Renting out in the sharing economy: Assessing the meaning of … · Institut für Tourismus- und...

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Institut für Tourismus- und Bäderforschung Fleethörn 23 Tel.: (+49) 431 666 5670 [email protected] in Nordeuropa GmbH (NIT) D-24103 Kiel Fax: (+49) 431 666 56710 www.nit-kiel.de Renting out in the sharing economy: Assessing the meaning of ‘shared accommodation’ for city tourism International Seminar on Consumer Trends and Tourism Vienna, September 9th, 2016 Dirk Schmücker

Transcript of Renting out in the sharing economy: Assessing the meaning of … · Institut für Tourismus- und...

Page 1: Renting out in the sharing economy: Assessing the meaning of … · Institut für Tourismus- und Bäderforschung Fleethörn 23 Tel.: (+49) 431 666 5670 info@nit-kiel.de in Nordeuropa

Institut für Tourismus- und Bäderforschung Fleethörn 23 Tel.: (+49) 431 666 5670 [email protected]

in Nordeuropa GmbH (NIT) D-24103 Kiel Fax: (+49) 431 666 56710 www.nit-kiel.de

Renting out in the sharing economy:

Assessing the meaning of ‘shared

accommodation’ for city tourism

International Seminar on Consumer Trends and Tourism

Vienna, September 9th, 2016

Dirk Schmücker

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© 2016 NIT

• Booking site without payment handling (procurement site)

• Short-term accommodation

• Local hosts (usually)

• Private („shared“) offers and commercial offers

• Hosted (host being present) or non-hosted (host not being present)

accommodation

„Hosting platform“

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 2

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Source: airbnb.com, couchsurfing.org, September 2016

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Source: medium.com

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Source: Twitter (#boycottairbnb)

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Source: Twitter (#boycottairbnb)

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© 2016 NIT Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 8

Additional income

Social enrichment (meet

interesting people)

Redistribution of tourism in

the city

Disturbance of

neighbourhoods, loss of

identity, „touristification“

Spatial competition

(availability and prices of real

estate)

(Unfair) Competition

for the hotel industry

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wimdubusinesstravel.com, September 2016

E.g.

Wifi

24h check-in

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gesetze.berlin.de

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© 2016 NIT

Regulation Exists e.g. in

Local taxes Lisbon, Barcelona, Vienna, Amsterdam

Max length of renting

Munich (six weeks), Amsterdam (60

days), San Francisco (90 days), San

José (180 days)

Prohibition of short-term renting and/or

licensing/permission required

Berlin, Lisbon, Barcelona, Chicago

(specific zones), Kansas City

Regulations in place (selection)

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 14

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© 2016 NIT

Data

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 15

Listing data Survey data

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© 2016 NIT

Are hosting platforms increasing the pie?

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 16

40%

53%

15%

4%

Had informationabout hotels but

decided against it

Didn't evenconsider to stay in

a hotel

I would not havetaken the trip if it

had involved a stayin a hotel

none of the above

Q9: Thinking about your trip to [...]: Which of these statements apply to you? (multiple responses)n=204, DGT Survey 2016, Convenience Sample (German Facebook users), May 2016

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© 2016 NIT

65

52

39

44

3

27

30

40

32

10

6

16

20

24

81

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Cheaper than hotels

More individual/personal than hotels

You get into contact with locals

You can stay in ordinary living environmentsoutside the touristic centres

Hotels were fully booked

Was very important Was also important Was not important

Is it the price or the social experience?

17Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016

Q9: Why did you choose a privately rented accommodation? How important were the follwing aspects? (multiple responses), in per-centn=204, DGT Survey 2016, Convenience Sample (German Facebook users), May 2016

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© 2016 NIT

59

41

Social (+price) Price (only)

Demand clusters

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 18

„very important“ „Social“

Cluster

„Price“

Cluster

cheaper 50 87

contact 60 8

living environment 71 5

individual/personal 80 13

hotels full 3 5

Q9: Why did you choose a privately rented accommodation? How important were the follwing aspects? (multiple responses), in per-centn=204, DGT Survey 2016, Convenience Sample (German Facebook users), May 2016

