes (FXTNs) and Retail Treasury Bonds
(RTBs) which accounted for 56.9 percent and
22.1 percent, respectively, of the total trading.
Meanwhile, the share of corporate bonds traded
at the Philippine Dealing and Exchange Corporation
(PDEx) remained marginal at 0.8 percent.
35 The discussion includes primary market for government issuances only.
Chart 23. Secondary Market Volume in billion pesos
The volume of corporate bonds traded at the
exchange also dropped, from ₱18.8 billion in
Q1 to ₱13.9 billion in Q2, on the back of lower
corporate earnings due to community lockdowns
that led to disruptions in the operations of many
businesses in the second quarter. The overall slight
increase in activity at the secondary market (q‐o‐q)
partly reflected the build‐up of cautious optimism
among investors.
Foreign Currency Bond Market
During the quarter, the government issued in
the offshore market US$2.35 billion worth of
new 10‐year and 25‐year global bonds to support
its budgetary needs. The NG took advantage of
the strong demand and low rates from international
investors.36
The NG taps the international bond market in sourcing funds
Meanwhile, for the private sector, most firms took
advantage of the ample domestic liquidity as they
relied more on domestic financing sources than
on foreign creditors, thereby limiting exposure to
foreign exchange risks. Only two holding companies
issued dollar bonds amounting to a total of
US$700 million in June.
36 https://www.treasury.gov.ph/?p=35452
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
Source: Philippine Dealing and Exchange Corporation (PDEx)
22 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
Credit Risk Assessment
On 07 May 2020, Fitch Ratings has affirmed the
Philippines’ rating at ‘BBB’ and changed the outlook
to "stable" from "positive". A “stable” outlook
indicates that the Philippines’ rating will likely be
maintained over the next 18‐24 months. On the
other hand, on 29 May 2020, S&P also affirmed
Philippines’ ‘BBB+’ rating, and “stable” outlook as
the world continues to deal with the COVID‐19
pandemic and its perceived ability to bounce back
from the crisis.
Credit rating agencies affirm PH ratings amid pandemic
Both Fitch Ratings and S&P outlook recognized the
Philippines’s sound macroeconomic fundamentals
going into the COVID‐19 pandemic. Fitch’s latest
assessment stressed that the county has built
buffers that helped mitigate the impact of the
economy while S&P recognized that the country
was able to implement massive relief response
without fear of a debt blowout.
The affirmation of the ‘BBB+’ rating by S&P is a
notch away from the minimum score within the “A”
territory— and the stable outlook, at this time of
crisis, is a vote of confidence which comes amid a
wave of credit rating downgrades and negative
outlook revisions worldwide as the pandemic
wreaks havoc on productivity of economies.
Further, S&P said the affirmation of the Philippines’
credit rating reflects its “expectations that the
economy will continue to achieve above‐average
growth over the medium term, which will drive
constructive development outcomes and underpin
broader credit metrics.”
On 11 June 2020 Japan Credit Rating Agency (JCRA)
upgraded the Philippines’ credit rating by a notch
from BBB+ rating to “A‐“. JCRA cited the country’s
resilience amid a pandemic that has slowed down
growth, impaired fiscal positions and hurt credit
ratings of economies across the globe. The JCRA
outlook upgrade was a result of its assessment that
the impact of the COVID‐19 crisis on the domestic
economy and the government’s fiscal standing will
be temporary, given the strong fundamentals going
into the crisis, the massive relief measures, as well
as the pursuit of important legislation, such as the
CREATE Act under the Comprehensive Tax Reform
Program (CTRP). JCRA assigned a “stable” outlook
on the new rating, which indicates that the “A‐”
rating will be maintained over the near term.
Bond spreads
In April and May, debt spreads narrowed as policy
measures and regulatory reliefs were implemented
to mitigate the adverse impact of COVID‐related
risks on the economy and the financial markets.
Debt spreads narrow
In June, debt spreads continued to narrow over the
government’s decision to lift the modified
enhanced community quarantine in major parts of
the country. The lifting of the quarantine allowed
businesses to resume operations.
As of 30 June 2020, the extra yield investors
demanded to own Philippine sovereign debt over
US Treasuries or the Emerging Market Bond Index
Global (EMBIG) Philippines spread stood at 164
basis points (bps) from the end‐March level of 222
bps.
Chart 24. Emerging Market Bond Index Global Spreads of Selected ASEAN Countries in basis points
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
EMBIG Philippines
EMBIG Indonesia
EMBIG Malaysia
Source: Bloomberg
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |23
Similarly, the country’s 5‐year sovereign credit
default swap (CDS) spread decreased to 65 bps
from its end‐March level of 110 bps. Against other
neighboring economies, the Philippine CDS spread
was narrower than Malaysia’s 72 bps and
Indonesia’s 131 bps but wider than Thailand’s 43
bps and Korea’s 27 bps spreads.
Chart 25. 5‐Year CDS Spreads of Selected ASEAN Countries in basis points
Payments and Settlements System37
In Q2 2020, the total number of transactions
settled and processed in the Philippine Payments
and Settlements System (PhilPaSS) reached
307,676 transactions, 1.1 percent lower than the
previous quarter’s level of 311,247 transactions.
The decline in the number of transactions was
due mainly to the q‐o‐q decrease in GS trades
(‐38.8 percent) and peso leg of peso/US trades
(‐36.7 percent).
PhilPass transactions increase in value while volume decline slightly
On the other hand, the total value of transactions
rose by 53.5 percent to reach ₱147.6 trillion from
the quarter‐ago level of ₱96.1 trillion. The increase
in the value of transactions was mainly brought
about by monetary operations transactions
(85.0 percent), government collections through
interbank transactions (29.4 percent), and
automatic clearing house transactions
(25.5 percent). In particular, PESONet and
37 Starting 1 April 2014, the volume and value of transactions exclude payment transfers to BSP Payments Unit.
Instapay transactions grew by 25.9 percent
and 24.7 percent, respectively.
Table C. PhilPaSS Transactions
During the quarter, interbank transactions,
Philippine peso/US dollar trades (peso leg)
transactions, monetary operations transactions,
and GS trades jointly accounted for 86.2 percent
of the total volume of transactions. In terms of
value, monetary operations transactions, interbank
dealings, and Philippine peso/US dollar trades (peso
leg) transactions collectively made up 96.0 percent
of the total value of transactions.
On a y‐o‐y basis, both the volume and value
of transactions increased by 2.1 percent and
125.2 percent, respectively.
Meanwhile, total revenue derived from PhilPaSS
operations reached ₱0.02 million in Q2 2020,
100.0 percent lower than both the quarter‐ago
level and year‐ago level of ₱49.6 million and
₱43.9 million, respectively, as the BSP waived the
fees for fund transfer transactions made through
the PhilPaSS during the quarantine period.
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
Philippines
Thailand
Malaysia
Korea
Source: Bloomberg
Q2 Q1 Q2 Q‐o‐Q Y‐o‐Y
Volume 301,403 311,247 307,676 ‐1.1 2.1
Value 65.55 96.14 147.62 53.5 125.2
(in tri l l ion pesos)
Transaction Fees 43.90 49.55 0.02 ‐100.0 ‐100.0
(in mil l ion pesos)
Source: Payment and Settlements Office, BSP
Growth Rates (in percent)
2019 2020
24 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
External Sector
Balance of Payments
The country’s balance of payments (BOP) position
recorded a higher surplus of US$4.2 billion in
Q2 2020 from the US$991 million posted in the
same quarter last year (Table 11).38
Q2 2020 BOP position registers higher surplus
The BOP position rose significantly due to the
reversal in the current account to a surplus,
following a substantial reduction in the trade in
goods deficit. The sluggish performance of both
imports and exports of goods reflected the adverse
impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic, including the
disruptions in the global demand and supply chains.
Meanwhile, the financial account reversed to net
outflows mainly on account of the turnaround of
portfolio investments to net outflows. This,
however, was tempered by the decline in net
outflows of other investments and the increase
in net inflows of direct investments.
Table D. Balance of Payments
in million US$
Current Account. The current account registered a
surplus of US$4.4 billion in Q2 2020, a reversal from
the US$931 million deficit posted in Q2 2019.
38 The overall BOP position was computed based on final data on the country’s Gross International Reserves (GIR). However, the balances of the current, capital, and financial accounts and their
Current account reverses to a surplus
This outcome stemmed mainly from the lower
trade in goods deficit, which more than offset the
decline in net receipts of trade in services, and
primary and secondary income.
Trade‐in‐Goods. The trade‐in‐goods account
registered a deficit of US$5.4 billion in Q2 2020,
55.2 percent lower than US$12.1 billion deficit in
the same quarter a year ago.
Trade-in-goods account deficit narrows
The narrowing of the trade‐in‐goods gap resulted
from the greater decline in goods imports of
43.6 percent vis‐a‐vis the decrease in goods exports
of 33.3 percent.
Exports of Goods. Exports of goods declined to
US$9.1 billion in Q2 2020 from US$13.6 billion in
Q2 2019, as all major commodity groups, except
petroleum products, registered lower shipments
during the quarter.
Exports of goods post double-digit decline
Demand from the country’s major trading partners,
particularly the United States (US), Japan, and
China, slowed down as external demand was
hampered in part by global economic uncertainty as
well as bottlenecks in supply chains, following entry
restrictions imposed on incoming goods to stem the
spread of the COVID‐19 pandemic. Contributing
largely to the decline in total exports of goods were
manufactures, registering a 37.5 percent decrease.
In particular, export shipments of electronic
products and other electronics fell by 32.5 percent
and 59.1 percent, respectively, specifically
components/devices (semiconductors), electronic
data processing, and communication/radar. Exports
components are preliminary as these were based on partial and preliminary data and estimates, considering the operational constraints of our data sources amid the community quarantine.
Q2 2019 Q2 2020
‐931 4,382
22 8
‐278 152
1,622 ‐62
991 4,177Overall BOP **
Net Unclassified Items
Current Account
Capital Account
Financial Account*
* Posit ive balance in the f inancial account indicates net outf lows while a
negative balance indicates net inf lows.
** The overall BOP posit ion, therefore, is equal to the current account plus
the capital account minus the f inancial account plus net unclassif ied items.
Details may not add up due to rouding
Source: BSP
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |25
of other manufactures such as machinery and
transport equipment, chemicals, travel goods and
handbags, and garments also declined. Similarly,
exports of fruits and vegetables, mineral products
and coconut products decreased.
Meanwhile, exports of petroleum products
increased markedly by 713.1 percent to reach
US$72 million in Q2 2020 on account of higher
shipments of other motor spirit, unleaded other
motor spirit, unleaded other petroleum oils and
oils obtained from bituminous minerals, other
than crude.
Chart 26. Exports by Major Commodity Group percent share, Q2 2020
Imports of Goods. Imports of goods dropped by
43.6 percent to US$14.5 billion in Q2 2020 from
US$25.8 billion in the same quarter a year ago. All
major commodity groups posted declines as most
of the economic activities nationwide halted with
the implementation of the lockdown during most
part of the quarter.
Imports of goods post substantial contraction
Imports of capital goods decreased by 47.2 percent
to US$4.1 billion on account largely of lower
purchases of telecommunication equipment and
electrical machinery (by 43.7 percent), power
generating and specialized machines (by
48.4 percent) and land transport equipment,
excluding passenger cars and motorized cycle (by
79.2 percent). Imports of raw materials and
39 Based on data from the Department of Energy, the average price of Dubai crude oil in Q2 2020 declined to US$30.55/barrel
intermediate goods declined by 31.9 percent to
US$6.2 billion owing primarily to the contraction in
importation of: a) manufactured goods, particularly
iron and steel, non‐metallic mineral manufactures
and metal products; and b) chemicals, mostly
artificial resins and chemical compounds.
Imports of mineral fuels and lubricants dropped by
74.8 percent to US$912 million brought about by
lower imports of petroleum crude and other
products. In particular, imports of petroleum crude
fell by 83.5 percent to US$103 million following
lower import volume and decline in the world
market price of petroleum crude.39
Imports of consumer goods also decreased by
46.1 percent to US$2.5 billion due to lower
purchases of passenger cars and motorized cycle
(82.7 percent) and miscellaneous manufactures
(by 60 percent) as well as food and live animals
chiefly for food (by 14.6 percent).
Chart 27. Imports by Major Commodity Group percent share, Q1 2020
Trade‐in‐Services. Net receipts of trade in services
decreased by 19.5 percent to US$2.7 billion in
Q2 2020 from US$3.3 billion in Q2 2019.
Trade-in-services account posts lower net receipts
The decline was due to higher net payments of
travel (77.6 percent) and telecommunication
services (2,102.6 percent) combined with lower
net receipts of computer (17.1 percent) and
from US$67.36/barrel in Q2 2019.
26 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
manufacturing services (17.2 percent), as well as
technical, trade‐related, and other business services
(7.3 percent).40 These developments were partly
offset by lower net payments in insurance and
pension services (38.3 percent), transport services
(21.2 percent) and charges for the use of
intellectual property (44.3 percent).
Primary Income. The primary income account
recorded net receipts of US$1 billion in Q2 2020,
14.3 percent lower than the US$1.2 billion net
receipts in the same quarter last year.
Net receipts of primary income fall
This outcome stemmed from decreased net
compensation inflows from resident overseas
Filipino (OF) workers, which fell by 12 percent to
US$1.9 billion along with lower interest receipts
on reserve assets (39.6 percent) and higher net
payments of dividends to foreign direct investors
(14.3 percent). These developments were partly
mitigated by lower dividends paid by private
corporates to foreign portfolio investors
(65.9 percent) during the quarter.
Secondary Income. Net receipts in the secondary
income account dropped to US$6.1 billion in the
second quarter of 2020.
Net receipts of secondary income decrease
The 8.5 percent shortfall was on account primarily
of the 9.3 percent decline in non‐resident OF
workers' remittances, which amounted to
US$5.6 billion during the quarter.
Capital Account. Net receipts in the capital account
decreased to US$8 million in Q2 2020 from
US$22 million in Q2 2019.
40 “Other business services” is comprised largely of earnings from business process outsourcing (BPO) related transactions. Estimates of export revenues in Q2 2020 amounted to US$4.6 billion, 12.6 percent lower than the US$5.3 billion in Q2 2019.
Capital account net receipts decline
This was on account of the combined effect of net
payments on gross acquisition of non‐produced
non‐financial assets of US$8 million (from US$1
million net receipts on gross disposal of non‐
produced non‐financial assets) and lower receipts
of other capital transfers to the NG amounting to
US$16 million from US$20 million.41
Financial Account. The financial account posted net
outflows of US$152 million in the second quarter of
2020, a turnaround from the US$278 million net
inflows in the same quarter last year.
Financial account reverses to net outflows
This developed mainly on account of the reversal
of portfolio investments to net outflows of
US$731 million from net inflows of US$1.9 billion.
This reversal was tempered by the decline in net
outflows of other investments and the increase in
net inflows of direct investments.
Direct Investments. Direct investments registered
higher net inflows to reach US$1.1 billion in
Q2 2020 from US$727 million a year ago.
Net inflows of direct investments rise
This resulted as the decline in residents’ net
investments in foreign financial assets to
US$90 million (from US$1 billion) more than offset
the contraction in foreign direct investments (FDI)
to US$1.2 billion (from US$1.7 billion). In particular,
residents’ net investments in debt instruments
dipped by 93 percent to US$52 million from
US$750 million. Likewise, residents’ net
investments in equity capital declined by 88.5
percent to US$27 million from US$239 million.
41 Other capital transfers to the NG refer to transfers for the purpose of capital formation. This includes grants and donations, the intention of which is for investment (i.e., machinery and equipment, buildings and structures).
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |27
Meanwhile, FDI declined due to the contraction in
non‐residents' net investments in debt instruments
issued by local affiliates by 48.7 percent to US$693
million. This was mitigated by the expansion in net
equity capital to US$258 million (from US$73
million) as placements increased to US$312 million
(from US$299 million) and withdrawals decreased
to US$54 million (from US$227 million).
Equity capital placements during the quarter
originated from Japan, the United Kingdom, the US
and Singapore. These placements were channeled
mainly to the manufacturing, financial and
insurance, real estate, and human health and social
work industries.
Portfolio Investments. The portfolio investment
account posted net outflows of US$731 million in
Q2 2020, a reversal of the net inflows of
US$1.9 billion recorded a year ago.
Portfolio investments reverse to net outflows
This emanated mainly from the surge in residents’
portfolio investments abroad by 320 percent to
US$2 billion (from US$475 million) coupled with
the 46.4 percent drop in non‐residents’ portfolio
investments in the country or foreign portfolio
investments (FPI) to US$1.3 billion (from
US$2.4 billion). In particular, residents’ portfolio
investments abroad expanded, reflecting mainly
the increase in net placements in debt securities,
particularly by the BSP at US$898 million (from
US$4 million), and by the other sectors at
US$877 million (from US$350 million).42
Meanwhile, the FPI declined due to non‐residents’
net withdrawals of US$741 million of their
investments in equity and investment fund
shares (from net placements of US$522 million).
This tempered the increase in non‐residents’
net investments in debt securities issued by
42 Other Sectors cover the following economic sectors: (a) other financial corporations, which include private and public insurance corporations, holding companies, government financial institutions, investment companies, other financial intermediaries except insurance, trust institutions/corporations, financing companies, securities dealers/brokers, lending investor, Authorized Agent Banks (AAB) forex corporations, investment houses, pawnshops, credit card companies, offshore
the National Government to US$1.4 billion
(from US$858 million).43
Other Investments. The other investment account
recorded lower net outflows of US$548 million
(from US$2.4 billion) in Q2 2020 on account of
the decline in residents’ net investments in foreign
financial assets. In particular, banks posted net
withdrawals of currency and deposits amounting
to US$936 million from net deposits of
US$371 million. Loans extended by local banks
to non‐residents also dropped to US$1.2 billion
from US$1.9 billion.
Net outflows in other investments drop
On the liabilities side, higher net outflows
emanated from net repayments by local banks of
their foreign loan obligations to US$2.3 billion
(from US$609 million), coupled with non‐residents’
net withdrawal of currency and deposits from local
banks amounting to US$351 million (from net
placements of US$309 million). These more than
offset the increase in net foreign loans availed by
the NG at US$2.7 billion (from US$91 million).
Financial Derivatives. Net gains from trading in
financial derivatives were lower by 52.2 percent
at US$20 million in Q2 2020 from US$42 million in
the same period last year.
Net gains from trading in financial derivatives decrease
banking units (OBUs); (b) non‐financial corporations, which refer to public and private corporations and quasi corporations, whose principal activity is the production of market goods or non‐financial services; and (3) households and non‐profit institutions serving households (NPISHs). 43 Includes issuances of ROP Global Bonds amounting to US$2.3 billion in May 2020.
28 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
International Reserves
The country’s gross international reserves (GIR)
amounted to US$93.5 billion as of end‐June 2020
(revised), higher than the US$88.9 billion in
end‐March 2020.
Reserves at record high
At this level, the GIR remains adequate as it can
cover 8.5 months’ worth of imports of goods and
payments of services and primary income. It is also
equivalent to 7.0 times the country’s short‐term
external debt based on original maturity and
4.6 times based on residual maturity.
Chart 28. Gross International Reserves in billion US dollars
The increase in reserves was due mainly to inflows
arising from the BSP’s income from its investments
abroad. The increase was also due to the higher BSP
reserve position and holdings of Special Drawing
Rights (SDRs) in the International Monetary Fund
(IMF); and higher foreign exchange operations
by the BSP. Meanwhile, the BSP’s holdings of
monetary gold remained essentially unchanged.
The bulk of the country’s total reserves or
86.5 percent was held in foreign investments.
Meanwhile, 8.6 percent were in gold and the
remaining 4.9 percent were in holdings of SDRs,
the BSP’s reserve position in the IMF, as well as
foreign exchange.
Net international reserves (NIR), which refer to
the difference between the BSP’s GIR and total
short‐term liabilities, amounted to US$93.5 billion
as of end‐June 2020, an increase of
US$4.6 billion from end‐March 2020.
44 Dollar rates (per peso) or the reciprocal of the peso‐dollar
Exchange Rate
Exchange Rate
The peso averaged ₱50.45/US$1 in Q2 2020,
appreciating by 0.75 percent from the Q1 2020
average of ₱50.83/US$1.
Peso appreciates against the US dollar
The peso appreciated amid the health crisis on
positive market view given the country’s
macroeconomic fundamentals, which include the
manageable inflation environment, a strong and
resilient banking system, prudent fiscal position,
and a high level of international reserve buffer.
On a y‐o‐y basis, the peso likewise appreciated by
3.20 percent relative to the ₱52.07/US$1 average
in Q2 2019.44
Chart 29. Quarterly Peso‐Dollar Rate Php/US$
In April, the peso appreciated to an average of
₱50.73/US$1, 0.33 percent higher than the
₱50.90/US$1 average in March. The peso
appreciated on market optimism amid the
government’s cash aid for low income households;
the perceived slowdown in the number of
infections in some virus hotspot countries; and the
slower domestic inflation in March 2020. The BSP’s
moves to ensure sufficient liquidity in the system,
such as lowering the minimum liquidity ratio (MLR)
requirement of standalone thrift, rural and
cooperative banks to 16 percent from 20 percent,
likewise provided support to the peso.
rates were used to compute for the percentage change.
70
74
78
82
86
90
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
Source: BSP
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
Source: Reference Exchange Rate Bulletin, Treasury Department, BSP
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |29
The appreciation of the peso continued in May
to an average of ₱50.56/US$1, 0.35 percent higher
than the average during the previous month. The
peso appreciated following the further easing of
lockdown measures in some regions in the country
(including the National Capital Region) to slowly
reopen the economy; and improved prospects of
a vaccine against COVID‐19. In addition, S&P Global
Ratings’ affirmation of the country’s sovereign
credit rating as well as the slower domestic inflation
in April 2020 have provided support to the peso.
In June, the peso averaged ₱50.13/US$1
appreciating by 0.85 percent from the average
in May. The appreciation of the peso reflected
positive market sentiment due to: (i) narrower
domestic trade deficit data in April 2020; (ii) slower
domestic inflation and the country’s record‐high
dollar reserves in May 2020; and (iii) the policy rate
cut by the BSP on 25 June 2020 to further support
economic recovery.
Chart 30. Year‐to‐Date Appreciation (+)/ Depreciation (‐) of Asian Currencies against US dollar in percent, as of end‐June 2020
On a y‐t‐d basis, the peso appreciated against
the US dollar by 1.62 percent to close at
₱49.83/US$1 on 30 June 2020 from the end‐
December 2019 closing rate of ₱50.64/US$1.45
45 Based on the last done deal transaction in the afternoon. 46 The coefficient of variation is computed as the standard deviation of the daily closing exchange rate divided by the average exchange rates for the period. 47 The TPI measures the nominal and real effective exchange rates of the peso across the currencies of 14 major trading partners (MTP:s) of the Philippines, which include the US, Euro Area, Japan, Australia, China, Singapore, South Korea, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Taiwan, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, and Thailand. The TPI‐A measures the effective exchange rates of the peso across currencies of trading partners in advanced countries comprising of the US, Japan, Euro Area, and Australia. The TPI‐D measures the effective exchange rates
Meanwhile, the volatility of the peso’s daily closing
rates (as measured by the coefficient of variation)
stood at 0.17 percent in Q2 2020, lower than the
0.43 percent registered in the previous quarter.46
The volatility of the peso in the review quarter was
also lower than the volatility of most currencies in
the region.
On a real trade‐weighted basis, the peso lost
external price competitiveness in Q2 2020 against
the basket of currencies of all trading partners (TPI)
and trading partners in developing (TPI‐D) countries
relative to Q1 2020. This was indicated by the
increase in the real effective exchange rate (REER)
index of the peso by 2.12 percent and 3.89 percent,
against the TPI and TPI‐D baskets, respectively.
Meanwhile, against the basket of currencies of
trading partners in advanced (TPI‐A) countries,
the REER index of the peso decreased slightly by
0.97 percent.
Relative to Q2 2019, the peso likewise lost external
price competitiveness across currency baskets
during the review period. This developed following
the nominal appreciation of the peso and the
widening of inflation differentials, resulting in
the increase in the REER index of the peso by
6.58 percent, 5.24 percent and 7.34 percent against
the TPI, TPI‐A and TPI‐D baskets, respectively.47,48
of the peso across 10 currencies of partner developing countries which includes China, Singapore, South Korea, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Taiwan, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, and Thailand. 48 The REER index represents the Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) index of the peso, adjusted for inflation rate differentials with the countries whose currencies comprise the NEER index basket. A decrease in the REER index indicates some gain in the external price competitiveness of the peso, while a significant increase indicates the opposite. The NEER index, meanwhile, represents the weighted average exchange rate of the peso vis‐à‐vis a basket of foreign currencies.
1.79
1.62
0.83
‐1.51
‐2.63
‐3.53
‐3.84
‐3.84
‐4.39
‐5.44
‐7 ‐6 ‐5 ‐4 ‐3 ‐2 ‐1 0 1 2 3
New Taiwan Dollar
Philippine Peso
Japanese Yen
Chinese Yuan
Indonesian Rupiah
Singaporean Dollar
South Korean Won
Thai Baht
Malaysian Ringgit
Indian Rupee
Note: Based on last done deal transaction (closing price) as of 2:00 pm, Manila Time Source: PDEX, Bloomberg
30 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
External Debt
The Philippines’ outstanding external debt49
stood at US$87.5 billion as of end‐June 2020,
up by US$6.0 billion (or 7.4 percent) from the
US$81.4 billion level as of end‐March 2020
(Table 14).
