Renewable futures?
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Transcript of Renewable futures?
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Renewable futures?
Nick Gogerty
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Energy Consumption US today
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Why oil?• Cheap
• 1,700 Kwhs/barrel
• 1 gallon of Gas=33.6kwhr H^2=3.5 kwhr*
• Easy to transport
• Existing infrastructure
*3,000 PSI
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Who has oil?
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Who wants energy? www.worldmapper.org/
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Oil Use by sector
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590m cars in the world
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Unlikely transport future fuels
HydrogenLow densityPoor infrastructure
Bio-FuelsFor the most poor energy dynamics
Hydrogen & biofuelsULTRA-CAPACITORS
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Renewable energy GW equivelants Globally
Hydropower Lg & Small, 843.0
Biomass heating, 235.0
Solar hot water, 105.0
Wind Turbines, 100.0
Biomass power, 45.0
Ethanol, 39.0
Geothermal heating, 33.0
Geothermal power, 9.5
Biodiesel bln litres, 6.0
Solar PV , 7.8
Solar CSP, 0.4
Ocean Power, 0.3
0 200 400 600 800 1000
The most well known Solar & wind growing at
35-50% yr10x / 7 yrs
Today’s renewable power
RE<C approaching cost of Coal
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$3 trillion year Electricity generation www.worldmapper.org
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Wind cheap 30% availability
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GeothermalHome heatElectricity +98% availability Cheap
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Insolation (where the sun shines) Guess who the “big countries are”
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*
Solar water heating Chinese style
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Solar PV tableWorld solar PV installations 2007 measured in
Gigawatts
- 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0
Germany
Japan
United States
Spain
Italy
Australia
South Korea
World total
Source: w ikipedia, w w w .gogerty.com
1:1,600 of total global power
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Policy & Potential
Sweden is shooting for 60% renewables by 2020.
Estimates have shown that the UK could have a 100% wind supply due to geography
Denmark already gets 20% of its electricity from Wind.
This country just signed a deal for 15% of power 120mw of wind. Can you name it?
http://www.worldwatch.org/node/5633
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Global issue & opportunity• Renewables = 3.4% of global power generation. (Figures
exclude large hydropower, which is 15%.)
• The largest component capacity is wind, grew by 28% worldwide in 2007 to 95 GW
• The fastest growing technology in the world is grid-connected solar photovoltaics (PV), with 50% yr increases in capacity 2006 2007
• solar heat collectors hot water 50m households
• Biomass and geothermal energy are commonly employed for power & heating, + 2m ground-source heat pumps used in 30 countries for heating and cooling
• Developing countries have more than 40% of existing renewable capacity, + 70% of existing solar hot water capacity, and 45% of biofuels production
http://www.worldwatch.org/node/5633
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Transmission Bottleneck=$1-1.5 trillion US opportunity
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Who are you doing this for?
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http://www.worldwatch.org/node/5633
Filthy lucre, freshly cleaned by honest work in the renewable energy sector.
Renewable energy manufacturing, operations, & maintenance +2.4m jobs globally in 2006
Energy is a $6 trillion business
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Job! You don’t have to be #1Try being in the top 10% for 6 things
Initiative takingCan you inspire others? Have you?
Real ExperienceDirty hands
Skill #2Language etc.
????
Columbia
Skill #1
You will be 1 in 1,000,000m people with a unique skills set.Don’t be afraid to chase experience vs. money your life will richer
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Anthropologist wisdom
A small group of thoughtful people can change the world. Indeed, it's the only thing that ever has. Margaret Mead
If you try really hard, you may one day become the sort of person who plants a tree so that someone you will never meet can sit in the shade. African Proverb [email protected]