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© 2016 NIT

2

98

Booking with AirBnB, Wimdu or similar in the last 3 years, Jan. 2016

Yes

No

Minority report

53,4 Mio. holiday travellers in Germany (Germanspeaking population 14 years and older ), n =5,945, January 2016, in per-cent. Source: RA 2016 face-to-face

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© 2016 NIT

27

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

In the last 3 years Consider for the next 3 years

Booking with AirBnB, Wimdu or similar, Jan. 2016

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 20

53,4 Mio. holiday travellers in Germany (Germanspeaking population 14 years and older ), n =5,945, January 2016, in per-cent. Source: RA 2016 face-to-face

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© 2016 NIT

21

45

50

49

47

41

30

8

9

German population 14+

Consider next 3 yrs

In the last 3 years

14-29 yrs 30-59 yrs 60 yrs +

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 21

53,4 Mio. holiday travellers in Germany (Germanspeaking population 14 years and older ), n =5,945, January 2016, in per-cent. Source: RA 2016 face-to-face

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© 2016 NIT

Data

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 22

Listing data Survey data

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© 2016 NIT

Data scraping from airbnb.com

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 23

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© 2016 NIT

Data scraping from airbnb.com

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 24

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© 2016 NIT

• Geoposition (more or less exact), neighbourhood

• Type of listing (apartments, rooms and beds)

• Number of rooms,

• Price per unit

• Host id

• Review number and overall rating

• ...

• Number of reservations

• Number of days

• Occupancy rate

• Revenue (ADR derived)

Which data can be scraped?

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 25

Point in time

Time period

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Rømø (Denmark)

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Price per accommodate

(apartments), Euro

Sylt 30-50

Other Islands 29-33

Mainland 16-20

Airbnb listing found when seaching for Sylt

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Beds, total Accommodates, Airbnb

~ 43,000 837

Island of Sylt, Northern Germany

2%

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Hotelbeds (2015) Accommodates, Airbnb

(est., 2015)

~ 64,000 ~ 5.400

Vienna, Austria

8%

Hotelbeds: Wien Tourismus/MA23-Dezernat Statistik Wien, Airbnb: Tom Slee, Aug. 2015, own estimates

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Hotelbeds (2015) Beds in other

accommodation(Pensions, hostals,

albergs, ...)

Beds in

homes/apartments

for tourist use(Habitatges d‘ús

turístico)

Accommodates,

Airbnb

(est., 2015)

~ 68,000 ~ 16,000 ~ 40,000 ~ 30,000

Barcelona, Catalonia

24%

Hotelbeds/Homes: Ajuntament de Barcelona/Barcelona Turisme: Estadístiques de turisme.Barcelona: ciutat i entorn 2015, Airbnb: A.A.Sans & A. Quagliere: Unravelling Airbnb: Urban Perspectives from Barcelona. Jan. 2016

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© 2016 NIT

Berlin Barcelona

Inhabitants (million) 3.4 1.6

Area, km² 892 101

Airbnb listings (2015) 15,400 14,500

entire home 9,300 (60%) 7,800 (54%)

private room 5,800 (38%) 6,500 (45%)

shared room 200 (2%) 200 (2%)

Airbnb listings per 1,000 inhabitants 4.4 9.1

Airbnb listings per km² 17.2 143.8

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 31

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© 2016 NIT

Compare prices?

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 35

Hotel: International Hotel Association (Deutschland), STR Global, Airbnb: Own data

Segment Metric EUR

HOTEL Average Daily Rate (ADR), per room, 2014,

exclusive of breakfast and VAT

91

incl. VAT (7%) 97

AIRBNB Private room, 2 beds, 2015 46

Entire home, 2015, 1.8 beds on average 79

Entire home, 2015, 2 beds on average, central

districts

94

YOUTH

HOSTEL

DJH Youth hostel, private room, 2-beds, including

breakfast, central district

77

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Hotels, Hoover = 62% Airbnb, Hoover = 52%