External debt increases
The rise in the country’s debt stock during the
second quarter of 2020 was due mainly to net
availments of US$2.9 billion, as the NG raised
US$2.4 billion from the issuance of global bonds
and US$3.1 billion from multilateral and bilateral
creditors to fund its general financing requirements
and COVID‐19 pandemic response
programs/projects.
Chart 31. Philippine External Debt in billion US dollars
Further increases to the debt level were due to:
(a) prior periods’ adjustments of US$2.1 billion;50
(b) increase in non‐residents’ investment in
Philippine debt papers issued offshore of
US$839 million; and (c) positive foreign exchange
(FX) revaluation of US$227 million as the US Dollar
weakened against other currencies, including the
Philippine Peso.
Year‐on‐year, the country’s debt stock rose by
US$6.2 billion, which was brought about by:
(a) prior periods’ adjustments (US$2.7 billion);
49 External debt refers to all types of borrowings by Philippine residents from non‐residents, following the residency criterion for international statistics. Outstanding external debt are valued at exchange rates as at end‐March 2020 while transaction amounts (e.g., availment, repayment, interest payment) are converted to US Dollar equivalent based on exchange rates
(b) transfer of Philippine debt papers from residents
to non‐residents (US$2.0 billion); (c) net availments
(US$1.4 billion); and (d) positive FX revaluation
(US$89 million).
By Maturity
As of end‐June 2020, the maturity profile of the
country’s external debt remained predominantly
medium‐and long‐term (MLT) in nature [i.e., those
with original maturities longer than one (1) year],
with share to total at 87.7 percent (US$76.7 billion).
This means that FX requirements for debt payments
are well spread out and more manageable.
Chart 32. Philippine External Debt by Maturity as of end‐June 2020
The weighted average maturity for all MLT accounts
slightly increased to 17.0 years from 16.9 years
during the previous quarter, with public sector
borrowings having a longer average term of
20.9 years compared to 7.8 years for the private
sector. Meanwhile, ST liabilities comprised the
12.3 percent balance of the debt stock and
consisted of bank liabilities, trade credits and
others.
By Borrower
Public sector external debt rose to US$51.0 billion
or by US$5.9 billion (13.0 percent) from
US$45.1 billion in the previous quarter, with
share to total external debt increasing from
55.4 percent to 58.3 percent due largely to net
availments of US$5.1 billion by the NG to fund
prevailing on transaction dates. Principal data sources include regular reports from borrowers, banks and other financial institutions, major foreign creditors and news articles in local and international publications, as well as through conduct of external debt surveys. 50 Due mainly to late reporting of transactions by borrowers.
70
72
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
Mar2017
Jun Sep Dec Mar2018
Jun Sep Dec Mar2019
Jun Sep Dec Mar2020
Jun
Source: International Operations Department (IOD)‐BSP
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |31
its general financing requirements and
programs/projects as the NG implements measures
to stimulate the economy and support economic
recovery amid the COVID‐19 pandemic. About
US$44.4 billion (87.1 percent) of public sector
obligations were NG borrowings while the
remaining US$6.6 billion pertained to borrowings
of GOCCs, government financial institutions and
the BSP.
Chart 33. Philippine External Debt by Borrower as of end‐June 2020
Private sector debt slightly increased from
US$36.3 billion as of end‐March 2020 to
US$36.5 billion as of end‐June 2020, with share
to total decreasing from 44.6 percent to
41.7 percent. The recorded increase was due
largely to prior periods’ adjustments
(US$2.1 billion) and net availments (US$334 million)
by private non‐banks, which were offset by net
repayments (US$2.3 billion) by private banks.
About US$6.9 billion of these accounts were
obtained without BSP approval/registration,
while capital leases amounted to US$830 million.
By Creditor
Major creditor countries as of end‐June 2020 were
Japan (US$15.3 billion), United States of America
(US$3.2 billion), The Netherlands (US$3.1 billion),
and United Kingdom (US$2.6 billion).
Loans from official sources [multilateral and
bilateral creditors (Japan – US$8.2 billion;
China – US$1.1 billion; and Republic of
Korea – US$514 million, among others)]
had the largest share (34.9 percent) of total
outstanding debt, followed by foreign holders
of bonds and notes (33.6 percent), and obligations
to foreign banks and other financial institutions
(26.3 percent). The rest (5.1 percent) were owed
to other creditor types (mainly suppliers and
exporters).
The country’s debt stock remained largely
denominated in US Dollar (US$48.5 billion or
55.4 percent of total) and Japanese Yen
(US$10.8 billion or 12.4 percent of total).
US Dollar‐denominated multi‐currency loans
from the World Bank and ADB (US$16.2 billion)
represented 18.5 percent of the total. The
13.7 percent balance (US$12.0 billion) pertained
to 15 other currencies, including the Philippine Peso
(6.5 percent), Euro (4.5 percent) and SDR
(1.5 percent).
The Debt Service Ratio (DSR), which relates
principal and interest payments (debt service
burden or DSB) to exports of goods and receipts
from services and primary income, is a measure
of adequacy of the country’s FX earnings to meet
maturing obligations. For January to June 2020,
the ratio slightly increased to 7.8 percent from the
7.7 percent recorded for the same period a year
ago. The DSR has consistently remained well below
the 17.46 percent “danger threshold” under the
BSP Early Warning System (BSP‐EWS) on Debt
Sustainability.
The external debt ratio, or total outstanding debt
(EDT) expressed as a percentage of GDP, is a
solvency indicator. EDT to GDP increased to
23.7 percent from 21.4 percent a quarter ago as
GDP declined by 16.5 percent while external debt
rose during the reference quarter. Nevertheless,
the ratio continued to be well below the
68.25 percent threshold under the BSP‐EWS model
for assessing debt sustainability, indicating the
country's sustained strong position to service
foreign obligations in the medium to long‐term.
Foreign Interest Rates
In Q2 2020, most advanced economies (AEs)
maintained policy rates and continued to
implement monetary easing measures through
asset purchases to address the risks posed by
the COVID‐19 to global economy.
32 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
The US Fed maintains policy rates
The US Fed maintained the target range for the
Federal funds at 0.0‐0.25 percent during its April
and June meetings. The decision was based on the
assessment that the ongoing public health crisis will
continue to pose risks to the economic outlook over
the medium term.
As part of its monetary policy decision, the Fed
decided to increase its holdings of Treasury
securities and its holdings of agency residential and
commercial mortgage‐backed securities.51 As the
US Fed maintained its policy rates, both the
average US prime rate and discount rate decreased
to 3.250 percent and 0.250 percent, respectively,
from the previous quarter’s 4.417 percent and
1.826 percent, also respectively. Similarly, the
average US Fed funds rate declined to 0.055
percent from the 1.228 ‐percent average reported
in the previous quarter (Table 16).
During its May and June meetings, the Bank of
England (BOE) maintained the official bank rate
paid on commercial banks’ reserves at 0.1 percent.
It also increased the stock of UK government bond
purchases by £100 billion to £735 billion.52
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to continue its
“Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing
(QQE) with Yield Curve Control,” in view of
achieving the price stability target of 2 percent.
The BOJ decided to continue such policy until the
target becomes stable. During its May and June
meetings, the BOJ decided to apply a negative
interest rate of 0.1 percent to current accounts
that financial institutions hold at the Bank. For the
long‐term interest rate, the BOJ decided to buy
Japanese government bonds (JGBs) without setting
51Press Release, “Decisions Regarding Monetary Policy Implementation”, 29 April 2020 and 10 June 2020, https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20200429a1.htm & https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20200610a1.htm 52Press Release, “Monetary Policy Summary and minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting”, 7 May 2020 and 18 June 2020, https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary‐policy‐summary‐and‐minutes/2020/may‐2020 & https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary‐policy‐summary‐and‐minutes/2020/june‐2020
an upper limit in order for the 10‐year JGB yields to
remain at around zero percent.
In terms of asset purchases, the BOJ has decided to
actively purchase exchange‐traded funds (ETFs) and
Japanese real estate investment trusts (J‐REITs)
such that their outstanding amount will increase at
annual paces with the upper limit of about
¥12 trillion and ¥180 billion, respectively. Likewise,
the BOJ decided to maintain its purchases of
commercial papers and corporate bonds by
¥2.0 trillion and ¥3.0 trillion, respectively until the
upper limit of their outstanding amounts reach
¥7.5 trillion for each asset.53
While the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to
maintain the interest rates on the deposit facility,
main refinancing operation, and marginal lending
facility at ‐0.50 percent, 0.0 percent, and
0.25 percent, respectively, during its April and June
meetings, it continued to implement monetary
policy measures to counter the risks posed by the
COVID‐19 outbreak.54 During its June 2020 meeting,
the ECB decided that the Pandemic Emergency
Purchase Program (PEPP) will be increased by
€600 billion to €1,350 billion of asset purchases
to be conducted in a flexible manner over time.
Chart 34. Selected Foreign Interest Rates in percent
53Press Release “Statement on Monetary Policy” 27 April 2020 and 16 June 2020, https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmdeci/state_2020/k200427a.htm/ & https://www.boj.or.jp/en/announcements/release_2020/k200616a.pdf 54Press Release, “Monetary policy decisions” 30 April 2020 and 4 June 2020, https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2020/html/ecb.mp200430~1eaa128265.en.html & https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2020/html/ecb.mp200604~a307d3429c.en.html
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
Q12017
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12018
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12020
Q2
US Prime Rate
SIBOR* (90 days)
US Federal Funds Rate
LIBOR (90 days)
US Discount Rate
Source: Bloomberg; Asian Wall Street Journal; Reuters* SIBOR refers to SIBOR rates (in Singapore $)
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |33
As AEs maintained their policy rates, benchmark
global interest rates recorded downward trends
during the review period. The 90‐day LIBOR
decreased to 0.602 percent in Q2 2020 from
1.534 percent in the previous quarter. Similarly, the
90‐day Singapore Interbank Offered Rate (SIBOR)
declined to 0.720 percent from 1.556 percent in the
previous quarter.
Global Economic Developments
Global developments in Q2 2020 show that the
economic impact of COVID‐19 pandemic has been
larger‐than‐anticipated and the recovery path will
be slower than what was previously forecasted.
The negative impact has been more evident in
Q2 2020, resulting in the persistent deterioration in
domestic and global financial conditions, greater
disruptions in the supply chain, shifts in spending
patterns, decline in consumer and business
confidence, among others. The IMF (2020) noted
that while reopening of the economy requires the
gradual unwinding of targeted policies, stimulus
measures must continue to be implemented to
support demand and keep businesses afloat. For
the full year 2020, synchronized downturns are
expected in advanced economies (AEs), including
US, Japan, UK, Germany, France, Italy, and Spain.
Meanwhile, a deeper impact on growth is expected
in both emerging markets (EMs) and developing
economies resulting from domestic economic
disruptions and large spillovers from weaker
external demand.55
In the US, growth in Q2 2020 contracted at
9.1 percent, a reversal from the 0.3‐percent growth
in Q1 2020. The contraction reflected negative
contributions from personal consumption
expenditures, gross private domestic investment,
and exports while improvements in government
55 IMF World Economic Outlook Update, 24 June 2020 56 Technical Note, Gross Domestic Product, Second Quarter 2020 (Second Estimate), U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), 27 August 2020 57 Quarterly Estimates of GDP for April‐June 2020 (First Preliminary Estimates), Economic and Social Research Institute, Cabinet Office, Government of Japan, 17 August 2020 58 The Euro area (EA19) includes Belgium, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, Greece, Spain, France, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal, Slovenia, Slovakia, and Finland. Source: Eurostat 59 “GDP main aggregates and employment estimates for the
consumption expenditures partly offset the decline
in growth.56
Meanwhile, further contraction in GDP was
recorded in Japan and the Euro area. In Japan,
the economy declined by 9.9 percent in Q2 2020
from the 1.8 percent contraction in the previous
quarter.57 The combined drop in domestic demand
and net exports of Japanese goods and services
has contributed largely to the negative growth.
Similarly, GDP in Euro area58 registered a
14.7‐percent decline in Q2 2020, 59 the sharpest
contraction since 1995 following containment
measures in most member countries. The impact
on unemployment, bankruptcies and weak
investments are expected to drag on for some time,
with notable economic slowdown in Spain, Greece,
France, and Italy during the quarter.60
Global uncertainty brought by the pandemic
continues to negatively affect the growth of most
Asian economies. The Hong Kong economy dropped
by 9.0 percent during the review quarter, slightly
below the revised 9.1‐percent contraction in
Q1 2020. This was attributed to the deterioration
in private consumption and gross domestic fixed
capital formation which were slightly offset by
improvement in government consumption
expenditure.61 The South Korean economy
contracted by 2.7 percent in Q2 2020, a reversal
from the 1.4‐percent growth registered in the
previous quarter. The fallout was driven mainly
by weak exports particularly in motor vehicles and
mobile phones. 62 In Singapore, the economy
further declined by 13.2 percent decline in Q2 2020
following the 0.3 percent contraction in Q1 2020.
This was due to the significant slowdown in the
manufacturing, agriculture, forestry and fishing,
services and construction sectors.63
second quarter of 2020”, Eurostat News Release and Euro Indicators, 8 September 2020. 60 Bassetti, M., “Euro Area: Lockdowns strike unprecedented blow to Eurozone economy in Q2”, Focus Economics News, 30 July 2020. 61 “Gross Domestic Product Second Quarter“, Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong, August 2020. 62 Press Release on “Gross National Income: Second Quarter of 2020 (Preliminary) “, Bank of Korea, 1 September 2020. 63 Press Release on “MTI Narrows 2020 GDP Growth Forecast to ‐7.0 to ‐5.0 Per Cent”, Ministry of Trade and Industry Singapore, 11 August 2020.
34 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
In China, economic recovery was registered at
3.2 percent in Q2 2020, 64 a reversal from the
6.8 percent decline in the previous quarter.
Gradual normalization of activities particularly in
the industrial sector supported the recovery, while
cautious consumer spending continues to affect
the accommodation and restaurant industry and
periodic community lockdowns weighed down
renting and leasing activities in the country.
In India, the economy contracted by 23.9 percent
in Q2 2020,65 a reversal from the 3.1 percent
expansion in the previous quarter, driven mainly
by weaker spending in construction, trade, hotel,
transport, communication and services,
manufacturing and mining sectors.
Table E. Real GDP in Selected Economies year‐on‐year growth; in percent
In the ASEAN‐5 region, most member countries
recorded a general downturn in economic activities
during the review quarter, except in Vietnam.
Expansion was recorded in Vietnam at 0.4 percent
in Q2 2020 albeit lower than the 3.8‐percent
expansion in the previous quarter.66 The strong
64 National Bureau of Statistics of China, “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Second Quarter and First Half Year of 2020”, 17 July 2020. 65 Government of India, Ministry of Statistics and Programmed Implementation, Press Note on “Estimates of Gross Domestic Product for the First Quarter (April‐June) of 2020‐2021,” 31 August 2020. 66 “Socio‐economic situation in the second quarter and the first 6 beginning month of 2020”, General Statistics Office of Vietnam 67 Bank Indonesia, “National Economic Growth Impacted by
growth in manufacturing and services sectors were
offset by weaker global demand.
Meanwhile, the Indonesian economy contracted
by 5.3 percent in the second quarter after
expanding by about 3.0 percent in Q1 2020.
The decline in Q2 2020 was driven mostly by lower
exports and negative performance across all GDP
components including household consumption,
investments and government expenditures.67
A slowdown in the Malaysian economy by
17.1 percent was registered in Q2 2020, a reversal
from the 0.7‐percent expansion in the previous
quarter, primarily attributed to lower exports,
production constraints and marked decline in
tourism activities.68
The Philippine economy posted a 16.5 percent
contraction in Q2 2020 from the 0.7 percent decline
in the previous quarter, driven mainly by weak
supply side growth from the transportation and
storage; construction; manufacturing;
accommodation; industry; and services sectors.69
Likewise, in Thailand, the economy contracted by
12.2 percent in Q2 2020, declining further from the
2.0‐ percent slowdown in the previous period. The
subdued growth was attributed mainly to declines
in exports of goods and services, private
investment, and private final consumption
expenditure which were partly offset by expansion
in government consumption expenditure and public
investment.70
Average headline inflation in the US, Japan, and
Euro area declined to 0.3 percent, 0.1 percent, and
0.2 percent in Q2 2020, respectively. The drop in
energy prices significantly contributed to the lower
inflation rates in US and Euro area while hampered
consumption due to continued lockdown caused
sharp decline in prices in Japan.
In most Asian economies, inflation eased in
Q2 2020. Hong Kong’s average inflation was
COVID‐19 in Q2/2020,” 5 August 2020. 68 Press Release on “Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Second Quarter of 2020, “Department of Statistics, Malaysia, 14 August 2020. 69 “GDP growth rate drops by 26.5 percent in the second quarter of 2020: the lowest starting 1981 series,” Philippine Statistics Authority Press Release, 6 August 2020 70 “Gross Domestic Product: Q2 2020,” Office of the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC), 17 August 2020.
2019
Q2 Q1 Q2
Advanced Economies
US 2.0 0.3 ‐9.1
Japan 0.9 ‐1.8 r ‐9.9
Euro Area 1.2 r ‐3.2 r ‐14.7
Hong Kong 0.4 ‐9.1 r ‐9.0
South Korea 2.1 1.4 r ‐2.7
Singapore 0.2 ‐0.3 r ‐13.2
Emerging and Developing Asia
China 6.2 ‐6.8 3.2
India 5.2 3.1 ‐23.9
ASEAN‐5
Indonesia 5.1 3.0 ‐5.3
Malaysia 4.8 0.7 ‐17.1
Philippines 5.4 ‐0.7 r ‐16.5
Thailand 2.4 ‐2.0 r ‐12.2
Vietnam 6.8 3.8 0.41 Country grouping is based on the IMF World Economic Outlook Database,
April 2020r Revised
Source: Bloomberg and country websites
Country Grouping 1 2020
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |35
recorded at 1.4 percent, lower than the previous
quarter’s 2.0 percent, driven mainly by slower price
movement in food, housing and miscellaneous
services. Singapore's average deflation stood at
0.7 percent during the review period following
faster decline in miscellaneous goods and services,
and recreation and culture costs, although partly
offset by softer decline in transport, clothing and
footwear, and health prices. In South Korea, lower
consumer prices such as transportation and
education resulted in an average deflation rate
of 0.1 percent, down from the 1.2 percent inflation
recorded in Q1 2020. Consumer prices in China
dropped in Q2 2020 causing inflation to ease to
2.7 percent from the previous quarter’s
5.0 percent. Similarly, inflation in India dropped to
5.2 percent from the previous quarter’s 6.6 percent
due to the sharp decline in food and beverage
prices.
Table F. Inflation in Selected Economies quarterly average, in percent
In the ASEAN‐5 region, average inflation rates were
generally lower in Q2 2020. In Indonesia, inflation
fell slightly to 2.3 percent from 2.9 percent a
quarter ago. Similarly, the Philippine inflation rate
dropped to 2.3 percent in Q2 2020 from 2.7 percent
in the previous quarter. Meanwhile, lower prices of
petrol following government price‐control
measures as well as declined transportation;
housing and construction materials; textiles,
footwear, hats; and education costs contributed
to Vietnam’s inflation rate of 2.8 percent during
the review quarter. In Malaysia, the decline in
consumer prices and plunge in transport prices
resulted in a deflation rate of 2.6 percent in
Q2 2020 from the 0.9 percent inflation rate in
Q1 2020. In Thailand, lower prices following the
end of government utilities subsidy resulted in the
deflation rate of 2.7 percent.
The global labor market was severely hit by the
decline in market activities following the global
health crisis since Q1 2020. Uptick in
unemployment rates were recorded in US, Japan,
and Euro area at 13.0 percent, 2.8 percent, and
7.5 percent, respectively, during the review period.
Similarly, unemployment rates grew in Hong Kong,
South Korea and Singapore at 5.8 percent,
4.2 percent and 2.9 percent, respectively.
Table G. Unemployment Rates in Selected Economies in percent
In Asia, unemployment rates significantly rose
during the review quarter in Malaysia (5.1 percent),
and Philippines (17.7 percent) while minimal
increase was recorded in China (3.8 percent) and
Vietnam (2.7 percent).
2019
Q2 Q1 Q2
Advanced Economies
US 1.8 2.1 0.3
Japan 0.8 0.5 0.1
Euro Area 1.4 1.1 0.2
Hong Kong 3.0 2.0 1.4
South Korea 0.7 1.2 ‐0.1
Singapore 0.8 0.4 ‐0.7
Emerging and Developing Asia
China 2.6 5.0 2.7
India 8.5 6.6 5.2
ASEAN‐5
Indonesia 2.9 2.9 2.3
Malaysia 0.6 0.9 ‐2.6
Philippines 3.0 2.7 2.3
Thailand 1.1 0.4 ‐2.7
Vietnam 2.7 5.6 2.81 Country grouping is based on the IMF World Economic Outlook Database,
April 2020
Source: Bloomberg and country websites
2020Country Grouping
1
2019
Q2 Q1 Q2
Advanced Economies
US 3.6 3.8 13.0
Japan 2.4 2.4 2.8
Euro Area 7.6 7.3 7.5
Hong Kong 2.8 3.8 5.8
South Korea 4.0 3.7 4.2
Singapore 2.2 2.4 2.9
Emerging and Developing Asia
China 3.6 3.7 3.8
India n.a. 5.0 n.a.
ASEAN‐5
Indonesia n.a. 5.0 n.a.
Malaysia 3.3 3.5 5.1
Philippines 5.1 5.3 17.7
Thailand 1.0 1.1 n.a.
Vietnam 2.2 2.2 2.71 Unemployment rate is the proportion (in percent) of the total number of
unemployed as a percentage of the labor force.2Country grouping is based on the IMF World Economic Outlook Database,
April 2020
Source: Bloomberg and country websites
2020Country Grouping
2
36 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
Financial Condition of the BSP
Balance Sheet
As of end‐June 2020, preliminary data showed that
the BSP’s total assets amounted to ₱6,295.4 billion,
notably higher by 15.7 percent from the quarter‐
ago level of ₱5,441.1 billion. Likewise, against its
year‐ago balance, total assets grew higher by
24.3 percent from ₱5,064.5 billion (Table17).
During the same review period, the BSP’s liabilities
grew by 15.6 percent to ₱6,130.9 billion from
the previous quarter’s balance of ₱5,305.5 billion.
Relative to the end‐June 2019 level ₱4,920.2 billion,
total liabilities rose by 24.6 percent or by ₱1,210.7
billion.
BSP’s net worth remains strong at end-Q2 2020
Consequently, the BSP’s net worth as of
end‐June 2020 reached ₱164.5 billion or
21.3 percent above the quarter‐ago level of
₱135.6 billion. The resulting net worth was likewise
higher by 14.0 percent relative to the ₱144.3 billion
figure posted in the same period last year.
The BSP’s financial condition remains strong
with total assets being dominated by international
reserves amounting to ₱4,618.6 billion as of
end‐June 2020. Compared with the quarter‐ago
balance of ₱4,484.2 billion, the end‐June 2020
balance was higher by 3.0 percent or ₱134.4 billion.
The quarterly rise in the reported peso equivalent
of international reserves was largely due to the
inflows arising from both the BSP’s foreign
exchange operations and the National
Government’s (NG) net foreign currency deposits
with the BSP. These were partially offset by NG
payments of foreign currency obligations.71
Meanwhile, the BSP’s liabilities of ₱6,130.9 billion
during the review period were comprised mostly
71 Also due to the gradual appreciation of the Philippine peso
of deposits and currency issues. The deposits were
largely supported by placements in reserve deposits
of Other Depository Corporations (ODCs), deposits
from Overnight Deposit Facility, and deposits from
the Treasurer of the Philippines.
Table H. Balance Sheet of the BSP in billion pesos
Income Statement
Based on preliminary data, the BSP registered a
net income of ₱3.8 billion for the quarter ending
June 2020. The decreased quarterly net income
was primarily the result of lower interest income
on reserves and reduced miscellaneous income
(Table 18).
BSP registers lower profits in Q2 2020
Total revenues for the review quarter amounted
to ₱20.8 billion or 20.4 percent lower than the
₱26.1 billion posted in the previous quarter. Total
revenues were mostly comprised of interest income
on reserves and domestic securities, and
miscellaneous income.
Table I. Income Position of the BSP in billion pesos
against the US dollar during the quarter.
Jun Mar r Jun
Assets 6,295.4 5,441.1 5,064.5
Liabilities 6,130.9 5,305.5 4,920.2
Net Worth 164.5 135.6 144.3
Note: Details may not add up to to tal due to rounding.p Based on the preliminary and unaudited BSP Financial
Statements prepared by the Financial Accounting
Department (FAD) of the BSP.r Revised to reflect latest end-month figures for M arch 2020
based on the unaudited BSP FS as of end-M arch 2020.
Source: BSP
2020 p 2019
Q2 Q1 Q2
Revenues 20.786 26.124 38.906
Less: Expenses 16.405 18.225 22.483
4.381 7.899 16.423
Net Gain/(Loss) on FX Rate Fluctuations ‐0.441 2.021 3.330
Income Tax Expense/(Benefit) 0.141 0.005 3.000
Net Income/(Loss) After Tax 3.799 9.915 16.753
Note: Details may no t add up to total due to rounding.p Based on the preliminary and unaudited BSP Financial Statements.
Source: BSP
2020 p 2019
Net Income/(Loss) Before Gain/(Loss) on FX Rate
Fluctuations and Income Tax Expense/(Benefit)
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |37
Total expenditures, as compared to the previous
quarter, slightly decreased by ₱1.8 billion or
10.0 percent to reach ₱16.4 billion. The q‐o‐q drop
in expenditures was due to lower interest expense
on Term Deposit Facility and Reverse Repurchase
Facility. Furthermore, the reduced costs on bank
note production and coin minting contributed to
the overall decline in expenditures.
Conclusion, Challenges and Policy Directions The Philippine economy took a significant beating in
Q2 2020, falling into a technical recession as the
economic impact from the COVID‐19 pandemic
turned out to be more negative than earlier
anticipated. The imposition of strict community
quarantines during the review period substantially
dampened domestic demand and weighed down
the performance of traditional growth sectors. In
addition, the global nature of the pandemic has also
adversely affected the country’s external sector
accounts such as trade, investments, remittances,
and travel receipts as downturns were also seen in
partner‐countries.
At the start of the quarter, it was recognized that
the pandemic could pose a long‐drawn‐out drag on
economic activity if the health issue was not
primarily addressed. Thus, in the absence of a cure
or vaccine, lockdown measures which were already
imposed on major cities in March 2020 were
extended further for the most part of Q2 2020 to
allow the health sector to manage the virus
contagion and contain its transmission. The possible
implications of these measures are two‐fold: the
economic fallout from the adverse impact of
lockdowns on business operations could be deep;
and the implications on productivity for surviving
businesses as they introduce stringent safety
practices in the workplace could result in a much
slower recovery.
To avert a permanent economic scarring, policy
efforts took a whole‐of‐government approach to
cushion the impact of containment measures on
households and firms as well as to ensure that
economic recovery can begin once the pandemic is
effectively managed and economic activity
gradually resumes. To this end, the NG
implemented a four‐pillar strategy equivalent to
9.1 percent of GDP as of 19 May 2020. Pillars 1 and
2 pertain to the social support and health response
programs to cushion the impact of the containment
measures and eradicate the spread of the virus.
Meanwhile, Pillar 3 refers to fiscal and monetary
policy actions intended to support and finance
the economic recovery program in Pillar 4.
The role of the BSP is significant in Pillar 3. To this
end, the BSP implemented prompt and decisive
policy actions in Q2 2020 to ease monetary
conditions and enhance financial system liquidity
to prop up market confidence and support
economy activity amid the pandemic. The benign
inflation outlook as well as the well‐anchored
inflation expectations that are within the
government’s 2‐4 percent target range have
allowed the BSP to remain supportive of an
accommodative policy stance. This, in turn, should
provide for favorable borrowing conditions and
ensure ample credit and liquidity in the financial
system to support the Philippine economy.
Moreover, the BSP has sufficient space to pursue
additional monetary policy actions if necessary.
Looking ahead, domestic economic activity is
projected to follow a gradual U‐shaped quarterly
recovery path with output likely to contract in the
remaining quarters of 2020. GDP growth is
expected to accelerate back towards its long‐run
trend in 2021 as government policy measures gain
full traction.
Finally, the pandemic has highlighted the need for
the BSP to remain committed to its reform agenda
and advocacies. The BSP Charter, as amended, has
among others, restored the BSP’s authority to issue
its own securities as part of its regular monetary
operations. The additional monetary instrument is
seen to enhance further the transmission of the
BSP’s policy stance to the economy, as well as
contribute towards the development of the
domestic capital market. The first issuance of the
BSP bills and bonds is scheduled within Q3 2020.
38 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
Moreover, as part of its financial inclusion
advocacy, the BSP looks forward to accelerating
digital transformation over the next few years.
The shift to electronic transactions during the
quarantine period was further encouraged by the
BSP through a time‐bound waiver of fees for digital
financial services. The BSP aims for the volume of
electronic retail payments to reach 50 percent by
2023.
The BSP has shown decisiveness and readiness in its
policy responses amid the challenges in Q2 2020. In
the months ahead, the BSP will continue to remain
vigilant and data‐driven in ensuring that
appropriate monetary and financial policy measures
are in place. Moreover, the BSP remains committed
to deploying its full range of instruments as needed
in the fulfillment of its mandate to promote non‐
inflationary and sustainable growth over the
medium term.
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |39
Annexes Annex A. Banking Policies
Alternative Compliance with the Reserve
Requirements of Banks and Non‐Bank Financial
Institutions with Quasi‐Banking Functions (NBQBs)
(BSP Circular No. 1087 dated 27 May 2020)
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) issued
amendments to the Manual of Regulations for
Banks (MORB) and the Manual of Regulations for
Non‐Bank Financial Institutions (MORNBFI) to
recognize loans granted to micro‐, small‐and
medium enterprises (MSMEs) and loans to large
enterprises as alternative reserve compliance until
end‐2021, subject to the following conditions:
(1) The loan was granted, renewed or
restructured after 15 March 2020;
(2) A loan that was granted on or before
15 March 2020 but has been renewed or
restructured after 15 March 2020 may be
used as alternative compliance with the
reserve requirements: Provided, that the
bank demonstrates an increase in its MSME
loan portfolio or loan portfolio to large
enterprises during the month preceding the
reserve day. For purposes of determining the
increase in the bank's loan portfolio, the bank
shall exclude accrued interest and accumulated
charges which have been capitalized or made
part of the principal of restructured loans; and
(3) The loan is not hypothecated or encumbered
in any way, or rediscounted with the BSP or
earmarked for any other purpose.
Amendments to the Regulations on Treasury
Activities of BSP‐Supervised Financial Institutions
(BSFIs) (BSP Circular No. 1088 dated 11 May 2020)
The BSP Monetary Board (MB), in its Resolution No.
566 dated 24 April 2020 approved the amendments
to the regulations on treasury activities of BSFIs.
In this regard, Section 611/611‐Q of the Manual of
Regulations for Banks/Manual of Regulations for
Non‐Bank Financial Institutions is hereby amended
as follows:
In accordance with the duty of BSFIs’ board of
directors to articulate acceptable, and unacceptable
activities, transactions and behaviors (collectively
referred to as “unacceptable practices”), it must
adopt a code of conduct and standards of practice
that are binding on the Treasury unit, especially
those personnel involved in risk‐taking.
The code and standards should highlight and
provide specific guidance on upholding market
integrity and professionalism. Unacceptable
practices refer to (a) practices that undermine
market integrity, which include engaging in trading
transactions which have the effect, or are likely to
have the effect, of creating a false or misleading
appearance of active trading in any security,
currency or commodity, or with respect to the
market for, or the price of, any security, currency
or commodity (e.g., pre‐arranged transactions,
wash sales, painting the tape and marking the
close); and (b) practices that result in the
misstatement of the BSFI’s financial condition,
results of operations, disclosures and prudential
reports. The code and standards should likewise
include safeguards to prevent conflict of interest
or self‐dealing in any form when allowing personnel
to deal for their own account.
Amendments to the Regulations on the Foreign
Currency Deposit System (BSP Circular No. 1086
dated 6 May 2020)
The BSP has eased the asset cover requirement of
banks with expanded/foreign currency deposit units
(E/FCDUs) to provide the covered institutions with
greater flexibility to manage their foreign currency
exposures.
Existing regulations require banks to maintain a
100 percent asset cover for their foreign currency
liabilities in the E/FCDUs at all times to ensure that
they have sufficient foreign currency‐denominated
assets to service withdrawals of deposits and meet
payments denominated in foreign currency. Under
the new rules, banks shall be allowed to offset any
deficiency in the asset cover incurred on one or
more days of the week with the excess cover that
they may hold on other days of the same week and
40 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
the immediately succeeding week. This provides
the banks greater leeway in managing their foreign
currency exposures in accordance with their risk
tolerance and internal policies.
The MB has likewise approved the alignment of the
licensing process for applications for E/FCDU
authority with the risk‐based licensing framework
being implemented by the BSP pursuant to Circular
No. 1031, which was issued in February 2019. The
operation of an E/FCDU is considered as a Type A
permissible activity under the framework. The
attendant requirements have been streamlined in
order to promote the ease of doing business.
Sustainable Finance Framework (BSP Circular No.
1085 dated 29 April 2020)
The BSP MB approved the sustainable finance
policy framework that sets out the expectations of
the BSP on the integration of sustainability
principles, including those covering environmental
and social (E&S) risk areas, in the corporate
governance and risk management frameworks as
well as in the strategic objectives and operations of
banks.
The BSP is cognizant that climate change and other
environmental and social risks could pose financial
stability concerns considering their significant and
protracted implications on the bank's operations
and financial interest. In particular, physical and
transition risks arising from climate change could
result in significant societal, economic and financial
risks affecting the banks and their stakeholders.
The BSP likewise recognizes the critical role of the
financial industry in pursuing sustainable and
resilient growth by enabling environmentally and
socially responsible business decisions consistent
with the aspirations set out for the Filipinos under
the Philippine Development Plan.
The BSP expects banks to embed sustainability
principles, including those covering environmental
and social risk areas, in their corporate governance
framework, risk management systems, and
strategic objectives consistent with their size,
risk profile and complexity of operations.
Sustainable Finance refers to any form of financial
product or service which integrates environmental,
social and governance criteria into business
decisions that supports economic growth and
provides lasting benefit for both clients and society
while reducing pressures on the environment.
This also covers green finance which is designed to
facilitate the flow of funds towards green economic
activities and climate change mitigation and
adaptation projects.
The said framework shall apply to all banks.
Branches of foreign banks may adopt the relevant
policies and strategies of their head office that are
consistent with applicable provisions.
The framework enumerated the list of duties
and responsibilities expected from the board of
directors and senior management, consistent with
the expectations to promote the long‐term financial
interest of the bank and ensure that it has
beneficial influence on the economy.
Banks were given a period of three (3) years to
fully comply with the provisions of the sustainable
finance framework. In this regard, banks shall adopt
a transition plan with specific timelines to
implement the board‐approved strategies and
policies related to the framework. Banks shall
provide its board‐approved transition plan upon
request of the BSP.
Amendments to the Risk‐Based Capital Adequacy
Frameworks for Banks/Quasi‐Banks (BSP Circular
No. 1084 dated 28 April 2020)
The MB approved prudential measures to assist the
micro‐, MSME sector carry on with its business
during the COVID‐19 crisis, as well as hasten
recovery and sustainability of MSME operations in
the post‐crisis period.
The MSME sector is a vital component of the
Philippine economy owing to its capacity to
generate employment and contribute to economic
The first set of measures by the BSP are
amendments to the regulatory capital treatment of
exposures to MSMEs, which free up capital and
enable supervised financial institutions to extend
more credit to the MSME sector.
These include the: (a) temporary reduction in the
credit risk weights of loans granted to MSMEs that
are current in status, and (b) assignment of a lower
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |41
risk weight for MSME exposures that are covered
by guarantees.
a. Temporary reduction in the credit risk weight
of MSME loans. The credit risk weight of loans
granted to MSMEs that are in current status was
reduced to 50 percent from 75 percent (for
diversified MSME portfolio with at least
500 borrowers over a number of industries) and
100 percent (for non‐diversified MSME portfolio).
The reduced credit risk weight is subject to review
by the BSP by end‐December 2021.
b. Assignment of zero percent risk weight for
MSME loans that are covered by guarantees. The
BSP approved the assignment of a zero‐percent
risk weight not only to loans that are guaranteed
by the Philippine Guarantee Corporation but also
to loans that are guaranteed by the Agricultural
Guarantee Fund Pool and the Agricultural Credit
Policy Council. The revision in the credit risk
weight complements programs of the National
Government that support financing to MSMEs
as well as small farmers and fisherfolk.
To enable stand‐alone thrift banks, rural banks and
cooperative banks to continue to support their
MSME‐ and rural community‐based clients, the
BSP deferred the implementation of the revised
risk‐based capital framework applicable to these
banks under Circular No. 1079 dated 9 March 2020.
The revised capital adequacy framework will
now take effect on 1 January 2023 instead of
1 January 2022. Moreover, the observation period
of the revised framework will be extended from
31 December 2021 to 31 December 2022.
The observation period provides these banks
with enough time to meet the new minimum
capital ratios through reasonable measures
without disrupting their banking activities.
Lastly, the BSP lengthened the period of relief on
the reporting of past due and non‐performing loans
of borrowers affected by COVID‐19 to 31 December
2021 from the original timeline of 8 March 2021,
subject to reporting to the BSP.
72 Source: Media releases from the BSP, PSE. and SEC for the
These policy issuances reinforce earlier
pronouncements of the BSP which recognize
MSME loans as alternative compliance with
the reserve requirement as well as relax the
Know‐Your‐Customer requirements for retail
clients to facilitate their access to formal
financing channels.
Overall, these measures are expected to channel
liquidity directly to the MSME sector while ensuring
the health and safety of the financial system.
Annex B. Capital Market Reforms72
Extension of financial relief to borrowers
The SEC directed lending and financing companies
to comply with the “Bayanihan to Heal As One Act”,
which makes a mandatory nationwide moratorium
on loan payments, deferring the collection of
payments and charging of penalties amid the state
of national emergency due to the COVID‐19
pandemic. The implementing rules and regulations
(IRR) of Section 4 of the Bayanihan Law or Republic
Act No. 11469 covers loans extended to individuals,
households, MSMEs, corporate borrowers and
other counterparties.
Ensure sufficient liquidity in the financial system
To ensure sufficient liquidity in the financial
system, the BSP implemented a number of
liquidity‐enhancing policies intended to reassure
markets and restore business confidence, which
include, among others:
₱300 billion (around US$5.9 billion) GS
purchases from the National Government under
repurchase agreement with a term of 3 months,
extendible by another three months subject to
MB approval; and
Purchases of peso‐denominated GS from banks
in the secondary market
period April to June 2019.
42 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
Promotion of continued access to financial services
The SEC approved the issuance of social bonds
to support efforts to contain the COVID‐19
pandemic, manage the resulting socioeconomic
impacts and build resilience to future shocks. Social
bonds are financing instruments whose proceeds
are exclusively used to finance or refinance new or
existing projects that directly aim to address or
mitigate a specific social issue and/or seek to
achieve positive social outcomes. During the
ongoing pandemic, the Commission cited the
potential of the social bond market as a funding
source for promotion of public health, reopening of
businesses and preservation of jobs, and other
COVID‐19‐focused projects. On 17 June 2020, the
SEC approved the country’s first social bond
issuance from the Bank of the Philippine Islands
(BPI), which aims to finance and refinance eligible
MSMEs. BPI’s ₱3.0 billion COVID‐19 Action
Response (CARE) Bonds is in accordance with the
ASEAN Social Bond Standards (SBS).
The BSP also approved a package of measures to
further reduce the financial burden on loans to
MSMEs. These measures include, among others,
reduction of credit risk weights of loans granted to
MSMEs. These likewise complement earlier
monetary actions taken by the BSP to shore up
market confidence and cushion domestic economic
activity, along with various time‐bound relaxation
of various regulations, calculation of penalties on
required reserves, and adjustments in the single
borrower’s limits.73
Manage extreme market volatility
The PSE incorporated a new three‐level circuit
breaker to help manage increased volatility in the
stock market. The previous single level circuit
breaker has been tripped four times since it was
adopted in September 2008, on 27 October 2008
and on 12, 13, and 19 March 2020. The adjustments
are emergency measures necessary to protect
investors and maintain order in the market.
The Level 1 circuit breaker will still be based on
the original circuit breaker policy introduced in
2008, where a 15‐minute market‐wide halt is
73 See Section on Banking Policies for other regulatory relief
implemented when the PSEi drops by 10 percent
from the previous trading session’s level.
The Level 2 circuit breaker is tripped when the
PSEi falls by 15 percent from the previous trading
day’s closing level and involves a 30‐minute
trading halt.
The Level 3 circuit breaker will be triggered,
and trading will be halted for one (1) hour if the
PSEi plunges by 20 percent from the previous
trading session’s closing level.
Encourage the use of e‐payment while
strengthening cybersecurity
The BSP encouraged the use of e‐payments amid
the Luzon‐wide ECQ during the quarter. This was to
minimize face‐to‐face transactions and prevent the
spread of COVID‐19. The BSP Governor urged the
public to use e‐payment services when purchasing
essentials like food and medicines, when
transferring money to accounts of loved ones, and
when paying utility bills, loans and other
obligations. Usage of e‐payments reduces people’s
need for mobility, helps prevent health risks of
physical contact during over‐the‐counter
transactions, partially addresses difficulties of
providing cash supply to ATMs and bank branches,
and supports the general objectives of the ongoing
ECQ.
With more Filipinos turning to digital
transactions amid the COVID‐19 pandemic,
the SEC advised corporations to strengthen their
cybersecurity in their operations and systems and
craft the appropriate policies and measures, in light
of recent reports of hacking incidents. The SEC
noted that the COVID‐19 pandemic has amplified
the advantages of digital technologies, as
companies shifted to low‐touch and online‐only
services in response to the stringent social
distancing and quarantine measures imposed
across the world. In the Philippines, digital
technologies have allowed some companies to
sustain their operations while the country was
placed under ECQ. As digital transactions increased,
however, reports of phishing attempts, data
breaches and other cyber‐attacks likewise emerged.
measures implemented by the BSP during the quarter.
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |43
AE Advanced Economies
AFF Agriculture, Fishery, and Forestry
AONCR Areas Outside the National Capital Region
ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations
BEA Bureau of Economic Analysis (US)
BIR Bureau of Internal Revenue
BLE Bureau of Local Employment
BOC Bureau of Customs
BOE Bank of England
BOJ Bank of Japan
BOP Balance of Payments
BPI Bank of the Philippine Islands
BPO Business Process Outsourcing
BP Basis Point
BSFI Bangko Sentral‐Supervised Financial Institutions
BSP Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
BTr Bureau of the Treasury
CAR Capital Adequacy Ratio
CARE COVID‐19 Action Response
CCR Credit Card Receivable
CDS Credit Default Swap
CET1 Common Equity Tier 1
COVID‐19 Coronavirus Disease
CPI Consumer Price Index
CREATE Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises
CTRP Comprehensive Tax Reform Program
DA Department of Agriculture
DBCC Development Budget Coordination Committee
DBM Department of Budget Management
DOLE Department of Labor and Employment
DSB Debt Service Burden
DSR Debt Service Ratio
ECB European Central Bank
ECQ Enhanced Community Quarantine
EDT Total External Debt
E/FCDUs Expanded/Foreign Currency Deposit Units
EM Emerging Market
EMBIG Emerging Market Bond Index
ETF Exchange‐Traded Funds
FCD Foreign Currency Deposit
FDI Foreign Direct Investment
FPI Foreign Portfolio Investment
FRTB Fixed‐Rate Treasury Bond
FX Foreign Exchange
FXTN Fixed‐Income Treasury Note
GCQ General Community Quarantine
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GIR Gross International Reserves
GNPL Gross Non‐Performing Loan
GOCC Government Owned‐ and Controlled‐Corporations
GS Government Securities
IMF International Monetary Fund
IRR Implementing Rules and Regulations
JCRA Japan Credit Rating Agency
JGB Japan Government Bond
J‐REIT Japanese Real Estate Investment Trust
LCY Local Currency
LEM Loans Especially Mentioned
LFPR Labor Force Participation Rate
LFS Labor Force Survey
LGU Local Government Unit
LIBOR London Interbank Offered Rate
MB Monetary Board
MLT Medium‐ to Long‐Term
MORB Manual of Regulations for Banks
MORNBFI Manual of Regulations for Non‐Bank Financial Institutions
MOS Monetary Operations System
MPC Monetary Policy Committee
MSME Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises
MVL Motor Vehicle Loan
NBQBs Non‐Banks with Quasi‐Banking Functions
NCMB National Conciliation and Mediation Board
NCR National Capital Region
NEDA National Economic and Development Authority
NEER Nominal Effective Exchange Rate
NESDC National Economic and Social Development Council
NFA Net Foreign Assets
NG National Government
NIR Net International Reserves
NNPL Net Non‐Performing Loan
NPSA National Payment Systems Act
NWPC National Wages and Productivity Commission
ODC Other Depository Corporation
ODF Overnight Deposit Facility
OF Overseas Filipino
OLF Overnight Lending Facility
PDEx Philippine Dealing and Exchange Corporation
P/E Price Earnings
PEPP Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program
PhilPass Philippine Payments and Settlements System
PMI Purchasing Managers’ Index
POEA Philippine Overseas Employment Administration
PPP Public‐Private Partnership
ppt Percentage Point PSA Philippine Statistics Authority PSE Philippine Stock Exchange PSEi Philippine Stock Exchange Index QB Quasi Bank
q‐o‐q Quarter‐on‐Quarter
QQE Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing
RB Rural Bank
RCEF Rice Competitiveness Enhancement Fund
REER Real Effective Exchange Rate
List of Acronyms, Abbreviations, and Symbols
44 | Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments
ROP Republic of the Philippines
RREL Residential Real Estate Loan
RRP Reverse Repurchase
RRR Reserve Requirement Ratio
RTB Retail Treasury Bond
SBL Substandard or Below Loans
SBGPCL Salary‐Based General PurposeConsumption Loans
SBS Social Bond Standards
SDR Special Drawing Rights
SEC Securities and Exchange Commission
SIBOR Singapore Interbank Offered Rate
SRC Securities Regulation Code
ST Short Term
T‐bill Thrift Bank
T‐bond Treasury Bill
TDF Term Deposit Facility
TLP Total Loan Portfolio
TPI Trading Partners Index
TPI‐A Trading Partners Index‐Advanced Countries
TPI‐D Trading Partners Index‐Developing Countries
UK United Kingdom
U/KB Universal and Commercial Bank
y‐o‐y Year‐on‐Year
y‐t‐d Year‐to‐Date
List of Acronyms, Abbreviations, and Symbols
Second Quarter 2020 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |45
Report on Economic and Financial Developments Second Quarter 2020 Statistical Tables
1 Gross National Income and Gross Domestic Product by Industrial Origin
1a Gross National Income and Gross Domestic Product by Expenditure Shares
2 Selected Labor, Employment and Wage Indicators
3 Cash Operations of the National Government
4 Consumer Price Index in the Philippines
4a Consumer Price Index in the National Capital Region
4b Consumer Price Index in Areas Outside the National Capital Region
5 Monetary Indicators
6 Selected Domestic Interest Rates
7 Number of Financial Institutions
8 Total Resources of the Philippine Financial System
9 Ratios of Non‐Performing Loans and Loan Loss Provisions to Total Loans of the Banking System
10 Stock Market Transactions
11 Balance of Payments
12 International Reserves of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
13 Exchange Rates of the Peso (Peso per Unit of Foreign Currency)
13a Exchange Rates of the Peso (Unit of Foreign Currency per Peso)
13b Effective Exchange Rate Indices of the Peso
14 Total External Debt
15 Selected Foreign Debt Service Indicators
16 Selected Foreign Interest Rates
17 Balance Sheet of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
18 Income Statement of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
1 GROSS NATIONAL INCOME AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BY INDUSTRIAL ORIGINfor periods indicated
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 427.6 406.6 388.4 520.5 438.5 406.8 388.6 528.7 440.9 409.8 400.1 533.1 439.7 416.4
Industry 1,220.7 1,355.8 1,194.9 1,431.2 1,305.8 1,456.8 1,274.2 1,545.7 1,370.3 1,493.3 1,342.4 1,638.0 1,324.0 1,151.8
Mining and Quarrying 41.6 51.0 30.4 37.0 43.9 49.8 30.0 39.7 45.4 56.8 28.9 38.1 35.9 42.9
Manufacturing 813.3 833.6 726.4 944.4 865.4 891.6 755.2 976.2 910.6 909.8 762.0 1,017.8 875.8 716.5
Electricity, Steam, Water and Waste Management 116.4 133.7 147.0 126.1 125.3 140.8 155.7 135.3 129.5 152.2 167.0 145.2 135.9 143.3
Construction 249.4 337.6 291.1 323.7 271.2 374.7 333.4 394.6 284.7 374.4 384.5 436.9 276.5 249.1
Services 2,311.7 2,674.9 2,559.3 2,684.3 2,471.2 2,856.8 2,734.5 2,857.6 2,646.5 3,071.6 2,933.4 3,089.2 2,662.3 2,586.6
Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of
Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles 633.6 751.5 819.2 853.3 666.9 798.8 863.0 908.7 713.6 867.1 934.8 985.5 727.2 753.2
Transportation and Storage 163.3 185.0 141.0 158.9 177.7 199.2 156.4 164.6 189.7 211.3 168.7 172.4 168.0 86.2
Accommodation and Food Service Activities 90.0 87.0 93.8 100.3 100.5 94.1 100.6 108.1 106.5 98.8 106.6 116.5 89.1 31.6
Information and Communication 110.6 123.4 109.4 140.2 119.6 133.2 114.5 148.5 131.5 140.6 120.8 156.5 138.2 149.9
Financial and Insurance Activities 335.7 368.3 336.1 342.4 365.0 400.1 364.3 368.7 409.0 442.9 411.1 413.2 446.3 473.0
Real Estate and Ownership of Dwellings 266.6 284.6 296.0 281.9 283.2 302.7 312.6 291.2 297.7 317.5 331.9 304.3 290.8 253.6
Professional and Business Services 227.6 305.4 287.5 296.7 239.6 316.6 298.9 304.1 242.4 326.0 306.9 310.8 242.9 266.1
Public Administration and Defense;
Compulsory Social Activities 143.4 185.9 158.9 178.2 162.3 213.8 187.2 204.3 181.3 238.2 203.4 247.9 191.4 258.0
Education 165.0 192.1 163.4 151.4 174.0 202.7 181.6 173.3 182.9 227.1 185.3 181.1 184.9 199.3
Human Health and Social Work Activities 73.9 88.3 73.6 73.5 75.4 86.8 72.2 73.8 77.7 86.3 76.3 80.6 81.4 73.0
Other Services 101.9 103.5 80.3 107.5 107.0 108.7 83.2 112.2 114.2 115.9 87.5 120.4 102.1 42.8
Gross Domestic Product 3,960.0 4,437.3 4,142.6 4,636.0 4,215.6 4,720.4 4,397.2 4,932.0 4,457.6 4,974.7 4,675.9 5,260.2 4,426.0 4,154.8
Net Primary Income from the Rest of the World 488.0 468.2 472.4 479.5 499.4 463.9 497.9 485.9 491.3 465.4 475.2 472.2 462.4 362.9
Gross National Income 4,448.0 4,905.6 4,615.1 5,115.6 4,715.0 5,184.3 4,895.2 5,417.9 4,949.0 5,440.1 5,151.1 5,732.4 4,888.5 4,517.8
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 5.1 6.4 3.5 2.5 2.6 . . 1.6 0.5 0.7 3.0 0.8 ‐0.3 1.6
Industry 5.4 7.0 8.4 7.2 7.0 7.5 6.6 8.0 4.9 2.5 5.4 6.0 ‐3.4 ‐22.9
Mining and Quarrying ‐10.3 9.6 3.8 7.0 5.5 ‐2.4 ‐1.6 7.3 3.4 14.2 ‐3.5 ‐4.0 ‐21.0 ‐24.5
Manufacturing 5.0 8.0 11.0 8.6 6.4 7.0 4.0 3.4 5.2 2.0 0.9 4.3 ‐3.8 ‐21.3
Electricity, Steam, Water and Waste Management 2.6 3.9 4.9 6.7 7.7 5.3 5.9 7.3 3.4 8.1 7.3 7.3 4.9 ‐5.8
Construction 11.7 5.6 4.7 3.8 8.7 11.0 14.5 21.9 5.0 ‐0.1 15.3 10.7 ‐2.9 ‐33.5
Services 7.1 7.4 7.8 7.2 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.5 7.1 7.5 7.3 8.1 0.6 ‐15.8
Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of
Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles 7.2 5.8 7.0 7.5 5.3 6.3 5.3 6.5 7.0 8.6 8.3 8.5 1.9 ‐13.1
Transportation and Storage 10.1 8.4 3.5 6.6 8.8 7.7 10.9 3.6 6.8 6.1 7.9 4.7 ‐11.4 ‐59.2
Accommodation and Food Service Activities 9.2 13.0 12.1 12.2 11.6 8.2 7.2 7.7 6.0 4.9 6.0 7.8 ‐16.4 ‐68.0
Information and Communication 2.6 2.4 6.1 6.7 8.1 8.0 4.7 5.9 9.9 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.1 6.6
Financial and Insurance Activities 7.8 10.1 9.6 6.0 8.7 8.6 8.4 7.7 12.1 10.7 12.8 12.1 9.1 6.8
Real Estate and Ownership of Dwellings 3.8 7.4 6.5 4.8 6.2 6.4 5.6 3.3 5.1 4.9 6.2 4.5 ‐2.3 ‐20.1
Professional and Business Services 9.5 10.4 11.2 10.4 5.3 3.7 4.0 2.5 1.1 3.0 2.7 2.2 0.2 ‐18.4
Public Administration and Defense;
Compulsory Social Activities 7.1 9.9 9.6 9.6 13.2 15.0 17.8 14.7 11.7 11.4 8.7 21.3 5.5 8.3
Education 8.8 5.9 10.2 3.8 5.4 5.6 11.1 14.5 5.1 12.0 2.1 4.5 1.1 ‐12.2
Human Health and Social Work Activities 7.9 7.4 5.7 5.4 2.1 ‐1.7 ‐1.9 0.5 3.0 ‐0.6 5.8 9.2 4.7 ‐15.4
Other Services 3.9 ‐0.3 0.5 4.6 5.0 5.0 3.6 4.3 6.7 6.6 5.2 7.3 ‐10.6 ‐63.0
Gross Domestic Product 6.4 7.2 7.5 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.1 6.4 5.7 5.4 6.3 6.7 ‐0.7 ‐16.5
Net Primary Income from the Rest of the World 5.6 7.0 9.0 2.7 2.3 ‐0.9 5.4 1.3 ‐1.6 0.3 ‐4.6 ‐2.8 ‐5.9 ‐22.0
Gross National Income 6.3 7.2 7.7 6.3 6.0 5.7 6.1 5.9 5.0 4.9 5.2 5.8 ‐1.2 ‐17.0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 . . 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 . 0.1
Industry 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.3 1.9 2.5 1.5 0.8 1.6 1.9 ‐1.0 ‐6.9
Mining and Quarrying ‐0.1 0.1 . 0.1 0.1 . . 0.1 . 0.1 . . ‐0.2 ‐0.3
Manufacturing 1.0 1.5 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.8 ‐0.8 ‐3.9
Electricity, Steam, Water and Waste Management 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 ‐0.2
Construction 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.5 0.3 . 1.2 0.9 ‐0.2 ‐2.5
Services 4.1 4.4 4.8 4.1 4.0 4.1 4.2 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.5 4.7 0.4 ‐9.7
Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of
Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.4 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.6 0.3 ‐2.3
Transportation and Storage 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 ‐0.5 ‐2.5
Accommodation and Food Service Activities 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 ‐0.4 ‐1.4
Information and Communication 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
Financial and Insurance Activities 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.6
Real Estate and Ownership of Dwellings 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 ‐0.2 ‐1.3
Professional and Business Services 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 . ‐1.2
Public Administration and Defense;
Compulsory Social Activities 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.2 0.4
Education 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.2 . ‐0.6
Human Health and Social Work Activities 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 . . . . 0.1 . 0.1 0.1 0.1 ‐0.3
Other Services 0.1 . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 ‐0.3 ‐1.5
Gross Domestic Product 6.4 7.2 7.5 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.1 6.4 5.7 5.4 6.3 6.7 ‐0.7 ‐16.5
Note: Total may not add up due to rounding.