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© 2016 NIT

City districts Hotel

cluster

Airbnb

cluster

Hamburg, total

Inhabitants 52,000 235,000 1,797,000

Households with children 11% 15% 18%

Real estate, EUR per m² 1,300 1,700 600

Income tax, per inhabitant 17,000 23,000 18,000

Migration sum, per 1,000

inhabitants

320 260 220

Migration balance, per 1,000

inhabitants

+13 +6 +11

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 37

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© 2016 NIT

Data

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 38

Listing data Survey data

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J.W. O‘Neill / American Hotel & Lodging Association: From Air Mattresses to Unregulated Business: An Analysis of the other side of Airbnb, Jan. 2016

full-time host: renting 360+ days per year

Data disputed by Airbnb

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J.W. O‘Neill / American Hotel & Lodging Association: From Air Mattresses to Unregulated Business: An Analysis of the other side of Airbnb, Jan. 2016

Multi-unit host: 2+ units

Data disputed by Airbnb

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© 2016 NIT

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

hosts listings

Barcelona

5,700 hosts

10,600 listings

1.85 listings/host

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

hosts listings

Amsterdam

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

hosts listings

Copenhagen

3 and more listings per host

2 listings per host

1 listing per host

9,200 hosts

11,400 listings

1.23 listings/host

8,700 hosts

9,300 listings

1.06 listings/host

Based upon data from Murray Cox, Tom Slee and others, various years, preliminary data, Analysis: NIT, 2016

Listings per host in selected cities

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 41

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41%

32%

12%

8%

4%3%

Apartment,rented to

tourists mostof the time

Room, rentedto tourists

most of thetime

Apartment,used by thehost most of

the time

Room, usedby the hostmost of the

time

bed/couch Others

Survey: 4 in 10 trips end in a touristic apartment

Q6: Which type of accommodation did you book – which of the following decriptions fits best? Answers in per-centn=204, DGT Survey 2016, Convenience Sample (German Facebook users), May 2016

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© 2016 NIT

Entire home Room

Total rating (avg) 4.6 4.5

Cleanliness (avg) 4.5 4.4

Description (avg) 4.8 4.6

Value for money (avg) 4.7 4.5

Reviews on a 0-5 scale

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 43

Airbnb listings on the island of Sylt, May 2016, own data

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© 2016 NIT

People like the platform more than the accommodation – do

they like the idea more than the reality?

44

Net Promoter Score (NPS, Reichheld 1996) = Share of Promoters (9/10) – Share of Detractors (0-6)Q8: How likely is it that you would recommend [this booking platform, this destination, this type of accommodation] to a friend or colleague? Answers in per-centn=204, DGT Survey 2016, Convenience Sample (German Facebook users), May 2016

NPS 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

D-P „Detractors“ „Passives“ „Promoters“

Booking platform + 79 4% 10% 83%

Destination + 66 7% 17% 73%

Type of

accommodation+ 60 10% 19% 70%

not

at all

likely

extremely

likely

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016

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Source: airbnb.com, couchsurfing.org, September 2016

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© 2016 NIT Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 46

Accommodations booked through hostingplatforms increase the size of the pie – and

compete with hotels.

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© 2016 NIT Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 47

Importance of hosting platformsdiffers hugely between cities.

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© 2016 NIT Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 48

Bestsellers: Whole apartmentsby multi-unit hosts.

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© 2016 NIT Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 49

Shared accommodations evoke problems, but currently, nobody knows when to intervene.

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© 2016 NIT Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 50

We risk to drown in (listing) data.

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© 2016 NIT Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 51

Meaningful metrics can hardly be establishedby one city alone.

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© 2016 NIT Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 52

Hosting platforms will not kill the city(or city tourism).

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© 2016 NIT Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 53

Accommodation on hosting platforms Hotel accommodation Living environment

Listings, accommodates, structure

Growth

Spatial distribution

Prices

Bookings and demand

Beds, rooms, structure

Growth

Spatial distribution

Prices

Demand

Housing and housing pricessocio-economic structure

Comparable, meaningful metrics.

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© 2016 NIT

Thank you.

Renting out | Dirk Schmücker, September 2016 54

Dirk Schmücker

Head of Research

Institut für Tourismus- und Bäderforschung

in Nordeuropa GmbH

Fleethörn 23

D-24103 Kiel

[email protected]