The PSA released the revised and rebased to 2018 National Accounts of the Philippines (NSP) on 20 April 2020. The salient features of the revision and rebasing are as follows: (1) adoption of the 2008 System of National Accounts (SNA) recommendations and latest classification systems; (2) inclusion of
new industries and expenditure commodities; and (3) updating of the base year to 2018.
. Rounds off to zero
Source of basic data: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)
CONTRIBUTION TO GDP GROWTH (in percentage point)
2017 2018 2019 2020
ANNUAL CHANGE (in percent)
2017 2018 2019 2020
LEVELS (in billion pesos; at constant 2018 prices)
2017 2018 2019 2020
1a GROSS NATIONAL INCOME AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BY EXPENDITURE SHARESfor periods indicated
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Household Final Consumption Expenditure 2,943.5 3,073.4 2,983.4 3,527.5 3,114.8 3,263.9 3,148.7 3,722.7 3,309.0 3,447.0 3,338.0 3,933.2 3,316.8 2,913.2
Government Final Consumption Expenditure 433.8 583.7 464.8 457.6 494.2 655.5 531.8 518.2 526.0 700.2 578.4 606.3 562.9 854.7
Gross Capital Formation 1,007.1 1,132.6 1,066.6 1,250.0 1,042.6 1,305.2 1,246.2 1,365.0 1,144.6 1,294.8 1,245.0 1,399.3 945.4 602.0
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 948.5 1,133.8 1,086.8 1,242.9 1,040.5 1,335.0 1,244.8 1,363.0 1,121.3 1,296.3 1,317.8 1,441.7 1,072.4 806.8
Construction 516.6 704.8 627.4 709.4 591.6 816.1 710.2 821.9 648.2 826.8 811.5 915.7 620.0 554.7
Durable Equipment 326.5 321.6 346.8 393.2 333.3 398.6 407.7 387.4 351.8 338.5 368.2 362.3 331.0 128.2
Breeding Stocks & Orchard Development 82.8 87.3 84.4 113.8 90.4 94.9 92.1 120.3 92.3 97.7 91.7 122.0 91.2 99.9
Intellectual Property Products 22.7 20.1 28.1 26.6 25.2 25.5 34.8 33.3 29.0 33.2 46.4 41.8 30.3 24.0
Changes in Inventories 58.6 ‐1.2 ‐20.3 5.7 1.1 ‐30.4 1.3 1.1 23.0 ‐2.0 ‐73.2 ‐42.7 ‐127.2 ‐204.9
Valuables 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2
Exports of Goods and Services 1,181.4 1,307.5 1,304.9 1,141.7 1,334.8 1,454.3 1,435.1 1,294.4 1,390.4 1,499.5 1,461.6 1,298.7 1,328.6 944.1
Less: Imports of Goods and Services 1,592.6 1,685.0 1,638.3 1,767.5 1,750.4 1,997.9 1,933.5 1,980.5 1,905.6 1,999.2 1,931.3 1,967.3 1,740.6 1,198.7
Statistical Discrepancy ‐13.2 25.2 ‐38.8 26.8 ‐20.5 39.4 ‐31.1 12.2 ‐6.7 32.4 ‐15.8 ‐10.0 12.9 39.5
Gross Domestic Product 3,960.0 4,437.3 4,142.6 4,636.0 4,215.6 4,720.4 4,397.2 4,932.0 4,457.6 4,974.7 4,675.9 5,260.2 4,426.0 4,154.8
Net Primary Income from the Rest of the World 488.0 468.2 472.4 479.5 499.4 463.9 497.9 485.9 491.3 465.4 475.2 472.2 462.4 362.9
Gross National Income 4,448.0 4,905.6 4,615.1 5,115.6 4,715.0 5,184.3 4,895.2 5,417.9 4,949.0 5,440.1 5,151.1 5,732.4 4,888.5 4,517.8
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Household Final Consumption Expenditure 6.0 6.0 5.5 6.3 5.8 6.2 5.5 5.5 6.2 5.6 6.0 5.7 0.2 ‐15.5
Government Final Consumption Expenditure ‐2.1 7.1 7.9 13.8 13.9 12.3 14.4 13.2 6.4 6.8 8.8 17.0 7.0 22.1
Gross Capital Formation 16.9 9.5 10.2 8.3 3.5 15.2 16.8 9.2 9.8 ‐0.8 ‐0.1 2.5 ‐17.4 ‐53.5
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 11.8 8.9 10.0 11.7 9.7 17.7 14.5 9.7 7.8 ‐2.9 5.9 5.8 ‐4.4 ‐37.8
Construction 8.5 7.5 8.2 10.7 14.5 15.8 13.2 15.8 9.6 1.3 14.3 11.4 ‐4.4 ‐32.9
Durable Equipment 17.7 9.8 12.9 14.7 2.1 23.9 17.5 ‐1.5 5.5 ‐15.1 ‐9.7 ‐6.5 ‐5.9 ‐62.1
Breeding Stocks & Orchard Development 6.3 8.6 6.9 5.9 9.2 8.8 9.1 5.8 2.1 3.0 ‐0.5 1.4 ‐1.1 2.2
Intellectual Property Products 30.4 63.5 26.9 24.6 11.2 26.5 23.7 25.5 15.2 30.4 33.5 25.4 4.2 ‐27.7
Changes in Inventories
Valuables ‐71.0 ‐95.7 ‐83.7 1,467.6 2,637.9 2,823.6 125.3 ‐32.8 ‐76.9 ‐14.1 182.9 ‐68.9 ‐24.8 ‐56.9
Exports of Goods and Services 12.3 15.9 23.0 18.5 13.0 11.2 10.0 13.4 4.2 3.1 1.8 0.3 ‐4.4 ‐37.0
Less: Imports of Goods and Services 13.9 13.0 16.0 17.7 9.9 18.6 18.0 12.0 8.9 0.1 ‐0.1 ‐0.7 ‐8.7 ‐40.0
Gross Domestic Product 6.4 7.2 7.5 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.1 6.4 5.7 5.4 6.3 6.7 ‐0.7 ‐16.5
Net Primary Income from the Rest of the World 5.6 7.0 9.0 2.7 2.3 ‐0.9 5.4 1.3 ‐1.6 0.3 ‐4.6 ‐2.8 ‐5.9 ‐22.0
Gross National Income 6.3 7.2 7.7 6.3 6.0 5.7 6.1 5.9 5.0 4.9 5.2 5.8 ‐1.2 ‐17.0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Household Final Consumption Expenditure 4.4 4.2 4.0 4.8 4.3 4.3 4.0 4.2 4.6 3.9 4.3 4.3 0.2 ‐10.7
Government Final Consumption Expenditure ‐0.3 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.8 0.8 3.1
Gross Capital Formation 3.9 2.4 2.6 2.2 0.9 3.9 4.3 2.5 2.4 ‐0.2 . 0.7 ‐4.5 ‐13.9
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 2.7 2.2 2.6 3.0 2.3 4.5 3.8 2.6 1.9 ‐0.8 1.7 1.6 ‐1.1 ‐9.8
Construction 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.5 2.0 2.4 1.3 0.2 2.3 1.9 ‐0.6 ‐5.5
Durable Equipment 1.3 0.7 1.0 1.2 0.2 1.7 1.5 ‐0.1 0.4 ‐1.3 ‐0.9 ‐0.5 ‐0.5 ‐4.2
Breeding Stocks & Orchard Development 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 . 0.1 . . . .
Intellectual Property Products 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 . ‐0.2
Changes in Inventories 1.2 0.1 . ‐0.8 ‐1.5 ‐0.7 0.5 ‐0.1 0.5 0.6 ‐1.7 ‐0.9 ‐3.4 ‐4.1
Valuables . . . . 0.0 . . . . . . . . .
Exports of Goods and Services 3.5 4.3 6.3 4.1 3.9 3.3 3.1 3.3 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.1 ‐1.4 ‐11.2
Less: Imports of Goods and Services 5.2 4.7 5.9 6.1 4.0 7.0 7.1 4.6 3.7 0.0 ‐0.1 ‐0.3 ‐3.7 ‐16.1
Gross Domestic Product 6.4 7.2 7.5 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.1 6.4 5.7 5.4 6.3 6.7 ‐0.7 ‐16.5
Note: Total may not add up due to rounding.
The PSA released the revised and rebased to 2018 National Accounts of the Philippines (NSP) on 20 April 2020. The salient features of the revision and rebasing are as follows: (1) adoption of the 2008 System of National Accounts (SNA) recommendations and latest classification systems; (2) inclusion of
new industries and expenditure commodities; and (3) updating of the base year to 2018.
* means more than 1000 percent
Source of basic data: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)
2018
CONTRIBUTION TO GDP GROWTH (in percentage point)
2020
2019 2020
2017 2018 2019 2020
ANNUAL CHANGE (in percent)
2017
LEVELS (in billion pesos; at constant 2018 prices)
2017 2018 2019
2 SELECTED LABOR, EMPLOYMENT AND WAGE INDICATORS
Employment Status 1
Labor Force (in thousands) 42,109 42,714 42,544 43,732 44,075 43,257 42,979 43,528 43,313 44,022 45,385 45,194 45,043 41,018
Employed 39,347 40,271 40,171 41,547 41,755 40,896 40,650 41,325 41,030 41,755 42,953 43,144 42,653 33,764
Employment Created ‐1,342 ‐393 ‐783 ‐138 2,408 625 479 ‐221 ‐726 858 2,303 1,819 1,624 ‐7,991
Agriculture ‐881 125 ‐1,027 ‐1,428 841 ‐723 ‐750 ‐419 ‐2,023 ‐732 716 168 817 ‐316
Industry ‐1 41 434 368 716 606 176 406 616 43 153 236 ‐163 ‐2,337
Services ‐460 ‐559 ‐189 922 850 742 1,052 ‐208 681 1,548 1,435 1,415 969 ‐5,338
Unemployed 2,761 2,443 2,373 2,185 2,320 2,361 2,329 2,203 2,283 2,267 2,432 2,050 2,390 7,254
Underemployed 6,398 6,468 6,541 6,616 7,498 6,935 7,003 5,502 6,326 5,607 5,955 5,616 6,317 6,388
Labor Force Participation Rate (%) 60.7 61.4 60.6 62.1 62.2 60.9 60.1 60.6 60.3 61.3 62.1 61.5 61.7 55.6
Employment Rate (%) 93.4 94.3 94.4 95.0 94.7 94.5 94.6 94.9 94.7 94.9 94.6 95.5 94.7 82.3
Unemployment Rate (%) 6.6 5.7 5.6 5.0 5.3 5.5 5.4 5.1 5.3 5.1 5.4 4.5 5.3 17.7
Underemployment Rate (%) 16.3 16.1 16.3 15.9 18.0 17.0 17.2 13.3 15.4 13.4 13.9 13.0 14.8 18.9
NCR Labor Turnover Rate (%) 1.3 2.1 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.7
Philippine Labor Turnover Rate 2 (%) 1.6 1.7 0.8 0.8
Overseas Employment (Deployed, in thousands) 609 611 472 301
Land‐based 488 493 388 245
Sea‐based 121 118 84 56
Strikes
Number of New Strikes 2 4 3 0 2 2 7 3 6 3 4 5 4 0 a
Number of Workers Involved 352 693 434 0 510 1,533 1,131 4,928 835 498 1,108 1,104 2,554 0 a
Nominal Daily Wage Rates 3 (in pesos)
Non‐Agricultural
NCR 491.0 491.0 491.0 512.0 512.0 512.0 512.0 537.0 537.0 537.0 537.0 537.0 537.0 537.0
Regions Outside NCR 378.5 380.0 380.0 380.0 380.0 400.0 400.0 400.0 400.0 400.0 400.0 400.0 420.0 420.0
Agricultural
NCR
Plantation 454.0 454.0 454.0 475.0 475.0 475.0 475.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0
Non‐Plantation 454.0 454.0 454.0 475.0 475.0 475.0 475.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0
Regions Outside NCR
Plantation 353.5 353.5 353.5 353.5 353.5 370.0 370.0 370.0 391.0 391.0 391.0 391.0 394.0 394.0
Non‐Plantation 348.0 348.0 348.0 348.0 348.0 356.0 368.0 368.0 391.0 391.0 391.0 391.0 394.0 394.0
Real Daily Wage Rates 4 (in pesos), 2006=100
Non‐Agricultural
NCR 357.9 358.1 349.7 360.3 449.9 447.2 437.6 460.9 457.4 455.5 455.1 448.3 449.8 446.8
Regions Outside NCR 262.1 254.4 253.2 251.2 333.6 348.7 341.9 342.5 340.7 340.1 337.3 332.2 346.5 345.7
Agricultural
NCR
Plantation 330.9 331.2 323.4 334.3 417.4 414.9 406.0 429.2 425.9 424.1 423.7 417.4 418.8 416.0
Non‐Plantation 330.9 331.2 323.4 334.3 417.4 414.9 406.0 429.2 425.9 424.1 423.7 417.4 418.8 416.0
Regions Outside NCR
Plantation 244.8 245.5 243.3 240.6 310.9 322.6 316.2 316.8 325.3 322.9 321.6 319.7 312.5 310.7
Non‐Plantation 230.0 228.2 227.0 224.7 290.0 310.4 297.3 300.4 325.3 322.9 321.6 319.7 312.5 310.7
Note: Details may not add up due to rounding.1 Starting April 2016 round, the Labor Force Survey (LFS) adopted the 2013 Master Sample Design, with a sample size of approximately 44,000 households as well as the population projections based on the
2010 Census of Population and Housing (CPH). Meanwhile, previous survey rounds were derived using 2000 CPH population projections. Starting January 2017 round, Computer Aided Personal Interviewing (CAPI)
using Tablet was utilized in the LFS enumeration. 2 Starting Q1 2018, the Labor Turnover Survey covered establishments based within and outside the NCR. Meanwhile, previous survey rounds covered NCR enterprises only.3 Data on nominal and real wage rates are sourced from the the National Wages and Productivity Commission, including basic minimum wage and cost of living allowance (COLA). Starting 2006, annual figures reflect
December data. Figures outside the NCR represent the highest nominal regional rates in a given category and its corresponding value in real terms.4 Starting 10 November 1990, adjustments in the minimum legislated wage rates are being determined by the Regional Tripartite Wages Productivity Board. Starting 2018, real terms is computed using 2012 as base year,
while previous data were computed using 2006 as base year.p Preliminarya As of May 2020
Sources of data: Philippine Overseas Employment Administration (POEA), National Wages and Productivity Commission (NWPC), National Conciliation and Mediation Board (NCMB),
Department of Labor and Employment (DOLE) ‐ Bureau of Local Employment (BLE) and Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA).
Q2Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Q4 Q1Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Q1 Q2 Q3
2017 2018 2019 2020
3 CASH OPERATIONS OF THE NATIONAL GOVERNMENTfor periods indicated; in billion pesos
Revenues 532.4 644.0 625.1 671.7 619.8 790.7 701.0 738.7 687.7 859.8 780.4 809.6 763.1 r 690.2
Ratio to GDP (in pecent) 1 14.2 15.5 15.6 14.5 15.1 17.3 15.8 14.4 15.5 17.7 16.5 14.7 17.2 r 16.6
Tax 480.0 589.0 570.0 611.8 558.7 696.1 640.6 670.6 616.0 765.0 709.5 737.3 620.8 595.5
Non‐tax 52.4 55.0 55.1 59.9 61.1 94.7 60.4 68.1 71.7 94.8 70.9 72.2 142.2 r 94.7
Expenditures 615.4 715.5 683.7 809.2 772.0 831.6 886.2 918.7 778.0 812.2 1,036.7 1,170.8 849.2 1,164.5
Ratio to GDP (in pecent) 1 16.4 17.2 17.0 17.4 18.8 18.2 19.9 17.9 17.6 16.7 21.9 21.3 19.1 28.1
Interest Payments 97.9 53.7 97.4 61.6 97.2 68.3 105.8 77.9 107.8 72.3 113.7 67.1 119.9 67.8
Equity 0.0 3.2 . 2.1 2.0 0.6 1.3 0.1 . 0.5 1.1 1.6 0.0 0.6
Net Lending ‐1.7 0.4 ‐4.1 1.2 ‐0.2 1.6 5.5 ‐2.0 3.5 15.3 ‐2.9 1.2 ‐8.9 ‐21.1
Subsidy 19.7 38.6 25.4 47.5 45.3 22.5 57.1 11.8 9.3 17.4 130.4 44.5 36.2 133.4
Allotment to LGUs 122.4 151.3 128.3 128.2 148.7 153.9 140.2 132.8 149.5 146.2 162.6 159.6 187.6 221.6
Tax Expenditures 2 0.2 1.4 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.5 2.7 5.8 0.4 3.3 8.1 3.7 0.7 1.1
Others ‐ NG Disbursements 377.0 466.9 436.1 567.5 477.4 582.2 573.7 692.2 507.5 557.1 623.7 893.1 513.7 761.1
Surplus/Deficit (‐) ‐83.0 ‐71.5 ‐58.6 ‐137.6 ‐152.2 ‐40.8 ‐185.2 ‐180.0 ‐90.2 47.6 ‐256.3 ‐361.2 ‐86.2 r ‐474.3
Ratio to GDP (in pecent) 1 ‐2.2 ‐1.7 ‐1.5 ‐3.0 ‐3.7 ‐0.9 ‐4.2 ‐3.5 ‐2.0 1.0 ‐5.4 ‐6.6 ‐1.9 r ‐11.4
Primary Balance 3 14.9 ‐17.8 38.8 ‐76.0 ‐55.0 27.5 ‐79.4 ‐102.1 17.5 119.9 ‐142.7 ‐294.1 33.7 r ‐406.5
Ratio to GDP (in pecent) 1 0.4 ‐0.4 1.0 ‐1.6 ‐1.3 0.6 ‐1.8 ‐2.0 0.4 2.5 ‐3.0 ‐5.3 0.8 r ‐9.8
Financing 4 117.4 276.4 106.0 259.1 144.1 235.8 209.7 193.6 582.0 150.1 65.5 78.6 800.6 r 747.4
External Borrowings 29.8 ‐1.6 9.3 ‐9.9 82.8 ‐7.0 116.3 ‐0.3 91.8 25.7 55.0 12.4 51.3 248.7
Domestic Borrowings 87.7 278.0 96.6 269.0 61.3 242.9 93.4 193.9 490.3 124.4 10.5 66.2 749.3 r 498.7
Total Change in Cash: Deposit/Withdrawal (‐) 50.5 126.3 ‐24.0 102.7 ‐61.9 36.4 ‐26.6 ‐0.6 355.0 156.5 ‐269.6 ‐466.5 655.0 45.1
Note: Details may not add up due to rounding.
. rounds off to zeror revised1 Updated to reflect the revised GDP, based on the revised and rebased national accounts released by the PSA.2 Excludes documentary stamps3 Primary balance is the government fiscal balance excluding interest payments.4 Based on the revised data on financing, which are sourced from the National Government Cash Operations of the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) to conform with the Government Finance Statistics Manual (GFSM) 2014 concept where reporting of debt amortization
reflects the actual principal repayments to creditor including those serviced by the Bond Sinking Fund (BSF), while financing includes gross proceeds of liability management transactions such as bond exchange.
Source of Data: Bureau of the Treasury (BTr)
Q2Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2017
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q4
2018 2019 2020
5
4 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX IN THE PHILIPPINES (2012=100)
for periods indicated; quarterly averages
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
All Items 110.6 111.0 111.5 112.7 114.8 116.3 118.4 119.4 119.2 119.8 120.4 121.3 122.4 122.5
Food and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 114.7 114.9 115.7 117.4 120.4 121.7 125.5 126.8 125.9 125.4 126.1 127.2 128.8 129.2
Food 115.3 115.6 116.4 118.2 121.1 122.0 125.9 127.3 126.1 125.6 126.2 127.3 129.0 129.4
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 153.6 155.8 157.5 159.5 178.0 187.7 191.6 194.1 201.1 205.6 212.8 228.1 238.2 242.9
Non‐Food 106.8 107.4 107.6 108.5 109.6 111.0 112.0 112.7 112.9 113.9 114.3 114.7 115.3 115.0
Clothing and Footwear 113.8 114.3 114.8 115.2 116.1 116.8 117.6 118.2 118.9 119.6 120.7 121.4 122.1 122.6
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 105.7 106.4 106.0 107.5 108.6 110.1 111.5 112.1 112.6 113.6 113.3 113.5 114.7 113.9
Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 95.5 96.9 94.9 98.4 99.6 102.9 105.0 105.1 104.5 106.0 102.6 102.5 103.7 100.7
Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 111.9 112.4 113.0 113.5 114.6 115.7 116.9 117.8 118.8 119.4 120.3 121.2 123.1 124.3
Health 111.8 112.2 112.6 112.9 114.3 115.2 117.1 118.0 119.0 119.4 120.7 121.5 122.4 122.8
Transport 97.4 98.2 98.5 100.0 102.2 104.1 106.3 107.2 104.6 107.2 106.1 106.5 105.6 103.8
Operation of Personal Transport Equipment 82.2 80.7 82.2 87.0 92.9 98.5 101.6 99.6 94.4 100.6 97.6 97.8 94.9 81.5
Communication 100.7 100.7 100.8 100.9 100.9 101.0 101.2 101.3 101.3 101.4 101.5 101.6 101.7 101.7
Recreation and Culture 109.7 110.0 111.0 110.9 111.2 111.5 113.3 114.4 114.7 115.0 115.7 116.0 116.4 116.6
Education 117.9 118.5 120.0 120.0 120.0 121.5 115.4 115.5 115.4 116.6 120.5 120.8 120.8 120.8
Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 108.6 108.9 109.6 110.1 111.4 112.8 113.9 114.9 115.8 116.5 117.5 118.1 118.8 119.3
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
All Items 1.1 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.9 1.3 1.8 0.8 ‐0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.1
Food and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 0.9 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.6 1.1 3.1 1.0 ‐0.7 ‐0.4 0.6 0.9 1.3 0.3
Food 0.9 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.5 0.7 3.2 1.1 ‐0.9 ‐0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 0.3
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 2.6 1.4 1.1 1.3 11.6 5.4 2.1 1.3 3.6 2.2 3.5 7.2 4.4 2.0
Non‐Food 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.8 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.5 ‐0.3
Clothing and Footwear 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.4
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 1.4 0.7 ‐0.4 1.4 1.0 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.9 ‐0.3 0.2 1.1 ‐0.7
Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 4.0 1.5 ‐2.1 3.7 1.2 3.3 2.0 0.1 ‐0.6 1.4 ‐3.2 ‐0.1 1.2 ‐2.9
Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.7 1.6 1.0
Health 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 1.2 0.8 1.6 0.8 0.8 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.3
Transport 2.4 0.8 0.3 1.5 2.2 1.9 2.1 0.8 ‐2.4 2.5 ‐1.0 0.4 ‐0.8 ‐1.7
Operation of Personal Transport Equipment 5.9 ‐1.8 1.9 5.8 6.8 6.0 3.1 ‐2.0 ‐5.2 6.6 ‐3.0 0.2 ‐3.0 ‐14.1
Communication 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Recreation and Culture 0.2 0.3 0.9 ‐0.1 0.3 0.3 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2
Education 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 ‐5.0 0.1 ‐0.1 1.0 3.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.5 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
All Items 2.9 2.8 2.7 3.0 3.8 4.8 6.2 5.9 3.8 3.0 1.7 1.6 2.7 2.3
Food and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 2.9 3.1 2.9 3.3 5.0 5.9 8.5 8.0 4.6 3.0 0.5 0.3 2.3 3.0
Food 3.0 3.3 3.2 3.4 5.0 5.5 8.2 7.7 4.1 3.0 0.2 0.0 2.3 3.0
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 7.0 7.2 6.8 6.5 15.9 20.5 21.7 21.7 13.0 9.5 11.1 17.5 18.4 18.1
Non‐Food 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.7 2.6 3.4 4.1 3.9 3.0 2.6 2.1 1.8 2.1 1.0
Clothing and Footwear 2.8 2.7 2.3 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.5
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 2.9 2.9 2.0 3.2 2.7 3.5 5.2 4.3 3.7 3.2 1.6 1.2 1.9 0.3
Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 5.2 5.9 3.6 7.2 4.3 6.2 10.6 6.8 4.9 3.0 ‐2.3 ‐2.5 ‐0.8 ‐5.0
Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.5 3.8 3.7 3.2 2.9 2.9 3.6 4.1
Health 3.2 2.9 2.5 1.9 2.2 2.7 4.0 4.5 4.1 3.6 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8
Transport 5.1 4.6 5.2 5.2 4.9 6.0 7.9 7.2 2.3 3.0 ‐0.2 ‐0.7 1.0 ‐3.2
Operation of Personal Transport Equipment 16.1 6.7 9.5 12.1 13.0 22.1 23.6 14.5 1.6 2.1 ‐3.9 ‐1.8 0.5 ‐19.0
Communication 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3
Recreation and Culture 1.0 1.0 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.1 3.2 3.1 3.1 2.1 1.4 1.5 1.4
Education 3.1 2.8 2.1 1.9 1.8 2.5 ‐3.8 ‐3.8 ‐3.8 ‐4.0 4.4 4.6 4.7 3.6
Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 1.9 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.6 3.6 3.9 4.4 3.9 3.3 3.2 2.8 2.6 2.4
Source of basic data: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)
Year‐on‐Year Change (in percent)
2020 2017 2018 2019
2019
2017 2018 2019
2017 2018 2020
Quarter‐on‐Quarter Change (in percent)
2020
4a CONSUMER PRICE INDEX IN THE NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION (2012=100)
for periods indicated; quarterly averages
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
All Items 107.6 108.5 109.0 110.8 112.8 114.2 116.2 116.9 117.1 117.8 118.0 119.0 119.6 119.6
Food and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 117.5 118.7 119.6 122.1 125.2 125.7 129.6 130.1 130.2 130.3 131.4 133.8 134.6 134.0
Food 118.8 120.1 121.0 123.7 126.8 126.5 130.6 130.9 131.0 131.0 132.1 134.8 135.6 134.9
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 143.0 147.2 149.0 150.3 172.0 180.3 181.4 182.1 184.2 185.9 190.0 203.2 209.3 211.8
Non‐Food 103.0 103.6 104.1 105.6 106.8 108.4 109.6 110.4 110.7 111.6 111.3 111.6 112.0 112.2
Clothing and Footwear 114.7 115.7 116.3 116.7 117.4 118.4 118.8 119.5 120.3 120.4 120.8 121.1 121.5 121.8
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 99.5 100.2 99.7 102.3 103.8 105.7 106.4 106.8 107.7 108.6 107.2 107.3 107.5 107.0
Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 81.8 83.7 79.5 86.2 87.3 91.9 93.4 93.0 93.3 94.4 88.1 88.3 87.0 83.5
Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 111.1 112.1 112.6 113.0 113.8 115.5 116.1 116.6 117.1 117.3 117.7 118.0 121.3 124.1
Health 112.2 113.2 114.5 114.5 115.3 115.9 119.7 120.1 121.1 121.2 122.2 122.4 123.8 123.8
Transport 95.0 96.0 97.7 99.5 101.3 102.7 107.3 109.1 106.5 107.9 106.4 106.7 106.2 108.0
Operation of Personal Transport Equipment 83.4 81.6 85.0 90.8 95.5 99.8 102.8 100.2 96.3 101.3 96.7 97.1 95.8 84.0
Communication 100.6 100.7 100.8 100.8 100.9 101.1 101.3 101.4 101.4 101.4 101.6 101.6 101.6 101.7
Recreation and Culture 109.2 109.7 110.1 110.2 110.4 111.0 112.2 113.0 113.3 113.5 113.7 113.9 114.3 114.3
Education 119.2 119.8 121.1 121.1 121.1 123.3 123.0 123.0 122.8 124.8 129.3 129.7 129.8 129.8
Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 104.3 104.8 105.9 106.7 108.0 109.9 110.7 111.9 112.7 113.6 114.3 115.0 115.6 115.8
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
All Items 1.3 0.8 0.5 1.7 1.8 1.2 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.0
Food and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 1.1 1.0 0.8 2.1 2.5 0.4 3.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.8 0.6 ‐0.4
Food 1.2 1.1 0.7 2.2 2.5 ‐0.2 3.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.6 ‐0.5
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 3.5 2.9 1.2 0.9 14.4 4.8 0.6 0.4 1.2 0.9 2.2 6.9 3.0 1.2
Non‐Food 1.4 0.6 0.5 1.4 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.8 ‐0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2
Clothing and Footwear 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 1.7 0.7 ‐0.5 2.6 1.5 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.8 ‐1.3 0.1 0.2 ‐0.5
Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 8.2 2.3 ‐5.0 8.4 1.3 5.3 1.6 ‐0.4 0.3 1.2 ‐6.7 0.2 ‐1.5 ‐4.0
Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 2.8 2.3
Health 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.0 0.7 0.5 3.3 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.2 1.1 0.0
Transport 4.1 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.4 4.5 1.7 ‐2.4 1.3 ‐1.4 0.3 ‐0.5 1.7
Operation of Personal Transport Equipment 6.6 ‐2.2 4.2 6.8 5.2 4.5 3.0 ‐2.5 ‐3.9 5.2 ‐4.5 0.4 ‐1.3 ‐12.3
Communication 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
Recreation and Culture 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.0
Education 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.8 ‐0.2 0.0 ‐0.2 1.6 3.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.8 1.2 1.8 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
All Items 3.3 3.7 3.5 4.3 4.8 5.3 6.6 5.5 3.8 3.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 1.5
Food and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 5.5 6.1 5.4 5.1 6.6 5.9 8.4 6.6 4.0 3.7 1.4 2.8 3.4 2.8
Food 6.0 6.7 5.8 5.4 6.7 5.3 7.9 5.8 3.3 3.6 1.1 3.0 3.5 3.0
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 7.8 9.5 8.8 8.8 20.3 22.5 21.7 21.2 7.1 3.1 4.7 11.6 13.6 13.9
Non‐Food 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.9 3.7 4.6 5.3 4.5 3.7 3.0 1.6 1.1 1.2 0.5
Clothing and Footwear 2.4 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.4 2.5 1.7 1.7 1.3 1.0 1.2
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 1.5 2.2 1.7 4.6 4.3 5.5 6.7 4.4 3.8 2.7 0.8 0.5 ‐0.2 ‐1.5
Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 5.7 9.0 4.2 14.0 6.7 9.8 17.5 7.9 6.9 2.7 ‐5.7 ‐5.1 ‐6.8 ‐11.5
Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 1.9 2.6 2.2 2.1 2.4 3.0 3.1 3.2 2.9 1.6 1.4 1.2 3.6 5.8
Health 2.0 2.6 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.4 4.5 4.9 5.0 4.6 2.1 1.9 2.2 2.1
Transport 6.5 6.8 8.8 9.0 6.6 7.0 9.8 9.6 5.1 5.1 ‐0.8 ‐2.2 ‐0.3 0.1
Operation of Personal Transport Equipment 19.5 8.9 13.9 16.1 14.5 22.3 20.9 10.4 0.8 1.5 ‐5.9 ‐3.1 ‐0.5 ‐17.1
Communication 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3
Recreation and Culture 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.9 2.5 2.6 2.3 1.3 0.8 0.9 0.7
Education 3.0 2.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.9 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.2 5.1 5.4 5.7 4.0
Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 1.7 1.4 2.3 2.8 3.5 4.9 4.5 4.9 4.4 3.4 3.3 2.8 2.6 1.9
Source of basic data: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)
2018 2019
2019
2017 2018 2019
2020
Year‐on‐Year Change (in percent)
2020
Quarter‐on‐Quarter Change (in percent)
2020
2017 2018
2017
4b CONSUMER PRICE INDEX IN AREAS OUTSIDE THE NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION (2012=100)
for periods indicated; quarterly averages
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
All Items 111.4 111.8 112.2 113.3 115.4 117.0 119.1 120.2 119.9 120.3 121.1 121.9 123.3 123.3
Food and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 114.1 114.2 114.9 116.4 119.4 120.9 124.6 126.2 125.0 124.4 125.0 125.9 127.6 128.2
Food 114.6 114.7 115.4 117.1 120.0 121.2 125.0 126.6 125.2 124.5 125.0 125.9 127.7 128.3
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 155.8 157.6 159.3 161.4 179.2 189.2 193.7 196.6 204.6 209.6 217.5 233.3 244.2 249.3
Non‐Food 108.2 108.7 108.8 109.5 110.7 112.0 112.8 113.5 113.7 114.7 115.3 115.8 116.5 116.0
Clothing and Footwear 113.6 113.9 114.4 114.8 115.7 116.4 117.3 117.9 118.6 119.4 120.7 121.5 122.3 122.8
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 108.3 109.0 108.6 109.6 110.6 112.0 113.6 114.3 114.7 115.7 115.9 116.1 117.6 116.8
Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 100.0 101.3 99.9 102.3 103.6 106.5 108.7 109.0 108.1 109.9 107.3 107.0 109.1 106.4
Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 112.1 112.5 113.1 113.6 114.8 115.8 117.1 118.2 119.3 120.0 121.1 122.2 123.7 124.3
Health 111.7 111.9 112.2 112.5 114.0 115.1 116.5 117.5 118.5 119.0 120.4 121.2 122.1 122.6
Transport 98.1 98.8 98.7 100.1 102.5 104.5 105.9 106.6 104.0 107.0 106.0 106.5 105.5 102.5
Operation of Personal Transport Equipment 81.7 80.4 81.3 85.8 92.1 98.0 101.3 99.4 93.8 100.4 97.9 98.1 94.6 80.7
Communication 100.7 100.7 100.8 100.9 100.9 101.0 101.2 101.3 101.3 101.4 101.5 101.6 101.7 101.7
Recreation and Culture 109.8 110.0 111.2 111.1 111.4 111.7 113.7 114.8 115.1 115.5 116.3 116.7 117.1 117.3
Education 117.5 118.1 119.7 119.7 119.7 120.9 112.9 113.0 113.0 113.9 117.6 117.8 117.8 117.8
Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 110.3 110.5 111.0 111.5 112.7 113.9 115.1 116.1 117.1 117.6 118.7 119.3 120.1 120.6
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
All Items 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.9 1.4 1.8 0.9 ‐0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.1 0.0
Food and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 0.8 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.6 1.3 3.1 1.3 ‐1.0 ‐0.5 0.5 0.7 1.4 0.5
Food 0.8 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.5 1.0 3.1 1.3 ‐1.1 ‐0.6 0.4 0.7 1.4 0.5
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 2.4 1.2 1.1 1.3 11.0 5.6 2.4 1.5 4.1 2.4 3.8 7.3 4.7 2.1
Non‐Food 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.6 ‐0.4
Clothing and Footwear 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.4
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 1.4 0.6 ‐0.4 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.9 0.2 0.2 1.3 ‐0.7
Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 3.1 1.3 ‐1.4 2.4 1.3 2.8 2.1 0.3 ‐0.8 1.7 ‐2.4 ‐0.3 2.0 ‐2.5
Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 1.1 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.5
Health 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.3 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.4 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.4
Transport 1.9 0.7 ‐0.1 1.4 2.4 2.0 1.3 0.7 ‐2.4 2.9 ‐0.9 0.5 ‐0.9 ‐2.8
Operation of Personal Transport Equipment 5.6 ‐1.6 1.1 5.5 7.3 6.4 3.4 ‐1.9 ‐5.6 7.0 ‐2.5 0.2 ‐3.6 ‐14.7
Communication 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Recreation and Culture 0.1 0.2 1.1 ‐0.1 0.3 0.3 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2
Education 0.2 0.5 1.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 ‐6.6 0.1 0.0 0.8 3.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
All Items 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.6 3.6 4.7 6.1 6.1 3.9 2.8 1.7 1.4 2.8 2.5
Food and Non‐Alcoholic Beverages 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.8 4.6 5.9 8.4 8.4 4.7 2.9 0.3 ‐0.2 2.1 3.1
Food 2.4 2.7 2.6 3.0 4.7 5.7 8.3 8.1 4.3 2.7 0.0 ‐0.6 2.0 3.1
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 6.9 6.8 6.4 6.1 15.0 20.1 21.6 21.8 14.2 10.8 12.3 18.7 19.4 18.9
Non‐Food 3.0 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.3 3.0 3.7 3.7 2.7 2.4 2.2 2.0 2.5 1.1
Clothing and Footwear 2.9 2.7 2.2 1.9 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.1 2.8
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 3.4 3.1 2.1 2.6 2.1 2.8 4.6 4.3 3.7 3.3 2.0 1.6 2.5 1.0
Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 5.0 5.2 3.5 5.5 3.6 5.1 8.8 6.5 4.3 3.2 ‐1.3 ‐1.8 0.9 ‐3.2
Furnishings, Household Equipment and
Routine Maintenance of the House 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.5 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.7 3.6
Health 3.4 2.9 2.3 1.6 2.1 2.9 3.8 4.4 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.0
Transport 4.7 3.8 4.1 3.9 4.5 5.8 7.3 6.5 1.5 2.4 0.1 ‐0.1 1.4 ‐4.2
Operation of Personal Transport Equipment 14.9 6.1 8.1 10.9 12.7 21.9 24.6 15.9 1.8 2.4 ‐3.4 ‐1.3 0.9 ‐19.6
Communication 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3
Recreation and Culture 0.7 0.7 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.5 2.2 3.3 3.3 3.4 2.3 1.7 1.7 1.6
Education 3.3 2.9 2.3 2.0 1.9 2.4 ‐5.7 ‐5.6 ‐5.6 ‐5.8 4.2 4.2 4.2 3.4
Restaurants and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.2 3.1 3.7 4.1 3.9 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.6
Source of basic data: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)
2020
Year‐on‐Year Change (in percent)
2020
Quarter‐on‐Quarter Change (in percent)
20202018 2019
2017 2018
2017 2018 2019
2019
2017
5 MONETARY INDICATORS 1
as of periods indicated; in billion pesos
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 r Q2 p
A. Liquidity
1. M4 (2 + 7) 11,288.2 11,658.4 12,052.5 12,486.6 12,795.5 12,961.6 13,133.5 13,610.3 13,565.4 13,786.9 14,025.5 14,950.1 15,200.5 15,623.9
2. M3: Broad Money Liabilities (3 + 6) 9,544.7 9,898.2 10,173.6 10,636.1 10,919.1 11,067.5 11,179.4 11,643.0 11,583.6 11,801.6 12,027.9 12,976.3 13,127.5 13,561.6
% to GDP 61.8 62.6 62.9 64.2 64.6 63.9 62.9 63.7 62.3 62.5 62.8 66.5 67.2 72.0
3. M2 (4 + 5) 9,189.7 9,532.3 9,772.7 10,202.3 10,480.8 10,616.5 10,707.1 11,080.2 10,977.1 11,181.0 11,408.1 12,293.2 12,374.5 12,782.6
% to GDP 59.5 60.3 60.4 61.6 62.0 61.3 60.3 60.7 59.1 59.2 59.6 63.0 63.3 67.9
4. M1: Currency Outside Depository Corporations and
Transferable Deposits (Narrow Money) 3,113.4 3,241.1 3,335.5 3,550.8 3,666.2 3,735.1 3,716.0 3,889.0 3,889.5 3,940.1 4,096.8 4,500.3 4,805.4 4,948.8
% to GDP 20.2 20.5 20.6 21.4 21.7 21.6 20.9 21.3 20.9 20.9 21.4 23.1 24.6 26.3
a. Currency Outside Depository Corporations
(Currency in Circulation) 888.1 901.1 926.1 1,047.6 1,056.7 1,050.5 1,065.9 1,231.8 1,189.0 1,181.7 1,180.6 1,395.8 1,419.9 1,542.2
b. Transferable Deposits (Demand Deposits) 2,225.3 2,340.1 2,409.4 2,503.3 2,609.5 2,684.6 2,650.0 2,657.2 2,700.5 2,758.4 2,916.2 3,104.5 3,385.5 3,406.6
5. Other Deposits Included in Broad Money 6,076.3 6,291.2 6,437.2 6,651.5 6,814.6 6,881.4 6,991.2 7,191.1 7,087.6 7,240.9 7,311.3 7,792.9 7,569.1 7,833.8
a. Savings Deposits 4,083.7 4,187.5 4,268.0 4,409.3 4,477.1 4,580.4 4,691.9 4,672.5 4,570.6 4,576.2 4,667.4 4,969.4 4,991.7 5,239.7
b. Time Deposits 1,992.6 2,103.6 2,169.2 2,242.2 2,337.5 2,301.1 2,299.3 2,518.6 2,517.0 2,664.6 2,643.9 2,823.5 2,577.4 2,594.1
6. Securities Other Than Shares Included in
Broad Money (Deposit Substitutes) 355.0 365.8 400.9 433.8 438.3 451.0 472.3 562.8 606.5 620.6 619.8 683.1 753.0 779.0
7. Transferable and Other Deposits in Foreign
Currency (FCDU Deposits ‐ Residents) 1,743.5 1,760.2 1,878.9 1,850.6 1,876.4 1,894.1 1,954.0 1,967.3 1,981.8 1,985.2 1,997.6 1,973.8 2,073.0 2,062.3
8. Liabilities Excluded from Broad Money
(Other Liabilities) 2,494.9 2,380.7 2,484.6 2,393.5 2,619.0 2,781.7 2,866.6 2,885.6 2,941.7 2,958.7 3,220.4 3,226.0 3,145.0 3,460.3
B. Domestic Claims 9,405.0 9,622.8 10,037.1 10,476.9 10,792.7 11,204.0 11,540.1 12,035.0 11,789.0 12,006.7 12,414.8 13,318.2 13,195.9 13,603.1
1. Net Claims on Central Government 1,664.6 1,614.8 1,638.9 1,635.5 1,778.0 1,816.2 1,825.7 1,911.1 1,782.1 1,750.6 1,923.7 2,363.7 2,166.9 2,681.2
Claims on Central Government 2,206.5 2,314.3 2,311.3 2,400.2 2,485.8 2,555.1 2,591.2 2,690.4 2,940.1 3,038.7 2,990.6 2,953.2 3,448.9 4,018.7
Less: Liabilities to Central Government 541.9 699.5 672.4 764.8 707.7 738.9 765.5 779.3 1,158.0 1,288.1 1,066.9 589.5 1,282.1 1,337.5
2. Claims on Other Sectors 7,740.4 8,008.0 8,398.2 8,841.4 9,014.7 9,387.8 9,714.3 10,123.9 10,006.8 10,256.1 10,491.2 10,954.5 11,029.0 10,921.9
Claims on Other Financial Corporations 792.7 780.2 836.0 925.0 879.4 957.1 1,041.5 1,088.3 1,110.8 1,124.9 1,175.1 1,232.4 1,171.7 1,165.5
Claims on State and Local Government 82.5 85.3 80.5 81.1 81.9 81.6 83.7 87.5 91.9 95.3 97.1 99.1 98.6 97.6
Claims on Public Nonfinancial Corporations 257.4 265.0 303.9 284.6 280.7 272.4 248.4 260.7 261.1 242.8 239.5 259.6 255.2 231.4
Claims on Private Sector 6,607.8 6,877.5 7,177.8 7,550.7 7,772.8 8,076.7 8,340.6 8,687.4 8,543.0 8,793.1 8,979.4 9,363.4 9,503.5 9,427.3
C. Net Foreign Assets 4,378.1 4,416.3 4,500.0 4,403.2 4,621.7 4,539.3 4,460.0 4,460.9 4,718.1 4,738.9 4,831.1 4,857.9 5,149.6 5,481.2
1. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas 3,992.3 4,031.5 4,042.2 4,003.6 4,130.1 4,064.2 3,977.3 4,088.9 4,326.2 4,280.0 4,364.0 4,399.1 4,475.8 4,663.1
Claims on Non‐Residents 4,071.3 4,111.9 4,124.7 4,084.7 4,216.7 4,149.6 4,064.1 4,172.4 4,410.6 4,361.3 4,445.6 4,479.4 4,555.9 4,741.6
Less: Liabilities to Non‐Residents 79.0 80.4 82.4 81.1 86.6 85.4 86.8 83.5 84.4 81.3 81.6 80.3 80.1 78.4
2. Other Depository Corporations 385.7 384.8 457.8 399.6 491.7 475.1 482.7 372.1 391.9 458.9 467.1 458.8 673.8 818.1
Claims on Non‐Residents 1,229.5 1,245.9 1,304.2 1,296.0 1,367.4 1,374.3 1,448.9 1,501.7 1,512.7 1,583.5 1,693.6 1,654.6 1,677.7 1,667.2
Less: Liabilities to Non‐Residents 843.7 861.2 846.4 896.3 875.7 899.2 966.2 1,129.7 1,120.8 1,124.6 1,226.6 1,195.8 1,003.9 849.1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
A. Liquidity
1. M4 (2 + 7) 12.5 13.7 15.2 11.3 13.4 11.2 9.0 9.0 6.0 6.4 6.8 9.8 12.1 13.3
2. M3: Broad Money Liabilities (3 + 6) 11.7 13.4 14.8 11.9 14.4 11.8 9.9 9.5 6.1 6.6 7.6 11.5 13.3 14.9
3. M2 (4 + 5) 11.8 13.3 14.6 11.6 14.0 11.4 9.6 8.6 4.7 5.3 6.5 10.9 12.7 14.3
4. M1: Currency Outside Depository Corporations andTransferable Deposits (Narrow Money) 14.8 16.0 16.7 15.7 17.8 15.2 11.4 9.5 6.1 5.5 10.2 15.7 23.5 25.6
a. Currency Outside Depository Corporations(Currency in Circulation) 15.9 16.0 16.4 13.7 19.0 16.6 15.1 17.6 12.5 12.5 10.8 13.3 19.4 30.5
b. Transferable Deposits (Demand Deposits) 14.3 16.0 16.8 16.5 17.3 14.7 10.0 6.1 3.5 2.8 10.0 16.8 25.4 23.5
5. Other Deposits Included in Broad Money 10.3 12.0 13.6 9.6 12.1 9.4 8.6 8.1 4.0 5.2 4.6 8.4 6.8 8.2a. Savings Deposits 10.3 9.5 9.5 7.5 9.6 9.4 9.9 6.0 2.1 ‐0.1 ‐0.5 6.4 9.2 14.5b. Time Deposits 10.5 17.3 22.7 13.8 17.3 9.4 6.0 12.3 7.7 15.8 15.0 12.1 2.4 ‐2.6
6. Securities Other Than Shares Included in Broad Money (Deposit Substitutes) 9.9 16.0 19.7 18.7 23.5 23.3 17.8 29.7 38.4 37.6 31.2 21.4 24.2 25.5
7. Transferable and Other Deposits in ForeignCurrency (FCDU Deposits ‐ Residents) 17.0 15.3 17.5 8.3 7.6 7.6 4.0 6.3 5.6 4.8 2.2 0.3 4.6 3.9
8. Liabilities Excluded from Broad Money(Other Liabilities) 16.3 0.2 ‐6.0 4.3 5.0 16.8 15.4 20.6 12.3 6.4 12.3 11.8 6.9 17.0
B. Domestic Claims 16.5 15.5 16.6 13.9 14.8 16.4 15.0 14.9 9.2 7.2 7.6 10.7 11.9 13.3
1. Net Claims on Central Government 15.0 14.1 10.0 2.0 6.8 12.5 11.4 16.9 0.2 ‐3.6 5.4 23.7 21.6 53.2Claims on Central Government 6.8 13.3 9.6 14.5 12.7 10.4 12.1 12.1 18.3 18.9 15.4 9.8 17.3 32.2Less: Liabilities to Central Government ‐12.6 11.3 8.7 54.8 30.6 5.6 13.8 1.9 63.6 74.3 39.4 ‐24.4 10.7 3.8
2. Claims on Other Sectors 16.8 15.8 18.0 16.4 16.5 17.2 15.7 14.5 11.0 9.2 8.0 8.2 10.2 6.5Claims on Other Financial Corporations 14.9 8.0 15.5 20.0 10.9 22.7 24.6 17.7 26.3 17.5 12.8 13.2 5.5 3.6Claims on State and Local Government 6.0 5.9 ‐1.6 ‐2.1 ‐0.8 ‐4.3 4.0 7.9 12.3 16.7 16.0 13.3 7.3 2.5Claims on Public Nonfinancial Corporations ‐8.8 ‐7.6 9.6 10.8 9.1 2.8 ‐18.3 ‐8.4 ‐7.0 ‐10.9 ‐3.6 ‐0.4 ‐2.3 ‐4.7Claims on Private Sector 18.4 18.0 18.9 16.4 17.6 17.4 16.2 15.1 9.9 8.9 7.7 7.8 11.2 7.2
C. Net Foreign Assets 6.8 2.8 0.1 2.2 5.6 2.8 ‐0.9 1.3 2.1 4.4 8.3 8.9 9.1 15.7
1. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas 5.7 1.5 ‐2.3 1.4 3.5 0.8 ‐1.6 2.1 4.7 5.3 9.7 7.6 3.5 9.0Claims on Non‐Residents 5.7 1.6 ‐2.1 1.5 3.6 0.9 ‐1.5 2.1 4.6 5.1 9.4 7.4 3.3 8.7Less: Liabilities to Non‐Residents 6.7 7.0 5.8 5.1 9.6 6.3 5.3 3.0 ‐2.6 ‐4.8 ‐6.1 ‐3.8 ‐5.1 ‐3.5
2. Other Depository Corporations 19.9 17.6 28.1 10.3 27.5 23.5 5.5 ‐6.9 ‐20.3 ‐3.4 ‐3.2 23.3 71.9 78.3Claims on Non‐Residents 14.8 12.4 15.0 7.0 11.2 10.3 11.1 15.9 10.6 15.2 16.9 10.2 10.9 5.3Less: Liabilities to Non‐Residents 12.6 10.2 8.9 5.5 3.8 4.4 14.1 26.0 28.0 25.1 27.0 5.9 ‐10.4 ‐24.5
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
M3: Broad Money Liabilities 11.7 13.4 14.8 11.9 14.4 11.8 9.9 9.5 6.1 6.6 7.6 11.5 13.3 14.9
1. M2 (2 + 3) 11.4 12.8 14.1 11.2 13.5 11.0 9.2 8.3 4.5 5.1 6.3 10.4 12.1 13.6
2. M1: Currency Outside Depository Corporations andTransferable Deposits (Narrow Money) 4.7 5.1 5.4 5.1 5.8 5.0 3.7 3.2 2.0 1.9 3.4 5.3 7.9 8.5
a. Currency Outside Depository Corporations(Currency in Circulation) 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.4 2.0 3.1
b. Transferable Deposits (Demand Deposits) 3.3 3.7 3.9 3.7 4.0 3.5 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.7 2.4 3.8 5.9 5.5
3. Other Deposits Included in Broad Money 6.7 7.7 8.7 6.1 7.7 6.0 5.4 5.1 2.5 3.2 2.9 5.2 4.2 5.0
a. Savings Deposits 4.5 4.2 4.2 3.2 4.1 4.0 4.2 2.5 0.9 . ‐0.2 2.5 3.6 5.6
b. Time Deposits 2.2 3.5 4.5 2.9 3.6 2.0 1.3 2.6 1.6 3.3 3.1 2.6 0.5 ‐0.6
4. Securities Other Than Shares Included in Broad Money (Deposit Substitutes) 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.3
M3: Broad Money Liabilities 11.7 13.4 14.8 11.9 14.4 11.8 9.9 9.5 6.1 6.6 7.6 11.5 13.3 14.9
1. Domestic Claims 15.6 14.8 16.1 13.4 14.5 16.0 14.8 14.6 9.1 7.3 7.8 11.0 12.1 13.5
a. Net Claims on Central Government 2.5 2.3 1.7 0.3 1.2 2.0 1.8 2.6 . ‐0.6 0.9 3.9 3.3 7.9
Claims on Central Government 1.6 3.1 2.3 3.2 2.9 2.4 2.8 2.7 4.2 4.4 3.6 2.3 4.4 8.3
Less: Liabilities to Central Government ‐0.9 0.8 0.6 2.8 1.7 0.4 0.9 0.1 4.1 5.0 2.7 ‐1.6 1.1 0.4
b. Claims on Other Sectors 13.0 12.5 14.5 13.1 13.4 13.9 12.9 12.1 9.1 7.8 6.9 7.1 8.8 5.6
Claims on Other Financial Corporations 1.2 0.7 1.3 1.6 0.9 1.8 2.0 1.5 2.1 1.5 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.3
Claims on State and Local Government 0.1 0.1 . . . . . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 .
Claims on Public Nonfinancial Corporatio ‐0.3 ‐0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 ‐0.5 ‐0.2 ‐0.2 ‐0.3 ‐0.1 . ‐0.1 ‐0.1
Claims on Private Sector 12.0 12.0 12.9 11.2 12.2 12.1 11.4 10.7 7.1 6.5 5.7 5.8 8.3 5.4
2. Net Foreign Assets 3.3 1.4 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.2 ‐0.4 0.5 0.9 1.8 3.3 3.4 3.7 6.3
a. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas 2.5 0.7 ‐1.1 0.6 1.4 0.3 ‐0.6 0.8 1.8 1.9 3.5 2.7 1.3 3.2
Claims on Non‐Residents 2.6 0.8 ‐1.0 0.6 1.5 0.4 ‐0.6 0.8 1.8 1.9 3.4 2.6 1.3 3.2
Less: Liabilities to Non‐Residents 0.1 0.1 0.1 . 0.1 0.1 . . . . . . . .
b. Other Depository Corporations 0.7 0.7 1.1 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.2 ‐0.3 ‐0.9 ‐0.1 ‐0.1 0.7 2.4 3.0
Claims on Non‐Residents 1.9 1.6 1.9 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.9 1.3 1.9 2.2 1.3 1.4 0.7
Less: Liabilities to Non‐Residents 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.2 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.3 0.6 ‐1.0 ‐2.3
3. Transferable and Other Deposits in ForeignCurrency (FCDU Deposits ‐ Residents) 3.0 2.7 3.2 1.5 1.4 1.4 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.8 0.7
4. Liabilities Excluded from Broad Money(Other Liabilities) 4.1 0.1 ‐1.8 1.0 1.3 4.1 3.8 4.6 3.0 1.6 3.2 2.9 1.8 4.3
Note: Details may not add up due to rounding.1 Based on the Standardized Report Forms (SRFs), a unified framework for reporting monetary and financial statistics to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).r revisedp preliminary. Rounds off to zero
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP)
PERCENTAGE POINT CONTRIBUTION TO YEAR‐ON‐YEAR M3 GROWTH (in percent)
2017 2018 2019 2020
2019 2020
ANNUAL GROWTH RATES (in percent)
2017 2018
2017 2018 2019 2020
6 SELECTED DOMESTIC INTEREST RATESfor periods indicated; in percent per annum
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Bank Interest Rates
Interbank Call Loans 2.5354 2.5851 2.5824 2.9203 3.0794 3.2855 4.0293 4.7553 5.1365 5.0769 4.5025 4.0458 3.6567 3.1745
Savings Deposits 1 0.6890 0.6650 0.6980 0.6880 0.7420 0.7840 0.9190 1.1350 1.3480 1.3090 1.2780 0.9890 ‐ ‐
Time Deposits (All Maturities) 1 1.6880 1.7530 1.7890 1.9720 2.5260 2.6300 3.1940 4.0610 4.7470 4.5340 3.5270 3.1280 ‐ ‐
Lending Rates 1
High 6.5050 6.4571 6.4772 6.5299 6.6208 6.9164 7.0562 7.8424 8.3720 8.5076 7.8361 7.3549 ‐ ‐
Low 4.2013 4.1736 4.0875 4.0874 4.1654 4.3067 4.5897 5.2283 5.6607 5.8173 5.4369 5.0724 ‐ ‐
All Maturities 2 5.5410 5.6220 5.6560 5.6920 5.6410 5.8930 6.1860 6.7580 7.1230 7.2950 7.1590 6.7960 ‐ ‐
Bangko Sentral Rates 3
3.5000 3.5000 3.5000 3.5000 3.5000 3.7930 4.2920 5.1880 5.2500 5.1273 4.8062 4.5000 4.0840 4.0630
3.0000 3.0000 3.0000 3.0000 3.0000 3.1770 3.7840 4.6270 4.7500 4.6139 4.3480 4.0000 3.7863 3.4857
2.5000 2.5000 2.5000 2.5000 2.5000 2.6840 3.2680 4.1440 4.2500 4.1529 3.8555 3.5000 3.3182 2.4811
3.3790 3.4270 3.4770 3.4800 3.1070 3.5170 4.0920 4.8880 5.1420 4.7347 4.5432 4.3119 4.0281 3.6127
7‐day 3.0160 3.1759 3.3057 3.3881 3.0341 3.5258 4.0512 4.8597 5.0663 4.7143 4.4909 4.2503 3.9704 2.2805
14‐day ... ... ... ... 3.1386 3.5774 4.1368 4.9276 5.1445 4.7282 4.5274 4.3027 3.9846 2.2512
28‐day 3.3812 3.4639 3.4935 3.4929 3.1758 3.5560 4.1664 4.9766 5.1613 4.7465 4.5422 4.3236 4.0163 ..
Rate on Government Securities
Treasury Bills, All Maturities 2.3640 2.5000 2.4770 2.4040 2.7720 3.7560 4.2340 5.9730 5.9420 5.4740 3.7610 3.3080 3.5070 2.4740
35‐Day … … … … … … … … … … … … .. 2.1050
91‐Day 2.1790 2.2060 2.1280 2.0340 2.6370 3.4080 3.2830 5.1050 5.5840 5.2040 3.4150 3.1180 3.1610 2.5160
182‐Day 2.3800 2.5370 2.5480 2.4970 2.8130 3.8290 4.1900 6.1060 6.0000 5.5520 3.7230 3.2290 3.4500 2.5230
364‐Day 2.7100 2.9090 2.9360 2.8780 3.0880 4.2620 4.8920 6.3570 6.0980 5.6270 4.0400 3.5280 3.7890 2.6640
Government Securities in the Secondary Market 4
3‐Month 2.9696 2.8139 2.0251 2.4316 3.0723 3.9071 4.3094 5.7760 5.7990 4.4600 3.1020 3.2040 3.2900 1.9030
6‐Month 2.4222 2.4615 2.4988 3.3075 3.2063 3.8453 4.6491 6.5140 5.9400 4.7600 3.3940 3.3730 3.4310 2.0030
1‐Year 2.6708 3.2257 2.8674 3.0320 3.0750 4.4742 5.2760 6.7830 6.0970 4.9690 3.7040 3.4150 3.7720 2.1610
2‐Year 3.2500 3.8718 3.7821 3.9864 4.1613 4.7842 6.1990 6.8850 5.8220 4.9490 4.0410 3.7380 4.4690 2.1690
3‐Year 4.0988 3.8916 3.6651 4.2977 4.6098 5.0223 7.0339 6.9760 5.7480 4.9590 4.1920 3.8300 4.5400 2.2620
4‐Year 4.2500 4.0321 4.5768 4.9211 5.0179 5.6768 7.4464 7.0160 5.6790 4.9750 4.3400 3.9400 4.6030 2.3460
5‐Year 4.2577 4.0336 4.6375 4.7437 5.2403 5.7620 7.0395 7.0370 5.6270 4.9970 4.4810 4.0610 4.5960 2.4390
7‐Year 5.0625 4.9171 4.3206 5.3279 6.7375 6.2482 7.1101 7.0610 5.5990 5.0370 4.6700 4.2790 4.6760 2.6320
10‐Year 5.0554 4.6691 4.6085 5.6986 6.0000 6.4217 7.2348 7.0650 5.6050 5.0720 4.8010 4.4610 4.8720 2.7950
20‐Year 5.0302 5.0844 5.1479 5.7038 7.1625 7.3607 8.2969 7.4910 5.8190 5.1770 5.0220 5.1590 5.0610 3.5430
25‐Year .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 7.5280 6.0950 5.1250 4.9900 5.2180 5.0680 3.5890
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Bank Interest Rates
Interbank Call Loans ‐0.3646 ‐0.2149 ‐0.1176 ‐0.0797 ‐0.7206 ‐1.5145 ‐2.1707 ‐1.1447 1.3365 2.0769 2.8025 2.4458 0.9567 0.8745
Savings Deposits 1 ‐2.2110 ‐2.1350 ‐2.0020 ‐2.3120 ‐3.0580 ‐4.0160 ‐5.2810 ‐4.7650 ‐2.4520 ‐1.6910 ‐0.4220 ‐0.6110 ‐ ‐
Time Deposits (All Maturities) 1 ‐1.2120 ‐1.0470 ‐0.9110 ‐1.0280 ‐1.2740 ‐2.1700 ‐3.0060 ‐1.8390 0.9470 1.5340 1.8270 1.5280 ‐ ‐
Lending Rates 1
High 3.6050 3.6571 3.7772 3.5299 2.8208 2.1164 0.8562 1.9424 4.5720 5.5076 6.1361 5.7549 ‐ ‐
Low 1.3013 1.3736 1.3875 1.0874 0.3654 ‐0.4933 ‐1.6103 ‐0.6717 1.8607 2.8173 3.7369 3.4724 ‐ ‐
All Maturities 2 2.6410 2.8220 2.9560 2.6920 1.8410 1.0930 ‐0.0140 0.8580 3.3230 4.2950 5.4590 5.1960 ‐ ‐
Bangko Sentral Rates 3
0.6000 0.7000 0.8000 0.5000 ‐0.3000 ‐1.0070 ‐1.9080 ‐0.7120 1.4500 2.1273 3.1062 2.9000 1.3840 1.7630
0.1000 0.2000 0.3000 0.0000 ‐0.8000 ‐1.6230 ‐2.4160 ‐1.2730 0.9500 1.6139 2.6480 2.4000 1.0863 1.1857
‐0.4000 ‐0.3000 ‐0.2000 ‐0.5000 ‐1.3000 ‐2.1160 ‐2.9320 ‐1.7560 0.4500 1.1529 2.1555 1.9000 0.6182 0.1811
0.4790 0.6270 0.7770 0.4800 ‐0.6930 ‐1.2830 ‐2.1080 ‐1.0120 1.3420 1.7347 2.8432 2.7119 1.3281 1.3127
7‐day 0.1160 0.3759 0.6057 0.3881 ‐0.7659 ‐1.2742 ‐2.1488 ‐1.0403 1.2663 1.7143 2.7909 2.6503 1.2704 ‐0.0195
14‐day ... ... ... ... ‐0.6614 ‐1.2226 ‐2.0632 ‐0.9724 1.3445 1.7282 2.8274 2.7027 1.2846 ‐0.0488
28‐day 0.4812 0.6639 0.7935 0.4929 ‐0.6242 ‐1.2440 ‐2.0336 ‐0.9234 1.3613 1.7465 2.8422 2.7236 1.3163 ..
Rates on Government Securities
Treasury Bills, All Maturities ‐0.5360 ‐0.3000 ‐0.2230 ‐0.5960 ‐1.0280 ‐1.0440 ‐1.9660 0.0730 2.1420 2.4740 2.0610 1.7080 0.8070 0.1740
35‐Day ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .. ‐0.1950
91‐Day ‐0.7210 ‐0.5940 ‐0.5720 ‐0.9660 ‐1.1630 ‐1.3920 ‐2.9170 ‐0.7950 1.7840 2.2040 1.7150 1.5180 0.4610 0.2160
182‐Day ‐0.5200 ‐0.2630 ‐0.1520 ‐0.5030 ‐0.9870 ‐0.9710 ‐2.0100 0.2060 2.2000 2.5520 2.0230 1.6290 0.7500 0.2230
364‐Day ‐0.1900 0.1090 0.2360 ‐0.1220 ‐0.7120 ‐0.5380 ‐1.3080 0.4570 2.2980 2.6270 2.3400 1.9280 1.0890 0.3640
Government Securities in the Secondary Market 4
3‐Month ‐0.1304 0.3139 ‐0.9749 ‐0.4684 ‐1.2277 ‐1.2929 ‐2.3906 0.6760 2.4990 1.7600 2.2020 0.7040 0.7900 ‐0.5970
6‐Month ‐0.6778 ‐0.0385 ‐0.5012 0.4075 ‐1.0937 ‐1.3547 ‐2.0509 1.4140 2.6400 2.0600 2.4940 0.8730 0.9310 ‐0.4970
1‐Year ‐0.4292 0.7257 ‐0.1326 0.1320 ‐1.2250 ‐0.7258 ‐1.4240 1.6830 2.7970 2.2690 2.8040 0.9150 1.2720 ‐0.3390
2‐Year 0.1500 1.3718 0.7821 1.0864 ‐0.1387 ‐0.4158 ‐0.5010 1.7850 2.5220 2.2490 3.1410 1.2380 1.9690 ‐0.3310
3‐Year 0.9988 1.3916 0.6651 1.3977 0.3098 ‐0.1777 0.3339 1.8760 2.4480 2.2590 3.2920 1.3300 2.0400 ‐0.2380
4‐Year 1.1500 1.5321 1.5768 2.0211 0.7179 0.4768 0.7464 1.9160 2.3790 2.2750 3.4400 1.4400 2.1030 ‐0.1540
5‐Year 1.1577 1.5336 1.6375 1.8437 0.9403 0.5620 0.3395 1.9370 2.3270 2.2970 3.5810 1.5610 2.0960 ‐0.0610
7‐Year 1.9625 2.4171 1.3206 2.4279 2.4375 1.0482 0.4101 1.9610 2.2990 2.3370 3.7700 1.7790 2.1760 0.1320
10‐Year 1.9554 2.1691 1.6085 2.7986 1.7000 1.2217 0.5348 1.9650 2.3050 2.3720 3.9010 1.9610 2.3720 0.2950
20‐Year 1.9302 2.5844 2.1479 2.8038 2.8625 2.1607 1.5969 2.3910 2.5190 2.4770 4.1220 2.6590 2.5610 1.0430
25‐Year .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2.4280 2.7950 2.4250 4.0900 2.7180 2.5680 1.0890
1 Starting 1 January 2020, universal and commercial banks are required to submit the amended reporting templates on banks' lending and deposit rates or "Interest Rates on Loans and Deposits (IRLD) in accordance with
Circular Nos. 1029 and 1037, series of 2019.2 Refers to the interest rate based on reporting universal and commercial banks' interest incomes on their outstanding peso‐denominated loans.3 Beginning 3 June 2016, the BSP shifted its monetary operations to an interest rate corridor (IRC) system. The Repurchase (RP) and Special Deposit Account (SDA) windows were replaced by the standing OLF and ODF, respectively.
The Reverse Repurchase (RRP) Facility was modified to a purely overnight RRP. In addition, the TDF will serve as the main tool for absorbing liquidity. The OLF and ODF will serve as the upper bound and lower bound, respectively,
of the IRC system. The weighted average interest rates (WAIR) of BSP rates are based on outstanding balance as of month‐end. 4 End‐of‐period; beginning 29 October 2018, data refer to the Philippine Peso Bloomberg Valuation Service (PHP BVAL) Reference Rates, while those for earlier periods refer to the Philippine Dealing System
Treasury Reference Rates 2 (PDST‐R2).5 Nominal interest rate less inflation rate with base year 2012
‐ Not Available
.. No Transaction/No Quotation/No Issue
… Blank
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Term Deposit Facility (TDF)
2017
Term Deposit Facility (TDF)
Overnight Lending Facility (OLF)
Overnight RRP Facility
Overnight Deposit Facility (ODF)
2018 2019 2020
Overnight Lending Facility (OLF)
Overnight RRP Facility
Overnight Deposit Facility (ODF)
NOMINAL INTEREST RATES
REAL INTEREST RATES 5
2017 2018 2019 2020
7 NUMBER OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 1
as of period indicated
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 r Q2 p
TOTAL 28,539 28,550 28,716 28,899 29,044 20,924 24,237 24,998 25,845 26,283 26,743 27,220 27,616 27,844
Head Offices 6,251 6,220 6,214 6,176 6,173 1,451 1,736 1,827 1,864 1,862 1,877 1,873 1,883 1,884
Branches/Agencies 22,288 22,330 22,502 22,723 22,871 19,473 22,501 23,171 23,981 24,421 24,866 25,347 25,733 25,960
A. BANKS 11,278 11,392 11,572 11,793 11,936 12,066 12,148 12,364 12,427 12,543 12,688 12,870 12,905 12,912
Head Offices 599 593 592 587 585 581 574 571 569 554 552 547 542 541
Branches/Agencies 10,679 10,799 10,980 11,206 11,351 11,485 11,574 11,793 11,858 11,989 12,136 12,323 12,363 12,371
1. Universal and Commercial Banks 6,286 6,331 6,403 6,483 6,527 6,569 6,610 6,642 6,660 6,676 6,865 6,915 6,991 6,993
Head Offices 42 42 43 43 43 43 44 45 46 46 46 46 46 46
Branches/Agencies 6,244 6,289 6,360 6,440 6,484 6,526 6,566 6,597 6,614 6,630 6,819 6,869 6,945 6,947
2. Thrift Banks 2,211 2,246 2,330 2,417 2,453 2,525 2,562 2,657 2,666 2,720 2,616 2,683 2,656 2,654
Head Offices 59 58 57 55 55 55 54 54 53 51 51 50 49 48
Branches/Agencies 2,152 2,188 2,273 2,362 2,398 2,470 2,508 2,603 2,613 2,669 2,565 2,633 2,607 2,606
a. Savings and Mortgage Banks 1,618 1,649 1,728 1,817 1,849 1,920 1,944 2,029 1,921 1,988 1,879 1,948 1,893 ‐
Head Offices 25 25 24 24 24 24 24 24 23 23 22 22 21 ‐
Branches/Agencies 1,593 1,624 1,704 1,793 1,825 1,896 1,920 2,005 1,898 1,965 1,857 1,926 1,872 ‐
b. Private Development Banks 405 409 414 418 420 421 426 435 435 422 426 429 457
Head Offices 18 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 15 16 16 16
Branches/Agencies 387 392 397 401 403 404 409 418 418 407 410 413 441
c. Stock Savings and Loan Associations 184 184 184 178 179 179 187 188 305 305 306 306 306
Head Offices 15 15 15 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
Branches/Agencies 169 169 169 165 166 166 175 176 293 293 294 294 294
d. Microfinance Banks 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0
Head Offices 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
Branches/Agencies 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 0 0
3. Rural Banks 2,781 2,815 2,839 2,893 2,956 2,972 2,976 3,065 3,101 3,147 3,207 3,272 3,258 3,265
Head Offices 498 493 492 489 487 483 476 472 470 457 455 451 447 447
Branches/Agencies 2,283 2,322 2,347 2,404 2,469 2,489 2,500 2,593 2,631 2,690 2,752 2,821 2,811 2,818
B. NON ‐BANKING FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 2 17,258 17,155 17,141 17,103 17,106 8,856 12,087 12,632 13,416 13,738 14,054 14,349 14,710 14,931 a
Head Offices 5,649 5,624 5,619 5,586 5,586 868 1,160 1,254 1,293 1,306 1,324 1,325 1,340 1,342
Branches/Agencies 11,609 11,531 11,522 11,517 11,520 7,988 10,927 11,378 12,123 12,432 12,730 13,024 13,370 13,589
1. Investment Houses 25 25 25 25 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 14 14 5
Head Offices 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 4
Branches/Agencies 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 1 1 1
2. Finance Companies 152 153 161 162 163 163 163 163 171 174 180 180 179 130
Head Offices 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 24 24 23 4
Branches/Agencies 129 130 138 139 140 140 140 140 148 151 156 156 156 126
3. ABB Forex Corporations 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 2 2 ‐
Head Offices 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 2 2 ‐
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ‐
4. Investment Companies 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ‐
Head Offices 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ‐
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ‐
5. Securities Dealers/Brokers 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 ‐
Head Offices 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 ‐
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ‐
6. Pawnshops 16,740 16,637 16,613 16,582 16,582 8,331 11,563 12,107 12,879 13,190 13,497 13,801 14,162 14,381
Head Offices 5,401 5,378 5,371 5,346 5,346 627 920 1,013 1,051 1,062 1,076 1,077 1,092 1,092
Branches/Agencies 11,339 11,259 11,242 11,236 11,236 7,704 10,643 11,094 11,828 12,128 12,421 12,724 13,070 13,289
7. Lending Investors 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ‐
Head Offices 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ‐
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ‐
8. Non‐Stock Savings and Loan Associations 198 197 197 197 198 198 197 196 200 200 200 200 200 200
Head Offices 67 65 65 65 64 64 63 62 63 63 63 63 63 63
Branches/Agencies 131 132 132 132 134 134 134 134 137 137 137 137 137 137
9. Government Non‐Banks 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 2
Head Offices 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 2
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10. Venture Capital Coporations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ‐
Head Offices 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ‐
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ‐
11. Credit Card Companies 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 ‐
Head Offices 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 ‐
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ‐
12. Other Non‐Bank with QBF 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Head Offices 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13. Electronic Money Issuer 5 5 5 5 7 8 8 9 10 18 21 24 25 ‐
Head Offices 5 5 5 5 7 8 8 9 10 12 15 18 19 ‐
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 6 ‐
14. Remittance Agent 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 ‐
Head Offices 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 ‐
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ‐
15. Credit Granting Entities 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 ‐
Head Offices 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 ‐
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ‐
16. Trust Corporations 4 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 ‐
Head Offices 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 ‐
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ‐
17. Private Insurance Companies 5 98 98 98 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90
Head Offices 98 98 98 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90
Branches/Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
C. OFF‐SHORE BANKING UNITS 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1
1 Refers to the number of financial establishments which includes the head offices and branches; excludes the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas. Starting Q4 2009, data include other banking offices per Circular 505 and 624 dated 22 December 2005 and 13 October 2008, respectively. Other banking offices refer to any office or
place of business in the Philippines other than the head office, branch or extension office, which primarily engages in banking activities other than the acceptance of deposits and/or servicing of withdrawals thru tellers and other authorized personnel. In 2017, per Circular 987 dated 28 December 2017, the term
"Other Banking Units" was replaced by branch/branch‐lite units. A branch shall refer to any permanent office or place of business in the Philippines other than the head office where a bank may perform activities and provide products and services that are within the scope of its authority and relevant licenses.
In this respect, a complete set of books and records shall be maintained in each branch. A branch‐lite unit shall refer to any permanent office or place of business of a bank other than its head office or branch and performs limited banking activities and records its transactions in the books of the head office or
the branch to which it is annexed.2 Includes Private Insurance Companies3 Includes Government Service Insurance System (GSIS) and Social Security System (SSS)4 Trust Corporations started on December 20165 Covers only the head office and their foreign branchesa Includes 86 head offices and 36 branches that are collectively classified as "Others" , which include Investment Houses (without Quasi‐Banking Functions), Finance Companies (without Quasi‐Banking Functions), Investment Companies (without Quasi‐Banking Functions), Securities
Dealers/Brokers, Lending Investors, Venture Capital Corporations, Credit Card Companies, Government Non‐Banks, Electronic Money Issuer‐Others, AAB Forex Corporations, Remittance Agent, Credit Granting Entities and Trust Corporations. p Preliminaryr Revised
‐ Not Available
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, Insurance Commission
2017 2018 2019 2020
8 TOTAL RESOURCES OF THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM 1
as of periods indicated; in billion pesos
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
TOTAL 17,587.1 17,998.6 18,415.2 19,262.4 19,442.5 19,810.2 20,245.3 21,100.1 21,212.4 21,599.9 22,190.4 22,930.5 r 23,000.4 r 23,296.2 p
Banks 14,118.0 14,577.4 14,959.8 15,524.3 15,676.0 16,052.7 16,463.2 17,258.6 17,387.0 17,589.4 18,029.8 18,711.5 18,781.3 r 19,077.2 p
Universal and Commercial Banks 12,730.2 13,150.5 13,532.6 14,053.8 14,202.8 14,554.5 14,940.0 15,691.5 15,813.9 16,018.9 16,568.1 17,216.1 17,345.8 17,620.1
Thrift Banks 1,149.5 1,182.6 1,176.5 1,213.9 1,214.4 1,236.6 1,254.0 1,293.2 1,297.9 1,287.8 1,176.7 1,203.9 1,144.4 1,165.9
Rural Banks 2 238.3 244.2 250.8 256.5 258.8 261.5 269.2 273.9 275.2 282.6 285.0 291.5 291.2 r 291.2 b
Non‐Banks 3 3,469.1 3,421.2 3,455.4 3,738.1 3,766.5 3,757.6 3,782.1 3,841.5 3,825.4 4,010.5 4,160.6 4,219.0 r 4,219.0 a 4,219.0 a
Notes: Details may not add up to total due to rounding.1 Excludes the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas; amount includes allowance for probable losses2 Data on Rural Banks are based on the Financial Reporting Package (FRP).3 Data on Non‐Banks are based on the Consolidated Statement of Condition (CSOC); include investment houses, finance companies, investment companies, securities dealers/brokers, pawnshops, lending investors, non‐stock savings and loan associations,
credit card companies (which are under the BSP's supervision), and private and government insurance companies (i.e., SSS and GSIS).p preliminarya As of end‐December 2019b As of end‐March 2020
Source: BSP
2018 2019 20202017Institutions
9 NON‐PERFORMING LOANS (NPL), TOTAL LOANS AND LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS (LLP) OF THE BANKING SYSTEM1
as of periods indicated; in billion pesos
Total
Universal
Banks and
Commercial
Banks
Thrift
Banks
Rural
BanksTotal
Universal
Banks and
Commercial
Banks
Thrift
Banks
Rural
BanksTotal
Universal
Banks and
Commercial
Banks
Thrift
Banks
Rural
BanksTotal
Universal
Banks and
Commercial
Banks
Thrift
Banks
Rural
Banks
154.180 99.712 40.069 14.399 49.584 24.465 20.104 5.015 7,671.601 6,751.129 792.147 128.324 177.096 138.546 27.883 10.667
158.673 101.006 40.153 17.514 56.890 28.570 20.578 7.741 8,027.796 7,089.734 802.118 135.944 179.698 139.280 27.751 12.668
160.355 105.360 40.320 14.675 73.707 44.052 23.773 5.882 8,396.012 7,435.519 825.100 135.393 183.073 143.486 28.179 11.408
152.986 97.531 40.449 15.006 68.040 36.919 24.795 6.326 8,865.600 7,867.078 860.303 138.219 184.251 145.835 26.929 11.487
165.823 104.400 44.633 16.790 78.348 40.841 30.151 7.355 8,997.103 7,996.321 865.484 135.299 198.475 159.597 26.654 12.225
174.784 110.606 46.664 17.514 83.857 45.425 30.691 7.741 9,352.989 8,331.360 885.685 135.944 199.509 158.846 27.995 12.668
176.611 112.762 47.095 16.754 86.715 48.373 31.466 6.876 9,706.820 8,658.774 907.083 140.962 195.766 155.904 27.114 12.747
177.845 113.518 48.261 16.066 87.860 48.459 33.086 6.315 10,077.929 9,017.780 916.874 143.275 187.124 148.339 26.256 12.530
205.858 134.564 54.458 16.836 106.745 60.169 39.912 6.663 9,989.163 8,918.522 925.944 144.697 196.974 158.379 25.801 12.794
215.907 143.793 55.187 16.927 116.419 68.377 41.034 7.008 10,288.556 9,204.615 935.267 148.674 201.421 162.826 25.852 12.744
227.604 158.671 51.723 17.210 118.178 73.308 37.397 7.473 10,564.232 9,552.943 860.726 150.563 209.069 171.386 25.049 12.634
224.105 156.527 51.670 15.908 115.848 71.552 37.347 6.949 10,966.112 9,953.964 860.307 151.840 207.507 170.518 24.831 12.158
249.184 r 187.980 44.197 17.007 r132.256 93.616 31.075 7.566 r
11,092.659 10,137.354 803.596 151.709 r 227.630 192.078 23.020 12.532 r
274.330 p 212.283 45.040 17.007 a141.003 104.918 28.519 7.566 a
10,824.623 9,883.909 789.005 151.709 a 301.410 261.662 27.216 12.532 a
Note: Details may not add up to total due to rounding.1 Data include banks under liquidation, foreign office transactions and interbank loans2 Starting January 2013, NPL data are based on BSP Circular No. 772. Gross NPL represents the actual level of NPL without any adjustment for loans treated as "loss" and fully provisioned.
As a complementary measure to computing gross NPL, banks shall likewise compute their net NPLs, which shall refer to gross NPLs less specific allowance for credit losses on the total loan portfolio.
Under BSP Circular No. 772, there are no available data for gross NPLs and net NPLs earlier than 2012.p preliminaryr reviseda As of end‐March 2020
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS (LLP)GROSS NON‐PERFORMING LOANS 2 NET NON‐PERFORMING LOANS 2 TOTAL LOANS
Dec
2018
Mar
2017
Mar
Sep
Jun
2019
Mar
Jun
Sep
Jun
Dec
Sep
Dec
2020
Mar
Jun
9 RATIOS OF NON‐PERFORMING LOANS (NPL) AND LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS (LLP) TO TOTAL LOANS OF THE BANKING SYTEM1
as of periods indicated; in percent
Total
Universal
Banks and
Commercial
Banks
Thrift
Banks
Rural
BanksTotal
Universal
Banks and
Commercial
Banks
Thrift
Banks
Rural
BanksTotal
Universal
Banks and
Commercial
Banks
Thrift
Banks
Rural
Banks
2.010 1.477 5.058 11.221 0.646 0.362 2.538 3.908 2.308 2.052 3.520 8.313
1.977 1.425 5.006 12.883 0.709 0.403 2.566 5.695 2.238 1.965 3.460 9.318
1.910 1.417 4.887 10.839 0.878 0.592 2.881 4.344 2.180 1.930 3.415 8.426
1.726 1.240 4.702 10.857 0.767 0.469 2.882 4.577 2.078 1.854 3.130 8.310
1.843 1.306 5.157 12.409 0.871 0.511 3.484 5.436 2.206 1.996 3.080 9.035
1.869 1.328 5.269 12.883 0.897 0.545 3.465 5.694 2.133 1.907 3.161 9.319
1.819 1.302 5.192 11.885 0.893 0.559 3.469 4.878 2.017 1.801 2.989 9.043
1.765 1.259 5.264 11.213 0.872 0.537 3.609 4.408 1.857 1.645 2.864 8.745
2.061 1.509 5.881 11.636 1.069 0.675 4.310 4.605 1.972 1.776 2.786 8.842
2.099 1.562 5.901 11.385 1.132 0.743 4.387 4.713 1.958 1.769 2.764 8.572
2.154 1.661 6.009 11.430 1.119 0.767 4.345 4.963 1.979 1.794 2.910 8.391
2.044 1.573 6.006 10.477 1.056 0.719 4.341 4.577 1.892 1.713 2.886 8.007
2.246 r 1.854 5.500 11.210 r 1.192 r 0.923 3.867 4.987 r 2.052 r 1.895 2.865 8.261 r
2.534 p 2.148 5.708 11.210 a 1.303 p 1.062 3.615 4.987 a 2.784 p 2.647 3.449 8.261 a
Note: Details may not add up to total due to rounding.1 Data include banks under liquidation, foreign office transactions and interbank loans2 Starting September 2002, for supervisory purposes, computation of NPL was based on BSP Circular No.351 which defines total loans as gross of allowance for probable losses and interbank loans less loans
classified as loss. This has been discontinued in 2013. For comparability purposes, 2012 was revised based on the new definition (BSP Circular No. 772).2 Starting January 2013, NPL data are based on BSP Circular No. 772. Gross NPL represents the actual level of NPL without any adjustment for loans treated as "loss" and fully provisioned.
As a complementary measure to computing gross NPL, banks shall likewise compute their net NPLs, which shall refer to gross NPLs less specific allowance for credit losses on the total loan portfolio.
Under BSP Circular No. 772, there are no available data for gross NPLs and net NPLs earlier than 2012.p preliminaryr reviseda As of end‐March 2020
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Dec
Mar
Sep
Dec
Jun
Mar
2020
Mar
Jun
Sep
Sep
GROSS NPL/TOTAL LOANS 2 NET NPL/TOTAL LOANS 2 LLP/TOTAL LOANS
Jun
Jun
2017
Mar
2018
Dec
2019
10 STOCK MARKET TRANSACTIONSvolume in million shares; value in million pesos
for periods indicated
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
VOLUME 140,555.10 109,228.07 106,922.13 83,842.20 176,368.76 77,403.69 73,147.70 76,927.02 118,437.27 68,292.75 94,723.73 50,850.46 65,360.84 58,308.42
Financials 1,494.89 1,855.35 1,153.34 983.32 1,691.30 918.73 866.73 878.91 988.08 849.69 948.76 707.92 894.66 1,110.29
Industrial 9,603.84 8,540.72 16,458.74 6,357.53 6,709.75 7,032.50 5,558.32 9,259.84 8,503.59 11,244.40 6,961.13 6,795.33 8,505.36 8,932.34
Holding Firms 29,925.79 12,966.29 6,082.04 5,942.57 9,900.75 8,262.96 12,040.93 7,305.76 15,166.19 8,336.65 8,209.33 8,993.59 6,511.73 6,837.23
Property 22,112.95 26,846.85 23,254.68 13,481.64 29,646.66 16,290.35 13,057.13 9,918.88 10,488.32 10,661.23 11,569.70 8,124.49 8,775.65 7,017.17
Services 29,620.77 21,897.34 13,572.51 14,093.07 26,533.78 9,909.69 15,136.08 12,894.89 22,320.22 10,736.35 12,499.88 5,679.05 9,838.84 10,370.52
Mining and Oil 47,548.56 36,877.26 46,142.53 42,548.86 101,365.44 34,755.01 26,028.00 36,146.06 59,639.12 25,970.92 53,799.51 20,170.32 30,638.17 21,218.37
SME (in thousand shares) 247,653.15 243,479.20 257,034.11 433,789.64 518,403.30 232,923.99 459,872.31 521,981.35 1,331,137.77 493,010.10 734,728.79 379,173.63 192,707.49 2,821,206.14
ETF (in thousand shares) 656.00 775.47 1,251.54 1,405.90 2,669.01 1,518.76 648.07 705.98 615.90 504.87 689.96 591.63 3,731.60 1,305.85
VALUE 436,165.38 557,721.60 509,396.60 455,080.53 520,924.61 394,543.07 361,275.84 460,078.84 488,944.71 443,994.24 442,192.02 397,447.97 400,594.39 390,596.08
Financials 62,313.96 97,068.69 68,693.92 65,769.55 85,980.22 61,896.89 60,084.23 63,110.03 71,699.61 69,698.97 67,156.74 61,878.65 58,705.13 63,509.14
Industrial 95,489.04 124,385.03 160,294.25 106,937.03 82,559.19 77,427.38 61,868.59 133,338.65 83,951.13 88,542.93 84,172.39 60,437.96 74,440.53 74,463.46
Holding Firms 107,783.53 117,476.74 92,603.00 110,077.77 124,682.97 95,230.78 92,800.99 87,756.71 127,680.38 97,898.87 103,251.91 134,980.92 98,857.38 92,863.59
Property 73,842.80 91,340.89 79,276.90 73,557.35 95,940.50 80,284.39 72,660.22 70,210.07 95,409.31 101,224.12 98,445.18 68,185.02 102,444.66 64,214.23
Services 76,891.34 109,908.80 86,867.92 76,297.12 109,823.19 68,917.92 61,026.58 93,142.16 101,331.64 77,768.03 70,051.23 63,291.93 61,278.24 82,590.90
Mining and Oil 17,704.20 15,512.58 19,889.11 18,925.90 18,827.94 9,660.99 10,797.85 11,561.69 6,453.15 8,090.87 14,772.38 7,280.99 4,105.81 4,169.97
SME (in thousand pesos) 2,061,917.61 1,931,746.40 1,621,229.93 3,338,478.72 2,760,867.64 949,655.45 1,964,591.75 883,959.02 2,347,074.10 710,905.94 4,259,331.31 1,323,137.39 420,402.32 8,669,032.86
ETF (in thousand pesos) 78,598.62 97,128.21 150,269.19 177,322.51 349,733.29 175,059.50 72,778.74 75,578.02 72,405.52 59,547.11 82,847.94 69,350.11 342,221.15 115,749.36
Composite Index (end‐of‐period) 7,311.72 7,843.16 8,171.43 8,558.42 7,979.83 7,193.68 7,276.82 7,466.02 7,920.93 7,999.71 7,779.07 7,815.26 5,321.23 6,207.72
Note: Details may not add up due to rounding.
Source: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
2017 2018 2019 2020
11PHILIPPINES: BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
in million US dollars
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q2 2020 p
Current Account ‐1,710 ‐931 ‐356 ‐389 ‐23 4,382 570.9
(Totals as percent of GNI) ‐1.8 ‐0.9 ‐0.4 ‐0.3 . 4.9
(Totals as percent of GDP) ‐2.0 ‐1.0 ‐0.4 ‐0.4 . 5.3
Export 32,012 33,582 35,297 35,471 30,575 24,061 ‐28.4
Import 33,722 34,513 35,653 35,860 30,598 19,678 ‐43.0
Goods, Services, and Primary Income ‐8,367 ‐7,612 ‐7,346 ‐7,770 ‐6,661 ‐1,732 77.2
Export 25,139 26,687 28,143 27,896 23,700 17,758 ‐33.5
Import 33,506 34,299 35,489 35,666 30,360 19,490 ‐43.2
Goods and Services ‐9,694 ‐8,821 ‐8,605 ‐9,303 ‐7,755 ‐2,768 68.6
(Totals as percent of GNI) ‐10.4 ‐8.6 ‐8.5 ‐7.9 ‐8.0 ‐3.1
(Totals as percent of GDP) ‐11.5 ‐9.5 ‐9.4 ‐8.6 ‐8.9 ‐3.4
Export 21,918 23,352 24,877 24,358 20,559 15,171 ‐35.0
Import 31,612 32,173 33,482 33,662 28,315 17,939 ‐44.2
Goods ‐12,293 ‐12,127 ‐12,340 ‐12,554 ‐10,295 ‐5,429 55.2
(Totals as percent of GNI) ‐13.1 ‐11.8 ‐12.2 ‐10.7 ‐10.7 ‐6.0
(Totals as percent of GDP) ‐14.6 ‐13.0 ‐13.5 ‐11.6 ‐11.8 ‐6.6
Credit: Exports 12,375 13,633 14,123 13,345 11,602 9,094 ‐33.3
Debit: Imports 24,668 25,760 26,462 25,899 21,897 14,523 ‐43.6
Services 2,599 3,306 3,734 3,251 2,540 2,660 ‐19.5
Credit: Exports 9,543 9,719 10,754 11,014 8,958 6,077 ‐37.5
Debit: Imports 6,944 6,413 7,020 7,763 6,418 3,416 ‐46.7
Primary Income 1,327 1,209 1,259 1,533 1,095 1,036 ‐14.3
Credit: Receipts 3,221 3,335 3,266 3,538 3,140 2,587 ‐22.4
Debit: Payments 1,894 2,126 2,007 2,005 2,045 1,551 ‐27.0
Secondary Income 6,657 6,681 6,990 7,381 6,638 6,115 ‐8.5
Credit: Receipts 6,873 6,895 7,154 7,575 6,875 6,303 ‐8.6
Debit: Payments 216 214 164 193 237 188 ‐11.9
Capital Account 25 22 20 19 7 8 ‐61.2
Credit: Receipts 30 25 23 25 17 17 ‐34.3
Debit: Payments 6 4 4 7 10 8 118.8
Financial Account ‐5,258 ‐278 391 ‐2,116 3,785 152 154.8
Net Acquisition of Financial Assets 1,914 3,530 4,038 ‐202 1,572 2,169 ‐38.6
Net Incurrence of Liabilities 7,172 3,807 3,647 1,914 ‐2,214 2,017 ‐47.0
Direct Investment ‐1,046 ‐727 ‐825 ‐1,778 ‐1,061 ‐1,107 ‐52.2
Net Acquisition of Financial Assets 892 1,005 795 618 739 90 ‐91.0
Net Incurrence of Liabilities 1,938 1,731 1,620 2,396 1,800 1,197 ‐30.9
Portfolio Investment ‐3,037 ‐1,884 474 962 750 731 138.8
Net Acquisition of Financial Assets 1,351 475 2,080 74 ‐450 1,995 320.0
Net Incurrence of Liabilities 4,388 2,359 1,606 ‐888 ‐1,200 1,263 ‐46.4
Financial Derivatives ‐40 ‐42 ‐60 ‐31 ‐74 ‐20 52.2
Net Acquisition of Financial Assets ‐235 ‐233 ‐235 ‐171 ‐271 ‐179 23.1
Net Incurrence of Liabilities ‐195 ‐192 ‐175 ‐140 ‐197 ‐159 16.8
Other Investment ‐1,135 2,375 803 ‐1,269 4,171 548 ‐76.9
Net Acquisition of Financial Assets ‐94 2,283 1,399 ‐723 1,554 263 ‐88.5
Net Incurrence of Liabilities 1,040 ‐92 596 546 ‐2,617 ‐284 ‐209.6
Net Unclassified Items 225 1,622 1,506 531 3,733 ‐62 ‐103.8
Overall BOP Position 3,797 991 778 2,277 ‐68 4,177 321.5
(Totals as percent of GNI) 4.1 1.0 0.8 1.9 ‐0.1 4.6
(Totals as percent of GDP) 4.5 1.1 0.9 2.1 ‐0.1 5.1
Debit: Change in Reserve Assets 3,808 980 789 2,266 ‐58 4,165 324.9
Credit: Change in Reserve Liabilities 11 ‐11 10 ‐11 10 ‐12 ‐7.1
Details may not add up to total due to roundingp Preliminaryr Revised to reflect data updates from official data sources and post‐audit adjustments
. Rounds off to zero
Technical Notes:
1. Balance of Payments Statistics are based on the IMF's Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, 6th edition.
2. Financial Account, including Reserve Assets, is calculated as sum of net acquisitions of financial assets less net incurrence of liabilities.
3. Balances in the current and capital accounts are derived by deducting debit entries from credit entries.
4. Balances in the financial account are derived by deducting net incurrence of liabilities from net acquisition of financial assets.
5. Negative values of Net Acquisition of Financial Assets indicate withdrawal/disposal of financial assets; negative values of Net Incurrence of Liabilities
indicate repayment of liabilities.
6. Overall BOP position is calculated as the change in the country's net international reserves (NIR), less non‐economic transactions (revaluation and gold
monetization/demonetization). Alternatively, it can be derived by adding the current and capital account balances less financial account plus net unclassified items.
7. Net unclassified items is an offsetting account to the overstatement or understatement in either receipts or payments of the recorded BOP
components vis‐à‐vis the overall BOP position.
8. Data on deposit‐taking corporations, except the central bank, consist of transactions of commercial and thrift banks and offshore banking units (OBUs).
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Growth
Rates (in %)
2019 r 2020 p
12 INTERNATIONAL RESERVESas of periods indicated; in million US dollars
Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun
Gross International Reserves 80,894 81,321 80,962 81,570 80,511 77,525 74,939 79,193 83,613 84,932 85,582 87,840 88,861 93,470
Gold 7,888 7,835 8,065 8,337 8,375 7,913 7,577 8,153 8,214 8,016 8,016 8,016 8,016 8,016
SDRs 1,149 1,179 1,198 1,211 1,233 1,194 1,186 1,184 1,183 1,186 1,164 1,182 1,168 1,177
Foreign Investments 67,677 68,160 65,371 65,815 64,931 62,356 59,850 66,733 71,409 72,541 72,971 75,304 76,480 80,891
Foreign Exchange 3,735 3,695 5,880 5,783 5,542 5,573 5,842 2,649 2,283 2,665 2,870 2,747 2,619 2,655
Reserve Position in the Fund 446 453 448 424 430 489 483 474 525 524 561 590 578 731
Net International Reserves 1 80,881 81,318 80,948 81,567 80,497 77,521 74,924 79,189 83,598 84,927 85,567 87,836 88,848 93,468
Reserve Adequacy Measures
Import Cover 2 8.5 8.4 8.2 7.8 7.6 7.1 6.6 6.9 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.6 7.9 9.3
Short‐Term External Debt Cover 3
Original Maturity 4 537.1 558.9 569.4 571.4 626.7 640.6 555.7 492.9 497.6 545.1 537.9 510.5 666.6 870.6
Residual Maturity 5 405.1 409.5 406.0 419.3 474.6 448.1 415.9 368.8 357.3 411.4 406.1 401.7 453.5 534.5
Note: Details may not add up to total due to rounding1 Inclusive of gold monetization and revaluation of reserve assets and reserve‐related liabilties which are excluded in the calculation of the balance of payments (BOP). Net International Reserves (NIR) refer to the difference
between Gross International Reserves (GIR) and the total of the Bangko Sentral's short‐term liabilities and the Use of Fund Credits (UFC). UFC refers to the sum of outstanding drawings from the IMF under various policies
and facilities, other than drawings under the reserve tranche.2 Number of months of average imports of goods and payment of services and primary income that can be financed by reserves. Starting 2005, data are based on International Monetary Fund's Balance of Payments and
and International Investment Position Manual, 6th edition (BPM6) concept.3 Starting December 2005, outstanding annual external debt reflects the new reporting framework in line with international standards under the latest External Debt Statistics Guide and BPM6. 4 Based on latest available outstanding short‐term external debt. 5 Refers to adequacy of reserves to cover outstanding external short‐term debt based on original maturity plus principal payments on medium‐and long‐term loans of the public and private sectors falling due in the next 12 months.
Figures reflect data based on outstanding short‐term debt and debt service schedule on outstanding external debt as of 30 June 2020.
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
2018 2019 20202017
13 EXCHANGE RATES OF THE PESOperiod averages; pesos per unit of foreign currency
2017 Ave 50.4037 0.4495 56.9491 64.9706 38.6418 36.5254 6.4686 11.7326 1.4866 0.0038 1.6574 0.0446 7.4593 13.4412 13.7244
Q1 49.9910 0.4401 53.2686 61.9521 37.8889 35.3106 6.4419 11.2478 1.4234 0.0037 1.6098 0.0434 7.2569 13.3323 13.6123
Q2 49.8577 0.4488 54.8473 63.7537 37.4333 35.8146 6.4038 11.5068 1.4537 0.0037 1.6481 0.0442 7.2646 13.2954 13.5756
Q3 50.8408 0.4580 59.7174 66.5855 40.1118 37.3672 6.5061 11.9324 1.5230 0.0038 1.6805 0.0449 7.6207 13.5575 13.8428
Q4 50.9255 0.4511 59.9631 67.5910 39.1333 37.6091 6.5227 12.2433 1.5461 0.0038 1.6914 0.0460 7.6951 13.5796 13.8669
2018 Ave 52.6614 0.4769 62.1943 70.3179 39.3810 39.0471 6.7197 13.0642 1.6302 0.0037 1.7481 0.0479 7.9713 14.0414 14.3387
Q1 51.4540 0.4753 63.2595 71.6146 40.4724 39.0190 6.5741 13.1161 1.6310 0.0038 1.7570 0.0480 8.0939 13.7207 14.0106
Q2 52.4470 0.4808 62.5318 71.3816 39.6907 39.3140 6.6830 13.2919 1.6446 0.0038 1.7628 0.0486 8.2271 13.9854 14.2803
Q3 53.5494 0.4805 62.2967 69.8379 39.1524 39.1621 6.8260 13.0914 1.6240 0.0037 1.7472 0.0478 7.8721 14.2786 14.5802
Q4 53.1953 0.4709 60.6894 68.4375 38.2084 38.6933 6.7959 12.7575 1.6213 0.0036 1.7255 0.0472 7.6920 14.1811 14.4839
2019 Ave 51.7958 0.4752 57.9894 66.1447 36.0008 37.9748 6.6105 12.5106 1.6686 0.0037 1.6767 0.0445 7.5021 13.8112 14.1026
Q1 52.3571 0.4754 59.4752 68.2126 37.2996 38.6528 6.6732 12.8023 1.6562 0.0037 1.6993 0.0466 7.7609 13.9610 14.2556
Q2 52.0591 0.4738 58.4750 66.8978 36.4156 38.1884 6.6405 12.5591 1.6475 0.0036 1.6738 0.0447 7.6297 13.8823 14.1744
Q3 51.7676 0.4824 57.5713 63.8264 35.4755 37.6554 6.6118 12.4355 1.6863 0.0037 1.6608 0.0434 7.3796 13.8028 14.0949
Q4 50.9993 0.4692 56.4359 65.6419 34.8126 37.4025 6.5164 12.2454 1.6842 0.0036 1.6728 0.0434 7.2381 13.5987 13.8857
2020 Ave 50.6458 0.4680 55.7984 63.8812 33.3039 36.2369 6.5259 11.9322 1.6032 0.0035 1.6889 0.0420 7.2034 13.4928 13.7894
Q1 50.8290 0.4666 56.0530 65.1249 33.5008 36.7322 6.5413 12.1848 1.6280 0.0036 1.6892 0.0427 7.2866 13.5470 13.8393
Q2 50.4626 0.4695 55.5438 62.6375 33.1070 35.7417 6.5104 11.6796 1.5785 0.0034 1.6886 0.0414 7.1201 13.4387 13.7395
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Chinese
Yuan
Saudi
Rial
Emirati
Dirham
Australian
Dollar
South
Korean
Won
PeriodUS
Dollar
Japanese
YenEuro
Pound
Sterling
Singapore
Dollar
Hongkong
Dollar
Malaysian
Ringgit
Thailand
Baht
Indonesian
Rupiah
New
Taiwan
Dollar
13a EXCHANGE RATES OF THE PESO period averages; units of foreign currency per peso
2017 Ave 0.0198 2.2252 0.0176 0.0154 0.0259 0.0274 0.1546 0.0853 0.6735 265.9140 0.6036 22.4187 0.1342 0.0744 0.0729
Q1 0.0200 2.2721 0.0188 0.0161 0.0264 0.0283 0.1552 0.0889 0.7025 267.1416 0.6212 23.0270 0.1378 0.0750 0.0735
Q2 0.0201 2.2282 0.0182 0.0157 0.0267 0.0279 0.1562 0.0869 0.6879 268.4602 0.6068 22.6453 0.1377 0.0752 0.0737
Q3 0.0197 2.1836 0.0167 0.0150 0.0249 0.0268 0.1537 0.0838 0.6566 262.3447 0.5951 22.2646 0.1312 0.0738 0.0722
Q4 0.0196 2.2168 0.0167 0.0148 0.0256 0.0266 0.1533 0.0817 0.6468 265.7095 0.5912 21.7380 0.1300 0.0736 0.0721
2018 Ave 0.0190 2.0972 0.0161 0.0142 0.0254 0.0256 0.1488 0.0766 0.6134 269.8477 0.5721 20.8761 0.1255 0.0712 0.0698
Q1 0.0194 2.1040 0.0158 0.0140 0.0247 0.0256 0.1521 0.0762 0.6131 263.6854 0.5692 20.8331 0.1235 0.0729 0.0714
Q2 0.0191 2.0798 0.0160 0.0140 0.0252 0.0254 0.1496 0.0752 0.6081 265.2805 0.5673 20.5740 0.1215 0.0715 0.0700
Q3 0.0187 2.0813 0.0161 0.0143 0.0255 0.0255 0.1465 0.0764 0.6158 273.4316 0.5723 20.9209 0.1270 0.0700 0.0686
Q4 0.0188 2.1237 0.0165 0.0146 0.0262 0.0258 0.1471 0.0784 0.6168 276.9934 0.5795 21.1766 0.1300 0.0705 0.0690
2019 Ave 0.0193 2.0958 0.0172 0.0151 0.0278 0.0263 0.1513 0.0799 0.6013 272.1743 0.5964 22.2961 0.1333 0.0724 0.0709
Q1 0.0191 2.1036 0.0168 0.0147 0.0268 0.0259 0.1499 0.0781 0.6038 269.5659 0.5885 21.4654 0.1289 0.0716 0.0701
Q2 0.0192 2.1108 0.0171 0.0149 0.0275 0.0262 0.1506 0.0796 0.6070 274.1912 0.5975 22.3788 0.1311 0.0720 0.0705
Q3 0.0193 2.0731 0.0174 0.0157 0.0282 0.0266 0.1512 0.0804 0.5930 272.7659 0.6021 23.0442 0.1355 0.0724 0.0709
Q4 0.0196 2.1315 0.0177 0.0152 0.0287 0.0267 0.1535 0.0817 0.5937 276.1289 0.5978 23.0556 0.1382 0.0735 0.0720
2020 Ave 0.0197 2.1366 0.0179 0.0157 0.0300 0.0276 0.1532 0.0838 0.6237 286.3539 0.5921 23.7900 0.1388 0.0741 0.0725
Q1 0.0197 2.1434 0.0178 0.0154 0.0299 0.0272 0.1529 0.0821 0.6143 278.6507 0.5920 23.4217 0.1372 0.0738 0.0723
Q2 0.0198 2.1299 0.0180 0.0160 0.0302 0.0280 0.1536 0.0856 0.6335 294.4950 0.5922 24.1700 0.1404 0.0744 0.0728
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
PeriodUS
Dollar
Japanese
YenEuro
Pound
Sterling
Australian
Dollar
South
Korean
Won
Chinese
Yuan
Saudi
Rial
Emirati
Dirham
Singapore
Dollar
Hongkong
Dollar
Malaysian
Ringgit
Thailand
Baht
Indonesian
Rupiah
New
Taiwan
Dollar
13b EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE INDICES OF THE PESO1980=100; period averages
Overall
Trading
Partners 1
Advanced
Trading
Partners 2
Developing
Trading
Partners 3
Overall
Trading
Partners 1
Advanced
Trading
Partners 2
Developing
Trading
Partners 3
2017 14.13 11.51 22.54 83.04 79.07 108.35
Q1 14.52 11.86 23.13 86.09 83.07 111.40
Q2 14.36 11.69 22.93 84.85 80.53 110.92
Q3 13.86 11.24 22.19 80.67 76.25 105.72
Q4 13.81 11.30 21.97 80.70 76.61 105.48
2018 13.29 10.83 21.21 80.80 76.96 105.39
Q1 13.28 10.87 21.15 80.42 77.85 103.96
Q2 13.15 10.80 20.90 80.08 76.64 104.17
Q3 13.28 10.74 21.27 80.60 76.02 105.70
Q4 13.48 10.93 21.57 82.16 77.37 107.86
2019 13.77 11.15 22.04 84.45 80.26 110.29
Q1 13.51 11.02 21.55 83.97 81.06 108.71
Q2 13.70 11.11 21.91 84.56 80.20 110.56
Q3 13.83 11.12 22.24 84.11 79.22 110.41
Q4 14.04 11.36 22.49 85.26 80.63 111.66
2020 14.23 11.44 22.87 89.16 84.79 116.41
Q1 14.11 11.43 22.59 88.25 85.23 114.23
Q2 14.35 11.46 23.15 90.06 84.35 118.60
1 Australia, Euro Area, US, Japan, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, China,
Saudi Arabia and UAE2 US, Japan, Euro Area and Australia3 Hong Kong, Taiwan, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, China, Saudi Arabia and UAEr revised
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
N O M I N A L R E A L
14 TOTAL EXTERNAL DEBT 1
as of periods indicated; in million US dollars
Grand Total 2,154 11,176 68,091 81,421 a 1,978 8,759 76,717 87,453 a
Public Sector 633 44,494 b 45,127 506 50,474 b 50,980
Banks 633 3,167 3,800 506 3,164 3,669
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas 1,294 c 1,294 0 1,306 c 1,306
Others 633 1,873 2,506 506 1,857 2,363
Non‐Banks 41,327 41,327 47,311 47,311
NG and Others 41,327 41,327 47,311 47,311
Private Sector 2,154 10,543 23,597 36,294 1,978 8,253 26,243 36,473
Banks 9,816 6,961 16,778 7,638 6,884 14,521
Foreign Bank Branches 4,453 147 4,600 d 4,329 112 4,441 d
Domestic Banks 5,364 6,814 12,178 3,309 6,772 10,080
Non‐Banks 2,154 727 16,636 e 19,516 1,978 616 19,359 e 21,952
1 Covers debt owed to non‐residents, with classification by borrower based on primary obligor per covering loan/rescheduling agreement/document.
31 Mar 2020 30 Jun 2020
Exclusions:a Residents' holdings of Philippine debt papers issued offshore; 16,271 15,432
Non‐residents' holdings of peso‐denominated debt securities 4,550 2,752
Inclusions:b Cumulative foreign exchange revaluation on US $‐denominated
multi‐currency loans from Asian Development Bank and World Bank ‐13 ‐13c Accumulated SDR allocations from the IMF 1,148 1,156 d "Due to Head Office/Branches Abroad" (DTHOBA) accounts of branches and
offshore banking units of foreign banks operating in the Philippines 3,240 2,819e Loans without BSP approval/registration which cannot be serviced
using foreign exchange from the banking system; 6,390 6,867
Obligations under capital lease agreements 861 830
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Short‐TermMedium &
Long‐TermTotal
Short‐TermMedium &
Long‐TermTotal
Trade Non‐Trade Trade Non‐Trade
31 March 2020 30 June 2020
15 SELECTED FOREIGN DEBT SERVICE INDICATORS
for periods indicated; in million US dollars
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Debt Service Burden (DSB) 1 1,728 3,072 1,354 2,307 2,783 1,200
Principal 841 2,321 529 1,717 2,029 786
Interest 887 751 825 590 754 413
Export Shipments (XS) 2 12,375 13,633 14,123 13,345 11,602 9,094
Exports of Goods and Receipts
from Services and Income (XGSI) 2, 3 30,301 31,808 33,477 33,586 28,926 22,420
Current Account Receipts (CAR) 2 32,012 33,582 35,297 35,471 30,575 24,061
External Debt 80,431 81,259 82,674 83,618 81,421 87,453
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 84,477 93,303 91,351 107,985 87,535 82,250
Gross National Income (GNI) 93,636 102,529 100,916 117,514 96,619 89,871
RATIOS (%):
DSB to XS 13.97 22.53 9.59 17.29 23.99 13.19
DSB to XGSI 5.70 9.66 4.04 6.87 9.62 5.35
DSB to CAR 5.40 9.15 3.84 6.50 9.10 4.99
DSB to GNI 1.85 3.00 1.34 1.96 2.88 1.33
External Debt to GDP 4 22.89 22.73 22.59 22.19 21.42 23.69
External Debt to GNI 4 20.71 20.58 20.51 20.18 19.50 21.59
1 Debt service burden represents principal and interest payments after rescheduling. In accordance with the internationally‐accepted concept,
debt service burden consists of (a) principal and interest payments on fixed MLT credits including IMF credits, loans covered by the Paris Club and
Commercial Banks rescheduling, and New Money Facilities; and (b) interest payments on fixed and revolving short‐term liabilities of banks and
non‐banks but excludes (i) prepayments of future years' maturities of foreign loans and (ii) principal payments on fixed and revolving ST liabilities
of banks and non‐banks.2 Based on the accounting principle under the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, Sixth Edition (BPM6)
3 Includes cash remittances of overseas Filipino workers that were coursed through and reported by commercial banks which are reflected under
Compensation of Employees in the Primary Income account and workers' remittances in the Secondary Income account.4 GNI and GDP figures were annualized by taking the sum over the past 4 quarters of the GNI and GDP, respectively.p Preliminary
r Revised to reflect latest data adjustments
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
2019 r 2020 p
16 SELECTED FOREIGN INTEREST RATES 1
period averages; in percent
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
US Prime Rate 3.7935 4.0455 4.2500 4.2976 4.5265 4.7976 5.0083 5.2817 5.5000 5.5000 5.3016 4.8297 4.4167 3.2500
US Discount Rate 1.2935 1.5455 1.7500 1.7976 2.0265 2.2917 2.5042 2.7778 3.0000 3.0000 2.8016 2.3297 1.8258 0.2500
US Federal Funds Rate 0.6974 0.9486 1.1551 1.2015 1.4356 1.7289 1.9140 2.2048 2.4002 2.3828 2.1713 1.6332 1.2280 0.0547
LIBOR (90 days) 1.0684 1.2023 1.3150 1.4656 1.9274 2.3384 2.3373 2.6325 2.6855 2.5062 2.1947 1.9299 1.5337 0.6021
SIBOR 1 (90 days) 0.9529 0.9961 1.1101 1.1681 1.2800 1.5115 1.6331 1.7326 1.9218 1.9769 1.9188 1.8011 1.5556 0.7195
1 Interest rates based on the US Dollar except for SIBOR, which is based on the Singapore dollar
Source: Bloomberg, Asian Wall Street Journal, Reuters
2018 2019 2020 2017
17 BALANCE SHEET OF THE BANGKO SENTRAL NG PILIPINASas of end‐periods indicated; in billion pesos
Mar Jun Sep Dec rMar Jun Sep Dec r Mar r Jun p
Assets 4,781.7 4,726.6 4,646.3 4,851.6 5,145.1 5,064.5 5,096.0 5,084.2 5,441.1 6,295.4
International Reserves 4,187.1 4,116.8 4,031.0 4,140.2 4,375.2 4,326.7 4,405.8 4,434.1 4,484.2 4,618.6
Domestic Securities 224.9 224.6 224.2 223.3 224.2 224.9 226.1 226.1 237.7 897.8
Loans and Advances 167.0 170.9 180.2 277.5 329.7 301.5 248.8 200.2 162.6 172.8
Government Securities Purchased Under Repurchase Agreements ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 300.0 300.0
Bank Premises and Other Fixed Assets 23.0 22.8 22.9 23.8 23.9 24.2 24.3 24.4 23.5 23.4
Derivative Instruments in a Gain Position 0.1 0.1 . 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 . 0.1 0.0
Other Assets 179.6 191.5 188.0 186.8 192.2 187.1 190.9 199.4 233.1 282.8
Liabilities 4,690.3 4,616.1 4,523.8 4,735.1 5,018.3 4,920.2 4,959.9 4,938.6 5,032.5 6,130.9
Currency Issue 1,250.9 1,232.5 1,247.1 1,490.2 1,382.6 1,383.0 1,386.6 1,679.1 1,697.7 1,807.2
Deposits 2,466.8 2,418.0 2,298.2 2,304.1 2,709.5 2,659.1 2,642.0 2,411.2 2,729.8 3,593.5
Reserve Deposits of Other Depository Corporations (ODCs) 1 1,792.9 1,746.2 1,767.8 1,843.8 1,841.0 1,725.9 1,700.3 1,550.5 1,442.0 1,317.4
Reserve Deposits of Other Financial Corporations (OFCs) 2 2.0 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
Secured Settlement Accounts ‐ 0.3 1.6 2.7 2.7 4.3 3.5 8.1 22.6 17.4
Overnight Deposit Facility 3 24.6 20.1 6.1 58.6 59.9 26.8 82.3 266.2 312.3 1,096.4
Term Deposit Facility 3 182.5 152.2 109.4 69.2 70.1 42.9 174.7 283.2 80.1 200.1
Treasurer of the Philippines 4 318.8 338.6 257.5 170.2 575.1 709.7 533.9 159.9 722.5 825.5
Other Foreign Currency Deposits 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 3.7
Foreign Financial Institutions 115.1 122.9 122.8 122.8 120.0 115.6 113.2 107.7 107.7 99.2
Other Deposits 5 30.2 35.6 30.6 34.4 38.7 32.2 32.7 34.1 41.0 33.5
Foreign Loans Payable . . . . . . . 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Bonds Payable 26.7 26.7 27.6 26.3 26.9 25.6 26.5 25.4 25.9 24.9
Derivative Instruments in a Loss Position . . 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 . 0.0 0.0 0.4
Derivatives Liability 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Allocation of SDRs 63.7 63.0 63.4 61.4 61.3 59.8 59.3 58.9 58.1 57.4
Revaluation of Foreign Currency Accounts 6 562.5 588.3 575.4 535.0 569.7 471.0 511.7 425.9 474.2 414.8
Reverse Repurchase Facility 3 305.1 272.0 299.2 301.0 250.7 305.1 302.1 305.1 305.0 200.0
Other Liabilities 14.3 15.5 12.9 17.2 17.5 16.5 31.7 33.0 14.7 32.7
Net Worth 91.4 110.5 122.5 116.5 126.8 144.3 136.0 145.6 135.6 164.5
Capital 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0
Surplus/Reserves 41.4 60.5 72.5 66.5 76.8 94.3 86.0 95.6 85.6 114.5
Note: Details may not add up to total due to rounding1 ODCs are deposit‐generating institutions other than the BSP such as universal and commercial banks (UB/KBs), specialized government banks (SGBs), thrift banks (TBs), rural banks (RBs) and non‐banks with quasi‐banking functions (NBQBs).2 OFCs are trust units of banks.3 Starting 3 June 2016, the Reverse Repurchase Agreement and Special Deposit Account have been replaced by the Reverse Repurchase Facility and Overnight Deposit Facility, respectively and a Term Deposit Facility was introduced in line with the
implementation of the Interest Rate Corridor (IRC) system. Includes accrued interest payables.4 Includes foreign currency deposits5 Mostly GOCC deposits6 Previously named Revaluation of International Reservesp Based on the preliminary and unaudited BSP Financial Statements (FS) prepared by the Financial Accounting Department (FAD) of the BSP.
r Revised to reflect restated and audited figures for December 2018 and December 2019, respectively, based on the audited 2019 BSP FS and latest end‐month figures for March 2020 based on the unaudited BSP FS as of end‐March 2020.
. Rounds off to zero
‐ Not applicable
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
2018 2019 2020 p
18 INCOME POSITION OF THE BANGKO SENTRAL NG PILIPINASfor periods indicated; in billion pesos
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 r FY r Q1 Q2 Jan‐Jun Q3 Q4 r FY
rQ1
pQ2
pJan‐Jun
p
Revenues 14.918 22.160 12.556 18.405 68.039 26.410 38.906 65.316 30.005 26.355 121.676 26.124 20.786 46.910
Interest Income 16.878 19.006 19.914 22.364 78.162 25.675 27.546 53.221 25.070 22.124 100.415 20.799 18.051 38.850
International Reserves 14.182 15.865 16.387 17.729 64.163 20.195 20.761 40.956 19.925 17.814 78.695 17.198 12.369 29.567
Domestic Securities 1.461 1.686 2.023 2.346 7.516 3.051 3.232 6.283 2.712 2.401 11.396 1.962 3.818 5.780
Loans and Advances 0.480 0.524 0.543 1.126 2.673 1.509 2.370 3.879 1.510 0.831 6.220 0.615 0.581 1.196
Others 0.755 0.931 0.961 1.163 3.810 0.920 1.183 2.103 0.923 1.078 4.104 1.024 1.283 2.307
Miscellaneous Income 1 ‐2.013 3.104 ‐7.532 ‐3.846 ‐10.287 0.711 11.221 11.932 4.848 4.176 20.956 5.296 2.713 8.009
Net Income from Branches 0.053 0.050 0.174 ‐0.113 0.164 0.024 0.139 0.163 0.087 0.055 0.305 0.029 0.022 0.051
Expenses 12.143 16.981 15.641 21.508 66.273 18.950 22.483 41.433 20.851 25.050 87.334 18.225 16.405 34.630
Interest Expenses 6.431 6.592 7.881 9.031 29.935 10.330 11.162 21.492 12.224 10.972 44.688 10.957 10.274 21.231
Legal Reserve Deposits of Banks 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
National Government Deposits 1.954 1.879 2.385 3.202 9.420 4.452 6.668 11.120 5.822 3.041 19.983 2.514 2.965 5.479
Reverse Repurchase Facility 2 2.266 2.179 2.564 3.104 10.113 3.176 2.801 5.977 3.241 3.040 12.258 2.843 1.001 3.844
Overnight Deposit Facility 2 0.592 0.231 0.172 0.346 1.341 0.601 0.241 0.842 0.605 1.101 2.548 1.704 5.017 6.721
Term Deposit Facility 2 0.908 1.539 1.876 1.495 5.818 1.153 0.545 1.698 1.698 2.976 6.372 3.077 0.577 3.654
Loans Payable and Other Foreign Currency Deposits 0.696 0.724 0.832 0.847 3.099 0.886 0.850 1.736 0.837 0.774 3.347 0.756 0.686 1.442
Other Liabilities 0.015 0.040 0.052 0.037 0.144 0.062 0.057 0.119 0.021 0.040 0.180 0.063 0.028 0.091
Cost of Minting/Printing of Currency 1.893 2.329 2.818 4.220 11.260 3.544 3.082 6.626 2.611 3.236 12.473 2.442 2.123 4.565
Taxes and Licenses 0.397 2.476 0.446 2.204 5.523 0.774 3.868 4.642 0.753 3.671 9.066 0.320 ‐0.037 0.283
Others 3.422 5.584 4.496 6.053 19.555 4.302 4.371 8.673 5.263 7.171 21.107 4.506 4.045 8.551
Net Income/(Loss) Before Gain/(Loss) on FXR Fluctuations
and Income Tax Expense/(Benefit) 2.775 5.179 ‐3.085 ‐3.103 1.766 7.460 16.423 23.883 9.154 1.305 34.342 7.899 4.381 12.280
Net Gain/(Loss) on Foreign Exchange Rate Fluctuations 3 7.040 14.471 27.292 4.305 53.108 5.670 3.330 9.000 5.365 0.360 14.725 2.021 ‐0.441 1.580
Income Tax Expense/(Benefit) 0.000 0.019 8.425 6.810 15.254 0.000 3.000 3.000 5.753 ‐5.925 2.828 0.005 0.141 0.146
Net Income/(Loss) After Tax 9.815 19.631 15.782 ‐5.608 39.620 13.130 16.753 29.883 8.766 7.590 46.239 9.915 3.799 13.714
Note: Details may not add up to totals due to rounding1 This includes trading gains/losses, fees, penalties and other operating income, among others.2 Starting 3 June 2016, the Reverse Repurchase Agreement and Special Deposit Account have been replaced by the Reverse Repurchase Facility and Overnight Deposit Facility, respectively and a Term Deposit Facility was introduced in line with the
implementation of the Interest Rate Corridor (IRC) system.3 This represents realized gains or losses from fluctuations in foreign exchange rates arising from foreign currency‐denominated transactions of the BSP.p Based on the preliminaryand unaudited BSP Financial Statements (FS).r Revised to reflect restated and audited figures for December 2018 and December 2019, respectively, based on the audited 2019 BSP FS.
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
2018 2019 2020